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Brand Dhoni? What next for - 28Financial - Money Wise
13     India's growth rate to
         surpass China in 2016                                           40    Role of emotional
                                                                               Intelligence at WorkPlace

  www.money-wise.in                                              VOLUME - 3 ISSUE -2         February 2015

                                    Pages 52   50/-   Monthly   Be Wise!! It is your Money

                                                                                        28
   What next for                                                                               Financial

   Brand Dhoni?...12                                                                           Audit &
                                                                                               Frauds
Money Wise February 2015 www.money-wise.in                                                                 1
Brand Dhoni? What next for - 28Financial - Money Wise
CONTENT
                                                  EDITORIAL.....                                                        vintage series.....

                                                  6       Modi's MAKE IN INDIA
                                                          push is a master stroke. It is a
                                                          revolutionary concept, which
                                                  will firmly put India into growth
                                                  trajectory....
                                                                                                                        10
                                                                                                                        poorest and most
                                                                                                                                        Africa
                                                                                                                                        remains
                                                                                                                                        the world's

                                                                                                                        underveloped continent.
                                                                                                                        The result of a variety of
                                                                                                                        factors that may include corrupt governments, high levels
                                                                                                                        of illiteracy, lack of access to foreign capital....
                                                  MONEY WISE Series
                                                  GOLD REVIEW.....                                                      legally wise.....

                                                  8     Gold posted significant
                                                        gains during the month after
                                                        investors fled other investment
                                                  avenues following several economic
                                                  developments....
                                                                                                                        14          Important Supreme
                                                                                                                                    Court Judgements
                                                                                                                                     (19th December 2014-
                                                                                                                        18th January 2015)

                                                  lexis of stock market.....

                                                  16
                                                  types....
                                                                 When a company proposes to raise
                                                                 capital from the public, it issues a
                                                                 prospectus. Prospectuses are two
                                                                                                                        understanding mutual funds.....

                                                                                                                        44           Lets understand how financial instruments
                                                                                                                                     came into existence. Its starts with the need
                                                                                                                                     of capital to start any business. On one hand
                                                                                                                        there are industries/companies and.....

                                                                                                                     Be Wise!! It is your Money
                                                     VOLUME-3, ISSUE-2              February 2015                      Monthly                            Pages 52         Price Rs. 50/-
                                                  Chief Editor:                                            EditorIAL ADVISors                               ADVISors
                                                  T. S. Raghavendra Rao                                   S.K. Seshachandrika                             T.B. Sridharamurthy
                                                                                                           M.K. Vidyaranya                                 T.S. Giri
                                                                                                           CMA B.R. Prabhakar                              S.G. Chaturvedi
                                                  associate Editor                                         R.S. Raghavan                                   M.B. Balasubramanyam
                                                  M.N. Subramanya (Hon)                                   S. Kannan                                       Mangala Gopinath
                                                                                                         SPECIAL CORRESPONDANTs

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Brand Dhoni? What next for - 28Financial - Money Wise
CONTENT                                                                                News in Nutshell

             15                                                          18
                                                                                                       1. Government of India has allowed Public Sector           12. New Year eve celebrations at Burj Khalifa in Dubai
                     Supreme Court verdict on                                     Dancing of Rupee        Banks to raise upto Rs.1,60,000 Crores in stages            was special. A light show involving 70,000 LED
                     IPL Match fixing scandal                                     against Dollar          by reducing Govt holding to 52% to meet Basel III           bulbs were used which entered into the Guiness
             and its impact on India Cements                                                              norms.                                                      Records.

                                                                                                       2. Reserve Bank of India imposed a fine of Rs 50 lacs      13. Remittances by NRIs to Kerala crossed Rs 97000

             20                NITI Aayog replaces                                                        & Rs.25 lacs on ICICI Bank and Bank of Baroda for           Crores during July -Septr 2015.
                                                                                                          not enforcing KYC norms.
                               PLANNING COMMISSION                                                                                                                14. IIMs may be allowed to award MBA Degree in the
                                                                                                       3. Jack Ma founder of Alibaba portal is reported to            near future.
                                                                                                          have made a profit of $18.5 Billion in 2014.

             27       Money on Mobile:                                                                                                                            15. Planning Commission has been replaced by NITI
                                                                                                       4. Public Sector Banks lost Rs.2417 Crores in the first        Ayog with the Prime Minister as the Chairman.
                      An answer for                                                                       Quarter of 2014-15 due to frauds. Leading the pack
             instant fund transfer                                                                        was Central Bank of India with Rs.818 Crores.           16 Bangalore Stock Exchange stopped functioning

                                                                                 24
                                                                                                                                                                     due to reduced transactions. However, it's Stock
                                                                                       Memorable       5. Dharmaj, a small village with a population just 1100,      Broking Arm BgSE Financials continues to function.

             37    Not by Rupee alone: Changing
                   approaches in Employee
                                                                                       Memories
                                                                                 of Maiden
                                                                                                          70 Kms  from Vadodara boasts of a total deposits
                                                                                                          of Rs 1000 Crores ! 13 Banks have opened branches       17. Central Government okayed.  auctioning of 2G and
                                                                                                                                                                      3G Spectrum which may yield about 64840 Crores
contents

                                                                                                                                                                                                                               SNIPPETS
                                                                                                          in the village.
             compensation
                                                                                 WORLD                 6. Mr Hari Rao an ITO cum entrepreneur of Bangaluru
                                                                                                                                                                      during the entire process.

                                                                                 CUP 1983                 has designed a Gas Stove which saves 50% gas            18. Azim Premji Chief of Wipro topped the list of Indian

                                                         35   Are IPOs                                    and is carbon and smoke free. Ideal for industrial          Philanthrophists by donating Rs 12316 Crores
                                                                                                          units.                                                      during April 2013 and October 2014.
                                                              losing ground?
                                                                                                       7. Indian Premier Leage (IPL) fiasco reaches a             19. Crude Oil prices continued its slide falling below
                                                                                                                                                                      $50 per Barrel. GOI responded by reducing

                                                                 42
                                                                                                          definite stage with Supreme Court verdict.
                                                                          Soil Health Cards for           More likely to follow.                                      the prices of Petrol and Diesel twice in quick
                                                                          Farmers                                                                                     succession.

             38
                                                                                                       8. Reserve Bank of India tightened norms for
                     MCX                                                                                                                                          20. Roger Federer, ace tennis Player recorded his

                                                         45
                                                                                                          defaulters by classifying them as 'non -
                     commences                                Entrepreneurship as a                       cooperative' if they intentionally stonewall                1000th Win, a rare milestone.

             Futures Trading in                               Career for Women                            recovery efforts of Banks.
                                                                                                                                                                  21. Raghuram Rajan sprang a surprise by reducing
             Crude Mini                                                                                9. IRDA imposed a fine of Rs 55 lacs on Max Life Ins           Repo and Reverse Repo rate by 25 Basis Points.
                                                                 MONEY I LOVE YOU                         Co for violating guidelines for outsourcing .               Stock Exchanges responded positively as a result.

                                                                 48
             46
                                                                                                       10. The total number of accounts opened under Jan          22. Crore Pathis all the way! CISCO has 132
                     Corporate                                                                             Dhan Yojana crossed 10 Crores with total balance           Crorepathis on their rolls compared to just 3 in the
                                                                 A unique
                     Fraud                                       Valentine Day                             of about Rs 7600 Crores.                                   previous year.
             reports 45% increase                                message                                                                     Contributed by: M.B. Balasumbramanyam

           Money Wise February 2015www.money-wise.in                                             4   Money Wise February 2015 www.money-wise.in                                                                        5
Brand Dhoni? What next for - 28Financial - Money Wise
Letters to the Editor...
                                                                           Make In India
                                                                                                                                                  Gold and Stock Market Review by Pradeep                           MSCS in Ponzi's Guise article by Sastry is
                                                                                                                                                  Chandrashekharan is coming well. It is a                          very interesting and it creates awareness to
                             T.S.    Raghavendra Rao                                                                                             unique feature of Money Wise.                                     general public against such schemes.

                    M
                                odi's Make In India push is a masterstroke.    as easy as in China,
                                                                                                                                                                                Ms.Renuka Sundaram, Chennai                                Mrs. Veena S Gopal, Hyderabad
                                It is a revolutionary concept which will           Making Maximum out of 'Make In India' Push
                                firmly put India into growth trajectory.           India has an inbuilt advantage in terms of cheap                    We are working on increasing the
                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Article on 'Understanding Mutual Funds'
                    Make In India is about job creation, Make In India is      and skilled labour. It is time we take advantage of our                 coverage on these topics.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                    by K.S.Chhayaa is evolving very good and
                    about accelerating India's growth story. This initiative   demographic dividend and govt push and change the                                                                                    educative.
                    will transform India into a global manufacturing           face of India once and for all.                                    Vintage Series by Chandan Kulkarni is
                                                                                                                                                  coming out well. It is giving a different
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             Mr.Ramesh Narayan. Tumkur
                    hub.                                                           The recently-concluded deliberations on the
                        The government has identified 25 key sectors in        Prime Minister’s ‘Make in India’ campaign provide                  dimension to our thinking. Keep it up sir.
                    which India has the potential of becoming a world          an opportunity for delineating a forward-looking                                                              Ms. Shylaja, Mumbai    Article on V.R. Krishna Iyer is excellent. It is a
                    leader.. Enough ground work has been done in               approach in respect of manufacturing activity,                                                                                       great loss to the country.
                    this regard. The Make In India, campaign wants             income, employment and environment in the                               We shall try to live up to the expectation.                                                Ramanujam, Mumbai
                    to increase the contribution of the Manufacturing          coming years. The decisions that the government
                    sector to the overall GDP of the country. India's GDP      takes and implements in these areas are of far-
                                                                                                                                                  'Lexis Of Stock Market' by Mr.Kannan S is                         'News In Nutshell' caption for Snippets is a
                    in 2013 had 56.9% contribution by the Services sector      reaching consequence, and will impact the trajectory
                                                                                                                                                  very knowledgeable and educative. He is

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               EDITOR ANSWERS
EDITOR SPEAKS

                    while Manufacturing sector contributed only 15%..          of progress, as the economy moves from the status of                                                                                 welcome change. Snippets is evolving well.
                                                                                                                                                  covering it very comprehensively                                  Good job by Mr.M.B.Balasubramanyam.
                        Prelude: The Indian economy, which slumped             ‘developing’ to that of ‘developed’.
                    badly in 2012 and 2013, will likely grow 6.3 percent           An action plan has been prepared, and the ROAD                                                    Mr.Anand Rajshekhar, Goa                                     Mr. Kalyan Raman, Pune
                    this year, because of investor confidence in Modi.         to success consisting of Responsibility, Ownership,
                    By 2016 the country’s growth rate of 7.2 percent           Accountability and Discipline defined                              Article on BCCI's Monetary growth by Abhijit
                    will surpass China’s 7.1 percent, says CLSA senior             Pride in the organisation, nation and community                                                                                  Money Wise is yet to start detailed coverage
                                                                                                                                                  Burli is excellent . Very good Abhijit Burli Sir                  of Stock Market.
                    economist Rajeev Malik.                                    to which one belongs is needed to a much greater
                        Make In India; Right On time: This is the golden       extent than it exists today. While a lot is made of
                                                                                                                                                                          Mr.George ,Cricket Lover, New Delhi                             Mrs. Poornima Srinath, Mysore.
                    opportunity for Indian Industry to take advantage of       globalisation and the need for the adoption of global
                    the Govt push on Make In India especially when our         best practices, there is ample scope for building on               'BJP's Poll ready Team' article by                                   We are working on it madam.
                    neighbour China is showing a downward trend in             this intangible element of local and national pride,               M.N.Subramanya is very insightful
                    GDP growth.                                                not for covering our inherent weaknesses but for                                                  Mr.Rajeshwari Devi, Bangalore      'Revisit Of Base Rate Mechanism' by
                        The slowdown in China, however, could make             emphasising our strengths, capacities and potential.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                    R.S.Raghavan is very technical and extremely
                    a big difference this time. China became an export             There is no dearth of these, be in the form of
                                                                                                                                                                                                                    good.
                    powerhouse because of its vast pool of low-wage            richness of tradition, culture and values, or in the               Article on 'BIosimilar of Adalimumab' gives
                    workers, but it’s no longer so cheap to manufacture        availability of indigenous knowledge. All of these                 valuable information.                                                                               Mr.Krishna Kamath,
                    there. Pinched by double-digit increases in China’s        need to be re-emphasised and combined with the                                                                  Mr.Nagraj, Chennai                      Rtd. Canara Bank Manager, Mysore
                    minimum wages, many companies are looking for              availability of technology, organisation and efficiency,
                    low-cost alternatives. Southeast Asian countries such      so as to create adequate momentum and motivation
                    as Vietnam and Indonesia are attractive, but they lack     to overcome some of the underlying inefficiencies in                                                                Subscription Details
                    the deep supply of workers available in India. “Neither    our system.
                    one is big enough to take up the slack,” leaving India         A combination of self-pride, institutional support,             1 Year - Rs. 600/-   3 Years - Rs. 1600/-   5 Years - Rs. 2700/
                    with a “golden opportunity.”                               critical thinking and effective action can undoubtedly                          Mode of Payment:                                               Online Transfer:
                        China's GDP is continuously on a downward              enable the ‘Make in India’ stamp to become a hallmark                           Cheque/DD favouring                                            Money Wise
                    trend. Difficult to recover considering China's            of global excellence. The steps mentioned here can                              "Money Wise" and send it to                                    Account No: 32583988349
                    Demographics.                                              provide a strong foundation for enabling a successful                           # 31, Vidya Bhavana, 1st Floor,                                State Bank of India
                        And though foreign investment is rising in             ‘Make in India’ campaign.                                                       West Anjaneya Temple Street,                                   IFSC Code: SBIN0010411
                    “Vietnam, Thailand, Myanmar and the Philippines,”              'Money Wise' wishes 'Make In India' initiative of                           Opp: Karanji Anjaneya Temple.                                  City: Bangalore
                    conducting business in those countries is usually not      Prime Minister Narendra Modi a very success.                                    Basavangudi, BANGALORE-560 004                                 moneymatu@gmail.com

                Money Wise February 2015www.money-wise.in                                                                               6   Money Wise February 2015 www.money-wise.in                                                                                 7
Brand Dhoni? What next for - 28Financial - Money Wise
GOLD REVIEW                                                                                                            STOCK MARKET REVIEW
                                                                                                                                                THE NIFTY                                                  positions in such stocks.
                                                                                                                                                The NIFTY had a volatile month and moved in a
                                                                                                                                            fairly narrow range during the month. Fresh bouts of
                                                                                                                                            buying interest in several pivotals has enabled the NIFTY
                                                                                                                                            to claw its way back close to its all-time high. The short
                                                                                                                                            and medium term trends continue to be sideways while
                                                                                                                                            the long term trend continues to be up. In the forth
                                                                                                                                            coming sessions, the NIFTY can be expected to test its
                                                            Pradeep Chandrasekaran                                                          resistance at the 8650 level. This is going to be crucial in
                                                                                                                                            the sense that a failure now to break this level will result

              G
                                                                                                                                            in the formation of a double top. Double tops have
                      old posted significant gains during the month              DOMESTIC GOLD PRICE MOVEMEN                                bearish implications and are formed when the prices
                      after investors fled other investment avenues              The domestic gold moved slower relative to the             reach the same level and is unable to break through it.
                      following several economic developments. The           international prices but have also managed to turn the         On the downside, the NIFTY now has strong support
              slump in oil prices have and slump in several global           long term trend up. The domestic prices are now close          around the 8300 level. A close below this level will result        The CNX IT INDEX

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        STOCK MARKET REVIEW
              equity markets led to renewed buying in Gold.                  to the initial target at the Rs.28000 level. Long positions    in the short and medium term trends turning bearish.               The CNX IT Index staged a recovery during the
                 The decision of the Swiss National Bank to break            can be maintained in Gold though it would be advisable
GOLD REVIEW

                                                                                                                                                                                                           month by building on the strength of the triple bottom
              the three year peg of the Franc against the USD also           to initiate fresh positions only during a correction. The
                                                                                                                                                                                                           formed at the 10860 level. The recovery has been strong
              aggravated the situation which aided Gold to post more         on-going upmove in Gold will come under threat only in
                                                                                                                                                                                                           enough to turn the short term trend bullish. The Index
              gains.                                                         the event of a close below the Rs.26800 level.
                                                                                                                                                                                                           is now poised to test its recent high around the 12000
                  Chart Review                                                  GBP – USD                                                                                                                  mark. As in the case of the NIFTY, this is going to be
                  Gold broke through all the near-by resistance with                                                                                                                                       crucial because a failure now to break above the 12000
              the bulls tightening their hold. The gains over the last                                                                                                                                     mark will result in the formation of a double top. On
              few sessions have been significant enough for the long                                                                                                                                       the downside, the first support is currently placed at the
              term trend to turn bullish. Gold now can be expected to                                                                                                                                      11350 level. A close below this level will result in the
              test the $1340 level in the coming weeks. The erstwhile                                                                                                                                      short term trend turning bearish.
              resistance for Gold around the $ 1260 level is now the first
              level of support for Gold. Investors can use corrections
              in Gold to build long positions. The short and medium
              term trends will turn bearish only if Gold where to close                                                                          THE BANK NIFTY
              below the $1220 level.                                                                                                            The BANK NIFTY broke through its resistance
                                                                                                                                            levels and rose to new record highs. All the trends in
                                                                                                                                            the Index are now up. The struggle of the Index over the
                                                                                 The GBP came under renewed attack from the bears           last few weeks in the range between 17600 and 18900
                                                                             with the result that the short term has once again turned      will now have the ability to cushion any fall and will act
                                                                             down. The GBP is now heading towards a test of its 2013        as the first area of support. The immediate target for the
                                                                             low at the 1.4806 level where it has previously formed         Index is now at the 19900 level. There are several stocks
                                                                             a double bottom (see chart). This is a major support           in the sector which continue to offer entry opportunities
                                                                             area for the GBP now and is a crucial area. Should the         at low risk and investors can continue to build long
                                                                             support hold, the GBP will have the potential to stage a
                                                                             recovery – potentially all the way to the 1.55 level. On
                                                                             the other hand, if this level is broken, further selling can                                                  Pradeep Chandrasekaran
                                                                             be expected since there is no visible support immediately                                       (the author is the Founder and CEO of Finmark Trainers
                                                                             after this.                                                                                             and can be reached at pc@finmark.co.in)

              Money Wise February 2015www.money-wise.in                                                                            8      Money Wise February 2015 www.money-wise.in                                                                          9
Brand Dhoni? What next for - 28Financial - Money Wise
Vintage Series                                                                                                                                                                                                          Vintage Series

                                                    Diamonds of War
                                                                                                                                                   Africa dominates the global diamond market.                   They are generally in "rough" form, meaning they
                                                                                                                                                In 2008, the continent produced 55 percent of the             have recently been extracted and not polished.
                                                                                                                                                world’s diamonds. Botswana, Angola, South Africa, the             A diamond mined in Sierra leone by RUF commiting
                                                                                                                                                Democratic Republic of the Congo, and Namibia,Sierra          brutalities may well be a engagement ring in US or may
                                                                                                                                                Leone are Africa’s largest producers of diamonds.             be made into a beautiful necklace.All such diamonds
                                                                                                                                                Diamonds,a Resource Curse?                                    invariably are responsible for the conflict.Diamonds have
                                                                                                                                                          Sierra Leone is a country in West Africa. It is     always been looked at as source of power and wealth,but
                 Chandan Kulkarni
                 chandanmeetsu@gmail.com
                                                                                                  Blood Diamonds                                bordered by Guinea in the north-east, Liberia in the          its hard to imagine their brutal past.
                                                                                                                                                south-east, and the Atlantic ocean in the south-west.             The world demand for diamond is so high that it helps
                                                                                                                                                Freetown is the capital city,its a bustling port city.        to keep the conflict going. At the height of the civil war
                                                                                                                                                   The main minerals mined in Sierra Leone are                in Sierra Leone, it is estimated that conflict diamonds
                                                                                                                                                diamonds, rutile, bauxite, gold, iron and limonite.           represented approximately 4% of the world's diamond
                                                                                                                                                                                                              production.
                                                                                                                                                    Mining in Sierra Leone, especially diamond mining,
                                                                                                                                                has been seen as one of the key factors for instability           The war claimed over 75,000 lives, caused 500,000
                                                                                                                                                in the country and one of the reasons for the country's       Sierra Leoneans to become refugees, and displaced
                                                                                                                                                recent civil war.                                             half of the countries 4.5 million people.More than
                                                                                                                                                                                                              5,000 child soldiers were forcibly recruited. Many were
                                                                                                                                                   The first Sierra Leonean diamond was found in 1930,
                                                                                                                                                                                                              given drugs and forced to commit barbarious crimes.
                                                                                                                                                and significant production commenced in 1935. Sierra
                                                                                                                                                                                                              AK47,knives,macheetes were given to them ,looting
                                                                                                                                                Leonean production is characterized
                                                                                                                                                                                                              ,Rape,burning down entire villages followed.Child
                                                                                                                                                    by a high proportion of top-quality gem diamonds.         soldiers were most feared,they formed a "Boys Unit".
                                                                                                                                                The Star of Sierra Leone, a magnificent 969-carat             Most of all, however, the RUF became known for mass
VINTAGE SERIES

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            VINTAGE SERIES
                                                                                                                                                diamond, was discovered in the Koidu area. By 1937            mutilation. According to an estimate by the humanitarian
                                                                                                                                                Sierra Leone was mining one million carats annually,          agency medico international, the rebels hacked off limbs
                                                                                                                                                reaching a peak of 2 million carats in 1960.                  of about 20,000 civilians.RUF took labourers as slaves
                                                                                                                                                     From 1930 to 1998, approximately 55 million carats       to work in mines.Revolutionary United Front (RUF)
                                                                                                  "For every hand taken in marriage,another     were mined (officially) in Sierra Leone. At an average        established itself as a brutal militia.
                                                                                                  hand is taken away" in one of the Ads.        price in 1996 dollars of US $270 per carat, the total value   Diamonds are a guerilla’s best friend
                                                                                                                                                is close to US $15 billion.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Throughout the nine-year civil war, fighting

                 A
                                                                                                                                                     Unfortunately several African conflicts and civil wars   concentrated in and around the diamond districts.
                          frica remains the world's poorest and most             total global gemstone production, America buys more            have been caused and funded by the diamond industry.
                          underdeveloped continent, the result of a variety      than half of the world's total gem quality diamonds.                                                                         RUF leaders were very aware that whoever controls the
                                                                                                                                                Whenever a substance of value was found in Africa             diamond mines controls Sierra Leone, and profits from
                          of factors that may include corrupt governments,           Diamonds were too rare and expensive for those             ,it resulted in bloodshed - history is a witness to such
                 high levels of illiteracy, lack of access to foreign capital.                                                                                                                                smuggled diamonds funded its attack.
                                                                                 of lesser means to afford until the discovery of African       conflicts.
                     Africa is rich in natural resources. Sudan and Nigeria      diamond mines in the 1870s. The De Beers Company was                                                                             By the war’s end, the RUF was generating an annual
                                                                                                                                                    The Sierra Leone Civil War (1991–2002) began on 23        $ 25 million to $ 125 million this way. In 2001, peace
                 are two of the main oil producers,the copper belt in            the sole owner and operator of these newly discovered          March 1991 when the Revolutionary United Front (RUF),
                 Katanga, the diamond mines in Sierra Leone, Angola,             mines in South Africa. In the 1930s, when demand for                                                                         negotiations were conducted under pressure from the
                                                                                                                                                with support from the special forces of National Patriotic    UN, and the war ended one year later.
                 and Botswana are well known for their abundance and             diamond rings declined in the U.S. during hard economic        Front of Liberia (NPFL), intervened in Sierra Leone in
                 rich produce.                                                   times, the De Beers Company began an aggressive                                                                                  The diamonds mined were smuggled to Liberia
                                                                                                                                                an attempt to overthrow the Joseph Momoh government.
                    The word "Diamond" comes from the Greek word                 marketing campaign using photographs of glamorous                                                                            and other neighbouring countries and exported. The
                                                                                                                                                The resulting civil war lasted 11 years, enveloped the
                 "Adamas" and means "unconquerable and indestructible".          movie stars swathed in diamonds. Within three years, the                                                                     astoundingly high levels of its diamond exports bear
                                                                                                                                                country, and left over 50,000 dead.
                                                                                 sales of diamonds had increased by 50 percent.                                                                               no relationship to its own limited resource base. By
                     During the medieval ages Diamonds were known in                                                                                Conflict diamonds, also known as "blood diamonds"
                                                                                       In 1947, De Beers launched its now classic slogan,                                                                     accepting Liberian exports as legitimate, the international
                 ancient Greece and the Roman empire and were believed                                                                          are diamonds illegally traded to fund conflict in war-torn
                                                                                 "A Diamond is Forever." This spurred even more sales.                                                                        diamond industry actively colluded in crimes committed
                 to be tears of the Gods and splinters from falling stars.                                                                      areas, particularly in central and western Africa. The        or permitted by the Liberian government.
                 Their rarity, durability and beauty made them popular              Africa’s two most profitable mineral resources are          United Nations (UN) defines conflict diamonds as "...
                 among royalty.Today, diamonds continue to hold a deep           gold and diamonds. In 2008, Africa produced about 483                                                                           Annual Liberian diamond mining capacity is between
                                                                                                                                                diamonds that originate from areas controlled by forces
                 fascination as the world’s ultimate symbol of wealth.           tons of gold, or 22 percent of the world’s total production.                                                                 100,000 and 150,000 carats, but the records indicate
                                                                                                                                                or factions opposed to legitimate and internationally
                                                                                 South Africa accounts for almost half of Africa’s gold                                                                       Liberian imports into Belgium of over 31 millioncarats
                    The U.S. is the world’s largest diamond market.                                                                             recognized governments, and are used to fund military
                                                                                 production.                                                                                                                  between 1994 and 1998 - an average of over six million
                 Although the U.S. accounts for less than one-percent of                                                                        action in opposition to those governments..”

                 Money Wise February 2015www.money-wise.in                                                                             10     Money Wise February 2015 www.money-wise.in                                                                         11
Brand Dhoni? What next for - 28Financial - Money Wise
India's growth rate to surpass China's in 2016: IMF
                                                                                                                                               I
                                                                                                                                                    ndia under the leadership of Prime Ministership of             Global growth in 2015 16
                                                                                                                                                    Narendra Modi is expected to grow at 6.3 per cent          is projected at 3.5 and 3.7 per
                                                                                                                                                    his year and 6.5 per cent in 2016 , when it is likely to   cent, a downward revision of 0.3
                                                                                                                                               cross China's projected growth rate.                            per cent relative to the October
                                                                                                                                                                           While     terming     the    new    2014 World Economic Outlook
                                                                                                                                                                      government's reforms as "promising"      (WEO).
                                                                                                                                                                      it insisted that their implementation        The revision reflect a
                                                                                                                                                                      is key., the IMF has said. In 2014,      reassessment of prospects in
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   M.K. Vidyaranya
                                                                                                                                                                      India's growth rate was 5.8 per          China, Russia, the euro area and      Senior Journalist
                                                                                                                                                                      cent against China's 7.4 per cent,       Japan as well as weaker activity in  & Political Analyst
                                                                                                                                                                      said the World Economic Report           some major oil exporters because
                                                                                                                                                  narendra            update released by the International     of the sharp drop in oil prices.
                                                                                                                                                      modi            Monetary Fund. India's growth rate           The United States is the only major economy for
                          "Labourers mine for diamonds in Sierra Leone"                                                                                               in 2013 was five per cent as against     which growth projections have been raised, the IMF
                                                                                                                                                                     China's 7.8 per cent.                     said.Investment growth in China declined in the third
                 carats a year.These are suspected to be blood diamonds.      reach is to any substance that is of value.Recently Rebels                                  Indias projected growth rate         quarter of 2014, and leading indicators point to a further
                                                                              hijacked mines in Congo that supply precious metals to                                 would be at 6.3 per cent in 2015 and      slowdown.
                              Diamond industry is made up of
                                                                              electronics manufacturers                                                              6.5 per cent in 2016, when it is likely
                 miners,polishers,marketers and ultimately consumers.
                                                                                                                                                                     to cross China's projected growth
VINTAGE SERIES

                 Once the rough stones are mined they are exported to             Today, Sierra Leone is at peace, but the country still

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            IMF REPORT
                                                                                                                                                                     rate of 6.3 per cent, the IMF said. "I
                 polishing centres in Belgium(Antwerp),Surat(India),L         bears deep scars. The latest Human Development Index
                                                                                                                                                                     think the reform plans of the new
                 ondon.All diamonds become legitimate after polishing,        (HDI) ranked Sierra Leone number 180 of 187 countries.
                                                                                                                                                  Gian Maria Prime Minister Narendra Modi are
                 their source is no longer necessary.                         Nearly 20 % of children die before their fifth birthday.               Milesi-         promising. We are going to have to
                 What is being done to stop the trade?                        Only about 40 % of adults over 15 years can read and                 Ferretti,         see the speed of the implementation,
                                                                              write. And almost two-thirds of the people live on less            deputy director according to " Gian Maria Milesi-
                     The Kimberley Process started when Southern
                                                                              than $ 1.25 purchasing power a day.Legitimate minig                    in IMF's        Ferretti, deputy director in IMF's
                 African diamond-producing states met in Kimberley,
                                                                              activities are carried out.Business is still not trans­parent.         Research        Research Department.
                 South Africa, in May 2000, to discuss ways to stop the
                                                                              Distrust prevails.                                                   Department             Responding to a question, the
                 trade in conflict diamonds and ensure that diamond
                 purchases were not funding violence.                            In 2003, the UN Special Court for Sierra Leone (SCSL)         IMF official said the effect of Prime Minister Narendra                      IMF downgrades
                    The result was an agreement by the United Nations,
                                                                              indicted Charles Taylor,Fomer President Of Liberia. He
                                                                              was found guilty in all 11 charges – including war crimes
                                                                                                                                               Modi-led government's economic reform would be
                                                                                                                                               difficult to predict as these are structural reforms and are
                                                                                                                                                                                                                         global growth forecast
                 European Union, the governments of 74 countries, the                                                                                                                                                However the IMF now expects global growth
                                                                              and crimes against humanity.                                     growing gradually over the medium term. "Key is going
                 World Diamond Council.                                                                                                                                                                          of 3.5% this year, compared with the previous
                                                                                  Although Africa supplies about 60 percent of the             to be implementation," Milesi- Ferretti said.
                     They established the Kimberley Process Certification                                                                          According to the latest IMF report, in India, the             estimate of 3.8% which it made in October.The
                                                                              world's diamond supply, there are alternate sources.
                 Scheme (KPCS), whereby members are required to certify                                                                        growth forecast is broadly unchanged, however, the                growth forecast for 2016 has also been cut, to 3.7%.
                                                                              First, remember that not all African diamond mines are
                 that all rough diamond exports are produced through                                                                           weaker external demand is offset by the boost to the terms        The downgrade to the forecasts comes despite one
                                                                              corrupt. The African nation Botswana has been able to
                 legitimate mining and sales activities and are "conflict-                                                                     of trade from lower oil prices and a pickup in industrial         major boost for the global economy - the sharp fall
                                                                              thrive thanks to a legitimate diamond industry, Botswana
                 free."                                                                                                                        and investment activity after policy reforms.                     in oil prices, which is positive for most countries.
                                                                              has enjoyed a complete about-face from one of the world's
                     Each shipment carries a certificate that details where   poorest countries in 1966.                                           The global growth will receive a boost from lower oil         The IMF expects that to be more than offset by
                 the diamonds came from, how they were mined, where                                                                            prices, which reflect to an important extent higher supply        negative factors, notably weaker investment.
                                                                                 As they say Diamond's are forever...
                 they were cut and polished, the parties involved, and                                                                         the Press Trust of India reported.                                That in turn reflects diminished expectations
                 their ultimate destination. The idea is that members of          "A resource curse, also known as the paradox of                  But this boost is projected to be more than offset            about the growth prospects for many developed
                 the Kimberley Process cannot trade with non-members.         plenty, refers to the paradox that countries and regions         by negative factors, including investment weakness as             and emerging economies over the next few years.
                                                                              with an abundance of natural resources, specifically point-      adjustment to diminished expectations about medium-               If business expects weaker growth, there is less
                     As of 2015 less than 1% of diamond's traded are
                                                                              source non-renewable resources like minerals and fuels,          term growth continues in many advanced and emerging               opportunity to sell goods and services and so less
                 beleived to be conflict diamonds.
                                                                              tend to have less economic growth and worse development          market economies.                                                 incentive to invest.
                     Conflict Trade is not limited to diamonds alone,its      outcomes than countries with fewer natural resources"

                 Money Wise February 2015www.money-wise.in                                                                            12     Money Wise February 2015 www.money-wise.in                                                                          13
Brand Dhoni? What next for - 28Financial - Money Wise
Legally Wise
                                                                                                                                             the Corporation losing

                                        Compiled by
                                                                                                                                             confidence or faith in
                                                                                                                                             such an employee and                            Supreme Court Verdict on IPL Match fixing
                                                                                                                                                                                              scandal and its impact on India Cements
                                        Sivaramakrishnan M.S.                                                                                awarding punishment of
                                        Practicing Supreme Court                                                                             dismissal. In such cases,
                                        Advocate                                                                                             there is no place for

                                                                                                                                                                                            T
                                        siva0714@gmail.com                                                                                   generosity or misplaced                                 he Supreme Court-appointed probe
                                                                                                                                             sympathy on the part                                    committee, led by Justice Mukul Mudgal,

                                     Important Judgements
                                                                                                                                             of the judicial forums                                  had in its first report indicted Meiyappan of
                                                                                                                                             and interfering therefore                      betting and sharing team information. Srinivasan
                                                                                                                                             with the quantum of                            had mentioned that Gurunath was a mere 'cricket
                                                                                                                                             punishment. The amount                         enthusiast.' Srinivasan was earlier charged for not
                                                 [19 December 2014 – 18 January 2015]
                                                                                                                                             misappropriated may be                         taking adequate action against those involved in
               Civil Procedure                               he may in a reasonable manner           Criminal Procedure                      small or large; it is the act                  'misdemeanours.'                                          M.N. Subramanya
                    Setting aside of exparte                give notice to the vendor, and fix a        An Appellate Court, while          of misappropriation that is
                                                                                                                                                                                                Today's Supreme Court Verdict in the IPL match            Retd. Banking
               decree under Order XXXVII Rule                period at which the business is to be   dealing with an appeal against an       relevant.                                                                                                     Professional
                                                                                                                                                                                            fixing scandal has absolved former BCCI President,
               4 of the Code cannot be allowed in            terminated.                             order of acquittal, has full power to       Diwan Singh v. Life                        CSK owner and Vice Chairman of India Cements Mr.N.Srinivasan of cover up.
               routine and special circumstances                Kailash Nath Associates v. Delhi     review, re-appreciate and reconsider        Insurance Corporation                      The allegations of cover up charges against N Srinivasan were not proved and
               are required to be established.                  Development Authority, Civil         the evidence upon which the order           of India, Civil Appeal                     at best, the SC said there's only a case of suspicion of cover up.
               However, the expression "special                 Appeal 193 of 2015, dated 9          of acquittal is founded. An appellate       3655 / 2010, dated 5                           However, N. Srinivasan, suffered a huge setback as the Supreme Court
               circumstances" has to be construed               January 2015                         court, however, must bear in mind           January 2015                               observed that he created a conflict of interest by being the BCCI president and
               having regard to the individual fact                                                  that in case of acquittal, there is                                                    the owner of a team at the same time. The SC also said that clause 6.2.4 that
               situations. The Court has to balance          Companies Act                           double presumption in favour of the     Voluntary Retirement
LEGALLY WISE

                                                                                                                                                                                            allowed Srinivasan to own a team is not sustainable.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       IPL verdict
               the equities and while safeguarding               On a conjoint reading of the       accused. Firstly, the presumption           Under any Voluntary
                                                                                                                                                                                                In a significant decision, the court struck down the controversial 6.2.4 clause
               the interest of the plaintiff,                relevant provisions of Sections 391     of innocence is available to him        Retirement Scheme, the
                                                                                                                                                                                            that allows BCCI officials to own IPL teams and have commercial interests.
               appropriate conditions can be laid            and 393 it becomes at once clear that   under the fundamental principle         employees that opt for
                                                                                                                                                                                            "BCCI must ensure institutional integrity in the conduct of game considering
               down if the defendant makes out               the Company Court which is called       of criminal jurisprudence that          the scheme and receive
                                                                                                                                                                                            the expectations of millions of viewers. Rule 6.2.4 violates principle of natural
               a debatable case which may prime              upon to sanction such a scheme has      every person shall be presumed          the ex-gratia payment
                                                                                                                                                                                            justice," the court said.
               facie show injustice if the ex-parte          not merely to go by the ipse dixit of   to be innocent unless he is proved      as provided for under
               decree was not set aside.                                                             guilty by a competent court             that scheme shall form                             The court earlier said Srinivasan's son-in-law Gurunath Meiyappan and Raj
                                                             the majority of the shareholders or
                                                                                                     of law. Secondly, the accused           a different class of                           Kundra of Rajasthan Royals are team officials who were involved in betting.
                   Mahesh Kumar Joshi v. Madan               creditors or their respective classes
                                                                                                     having secured his acquittal, the       employees and cannot                           In a landmark judement " The two-judge special bench however said "BCCI
                   Singh Negi, Civil Appeal 450 /            who might have voted in favour of
                                                                                                     presumption of his innocence is         claim the same benefits                        functions are public functions, amenable to judicial law."
                   2015, dated 15 January 2015               the scheme by requisite majority
                                                             but the Court has to consider the       further reinforced, reaffirmed and      as the other employees                             A three-member panel comprising of Justices RM Lodha, Ashok Bhan and
                                                                                                     strengthened by the trial court. If     who have retired in the                        RV Ravindran was also formed to decide the fate of Chennai Super Kings,
               Contract Act                                  pros and cons of the scheme with
                                                             a view to finding out whether the       two reasonable conclusions are          normal course. Revisions                       Rajasthan Royals and recommend changes in the BCCI constitution. The panel
                    If time be made the essence of
                                                             scheme is fair, just and reasonable     possible on the basis of the evidence   in pensions accruing to                        will give its report in six months.
               the contract, that may be waived by
                                                             and is not contrary to any provisions   on record, the appellate court should   employees who retired in                          The Supreme Court Thursday said sidelined BCCI president N. Srinivasan
               the conduct of the purchaser; and
                                                             of law and it does not violate any      not disturb the finding of acquittal    the normal course can be                       cannot contest elections for the Indian cricket board's governing body
               if the time is once allowed to pass,
                                                             public policy. This is implicit in      recorded by the trial court.            denied to employees who                        presidency as long as he is involved in a "conflict of interest" situation as an
               and the parties go on negotiating
               for completion of the purchase,               the very concept of compromise or          Vinod Kumar v. State of              voluntarily retired under a                    owner ofIPL franchise Chennai Super Kings (CSK).
               then time is no longer of the essence         arrangement which is required to           Haryana, Criminal Appeal 1401        VRS Scheme, provided the                          Impact Of this judgement on India Cements: Shares of India Cements
               of the contract. But, on the other            receive the imprimatur of a court of       / 2008 dated 8 January 2015          Scheme sets out as such                        surged nearly 9 percent today after the Supreme Court verdict.
               hand, it must be borne in mind that           law.                                                                            expressly.
                                                                                                                                                                                               Now that the final Verdict is out, N.Srinivasan is barred by SC from
               a purchaser is not bound to wait                 Infrastructure Leasing &             Service Law                                 Manojbhai N. Shah v.                       contesting BCCI elections as long as he is involved in Conflict of interest.
               an indefinite time; and if he finds,             Financial Services v. BPL Ltd.,         When an employee is                     Union of India, Transfer                   N.Srinivasan has to take a call now. Earlier the better. Once the quantum of
               while the negotiations are going on,             Civil Appeal 2701 / 2006, dated      found guilty of pilferage or of             Case (Civil) 48 / 2010,                    punishment is decided aganist CSK and RR by the panel, we will have clarity
               that a long time will elapse before              9 January 2015                       misappropriating the Corporation's          dated 7 January 2015                       on the impact as N.Srinivasan is the Vice Chairman of India Cements and
               the contract can be completed,                                                        funds, there is nothing wrong in                                                       Dhoni is Vice President of India Cements.

               Money Wise February 2015www.money-wise.in                                                                            14     Money Wise February 2015 www.money-wise.in                                                                                         15
Brand Dhoni? What next for - 28Financial - Money Wise
themselves. For such investors,                between these two prices could be

          Lexis of Stock Market
                                                                                                                                         the option available is ‘Cut off               a maximum of 20%. This is often
                                                                                                                                         price’ which simply means that the
                                                                                                                                         applicant is willing to subscribe
                                                                                                                                                                                        referred to as Price Band.
                                                                                                                                                                                           Price discovery
                                                                                                                                                                                                                               Do you
                                                                                                                                                                                                                              know…?
                                                                                                                                         at a price at which majority of
                                                                                                                                                                                            The issuer company definitely
                                                                                                                                         the bidders are willing or at a
                                                                                                                                                                                        would look to get as much money
                                                                                                                                         price at which the issue is fully
                                                                                                                                                                                        as possible from the investors
                                                                                                                         Part- 6         subscribed. By using this option,                                                      The Wholesale Debt
                                                                                                                                                                                        for lesser number of shares that
                                                                                                                                         the investor forfeits his option to
                                                                                                                                                                                        he would issue. Obviously the              Market segment
                                                                                                                                         determine the price at which he is
                                                                                                                                                                                        opposite is true from the point        deals in fixed income
                                                                                                                                         willing to subscribe to the shares.
                                                                                                                                         SEBI guidelines permit only retail
                                                                                                                                                                                        of view of investors. The point         securities and is fast
                                                                                                                                                                                        of meeting of both the issuer and       gaining ground in an
                                                                                                                                         individual investors to have an
                                                                                                                                                                                        the investors would lead to the
                                                                                                                                         option of applying at cut off price.                                                  environment that has
                                                                                                                                                                                        price discovery. In simple, price
                                                                                                                                             Price Band                                                                          largely focussed on
                                                                                                                                                                                        discovery would help the issuer to
                                                                                                                                             Price Band is nothing but a                identify the maximum amount that
                                                                                                                                                                                                                               equities. The segment
                                                                                                                                         range of price indicated by the                he could collect from the investor    commenced operations
                                                                 CS     Kannan S                                                                                                                                               on June 30, 1994. This
                                                                                                                                         issuer at the time of opening of               for each security issued by him and
                                                                cs.skannan@gmail.com
                                                                                                                                         bids for the book building issue.              the price at which the issue would        provided the first
                                                                                                                                         The issuer provides the floor price            be fully subscribed, at least once.     formal screen based

          W
                       e have seen about                too. The price of the securities,      provides an opportunity to the            and the cap price the difference                               … to be continued      trading facility for the
                       Prospectus in the                the number of securities that are      market to discover the price for                                                                                                  debt market in the
                       previous issue. When             offered to public and the amount       securities and also the demand                     Readers are invited to send questions referring to                                   country.
LEXICON

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               LEXICON
          a company proposes to raise                   that is intended to be collected are   for such securities can be known                specific words used in stock market. You are welcome                                Courtesy : www.
          capital from the public, it issues            made known in advance under the        everyday as the book is built based              to send your queries to moneymatu@gmail.com or                                      nseindia.com
          a prospectus. Prospectuses are                fixed price issue. The minimum         on the bids received.                                          cs.skannan@gmail.com
          two types (1) Normal Prospectus               number of shares to be subscribed          Unlike the Fixed Price Issues,
          and (2) Red herring Prospectus.               by each applicant is indicated in      there are certain specific terms
          Normal Prospectus was explained               the prospectus. The critical point     used under the Book Building
          to your benefit in the previous               to be noted under this kind of an
          issue. Let us now see what Red
          herring Prospectus is. To put it in
                                                        issue is that the demand for the
                                                        securities offered is known only
                                                                                               Issues. Let us see some of them.
                                                                                                  Cut off Price
                                                                                                    In a book building issue, the
                                                                                                                                                               "ONLY" In Lighter Vein
          a layman’s language, ‘red herring’            after the close of the issue.
          means some thing, some thing                     Book Building Issue
                                                                                               issuer is required to indicate a floor
                                                                                               price, that is, a price below which
                                                                                                                                                                               ONLY he said  that he loved her.
          important is “missing”. What is
                                                            This is more a recent
          missing in such prospectuses? A
          red herring prospectus does not
                                                        development in the primary
                                                                                               the bids would not be accepted
                                                                                               and a cap price which is usually                                                He ONLY said that he loved her.
                                                        market in India. In tune with the      20% above the floor price beyond
                                                                                                                                                                               He said ONLY that he loved her.
          include three key details of the
                                                        global practices, SEBI introduced      which the investors need not bid.
          issue such as (i) price per share; (ii)
                                                        book building guidelines for           It is also possible for the issuer to
          the number of shares offered and
                                                                                                                                                                               He said that ONLY he loved her.
                                                        primary markets as early as 1995,      provide a price band within which
          (iii) the amount of issue. These two
                                                        almost no book building activity       the investor could bid. This is
          types of prospectuses are used in
                                                        was seen in the Indian capital         actually the liberty that is provided
          two different types of public issues.
          They are: (1) Fixed Price Issue and
                                                        market till 2000. Book building is
                                                        a process by which a demand for
                                                                                               to an investor who is expected
                                                                                               to bid an appropriate price after
                                                                                                                                                                               He said that he ONLY loved her.
          (2) Book Building Issue. Let us
                                                                                                                                                                               He said that he loved ONLY her.
                                                        the securities offered for sale by a   considering various prospects of
          see what are they.
                                                        corporate is built up and the price    the issue.
              Fixed price issue                         for the security is assessed on the
                                                                                                                                                                               He said that he loved her ONLY.
                                                                                                   Though this looks very simple,
             This is an age old type of                 basis of the bid obtained from the
                                                                                               it would be very difficult for the
          public issue and most popular one             investors. This type of mechanism
                                                                                               investors to arrive at a price by

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Brand Dhoni? What next for - 28Financial - Money Wise
Dancing of                                                                                            to that extent of supporting to meet that much value of
                                                                                                                                               Import, resulting in concrete Trade Deficit, reflected in
                                                                                                                                               adverse Balance of Payments. This is the prime cause
                                                                                                                                                                                                                exports, dependent on Europe for CAD may be a good
                                                                                                                                                                                                                theoretical concept.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Ground reality of rupee slide is due to huge Current

                                    RUPEE against DOLLAR                                                                                       for free fall of Rupee. India handled and managed this
                                                                                                                                               shortfall in B O P through the flows in Capital Account
                                                                                                                                                                                                                Account Deficit, caused by primarily large value of import
                                                                                                                                                                                                                of capital goods besides import of oil, fuel and gold. In pre

                   A
                                                                                                                                               movement of funds, which also shrunk as there was                2004-05, the average annual capital goods import was just
                            t the time of Independence in 1947, Rupee was            Exchange Rate Implications: Exchange Rate is the          exodus of foreign funds out of Indian Debt as well as            $10 billion and the same grew exponentially, USD 25.5 b
                            equal to a Dollar and rupee has been significantly   price of a currency expressed in terms of another currency.   Equity markets.                                                  in 2004-05, USD 47 b in 2006-07, USD 80 b in 2010-11
                            depreciated to the extent of 65 or 66 per Dollar,    Floating and Pegged modes are used to determine a                  Inflation rates also played its role in the exchange rate   and further during the last three years till 2013-14, there
                   an year ago in August 2013, with the major contributors,      currency’s exchange rate. In the former, government           movement as the former eroded the purchasing power that          by pushing the average to USD 90 plus.
                   in the past six and a half a decades, being import of         make changes to its national economic policies, directly      one currency could fetch against another currency. Apart             Adding fuel to fire, incentives were given for the
                   Petroleum products and Gold metal. Despite crossing the       or indirectly affecting the exchange rate, in the pegged      from inflation, which is too many demands chasing too            exports, thereby depriving of revenue to government
                   threshold figure of 60 and fluctuating beyond that, dollar    exchange rate system, government sets / maintains the         few commodities, External Debt which is the net money            exchequer. The double edged sword of Tax cut induced
                   exchange rate relentlessly moved against rupee without        exchange rate, with no daily swing.                           owed by Indian individuals as well as entities, inclusive of     Capital Goods Import of huge value totally wiped out the
                   retirement. In May 11, Rupee was                                                        In the latter, the central bank     government and those abroad, had a solid bearing on the          CAD surplus and was allowed to run in deficit mode for a
                   around 45 against dollar and crossed                                                needs to have large forex reserves      rupee as Indian government and corporate access funds            considerably long time, impacting the rupee.
                   the psychological barrier of 50 later                                               for mitigating changes in the supply    abroad, following the opening up of economy in the free              The rally in Rupee is seen as reflective of weakening
                   and remained above that almost                                                      and demand proportion. If anyone        market set up.                                                   gold Prices, both significantly and rapidly. Good
                   entirely in 2012, followed by its                                                   poses a question as to whether              Added to this, quite a good number of Indians take           quantum of foreign portfolio inflows helped the Rupee
                   peak in mid- 2013. There is nothing                                                 the exchange rate prevailing now        up higher education abroad, necessitating borrowing              strengthen beyond the psychological benchmark of 60.
                   magical about the figure of 60, akin                                                would stabilize and reflects the        arrangements to meet the cost. These aggregate to a              The Dollar Rupee outlook appears to be positive in the
                   to Senior Citizen concept, or for                                                   real exchange rate, the answer may      substantial quantum of External Debt getting magnified           short term and bullish in the medium term. It is expected
                   that matter even 70, but it reflects                                                not be forthcoming. The exchange        through exchange rate. All of such things in totality exert      to revolve around 55 to 60 during the early part of 14-15
                   on the economy badly, when not                                                      rate does not reflect the real value.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                Rupee V/s Dollar
Rupee V/s Dollar

                                                                                                                                               heavy pressure on the rupee against dollar both in near          and may even touch a high of 50 or so as the electorate
                   checked properly. A free fall of currency is a challenge      The Real Effective Exchange Rate (REER) is actually a         and long terms..                                                 has given a firm verdict with strong leader. With large
                   not normally faced during good years of economic              measure of the trade weighted average exchange rate of            In this messy affair of amplified foreign economy,           foreign fund flow, there is no better economic indicator
                   indicators.                                                   the rupee against the basket of currencies, duly factoring    it is the students and the general populace who are              than exchange rate. Rupees oscillation surge is coupled
                       Economic conditions in early nineties, when               the inflation differentials of the respective countries       most affected as these people do not have any hedging            well with swelling forex reserves to over USD 300 billion
                   Liberalisation, Privatisation and Globalisation (LPG)         through an index number with reference to some base           mechanism for the currency upward movement risk                  and also fall in gold prices.
                   opened up and policy stance, during the pre-gulf crises       year. This is akin to Inflation Indexed cost arrived at for   being witnessed. When the exchange rate is on the rise,              Since mid-May 2014, the Rupee is on strengthening
                   era, were different than what is prevailing now, the Forex    the Capital Gain tax for the reason that money value does     value of foreign remittance being sent by persons working        mode and mood, as it revolves around 60. As foreign
                   reserves were merely $ 3 billion and the same now hovers      not remain the same, over any period of time.                 abroad gets multiplied for every dollar. But the other side      money flow is on the rise, prevention of recurrence of
                   beyond $300 b, which is nearly 100 times and not just 100         EXCHANGE RATE IMPLICATIONS: Currency is                   is that foreign residents touring India would pay a few          the nightmarish experience seen in later part of 2013 is
                   %. In 2003-07, when credit off take was driven by high        often taken, by the international market, as one of the       dollars less for their vacation trip, than when the rate was     possible. There appears to be no way of the rupee going
                   growth witnessed in private sector, Rupee appreciation        nation’s vital barometer in economic trade prosperity         better. Further, stock markets had also reacted badly. But       steep, akin to 2013, though there may be a cap for the
                   was significant. Thus, reason for continued fall in rupee     status. Falling rupee affects many during its journey         attempts are being made to decouple the stock markets            improvement in the rupee.
                   against dollar could be traced to the low level of credit     and more so in the spectrum of costlier products, rise        from the forex markets, which of late seemed to break                Though there appeared to be some sort of recovery
                   creation reflected in poor GDP / Credit Deposit Ratio of      in fuel bills, higher cost for students pursuing courses      loose from the clutches of the rupee.                            witnessed during the last one year, after it peaked to 65
                   banks.                                                        in abroad, expensive foreign holiday trip, escalated              Obviously, Rupee’s tumble makes exports more                 plus, the Indian Rupee depreciated in July- August 2014.
                       In the last financial year 2013-14, Rupee depreciated,    medical treatment outside India, steeper interest rate.       affordable. If exporters have sellers advantage, they make       The chief reason for the volatility as well as the fear
                   Gross Domestic Product (GDP) declined and Current             On the whole, it is bad times ahead for the economy.          money. On the contrary, if they are dictated with price,         coupled with expectation of the same may have stemmed
                   Account Deficit (CAD) initially widened. The root             Balance of Payments, External Debt and Inflation are the      same gets bargained down. The long term impact of rupee          out of the imminent Quantitative Easing Programme of
                   causes for the Rupee and CAD not matching much with           three main causes known as Trinity Tri-lemma for the          face value is the inducement to produce more in India.           the US Federal Reserve coming to end shortly in October
                   the monetary policy, but with the real sector economy,        ballooning exchange rate and depreciation in the related      Due to nearly 25% dip in exchange rate, imports have             2014. This means that the rebound of rupee is short-lived
                   is that the Government was not successful in ensuring         Indian Rupee. Among the trinity, the weakness of Rupee        become expensive and hence it may make more sense to             and the country may again face the currency problem
                   significant growth in the manufacturing sector in             against dollar could be traced mainly to the widening         produce in India and export by capitalizing the prevailing       rising its head. Thus, there is every chance for facts such
                   alignment with the service sector in Finance and I T          deficit. When the value of Imports over Exports is on         situation. When country is facing crises situation on            as stoppage of inflow of funds to buy financial assets in
                   fields. Owing to misplaced priorities by those in power,      the rise, demand for foreign currency increases, thereby      more than one front, viz. Exchange Rate, inflation, CAD,         India, rise in the interest rate, higher outflow of funds,
                   business developments in India were focused where the         weakening the domestic currency. This deficit was the         adverse Balance of Payment, etc., both RBI and Finance           etc may have an adverse impact on the dancing capability
                   returns were quick, viz in financial and service industry.    main cause for the diminution in the value of rupee.          Ministry should openly discuss and arrive at a consensus         or the volatility of Rupee. This was also confirmed and
                   In this, capital outflow would also be quick when the             In India while Imports increased, owing to mainly         for a workable solution, without making any differences          concurred by the Governor, RBI.
                   confidence level tapers off.                                  crude oil and gold, Exports from India did not match          between them as obvious to the outside world. Boosting                                                  R.S. RAGHAVAN
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                rsraghavan007@yahoo.co.in

                   Money Wise February 2015www.money-wise.in                                                                          18     Money Wise February 2015 www.money-wise.in                                                                              19
NITI   Aayog
                                                                                                                                                economic front, dissemination of best practices from

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                F
                                                                                                                                                within the country as well as from other nations, the                             ormer Planning
                                                                                                                                                infusion of new policy ideas and specific issue-based                             Commission Secretary
                                                                                                                                                support.                                                                      Sindhushree Khullar
                                                                                                                                                   It may be recalled that the Planning Commission                            is appointed as Chief
                                 replaces Planning Commission                                                                                   was set up on the 15th of March, 1950 through a
                                                                                                                                                Cabinet Resolution. Nearly 65 years later, the country
                                                                                                                                                                                                                              Executive Officer of
                                                                                                                                                                                                                              the newly formed NITI
                                                                       M.K. Vidyaranya
                                                                                                                                                has metamorphosed from an under-developed                   Sindhushree Aayog. Khullar, a retired
                                                                 Senior Journalist & Political Analyst                                          economy to an emergent global nation with one                  khullar        IAS officer, has been
                                                                                                                                                of the world’s largest economies. Prime Minister                CEO NITI      appointed on contract
                                                                                                                                                Narendra Modi gave NITI Aayog to the nation as the         basis for a period of one year from January
                                                                                                                                                New Year gift.                                             1, 2015, according to a note from the
                                                                                                                                                    The institution to give life to these aspirations      Department of Personnel and Training.
                                                                                                                                                is the NITI Aayog (National Institution for
                                                                                                                                                Transforming India). This is being proposed after
                                                                                                                                                extensive consultation across the spectrum of             of national and international experts, practitioners
                                                                                                                                                stakeholders including inter alia state governments,      and other partners. To offer a platform for resolution
                                                                                                                                                domain experts and relevant institutions. The NITI        of inter-sectoral and inter-departmental issues
                                                                                                                                                Aayog will work towards the following objectives:         in order to accelerate the implementation of the
                                                                                                                                                To evolve a shared vision of national development         development agenda. To maintain a state-of-the-
                                                                                                                                                priorities, sectors and strategies with the active        art Resource Centre, be a repository of research on
NEW FINANCE BODY

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   NEW FINANCE BODY
                                                                                                                                                involvement of States in the light of national            good governance and best practices in sustainable
                                                                                                                                                objectives.     The vision of the NITI Aayog will         and equitable development as well as help their
                                                                                                                                                provide a framework ‘national agenda’ for the Prime       dissemination to stake-holders. To actively monitor
                       The vision of
                                                                                                                                                Minister and the Chief Ministers to provide impetus.      and evaluate the implementation of programmes and
                       the NITI Aayog
                                                                                                                                                To foster cooperative federalism through structured       initiatives, including the identification of the The
                       will provide
                                                                                                                                                support initiatives and mechanisms with the States        author is a former civil servant
                       a framework
                                                                                                                                                on a continuous basis, recognizing that strong States         needed resources so as to strengthen the
                       ‘national agenda’
                                                                                                                                                make a strong nation.                                     probability of success and scope of delivery. To focus
                       for the Prime
                       Minister and the Chief                                                                                                       NITI Aayog is to develop mechanisms to                on technology upgradation and capacity building
                       Ministers to provide                                                                                                     formulate credible plans at the village level and         for implementation of programmes and initiatives.
                       impetus. To foster                                                                                                       aggregate these progressively at higher levels of         To undertake other activities as may be necessary
                       cooperative federalism                                                                                                   government. To ensure, on areas that are specifically     in order to further the execution of the national
                       through structured support                                                                                               referred to it, that the interests of national security   development agenda, and the objectives mentioned
                       initiatives and mechanisms with                                                                                          are incorporated in economic strategy and policy. To      above.
                       the States on a continuous basis,                                                                                        pay special attention to the sections of our society          The NITI Aayog comprises the Prime Minister
                       recognizing that strong States make                                                                                      that may be at risk of not benefitting adequately from    of India as the Chairperson. Governing Council
                       a strong nation. The NITI Aayog comprises                                                                                economic progress. To design strategic and long term      comprising the Chief Ministers of all the States
                                                                                                                                                policy and programme frameworks and initiatives,

                                                                                        T
                       the Prime Minister of India as the Chairperson.                                                                                                                                    and Lt. Governors of Union Territories. Regional
                       Governing Council comprising the Chief                                   he Government has replaced Planning             and monitor their progress and their efficacy. The        Councils will be formed to address specific issues
                       Ministers of all the States and Lt. Governors                            Commission with a new institution named         lessons learnt through monitoring and feedback            and contingencies impacting more than one state or
                       of Union Territories. Regional Councils will                             NITI Aayog (National Institution for            will be used for making innovative improvements,          a region. These will be formed for a specified tenure.
                       be formed to address specific issues and                         Transforming India). The institution will serve         including necessary mid-course corrections.               The Regional Councils will be convened by the Prime
                       contingencies impacting more than one state or                   as ‘Think Tank’ of the Government-a directional             To provide advice and encourage partnerships          Minister and will comprise of the Chief Ministers of
                       a region. These will be formed for a specified                   and policy dynamo. NITI Aayog will provide              between key stakeholders and national and                 States and Lt. Governors of Union Territories in the
                       tenure. The Regional Councils will be convened                   Governments at the central and state levels with        international like-minded Think Tanks, as well as         region. These will be chaired by the Chairperson of
                       by the Prime Minister and will comprise of the                   relevant strategic and technical advice across the      educational and policy research institutions. To          the NITI Aayog or his nominee. Experts, specialists
                       Chief Ministers of States and Lt. Governors of                   spectrum of key elements of policy, this includes       create a knowledge, innovation and entrepreneurial        and practitioners with relevant domain knowledge as
                       Union Territories in the region.                                 matters of national and international import on the     support system through a collaborative community          special invitees nominated by the Prime Minister.

                   Money Wise February 2015www.money-wise.in                                                                           20   Money Wise February 2015 www.money-wise.in                                                                    21
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