Will Texans see sky-high electric bills this summer? Grid operator sends dire warning

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Will Texans see sky-high electric bills this summer? Grid operator sends dire warning
Will Texans see sky-high electric bills this summer? Grid operator sends dire warning | T... Page 1 of 4

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  Will Texans see sky-high electric bills
  this summer? Grid operator sends dire
  warning
      A day after the state's main electric grid operator warned that a variety
      of factors including record high demand could lead to pricier and dicier
      electric service, experts added a grain of salt to the predictions.

  BY KIAH COLLIER        MARCH 2, 2018      UPDATED: 2:31 PM

            ­                       ¬                       â                        š

  I Andrea Parker / Cory Maluski

https://www.texastribune.org/2018/03/02/will-texans-see-sky-high-electric-bills-summer/         3/2/2018
Will Texans see sky-high electric bills this summer? Grid operator sends dire warning
Will Texans see sky-high electric bills this summer? Grid operator sends dire warning | T... Page 2 of 4

  For years, the state’s main power grid operator has warned of high
  electricity prices and even power outages during the hot summer months.

  It’s rarely been as bad as feared. But experts say the latest startling forecast
  from the Electric Reliability Council of Texas looks to be more accurate,
  although they downplayed the potential impact to residential customers.

  ERCOT said on Thursday it expects to see record-breaking prices and
  demand for power this summer that could require it to take emergency
  measures to maintain supply — and force customers to curb power usage. It
  identified a variety of factors expected to put a strain on the grid on top of
  record-breaking demand, including delayed power supply projects and the
  closure of three major coal-fired power plants.

  That will result in “tight operating reserves” — numbers released Thursday
  show ERCOT expects to have have barely enough power to meet demand
  from June through September, which will result in sky-high power prices at
  certain times.

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  “The ERCOT market has experienced a series of new peak demand records
  over the last few years as Texas’ economy continues to grow at record
  pace,” ERCOT President and CEO Bill Magness said in a statement. “We
  expect high peak demand will continue this summer.”

  A hot, dry summer — which is expected — and any unplanned outages of
  power plants would compound the problem, said Rice University associate
  professor Dan Cohan.

  “I sure hope we can dodge a bullet this time,” he said. “But the odds are
  stacked against us, and not many Texans see this bullet coming. This
  summer could be the wake-up call that drives major efforts for
  conservation and new build-outs of natural gas, solar, and storage to
  prepare for the next one.”

https://www.texastribune.org/2018/03/02/will-texans-see-sky-high-electric-bills-summer/        3/2/2018
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  But, he said, “Markets are tough to predict, especially since weather will
  play a big role, so we don't know exactly what will happen.”

  Bill Peacock, vice president of research at the Texas Public Policy
  Foundation, a conservative think tank, said the market is working exactly
  like it's supposed to, but it's been unfairly manipulated by renewable
  energy subsidies that he blames for reliability problems and the premature
  closure of coal plants — a notion many dispute.

  It's important that ERCOT and the state's Public Utility Commission allow
  prices to go high this summer, Peacock said. That's because it will spur
  investment in "peaking" power plants — those that run when there is high
  demand.

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  "We have more than enough baseline to take care of us," he said.

  Michael Webber, deputy director of the Energy Institute at the University
  of Texas at Austin, said ERCOT has been predicting some version of
  summertime doom and gloom for at least the past decade so it’s easy to
  shrug off this warning. While there is certainly cause for concern, he said a
  variety of factors will have to coalesce to result in extreme impacts like
  widespread power outages.

  And he said residential customers, who mostly pay fixed prices, aren’t
  likely to see a big change in their bills. Price spikes are more likely to affect
  large-scale commercial power purchasers and utility companies who sell
  power, he said. That would eventually trickle down to consumers, but it’s
  hard to say when and by how much. [Texas' electric prices are also
  generally lower than other states to begin with, he said.]

  Webber said the risk of vulnerable populations losing power during a time
  when air conditioning is all but a requirement is always a concern and "we
  need to watch that.”

  "But I think generally we'll be fine," he said.

https://www.texastribune.org/2018/03/02/will-texans-see-sky-high-electric-bills-summer/        3/2/2018
Will Texans see sky-high electric bills this summer? Grid operator sends dire warning | T... Page 4 of 4

  Disclosure: The Texas Public Policy Foundation, Rice University and the University of
  Texas at Austin have been financial supporters of The Texas Tribune, a nonprofit,
  nonpartisan news organization that is funded in part by donations from members,
  foundations and corporate sponsors. Financial supporters play no role in the
  Tribune's journalism. Find a complete list of them here.

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https://www.texastribune.org/2018/03/02/will-texans-see-sky-high-electric-bills-summer/        3/2/2018
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