CERES application: Field case studies to estimate N2O emissions from cropping systems within the LCA context - Pietro Goglio

Page created by Charlie Walker
 
CONTINUE READING
CERES application: Field case studies to estimate N2O emissions from cropping systems within the LCA context - Pietro Goglio
CERES application: Field case studies to estimate N2O emissions
       from cropping systems within the LCA context

                          Pietro Goglio
CERES application: Field case studies to estimate N2O emissions from cropping systems within the LCA context - Pietro Goglio
Goals, scope and methodology

 Developing  a method for cropping systems
  GHG emission estimation compatible with
  LCA
 Testing the evaluation method with data
  coming from the field
 Identifying possible improvements and
  evaluating agricultural systems and
  techniques more suitable for biomass
  production
CERES application: Field case studies to estimate N2O emissions from cropping systems within the LCA context - Pietro Goglio
Modelling strategy

                      Bibliographic review

                       Are there previous             No
                       attempts to model
                       this crop?                                        No
   Yes                                       Is the crop similar to
                                             other previously
                          Yes                modelled?
  Inclusion of crop
parameters in CERES               Soil and soil
   growth module                 denitrification           Bayesian
                                    modules                calibration
                                (CERES-EGC)
CERES application: Field case studies to estimate N2O emissions from cropping systems within the LCA context - Pietro Goglio
Modelling strategy

                      Bibliographic review

                       Are there previous             No
                       attempts to model
                       this crop?                                        No
   Yes                                       Is the crop similar to
                                             other previously
                          Yes                modelled?
  Inclusion of crop
parameters in CERES               Soil and soil
   growth module                 denitrification           Bayesian
                                    modules                calibration
                                (CERES-EGC)
CERES application: Field case studies to estimate N2O emissions from cropping systems within the LCA context - Pietro Goglio
Modelling strategy
Crop category                 Crop concerned           Adaptation strategy

Previously modelled with      Winter wheat,            Appropriate module will
CERES                         Sunflower,               be utilized
                              Corn,
                              Rapeseed,
                              Barley

Winter cereals not modelled   Durum wheat,             CERES wheat
with CERES                    Triticale,
                              Oat

Leguminous crop               Faba beans,              CERES pea will adapted
(Fabaceae) not modelled       Clover,
with CERES                    Common Vetch

Other crop not modelled       Linseed                    CERES with parameters
with CERES                    Other crops present in the taken from literature
                              cover crop mixture
CERES application: Field case studies to estimate N2O emissions from cropping systems within the LCA context - Pietro Goglio
CERES Modifications
                               CERES PEA
•growth,
•light interception,
•phenological stages
•Temperature sensitivity
•Cutting simulation
•Root to shoot ratio
•Temperature
sensitivity
                      Clover

       Clover/Oat
        mixture
CERES application: Field case studies to estimate N2O emissions from cropping systems within the LCA context - Pietro Goglio
CERES Modifications
                               CERES PEA       •growth,
•growth,                                       •light interception,
•light interception,                           •grain filling
•phenological stages                           •daylight parameters
                                               •phenological stages
•Temperature sensitivity
                                               •Temperature sensitivity
•Cutting simulation                            •Root to shoot ratio
•Root to shoot ratio
•Temperature                               Faba bean
sensitivity
                      Clover

       Clover/Oat
        mixture
CERES application: Field case studies to estimate N2O emissions from cropping systems within the LCA context - Pietro Goglio
CERES Modifications
                               CERES PEA               •growth,
•growth,                                               •light interception,
•light interception,                                   •grain filling
•phenological stages                                   •daylight parameters
                                                       •phenological stages
•Temperature sensitivity
                                                       •Temperature sensitivity
•Cutting simulation                                    •Root to shoot ratio
•Root to shoot ratio
•Temperature                                       Faba bean
sensitivity
                      Clover

                                                      •growth,
                                                      •light
                                                      interception
       Clover/Oat                                     •phenological
                                    Common vetch
        mixture                                       stages
                                                      •Temperature
                                                      sensitivity
CERES application: Field case studies to estimate N2O emissions from cropping systems within the LCA context - Pietro Goglio
CERES Modifications
                                                        Crop failure
•Introduction of reseeding date in CERES-
Maize

•Introduction of an end of simulation
variable in CERES-Colza                                                End of
                                                                       simulation
•Introduction of a theoretical yield variable
in CERES-PEA (Fababeans)

                                        Theoretical
                                                      Faba bean
                                        biomass
                                        yield
CERES application: Field case studies to estimate N2O emissions from cropping systems within the LCA context - Pietro Goglio
CERES results with real data
maize      triticale       oat          faba bean     rapeseed
                                                                  50%GHG cropping
                                                                  system: aiming at
                                                                  halving GHG
                                                                  Rotation:FB-Rs-
                                                                  CC+LCC-WW-
                                                                  CC+LCC-Ba-CC+LCC-
                                                                  Ma-XT-CC

         winter wheat   white mustard        barley   buckwheat
                                                                   PHEP cropping
                                                                   system: productivity
                                                                   and high
                                                                   environmental
                                                                   performance
                                                                   Rotation:FB-WW-Rs-
                                                                   WW-BM or WM-Ba
CERES results with real data

                 Soil NH4+
                 prediction
CERES results with real data

                          Soil NO3-
                          prediction
CERES results with real data

      Soil
      moisture
      prediction
CERES results with real data
                                             NH4                  NO3                Soil             N2O
                                                                                     moisture

    bias                                     13.77 kg N           -6.74 kg N         0.01 m3 m-3      -0.89 g N2O-
                                             ha-1                 ha-1                                N ha-1 d-1

    RMSEP                                    3.69 kg N ha-        9.89 kg N ha-      0.06 m3 m-3      5.35 g N2O-
                                             1                    1
                                                                                                      N ha-1 d-1

    EF                                       0.01                 -0.38              0.62             0.07

    Spearman correlation test r              0.851*               -0.030             0.817*           0.156 *

    Spearman correlation exact test          *

                     50%GHG                                                              PHEP
Values               Barley                      WW                   Triticale          Barley              WW
Bias
(g N2O-N ha-1 d-1)                -1.84                   -0.18                   0.18             -1.57             0.59
RMSEP
(g N2O-N ha-1 d-1)                    7.42                1.36                    0.14             7.29              0.66
CERES and IPCC emission factors results
Crop         Trial   Croppi   N applied with   CERES-EGC      IPCC N2O-N
                     ng       fertiliser       N2O-N          emissions (g ha-1
                     system   (kg N ha-1)      emissions      y-1)
                                               (g ha-1 y-1)
Winter       ICC     PHEP     90a              1604           2410
Wheat
Barley       ICC     PHEP     60a              526            1542
Barley       ICC     50%GH    80a              320            1755
                     G
Faba beans   ICC     PHEP     0                1081           507
Faba beans   ICC     50%GH    0                1267           444
                     G
Durum        CIMAS HI         92b +52c         1258           2131
Wheat
Durum        CIMAS LI         46b+26c          1240           1424
Wheat
Faba beans   CIMAS HI         0                771            478
Faba beans   CIMAS LI         0                784            463
CERES results in Agricultural LCAs
CERES results in Agricultural LCAs
DM (Mg ha-1)

                                            year

               ----- Above ground biomass          Yield
CERES results in Agricultural LCAs
DM (Mg ha-1)

                                            year

               ----- Above ground biomass          Yield
CERES results in Agricultural LCAs
CERES results in Agricultural LCAs
Cropping system issues
•Long term simulation (more than 3-4 years)
•Unpreviewed farming practices
•Crop change in the middle of the season (reseeding)
•Not well established farming practices, often difficult to model
•Different species belonging to different botanical families (Fabaceae,
Poaceae, Asteraceae, Poligonaceae, Brassicaceae)
    •Different phenological development
    •Variation in soil-plant interaction
•Presence of cover crops or minor crops less studied
•Cropping system trials have often different targets from the research which
cannot be changed
CERES strengths:
•Code availability
•Many crops modelled
•Good prediction for:
    • N2O emissions, both in intensity and timing
    •soil moisture
    •Soil NH4+ content
    •cereal yield
•Tested previously in a wide range of sites in Europe with different climatic
conditions
•Highly tested for French conditions
CERES drawbacks:
•The code often complex
•Code not similar for all the crops
•Rigid structure based on crops
•Rigid formalism due to FORTRAN
•Limited GUI
•No graphical results directly available
•Unsatisfactory prediction of soil NO3-
•No good prediction of soil moisture during thawing periods
•High N2O emissions often not well predicted in terms of intensity,
presence of residual emissions after peaks not confirmed by field
measurements (probably due to a lack in precision in soil nitrate
availability on topsoil)
Perspectives:

•The integration of other crops
•Improving prediction with high N2O fluxes
•Integration of other farming practices (e.g. cuttings)
within the model
•Model simplification procedures
•Definition of procedures to follow to integrate model
results as LCA input in cropping system LCA
Thanks for your
                      attention

                     Acknowledgements:
A special thanks goes to Prof. Gabrielle, Dr Roche and Prof. Ney
I would like also to acknowledge Prof. Doré, Prof. Bonari, Prof.
Mazzoncini, Dr. Colnenne, Dr Ragaglini, Dr. Laville, Dr. Bosco,
   Dr. Di Bene, Mrs Decuq, Mr Grandeau and Mr Gueudet
You can also read