Broker Barometer 2021 - Together - Shawbrook Bank

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Broker Barometer 2021 - Together - Shawbrook Bank
Broker
    Barometer
    2021                                                            Together

                        THIS DOCUMENT IS FOR PROFESSIONAL INTERMEDIARIES ONLY AND SHOULD NOT BE SHOWN TO POTENTIAL CLIENTS
Broker Barometer 2021                                                                                                        1
Foreword

                             Property Investment Market remains optimistic
                             in the face of continued Covid-related uncertainty.
                             Shawbrook’s 2020 Broker Barometer looks at the primary concerns of the broker community,
                             revealing a largely positive outlook for 2021.

                             1. Broker optimism continues…                                    2. Lending restrictions remain a key concern
                             Despite on-going uncertainty as we continue to navigate the      Brokers reported that ‘lending restrictions’ remain their top
                             challenges of the pandemic, brokers remain optimistic when       concern for 2021, with ‘valuation issues’, ‘Covid restrictions’
                             looking at the year ahead. Over two thirds (67%) of commercial   and ‘product availability’ also ranked highly for anticipated
                             brokers said they were confident about the UK lending            challenges.
                             environment this year, whilst 60% state they felt confident
                             about the growth of their business.                              Whilst it’s great to see such positivity among our broker
                                                                                              community, we’re very aware of the challenges they face
                             Second charge brokers reveal a more cautious view, with          this year and as we head further into lockdown 3.0, it is
Emma Cox                     only 30% feeling confident about the lending environment         crucial that lenders continue to support and work closely
Sales Director,              and 19% about business growth.                                   with their broker partners.
Property Finance Division,   Confidence in the UK economy has grown across both               This is very much front of mind for Shawbrook and we
Shawbrook Bank               commercial and second charge brokers since our last              plan to continue investing in our business with product
                             Barometer six months ago, with 44% of commercial brokers         and technological enhancements, supported by
                             and 50% of second charge brokers showing confidence in           a robust appetite to lend across all our markets.
                             this area for 2021 – a 10% increase across both.
                                                                                              We encourage you to reach out to your Regional
                             It’s encouraging to see that since the height of the first       Development Manager to discuss any of these issues
                             lockdown, 58% of commercial brokers and 66% of second            and we look forward to supporting you throughout 2021.
                             charge brokers have seen an increase in business volumes
                             of more than 20%. This strong bounce back is likely to be
                             a key factor in their optimistic view of the year ahead.

Broker Barometer 2021
BTL,
    Commercial
    & Bridging
Broker Barometer 2021   3
How would                                                                        How would
    you compare                                                                      you compare
    business volumes                                                                 business volumes
    from the start of                                                                from April 2020
    2020 to the                                                                      (during the
    present day?                                                                     height of the UK
                                                                                     lockdown 1.0) to
                                                                                     the present day?

      -40%              8%                                    -40%              9%

      -30%                              14%                   -30%    5%

      -20%                                    18%             -20%         7%

       -10%                  9%                                -10%        7%

 No Change                        12%                     No Change   5%

      +10%                   9%                               +10%              9%

      +20%                                          20%       +20%                              19%

      +30%              8%                                    +30%                            18%

      +40%        3%                                          +40%                                    22%

Broker Barometer 2021                                                                                       4
Q5 What do you anticipate as the three biggest challenges to your business in 2021?
   Q5 What do you anticipate as the three biggest challenges to your business in 2021?

                             74%
                            74%                               66%
                                                          66%
                                                                                           47%
                                                                                         47%

                                                                                                 31%31%29%29%
                                                                                                            22% 22%
                                                                                                                     16% 15%
                                                                                                                16% 15%

               Lending restrictions
               Lending restrictions
               Valuation issues
                                                                                                      What do you
                                                                                                      anticipate as
               Valuation issues
               Covid-19 restrictions
               Covid-19 restrictions

                                                                                                      the three biggest
               Transactions being put on hold
               Transactions being put on hold
               Product availability

                                                                                                      challenges to
               Product availability
               Brexit uncertainty
               Brexit uncertainty
               Other
               Otherwindow shopping
               Client
               Client window shopping
                                                                                                      your business
                                                                                                      in 2021?

Broker Barometer 2021
                                                                                                 3                         5
12%
                        19%
                                                                                       24%

                        11%                                34%
        Q6 Thinking ahead to 2021, how confident are you about the following?                               Very concerned
                                                                                        11%
                                                                                                            Fairly concerned

                                                                                                            Indifferent
       The lending environment                   The UK economy                 Business growth
                                                                                                            Fairly confident

                         3%                                 10%                                             Very confident

                                                                                     4%
                                                          12%
                        62%
                         19%
                                                                                       45%
                                                                                     24%
                                                           40%
                         11%                              34%
                                                                                                   Very concerned
                                                                                     11%
                                                                                                   Fairly concerned
                                                                                        15%        Indifferent
                        5%                                  4%                                     Fairly confident

                                                          10%
                                                                                                  Thinking
                                                                                                   Very confident

                        62%                                                          45%
                                                                                                  about the year
                                                                                                  ahead, how
                                                          40%
                                                                                                  confident are
                                                                                                  you about the
                                                                                     15%          following?
                         5%                                4%

Broker Barometer 2021                                                                                                          6
77%
                        65%
                        59%        What do you
                        45% 77%
                        22%65%     anticipate as
                        18%59%
                        14%45%
                                   the three biggest
                           22%     operational
                           18%
                           14%     challenges
                                   in 2021?

                                  Navigating the product landscape
                                  Growing the business
                                  Retaining competitive advantage
                                  Lead generation
                                              Navigating the product landscape
                                  Digital adoption
                                  Other       Growing the business

                                  TransitioningRetaining competitive
                                               back to working         advantage
                                                               in an office
                                              Lead generation
                                              Digital adoption
                                              Other
                                              Transitioning back to working in an office

Broker Barometer 2021                                                                 7
Q8 What do you anticipate as the three biggest challenges to face your clients in 2021?
                                                                                        Q8 What do you anticipate as the three biggest challenges to face your clients in 2021?

             52%            46%           43%             42%          31%        25%       19%            14%        13%          5%           5%         4%

                                                                                        52%          46%           43%             42%          31%        25%       19%
    What do youValuation issues
               Financial challenges (personal finances)
                                                           Tenant arrears
                                                           Interest rates

    anticipate as
               Slow market bounce back                     Securing tenants

    the three biggest
               Job certainty                               Additional licensing         Valuation issues                            Tenant arrears
               Falling property prices                     Other                        Financial challenges (personal finances)    Interest rates

    challenges Impact of Brexit                            Vacant properties            Slow market bounce back                     Securing tenants

    to face your
                                                                                        Job certainty                               Additional licensing
                                                                                        Falling property prices                     Other

    clients in 2021?                                                                    Impact of Brexit                            Vacant properties

Broker Barometer 2021                                                                                                                                                      8
Q9 Which area of the property market do you think will experience the strongest growth in 2021?

                29%                           29%
      Buy-to-Let                   Bridging

                14%                           14%

                                                                                            14%
      Semi-commercial Investment   Second Charge Mortgages
                                                                                                                                              %
                                                                                                                                         29
                11%                           3%
      Residential                  Commercial Investment

                                                                       11%

                                                                                                                                              3%
    Which area
    of the property
    market do
    you think will                                                                   %
                                                                                   29

                                                                                                                                     14
                                                                                                                                       %
    experience the
    strongest growth
    in 2021?

Broker Barometer 2021                                                                                                                                        9
Increase
                                                                                                                                       Do you think
                Q10 Do you think it is likely that investors will look to increase or reduce their property portfolio in 2021?
                Decrease                                                                                                               it is likely that
                                                                                                                                       investors will
                Don't know

                                                                                                                                                Increase

                                                                                                                                       look to increase
                                                                                                                                                Decrease

                                                                                                                                       or reduce
                                                                                                                                                Don't know

                                                                                                                                       their property
                                                                                                                                       portfolio in 2021?

                                                  62%

                                                                                                                                 ?
                                                                                                                                 29%

                                                                                                    10%

Broker Barometer 2021                                                                                                                                        10
Q11 Did you support the Stamp Duty Holiday being introduced in July 2020?

                                                                                                                 86%

                                                                                                           86%

                                        10%

                                        10%

          ?                        4%

           ?                       4%
                                                                                         Did you support
                                                                                         the Stamp Duty
                                                                                         Holiday being
                        Yes                                                              introduced
                        No
                        Yes
                        Not sure
                        No
                                                                                         in July 2020?
                        Not sure

Broker Barometer 2021                                                                                                  11
Q12 What impact have you seen as a result of the Stamp Duty changes?

               Increased investment in the property market
               Regional inequality
               Higher LTVs
               Increased valuation requests
               Resilient property prices
               No real impact

                                                                                          8%
               Other

                                                                                  12
                                                                                    %
                                                                                                                        63%
                                                                       33%

    What impact

                                                                                     14%
    have you seen

                                                                                               4%
                                                                                                    7%
    as a result of
    the Stamp Duty
    changes?

Broker Barometer 2021                                                                                                               12
Q13 Do you think that the Stamp Duty Holiday should be extended past March 2021 to aid market recovery?
                    Q13 Do you think that the Stamp Duty Holiday should be extended past March 2021 to aid market recovery?

                Strongly agree
                           Strongly agree
                Agree      Agree
                Neither agree nor disagree
                          Neither agree nor disagree
                Disagree Disagree                                                                  37%37%
                Strongly disagree
                           Strongly disagree

                                                                  37%
                                                           37%
                                                                                                                    Do you think that
                                                                                                                    the Stamp Duty
                                                                                                                    Holiday should
                                                                                                                    be extended
                                   14%
                                               14%                                                                  past March 2021
                                                                                                                    to aid market
                               10%                                                                                  recovery?
                        10%
                         1%
          1%
Broker Barometer 2021                                                                                                                   13
2%
            Q13 Do you think that the Stamp Duty Holiday should be extended past March 2021 to aid market recovery?

                                                                                                             What do you
                                7%               2%                                            ?             anticipate as the
                                                                                                             biggest impact
                                                           41%
                                            7%                                                               of Stamp Duty
          43%                                                                                                Holiday ending
                                                                     41%
                                                                                                             in March 2021?
                        43%
                                                                           7%

                                                                                    7%

                                                                   34%

                                                                                                            Reduced investment in the market
                                                                             34%
                        54%                                                                                 Rising property prices
                                                                                                            Falling property prices
                                                                                                                      Reduced investment in the market
                                                                                                            Transactions not completing by the deadline
                                  54%                                                                                 Rising property prices
                                                                                                            Backlog of work in Jan‐March 2021
                                                                                                                      Falling property prices
                                                                                                            No real impact
                                                                                                                    Transactions not completing by the deadline
                                                                                                            Other     Backlog of work in Jan‐March 2021
                                                                                                                      No real impact
                                                                                                                      Other

Broker Barometer 2021                                                                                                                                             14
Q15 Do you feel that you and your business are prepare

ness are prepared for Brexit?
                                       Do you feel that
                                       you and your
                    ?                  business are
                   18%
                                       prepared
                                       for Brexit?
                           1%

                                81%

                                          Yes         No         Not sure

       Broker Barometer 2021                                                            15
Q16 What do you think will be the most challenging impact of Brexit on the property market?

                                                                                                     What do you
                                             48%                                                     think will be the
                                                                                                     most challenging
                                                                                                     impact of Brexit
                                                                                                     on the property
                                                                                                     market?
                                                                          35%

                        14%

                                                                                                      Reduced numbers of EU investors
                                                                                                      Nervous attitudes amongst investors
                                                                                                      Changes to laws and regulation

Broker Barometer 2021                                                                                                                       16
Second
    charge
Broker Barometer 2021   17
How would                                                             How would
    you compare                                                           you compare
    business volumes                                                      business volumes
    from the start of                                                     from April 2020
    2020 to the                                                           (during the
    present day?                                                          height of the UK
                                                                          lockdown 1.0) to
                                                                          the present day?

      -40%                         23%             -40%              8%

      -30%                               31%       -30%                    15%

      -20%                   15%                   -20%         4%

       -10%             8%                          -10%        4%

 No Change                   15%               No Change   0%

      +10%    0%                                   +10%         4%

      +20%         4%                              +20%              8%

      +30%         4%                              +30%                                    31%

      +40%    0%                                   +40%                              27%

Broker Barometer 2021                                                                            18
12%

               Lending restrictions
               Covid-19 restrictions
               Product availability
                                                                                         3     What do you
                                                                                               anticipate as
                                                                                               the three biggest
                                                                                                                           4%

               Valuation issues                                                                challenges to
               Brexit uncertainty
               Transactions being put on hold
                                                                                               your business
               Other                                                                           in 2021?
               Client window shopping
   Q5 What do you anticipate as the three biggest challenges to your business in 2021?

                                  96%

                                                                       69%

                                                                                         54%

                                                                                                27%
                                                                                                      19%   19%
                                                                                                                  12%

                                                                                                                    4%
               Lending restrictions
               Covid-19 restrictions
               Product availability
Broker Barometer 2021                                                                                                          19
               Valuation issues
Thinking ahead
                                                                                                       to 2021, how
        Q6 Thinking ahead to 2021, how confident are you about the following?
                                                                                                       confident are
       The lending environment                   The UK economy                      Business growth   you about the
  0%                               0%
                                                                                                       following?
   Q6 Thinking ahead to 2021, how confident are you about the following?
                                                                                          12%

   The lending environment                        The UK economy                     Business growth
                                                       38%
                        3%
                                                                                          42%
                                                                                            4%
                        69%
                                                            12%                                         Very concerned

                        19%                                                                             Fairly concerned
                                                           12%                             24%          Indifferent

                                                                                                        Fairly confident

                                                                                                        Very confident
                        11%                                34%
                                                                                                                 Very concerned
                                                                                            11%
                                                                                          27%                    Fairly concerned

                                                          46%                                                    Indifferent
                        15%                                                                                      Fairly confident

                                                            10%                                                  Very confident

                        15%                                                               19%

  0%                    62%                                                     0%         45%
                                                           4%
                                                           40%
Broker Barometer 2021                                                                                                               20
81%   Growing the business
                        62%   Lead generation
                        62%   Navigating the product landscape
                        35%
                              Retaining competitive advantage
                        35%
                        19%   Transitioning back to working in an office

                         8%   Digital adoption
                              Other

                              What do you
                              anticipate as
                              the three biggest
                              operational
                                   Growing the business
                                   Lead generation

                              challenges
                                   Navigating the product landscape

                              in 2021?
                                   Retaining competitive advantage
                                   Transitioning back to working in an office
                                          Digital adoption
                                          Other

Broker Barometer 2021                                                      21
Q8 What do you anticipate as the three biggest challenges to face your clients in 2021?
               Q8 What do you anticipate as the three biggest challenges to face your clients in 2021?

                92%                92%                    35%            27%          23%                15%         8%       4%    4%

                92%                   92%                  35%                  27%          23%               15%          8%     4%         4%
               Financial challenges (personal finances)
               Job certainty
                                                            Valuation issues
                                                            Securing tenants
                                                                                                                          What do you
               Slow market bounce back                      Vacant properties                                             anticipate as
                                                                                                                          the three biggest
               Financial
               Falling     challenges
                       property prices (personal finances) OtherValuation issues
               Impact of Brexit
                Job certainty                                    Securing tenants
                Slow market bounce back                          Vacant properties                                        challenges
                                                                                                                          to face your
                Falling property prices                          Other
                Impact of Brexit

                                                                                                                          clients in 2021?
                                                     0
                                                    20
                                                    40
                                                    60
                                                    80
                                                   100

Broker Barometer 2021                                                                                                                              22
2% growth in 2021?
Q9 Which area of the property market do you think will experience the strongest
                                                                        1

                                                                                                         42%                            38%

                                                                            0%
                                                                                                       Buy-to-Let
                                                                                                Second Charge Mortgages      Residential
                                                                                                       Commercial Investment

                                                       4%
                                                                                                         12%                            4%
                                                                                                        Semi-commercial Investment
                                                                                                        Bridging
 42%                                                                                            BridgingResidential

                                                             4%
                                                                                                                              Commercial Investment
                                                                                                        Second Charge Mortgages

                                                                              12
                                                                                   %
                                                                                                         4%                             0%
                                                                                                Buy-to-Let                    Semi-commercial Investment

                                                                     38                                          42%                          38%
                                                                        %                             Second Charge Mortgages        Residential

           42%
                                                                                                                 12%                          4%
                                                                                                      Bridging                       Commercial Investment

                                                                                                               4% area 0%
                                                                                                              Which
                                                                                                              of the property
                                                                                                      Buy-to-Let                     Semi-commercial Investment

                                                                            38
                                                                                                              market do
                                                                               %                              you think will
                                                                                                              experience the
                                                                                                              strongest growth
                                                                                                              in 2021?

  Broker Barometer 2021                                                                                                                                      23
Do you think
           it is likely that
           investors will Q10 Do you think it is likely that investors will look to increase or reduce their property portfolio in 2021?
           look to increase
           or reduce
                                                                                                                                                        Increase
                                                                                                                                                        Decrease

           their property
                                                                                                                                                        Don't know

           portfolio in 2021?

                                                                                                                              ?
                                                                                                                              54%

                                                        31%

Do you think it is likely that investors will look to increase or reduce their property portfolio in 2021?

                                                                                                                                           Increase

                                                                                    15%                                                    Decrease
                                                                                                                                           Don't know

       Broker Barometer 2021                                                                                                                                         24
Q11 Did you support the Stamp Duty Holiday being introduced in July 2020?

                                                                                                                 86%

                                                                                                           81%

                                        10%

                        0%

          ?                        4%

          ?                                        19%
                                                                                         Did you support
                                                                                         the Stamp Duty
                                                                                         Holiday being
                        Yes                                                              introduced
                        No
                        Yes
                        Not sure
                        No
                                                                                         in July 2020?
                        Not sure

Broker Barometer 2021                                                                                                  25
Q12 What impact have you seen as a result of the Stamp Duty changes?

    What impact
    have you seen                                                                                                                            In
    as a result of

                                                                                             8%
                                                                                                                                             R

    the Stamp Duty                                                                                                                           H
                                                                                                                                             In

    changes?                                                                                                                                 R
                                                                                                                                             N
                                                                                                                                             O

                                                                                    19
                                                                                    %
                                                                                                                                  58%

                                                                                %
                                                                           42
             Increased investment in the property market
             Regional inequality
             Higher LTVs

                                                                                                              4%
                                                                                                             4%
             Increased valuation requests

                                                                                                    8%
             Resilient property prices
             No real impact
             Other

Broker Barometer 2021                                                                                                                   26
Q13 Do you think that the Stamp Duty Holiday should be extended past March 2021 to aid market recovery?

    Do you think that
    the Stamp Duty           Strongly agree

    Holiday should           Agree                                                                              23%
    be extended
                             Neither agree nor disagree
                             Disagree

    past March 2021          Strongly disagree

    to aid market
    recovery?
                                                                                   38%

                                                                                                                  Q13 Do you think that the Stamp Duty Hol

                                                    31%
                                                                                                                        Strongly agree
                                                                                                                        Agree
                                                                                                                        Neither agree nor disagree
                                                                                                                        Disagree

                               8%                                                                                       Strongly disagree

                        0%

Broker Barometer 2021                                                                                                                                 27
Q13 Do you think that the Stamp Duty Holiday should be extended past March 2021 to aid market recove

                    Reduced investment in the market
                    Rising property prices                                                           4%
                    Falling property prices
                    Transactions not completing by the deadline
                    Backlog of work in Jan‐March 2021
                    No real impact
                    Other
                                                                                            12%
                                                                                                                         31%

         ?                                                                                                                             8%
                                                                        42%

    What do you
    anticipate as the
                                                                                                                                     35%
    biggest impact
    of Stamp Duty
    Holiday ending
    in March 2021?                                                                              42%

Broker Barometer 2021                                                                                                                                             28
ness are prepared for Brexit?

                                           Yes   No   Not sure

                         ?
                        27%

                                4%

                                           Do you feel that
                                     69%
                                           you and your
                                           business are
                                           prepared
                                           for Brexit?

       Broker Barometer 2021                                     29
Q16 What do you think will be the most challenging impact of Brexit on the property market?

   What do you
   think will be the
   most challenging
   impact
       Q16 Whatof  Brexit
               do you think will be the most challenging impact of Brexit on the property market?

   on the property                                                  50%
   market?                                                                                       46%

                                                                                50%
           Nervous attitudes amongst investors
           Changes to laws and regulation                                                            46%
           Other

                   Nervous attitudes amongst investors
                   Changes to laws and regulation
                   Other
                                                                                                           4%

Broker Barometer 2021                                                                                           30
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