Wells Fargo Industrial & Construction Conference - Kerry Preete Executive Vice President, Global Strategy

Page created by Katherine Diaz
 
CONTINUE READING
Wells Fargo Industrial & Construction Conference - Kerry Preete Executive Vice President, Global Strategy
Wells Fargo Industrial & Construction
Conference
                               Kerryy Preete
                  Executive Vice President, Global Strategy

                                                              1
Wells Fargo Industrial & Construction Conference - Kerry Preete Executive Vice President, Global Strategy
Forward-Looking Statements

  Certain statements contained in this presentation are "forward-looking     g statements," such as statements concerning g the
  company's anticipated financial results, current and future product performance, regulatory approvals, business and
  financial plans and other non-historical facts. These statements are based on current expectations and currently
  available information. However, since these statements are based on factors that involve risks and uncertainties, the
  company's actual performance and results may differ materially from those described or implied by such forward-
  looking statements. Factors that could cause or contribute to such differences include, among others: continued
  competition
       p         in seeds, traits and agricultural
                                       g           chemicals; the company's
                                                                        p y exposure
                                                                                 p     to various contingencies,
                                                                                                         g        including
                                                                                                                          g
  those related to intellectual property protection, regulatory compliance and the speed with which approvals are
  received, and public acceptance of biotechnology products; the success of the company's research and development
  activities; the outcomes of major lawsuits and the previously announced SEC investigation; developments related to
  foreign currencies and economies; successful operation of recent acquisitions; fluctuations in commodity prices;
  compliance with regulations affecting our manufacturing; the accuracy of the company's estimates related to distribution
  inventoryy levels;; the company's
                               p y ability y to fund its short-term financing
                                                                            g needs and to obtain p
                                                                                                  payment
                                                                                                    y      for the p
                                                                                                                   products that
  it sells; the effect of weather conditions, natural disasters and accidents on the agriculture business or the company's
  facilities; and other risks and factors detailed in the company's most recent periodic report to the SEC. Undue reliance
  should not be placed on these forward-looking statements, which are current only as of the date of this presentation.
  The company disclaims any current intention or obligation to update any forward-looking statements or any of the
  factors that may affect actual results.

  Trademarks
  Trademarks owned by Monsanto Company and its wholly-owned subsidiaries are italicized in this presentation. All other
  trademarks are the property of their respective owners.

  © 2013 Monsanto Company

                                                                                                                                   2
Wells Fargo Industrial & Construction Conference - Kerry Preete Executive Vice President, Global Strategy
Corn Mega-Trends:
International Productivityy Important
                              p       to
Meeting Increasing Global Grain Demand
                                      GLOBAL CORN PRODUCTION INCREASE                                                                             GLOBAL SUPPLY BY REGION1,2
                                 EX: PRODUCTION GROWTH BY REGION (2002 – 2012)1                                                                                   2012
                                                                                                                                               EX: 2012 PRODUCTION OF 33B BUSHELS
                           40                                                                                                                       17%                                 32%
                                            9 Billion Bushel Increase                                                                                                                             US
                           35                Cummulative Market                                                                              16%            17%
                                                 Value: ~$200B3                                                                                                                                   China
                                                                                                                                                                                32%
                 DUCTION

                           30                                                                                                                                                                     Europe
                                                                                                                                                     16%
                 ELS)
    (BILLION BUSHE
 GLOBAL CORN PROD

                           25                                                                                                                                                                     Latin America

                           20                               International Corn Production:                                                              11%             24%
                                                                                                                                                                                                  ROW
                                                                 80% of the Increase
                                                                                                                                                 11%
                           15                                                                                                                                                       24%
 G

                                                                                                                                              • 80% of the increase has come from outside
                           10
                                                                                                                                                the U.S.
                                                               U.S. Corn Production:
                           5                                                                                                                  • In 2012, 2/3rd of the overall production came
                                                               20% of the Increase
                                                                                                                                                from Ex-U.S.
                           0
                            2002     2003     2004   2005     2006      2007   2008      2009       2010       2011      2012
                                                                                                                                                         DEMAND VS. PRODUCTION
Production                      24    25       28      28      28        31      31         32        33        35         33                               EX: 2007 – 2012 5-YR CAGR
Demand                          25    26       27      28      29        30      31         32        33        34         34
                                                                                                                                             • Demand growth has outpaced supply in the
                                                                                                                                               last 5 years decreasing ending stocks by
                                                                                                                                               nearly 600M bushels in that time period.
                                            Gl b l Corn
                                            Global C    Production
                                                        P d ti (5-YR
                                                                   (5 YR CAGR):
                                                                         CAGR)                                    1 1%
                                                                                                                  1.1%                       • Even with conservative demand
                                                                                                                                               assumptions, it could take multiple years of
                                               Global Corn Demand (5-YR CAGR):                                    2.0%                         above-trend production to get caught up

    1. USDA 2. Monsanto estimates 3. Market Value is calculated assuming a weighted commodity price of $2.85 /bu and a cummulative production increase of 67 billion bushels accumulated from the period of
       2002 - 2012
                                                                                                                                                                                                              3
Wells Fargo Industrial & Construction Conference - Kerry Preete Executive Vice President, Global Strategy
Soybean Mega-Trends:
 Oil and Feed Drive Oil Seed Demand;;
 The Americas Play a Key Role
                                                 GLOBAL OIL SEED CROPS DEMAND                                                                                     WORLD SOYBEAN SUPPLY1
                                                EXAMPLE: OIL DEMAND (2008 – 2018F)1,2,3                                                                          EX: 2012 PRODUCTION BY REGION

                                           Soybeans                  Oilseed Rape                   Palm              Sunflower
                     30                                                                                                                                                               9%
                                                                                                                                                                                    NORTH
                                                                                                                                                                                   AMERICA
                     25
                                                                                                                                                                                    ~31%
               AND
               LS)

                     20
        OIL DEMA
 (BILLION BUSHEL

                     15                                                                                                                                                                                 SOUTH
                                                                                                                                                                                                       AMERICA
GLOBAL

                     10                                                                                                                                                                                 ~56%
G

                      5
                                                                                                                                                                 VALUE TRANSLATION
                      0
                      20082008
                             2009              2010        2011       2012       2013F 2014F 2015F 2016F 2017F
                                                                                 2013F                      2018F
                                                                                                               2018F                                            • Nearly 90 percent of world soybean
                                                                                                                                                                  production comes from the
                                                                                                                                                                  A    i
                                                                                                                                                                  Americas
                                                                                                                                                                • These regions represent
                                                                                                                                                                  approximately 200M planted acres
                          Oil and Feed Demand Requires in Excess of 2.5 Billion                                                                                   Monsanto’s R&D investment in yield
                             Bushels of Oil Seeds Growth from 2013 to 2018                                                                                         creation and its trait footprint in the
                                                                                                                                                                    Americas sets up the opportunity
                                                                                                                                                                            for steady growth

        1. USDA           2. Monsanto estimates 3. Oil consumption calculated by correcting for oil content. One bushel yields 19% oil and 81% meal. Soybean basis applied to OSR (Oilseed Rape), Palm and Sunflower   4
Wells Fargo Industrial & Construction Conference - Kerry Preete Executive Vice President, Global Strategy
“Yield Company” Strategy:
Monsanto’s Competitive
                 p     Advantages
                              g Define
Yield Opportunity
 STRATEGIC              With the rising demand for grain and protein over the next decade, the
 OPPORTUNITY:           need to sustainably increase productivity drives opportunity for
                        companies that can deliver more yield per acre
  COMMERCIAL ADVANTAGES                                                                   R&D ADVANTAGES
                                                                              INDUSTRY’S         Monsanto has more
                                                                                   ONLY          R&D platforms
                                                                             INTEGRATED          linked to drive yield
                                                                                                 than ever before
        LEADING GLOBAL POSITION                                           YIELD PIPELINE
     Monsanto has #1 or #2 positions in every
                  key target seed geography

                                                                  ®      LARGEST
                                                                                         With biggest germplasm
       INDUSTRY-BEST PRODUCTS                      YIELD:                 GLOBAL
                                                                      GERMPLASM
                                                                                         library and industry
                                                                                         leading biotech, Monsanto
         Across crops, Monsanto’s products        The Business        & LEADER IN        is best positioned to drive
           consistently outyield competitors        Strategy             BIOTECH         new advances in yield
                                                                                                   ™

      BROADEST COMMERCIAL CHANNEL                                  BREAKTHROUGH NEW PLATFORMS
Monsanto has multiple brand and licensing channels to         New initiatives like BioDirect and Integrated Farming
          meett ffarmers th
                         through
                               h their
                                 th i preferred
                                         f    d venue    Systems (IFS) expected to unlock new yield opportunities
                                   MORE TECHNOLOGY               ACROSS MORE              INDUSTRY LEADING
   STRATEGIC KEYS:                    PLATFORMS                   KEY CROPS                GLOBAL POSITION

                                                                                                                  5
Wells Fargo Industrial & Construction Conference - Kerry Preete Executive Vice President, Global Strategy
Yield Enables Gross Profit Growth:
Recurring
        g Innovation Drives Sustainable
Growth
                                                                              SEEDS & GENOMICS GROSS PROFIT GROWTH DRIVERS
                                                                                                   BUSINESS SEGMENT VIEW
                                                                                   CORE                 EMERGING                NEW GROWTH                     R&D
                                                             FY2012
                                                                               GROWTH MODELS          GROWTH MODELS               MODELS                     PIPELINE

                                                                                                                                                        R&D Platforms
                                                 ROWTH

                                                         GROWTH EVOLUTION
                                                                                                                                                             BREEDING
                                                            Strategy that worked in
                     GIC SOURCES OF INCREMENTAL GR

                                                                                                                                                              BIOTECH
                                                             FY2012 carries forward
        TH DRIVERS

                                                                                                                                                            BIOLOGICALS
                                                            Growth is more balanced                                                                            IFS
                                                             with contribution from U.S.                                    Next-Gen Upgrades                CHEMISTRY
                                                             and international
                                                                                                                                 INTACTA RR2 PRO
                                                            New layers of growth added
KEY GROWT

                                                                                                                                ROUNDUP READY 2 XTEND
                                                             as drivers come on line                Geographic Multiplier
                                                                                                                                 FIELDSCRIPTS
                                                                                                         EASTERN EUROPE
                                                                                                           ARGENTINA
                                                                              North America                  BRAZIL
                                                                                  U S COTTON
                                                                                  U.S.
               STRATEG

                                                                                   U.S. SOY
                                                                                   U.S. CORN
                                                           SEEDS &
                                                          GENOMICS                                                                                           FUTURE
                                                                                                    NEAR-TERM GROWTH                                         GROWTH
                                                         GROSS PROFIT

                                                                                           GROWTH DRIVER ROLL OUT OVER TIME 

                                                             CORN DRIVERS         SOYBEAN DRIVERS          COTTON DRIVERS          MULTIPLE CROPS

                                                                                                                                                                          6
Wells Fargo Industrial & Construction Conference - Kerry Preete Executive Vice President, Global Strategy
Leverage in Increased Yield:
Increasingg Yield Generates More Opportunity
                                  pp       y
Globally in Corn Than Any Other Growth Driver
              YIELD IS VALUED IN EVERY KEY GEOGRPAHY                                                                                             IMPROVED YIELD DRIVES PORTFOLIO VALUE                                          GROWTH
                            EXAMPLE: BRANDED CORN NET SELLING UNIT PRICE1                                                                    EXAMPLE: COMBINED KEY CORN-GROWING REGIONS 2003-2013F2                               FACTORS

 • YIELD DRIVES VALUE – the       th proportional
                                             ti  l value
                                                     l off yield-
                                                            i ld                                                                   • YIELD INCREASES PORTFOLIO VALUE – Yield
   to-seed-price is similar across all key geographies                                                                               increases reflect the mix benefit of new hybrids, with annual

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  GROWTH
 • INCREMENTAL YIELD IS INCREMENTAL VALUE –

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   CORE
                                                                                                                                     turnover driving net-selling price growth
   Because yield value is captured proportionally, as new yield
                                                                                                                                             2.5
   comes on line in any geography, it boosts the realized value

                                                                                                                                                               XED)
   of that region’s portfolio

                                                                                                                                                                RN
$90

                                                                                                                                    BLENDED GLOBAL BRANDED COR
                                                                                                                                              LLING PRICE (INDEX
$80                                                                                          U.S.
                                                                                                                                             2.0

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  EMERGING
$70

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   GROWTH
BRANDED NET SELLING

                                                             LATIN

                                                                                                             AVERAGE UNIT NSP/AC
             USD/AC)

$60                                                         AMERICA
$50                                                                                                     
 UNIT PRICE (U

                                                                                                                                   SEED NET SEL
                            SOUTH           EASTERN                                                                                          1.5
$40                         AFRICA          EUROPE
$30
$20

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   ROWTH
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    NEW
                                                                                                                                             1.0
$10
                                                        

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    N
                                                                                                                                                                      2003      2005      2007 2008 2009         2011 2013F
                                                                                                                                                                                                                          2013F

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  GR
                                                                                                                                                                         2003
  $0                                            AVERAGE CORN YIELDS

                       50    60  70  80   90 100 110 120 130 140 150 160                                                                                                   EXAMPLE: Branded Net Selling Price Growth
                            HYBRID CORN YIELD (BU/AC)

                               EXAMPLE: Emerging Growth Areas                                                                                                              In the last decade, the annual germplasm turnover

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           ELINE
                                                                                                                                                                           enabled germplasm net sales to grow $2 billion in

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    R&D PIPE
                 In emerging geographies – like Brazil and Eastern Europe – the                                                                                            that period - increasing branded net selling price
                 absolute yield is less than the U.S., however the proportional                                                                                            for corn in the range of 5-10% compounded each
                 value of the yield is the same – and, as yields have increased,                                                                                           year
                 the predicted increased portfolio value has been demonstrated

  1.               Based on 2011 whole bag unit prices.
  2.               Combined key countries included U.S., Brazil, LAS (Argentina, Paraguay, Uruguay and Bolivia) and EMEA (Europe, Middle East and Africa).                                                                        7
Wells Fargo Industrial & Construction Conference - Kerry Preete Executive Vice President, Global Strategy
U.S. Corn Growth:
Continued Mix Benefit Drives Growth in
Monsanto’s Core Seed Business
SPOTLIGHT: U.S. CORN OPPORTUNITY                                                          UPDATE                                              2013 GROWTH DRIVERS                                                  GROWTH
                                                                                                                                                                                                                   FACTORS

                                       MACRO CORN DATA                                 FACTOR:                                            GENUITY REDUCED-REFUGE FAMILY EXPANSION
                                                 2012 PLANTED
                                                                         ~97M                                                                 40

                                                                                                                       ACRES (IIN MILLIONS)
                                                       ACRES1:                                                                                      In 2013, Genuity Reduced-

                                                                                                                                                                                                                   GROWTH
                                                                                                                                                   Refuge Family is expected to

                                                                                                                                                                                                                    CORE
                                                 2012 AVERAGE                                                                                        reach the high end of the
                                                        YIELD1:        ~123 bu/ac                                                             30   original 36M-38M acre target

                                       2013 HIGHLIGHTS:                                                                                       20

• Comprehensive Refuge-in-a-Bag Platform                                                                                                      10
  (RIB Complete)

                                                                                                                                                                                                                   EMERGING
  All of the products in Monsanto's reduced-refuge corn                                                                                        0

                                                                                                                                                                                                                    GROWTH
                                                                                                                                                   2010            2011           2012        2013F
  family are refuge-in-the-bag enabled for the Corn Belt
                                                                                                                            TOTAL
• Stewarded launch of DroughtGard Hybrids in                                                                                ACRES                   ~3M           ~13M            ~27M      36M-38M

                                                                                                                                                                                                                   E
  2013
• FieldScripts Ground Breakers on-farm trials                                          FACTOR:                                            U.S. BRANDED PORTFOLIO UPGRADE

  planned for 2013                                                                                                                                                                          ANNUAL MIX
                                                                                                                                                                                             BENEFIT
                                                                                                         RTFOLIO

SEASONAL UPDATE:

                                                                                                                                                                                                                    ROWTH
                                                                                             MIX IN

                                                                                                                                                                                         New higher-value seed

                                                                                                                                                                                                                     NEW
                                                                                                                                                                                         hybrids replace hybrids
                                                                                                                                                                                         that average 4-6 years
                                                                                    RELATIVE M

                                                                                                                                                                                                                     N
• Biggest growth driver is the mix benefit from
                                                                                                DEKALB POR

                                                                                                                                                                                                                   GR
                                                                                                                                                                                         old, creating a
                                                                                                                                                                                         compounding benefit
  upgrades, including germplasm portfolio and                                                                                                                                            as the portfolio adds
                                                                                                                                                                                         new products each
  step up in total acres of Genuity Reduced-Refuge                                                                                                                                       year
  Family

                                                                                                                                                                                                                           ELINE
• On track to reach the high end of the original
  target of 36M-38M
            36M 38M acres in the Genuity Reduced
                                          Reduced-                                                                  LOWEST VALUE                                                    HIGHEST VALUE

                                                                                                                                                                                                                    R&D PIPE
  Refuge Family                                                                                                        10-20%                           25-40%        25-40%
                                                                                                                                                                                         10-20%
                                                                                                                                                       PROVEN         CORE
                                                                                                                   MATURE HYBRIDS                      HYBRIDS
                                                                                                                                                                                   FIRST-YEAR HYBRIDS
                                                                                                                                                                     HYBRIDS

 1. USDA, World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates, April 2013                                                                                                                                               8
Wells Fargo Industrial & Construction Conference - Kerry Preete Executive Vice President, Global Strategy
Building Momentum in U.S. Soy:
Strong
     g 2012 Performance Creates Continued
Growth Opportunity in 2013
SPOTLIGHT: U.S. SOY OPPORTUNITY                                                                                                                  2013 GROWTH DRIVERS                                   GROWTH
                                                                                                                                                                                                       FACTORS

                                      MACRO SOYBEAN DATA                                 FACTOR:                                             GENUITY ROUNDUP READY 2 YIELD EXPANSION
                                                2012 PLANTED
                                                      ACRES1:                  ~77M

                                                                                                                                                                                                       GROWTH
                                                                                                                                                 In 2013, Genuity Roundup

                                                                                                                                                                                                        CORE
                                                2012 AVERAGE
                                                                                                                                        40

                                                                                                                 ACRES (IN MIILLIONS)
                                                                                                                                                Ready 2 Yield is expected to
                                                       YIELD1:            ~40 bu/ac                                                               reach the high end of the
                                                                                                                                        30      original 39M-41M acre target
                                      2013 SET UP:

• 2012 Growth Sets Momentum for 2013                                                                                                    20
• U.S. branded seed volume growth outpaced the
                                                                                                                                        10

                                                                                                                                                                                                       EMERGING
                                                                                                                                                                                                        GROWTH
  market growth in 2012
• Genuity Roundup Ready 2 Yield established as a                                                                                        0
                                                                                                                                               2010             2011            2012        2013F
  platform in 2012

                                                                                                                                                                                                       E
                                                                                                      TOTAL
  Genuity Roundup Ready 2 Yield represented ~75%                                                      ACRES                                     6M              17M             32M        39M-41M
  of our branded seed sales and ~50% of the licensed
                                                                                                                                             ROUNDUP READY 2 YIELD VARIETIES
  seed sales in 2012                                                                     FACTOR:
                                                                                                                                             EXPANSION ACROSS YEARS

                                                                                                                                                                                                        ROWTH
SEASONAL UPDATE:

                                                                                                                                                                                                         NEW
                                                                                      READY 2 YIELD VARIEITIES

                                                                                                                                                                                                         N
                                                                                             ER OF ROUNDUP P

                                                                                                                                                                                        INFLECTION

                                                                                                                                                                                                       GR
                                                                                                                                                                                          POINT:
• Monsanto well positioned for seed availability                                                                                                                                       ESTABLISHED
                                                                                                                                                                                         ROUNDUP
• On target for mix upgrade, continuing the step-                                                                                                                                      READY 2 YIELD
  up of Genuity Roundup Ready 2 Yield acres                                                                                                                                            PLATFORM AS

                                                                                                                                                                                                               ELINE
                                                                                                                                                                                         THE NEW
                                                                                                                                                                                        STANDARD

                                                                                                                                                                                                        R&D PIPE
                                                                                        NUMBE

                                                                                                                                               2009           2010             2011       2012
                                                                                                                                                                                         PLATFORM
                                                                                                                                               NEW PLATFORM BUILDOUT                    ESTABLISHED

1.   USDA, World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates, April 2013 report                                                                                                                           9
Wells Fargo Industrial & Construction Conference - Kerry Preete Executive Vice President, Global Strategy
Cotton Plays Key Role:
Cotton Business Provides a Natural Hedge
                                      g to
Portfolio Acre Shifts
                                               U.S. COTTON BELT                                                             ACRE SHIFTS ACROSS CROPS                         GROWTH
                                        EXAMPLE: 2012 COTTON PLANTINGS                                              EXAMPLE: COTTON AND SOY ACRES SHIFTS 2010-20121
                                                                                                                                                                             FACTORS

                                                                                                                                              Cotton   Soy

                                                                                                                                                                             GROWTH
                                                                                                                     4

                                                                                                                                                                              CORE
                                                                                                MILLIONS OF ACRES
                                                                                                                     2

                                                                                                        GES IN
                                                                     NORTHERN TIER
                                                                          PLANTED ACRES: ~2M
                                   WEST TEXAS                                                                        -

                                                                                                   CHANG
                                   PLANTED ACRES: ~6M

                                                                    SOUTHERN TIER                                    (2)
                                                                     PLANTED ACRES: ~3M

                                                                                                                                                                             EMERGING
                                                EAST TEXAS                                                           (4)

                                                                                                                                                                              GROWTH
                                               PLANTED ACRES: ~1M
                                                                                                                                 11' vs 10'              12' vs 11'

                                                                                                                                                                             E
                                                                                                                                  PORTFOLIO BALANCE:
                                                                                                                         INDEXED GROSS PROFIT PER ACRE FOR MONSANTO

                                                                                                                                                                              ROWTH
                                                                                                                                   BRANDED CROP OFFERINGS

                                                                                                                                                                               NEW
                      OFIT

                             2.5

                                                                                                                                                                               N
     NTO U.S. GROSS PRO

                                                                                                                                                                             GR
                                                                                                                2013 OPERATIONAL DRIVERS
                             2.0
     ER ACRE: SCALED

                                                                    2.0                   2.0                   • For every 1 million acres that shift from soy to corn or
                             1.5
                                                                                                                  cotton, we would expect an estimated $0.03 EPS
                             1.0

                                                                                                                                                                                     ELINE
                                                                                                                  increase on average
                                             1.0                                                                                g margin
                                                                                                                • Monsanto’s high       g cotton business provides
                                                                                                                                                             p         a
                             05
                             0.5

                                                                                                                                                                              R&D PIPE
MONSAN
    PE

                                                                                                                  natural hedge against acre fluctuations in corn or soy
                             0.0
                                        SOYBEAN                CORN                   COTTON

           1.                USDA 2013 February WASDE report                                                                                                                 10
Brazil Corn Opportunity:
  Long
     g Runwayy for Continued Trait-Upgrade
                                    pg
  Opportunity
                                                                                      BRAZIL CORN GROWTH DRIVERS                                                   GROWTH
                                                                                                                                                                   FACTORS

                                                                                    GERMPLASM                 1ST    WAVE BIOTECH               NEXT GENERATION
                                                             FY2012                  UPGRADES                        UPGRADES                   BIOTECH UPGRADES
                                         MENTAL GROWTH
                                                     H

                                                                                                                                                                   GROWTH
                                                                                                                                                                    CORE
            RIVERS

                                                                                                                                             New Growth

                                                                                                                                                  TRAIT LAUNCHES
               STRATEGIC SOURCES OF INCREM
  Y GROWTH DR

                                                                                                                                                     VT PRO MAX
                                                                                                           Biotech                                    VT PRO 3

                                                                                                                                                                   EMERGING
                                                                                                                   TRAIT ADOPTION

                                                                                                                                                                    GROWTH
                                                                                                                   YieldGard Corn Borer,
                                                                                                              YieldGard VT PRO , VT PRO 2
                                                                             Seed

                                                                                                                                                                   E
KEY

                                                                                    GERMPLASM
                                                                                    #1 Share Position
                                                                                                             NEAR-TERM GROWTH
                                                            BRAZIL CORN

                                                                                                                                                                    ROWTH
                                                                                       NEAR-TERM GROWTH                                     FUTURE GROWTH

                                                                                                                                                                     NEW
                                                         SEEDS & GENOMICS
                                                           GROSS PROFIT

                                                                                                                                                                     N
                                                                                                                                                                   GR
                                                                                       GROWTH DRIVER ROLL OUT OVER TIME 

                                                                                                        BRAZIL
                                                                                           EMERGING GROWTH MODEL

                                                                                                                                                                           ELINE
                                                                       #1 hybrid
                                                                            y      corn seed share p                p product
                                                                                                    position with rapid p     refresh

                                                                                                                                                                    R&D PIPE
                                                                       First biotech trait launches in FY09 rapidly adopted
                                                                       New layers of growth added as additional traits come on line

                                                                                                                                                                   11
Argentina Corn:
Upgrade
 pg     to Triple
              p Stack Driving
                            g Continued
Expansion of Corn Portfolio
         LATIN AMERICA                                           SPOTLIGHT: ARGENTINA                       UPDATE                            2013 HIGHLIGHTS                        GROWTH
                                                                                                                                                                                     FACTORS

                                                                 MACRO CORN DATA                            • As expected,
                                                                                                                  expected somewhat lower planted corn acres
                                                                    2012 HYBRID ACRES1:       ~11M            year-over-year

                                                                                                                                                                                     GROWTH
                                                                                                            • Early rain delayed some planting, but corn season

                                                                                                                                                                                      CORE
                                                                   2012 AVERAGE YIELD2:     ~93   bu/ac       on track
                                                                 MACRO SOYBEAN DATA                         • Trait upgrade on track, focused on Genuity VT
                                                                                                                 p PRO opportunity
                                                                                                              Triple       pp       y
                                                                   2012 PLANTED ACRES1:       ~47M
                                                                                                            • In second year of commercial sales, Genuity VT
                                                                                                              Triple PRO expected to be more than 40% of the
                                                                   2012 AVERAGE YIELD2:     ~35   bu/ac

                                                                                                                                                                                     EMERGING
                                                                                                                                                                                      GROWTH
                                                                                                              total Argentine branded corn portfolio

                                                                                                                                                                                     E
                                                   ARGENTINA CORN TRAIT PENETRATION AND MIX                                                  ARGENTINA: TRAIT VALUE
                                                                     2009 – 2013F                               AVERAGE TRAIT NET SELLING PRICE-PER-ACRE INDEX
   N UPGRADE DRIVERS

                                                         SINGLES AND DOUBLES        GENUITY VT TRIPLE PRO

                                                                                                                                                                                      ROWTH
                                                                                                                                               1ST-GEN ABOVE-           GENUITY VT
                                                                                                                                              GROUND DOUBLE             TRIPLE PRO

                                                                                                                                                                                       NEW
                                                  100%
                                            MIX

                                                                                                                                       15
                                                                                                                                       1.5

                                                                                                                                                                                       N
                       PERCENT OF PORTFOLIO M

                                                                                                                                                                                     GR
                                                  75%                                                               LLING PRICE-PER-
                                                                                                                                                                1.2 - 1.3
                                                  50%                                                                                  1.0
                                                                                                                    CRE INDEX

                                                  25%

                                                                                                                                                                                             ELINE
                                                                                                                                                    1.0
                                                   0%                                                                                  0.5
CORN

                                                                                                                   AC

                                                                                                                                                                                      R&D PIPE
                                                                                                              NET SEL

                                                         2009     2010      2011       2012       2013F
                                   PLANTED
                                    ACRES1               ~8M     ~8M       ~10M      ~11M         ~10M                                 0.0

     1.                Monsanto estimated acres
     2.                USDA                                                                                                                                                          12
Eastern Europe Opportunity:
Intersection
   e sec o o of Mega-Trends
                 ega e ds a and
                              d Business
                                 us ess
Opportunity Drive Growth
                              EASTERN EUROPE CORN YIELD IMPROVEMENT                                                                                 INNOVATION DRIVES GROWTH                        GROWTH

                                    EXAMPLE: CORN VS. WHEAT YIELDS (1996 – 2011)1                                                                                                                   FACTORS
                                                                                                                                                        IN EASTERN EUROPE
                                                        CORN SUBSTITUTION EFFECT
                    100                                                                                                                        Higher-yielding corn hybrids

                                                                                                                                                                                                    GROWTH
                                           Higher relative corn yields drive animal feed value per acre

                                                                                                                                                                                                     CORE
                                                                                                                                                     Introduction of new corn germplasm drives
                                                      Wheat acres transitioning to corn
                                                                                                                                                     yield improvements throughout the region
                     80
          S/ACRE)
          ELDS

                                                                                                                  ~25 BU/AC
                                                                                                                                               Yield creates value
                     60
(IN BUSHLES
   CROP YIE

                                                                                                                                                     Higher yields translate into increased
                                                                                                                                                     grower profitability per acre increasing the
                     40

                                                                                                                                                                                                    EMERGING
                                                                                                                                                     preference to grow corn

                                                                                                                                                                                                     GROWTH
                     20                                   WHEAT                            CORN                                                Monsanto’s business growth
                                                          TREND   LINES
                                                          Linear (WHEAT)                   Linear (CORN)                                             Monsanto’s
                                                                                                                                                     Monsanto  s share growth significantly

                                                                                                                                                                                                    E
                         0                                                                                                                           outpacing market expansion
                                   1996          1999             2002               2005               2008               2011

           MONSANTO’S GROWTH OUTPACES MARKET EXPANSION

                                                                                                                                                                                                     ROWTH
                                        EXAMPLE: EASTERN EUROPE CORN MARKET                                                                           LONG-TERM GROWTH OPPORTUNITY

                                                                                                                                                                                                      NEW
                                                                                                                                                    SUPPORTED BY CURRENT INVESTMENTS

                                                                                                                                                                                                      N
                                        20%

                                                                                                                                                                                                    GR
                                                     BRANDED SHARE
                        RN SEED SHARE

                                                                                                                                                  Corn breeding facilities being added to
                                        15%
                         MONSANTO

                                                                                                                                                   accelerate germplasm yield gains
                                        10%
                                                                                                                                                  Investments in new corn seed
                                                                                                                                                   production in the region will add

                                                                                                                                                                                                            ELINE
                                        5%                                                                                                         significant capacity to support future

                                                                                                                                                                                                     R&D PIPE
                      COR

                                                                                                                                                   growth
                                                                                                                                                        th
                                        0%
                                                  2009
                                                  2009                2010
                                                                      2010                   2011
                                                                                             2011                  2012
                                                                                                                   2012
            PLANTED
                                                  21M                 23M                    27M                   33M
       HYBRID ACRES2
  1.                FAO
  2.                Monsanto estimated acres. Includes: Bulgaria, Croatia, Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland, Romania, Russia, Serbia, Slovakia, Slovenia, Turkey, Ukraine                            13
Next-Generation Soybean Platforms:
Multi-Billion-Dollar Opportunity
                      pp       y Emerging
                                     g g in
Soybeans
                 SOYBEAN PLANTED ACRES                                                          GENUITY ROUNDUP READY 2 YIELD
                                                                                                                                                                                             GROWTH
                                                                                                                                                                                             FACTORS

      HIGHLIGHT: OPPORTUNITY IN THE                            AMERICAS1

 Nearly 90 percent of world soybean production2 comes from                                     • On track to reach high-end of FY2013 original target of
                                                                                                 39M-41M acres in North America

                                                                                                                                                                                             GROWTH
                        the Americas

                                                                                                                                                                                              CORE
                                                                                               • Expanded platform opportunity with multi-year licensing
                                                                                                 agreement with DuPont Pioneer through 2030
                                                                                                   The license carries a minimum commitment of $1.75 billion
                                    NORTH
                                   AMERICA                                                      INTACTA RR2 PRO
                                  ~80M ACRES

                                                                                                                                                                                             EMERGING
                                                                                                                                                                                              GROWTH
                                                                                               • New 100-million acre opportunity for Latin America
                                                                                                   Next layer of growth in Latin America, building on step-change in
                                                                                                   yield combined with insect control for Brazil’s first soybean stack

                                                                                                                                                                                             E
                       ~20%                               SOUTH                                • Brazil’s Ground Breakers Update
                                                         AMERICA                                   Completed 2013 Intacta RR2 PRO Ground Breakers on-farm trials
                                                        ~120M ACRES                                with 1,000 Brazilian farmers demonstrating its performance
                                                                                                   outyielding Roundup Ready soybean by >4 bu/ac

                                                                                                                                                                                              ROWTH
                                                                                                                                                                                               NEW
                                                                                               • Launch of Intacta RR2 PRO expected to outpace

                                                                                                                                                                                               N
                                                                                                                                                                                             GR
                                                                                                 previous soybean trait launches
                                                                                                   Brazil commercial launch expected in FY2014 followed by Argentina
                                                                                                   in FY20153
 NEXT-GENERATION SOYBEAN OPPORTUNITY
   OPENS UP ~200M-ACRE OPPORTUNITY GLOBALLY
                                                                                                ROUNDUP READY 2 XTEND

                                                                                                                                                                                                     ELINE
  Expect to realize ~20% of the global opportunity, with the

                                                                                                                                                                                              R&D PIPE
   targeted step up in Genuity Roundup Ready 2 Yield in 2013
                                                                                               • The other 100-million acre opportunity in the Americas
  Over the next five years, expect significant upgrades will
   have practical fit on the balance of the 200M global acre                                       With practical fit on more than 100M soybean acres, the Roundup
   opportunity with continued build-out of the platforms                                           Ready Xtend crop system holds potential across the Americas

1. 2012 USDA and Monsanto estimated planted acres. 2. USDA 2012 production 3. Received “in-country” regulatory approvals. Commercial launch pending import approvals in key export markets   14
Integrated Farming Systems:
 One
 O eoof Monsanto’s
         o sa to s Newest
                    e est Platforms
                            at o s
 Demonstrates Step Change in Corn Yields
                 INTEGRATED FARMING SYSTEMS                                                                                    INITIAL PRODUCT OFFERING TARGETS                                               GROWTH

                 2012 FIELDSCRIPTS ON-FARM TRIALS                                                                                                2014 DEPLOYMENT
                                                                                                                                                                                                              FACTORS

                                                                                                                                           INITIAL LAUNCH GEOGRAPHY
                     FieldScripts On-Farm Trials Across 56 Locations

                                                                                                                                                                                                              GROWTH
                                                                                                                                                                                                               CORE
                     Showed a 5-10 bu/ac Performance Advantage vs.
                    Current Fixed and Variable Rate Seeding Practices
                                                                                                                          Launch
        155                                                                                                                 p in
                                                                                                                  FieldScripts
                                                                                                                  2014 targeting
                                                                                                                  select areas of
                                                                                                                                                       MN
                                                                                                                  MN, IA, IL, & IN
                                            5-10 BU/AC

                                                                                                                                                                                                              EMERGING
                                                                                                                                                                                                               GROWTH
        145                                                                                                                                                IA
                                              ADVANTAGE
 U/AC

                                                                                                                                                                               IL           IN
BU

                                                                                                                                                                                                              E
        135

                                                                                                                                                                                                               ROWTH
                                                                                                                    Distribution through Integrated Farming Systems Certified
        125

                                                                                                                                                                                                                NEW
                                                                                                                     Seed Dealers

                                                                                                                                                                                                                N
                   VS FIXED RATE SEEDING                        VS VARIABLE RATE SEEDING                            DEKALB brand

                                                                                                                                                                                                              GR
                                                                                                                               b    d seed
                                                                                                                                         d corn initially;
                                                                                                                                                i iti ll other
                                                                                                                                                           th Monsanto
                                                                                                                                                               M    t brands
                                                                                                                                                                       b    d
                         PRACTICES1:                                   PRACTICES1:
                                                                                                                     and licensees in the future
                                                                                                                    FieldScripts enters Ground Breakers in 2013

                                                                                             FIELDSCRIPTS

                                                                                                                                                                                                                      ELINE
                                                                   DRIVES INCREMENTAL YIELD FOR FARMERS

                                                                                                                                                                                                               R&D PIPE
                               Optimal hybrid match and variable planting density prescriptions backed by proprietary algorithms
                               Simple and convenient tool for farmers to realize additional yield benefits
                               FieldScripts are expected to improve over time as additional data is incorporated into the algorithms

   1. Data as of Nov. 16, 2012. FieldScripts on-farm trials across 56 locations. Results compare FieldScripts plots with plots planted using fixed rate seeding populations of 30K, 34K, and 38K seeds/acre
      and variable rate seeding plots based on USDA SSURGO maps                                                                                                                                               15
R&D Advantage in Action:
Monsanto’s R&D Pipeline
                   p      Deepest
                             p    and
Most Successful in Industry
                            INTEGRATED YIELD PIPELINE: 2012 STATUS AND UPDATE                                                                                              MONSANTO’S R&D                GROWTH
                                                                                                                                                                             ADVANTAGE                   FACTORS

                              CORN                      SOYBEANS                                     COTTON                              VEGETABLES                   No one else in the industry has
                                                                                                                                                                         the number of technology
BREEDING

                                                                                                                                                                                                         GROWTH
                        ANNUAL GERMPLASM
                                           1      ANNUAL GERMPLASM
                                                                                 1         ANNUAL GERMPLASM
                                                                                                                           1         ANNUAL GERMPLASM
                                                                                                                                                                  1      platforms or capability that

                                                                                                                                                                                                          CORE
                            UPGRADE                   UPGRADE                                  UPGRADE                                   UPGRADE
                                                                                                                                                                            matches Monsanto’s
                        NEXT-GEN MARKER-
                         BASED BREEDING    3       NEXT-GEN MARKER-
                                                    BASED BREEDING               3          NEXT-GEN MARKER-
                                                                                             BASED BREEDING                2          NEXT-GEN MARKER-
                                                                                                                                       BASED BREEDING             3   HISTORICAL SUCCESS
B

                                                                                                                                                                       M
                                                                                                                                                                        Monsantot hhas launched
                                                                                                                                                                                        l    h d more
                                                                                                                                                                        biotech trait and new-product
BIOTECH

                        AGRONOMIC-TRAIT
                           UPGRADES        8        AGRONOMIC-TRAIT
                                                       UPGRADES                   5          AGRONOMIC-TRAIT
                                                                                                UPGRADES                    4                                           technologies than any other

                                                                                                                                                                                                         EMERGING
                                                                                                                                                                                                          GROWTH
                                                                                                                                                                        company in the industry
                         YIELD & STRESS
                            SYSTEMS1       4          YIELD & STRESS
                                                         SYSTEMS1                 1             YIELD & STRESS
                                                                                                   SYSTEMS1                 1                                          With R&D funding of more
                                                                                                                                                                        than $1.5 billion, Monsanto

                                                                                                                                                                                                         E
                                                                                                                                                                        spending leads the Ag Sector
                                           1
IFS

                          INTEGRATED
                        FARMING SYSTEMS                                                                                                                               2012 PROGRESS

                                                                                                                                                                       With 18 advancements,
              OGICALS

                          NEW BIODIRECT               NEW BIODIRECT                             NEW BIODIRECT                             NEW BIODIRECT
                          APPLICATIONS                APPLICATIONS                              APPLICATIONS                              APPLICATIONS

                                                                                                                                                                                                          ROWTH
                                                                                                                                                                        Monsanto marked record

                                                                                                                                                                                                           NEW
                                                                                                                                                                        progress in 2012:

                                                                                                                                                                                                           N
                                                                                                                                                                         Balanced

                                                                                                                                                                                                         GR
   MISTRY BIOLO

                                                                                                                                                                           B l      d progress across
                                                                                                                                                                           crops, phases and
                                                                                                                                                                           platforms indicating strong
                                                                                                                                                                           outlook for continued
                        CHEMISTRY & SEED
                                           1
                                                   CHEMISTRY & SEED
                                                      TREATMENT                   2          CHEMISTRY & SEED
                                                                                                                            2                                              commercial innovation

                                                                                                                                                                                                                 ELINE
                           TREATMENT                                                            TREATMENT
                                                                                                                                                                         Seven new additions to the
CHEM

                                                                                                                                                                                                          R&D PIPE
                                                                                                                                                                           pipeline
                                                                                                                                                                         Three projects come online
                                           Platform Category reflects key research areas within each crop and platform; There may be multiple projects per category        through Monsanto’s
LEGEND:                    PLATFORM
                           CATEGORY   #    Number reflects estimate of current distinct projects within category; If any projects in the category advanced as
                                                                                                                                                                           Ground Breakers program
                                           a part of the 2012 Pipeline Update (as of Jan. 8, 2013) , the category is designated with the arrow symbol

       1. Part of the Monsanto-BASF Yield-and-Stress R&D Collaboration                                                                                                                                   16
Becoming an Innovation Hub:
Monsanto is an Increasing
                        g Focal Point for
Building Technology Combinations in Industry
 INNOVATION HUB                                                BROAD-LICENSING PLATFORM
                                          1,000s of            Broad-licensing of technology

                                                                                                                  M
                                                                                                                  MORE
Recent agreements like                  agreementst &          supports wide availability and more

                                                                                                                   FARMER--CUSTOMERS
                                                                                                                   F
those with DuPont, Dow                cross-licenses for       options for farmers
and Bayer reinforce                      foundation
industry-collaboration                   technology
trend – and Monsanto is

                                                                                                                       INN
well positioned in the

                                                                                                                         NOVATION
center of that trend
                                                                             COMMERCIAL
                                                                             PARTNERSHIPS
                                                                             Agreements like Genuity

      MONSANTO
                                                                             SmartStax work with Dow help
                                                                             build important commercial

      R&D ENGINE
                                                                 ®           platforms

                                                                                                                                N FOR
                                        INNOVATION HUB:
        Most robust and resourced                                             COMMERCIAL
                                        Monsanto well
        pipeline in industry drives                                           LICENSES
        innovation                      positioned at center                  Through licenses, Monsanto
                                        of industry                           makes technology available
                                                                              through more brands
                                                                                                             COMMERCIAL
                                                                                                             NON-COMMERCIAL

                                                                       Programs that make Monsanto-
                                                                       developed technology available for
                                          1,000s of annual
                                                                       public research and public-benefit
                                           agreements for
                                         private and public-           initiatives
                                         sector testing and     PUBLIC-SECTOR SUPPORT
                                                trials

                                                                                                                                  17
Turning Yield Into Growth:
Monsanto s Business Focus for FY2013
Monsanto’s
Growth

    Key take-aways:
        Monsanto is in a g
                          growth mode - With back-to-back y
                                                          years of
         strong performance, our business has momentum

        We’ve taken the business to a global stage - Our growth is more
         global, with more drivers coming from more geographies than
         ever before

        We’re a yield company - We have the best R&D to deliver yield
         and we expect even more differentiation with future waves of
         innovation

                                                                           18
You can also read