WHAT'S AT STAKE? - ELECTIONS 2019 - ELECTIONS VOTER'S GUIDE - BudgIT
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2019
ELECTIONS
ATP
RCP
QYP
WHAT’S
AT STAKE?
ELECTIONS
VOTER’S GUIDE
FACTBOOKIntroduction
Elections in Nigeria are a critical part of her budding
democratic process, however, just like most aspects of
Nigeria's democracy, the electioneering process are still being
blurred by specs of debris from several years of colonial rules
followed by the military influence spanning about three Elections in Nigerian state
decades and a dose of an aggressive political elite unwilling to has been characterized by
relinquish her hold to what has become a lucrative business threats to statehood based
for most.. on the manipulation of
ethnicity as a divisive
The history of elections in Nigerian state has been mechanism for the
characterized by threats to statehood based on the
acquisition of political power
manipulation of ethnicity as a divisive mechanism for the
by political actors.
acquisition of political power by political actors, the fragile
nature of political cum democratic institutions is acquainted
with poor democratic culture among Nigerian citizen
Every four years, the elections serve as an unusual common
ground for the elite and the over 87.8 million Nigerians living in There is an undying will from
extreme poverty and that is the common ground for both both ends of the divide to
ends. There seems to be a painstaking effort by both ends of preserve the status quo as
the divide to maintain the status quo, efforts by the political the political elite reinforce
elite to keep the average Nigerian disinterested in the issues of efforts to keep the average
governance, election inclusive.
Nigerian disinterested in the
issues of governance,
Elections in Nigeria from 1999 to date have continued to
election inclusive.
recycle in vicious violence and unimaginable manipulation
especially from the political elites; this has attracted the
attention of the local and international community The
violence coupled with the glaring disorganized manual
election process has discouraged a sizeable number of
2019 Election FactBook| 1Introduction
citizens from participating in the electoral process. Many citizens’ faith in the
integrity of the electoral
Many citizens’ faith in the integrity of the electoral process has process has also waned over
also waned over the previous years due to the incessant stories
the previous years due to the
of rigging. The number of registered votes is always significantly
incessant stories of rigging.
more than the actual votes cast and these numbers have
significantly dwindled in the past years. Experts suggest most
electorates are unwilling to participate in the elections
primarily because of the conventional practice that requires
voters to stand in queues for long hours as witnessed by less
than 50% voter turnout in the last 2015 presidential election in Women occupy about 5.8%
Nigeria. of the political offices in
Nigeria while men occupy
INEC has bemoaned the insufficient representation of women about 94.2% of the political
in political positions in spite of the good percentage of women
offices.
in the voting population of Nigeria. Women occupy about 5.8%
of the political offices in Nigeria while men occupy about 94.2%
of the political offices. “Global statistics for gender parity
indicates that in 2015, out of 188 countries, Nigeria was 152nd in
the Human Development Index in Gender Inequality and 118th
Most electorates are
out of 192 countries in 2017″. It is worthy to note that in Nigerian
unwilling to participate in
women are still being marginalized due to the style of
the elections primarily
leadership inherent in the country. Despite the challenges
women are facing, it was discovered that women activism and because of the conventional
advocacy, education of women, positivity on the part of practice that requires voters
successive governments towards women empowerment and to stand in queues for long
interest of women to participate in politics is getting a lot of hours as witnessed by less
positive energy. than 50% voter turnout in
the last 2015 presidential
election in Nigeria.
2019 Election Factbook| 2The Voters/Electorates
Voter Demographics
This is an increase of
84,004,084 15.3m
The total number of registered
voters for the 2019 election from the total number of
voters registered in 2015
Voter Registration by
Gender
47%
Female
53%Male
39.6m 44.4m
Source: INEC
2019 Election FactBook| 3Voter Demographics
Voter Registration by
Age Group
18-35 51%
36-50 30%
51-70 15%
81%
of registered voters are
younger than 50 years
70+ 4%
Voters Registration by Occupation
22.3m 13.6m 11.8m 7.6m 6.0m
Others
Housewife Trading
10.8m 5.0m 4.5m
Artisans
Farming/ Civil
Students fishing servant Public
Business Servant
Source: INEC
2019 Election FactBook| 4Voter Demographics
Voters Registration by Geo-Political Zone
(As at January 9, 2019)
North-West North-East
20.2m 11.3m
North-Central
13.4m
South-West
16.3m South-East
10.1m
South-South
12.8m
The Northwest region has the highest number of registered voters with
20,158,100 Voters registered
Source: INEC
2019 Election FactBook| 5Voters Registration by States in 2015 and 2019
(Data captured as at December, 2018)
2015 2019
1.39m ABIA 1.93m
1.56m ADAMAWA 1.97m
1.68m AKWA IBOM 2.11m
1.96m ANAMBRA 2.45m
2.05m BAUCHI 2.46m
0.61m BAYELSA 0.92m
2.02m BENUE 2.48m
1.93m BORNO 2.32m
1.18m CROSS RIVER 1.53m
2.28m DELTA 2.85m
1.07m 1.46m
84.0m
EBONYI
1.78m EDO 2.21m
68.8m
Total voters registered in 2015.
0.73m
1.43m
EKITI
ENUGU
0.91m
1.94m
Total voters registered in 2019
1.12m GOMBE 1.39m
1.80m IMO 2.27m
1.83m JIGAWA 2.11m
3.41m KADUNA 3.93m
4.98m KANO 5.46m
2.83m KATSINA 3.23m
1.47m KEBBI 1.81m
1.35m KOGI 1.65m
1.14m KWARA 1.41m
5.82m LAGOS 6.57m
1.24m NASARAWA 1.62m
2.01m NIGER 2.39m
1.83m OGUN 2.38m
1.52m ONDO 1.82m
1.41m OSUN 1.68m
2.41m OYO 2.93m
2.00m PLATEAU 2.48m
2.54m RIVERS 3.22m
1.61m SOKOTO 1.90m
1.34m TARABA 1.78m
1.09m YOBE 1.37m
1.49m ZAMFARA 1.72m
Source: INEC
0.88m FCT 1.34m
2019 Election FactBook| 6Voters registration by States
Top 10 states that gained more registered voters compared to 2015
FCT 52.57%
BAYELSA 51.25%
ABIA 38.44%
ENUGU 36.02%
EBONYI 35.90%
TARABA 32.56%
NASARAWA 30.19%
CROSS RIVER 29.91%
OGUN 29.81%
RIVERS 26.71%
Top 10 states with the highest voters registration in 2019
LAGOS 6.57m
KANO 5.48m
KADUNA 3.93m
KATSINA 3.23m
RIVERS 3.22m
OYO 2.93m
DELTA 2.85m
PLATEAU 2.48m
BENUE 2.48m
BAUCHI 2.46m
Source: INEC
2019 Election FactBook| 7Voters Trend Analysis
A review of 2011&2015 Elections
Trend of Voters for Presidential Elections ( 1999-2015)
Population Voting Age Population Registered voters Total Votes count
181.6m
91.7m
2015
68.8m
29.4m
155.2m
81.7m
2011
73.5m
39.5m
131.9m
71.0m
2007*
61.6m
35.4m
129.9m
64.3m
2003
60.8m
42.0m
108.3m
52.8m
1999
57.9m**
30.3m
Source: International Institute for Democracy and Electoral Assistance (IDEA)
2019 Election FactBook| 82015 Presidential Election Summary
Population: Voting age population
181.56m 91.67m
Total Votes Voters turnout
29.43m 43.65%
49%
North Central
43.47%
56%
North East
45.22%
56%
North West
55.09%
63%
South East
40.52%
62%
South South
57.81%
32%
South West
40.26%
2011 2015
Source: 2011 and 2015 Elections in Nigeria (Africa elections database). African elections tripod.
2019 Election FactBook| 92015 Election results by regions
Muhammadu Goodluck
Buhari
Jonathan
15,424,921 12,853,162
(APC)
(PDP)
APC
PDP
North 796,588
West 7,115,199
1,339,709
North
East 2,848,678
54%
Muhammadu Buhari
was declared winner
1,715,818
North with a total of 15.4m
Central 2,411,013
votes which is about
54% of the total votes
counted
1,821,416
South
West 2,433,193
4,714,725
South
South 418,590
2,464,906
South
East 198,248
Source- 2011 and 2015 Elections in Nigeria (Africa elections database). African elections tripod
2019 Election FactBook| 10The Candidates
73 More than half of the
presidential candidates are
The total number of candidates
contesting for the office of the 39/73 50+
President
Candidates by Age
Nsehe
NSEOBONH
Nsehe Nseobong of the Restoration party is
2 18-35 the youngest presidential candidate at 33
years
32
36-50 Muhammadu
BUHARI
37 51-70
Muhammadu Buhari of APC is the
oldest presidential candidate at 76
2 70+
Candidates by Candidates by Highest
Gender Academic qualification
SSCE
17 Bachelors 29
Degree
8%
6 67
92% Masters/PHd
27
Female Male
Source: INEC 2019 Election FactBook| 11Vice President
Candidates by Age
Omede
JOHNSON
5 18-35 JOHNSON OMEDE of the New Nigeria People’s
Party is the youngest vice presidential candidate
36-50 at 30 years
25
51-70 Nwankwo A.
41 AGWUNCHA
2 70+
Nwankwo Arthur Agwuncha of People’s Trust
is the oldest vice presidential candidate at 76
Candidates by Highest
Candidates by Gender
Academic Qualification
14
SSCE
43
Bsc
22 51
31% 69%
Female Male
Masters/PHd
16
Source: INEC
2019 Election FactBook| 12Candidates by Gender
The Senate 234
Female
contestants
109 Senatorial
seats
1903 Senatorial
Contestants
1669
Male
contestants
Candidates by Age Highest Academic qualification
909
818
778
567 219
253 1 2
22 SSCE Bachelors Masters degree
18-35 36-50 51-70 70-100 degree /PHd
Age, Gender and Academic Qualification in the Key Political Parties
(18-35) (36-50) 51-70 70-100 Bachelors Masters degree
SSCE degree /PHd
APC 0 18 80 4 95 7 10 61 30
2 21 86 0 99 10 15 37 52
PDP
2 28 44 3 79 4 39 38 5
SDP
Others 243 842 487 15 213 1396 714 682 132
FINDINGS: While the minimum requirement to contest for the Senate is SSC, there are 56 candidates who presented First School
leaving certificates.
**20 PERSONS WITH NO QUALIFICATION, and 56 presented FSLC Cert
22 AGE ERROR
2019 Election FactBook| 13Candidates by Gender
The Representatives
511
Female
360 HOReps
seats
contestants
House of
4192
4703 Representatives
Contestants
Male
contestants
Candidates by Age Academic qualification
2235 2499
1732
1295
1091
334
5 1 2
18-35 36-50 51-70 70+ SSCE Bachelors Masters degree
degree /PHd
Age, Gender and Academic Qualification in the Key Political Parties
(18-35) (36-50) 51-70 70+ Bachelors Masters degree
SSCE degree /PHd
APC 15 159 164 0 322 16 35 186 114
6 177 173 0 334 22 86 141 128
PDP
40 150 68 1 240 20 121 106 26
SDP
Others 1234 1749 686 4 3296 453 2343 1299 66
* FINDINGS:239 PERSONS NO AGE STATED, 167 presented FSLC Cert, and 256 persons with qualification error
1 APC candidate with age error and 16 Qualification error
2 PDP Candidate with age error and 32 qualification error
15 SDP candidate with age error, with 37 qualification ERROR
2019 Election FactBook| 14
Source: INECGubernatorial
984
1064 Male
contestants
Gubernatorial
Aspirants
80
Female
contestants
Gubernatorial Candidates
by Age 442 472
588
369 128
104 1 2
3
SSCE Bsc Masters/PhD
18-35 36-50 51-70 70+
Gender and Academic Qualification in the Key Political Parties
(18-35) (36-50) 51-70 70+ Bachelors Masters degree
SSCE degree /PHd
APC 0 6 21 0 27 0 4 14 9
0 7 21 1 29 0 4 12 11
PDP
1 10 15 1 27 1 7 14 6
SDP
Others
103 565 312 1 901 79 427 432 102
*FINDINGS: 2 without gender, 5 with age errors, 24 qualifications error
Source: INEC
2019 Election FactBook| 15Gender Distribution of National Assembly Candidates
For 2019 Election Per State (Senate)
South
West
EKITI 24 3
LAGOS 34 20
OGUN 54 7
ONDO 37 4
OSUN 1454 14 256 55
Male Female
OYO 7 53 7
South
South
AKWA IBOM 26 8 3
BAYELSA 2040 4
CROSS RIVER 35 3
DELTA 56 12
EDO 30 3 233 43
Male Female
RIVERS 7 46 13
South
East
ABIA 38 6
ANAMBRA 61 14
EBONYI 34 3
ENUGU 38 13
IMO 91 13 262 49
Male Female
Source: INEC
2019 Election FactBook| 16Gender Distribution of National Assembly Candidates
For 2019 Election Per State (Senate)
North
Central
BENUE 24 39 8 3
FCT 22 10 3
KOGI 66 7
KWARA 50 7
NASARAWA 41 4
NIGER 35 5 289 45
Male Female
PLATEAU 36 4
24
North
East
ADAMAWA 4 34 9
BAUCHI 43 1
BORNO 38 1
GOMBE 38 7
TARABA 46 3
YOBE 16 1 215 22
Male Female
North
West
JIGAWA 31 1
KADUNA 51 5
KANO 83 3
KATSINA 32 1
KEBBI 46 5
SOKOTO 97 5 414 20
Male Female
ZAMFARA 74
Source: INEC
2019 Election FactBook| 17Gender Distribution of National Assembly Candidates
For 2019 Election Per State (House of Reps)
South
West
EKITI 45 6 3
LAGOS 207 71
OGUN 153 16
ONDO 85 11
OSUN 95 30
765 160
OYO 180 26 Male Female
South
South
AKWA IBOM 76 19
BAYELSA 764 8
CROSS RIVER 74 8
DELTA 108 8
511 97
Male Female
EDO 48 11
RIVERS 7 14 129* 27
*APC has no candidates due to
court judgement
South
East
ABIA 80 25 53 3
*PDP have no candidate in
ANAMBRA 154* 35 Njikoka/Dunukofia/Anaocha
due to court judgement
EBONYI 55 9
ENUGU 76 13 54
IMO 34 14 226 40 591 122
Male Female
Source: INEC
2019 Election FactBook| 18Gender Distribution of National Assembly Candidates
For 2019 Election Per State (House of Reps)
North
Central
BENUE 121 12
FCT 44 13 3
KOGI 130 23
KWARA 73 10
NASARAWA 57 3
NIGER 14 118 611 78
11 Male Female
PLATEAU
68 6
North
East
ADAMAWA 91 11
BAUCHI 77 2
BORNO 68 5
GOMBE 60 8
TARABA 80 4 403 33
YOBE 27 3 Male Female
North
West
JIGAWA
84 1
KADUNA 140 8
KANO 465 16
KATSINA 135 7
KEBBI 74 5
SOKOTO 1247 53
230 16 Male Female
ZAMFARA
119 0
Source: INEC
2019 Election FactBook| 19The Candidates
Atiku Kingsley
Abubakar Moghalu
Economist, Lawyer
Politician, Business man
72 56
Atiku Abubakar is a Nigerian politician and Kingsley Moghalu is a political economist, lawyer
businessman. Prior to his position as Vice President and professor. He served formerly as an official of the
of Nigeria from 1999 to 2007 under the presidency of United Nations between 1992 and 2008, and deputy
Olusegun Obasanjo, he served as an officer of the governor of the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) from
Nigerian Customs Ser vice. Abubakar is the 2009 to 2014. Moghalu joined in 2018 the Young
presidential candidate of the People's Democratic Progressive Party to run for president.
Party (PDP) in the 2019 general elections.
Education:
Education:
Moghalu holds a master's degree and a PhD in
Abubakar holds a WASSCE/GCE Certificate, a Health International Relations from Tuft University with a
Diploma in Hygiene and a Diploma in Law host of other international certificates – in
respectively. macroeconomics and financial sector
management, corporate governance, and global
Agenda Overview: strategic leadership – under his belt.
Abubakar’s agenda spreads across eighteen (18) Agenda Overview:
overarching policy focus notably economic revamp,
job creation and entrepreneurship development, Promising a 21st-century leadership, Moghalu’s
poverty alleviation, power, technology and vision is encapsulated in three (3) rubrics: leadership
petrochemical infrastructure. According to his policy and governance, nation-building, and economy. He
document, Abubakar promises a private-driven proposes to unite Nigerians behind a common
economy bolstered by a business-enabling cause—stronger innovation-driven economy and a
environment. Devolution of power plus economic new philosophical worldview for the
restructuring, disposal of national assets (e.g. 90% of country—powered by robust education reform.
NNPC), elevation of democratic values vis-à-vis Other plans include energy policy reform, diaspora
respect for the rule of law and reinforcement of engagement and return policy, 50:50 gender parity
national unity are also prominent amongst his policy [in all political appointments], healthcare
campaign pledges. system reform and constitutional restructuring.
2019 Election FactBook| 20The Candidates
Muhammadu Omoyele
Buhari Sowore
Activist, Media Enterpreneur
Politician, Business man
76 47
Muhammadu Buhari is a politician, former Head of Omoyele Sowore is a seasoned activist, democracy
State (between 1983 and 1985) and the incumbent advocate and media entrepreneur. Former student
President of Nigeria. He retired from the Nigerian leader and prominent figure in the June 12
Army as a Major General in 1985. Buhari presently “Struggle,” Sowore started Sahara Reporters in 2006
seeks re-election under the platform of the All to fight public corruption. In 2018, he founded the
Progressive Congress (APC). African Action Congress (AAC), vying for president.
Education: Education:
Buhari graduated from the Nigerian Military Training Sowore had his first degree in Geography and
College, took Mechanical Transport Officer’s Course Regional Planning from the University of Lagos and a
from the United Kingdom and earned a master’s master’s degree in Public Administration from
degree in Strategic Studies from the US Army War Columbia University.
College, took the Platoon Commanders’ Course
Agenda Overview:
Agenda Overview:
What he calls “8 Point Plan for Nigeria,” Sowore’s
Buhari’s re-election manifesto is built around 11 key presidential campaign is pivoted on eight policy
policy proposals spanning power, road and rail frameworks including security, power, infrastructure,
infrastructure, job creation, industrialisation, health anti-corruption, economy, job creation and
insurance, diversity and inclusion, and social restructuring. Promising to collapse the “old order,”
investment. The Buhari regime also reasserts taking he vows to bring the mainstream political parties to
the war against corruption and insecurity notches book. Sowore plans to maximize technology to curb
higher. With the People Moni Bank and the the trend of excess cash flow. His top campaign
Entrepreneur Bank, it promises to upgrade its social pledges also include police reform, massive
investment schemes, providing succour for petty employment via technology innovation industry,
traders, farmers and entrepreneurs. Among other N100,000 minimum wage and equal payment to
promises, the Buhari manifesto also includes youth corp members, and expansion of power
educational development, remodelling and capacity to 24,000 megawatts from the current rate
equipping of 10,000 schools per year. of 7,000.
2019 Election FactBook| 21You can also read
