Racial Economic Inequality Amid the COVID-19 Crisis - Bradley L. Hardy and Trevon D. Logan

 
CONTINUE READING
Racial Economic Inequality Amid the COVID-19 Crisis - Bradley L. Hardy and Trevon D. Logan
ESSAY 2020-17 | AUGUST 2020

Racial Economic Inequality Amid the COVID-19 Crisis

               Bradley L. Hardy and Trevon D. Logan

                                      i
                       The Hamilton Project • Brookings
MISSION STATEMENT

The Hamilton Project seeks to advance America’s promise of
opportunity, prosperity, and growth. The Project’s economic
strategy reflects a judgment that long-term prosperity is best
achieved by fostering economic growth and broad participation
in that growth, by enhancing individual economic security,
and by embracing a role for effective government in making
needed public investments. We believe that today’s increasingly
competitive global economy requires public policy ideas
commensurate with the challenges of the 21st century. Our
strategy calls for combining increased public investments in key
growth-enhancing areas, a secure social safety net, and fiscal
discipline. In that framework, the Project puts forward innovative
proposals from leading economic thinkers — based on credible
evidence and experience, not ideology or doctrine — to introduce
new and effective policy options into the national debate.

The Project is named after Alexander Hamilton, the nation’s
first treasury secretary, who laid the foundation for the modern
American economy. Consistent with the guiding principles of
the Project, Hamilton stood for sound fiscal policy, believed
that broad-based opportunity for advancement would drive
American economic growth, and recognized that “prudent
aids   and   encouragements    on    the   part    of   government”
are    necessary   to   enhance     and    guide   market    forces.

                                                                         ii
                                                          The Hamilton Project • Brookings
Racial Economic Inequality Amid the COVID-19 Crisis

                                            Bradley L. Hardy
                                              American University

                                            Trevon D. Logan
                                            The Ohio State University

                                               AUGUST 2020

  This policy essay is an essay from the author(s). As emphasized in The Hamilton Project’s original strategy
  paper, the Project was designed in part to provide a forum for leading thinkers across the nation to put
  forward innovative and potentially important economic policy ideas that share the Project’s broad goals of
  promoting economic growth, broad-based participation in growth, and economic security. The author(s)
  are invited to express their own ideas in policy papers, whether or not the Project’s staff or advisory
  council agrees with the specific proposals. This policy paper is offered in that spirit. The author(s) did not
  receive financial support from any firm or person with a financial or political interest in this article. They
  are currently not an officer, director, or board member of any organization with an interest in this article.
these gaps have widened over the second half of the 20th
Introduction                                                           century.

COVID-19 confronts Americans with two crises: a public                 Growth in the Black–white wage gap has accelerated in recent
health crisis and an economic crisis. The two operate together,        years, as evidenced by a more than 20 percent increase in the
since the public health crisis has dramatically reduced                Black–white wage gap between 2000 and 2020 (Gould 2020;
economic activity and overall spending. Moreover, this crisis          Wilson 2020). Wage earnings are the largest subcomponent of
has broader distributional consequences than any economic              income, which represents the total ongoing flow of resources
event in recent memory, altering most aspects of how we live,          available to households independent of wealth, and in many
work, and conduct business—and in truth, who will survive.             instances contribute to wealth accumulation.

Across the economy and society, the distributional                     This wage gap in part reflects persistent racial differences in
consequences of COVID-19 are uneven: the pandemic                      labor market outcomes. Black workers are more likely to work
and its broader economic and health consequences are                   within the low-wage labor market (Chandra 2000; Gould and
disproportionately impacting Black Americans.                          Wilson 2020; Hardy, Smeeding, and Ziliak 2018). In addition
                                                                       to lower average earnings, Black workers face work hours that
The outsized challenges that Black Americans are facing are a          are less predictable, along with harder-to-predict schedules
reflection of the generally diminished economic position and           (Schneider and Harknett 2019), and relatively unstable
health status that they faced prior to this crisis. Several pre–       employment overall (Ziliak, Hardy, and Bollinger 2011).
COVID-19 economic conditions—including lower levels of                 Black workers also disproportionately reside in states where
income and wealth, higher unemployment, and greater levels             the relatively low federal minimum wage is binding (Wilson
of food and housing insecurity—leave Black families with               2019).
fewer buffers to absorb economic shocks and contribute to
Black households’ vulnerability to the COVID-19 economic               Moreover, Black workers have higher income volatility,
crisis.                                                                driven in large part by higher joblessness and employment
                                                                       exits historically (Casey and Hardy 2018; Ziliak, Hardy, and
The interaction of those pre–COVID-19 economic and health              Bollinger 2011). These racial earnings and employment gaps
disparities—including a higher rate of preexisting health              are strongly driven by labor market discrimination (e.g.,
conditions such as hypertension and lung disease—has                   Bertrand and Mullanaithan 2004; Holzer, Raphael, and
contributed to higher COVID-19 mortality rates for Black               Stoll 2006). Skills do not appear to close these gaps, either;
Americans (e.g. Benitez, Courtemanche, and Yelowitz 2020;              Black Americans receive lower, albeit positive, returns to
Weimers et al. 2020). According to the APM Research Lab,               post-secondary education relative to other groups (Bartik
Black Americans continue to experience the highest overall             and Hershbein 2018). Rather, these racial earnings and
actual COVID-19 mortality rates (80.4 per 100,000)—more                employment gaps are strongly driven by labor market
than twice the rate of white Americans (35.9 per 100,000)              discrimination (e.g. Bertrand and Mullanaithan 2004; Holzer,
or Asian Americans (33.1 per 100,000), who have the lowest             Raphael, and Stoll 2006).
COVID-19 mortality rates. In 2020 more Black Americans
will die of COVID-19 than will succumb to diabetes, strokes,           As a result of those racial differences, the typical Black
accidents, or pneumonia. In fact, COVID-19 is currently                worker and family have lower earnings with which to absorb
the third leading cause of death for Black Americans (APM              a large-scale economic shock such as the one brought on by
Research Lab 2020).                                                    COVID-19.

                                                                       Black families, relative to other families, also generally lack
                                                                       the savings and wealth that provide a buffer in the event of
Lower Wealth, Lower Income,                                            job loss or unanticipated expense volatility—for example,
and Weaker Labor Market                                                to handle emergency medical expenses or transportation
                                                                       expenses (Darity and Mullen 2020; Emmons, Kent, and
Outcomes                                                               Ricketts 2018; Pfeffer and Killewald 2017). Recent research
                                                                       has shown that, even at the same income level as white
Median net worth of white families is 10 times higher                  households, Black households have more-severe and more-
than that of Black families (McIntosh et al. 2020). Such               prolonged consumption declines for the same income
racial wealth gaps are well-documented and attributable                shock (Ganong et al. 2020); this shows the vulnerability of
to historical discrimination and exclusion from education,             Black households relative to other households in the face of
housing, capital, and loanable funds markets. Importantly,             economic disturbances (Board of Governors of the Federal
                                                                       Reserve System 2020). The consensus explanation for this

                                                                   2
                                                    The Hamilton Project • Brookings
FIGURE 1.

Median Family Income and Net Worth in 2018, by Race
                            180

                            160

                            140
Thousands of 2018 dollars

                            120

                            100

                             80

                             60
                                  Income
                             40
                                              Net worth
                             20

                              0
                                         Black                                                     White                                                 All households

Source: Current Population Survey Annual Social and Economic Supplement (ASEC) 2019; Survey of Consumer Finances (SCF) 2016; authors’ calculations.
Note: Income data are from the 2019 ASEC, which measures income in 2018. Net worth data are from the 2016 SCF, adjusted for inflation to 2018 dollars.

greater intensity of economic shocks is the relative lack of                                       lower rates of income mobility than white Americans. Finally,
wealth among Black households (Ganong et al. 2020; Maxwell                                         Black Americans generally received inferior public goods,
and Solomon 2020).                                                                                 limited investment in human capital, and insufficient legal
                                                                                                   protection.
Figure 1 shows Black–white income and wealth gaps in
2018. In the most recently available data, the median Black                                        We call attention to the case of homeownership. Among
household’s income is approximately $40,000, relative to the                                       all racial groups, Black Americans are the least likely to
median white household’s income of approximately $70,000.                                          be homeowners, and Black homeownership lags white
Median Black net worth is less than $20,000, which is roughly                                      homeownership considerably even after controlling for
10 percent of white median net worth. Taken together, the                                          education, age, and geographic location (Choi et al. 2019). In
package of economic resources available to Black families                                          fact, Black homeownership today is at a lower level than it was
is far weaker and less capable of buffering against economic                                       30 years ago (Olsen 2018).
insecurity.
                                                                                                   For the Black Americans that do own homes, research has
There are several historical factors behind the large and                                          shown that Black households pay significantly more in
growing racial wealth gap. First, large wealth transfers in                                        property taxes than other groups, on average more than 10
American history deliberately excluded Black Americans.                                            percent higher (Van Dam 2020; Wiltz 2020). This is due to
These include the Homestead Act, Southern Homestead                                                the fact that although properties owned by Black Americans
Act, GI Bill, Veterans Benefits, and other wealth transfers.                                       are generally less valuable than properties owned by others,
Second, Black Americans faced intense discrimination in                                            the assessors systematically overstate the value of Black
labor and credit markets, which not only blocked their access                                      homes. And as Figure 2 shows, more Black households spend
to wealth, but also diminished the value of assets they were                                       a greater share of their income on housing than do white
able to secure, such as housing. Third, Black Americans                                            households or the average household. This results in a higher
were subject to wealth capture. There have been numerous                                           cost of homeownership for Black households.
instances wherein Black wealth was stolen, expropriated, and
pillaged in racial attacks (Francis 2020); in addition, political
intimidation left Black Americans prone to underinvest, given
the strong disincentives imposed by a government apparatus
                                                                                                   Convergence of the Economic and
historically permissive of, if not outright promoting, racial                                      Public Health Crisis
injustice and violence against Black Americans (e.g., Acharya,
Blackwell, and Sen 2018; Darity and Mullen 2020). Fourth,                                          The current context must be highlighted, since the already
housing policy deliberately limited the scope and scale of                                         weaker economic position of Black workers is further
Black homeownership, the single greatest source of wealth.                                         worsened by the unprecedented economic shock along with
Fifth, Black Americans, historically and today, have much                                          a higher likelihood of Black Americans doing frontline,
                                                                                               3
                                                                            The Hamilton Project • Brookings
FIGURE 2.

Share of Housing Cost Burdened Households in 2017, by Race
                      50   Cost burdened

                      45

                      40
Share of households

                      35
                      30                  Severely cost
                                           burdened
                      25
                      20
                      15
                      10
                       5

                       0
                                       Black                                                        White                                    All households
Source: American Housing Survey 2017; authors’ calculations.
Note: “Cost burdened” is defined as households whose housing costs represent at least 30 percent of the household’s income. “Severely cost
burdened” is defined as households whose housing costs represent at least 50 percent of the household’s income.

essential work during the pandemic. Work in the low-wage                                            58 percent of Black households do (Pew Research Center
employment sectors of America includes grocery store, retail,                                       2013). This increases the scope for exposure to COVID-19
food services, and health-related fields. This is a particularly                                    in living quarters for Black households. For nearly all of
difficult convergence of circumstances: Black workers face a                                        the health conditions that increase the likelihood of serious
higher likelihood of exposure to COVID-19, and have fewer                                           COVID-19 complications, Black Americans have higher rates
economic resources to potentially avoid the health risks                                            of prevelance (Centers for Disease Control and Prevention
associated with on-site employment where they are in direct                                         [CDC] 2020). For example, Black Americans are more likely
contact with customers and coworkers (Gould and Wilson                                              to have cancer (Simon 2019), to be obese, to have diabetes,
2020).                                                                                              and to have kidney disease relative to white Americans
                                                                                                    (National Institute of Diabetes and Digestive and Kidney
Figure 3 shows the Black–white gap in employment in essential                                       Diseases 2014). Black Americans also have higher rates of
work. While there are more white workers doing essential                                            lung disease than do white Americans (Kochanek et al. 2019),
work, Black and Hispanic workers are disproportionately                                             which is particularly pertinent for a respiratory illness such
likely to be essential workers.                                                                     as COVID-19. Death rates among Black Americans due to
In particular, Black Americans are more than twice as                                               diabetes, heart disease, kidney disease, and obesity are all
likely as the average worker to be employed in the health-                                          higher than among white Americans (CDC 2018).
care support service industry, which has been decimated by
COVID-19 in assisted living facilities and nursing homes.
Black Americans are also significantly overrepresented in the                                       How Changes in the Safety Net
personal care and service and food preparation industries,
which are disproportionately essential worker industries.                                           and State Economic Relief Would
Black Americans also comprise more than a quarter of the
meatpacking industry’s frontline workforce, which has
                                                                                                    Affect Black Households
seen several outbreaks of COVID-19. And, among those
                                                                                                    The reduced demand and reduced economic activity related
out of the labor force, the outbreak of the virus among the
                                                                                                    to COVID-19 ushered in large economic relief packages.
incarcerated has a disproportionate racial impact as well,
                                                                                                    These have had positive impacts, likely reducing poverty
given the overrepresentation of Black Americans in the prison
                                                                                                    and improving economic well-being as a result; nonetheless,
population (Cox 2015).
                                                                                                    poverty will likely rise beyond levels observed during the
In addition to this, Black Americans on average share their                                         Great Recession as the economic crisis continues without
living quarters with more people—while only 48 percent of                                           additional significant policy intervention (Parolin and
white households have three or more members, more than                                              Wimer 2020). For Black households affected by a pandemic-

                                                                                                4
                                                                             The Hamilton Project • Brookings
FIGURE 3.

Essential Workers in 2020, by Race
                 70

                 60

                 50
Share of group

                 40

                 30
                       Essential
                 20    workers
                                      Other
                                     workers
                 10

                  0
                                 Black                                       White                                       Hispanic                 Other
Source: Nunn, O’Donnell, and Shambaugh 2020.
Note: Data are from the Current Population Survey for April 2020. Please see the appendix table in Nunn, O’Donnell, and Shambaugh (2020) for a
detailed list of essential occupations.

related job loss, the policies proposed in the recent HEROES                                         Americans (Pitts 2011). Such aid would also support state
act would cut poverty rates by an estimated 50 percent                                               government safety-net programs as well as state government–
(Giannarelli et al. 2020).                                                                           funded nonprofits that provide food and housing assistance.
                                                                                                     In addition to providing aid to state residents facing
Given that Black Americans are overrepresented among the                                             financial hardship, supporting nonprofits would help buoy
poor and near-poor (Heggeness and Hokayem 2014), they                                                employment. Nonprofits represent 12 percent of the American
are more economically vulnerable during an economic crisis.                                          workforce. Collectively, aid packages that retain government
This means that policy uncertainty surrounding the provision                                         and nonprofit employment likely support the employment of
and extension of federal aid via transfer programs and                                               many Black families.
social safety-net benefits—including federal unemployment
compensation and food assistance—disproportionately
affects Black households.
                                                                                                     Consequences of COVID-19 for
Federal enhancements to safety-net programs administered
by state and local governments could yield substantial benefits                                      Black Households
for many Black Americans, supplementing lower incomes
and the relatively lower benefits that many Black Americans                                          The unprecedented public health and economic shock of
receive. Prior to COVID-19, evidence pointed toward stark                                            COVID-19—and the additional burden placed on family
differences in the level of unemployment insurance benefits,                                         economic resources and health—will potentially worsen the
cash assistance, employment security, and minimum wages                                              already diminished long-run outcomes expected for Black
by state—with the implication that many Black Americans                                              households. Even prior to COVID-19, long-run outcomes
were likely to receive relatively lower benefit levels due in                                        were worsened by inequality in access to strong safety nets,
part to residing in less-generous states (Bitler and Hoynes                                          along with low wealth, low and unstable incomes, and
2016; Edwards 2020; Floyd 2020; Hardy, Samudra, and Davis                                            residency in high-poverty, segregated neighborhoods (e.g.,
2019; Parolin 2019; Wilson 2019). Separately, evidence also                                          Morrissey and Vinopal 2018).
suggests that Black Americans face discrimination in the
                                                                                                     In the current crisis, what is emerging is a very plausible link
welfare system (e.g., Fording et al. 2007). Accordingly, federal
                                                                                                     between COVID-19 and race, with economic status as an
economic relief can help to mitigate these pre-COVID gaps in
                                                                                                     important—though incomplete—mechanism. New research
safety-net generosity.
                                                                                                     shows that a 10-percentage-point increase in the number
Federal aid to state governments would boost the aggregate                                           of Black residents within a zip code is linked to 9.2 more
economy, in part by helping to maintain public-sector                                                COVID-19 cases per 10,000 residents. Although a meaningful
employment—the largest labor market sector for Black                                                 share of this neighborhood-level disparity in COVID-19
                                                                                                     cases can be explained by income mobility and incarceration
                                                                                                 5
                                                                             The Hamilton Project • Brookings
rate differences, much of the disparity remains unexplained                                       one in five renters could face eviction by the end of September
(Benitez, Courtemanche, and Yelowitz 2020).                                                       (McKay, Neumann, and Gilman 2020). Throughout July
                                                                                                  and August, evictions were already underway in many U.S.
Meanwhile, a relatively larger proportion of Black households,                                    cities (Wiltz 2020). Much of this economic insecurity existed
and the dependent children within these households, face food                                     pre–COVID-19, and housing represents a primary form of
insecurity (U.S. Department of Agriculture [USDA] 2018)                                           financial distress (Ellen et al. 2020). Such forms of economic
and housing instability (Greene and McCargo 2020). Figure                                         hardship have consequences for two generations as well,
4 shows measures of food insecurity among all households                                          given that food insecurity (Alaimo et al. 2001) and housing
and households with children from April to July 2020, and                                         instability (Brennan, Reed, and Sturtevant 2014; Hardy and
very low food security among children from June and July                                          Marcotte 2020) are both negatively associated with children’s
2020. Food hardship is elevated over the past few months, as                                      educational performance and achievement.
a result of job loss as well as the loss of subsidized school meal
programs through the K–12 educational system. The increase                                        STRESSES FOR BLACK FAMILIES WITH CHILDREN
in food insecurity has occurred even though pandemic food                                         Access to affordable and high-quality child care represents
assistance benefits have reduced these hardships substantially                                    another challenge disproportionately affecting Black
(Bauer et al. 2020).                                                                              families. Child care promotes learning and socioemotional
In the current economic environment, housing insecurity                                           development during a child’s earliest years, and it facilitates
looms as a constant risk due to the potential for evictions                                       parental labor force participation (Morrissey and Warner
and foreclosures. Between July 16 and 21, 2020, 12.5 percent                                      2007). In the absence of access to high-quality child care,
of Americans were experiencing housing distress—meaning                                           many workers must make difficult choices about whether and
they were late on their rent or mortgage payments or their                                        how they can ensure the safety and healthy development of
payments were deferred (Ricketts 2020). Housing distress                                          their children during work hours. Child care was relatively
among Black renter families is more acute, at 30 percent of                                       less affordable for Black families prior to the pandemic, and
Black renters compared to 15 percent of white renters. As                                         they will now face additional supply constraints, given that
such, expiring eviction bans and loan forgiveness agreements                                      many child-care centers have been closed in the interest
could exert additional pressure on many Black families.                                           of public health. Owing to the convergence of economic
                                                                                                  and public health considerations, this has adverse labor
Importantly, Black Americans are twice as likely to rent their                                    market consequences for Black families, since they make
home as compared with their white counterparts (Brenson,                                          up a disproportionate share of the workers in the child-care
Fulton, and Overton 2020). And, in the absence of continued                                       sector—one that has lost a quarter of its jobs since the outset
federal aid or an accelerated economic rebound, as many as                                        of the pandemic. Many essential workers without child-care

FIGURE 4.

Food Insecurity Rates during COVID-19, by Race
                       45

                       40

                       35
                                                                                       Food insecurity
Share of respondents

                       30                                                            (among households
                                                                                        with children)
                       25
                                                               Food insecurity (all)
                       20
                                                                                                            Very low
                       15
                                                                                                          food security
                       10                                                                               (among children)

                        5

                        0
                                      Black                                                    White                                All respondents

Source: Census Household Pulse Survey 2020; Schanzenbach and Tomeh 2020; authors’ calculations.

                                                                                           6
                                                                        The Hamilton Project • Brookings
alternatives will choose between a set of bad choices: return to        amount of stress related to COVID-19 on Black households
work with unstable or unsafe care options for their children,           will continue to take a toll. Indeed, social scientists have
or forgo work altogether (Sethi, Johnson-Staub, and Robbins             previously documented that exposure to toxic levels of stress
2020).                                                                  within a child’s family and neighborhood environment could
                                                                        translate to longer-term developmental consequences (Evans
Disconnectedness from in-person education represents                    and Wachs 2010; Ganzel and Morris 2011; Hardy, Hill, and
yet another mechanism that could disproportionately hurt                Romich 2019; Shonkoff et al. 2012).
socioeconomic outcomes of Black Americans in the long run.
The potential racial and economic inequality emerging from
the shift to online education, and the differential responses
that affluent and white families are disproportionately able            Conclusion
to make in response (e.g., at-home tutors and other supports),
could exacerbate educational achievement gaps (Bueno 2020).             America’s economic situation has substantially deteriorated
As the pandemic exacerbates many forms of inequality,                   since the onset of the COVID-19 crisis. Gross domestic
including educational inequality, there are documented                  product fell at an annualized rate of 32.9 percent from April to
economic gaps in online educational engagement and                      the end of June 2020, the largest decline on record (Bureau of
participation (Opportunity Insights 2020). Such challenges              Economic Analysis 2020). Families across race and ethnicity
will also shape the experiences of Black Americans who                  are feeling the pain, but Black Americans are generally in an
pursue postsecondary credentials and degrees.                           even weaker position to absorb this economic adversity. Black
                                                                        families face a range of economic risks without the buffer
To the degree that educational activities are disrupted, it             from stable employment, adequate earnings, or sufficient
may be more difficult for many Black students to restart                savings and wealth accumulation.
along planned educational pathways. This is especially true
given that Black students’ families typically face harsher              Amid substantial economic and policy uncertainty, there
economic conditions relative to their white counterparts.               is the potential for this crisis to have negative, long-term
Lowered educational achievement and attainment could have               economic and educational consequences. COVID-19 has
substantial long-term negative consequences. Initial survey             exposed and further highlighted existing racial inequality
evidence points toward racial gaps in how COVID-19 has                  across economic and health status. As a result, these
disrupted educational plans; Black and Hispanic students are            preexisting factors have left many Black families at greater
more likely to have altered or terminated their post-secondary          risk to bear the consequences of this historic economic
education plans (Strada Center for Consumer Insights 2020).             crisis. Inadequate additional federal economic relief—such
                                                                        as legislation that does not provide enough unemployment
Stress levels for adults who are more likely situated in low-wage       assistance and supplements to the safety net—potentially
work with high levels of scheduling instability are generally           threatens the economic security of Black families (Brenson,
higher, which leads to greater psychological distress, lowered          Fulton, and Overton 2020).
sleep quality, and lower self-reported happiness (Schneider
and Harknett 2019). The pandemic likely worsened these                  Ultimately, robust, reliable fiscal policy responses to the crisis
sources of stress in many workplaces. This has consequences             will help to reduce the negative impacts of the pandemic on
for both the adults directly affected by these changing                 families. If the economic and public health crisis continues
conditions, as well as for the children who are dealing with            at its current pace, many American families will require
enormous challenges and then interacting with their parents             such assistance, including a disproportionate share of Black
within this new reality. Going forward, the disproportionate            families.

                                                                    7
                                                     The Hamilton Project • Brookings
References

Acharya, Viral V., Matt Blackwell, and Maya Sen. 2018. Deep Roots:          Bureau of Economic Analysis. 2020. “Gross Domestic Product,
         How Slavery Still Shapes Southern Politics. Princeton, NJ:                  Second Quarter 2020 (Advance Estimate) and Annual
         Princeton University Press.                                                 Update.” News Release, July 30. Bureau of Economic
Alaimo, Katherine, Christine M. Olson, E. A. Frongillo, and                          Analysis, Washington, DC.
         Ronette R. Briefel. 2001. “Food Insufficiency, Family              Casey, Marcus, and Bradley Hardy. 2018. “Reduced Unemployment
         Income, and Health in US Preschool and School-Aged                          Doesn’t Equal Improved Well-Being for Black Americans.”
         Children.” American Journal of Public Health 91 (5): 781–86.                Brookings Institution, Washington, DC.
APM Research Lab. 2020. “The Color of Coronavirus: COVID-19                 Center for Disease Control and Prevention. 2018. “Summary Health
         Deaths by Race and Ethnicity in the U.S.” APM Research                      Statistics: National Health Interview Survey, 2018”. Center
         Lab, American Public Media, Saint Paul, MN.                                 for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia.
Bartik, Timothy J., and Brad J. Hershbein. 2018. “Degrees of                Center for Disease Control and Prevention. 2019. “Health, United
         Poverty: The Relationship between Family Income                             States Spotlight: Racial and Ethnic Disparities in Heart
         Background and the Returns to Education.” Working Paper                     Disease.” Center for Disease Control and Prevention,
         18-284, Upjohn Institute, Kalamazoo, MI.                                    Atlanta, Georgia.
Bauer, Lauren, Abigail Pitts, Krista Ruffini, and Diane Whitmore            Chandra, Amitabh. 2000. “Is the Convergence in the Racial Wage
         Schanzenbach. 2020. “The Effect of Pandemic EBT on                          Gap Illusory?” Working Paper 9476, National Bureau of
         Measures of Food Hardship.” The Hamilton Project,                           Economic Research, Cambridge, MA.
         Brookings Institution, Washingotn, DC.                             Choi, Jung Hyan, Alanna McCargo, Michael Neal, Laurie
Benitez, Joseph A., Charles J. Courtemanche, and Aaron Yelowitz.                     Goodman, and Caitlin Young. 2019. “Explaining the Black-
         2020. “Racial and Ethnic Disparities in COVID-19:                           White Homeownership Gap: A Closer Look at Disparities
         Evidence from Six Large Cities.” Working Paper 27592,                       across Local Markets.” Urban Institute, Washington, DC.
         National Bureau of Economic Research, Cambridge, MA.               Cox, Robynn J. A. 2015. “Where Do We Go from Here? Mass
Bertrand, Marianne, and Sendhil Mullanaithan. 2004. “Are Emily                       Incarceration and the Struggle for Civil Rights.” Economic
         and Greg More Employable Than Lakisha and Jamal?                            Policy Institute, Washington, DC.
         A Field Experiment on Labor Market Discrimination.”                Darity, William A., and A. Kirsten Mullen. 2020. From Here to
         American Economic Review 94 (4): 991–1013.                                  Equality: Reparations for Black Americans in the Twenty-First
Bitler, Marianne, and Hilary Hoynes. 2016. “Strengthening                            Century. Chapel Hill, NC: University of North Carolina
         Temporary Assistance for Needy Families.” The Hamilton                      Press.
         Project, Brookings Institution, Washington, DC.                    Edwards, Kathryn A. 2020. “The Racial Disparity in
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. 2020. “Report                      Unemployment Benefits.” The RAND Blog (blog), RAND
         on the Economic Well-Being of U.S. Households in 2018–                      Corporation, Santa Monica, CA.
         May 2019: Dealing with Unexpected Expenses.” Federal               Ellen, Ingrid, Erin Graves, Katherine O’Regan, and Jenny Schuetz.
         Reserve System, Washington, DC.                                             2020. “Strategies for Increasing Affordable Housing Amid
Brennan, Maya, Patrick Reed, and Lisa A. Sturtevant. 2014. “The                      the COVID-19 Economic Crisis.” Brookings Institution,
         Impacts of Affordable Housing on Education: A Research                      Washington, DC.
         Summary.” Center for Housing Policy, National Housing              Emmons, William R., Ana H. Kent, and Lowell R. Ricketts. 2018.
         Conference, Washington, DC.                                                 “Essay No. 2: A Lost Generation? Long-Lasting Wealth
Brenson, Lashonda, Jessica Fulton, and Spencer Overton. 2020.                        Impacts of the Great Recession on Young Families.” In The
         “Pandemic Relief Priorities for Black Communities.” Joint                   Demographics of Wealth: How Education, Race and Birth Year
         Center for Political and Economic Studies, Washington,                      Shape Financial Outcomes. Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis,
         DC.                                                                         St. Louis, MO.
Bueno, Carycruz. 2020. “Bricks and Mortar vs. Computers and                 Evans, Gary W., and Theodore D. Wachs. 2010. “Chaos and Its
         Modems: The Impacts of Enrollment in K–12 Virtual                           Influence on Children’s Development: An Ecological
         Schools.” Available at SSRN: https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/                  Perspective.” American Psychological Association,
         papers.cfm?abstract_id=3642969.                                             Washington, DC.

                                                                        8
                                                        The Hamilton Project • Brookings
Floyd, Ife. 2020. “Cash Assistance Should Reach Millions More              Heggeness, Misty L., and Charles Hokayem. 2014. “Factors
         Families.” Center on Budget and Policy Priorities,                        Influencing Transitions Into and Out of Near Poverty:
         Washington, DC.                                                           2004–2012.” SEHSD Working Paper 2014-05, U.S. Census
Fording, Richard C., Joe Soss, and Sanford F. Schram. 2007.                        Bureau, Washington, DC.
         “Devolution, Discretion, and the Effect of Local Political        Holzer, Harry J., Steven Raphael, and Michael A. Stoll. 2006.
         Values on TANF Sanctioning.” Social Service Review 81 (2):                “Perceived Criminality, Criminal Background Checks, and
         285–316.                                                                  the Racial Hiring Practices of Employers.” The Journal of
Francis, Dania. 2020. “Estimating the Value of Black Land Loss,                    Law and Economics 49 (2): 451–80.
         1910–1990.” Working Paper.                                        Kochanek, Kenneth D., Sherry L. Murphy, Jiaquan Xu, and
Ganong, Peter, Damon Jones, Pascal Noel, Diana Farrell, Fiona                      Elizabeth Arias. 2019. “Deaths: Final Data for 2017.”
         Greig, and Chris Wheat. 2020. “Wealth, Race, and                          National Vital Statistics Report 68 (9). Center for Disease
         Consumption Smoothing of Typical Income Shocks.” BFI                      Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia.
         Working Paper, Becker Friedman Institute for Economics            McIntosh, Kriston, Emily Moss, Ryan Nunn, and Jay Shambaugh.
         at the University of Chicago, Chicago, IL.                                2020. “Examining the Black-White Wealth Gap.” Up Front
Ganzel, Barbara L., and Pamela A. Morris. 2011. “Allostatis and                    (blog), Brookings Institution, Washington, DC. February
         the Developing Human Brain: Explicit Consideration of                     27, 2020.
         Implicit Models.” Development and Psychopathology 23 (4):         McKay, Katherine Lucas, Zach Neumann, and Sam Gilman. 2020.
         955–74.                                                                   “20 Million Renters Are at Risk of Eviction; Policymakers
Giannarelli, Linda, Laura Wheaton, Kevin Werner, Ilham Dehry,                      Must Act Now to Mitigate Widespread Hardship.” The
         and Gregory Ac. 2020. “2020 Poverty Projections:                          Aspen Institute, Washington, DC.
         Assessing Three Pandemic-Aid Policies.” Urban Institute,          McKernan, Signe-Mary, Caroline Ratcliffe, C. Eugene Steuerle,
         Washington, DC.                                                           Caleb Quakenbush, and Emma Kalish. 2017. “Nine Charts
Gould, Elise. 2020. “Black-White Wage Gaps Are Worse Today                         about Wealth Inequality in America (Updated).” Urban
         than in 2000.” Working Economics (blog), Economic Policy                  Institute, Washington, DC.
         Institute, Washington, DC. February 27, 2020.                     Morrissey, Taryn, and Katie Vinopal. 2018. “Center-Based Early
Gould, Elise, and Valerie Wilson. 2020. “Black Workers Face Two of                 Care and Education and Children’s School Readiness: Do
         the Most Lethal Preexisting Conditions for Coronavirus—                   Impacts Vary by Neighborhood Poverty?” Developmental
         Racism and Economic Inequality.” Economic Policy                          Psychology 54 (4): 757–71.
         Institute, Washington, DC.                                        Morrissey, Taryn, and Mildred E. Warner. 2007. “Why Early Care
Greene, Solomon and Alanna McCargo. 2020. “New Data Suggest                        and Education Deserves as Much Attention, or More, than
         COVID-19 Is Widening Housing Disparities by Race and                      Prekindergarten Alone.” Applied Developmental Science 11
         Income.” Urban Wire (blog), Urban Institute, Washington,                  (2): 57–70.
         DC. May 29, 2020.                                                 National Institute of Diabetes and Digestive and Kidney Diseases.
Hardy, Bradley, Heather Hill, and Jennie Romich. 2019.                             2014. “Race, Ethnicity, & Kidney Disease.” National
         “Strengthening Social Programs to Promote Economic                        Institues of Health, Washington, DC.
         Stability During Childhood.” Social Policy Report 32 (2):         Nunn, Ryan, Jimmy O’Donnell, and Jay Shambaugh. 2020.
         1–36.                                                                     “Examining Options to Boost Essential Worker Wages
Hardy, Bradley, and Dave Marcotte. 2020. “Education and the                        during the Pandemic.” Up Front (blog), Brookings
         Dynamics of Middle-Class Status.” Brookings Institution,                  Institution, Washington, DC. June 4, 2020.
         Washington, DC.                                                   Olsen, Skylar. 2018. “Black and White Homeownership Rate Gap
Hardy, Bradley, Rhucha Samudra, and Jourdan Davis. 2019. “Cash                     Has Widened Since 1900.” Zillow, Seattle, WA.
         Assistance in America: The Role of Race, Politics, and            Opportunity Insights. 2020. “Economic Tracker: Percent Change
         Poverty.” Review of Black Political Economy 46 (4): 306–24.               in All Consumer Spending.” Opportunity Insights,
Hardy, Bradley, Timothy Smeeding, and James P. Ziliak. 2018.                       Cambridge, MA.
         “The Changing Safety Net for Low Income Parents and               Parolin, Zachary. 2019. “Temporary Assistance for Needy Families
         Their Children: Structural or Cyclical Changes in Income                  and the Black-White Child Poverty Gap in the United
         Support Policy?” Demography 55 (1): 189–221.                              States.” Socio-Economic Review.

                                                                       9
                                                       The Hamilton Project • Brookings
Parolin, Zachary, and Christopher Wimer. 2020. “Forecasting                      Strada Center for Consumer Insights. 2020. “Many Americans
         Estimates of Poverty during the COVID-19 Crisis.” Poverty                        Lack Confidence in the Career Value of Postsecondary
         & Social Policy Brief 4 (6): 1–18.                                               Education and Their Own Ability to Succeed as Learners.”
Pew Research Center. 2013. “Households, by Family Size, Race                              Strada Education Network, Indianapolis, IN.
         and Ethnicity: 2013.” Table 40, Statistical Portrait of                 U.S. Census Bureau. 2017. “American Housing Survey.” U.S. Census
         Hispanics in the United States, 2013. Pew Research Center,                       Bureau, Washington, DC.
         Washington, DC.                                                         U.S. Census Bureau. 2020. “Household Pulse Survey: Measuring
Pfeffer, Fabian T., and Alexandra Killewald. 2017. “Generations                           Social and Economic Impacts during the COVID-19
         of Advantage: Multigenerational Correlations in Family                           Pandemic.” U.S. Census Bureau, Washington, DC.
         Wealth.” Social Forces 96 (4): 1411–42.                                 U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA). 2018. “Key Statistics &
Pitts, Steven. 2011. “Research Brief: Black Workers and the Public                        Graphics.” U.S. Department of Agriculture, Washington,
         Sector.” Center for Labor Research and Education,                                DC.
         University of California Berkeley, Berkeley, CA.                        Van Dam, Andrew. 2020. “Black Families Pay Significantly Higher
Schanzenbach, Diane, and Natalie Tomeh. 2020. “Weekly Food                                Property Taxes Than White Families, New Analysis
         Insecurity Rates during COVID-19.” Institute for Policy                          Shows.” Washington Post, July 2, 2020.
         Research, Northwestern University, Evanston, IL.                        Wiemers, Emily E., Scott Abrahams, Marwa Al Fakhri, V. Joseph
Schneider, Daniel, and Kristen Harknett. 2019. “Consequences of                           Hotz, Robert F. Schoeni, and Judith A. Seltzer. 2020.
         Routine Work-Schedule Instability for Worker Health and                          “Disparities in Vulnerability to Severe Complications
         Well-Being.” American Sociological Review 84 (1): 82–114.                        from COVID-19 in the United States.” MedRxiv preprint
Sethi, Shiva Sethi, Christine Johnson-Staub, and Katherine                                available at https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.05.28.20115899.
         Gallagher Robbins. 2020. “An Anti-Racist Approach                       Wilson, Valerie. 2019. “The Raise the Wage Act of 2019 Would Give
         to Supporting Child Care Through COVID-19 and                                    Black Workers a Much-Needed Boost in Pay.” Economic
         Beyond.” CLASP (The Center for Law and Social Policy),                           Policy Institute, Washington, DC.
         Washington, DC.                                                         ———. 2020. “Inequities Exposed: How COVID-19 Widened
Shonkoff, Jack P., Andrew S. Garner, Benjamin S. Siegel, Mary                             Racial Inequities in Education, Health, and the Workforce.”
         I. Dobbins, Marian F. Earls, Andrew S. Garner, Laura                             Testimony before the U.S. House of Representatives
         McGuinn, John Pascoe, and David L. Wood. 2012. “The                              Committee on Education and Labor. Economic Policy
         Lifelong Effects of Early Childhood Adversity and Toxic Stress.”                 Institute, Washington, DC.
         Pediatrics 129 (1): e232–e246.                                          Wiltz, Teresa. 2020. “Black Homeowners Pay More Than ‘Fair
Simon, Stacy. 2019. “Gap in Cancer Death Rates Between Blacks                             Share’ in Property Taxes.” Stateline (blog), Pew Charitable
         and Whites Narrows”. American Cancer Society,                                    Trusts, Philadelphia, PA.
         Washington, DC.                                                         Ziliak, James P., Bradley Hardy, and Christopher Bollinger. 2011.
                                                                                          “Earnings Volatility in America: Evidence from Matched
                                                                                          CPS.” Labour Economics 18 (6): 742–54.

                                                                            10
                                                            The Hamilton Project • Brookings
A DVISORY COUNCIL
STEPHANIE AARONSON                                TIMOTHY F. GEITHNER                             ROBERT D. REISCHAUER
Vice President and Director, Economic Studies     President, Warburg Pincus                       Distinguished Institute Fellow &
Senior Fellow, Economic Studies, The Brookings    Senior Counselor, The Hamilton Project          President Emeritus
Institution                                                                                       Urban Institute
                                                  JOHN GRAY
GEORGE A. AKERLOF                                 President & Chief Operating Officer             NANCY L. ROSE
University Professor                              Blackstone                                      Charles P. Kindleberger Professor of Applied
Georgetown University                                                                             Economics, MIT Department of Economics
                                                  ROBERT GREENSTEIN
ROGER C. ALTMAN                                   Founder & President                             DAVID M. RUBENSTEIN
Founder & Senior Chairman                         Center on Budget and Policy Priorities          Co-Founder & Co-Executive Chairman
Evercore                                                                                          The Carlyle Group
                                                  MICHAEL GREENSTONE
KAREN L. ANDERSON                                 Milton Friedman Professor in Economics & the    ROBERT E. RUBIN
Senior Director of Policy & Communications        College                                         Former U.S. Treasury Secretary;
Becker Friedman Institute for                     Director of the Becker Friedman Institute for   Co-Chair Emeritus
Research in Economics                             Research in Economics                           Council on Foreign Relations
The University of Chicago                         Director of the Energy Policy Institute
                                                  University of Chicago                           LESLIE B. SAMUELS
ALAN S. BLINDER                                                                                   Senior Counsel
Gordon S. Rentschler Memorial Professor of        GLENN H. HUTCHINS                               Cleary Gottlieb Steen & Hamilton LLP
Economics & Public Affairs,                       Co-founder, North Island;
Princeton University;                             Co-founder, Silver Lake                         SHERYL SANDBERG
Visiting Senior Fellow,                                                                           Chief Operating Officer, Facebook
The Brookings Institution.                        JAMES A. JOHNSON
                                                  Chairman; Johnson Capital Partners              DIANE WHITMORE SCHANZENBACH
STEVEN A. DENNING                                                                                 Margaret Walker Alexander Professor
Chairman, General Atlantic                        LAWRENCE F. KATZ                                Director
                                                  Elisabeth Allison Professor of Economics        The Institute for Policy Research
JOHN M. DEUTCH                                    Harvard University                              Northwestern University;
Institute Professor                                                                               Nonresident Senior Fellow
Massachusetts Institute of Technology             MELISSA S. KEARNEY                              The Brookings Institution
                                                  Neil Moskowitz Professor of Economics
CHRISTOPHER EDLEY, JR.                            University of Maryland;                         STEPHEN SCHERR
Co-Founder and President Emeritus                 Nonresident Senior Fellow                       Chief Executive Officer
The Opportunity Institute                         The Brookings Institution                       Goldman Sachs Bank USA

BLAIR W. EFFRON                                   LILI LYNTON                                     RALPH L. SCHLOSSTEIN
Partner                                           Founding Partner                                President & Chief Executive Officer, Evercore
Centerview Partners LLC                           Boulud Restaurant Group
                                                                                                  ERIC SCHMIDT
DOUGLAS W. ELMENDORF                              HOWARD S. MARKS                                 Technical Advisor, Alphabet Inc.
Dean & Don K. Price Professor                     Co-Chairman
of Public Policy                                  Oaktree Capital Management, L.P.                ERIC SCHWARTZ
Harvard Kennedy School                                                                            Chairman & CEO, 76 West Holdings
                                                  ERIC MINDICH
JUDY FEDER                                        Founder                                         JAY SHAMBAUGH
Professor & Former Dean                           Everblue Management                             Professor of Economics and International Affairs,
McCourt School of Public Policy                                                                   Elliott School of International Affairs at The
Georgetown University                             SUZANNE NORA JOHNSON                            George Washington University;
                                                  Former Vice Chairman                            Nonresident Senior Fellow
JASON FURMAN                                      Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.                       The Brookings Institution
Professor of the Practice of                      Co-Chair
Economic Policy                                   The Brookings Institution                       THOMAS F. STEYER
Harvard University                                                                                Business Leader & Philanthropist
Senior Fellow                                     PETER ORSZAG
Peterson Institute for International Economics;   CEO, Financial Advisory                         MICHAEL R. STRAIN
Senior Counselor                                  Lazard Freres & Co LLC                          Director of Economy Poliyc Studies and
The Hamilton Project                                                                              Arthur F. Burns Scholar in Political Economy
                                                  RICHARD PERRY                                   American Enterprise Institute
MARK T. GALLOGLY                                  Managing Partner & Chief Executive Officer
Cofounder & Managing Principal                    Perry Capital                                   LAWRENCE H. SUMMERS
Centerbridge Partners, L.P.                                                                       Charles W. Eliot University Professor
                                                  PENNY PRITZKER                                  Harvard University
TED GAYER                                         Chairman & Founder, PSP Partners
Executive Vice President                          38th Secretary of Commerce                      LAURA D’ANDREA TYSON
Senior Fellow, Economic Studies                                                                   Distinguished Professor fo the Graduate School
The Brookings Institution                         MEEGHAN PRUNTY                                  University of California, Berkeley
                                                  Managing Director, Blue Meridian Partners
                                                  Edna McConnell Clark Foundation
                                                                                                  WENDY EDELBERG
                                                                                                  Director

                                                                              11
                                                           The Hamilton Project • Brookings
FIGURE 1.

   Median Family Income and Net Worth in 2018, by Race
                                180

                                160

                                140
    Thousands of 2018 dollars

                                120

                                100

                                 80

                                 60
                                                  Income
                                 40
                                                           Net worth
                                 20

                                  0
                                                        Black                                          White                                                All households

   Source: Current Population Survey Annual Social and Economic Supplement (ASEC) 2019; Survey of Consumer Finances (SCF) 2016; authors’ calculations.
   Note: Income data are from the 2019 ASEC, which measures income in 2018. Net worth data are from the 2016 SCF, adjusted for inflation to 2018 dollars.

1775 Massachusetts Ave., NW
Washington, DC 20036

(202) 797-6484

                                                                                                  12
                           Printed on recycled paper.                  W W W .The
                                                                               H AHamilton
                                                                                   M I L TProject
                                                                                           ONPR     O J E C T. O R G
                                                                                                  • Brookings
You can also read