WEEKLY ECONOMIC UPDATE - FIRST WEEK OF MAY 2021 Presented by Economic Research Division of PEFINDO

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WEEKLY ECONOMIC UPDATE - FIRST WEEK OF MAY 2021 Presented by Economic Research Division of PEFINDO
WEEKLY
ECONOMIC
UPDATE
FIRST WEEK OF MAY 2021

Presented by
Economic Research Division of PEFINDO
WEEKLY ECONOMIC UPDATE - FIRST WEEK OF MAY 2021 Presented by Economic Research Division of PEFINDO
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economic
WEEKLY ECONOMIC UPDATE - FIRST WEEK OF MAY 2021 Presented by Economic Research Division of PEFINDO
01 Macroeconomic Update

      GLOBAL                                                                 DOMESTIC
       Asia Development Bank (ADB) expected that Developing Asia will          In the first quarter of 2021, Indonesia’s Foreign Direct
        grow by 7.3% (YoY) in 2021, stronger than its previous estimate of       Investment jumped 14% (YoY) in rupiah terms. The FDI stood
        6.8% (YoY). It is underpinned by expectations of solid global            at IDR111.7 trillion (USD7.72 billion) in that period. Indonesia
        recovery and progress on vaccines. However, ADB was quick to             Investment Board (BKPM) said that things have begun to be
        caution that risks to its forecasts were skewed more to the              stable, and this shows the trust the world has for Indonesia
        downside. Geopolitical tensions, political turmoil, production           and foreign investors. South Korea was the third top source of
        bottlenecks, financial turmoil, and long-term scarring effects of        FDI after automaker Hyundai Motor started building a factory
        learning losses from school closures due to the pandemic also            to make electric vehicles while Singapore and China remained
        threaten recovery.                                                       the first and second biggest sources.
       The U.S gross domestic product grew by 6.4% (QoQ) in the first          Indonesia plans to reduce its budget deficit to 4.51% - 4.85%
        quarter of 2021. Widespread vaccinations and more fuel from              of GDP in 2022, and to 2.71% - 2.97% of GDP in 2023. The plan
        government spending supported the U.S. economy to get closer             is a part of post-crisis fiscal consolidation measures. Finance
        to the level before the pandemic. The boost in GDP came across a         Minister Sri Mulyani Indrawati has stuck to her tapering plans,
        spectrum of areas, such as increased personal consumption, fixed         which she has said was important to maintain policy
        residential and nonresidential investment, and government                credibility despite economists have warned Indonesian
        spending. Consumers spending that accounts for 68.2% of the              policymakers that withdrawing pandemic-era stimulus too
        economy, accelerated by 10.7% (QoQ) in the period.                       soon could disrupt an economic recovery.

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WEEKLY ECONOMIC UPDATE - FIRST WEEK OF MAY 2021 Presented by Economic Research Division of PEFINDO
COMMODITIES
          Indonesia will stop both liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) and fuel imports by 2030. Maturing
           fields and investment lags have turned Indonesia into a net importer of oil and gas, and the
           country steps up to cut imports in a bid to curb the country’s current account deficit.
           Indonesia plans big changes to its energy infrastructure to meet the target through building
           or upgrading refineries, converting refineries to biodiesel refineries, increasing domestic
           LPG production, and building a gas pipeline with a target of 10 million gas connections.

     Previous       : 04/19/21 – 04/23/21                                                                 Source: Bloomberg & Investing (2021)
     Latest         : 04/26/21 – 04/30/21

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WEEKLY ECONOMIC UPDATE - FIRST WEEK OF MAY 2021 Presented by Economic Research Division of PEFINDO
STOCKS
       The S&P 500 dropped 0.08%, the Nasdaq Composite fell 0.28%, and the Dow Jones Industrial
        Average lost 0.48% (4/28). The U.S. stocks market ended lower on Wednesday after the U.S.
        Federal Reserve held interest rates and its monthly bond-buying program steady and gave no
        sign it was ready to reduce its support for the recovery. Meanwhile, the U.S. President is
        expected to unveil a sweeping $1.8 trillion package for families and education in his first joint
        speech to Congress on Wednesday.

      Previous       : 04/19/21 – 04/23/21
                                                                                                                    Source: Bloomberg (2021)
      Latest         : 04/26/21 – 04/30/21

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WEEKLY ECONOMIC UPDATE - FIRST WEEK OF MAY 2021 Presented by Economic Research Division of PEFINDO
FOREIGN EXCHANGE
          Turkey’s lira depreciated by 0.6% to 8.48 against the U.S. dollar, close to its 2021 low watermark (4/26). A chill settled on relations with
           the United States as the U.S. President would officially recognize the 1915 massacres of Armenians in the Ottoman Empire as genocide,
           worsened the performance of the currency. Adding to investors' jitters, Turkey’s Central Bank Governor Sahap Kavcioglu said that he
           would keep monetary policy tight for now.

      Previous      : 04/19/21 – 04/23/21                                                                                      Source: Bloomberg (2021)
      Latest        : 04/26/21 – 04/30/21

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WEEKLY ECONOMIC UPDATE - FIRST WEEK OF MAY 2021 Presented by Economic Research Division of PEFINDO
02 Bond Market Update

   YIELD
       10-year government bond yields up to 6.46% on Friday (4/30) from 6.44% on Friday (4/23) amid rising U.S. government bond yields and
        weakening Asian and Indonesian stock exchanges. The weakening occurred because investors were worried about the release of China's
        manufacturing activity data in April 2021. Based on data from the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) China showed the manufacturing
        purchasing managers' index (PMI) fell to 51.1 in April from previously at 51.9 in March. In addition, the development of the corona virus surge
        that occurred in several countries in Asia and Europe is still a concern of Asian financial market players.
       On Friday (4/30) the 10-year U.S. treasury yield up to 1.63% from 1.55% on Friday (4/23) after the release of economic growth data for the
        first quarter. The United States Department of Commerce (US) said first-quarter gross domestic product (GDP) rose 6.4% compared to the
        6.5% expected by economists surveyed by Dow Jones. Meanwhile, the Department of Labor reported that initial jobless claims last year
        totaled 553,000 or above the Dow Jones estimate of 528,000.

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WEEKLY ECONOMIC UPDATE - FIRST WEEK OF MAY 2021 Presented by Economic Research Division of PEFINDO
INDEX
     In the fourth week of April 2021, corporate bond yields with AAA rating, the yield for the 9-10 year tenor was in range 7.64%-7.88%. In AA rated
     bonds with a 9-10 year tenor was in the range of 8.60%-8.84%. For A rated bonds with a 9-10 year tenor in range 10.44%-10.70%, and at BBB
     rating in range 12.52%-12.69%.

                                                                                          Note: average of a specific day with the same day of the previous week.

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WEEKLY ECONOMIC UPDATE - FIRST WEEK OF MAY 2021 Presented by Economic Research Division of PEFINDO
GOVERNMENT BOND

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WEEKLY ECONOMIC UPDATE - FIRST WEEK OF MAY 2021 Presented by Economic Research Division of PEFINDO
03 Bonds Issuance & Maturity

      BOND ISSUANCE

                                                                                                                Amount        Coupon      Tenor
        No.               Company                           Instruments                        Issued Date                                         Rating
                                                                                                              [IDR Billion]     [%]      [Years]
         1    PT Bussan Auto Finance   Shelf Registration Bond I Phase II Year 2021 Series A    Apr-28-2021          500.00       4.90         1    AAA(idn)
         2    PT Bussan Auto Finance   Shelf Registration Bond I Phase II Year 2021 Series B    Apr-28-2021          725.00       6.90         3    AAA(idn)
         3    PT Bank Mandiri Taspen   Shelf Registration Bond I Phase II Year 2021 Series A    Apr-29-2021          800.00       6.50         3       AA(idn)
         4    PT Bank Mandiri Taspen   Shelf Registration Bond I Phase II Year 2021 Series B    Apr-29-2021        1,200.00       7.25         5       AA(idn)
                                                                                                      Total        3,225.00

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BOND MATURITY
                                                                                                           Maturity       Amount          Coupon     Tenor
         No.              Company                                           Instruments                                                                          Rating
                                                                                                            Date        [IDR Billion]       [%]     [Years]
                                                                                                MAY
                  PT Panorama Sentrawisata
          1                                    MTN II Year 2018 Series B                                   May-2-2021         100.00         9.38         3           idBBB-
                  Tbk
          2       PT Indosat Tbk               Shelf Registration Bond II Phase III Year 2018 Series B     May-3-2021         630.00         7.40         3               idAAA

                  Perum Percetakan Negara
          3                                    MTN I Year 2018                                            May-11-2021         145.00        11.25         3                   -
                  RI
                  PT Batavia Prosperindo
          4                                    Shelf Registration Bond II Phase II Year 2020              May-14-2021         200.00         9.70         1               idBBB
                  Finance Tbk
          5       PT Bussan Auto Finance       Bond II Year 2018 Series B                                 May-15-2021         500.00         7.90         3                idAA

                  PT Pembangunan
          6                                    SB Perpetual Phase I Year 2018                             May-15-2021         150.00         9.04         3                idA-
                  Perumahan (Persero) Tbk
          7       PT PP Properti Tbk           MTN XI                                                     May-15-2021         100.00         9.25         3           idBBB-

                  PT Maybank Indonesia
          8                                    Shelf Registration Bond II Phase I Year 2018 Series A      May-17-2021         400.00         7.75         3         AA+(idn)
                  Finance
          9       PT PG Rajawali 1             MTN I Year 2018 Series A                                   May-17-2021         250.00         8.25         3           idBBB+

         10       PT Bank KEB Hana Indonesia   MTN I Year 2018 Series B                                   May-18-2021         720.00         7.75         3                   -
                  PT Indomobil Finance
         11                                    Shelf Registration Bond III Phase III Year 2018 Series B   May-18-2021         430.00         8.20         3                 idA
                  Indonesia
                  PT Pembangunan Jaya Ancol
         12                                    Shelf Registration Bond I Phase II Year 2018 Series B      May-18-2021         350.00         7.60         3                 idA
                  Tbk
                  PT Sarana Multigriya
         13                                    Shelf Registration Bond IV Phase IV Year 2018 Series B     May-18-2021         408.00         6.95         3               idAAA
                  Finansial (Persero)
         14       PT Sri Rejeki Isman Tbk      MTN Phase III Year 2018                                    May-18-2021   USD25.00 mn          5.80         3                   -
                  PT Tridomain Performance
         15                                    MTN I Year 2017                                            May-18-2021   USD20.00 mn          9.00         4                idA-
                  Materials
         16       PT Bank UOB Indonesia        Shelf Registration Bond I Phase II Year 2018 Series B      May-23-2021          83.00         7.40         3         AAA(idn)

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17       PT Pegadaian (Persero)        Shelf Registration Bond IV Phase I Year 2020 Series A              May-23-2021       330.00        6.90      1            idAAA

         18       PT Pegadaian (Persero)        Shelf Registration Sukuk Mudharabah I Phase I Year 2020 Series A   May-23-2021        51.00        6.90      1         idAAA(sy)

         19       PT PP Properti Tbk            MTN XII Series A                                                   May-24-2021        70.00        9.25      3           idBBB-

         20       PT Astra Sedaya Finance       Shelf Registration Bond IV Phase I Year 2018 Series B              May-25-2021       550.00        7.50      3            idAAA

         21       PT Astra Sedaya Finance       Shelf Registration Sukuk Mudharabah I Phase I Year 2018 Series B   May-25-2021       175.00        7.50      3         idAAA(sy)

                  PT Bank Rakyat Indonesia
         22                                     Shelf Registration Bond I Phase III Year 2016 Series C             May-25-2021       701.00        8.70      5            idAAA
                  (Persero) Tbk
         23       PT Perkebunan Nusantara X     MTN Year 2018                                                      May-25-2021       500.00       10.50      3           idBBB+

         24       PT Bank UOB Indonesia         Subordinated Bond I Year 2014                                      May-28-2021     1.000.00       11.35      7          AA(idn)
                  PT Toyota Astra Financial
         25                                     Shelf Registration Bond III Phase I Year 2020 Series A             May-29-2021       206.00        7.10      1         AAA(idn)
                  Services
                  PT Wahana Ottomitra
         26                                     Shelf Registration Bond III Phase II Year 2019 Series B            May-29-2021       125.50        9.15      2         AA-(idn)
                  Multiartha Tbk
         27       PT Equity Finance Indonesia   MTN VII Phase VII Year 2020 Series A                               May-30-2021         5.00       12.35      1                 -
         28       PT PG Rajawali 1              MTN I Year 2018 Series B                                           May-31-2021       250.00        8.25      3           idBBB+

                                                                                                                         Total     8,579,50

                                                                                                 JUNE
         1        PT Mandiri Tunas Finance      Shelf Registration Bond II Phase II Year 2016 Series B              Jun-1-2021       680.00        9.25      5            idAA+

                  PT Bank Victoria
         2                                      Shelf Registration Bond I Phase II Year 2018 Series A               Jun-5-2021       100.00        9.70      3              idA-
                  International Tbk
                  Lembaga Pembiayaan
         3                                      Shelf Registration Bond IV Phase I Year 2018 Series A               Jun-6-2021       938.00        7.50      3            idAAA
                  Ekspor Indonesia
                  Lembaga Pembiayaan
         4                                      Shelf Registration Sukuk Mudharabah I Phase I Year 2018 Series B    Jun-6-2021       365.00        7.50      3         idAAA(sy)
                  Ekspor Indonesia
         5        PT Suparma Tbk                MTN I Year 2016 Series A                                            Jun-6-2021   USD5.00 mn        5.50      5                 -
         6        PT PP Properti Tbk            MTN XII Year 2018 Series C                                          Jun-7-2021        80.00        9.25      3           idBBB-

                  Lembaga Pembiayaan
         7                                      Shelf Registration Bond III Phase I Year 2016 Series C              Jun-8-2021     2,252.00        8.70      5            idAAA
                  Ekspor Indonesia

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8        PT Wahana Ottomitra
                                                 Shelf Registration Bond II Phase V Year 2018 Series B       Jun-8-2021      67.50         8.60      3         AA-(idn)
                  Multiartha Tbk
                  PT Wahana Ottomitra
         9                                       Shelf Registration Bond III Phase III Year 2020 Series A    Jun-8-2021     227.50         8.50      1         AAA(idn)
                  Multiartha Tbk
                  PT Indah Kiat Pulp & Paper
         10                                      Shelf Registration Bond I Phase I Year 2020 Series A       Jun-15-2021     495.50         9.00      1             idA+
                  Tbk
         11       PT Bumi Serpong Damai Tbk      Shelf Registration Bond II Phase I Year 2016 Series A      Jun-16-2021     625.00         9.00      5            idAA-

         12       PT Candrakarya Multikreasi     MTN I Phase I Year 2020 Series A                           Jun-19-2021      35.20        10.75      1                -
                  PT Pelabuhan Indonesia I
         13                                      Bond I Year 2016 Series B                                  Jun-21-2021     500.00         9.00      5            idAA-
                  (Persero)
                  PT Perusahaan Listrik
         14                                      Bond VIII Year 2006 Series B                               Jun-21-2021     865.00        13.75     15            idAAA
                  Negara (Persero)
                  PT Batavia Prosperindo
         15                                      Shelf Registration Bond II Phase I Year 2018               Jun-25-2021     206.50        11.00      3            idBBB
                  Finance Tbk
                  PT BFI Finance Indonesia
         16                                      Shelf Registration Bond IV Phase I Year 2018 Series B      Jun-26-2021     552.00         7.75      3         AA-(idn)
                  Tbk
         17       PT Bank Pan Indonesia Tbk      Shelf Registration Bond II Phase I Year 2016               Jun-28-2021    2,000.00        9.15      5             idAA

                  PT Bank Tabungan Negara
         18                                      Bond XV Year 2011                                          Jun-28-2021    1,300.00        9.50     10            idAA+
                  (Persero) Tbk
                  PT Bank Victoria
         19                                      Shelf Registration Bond II Phase I Year 2019               Jun-28-2021     100.00         9.75      2             idA-
                  International Tbk
                  PT Intiland Development
         20                                      Bond II Year 2016 Series B                                 Jun-29-2021     162.00        11.00      5            idBBB
                  Tbk
         21       PT Angkasa Pura II (Persero)   Bond I Year 2016 Series A                                  Jun-30-2021    1,000.00        8.60      5            idAAA

                  PT Asietex Sinar
         22                                      MTN I Year 2017 Series F                                   Jun-30-2021      30.00        11.00      4                -
                  Indopratama
         23       PT Bank DKI                    Shelf Registration Bond I Phase I Year 2016                Jun-30-2021    1,000.00        9.25      5            idAA-

                                                                                                                  Total   13,581.20

                                                                                                  JULY
         1        PT PP Properti Tbk             Bond Phase I Year 2016 Series B                             Jul-1-2021     400.00         9.90      5           idBBB-

                  PT Tower Bersama               Shelf Registration Bond II Phase I Year 2016                Jul-1-2021     230.00         9.25      5         AA-(idn)
         2
                  Infrastructure Tbk

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3        PT Medco Power Indonesia    Bond I Year 2018 Series A                                           Jul-4-2021    249.00         9.75      3               idA

         4        PT Medco Power Indonesia    Sukuk Wakalah I Year 2018 Series A                                  Jul-4-2021    150.00         9.75      3            idA(sy)

                  PT Tridomain Performance    MTN III Year 2018                                                   Jul-4-2021    250.00        10.50      3            idCCC
         5
                  Materials
                  PT Mandala Multifinance     Shelf Registration Bond III Phase I Year 2018 Series B              Jul-5-2021    150.00         9.50      3               idA
         6
                  Tbk
                  PT Tower Bersama            Shelf Registration Bond III Phase I Year 2018                       Jul-5-2021    608.00         8.50      3         AA-(idn)
         7
                  Infrastructure Tbk
         8        PT Bank OCBC NISP Tbk       Shelf Registration Bond III Phase I Year 2018 Series C              Jul-6-2021    342.00         7.75      3           idAAA

                  PT Pembangunan              Shelf Registration Bond II Phase I Year 2018 Series A               Jul-6-2021   1,040.00        8.25      3               idA
         9
                  Perumahan (Persero) Tbk
         10       PT PP Properti Tbk          Shelf Registration Bond I Phase I Year 2018 Series A                Jul-6-2021    523.00         9.00      3           idBBB-

                  PT Sarana Multi             Shelf Registration Green Bond I Phase I Year 2018 Series A          Jul-6-2021    251.50         7.55      3           idAAA
         11
                  Infrastruktur (Persero)
                  PT Sarana Multi             Shelf Registration Sukuk Mudharabah I Phase I Year 2018 Series A    Jul-6-2021    680.00         7.55      3         idAAA(sy)
         12
                  Infrastruktur (Persero)
                  PT Asietex Sinar            MTN II Year 2017 Series C                                           Jul-7-2021     30.00        11.00      4                 -
         13
                  Indopratama
         14       PT Modernland Realty Tbk    Shelf Registration Bond I Phase I Year 2015 Series B                Jul-7-2021    150.00         12.5      6            idCCC

                  PT Bank Maybank Indonesia   Shelf Registration Subordinated Bond II Phase I Year 2014           Jul-8-2021   1,500.00       11.35      7             idAA
         15
                  Tbk
                  PT Anabatic Technologies    Convertible Bond Year 2018                                         Jul-11-2021    560.00         5.00      3                 -
         16
                  Tbk
         17       PT Sinar Mas Multifinance   Shelf Registration Bond I Phase I Year 2018 Series B               Jul-11-2021     80.00         9.75      3          A-(idn)
                  PT Bank Pembangunan         Shelf Registration Bond I Phase I Year 2016                        Jul-15-2021    500.00         9.35      5             idA+
         18       Daerah Sulawesi Selatan
                  dan Sulawesi Barat
                  PT Bank Pembangunan         Sukuk Mudharabah II Year 2016                                      Jul-15-2021     50.00         9.35      5          idA+(sy)
         19       Daerah Sulawesi Selatan
                  dan Sulawesi Barat
                  Lembaga Pembiayaan          MTN I Year 2016                                                    Jul-15-2021    500.00         8.65      5           idAAA
         20
                  Ekspor Indonesia

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PT Mandala Multifinance       Shelf Registration Bond IV Phase I Year 2020                         Jul-16-2021       150.00        9.00      1              idA
         21
                  Tbk
                  PT Adira Dinamika Multi       Shelf Registration Bond V Phase I Year 2020 Series A                 Jul-17-2021       483.95        6.90      1           idAAA
         22
                  Finance Tbk
                  PT Adira Dinamika Multi       Shelf Registration Sukuk Mudharabah IV Phase I Year 2020             Jul-17-2021       200.00        6.90      1         idAAA(sy)
         23
                  Finance Tbk
                  Lembaga Pembiayaan            Shelf Registration Sukuk Mudharabah II Phase I Year 2020             Jul-18-2021       100.00        6.75      1         idAAA(sy)
         24
                  Ekspor Indonesia
         25       PT Pegadaian (Persero)        Shelf Registration Bond IV Phase II Year 2020 Series A               Jul-18-2021     1,055.00        6.75      1           idAAA

         26       PT Pegadaian (Persero)        Shelf Registration Sukuk Mudharabah I Phase II Year 2020 Series A    Jul-18-2021       316.50        6.75      1         idAAA(sy)

         27       PT Suparma Tbk                MTN I Year 2016 Series B                                             Jul-18-2021   USD5.00 mn        5.50      5                 -
                  PT Indonesia Infrastructure   Bond I Year 2016 Series B                                            Jul-19-2021       250.00        8.70      5           idAAA
         28
                  Finance
         29       Perum Perumnas                MTN III Year 2016                                                    Jul-22-2021       150.00       11.00      5           idBBB-

                  PT Sarana Multigriya          Shelf Registration Bond V Phase IV Year 2020 Series A                Jul-24-2021     1,686.00        6.75      1           idAAA
         30
                  Finansial (Persero)
                  PT Sarana Multigriya          Shelf Registration Sukuk Mudharabah I Phase II Year 2020             Jul-24-2021       346.00        6.75      1         idAAA(sy)
         31
                  Finansial (Persero)
                  PT Adira Dinamika Multi       Shelf Registration Bond III Phase IV Year 2016 Series C              Jul-26-2021       431.00        9.25      5           idAAA
         32
                  Finance Tbk
                  PT Adira Dinamika Multi       Shelf Registration Sukuk Mudharabah II Phase II Year 2016 Series C   Jul-26-2021        14.00        9.25      5         idAAA(sy)
         33
                  Finance Tbk
         34       PT Sinar Mas Multifinance     Shelf Registration Bond II Phase I Year 2020 Series A                Jul-27-2021       207.30        9.75      1             irA+
                  PT Sarana Multi               Shelf Registration Bond II Phase IV Year 2020 Series A               Jul-31-2021     1,040.00        6.75      1           idAAA
         35
                  Infrastruktur (Persero)
                                                                                                                           Total    14,673.25
         Notes: *) Amount in USD excluded.

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04 News Analytics

      Description :

      Bnk : Banking          Mng : Mining            PL&A : Plantation & Agriculture   Mnc : Municipal                      Ppt : Property
      CPO : Crude Palm Oil   Auto : Automotive       O&G : Oil & Gas                   Cons :Construction                   Nkl : Nickel
      Trn : Transportation   F&B : Food & Baverage   Inc : Insurance                   Tlc : Telecommunication              Trd : Trading
      Elec :Electricity      H&T : Hotel & Tourism   M&G : Metal & Gold                Tlrd : Toll Road                     Utl : Utilities
      Coal : Coal            Fnc : Financing         Msmd : Mass Media                 PO&A : Port Authority & Airport

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Industries                                                                                   News Polarized
                                        Hot News
                                                                                       Positive                                        Negative
      Transportation     RI Potensial Bangun Trem Otonom.            Perubahan Trase Moda Transportasi LRT              Sengkarut Kebijakan Mudik.
                         Sebab, layanan transportasi umum berbasis   Disetujui Pusat.                                   Hal ini, terkait aturan susulan tentang
                         kereta merupakan pilihan sebagai tulang     Usulan dari pemprov DKI tersebut yaitu             pengetatan mudik Idul Fitri 1442 H, yang
                         punggung transportasi perkotaan.            mengubah trase pembangunan LRT fase II             dirilis mendadak oleh pemerintah tanpa
                                                                     yang semula Velodrome—Manggarai direvisi           didahului oleh sosialisasi yang baik.
                                                                     menjadi Velodrome—Klender.
      Automotive         Pasar Ban Mobil Listrik Terbuka Lebar.      Titik Terang Emiten Otomotif.
                         Pasalnya, ban untuk mobil listrik           Hal ini terkait dengan relaksasi pajak PPnBM
                         membutuhkan karet sintesis lebih banyak.    mobil baru yang terdiskon mencapai setengah
                         Namun pada dasarnya, penggunaan karet       dari pajak normalnya tahun lalu memang
                         sintetis dan bahan baku karet alam saling   dirasa sebagai penopang kinerja emiten diler
                         melengkapi untuk produksi ban.              otomotif tahun ini.
      Trading                                                        Ekspor 3 Sektor Manufaktur Capai US$19,7
                                                                     Miliar.
                                                                     Tiga sektor manufaktur prioritas, yakni industri
                                                                     makanan dan minuman (mamin), logam, serta
                                                                     bahan kimia.
      Plantation &                                                   Jagung Bakal Tambah Mahal.
                                                                     Lonjakan harga jagung yang saat ini terjadi
      Agriculture                                                    mengikuti tren pergerakan harga minyak
                                                                     dunia. Pasalnya, komoditas jagung merupakan
                                                                     salah satu bahan baku untuk pembuatan
                                                                     bahan bakar alternatif, yakni bioethanol.
      CPO                Ekspor Sawit RI ke India Masih Normal.      Ekspor CPO ke Eropa Berpotensi Meningkat.          Stok CPO Indonesia Turun.
                         Pasalnya, India merupakan pasar ekspor      Hal ini, karena minyak sawit lebih berdaya         Hal ini, seiring dengan tingginya konsumsi
                         terbesar kedua untuk sawit Indonesia        saing dibandingkan minyak nabati lain di           selama periode Ramadan tahun ini.
                         dengan volume 4,65 juta ton setelah         kawasan itu.
                         Tiongkok yang sebesar 5 juta ton.
      Oil & Gas          Adu Kuat di Proyek Pipa Gas.                Merawat Asa Lonjakan Produksi Hulu Migas.          Prospek Minyak Terganggu.

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Industries                                                                                        News Polarized
                                       Hot News
                                                                                           Positive                                       Negative
                        Hal ini, setelah kedua lembaga pemerintah        Adapun, SKK Migas telah menyiapkan                Hal ini, karena lonjakan kasus positif
                        yaitu Kementerian Energi dan Sumber Daya         empat strategi untuk meningkatkan produksi        COVID-19 yang terjadi di India dan Jepang.
                        Mineral dan Badan Pengatur Hilir (BPH)           migas nasional sekaligus menuju target            Ini berpotensi memunculkan masalah baru
                        Minyak dan Gas Bumi, memiliki argumen            produksi 2030, yakni dengan optimalisasi          bagi OPEC+ yang telah mengesahkan
                        masing-masing untuk masa depan proyek            produksi lapangan existing, transformasi          rencana penambahan produksi mulai Mei.
                        yang bakal melengkapi sambungan ruas             sumber daya ke produksi, mempercepat
                        pipa di Pulau Jawa itu.                          chemical enhanced oil recovery (EOR), dan
                                                                         eksplorasi penemuan besar.
      Metal & Gold      Reli Tembaga Berlanjut.                          Produksi Logam Diprediksi Rebound.
                        Hal ini, sejalan dengan sejumlah sentimen        Pasalnya, industri baja diklaim merupakan
                        positif seperti kebijakan stimulus sejumlah      sektor dengan daya tahan tinggi di tengah
                        negara, distribusi vaksin COVID-19, dan          pandemi COVID-19 dan siap untuk kembali
                        komitmen peralihan ke sumber energi              meningkatkan kemampuan dan performanya
                        terbarukan.                                      pada tahun ini.
      Mass Media        9 LPS Menangi Seleksi Penyelenggaraan            Prospek Belanja Iklan Masih Menjanjikan.          Sengkarut Siaran TV Digital.
                        Multipleksing TV Digital di 22 Wilayah RI.       Kenaikan nilai belanja iklan tahun ini sangat     Hal ini, berawal dari saling tuding siapa
                        Hal ini, sesuai amanat UU No 11 Tahun 2020       mungkin terealisasi jika dinamika dunia bisnis    yang bersalah pun tak terelakkan, baik dari
                        tentang Cipta Kerja, dan peraturan               berjalan seperti beberapa bulan belakangan        pihak operator, yaitu lembaga penyiaran
                        pelaksanaannya, migrasi penyiaran televisi       seiring dengan membaiknya geliat industri.        swasta (LPS) maupun pemerintah. Dari
                        teresterial dari teknologi analog ke teknologi   Pertumbuhan belanja iklan paling dominan          kaca mata LPS, problem itu justru berasal
                        digital serta penghentian siaran analog          akan dialami oleh platform digital sebagai        dari upaya pemerintah yang gagal
                        (analog switch off/ASO) dilakukan paling         ruang yang paling laris dipakai untuk beriklan.   memuluskan proses lelang. Namun, Fakta
                        lambat 2 November 2022.                                                                            di lapangan terlihat bahwa hasil seleksi
                                                                                                                           lelang penggelaran multiplexing di 22
                                                                                                                           provinsi memanen sanggahan dan
                                                                                                                           keberatan. Terjadinya resistensi yang
                                                                                                                           beruntun di sebagian besar daerah dinilai
                                                                                                                           kalangan sebagai indikator awal yang kuat

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Industries                                                                                     News Polarized
                                      Hot News
                                                                                       Positive                                       Negative
                                                                                                                       atas kegagalan pemerintah pusat
                                                                                                                       menuntun masa transisi dari
                                                                                                                       siaran televisi analog ke digital.
      Insurance         Asuransi Syariah Pacu Kontribusi di Bulan    Holding Asuransi Berikan Nilai Lebih.             Bisnis Asuransi Perjalanan Syariah
                        Ramadhan.                                    Hal ini, karena dapat melaksanakan program        Terganggu.
                        Pasalnya, bulan Ramadan adalah bulan yang    strategis secara terintegrasi. Dalam jangka       Hal ini, karena kebijakan pengetatan mudik
                        penuh keberkahan. Pada bulan ini,            pendek mungkin revenue konsolidasi belum          bakal menurunkan pendapatan premi
                        khususnya bagi umat muslim cenderung         naik signifikan, tapi struktur biaya bisa lebih   asuransi syariah. Pasalnya, asuransi
                        meningkatkan perbuatan baiknya sebagai       ramping, sehingga bottom line profit              perjalanan, salah satu lini usaha yang lazim
                        bentuk ibadah. Upaya menjangkau nasabah      konsolidasi bisa meningkat.                       menopang kinerja asuransi syariah.
                        itu bisa dilakukan dengan mulai
                        menawarkan produk asuransi mikro syariah
                        yang sudah ada sejak 2012.
      Banking           Adu Andal Layanan Bank Digital.              Bank Gencar Terbitkan Obligasi Tahun ini.         Risiko Kredit Masih Terus Menghantui
                        Pertumbuhan layanan keuangan digital di      Hal ini, seiring dengan mulai pulihnya            Perbankan.
                        industri perbankan nasional kian masif       penyaluran kredit perbankan. Setelah              Pasalnya, tak sedikit dari debitur yang
                        seiring dengan upaya bank papan atas untuk   meredanya pandemi COVID 19, perbankan             direstrukturisasi itu tetap tidak
                        menguatkan ekosistem digital banking         mulai ekspansif dalam menyalurkan kredit.         menunjukkan perbaikan. Kredit dari
                        sebagai respons perubahan gaya                                                                 debiturdebitur ini tidak masuk syarat untuk
                        bertransaksi masyarakat di tengah pandemi                                                      mendapat perpanjangan restrukturisasi
                        COVID-19.                                                                                      dan akan diklasifikasi ke dalam kelompok
                                                                                                                       berisiko tinggi yang berpotensi besar turun
                                                                                                                       menjadi NPL.

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Industries                                                                                      News Polarized
                                       Hot News
                                                                                         Positive                                       Negative
      Multifinance                                                     Multifinance Berlomba Kembangkan Aplikasi           Pembiayaan Multifinance Belum Pulih.
                                                                       Digital.                                            Belum pulihnya pembiayaan multifinance
                                                                       Jndustri multifinance memang harus segera           ini masih dikaitkan oleh pandemi.
                                                                       berbenah soal digital. Meski memiliki lini bisnis
                                                                       yang berbeda, perusahaan multifinance
                                                                       tradisional kian tertinggal soal digitalisasi
                                                                       dengan perusahaan seperti Home Credit,
                                                                       Akulaku, dan Kredivo.

      Hotel & Tourism                                                  Pariwisata Mulai Pulih Kuartal III.
                                                                       Hal ini, setelah bergulirnya vaksinasi COVID-19
                                                                       dan turunnya kasus baru harian.
      Food & Beverage   Harga Pangan Turun Tipis Menjelang Lebaran     Katalis Positif Industri Mamin.
                        2021.                                          Industri makanan dan minuman mengincar
                        Memasuki pertengahan Ramadan, siklusnya        pertumbuhan permintaan pada periode
                        adalah permintaan mulai menurun dan            Ramadan dan Lebaran tahun ini. Kendati
                        harga bisa kembali turun. Tapi, di sejumlah    masih dalam tekanan pandemi, penjualan dari
                        lokasi penurunan harga pangan ini tak          sisi ritel diproyeksikan masih baik
                        terjadi seperti beras, daging ayam, sapi dan   sehingga bakal berdampak positif terhadap
                        minyak goreng.                                 industri pengolahan di sektor hulu.
      Electricity       Harga Listrik PLTS Paling Tinggi US$0,01 per   Beleid Tarif EBT Dorong Percepatan Proyek
                        kWh.                                           Listrik.
                        Pasalnya, nilai kebutuhan panel surya di       Penetapan kisaran tarif tersebut ditentukan
                        Indonesia sejauh ini belum terlalu banyak.     berdasarkan kapasitas. Artinya, semakin besar
                        Pemanfaatan atau konsumsi proyek               kapasitas pembangkit listrik tersebut, maka
                        pemerintah, BUMN dan swasta untuk listrik      tarif yang dikenakan pun bakal semakin
                        surya atap diperkirakan berkisar 30            rendah atau di bawah US$0,08 per kWh.
                        Megawatt Peak per tahun.

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Industries                                                                                   News Polarized
                                        Hot News
                                                                                       Positive                                        Negative
      Construction                                                    Menanti Kebangkitan Emiten Konstruksi.
                                                                      Pertumbuhan signifikan di sektor konstruksi
                                                                      disebabkan oleh pelaksanaan vaksinasi COVID-
                                                                      19, dorongan penggunaan produk domestik
                                                                      serta berbagai dukungan pemerintah di
                                                                      bidang infrastruktur.
      Toll Road                                                       531 Km Jaringan Tol Trans Sumatera (JTTS)       Berkah Ramadhan Tak Mampir di Jalan Tol.
                                                                      Sudah Beroperasi.                               Hal ini, karena adanya larangan mudik
                                                                      Secara ekonomis, kehadiran JTTS akan            tahun ini guna mencegah penularan
                                                                      memberikan dampak signifikan sekaligus          COVID-19. Pergerakan pelarangan mudik
                                                                      memberikan peningkatan secara ekonomi di        pun sudah terjadi di beberapa moda
                                                                      kisaran angka 23% bagi masyarakat sekitar. Di   transportasi.
                                                                      samping itu juga terjadi penurunan biaya
                                                                      logistik sekitar 24%, termasuk memberi
                                                                      dampak pada kawasan industri, residensial,
                                                                      serta pariwisata.
      Property            Insentif PPN Berdampak Terbatas Terhadap    Harga Rumah Nasional Meningkat.
                          Sektor Properti.                            Hal ini, sejalan dengan kebutuhan mendesak
                          Pasalnya, stimulus hanya berlaku sampai     akan hunian pada masa pandemi ini. Pasalnya,
                          Agustus 2021. Harapan pengembang agar       pandemi mengubah pola hidup masyarakat di
                          stimulus diperpanjang hingga akhir tahun.   mana mayoritas kegiatan dilakukan di rumah.
      Telecommunication                                               2021, Kemkominfo Bangun 4,200 BTS USO di
                                                                      Wilayah 3T.
                                                                      Langkah tersebut dilakukan untuk menunjang
                                                                      akses telekomunikasi serta mendukung
                                                                      kehidupan sosial maupun ekonomi di wilayah
                                                                      tersebut.

                                                                                                          Source: Bisnis Indonesia, Investor Daily, and Kontan (2021)

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Index

                  PEFINDO25                   IHSG               PEFINDO i-Grade

              Period          Unit   IHSG            PEFINDO25       PEFINDO i-Grade
             4/1/2021    % (WoW)     -2.97%           -1.35%              -4.43%

             4/9/2021    % (WoW)     0.98%            -0.82%              1.02%

            4/16/2021    % (WoW)     0.26%            -0.82%              -0.44%

            4/23/2021    % (WoW)     -1.14%           -2.08%              -1.52%

            4/30/2021    % (WoW)     -0.35%            0.47%              -0.74%

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Indonesia Rating Highlight                             Publication                         Indonesia Sectoral Review
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                                                                                                                                    21
Weekly Economic Update
                                                       Presented By Economic Research Division of PEFINDO
                                                                  pef-economic@pefindo.co.id

                                                          Macroeconomic Update                      : Aulia Ikhsan/Fikri C Permana
                                                          Bond Market Update                        : Wasis Kurnianto/Ahmad Nasrudin
                                                          Bonds Issuance & Maturity                 : Wasis Kurnianto
                                                          News Analytics                            : Khaerin

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