What I Learned Since I Stopped Worrying and Studied the Movie: A Teaching Guide to Stanley Kubrick's Dr. Strangelove

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What I Learned Since I Stopped Worrying and
Studied the Movie: A Teaching Guide to Stanley
Kubrick’s Dr. Strangelove
Dan Lindley, University of Notre Dame

Introduction                                        tack may set off a doomsday device that        pabilities and resolve, but also on the
                                                    will kill all life on the surface of earth.2   adversary’s values and emotional state
   John Pike, former director of space                 The doomsday weapon is unrealistic.         (hence, mind). Deterrence rests not only
policy at the Federation of American                However, if one views it as analogous to       on having missiles, bombers, and the
Scientists, once said to me: “Everything            mutually assured destruction (the near         willingness to use them, but also on
there is to know about nuclear strategy             total destruction of the U.S. and Soviet       knowing where to target them so that
can be learned from Dr. Strangelove.”               Union inevitable in a real nuclear war),       the enemy will fear the retaliatory at-
“Everything” is only a mild overstate-              then almost everything that happens in         tack. Deterrence is impossible if the en-
ment. I show Dr. Strangelove annually to            the movie could have actually happened.        emy fears nothing and does not mind
Notre Dame audiences to teach about                 The most important theme of the film is         being dead and destroyed.
nuclear war, and I will continue to do so           that it makes fun of the sad, perverse,
until nuclear weapons and war itself are            and absurd reality that the U.S. and the
no longer problems. The film offers les-             Soviet Union could destroy each other          The Necessity of Communication for
sons about war, politics, and history and           within 30 minutes. Unlikely and improb-        Effective Deterrence
can serve as a teaching aid for classes in          able, yes. Possible, yes.                         Deterrence only works if the threats
introductory international relations, for-             Dr. Strangelove also highlights the         intended to cause fear are communi-
eign policy, defense policy, causes of              range of procedures and strategies in-         cated to the adversary. No threats made,
war, organizational politics, and Cold              volved in maintaining the nuclear stand-       no fear created. This point is made by
War history.1                                       off. Why did the U.S. have bombers con-        Dr. Strangelove when he says: “Yes, but
   In this teaching guide I cover three             stantly in the air, already well on their      the . . . whole point of the doomsday ma-
tasks, all of which highlight concepts and          way to their targets? Why might individ-       chine . . . is lost . . . if you keep it a se-
themes in Dr. Strangelove. First, I use             ual base commanders have had the au-           cret! Why didn’t you tell the world, eh?”
the film as a springboard to discuss de-             thority to use nuclear weapons at their        (56:29).
terrence, mutually assured destruction,             own discretion? Why were our forces on
preemption, the security dilemma, arms              hair-trigger alert? Why might a dooms-
races, relative versus absolute gains con-          day device seem to be a logical step?          The Logic and Illogic of Nuclear
cerns, Cold War misperceptions and                  The single, simple answer to these ques-       Deterrence
paranoia, and civil–military relations (in          tions is the U.S.’s (and Soviet Union’s)
this order). Second, I put these concepts                                                             When mutually assured destruction
                                                    quest to make nuclear deterrence credi-        (MAD) is achieved, it becomes illogical
into their historical contexts to teach             ble. Think about deterrence and the
about Cold War history. Third, I show                                                              to use nuclear weapons, no matter the
                                                    need for credibility as you read this and      scenario. If anyone attacks, all will get
how closely Dr. Strangelove parallels ac-           watch the film.
tual events and policies. I conclude with                                                          clobbered. If one receives a first strike,
                                                       Finally, remember that the U.S. and         there is little or nothing to gain from
the story of how an article by Thomas               Russians can still easily destroy each
Schelling led to the making of the film.                                                            retaliation. Deterrence will have failed
                                                    other and that several other countries         and retaliation risks further strikes and
                                                    have nuclear weapons. The Cold War is          more fallout. Ironically, MAD makes
                                                    over, but nuclear danger is not. When          nuclear weapons so illogical that deter-
Dr. Strangelove, Nuclear                            Stanley Kubrick made Dr. Strangelove in
Strategy, and the Cold War                                                                         rence may actually suffer unless the
                                                    1963, there were 34,000 nuclear weapons        credibility of suicide (or further damage)
  Dr. Strangelove is a black comedy                 on earth. Today, there are 31,500.3 The        can be restored. Two ways of making
about a renegade U.S. Air Force Gen-                doomsday device is alive and well.             retaliation credible involve automating
eral, Jack D. Ripper, who orders his                                                               retaliation and introducing illogic and
B-52 bombers to drop their nuclear                                                                 uncertainty.
weapons on the Soviet Union. This at-               The Definition of Deterrence
                                                                                                      Automation ensures retaliation by tak-
                                                       The eccentric nuclear strategist Dr.        ing humans out of the loop. A dooms-
                                                    Strangelove4 defines deterrence when he         day machine fits the bill. Ruling out “hu-
Dan Lindley is assistant professor in interna-
                                                    says: “Deterrence is the art of producing      man meddling” is crucial because one
tional relations and security studies at the Uni-   in the mind of the enemy . . . the fear to     must make credible the incredible threat
versity of Notre Dame. Lindley worked for sev-      attack” (55:09).5                              of suicide. Dr. Strangelove explains this
eral arms control and research organizations           Because deterrence requires the cre-        logic:
in Washington, D.C. before receiving a Ph.D.        ation of fear, deterrence is arguably
from MIT. Lindley has published and spoken on       more an art than a science. The enemy             President Merkin Muffley: “But, how is
U.N. peacekeeping, internal conflict, the Cyprus                                                       it possible for this thing to be triggered
problem and Greco-Turkish relations, collective
                                                    must fear that the costs of attack will           automatically, and at the same time
security, the U.S. intervention in Panama, the      outweigh the benefits. Whether one can             impossible to untrigger?” (54:42)
role of ideas in international politics, and SDI    produce enough fear to prevent an at-                     Strangelove: Mr. President, it is not
contracting.                                        tack depends not just on one’s own ca-            only possible, it is essential. That is the

                                   PSOnline www.apsanet.org                                                                                  663
whole idea of this machine, you know.             credibility. The idea was for plan R to       visors to President Kennedy wanted to
   Deterrence is the art of producing in the         be a sort of retaliatory safeguard.”          strike Cuba during the Missile Crisis, an
   mind of the enemy . . . the fear to attack.              President Muffley: “A safeguard?”       action which could have easily escalated.
   And so, because of the automated and                     Turgidson: “I admit the human ele-
   irrevocable decision making process which         ment seems to have failed us here. But        Had the U.S. engaged the Soviet Union
   rules out human meddling, the doomsday            the idea was to discourage the Russkies       in nuclear combat, we would have gotten
   machine is terrifying. It’s simple to under-      from any hope that they could knock out       more than our hair mussed. This is one
   stand. And completely credible, and con-          Washington, and yourself, sir, as part of a   reason why it is dangerous to build first-
   vincing.                                          general sneak attack, and escape retalia-     strike weapons (or defenses whose effec-
                                                     tion because of lack of proper command        tiveness is uncertain). They lend cre-
   Although it may not be fair to con-               and control.”
demn the automated-response doomsday                                                               dence to semiplausible theories of
device on the basis of a single slip-up,                                                           victory that may persuade the president
                                                     Ripper’s attack order to his bomber
the film invalidates the wisdom of that                                                             to attack during a crisis.8
                                                  wing exemplifies the main tradeoff with
machine by highlighting its dangers.              devolution of authority: one cannot de-
Would any state cede control of its               volve authority and retain central control
weapons to computers and sensors?6 So             at the same time. Loss of control is ex-         Advocacy for Preemption
the problem remains: how to make the              acerbated by the CRM-114 coded com-                Although many believe that the U.S.
incredible credible. A fallback strategy is       munications device which makes it                would never consider preemption, or
to introduce illogic and uncertainty into         nearly impossible to communicate with            make it an official strategy, the U.S. has
nuclear strategy and nuclear command              and recall the planes while in the air.          never been willing to make a “no-first-
and control. Akin to throwing the steer-          Only Ripper knows the code. Individu-            use” pledge. Scott Sagan notes that one
ing wheel out the car window when en-             ally, devolution and prevention of false         of the U.S. government’s most important
gaged in a game of chicken, delegating            communication seem like good ideas.              early Cold War strategy documents,
to base commanders the authority to               But when combined as part of one plan,           NSC-68, embraces preemption. He ex-
issue strikes decentralizes military con-         they render Ripper’s orders almost irre-         cerpts: the U.S. should strike with its
trol and makes retaliation more likely.           versible.7                                       “full weight . . . if possible before the
   Deterrence is enhanced if nuclear                 Note too the influence of domestic             Soviet blow is actually delivered” (1989,
bombs might explode whenever a situa-             politics (Senator Buford). In the U.S., it       20).
tion becomes precarious. If the enemy             is politically difficult to be seen as “soft        Compare the language of Turgidson
does not know who controls the bombs              on defense.” This makes it easier                with that of General Curtis LeMay, a
and under what circumstances authoriza-           (though not always easy) for military            key Air Force strategist during the early
tion for their use “devolves” to lower            hawks to corner opponents, win debates,          Cold War:
levels of command, perhaps they would             and influence policy.
not initiate combat in the first place.
                                                                                                      Turgidson (34:52): “One, our hopes
This principle was particularly relevant
                                                                                                      for recalling the 843rd bomb wing are
in Cold War-era central Europe, where             The Precariousness of MAD During the                quickly being reduced to a very low
there were thousands of tactical nuclear          Late 1950s and Early 1960s                          order of probability. Two, in less than
weapons (tactical for the U.S., strategic                                                             fifteen minutes from now the Russkies
                                                     Consider the speech in which General
for the Europeans; most of these weap-                                                                will be making radar contact with the
                                                  Turgidson says: “We would therefore                 planes. Three, when the do, they are
ons were larger than the Hiroshima and
                                                  prevail, and suffer only modest and ac-             going to go absolutely ape, and they’re
Nagasaki bombs). How would the Sovi-
                                                  ceptable civilian casualties from their             gonna strike back with everything
ets know who controlled these weapons?                                                                they’ve got. Four, if prior to this time,
                                                  remaining force which would be badly
Would not the Soviets suspect that                                                                    we have done nothing further to sup-
                                                  damaged and uncoordinated” (36:02).
lower-level commanders might gain con-                                                                press their retaliatory capabilities, we
                                                  He continues, defining “modest and ac-               will suffer virtual annihilation. Now,
trol of nuclear weapons and be highly
                                                  ceptable”: “Mr. President, I’m not saying           five, if on the other hand, we were to
motivated to use them if they risked be-
                                                  we wouldn’t get our hair mussed. But I              immediately launch an all out and co-
ing overrun? How could a full-scale nu-
                                                  do say . . . no more than 10 to 20 million          ordinated attack on all their airfields
clear war be stopped if nuclear weapons                                                               and missile bases we’d stand a damn
                                                  killed, tops. Uh . . . depending on the
in Europe started going off? (Remember                                                                good chance of catching them with
                                                  breaks” (36:56).
that many of our nuclear delivery sys-                                                                their pants down. Hell, we got a five to
                                                     If it is possible to imagine fighting a           one missile superiority as it is. We
tems—including tactical bombers, cruise
                                                  nuclear war with acceptable casualties,             could easily assign three missiles to
missiles, and Pershing missiles— could
                                                  then it is possible to imagine victory in a         every target, and still have a very ef-
reach well into Russia, even all the way
                                                  nuclear war. And if victory is possible,            fective reserve force for any other con-
to Moscow.) These uncertainties may                                                                   tingency. Now, six, an unofficial study
                                                  then MAD does not exist and deter-
have been designed to create enough                                                                   which we undertook of this eventuality,
                                                  rence is much weaker. Dr. Strangelove
fear to prevent an attack in the first                                                                 indicated that we would destroy ninety
                                                  would say, there is not enough fear to              percent of their nuclear capabilities.
place.
                                                  attack. While the definition of accept-              We would therefore prevail, and suffer
   This exchange (29:00) explains devolu-
                                                  able may be subjective, the danger is               only modest and acceptable civilian
tion of authority:
                                                  highest when MAD exists, but advisors               casualties from their remaining force
   General “Buck” Turgidson: “Plan R is           and politicians still think victory is possi-       which would be badly damaged and
   an emergency war plan in which a               ble. As Geoffrey Blainey notes, “Most               uncoordinated.”
   lower echelon commander may order              wars were likely to end in the defeat of                             ⴱ ⴱ ⴱ
   nuclear retaliation after a sneak attack       at least one nation which had expected
   if the normal chain of command is dis-                                                                     President Muffley: “General, it is
   rupted. You approved it, sir. You must
                                                  victory” (1988, 144 – 45).                          the avowed policy of our country never to
   remember. Surely you must recall, sir,            In Dr. Strangelove, Turgidson advised            strike first with nuclear weapons.”
   when Senator Buford made that big              striking first in the movie. In an ominous                   LeMay: “If I see that the Russians
   hassle about our deterrent lacking             parallel, several military and civilian ad-         are amassing their planes for an

664                                                                                    PS September 2001
attack . . . I’m going to knock the shit out   security dilemmas and preoccupied by          and shows how they exacerbate relative
   of them before they take off the ground.”      relative gains concerns is just like the      gains concerns. Examples of Jervisian
           Robert Sprague, cochair of the         U.S. or the Soviet Union as depicted in       misperception include: thinking the en-
   Gaither Committee: “But General LeMay,
   that’s not national policy.”                   Dr. Strangelove— especially in these spe-     emy is more evil than it really is; not
           LeMay: “I don’t care, it’s my pol-     cific instances:                               realizing one’s own faults; and not un-
   icy. That’s what I’m going to do” (Kaplan                                                    derstanding how one is perceived by the
                                                    1. Ambassador De Sadeski explains
   1983, 134).                                                                                  other side. Ripper’s fluoridation commie
                                                       why the Soviets built the doomsday
                                                                                                conspiracy (58:45) is the film’s prime
   Not quite the same scenario, and                    device: “There are those of us who
                                                                                                example of exaggeration of evil;10 other
there are times when preemption might                  fought against it, but in the end we
                                                                                                examples include Turgidson’s analysis of
be wise— but the commander in chief is                 could not keep up with the expense
                                                                                                inferior Soviet technological capabilities
supposed to participate in launching a                 involved in the arms race, the space
                                                                                                and his view of Soviet perceptions of the
full-scale nuclear war.                                race, and the peace race. And at
                                                                                                U.S. He is not aware that his own gov-
   Both scenarios illustrate the dangers               the same time our people grumbled
                                                                                                ernment shares some of the blame for
of crises more generally. It is scary to               for more nylons and washing ma-
                                                                                                the Cold War and its security spirals.
think of LeMay’s contemplated actions                  chines. Our doomsday scheme cost
and how likely it would be for the Sovi-               us just a small fraction of what
ets to respond by alerting and preparing               we’d been spending on defense in a       Cold War Paranoia
their airborne/strategic forces in a crisis.9          single year. But the deciding factor
The ratcheting up of military prepara-                 was when we learned that your               Many students (and others) who
tions is even scarier in light of the wide-            country was working along similar        watch Dr. Strangelove today did not live
spread disrespect for civilian authority               lines, and we were afraid of a           through the Cold War and thus may not
by top Air Force generals during the                   doomsday gap” (53:14).                   understand how closely the film reflects
Cuban Missile Crisis (see the proceeding                                                        Cold War-era attitudes and policies. In
                                                    2. General Buck Turgidson says:             its portrayals of Turgidson’s paranoia
section on civil–military relations). The
                                                       “Gee, I wish we had one of them          and the military’s strategies and tactics,
situation would be even graver if there
                                                       doomsday machines” (55:25).              Dr. Strangelove barely exaggerates. The
were any LeMay counterparts on the
Soviet side. Each side might increase its           3. General Buck Turgidson says: “I          American populace was paranoid and
alert levels to protect its forces, but the            mean, we must be . . . increasingly      the U.S. military maintained a hair-trig-
other side would see it as preparation                 on the alert to prevent them from        ger nuclear defense posture for a num-
for war and be increasingly tempted to                 taking over other mineshaft space,       ber of years. Senator Joseph McCarthy
launch a preemptive strike. Incentives                 in order to breed more prodi-            conducted witch-trialesque hearings to
for such first strikes can increase drasti-             giously than we do, thus, knocking       denounce supposedly un-American com-
cally in a crisis, and such situations                 us out in superior numbers when          munist infiltrators in American govern-
worsen when the leadership is not fully                we emerge! Mr. President, we must        ment, in Hollywood, and elsewhere. The
in control of its own state’s crisis-man-              not allow . . . a mineshaft gap!” (95:   House Un-American Activities Commit-
agement strategies, tactics, and assets.               10).                                     tee (HUAC) pursued, denounced, and
                                                                                                ruined the lives of suspected but often-
                                                    Doomsday envy is an extreme but il-         unproved traitors. On the other hand,
The Security Dilemma (and how it drives           lustrative case. Turgidson wants one,         the Soviet Union was more malevolent
arms races)                                       even though having two is redundant           than even its opponents dreamed (killing
                                                  and even having one is illogical. But         its own citizens, degrading its environ-
   The security dilemma exists because            arms races are, in the language of game
what Country A does to improve its se-                                                          ment, conducting a huge biological war-
                                                  theory, mutual defection. They are not a      fare program, etc).
curity usually diminishes the security of         realization of common interest.
Country B. As Country A buys weapons,                                                              Most Americans remember the 1950s
the relative strength of Country B de-                                                          in terms of Pax Americana and white
creases. This security dilemma underlies                                                        picket fences, and they forget that it was
                                                  Relative Gains and Zero-Sum Games             also a time when schoolchildren hid un-
the spiral model of arms races in which
each country builds up its arms strength             Relative gains concerns and the zero-      der their desks as they practiced re-
responding to the adversary’s buildup. A          sum nature of the Cold War hindered           sponding to a nuclear attack.
security dilemma is a zero-sum situation          arms control and other forms of cooper-
in which any nation’s gain is another’s           ation between the U.S. and the Soviets.
                                                  Turgidson epitomizes relative gains con-      Civil–Military Relations
loss (Jervis 2000).
   When nations are deeply suspicious of          cerns. For example, he sees no value in          Civil–military relations are important
each other, the zero-sum nature of their          the transparency provided by Ambassa-         because they determine who controls the
competition is even more pernicious. If           dor De Sadeski’s presence in the war          armed forces and the extent to which
each nation cannot trust the other to             room and always calculates things in a        the armed forces control the country. In
abide by agreements, then no agree-               zero-sum or relative gains perspective.       general, Americans are lucky in that
ments may despiral their arms races or            Any advantage for the Soviets is bad for      they have little to fear from military
tensions. Suspicions and the security di-         us, and vice versa. Even after 90 years in    coups or other rogue military actions.
lemma lead states to become preoccu-              a mineshaft, after billions of people die,    However, Dr. Strangelove’s depiction of
pied with their relative positions versus         it is still us against them.                  poor civil–military relations is analogous
others. When concerns over relative po-                                                         to the Cuban Missile Crisis. Dr. Strange-
sition are high, chances for cooperation                                                        love asks the question: Is the President
                                                  Misperception
again decrease because cooperation by                                                           in control of the U.S.’s nuclear weap-
definition yields positive-sum results.              Dr. Strangelove demonstrates Jervis’s       ons? Generals Turgidson and Ripper do
Thus, a suspicious state facing severe            “Hypotheses on Misperception” (1999)          not respect the President, the President

                                 PSOnline www.apsanet.org                                                                            665
is not in control of Ripper, and Turgid-          dered nuclear forces alerts, which were      face the strategic choice of whether to
son borders on insubordinate. Compare             sweeping and choreographed (DEFCON           exploit the bomber launch by sending in
Ripper’s words to those of an Air Force           3 timed with President Kennedy’s tele-       follow-on forces (see Turgidson quote
General describing politicians during the         vised address to the nation about the        about preemption). With missiles, the
Cuban Missile Crisis (25:55):                     crisis on October 22, and DEFCON 2           war would start much too quickly, while
                                                  on October 24). After the crisis, the        one theme of Red Alert is how hard it is
   Ripper: “Mandrake, do you recall what          President credited these alerts with giv-    to start a nuclear war. Schelling noted
   Clemenceau once said about war?”
           Group Captain (British) Lionel         ing the U.S. “relative freedom of action”    that this theme got a bit lost in the film.
   Mandrake: “No. I don’t think I do sir,         (Sagan 1993, 62– 67).12 This is quite an        According to Schelling, Kubrick
   no.”                                           odd discrepancy with the generals’ ac-       wanted to avoid insulting or attacking
           Ripper: “He said war was too im-       count of the President’s inaction and        the U.S. Air Force. This was problem-
   portant to be left to the Generals. When       lack of strategic thought. Whatever the      atic, as he could not start the war with-
   he said that, 50 years ago, he might have      case, poor civil–military relations are      out a psychopathic officer. Kubrick’s so-
   been right. But today, war is too impor-
   tant to be left to politicians. They have      obvious.                                     lution was to exaggerate his characters,
   neither the time, the training, nor the in-                                                 sometimes to the point of unbelievabil-
   clination for strategic thought.”                                                           ity. Dr. Strangelove is comedically effec-
                                                  The Genesis of the Film                      tive because it alternates between real-
  Air Force Lieutenant General David                                                           ism (such as in its military standard
Burchinal (U.S.A.F. Chief of Staff                   Dr. Strangelove is based on the novel
                                                  Red Alert, by Peter George, a former         operating procedures and terminology)
LeMay’s deputy for operations), speaks                                                         and zaniness. According to Strangelove
about the Cuban Missile Crisis and the            RAF major in military intelligence.
                                                  George conceived the idea to write the       screenwriter Terry Southern, George’s
value of strategic superiority:                                                                Red Alert helped set the stage for dead-
                                                  book in the 1950s when a B-47 roared
   “It [value of superiority] was totally         over a U.S. airbase in the UK, sending a     pan realism in the film:
   missed by the Kennedy administra-              precariously perched coffee cup crashing
   tion . . . They did not understand what                                                        Perhaps the best thing about the book
                                                  to the floor. Someone quipped, “That’s           was the fact that the national security
   had been created and handed to them
    . . . Fortunately, there was enough
                                                  the way World War III will start,” and          regulations in England, concerning
   panic in Washington when they saw              George was off to write Red Alert.              what could and could not be pub-
   those missiles going in . . . they gave           In 1958 someone handed Red Alert to          lished, were extremely lax by American
   only the broadest indication of what           Thomas Schelling during an airplane             standards. George had been able to
   they wanted in terms of support for            flight.13 The novel provided the first            reveal details concerning the “fail-safe”
   the President. So we were able at the                                                          aspect of nuclear deterrence (for ex-
                                                  public detailed scenario of how nuclear         ample, the so-called black box and the
   military level, from the JCS on down
   (without involving the politicians) to put
                                                  war might start, and Schelling was so           CRIM [sic] Discriminator)—revela-
   SAC on a one-third airborne alert, to          impressed that he purchased and gave            tions that, in the spy-crazy U.S.A. of
   disperse part of the force to civilian         away around four dozen copies. Over             the Cold War era, would have been
   airfields [and take other alert measur-         lunch with a magazine editor, Schelling         downright treasonous. Thus the entire
   es] . . . These were things that would be      discussed writing an article on accidental      complicated technology of nuclear de-
   visible to the Soviets . . . We could                                                          terrence in Dr. Strangelove was based
                                                  nuclear war. The editor suggested com-          on a bedrock of authenticity that gave
   have written our own book at the time,
   but our politicians did not understand
                                                  mencing the article with a review of the        the film what must have been its great-
   what happens when you have such a              literature on WWIII. Schelling wrote the        est strength: credibility.16
   degree of superiority as we had, or they       article and reviewed Red Alert, On the
   simply didn’t know how to use it. They         Beach, and Alas Babylon.14 Although the         George was concerned that the film
   were busily engaged in saving face for         magazine rejected the article, the Bulle-    would damage his reputation in Amer-
   the Soviets and making concessions,            tin of the Atomic Scientists soon pub-       ica, particularly among his friends.17
   giving up the IRBMs, the Thors and
   Jupiters deployed overseas — when all
                                                  lished it,15 and London’s Observer news-     Schelling wrote to reassure him, saying
   we had to do was write our own tick-           paper reprinted it. Stanley Kubrick          that he liked the film and would wel-
   et.” (Emphasis added.)                         happened to read both the newspaper          come George as a friend were he to visit
             A few moments later in this inter-   story and the Bulletin article, which        the U.S. Schelling wrote again to say his
   view, U.S.A.F. General Leon Johnson            prompted him to contact the publishers       family would visiting London, but
   (Chairman, Net Evaluation Subcommittee,        of Red Alert in order to get in touch with   George’s wife wrote back that George
   National Security Council) said about the
   political leadership: “They were very good
                                                  George. Kubrick, Schelling, and George       had committed suicide.
   at putting out brave words, but they didn’t    then met to discuss how to make the             Peter George killed himself in June of
   do a bloody thing to back them up except       movie.                                       1966, perhaps in part because he suf-
   what, inadvertently, we did.                      When George wrote Red Alert, inter-       fered “fear and pain about the threat of
             To which LeMay confirmed: “That       continental nuclear missiles did not af-     nuclear war.”18 His fears about delega-
   was the mood prevalent with the top civil-     fect the world’s strategic balance of nu-    tion of authority, advocacy for preemp-
   ian leadership; you are quite correct”
   (Kohn and Harahan 1988, 113–14, 119).11
                                                  clear power. However, by the time            tion, and other issues were justified.
                                                  Kubrick convened the meeting to discuss      Though Dr. Strangelove makes us laugh
   Obviously, Burchinal, LeMay, and               the movie, both ground- and submarine-       at these issues, the threat of nuclear war
Johnson had no respect for the Kennedy            launched missiles were gaining promi-        persists to this day. After much scholar-
administration’s “inclination for strategic       nence over bombs dropped from air-           ship and history, the dangers of nuclear
thought.” These generals imply that they          planes. Kubrick, Schelling, and George       war and crises are more easily seen in
gladly ordered alert actions perhaps ear-         tried to figure out how to start the war      the year 2001. In the late 1950s and
lier and probably over and above those            and play out the crisis with missiles.       early 1960s, Peter George and Stanley
specified by the political leadership.             They could not. Only bombers provided        Kubrick were pioneers in helping make
   In fact, President Kennedy and Secre-          enough time to make all the War Room         us aware of these dangers. We should be
tary of Defense Robert McNamara or-               scenes possible. The President needed to     grateful.

666                                                                                PS September 2001
Notes

   1. Dr. Strangelove or: How I Learned to Stop Wor-       newspaper saying that Kahn was never the model.           chive chronology of the Cuban Missile Crisis, for
rying and Love the Bomb, screenplay by Stanley Ku-         Interview, September 8, 2000. One of Kissinger’s          October 22, 1962–2:14P.M. at: ⬍www.gwu.edu/
brick, Peter George, and Terry Southern. Produced          main arguments in Nuclear Weapons and Foreign             ⬃nsarchiv/nsa/cuba_mis_cri/cmcchron3.html⬎ .
and directed by Stanley Kubrick. Based on the book         Policy is that limited nuclear war can be waged and          10. Many in the U.S. did in fact fear that fluorida-
by Peter Bryant (a pseudonym for Peter George),            is something for which we should prepare (New             tion was a communist conspiracy. The only part of
Red Alert (New York: Ace Books, 1958). The Brit-           York: Harper Brothers for Council on Foreign Re-          Ripper’s speech that probably could not be cobbled
ish title for Red Alert was Two Hours to Doom. The         lations, 1957). Owen Cote, former research assistant      together from the New York Times is the bodily flu-
book based on the screenplay is: Peter George, Dr.         and driver for Herman Kahn, said that the real role       ids reference.
Strangelove or: How I Learned to Stop Worrying and         model for Strangelove was a combination of Kahn,             11. JCS is Joint Chiefs of Staff of the U.S. mili-
Love the Bomb (New York: Bantam Books, 1963.               Kissinger, and Werner Von Braun, the rocket scien-        tary. SAC is Strategic Air Command. IRBMs are
Published January, 1964). The film was scheduled            tist. Interview, September 15, 2000. This composite       Intermediate Range Ballistic Missiles, including
for release on December 12, 1963, but was not              Strangelove seems most plausible.                         Thors and Jupiters.
shown until January 1964 due to President                     5. All times given are DVD time, i.e., the time           12. DEFCON is short for Defense Condition, and
Kennedy’s assassination in November 1963. Ed.              indicated on a DVD player as the movie plays, using       describes the alert levels for U.S. forces. Sagan de-
note: when talking about Dr. Strangelove, the film,         the Stanley Kubrick Collection from Columbia Pic-         scribes the DEFCONs in detail on p. 64 and offers
the title is italicized. The character Dr. Strangelove     tures, 1997. At 2:45 DVD time, the U.S.A.F. dis-          additional scary tales on civil–military relations (and
is not italicized. A longer version of this guide is       claimer starts scrolling up on the screen (the new        a host of other accidents and “unintentional” poli-
available via: ⬍www.nd.edu/⬃dlindley/⬎.                    Special Edition, issued in 2001, scrolls the disclaimer   cies) during the Cuban Missile Crisis, as do Allison
   2. An extensive discussion of doomsday machines         at 0:00 DVD time). All quotes from the movie were         and Zelikow in Essence of Decision.
(excerpted almost verbatim in Dr. Strangelove) is          taken from or verified using the continuity scripts at        13. Except where noted, this section is based on a
found in Herman Kahn, On Thermonuclear War, 2              ⬍http://mach.me.queensu.ca/⬃bakhtiar/kubrick/⬎,           telephone interview with Thomas Schelling, Septem-
ed., (Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press,           and at ⬍http://flo.mech.eng.usyd.edu.au/⬃norris/           ber 10, 2000. The Special Edition DVD says that it
1961): 144 –53.                                            docs/strangelove.html⬎. An early version of the           was Alastair Buchan, British strategist, who gave
   3. Of the 31,535 nuclear weapons existent in the        script is available at: ⬍www.lontano.org/FMA/arkiv/       Red Alert to Kubrick (and that Kubrick had become
year 2000, 10,500 belonged to the U.S., 20,000 to          strangelove_production.html⬎.                             obsessed with nuclear war, reading some 50 books
Russia, 185 to the United Kingdom, 450 to France,             6. A theme of Kubrick’s, machines murder again         on the subject). See liner notes and extra: “Inside
and 400 to China. Several hundred additional weap-         in his 2001: A Space Odyssey when the HAL 9000            the Making of Dr. Strangelove.” See also Brian
ons were in the arsenals of Israel, Pakistan, and In-      computer kills most of the crew of the Jupiter mis-       Siano, “A Commentary on Dr. Strangelove,”
dia. U.S. weapons are in the active, inactive, reserve,    sion. See Jerome Agel, ed., The Making of Kubrick’s       ⬍www.visual-memory.co.uk/amk/doc/0017.html⬎.
and hedge categories. Russian weapons are assumed          2001 (New York: Signet Books, 1970).                         14. The latter two books are by Nevil Shute (New
to be 50% active and 50% retired/reserve. See                 7. The dangers of unplanned interactions of sub-       York: William Morrow, 1957) and Pat Frank (Phila-
“Global Nuclear Stockpiles,” Bulletin of the Atomic        units or subroutines in complex systems are explored      delphia and New York: J.B. Lippincott, 1959), re-
Scientists 56 (March/April 2000). A table in this arti-    at length in Sagan, 1993.                                 spectively.
cle shows the yearly nuclear stockpiles of the first           8. Classics on the Cuban Missile Crisis include:          15. The Bulletin article was “Meteors, Mischief,
five nuclear states from 1945–2000. It depicts the          Graham Allison and Philip Zelikow, Essence of De-         and War,” 16: 7 (September 1960).
incredible “vigor” of the early atomic arms race.          cision : Explaining the Cuban Missile Crisis, 2 ed.          16. ⬍www.terrysouthern.com/texts/
The active portion of the U.S. arsenal in the year         (New York: Addison-Wesley, 1999); Laurence                t_strange.htm⬎.
2000 included 2,000 Intercontinental Ballistic Mis-        Chang and Peter Kornbluh, The Cuban Missile Cri-             17. Indeed, Dr. Strangelove was widely criticized
siles (ICBMs), 3,456 Submarine Launched Ballistic          sis, 1962, A National Security Archive Reader (New        when it was released as giving moral support to the
Missiles (SLBMs), 1,750 bomber-delivered/launched          York: The Free Press, 1998); Robert F. Kennedy,           Soviets. According to Kubrick: “When Dr. Strange-
missiles and bombs, and 1,670 nonstrategic missiles        Thirteen Days: A Memoir of the Cuban Missile Crisis       love came out, a New York paper ran a review un-
and bombs. “U.S. Nuclear Forces 2000,” Bulletin of         (New York: W.W. Norton, 1969); Ernest R. May              der the head MOSCOW COULD NOT BUY
the Atomic Scientists 56 (May/June 2000).                  and Philip D. Zelikow, eds., The Kennedy Tapes: In-       MORE HARM TO AMERICA.” Interview by Tim
   4. There is considerable debate about who was           side the White House During the Cuban Missile Crisis      Cahill in Rolling Stone magazine, 1987, ⬍http://
the role model for Dr. Strangelove. At some points,        (Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press, 1997);          reynolds.me.queensu.ca/⬃bakhtiar/kubrick/
Dr. Strangelove seems closely modeled after Her-           and Sagan, Limits of Safety.                              stone.html⬎. According to Terry Southern: “Colum-
man Kahn, an early prominent nuclear strategist.              9. Sagan argues against the traditional view that      bia was embarrassed by the picture and tried to get
Dr. Strangelove parrots Kahn’s work and worked for         the Soviets did not alert their nuclear forces during     people to see Carl Foreman’s The Victors instead.
the Bland Corporation, while Kahn worked for the           the Cuban Missile Crisis. He acknowledges that the        They would steer ticket buyers away from Strange-
Rand Corporation. Thomas Schelling argues that             evidence either way remains scanty, but says that         love and try to get them to see The Victors. At the
Henry Kissinger may have been the real model for           interviews and declassified U.S. documents suggest         time we thought we were going to be totally wiped
Dr. Strangelove. He notes that no one who knew             that Soviet forces were on partial, if not higher, lev-   out. People would call up the box office and be told
Kahn would think of him as the Doctor. Kahn was            els of alert. Sagan, Limits of Safety: 142– 45. The So-   there were no seats for Strangelove and asked if they
“a great, big, ebullient, roly-poly guy with a great big   viets alerted Warsaw Pact Forces. NATO forces, in         would like to see The Victors instead. Gradually, the
sense of humor . . . who loved New York delis” and         contrast, were purposely not put on very high alert       buzz along the rialto built word of mouth in our fa-
who wanted people to think about how to stop a             (DEFCON 3) due to allied pressure, presidential           vor.” ⬍www.altx.com/interviews/terry.southern.html⬎.
nuclear war in midcourse. Even more convincingly,          directive, and fears of the SACEUR, Lauris Nors-             18. Brian Aldiss, “Kubrick—The Writer,” Guard-
Schelling said that Peter George wrote to a London         tad, about escalation. See the National Security Ar-      ian Unlimited, 14 March 1999.

References

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