Achieving KiwiSaver Evaluation Objectives: A cross-agency, multi-year evaluation of New Zealand's retirement savings scheme.

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Achieving KiwiSaver Evaluation
          Objectives:
A cross-agency, multi-year evaluation of New
    Zealand’s retirement savings scheme.

                    Rico Namay
        National Research & Evaluation Unit
                  Inland Revenue
KiwiSaver
 KiwiSaver is a voluntary, work-based savings initiative to help
  New Zealanders with their long-term saving for retirement.

 It has been in operation since 2007 and is designed to be
  hassle-free so it's easy to maintain a regular savings pattern.
Policy objectives
 to encourage a long-term savings habit and asset
  accumulation by individuals who are not in a position to enjoy
  standards of living in retirement similar to those in pre-
  retirement;

 to increase individuals’ well-being and financial independence,
  particularly in retirement, and to provide retirement benefits;
Evaluation objectives
To assess:

 the early implementation and delivery of KiwiSaver;

 which of the key features of KiwiSaver are generating the expected
  outcomes;

 the response to KiwiSaver in order to understand the scale and
  pattern of take-up;

 the impact KiwiSaver is having on the saving habits and asset
  accumulation of individuals who are not in a position to enjoy
  standards of living in retirement similar to those in pre-retirement;

 the impact of KiwiSaver on competitive superannuation markets and
  the financial sector.
Stakeholders
Evaluation framework
Discussions out there

“KiwiSaver is merely a money-go-round. Over half
of the savings are funded by taxpayers, most of the
remaining savings are employers’ contributions and
money that members would have saved in other
forms.
                           -Dr. Trinh Le, the National
                            Business Review, 2008

                              People are farming the $1,000 kick-start
                                                        -Various
Discussions out there

                         Viability of contribution rate will continue to
                         be discussed.
                                                      -Various

Decumulation will be a hot topic as KS
balances grow
                          -Various
Work done since 2007
 Agency            Topic                            Method                                           Date
 Treasury          Accumulation of net wealth       SoFIE-Inland Revenue linked data set             2014

 Inland Revenue    Value for money of incentives    Administrative and survey data                   2014

 Inland Revenue    Additionality and substitution   Repeat of relevant questions from 2010 survey    2014
                   research                         (506)
 Inland Revenue    Value for money – qualitative    35 interviews providers (5), employers (15),     2014
                                                    members (10), non-members (5)
 MBIE (Internal)   Uptake of first-home             Analysis of administrative data                  2013
                   ownership package
 Inland Revenue    KiwiSaver early retirement       Telephone survey of eligible members             2013
                   withdrawal
 Inland Revenue    KiwiSaver early retirement       Survey and interviews with scheme providers      2013
                   withdrawal
 MBIE              Use and experiences of the       Survey of 402 people and analysis of available   2012
                   KiwiSaver home ownership         data
                   package
 MBIE (MED)        Report on KiwiSaver Supply        Provider survey (24) and interviews (7); desk   2010
                   Side Evaluation.                 top
 Treasury          An initial evaluation of the     Analysis of the 2010 Colmar Brunton survey of    2011
                   impact on retirement savings     individuals

 Inland Revenue    Opting-out and taking            Administrative data                              2011
                   contributions holidays
 Inland Revenue    Survey of Individuals            Survey of 825 individuals                        2010
                   (members and non-
                   members)
 Inland Revenue    SME compliance costs             Survey measuring 1,728 SMEs tax compliance       2009
                                                    costs
                                                                                                     2010
 Inland Revenue    Automatic enrolment process      Qualitative research with employers (20          2007
                                                    interviews) and employees (50 telephone
                                                    interviews)
 Inland Revenue    Implementation in the            Employer panel: interviews with 34 employers     2007
                   workplace                        and 63 employees

 Inland Revenue    Employer’s awareness,            Employer survey – 500 telephone interviews of    2007
                   understandings and reactions     PAYE registered employers
                   to KiwiSaver
 Inland Revenue    The engagement model             Scheme provider interviews (n=18)                2007
Key changes to KS

       Member contribution        Member tax credit              Revised disclosure rules
       from 4% to 2%              halved                         for KS fund managers

2008   2009            2010     2011          2012               2013              2014
                                            Employer                 Employer               Employee contribution
                                            contribution taxed       contribution from      from 2% to 3%
                                                                     2% to 3%
Usefulness of the evaluation
“The evaluations were hugely important to the
recently-completed review of retirement income
policies. They helped inform 5 out of 17
recommendations to the Government. The review
would have been much less effective without the
evaluations.”
                            -Steering Group member

                        “Our involvement in the evaluation meant we had
                        access to KS data (which allowed us to work) on
                        modelling changes to the income caps for the first
                        home owner subsidies. (As a result) the income cap
                        and the max house price in some regions were
                        lifted.”
                                                   - Steering Group member
Usefulness of the evaluation

                “An excellent example of different parts of the sector
                coming together to work on a common purpose and
                achieving far more than any one agency could have
                achieved on its own”
                                           -Steering Group member

“Generally the evaluation has been a model for large
and costly programmes”
                            -Steering Group member
Usefulness of the evaluation

“In New Zealand, the KiwiSaver scheme has been subject to
evaluation from its introduction in 2007... and has five elements:
benchmarking, monitoring, communications, process studies and
outcome studies…We were unable to find evidence of any similar
evaluation in the other case study countries.”

 - Collard and Moore, Review of International Pension Reform,
Department for Work and Pensions, 2010
Thank You
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