Chapter 12 Chinese UAS Proliferation along New Silk Road Sea / Land Routes Carter

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Chapter 12 Chinese UAS Proliferation along New Silk Road Sea / Land Routes Carter
12. Chapter 12 Chinese UAS
Proliferation along New Silk
Road Sea / Land Routes
[Carter]
Student Learning Objectives
  Upon completion of this chapter, students should be able to:

 1. Explain the sectors of the Belt and Road Initiative that impact
    unmanned technology
2. Understand the importance and impact of the relationship
    between China and the Middle East
3. Explain the Blue Ocean Information Network
4. Identify factors of the Digital Silk Road that impact them
    directly

  Progression of Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) Partnerships

  The Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) was launch as part of the
Constitution of the People’s Republic of China in 2013. Partnerships
among China and other countries continue increase by engaging
through economic and diplomatic means. The target completion
date for BRI is 2049, the anniversary of the founding of People’s
Republic of China. For lower income countries, the enticement of
low-interest loans and support to build infrastructure is part of the
attraction to a relationship with China. Current events of Brexit
and a spilt United States political infrastructure have played into
China’s goal of becoming a global superpower. As the U.K. and the

                                   Chapter 12 Chinese UAS Proliferation
                                       along New Silk Road Sea / Land
Chapter 12 Chinese UAS Proliferation along New Silk Road Sea / Land Routes Carter
U.S. appear to be in consistent conflict with itself and other nations,
China’s façade to help countries through loans, technology,
infrastructure without personal gain grows. Partnerships with the
European Union, Middle East, Africa, Russia, Latin America and Asia
fall into the different BRI initiative categories of Economic,
Maritime, or Digital. The relationships formed by China have put the
country as the world’s largest shipping nation. China is second in
the world for economy and ranks and third in the world’s military
powers (Tybring-Gjedde, 2020).

  As      of   March   2020,   138   countries   and   30   international
organizations are part of BRI, covering the following regions: (Figure
12.1)

 • 38 countries are in Sub-Saharan Africa.
 • 34 BRI countries are in Europe & Central Asia (including 18
        countries of the European Union (EU) that are part of the BRI).
 • 25 BRI countries are in East Asia & pacific.
 • 17 BRI countries in Middle East & North Africa.
 • 18 BRI countries are in Latin America & Caribbean.
 • 6 countries are in South East Asia.

A complete country listing, region, and income status can be found in
Appendix A.
  ( International Institute for Green Finance II Central University for
Finance and Economics, 2020)

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Figure 12.1 Countries of Belt and Road Initiative as of March 2020
  Source: (International Institute for Green Finance II Central
University for Finance and Economics, 2020)

  The BRI has the remained strong with the following five goals:

 • policy coordination
 • facilities connectivity
 • unimpeded trade
 • financial integration
 • people-to-people bonds

  The BRI “people to people bonds” has created a network of think
tanks, media agreements, and establishment in communities and
universities (Hamilton & Ohlberg, 2020). The spread of propaganda
using these bonds, delivers a powerful message of international

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trust within a global community, making the BRI appear attractive
and peaceful. With the addition of Italy and Switzerland in 2020,
reinforces BRI commitment and credibility. Along with BRI, China
has evolved to modernize their military defense and establish
themselves as an international arms dealer.

               Figure 12.2 China’s Inward Investment
  Source: (Harding, 2020)

  Middle East
  The BRI is critical for China in the Middle East; the gulf region is
a global player for trade and finance. The Middle East’s partnership
will give China advantages in trade, military operations, and
infrastructure. Drones in this region have grown from surveillance
to Unmanned Combat Air Vehicles (UCAVs). The U.S. has strict
polices against the export of these deadly attack weapons. In a
ten-year period, China has sold 163 UCAVs verses the sale of 15
Reaper drones during the same time period (Roblin, 2020). The
largest producer of UCAVs, China Aerospace Science and
Technology Corporation (CASC), has plans to open a factory in Saudi

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Arabia. Egypt and Saudi Arabia are given priority by China for
UCAVs, which are 75% cheaper than MQ-9 Reaper (Alden, Fiala, Krol,
& Whittle, 2020).

  Chengdu Aircraft Industry Group has taken advantage of China’s
freedom to sell to anyone, not restricted by export policies. Wing
Loong I and Wing Loong II are popular UAV models sold to the
United Arab Emirates and Saudi Arabia. The Wing Loong series of
UAV are similar to the GA-ASI Predator. Saudi Arabia has acquired
an estimated 300 UAV’s from China (Stevenson, 2019). China is in
close competition with Turkey for supplying UAV’s to the Middle
East. December 2019, Rainbow (CH-5) drones were exported to
Pakistan, Egypt, UAE, and Saudi Arabia. (Figure 12.3)

  In the Middle East, China invests in the energy, infrastructure,
nuclear power, agriculture and finance to strengthen the ties to
the Middle East (Chaziza, 2020). China would bring to Iran
telecommunications (5G), banking, ports and railways to the region.
China’s partnership with Iran could pose detrimental to the U.S.
Military. China and Iran would agree to joint military operations,
training, weapons development and intelligence sharing. This
would give China a military advantage over the U.S. and Iran global
ally.

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Figure 12.3 Sale of Chinese UCAVs Along BRI
  Source: (Alden, Fiala, Krol, & Whittle, 2020)

  European Union
  The build out of China – EU partnerships began in 2013 with
the recruitment of the former Swedish ambassador to an advisor
position with Huawei. Eventually, other members of the EU were
recruited to be advisors for Huawei. With the growth of the Huawei
relationships enabled China to build trust and obtained signatures
of support for the BRI from EU member states. The governing body
of the EU does not have a formal agreement with China regarding
BRI. However, about half EU member states signed on to the BRI
(Hamilton & Ohlberg, 2020). China has not sealed commitments for
BRI from the top European economies (France, U.K. and Germany).
Other EU member states have begun participating in the BRI
through financial, corporate, and educational sectors. In July 2020,
Serbia received their first order of Six Chinese-built CH-92A
combat drones. This marks the beginning of China supplying drones
to Europe, another step-in building ties in the region.

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Figure 12.4 CH – 92A Unmanned Combat Air Vehicle (UCAV)
   Source: (Roblin, 2020)

  As part of the Made in China 2025 plan, Aviation and Aerospace
Equipment is considered a priority sector. In some reports referred
to as the “Air Silk Road”.
   Maritime Silk Road

  Tracing back to 12th century BC, the East China Sea Routes
connect mainland China to Northeast Asia. The Liaodong Peninsula
located in this region of Asia holds critical military value, dating back
the Sino-Japanese War (Japan Center for Asian Historical Records,
2020). The peninsula’s trade route value, natural resources, and
military positioning makes it a cornerstone for this route of
Maritime Silk Road (MSR). The South China Sea route is critical
for MSR, opening China to the continent of Africa, following the
maritime routes through the Persian Gulf, Indian Ocean, and Red
Sea. China has 32,000 kilometers of coastline and more than 3
million square kilometers of maritime land, making the country

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a real maritime power, according to the China Engineering
Academician of the Chinese Academy of Sciences.

  UAE is a leader in supporting China with the Maritime Silk Road
(MSR). The creation of Khalifa Port’s CSP Abu Dhabi Terminal, by
UAE and China shipping giants has attracted twenty additional
Chinese companies to the area (Calabrese, 2020). This is the first
phase of MSR for Abu Dubai. Turkey is the only country in the region
not favorable to MSR.

  Blue Ocean Information Network
  In addition to the support of countries along the MSR, China
is building an underground network for military communication
and expanding sensors to create a “World Ocean” (Asia Maritime
Transparency Initiative, 2020). The Blue Ocean Information Network,
is part of MSR, will accomplish the following for China:

 • Information perception (internationally)
 • Target recognition
 • Active sonar
 • High-resolution marine satellites

  The Blue Ocean Information Network is based on Skynet and
Submarine Net according to the PLA. China will have the ability to
detect mineral, biological resources. With the information network
China will have advanced unmanned cyber methods to control and
protect the BRI. The Blue Ocean Information network combined
with the increase of partnerships / locations along BRI will
accelerate China as a maritime superpower.

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Figure 12.5 Schematic Diagram of Underwater Information
                              Network

(Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, 2019)

  Floating Integrated Information Platforms (FIIP) (also called
Ocean E-Stations are the most visible piece of the Blue Ocean
Information Network. The network is currently deployed between
the Hainan Island and Paracel Islands, and the Bombay Reef. It is
believed a previously identified one of the was deployed to Bombay
Reef in the Paracel Island sometime in 2018. Communications
capabilities of the FIPP include a Ku-band satellite antenna, an L-
band satellite antenna, radio antenna, and cellular communications
antenna. Sensing systems include an Automatic Dependent
Surveillance   Broadcast   (ADS-B)    antenna    and   an   Automatic
Identification System (AIS) antenna as well as a small air- and
surface-search radar (Asia Maritime Transparency Initiative, 2020).

                    Figure 12.6 Ocean E-Stations

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Left FIIP Between the Hainan Island and Paracel Islands
(February 7, 2019)
  Right FIIP Bombay Reef (April 28, 2020)
  Source: (Asia Maritime Transparency Initiative, 2020)

  Other components such as ocean buoys, fixed and relocatable
underwater sensors to include sonar and hydrophones, unmanned
aerial vehicles (UAVs), unmanned underwater vehicles (UUVs), and
unmanned surface vehicles (USVs) could be part of the Blue Ocean
Information Network (Asia Maritime Transparency Initiative, 2020).
Revisiting the first edition of this textbook, Unmanned Aircraft
Systems (UAS) in the Cyber Domain: Protecting USA’s Advanced Air
Assets, Chapter 16 Chinese Drones in Spratly Islands and Chinese
Threats to USA forces in the Pacific, the case for cyber weapon
spoofing of legacy GPS signals affecting the US Navy and
commercial vessels in Pacific Ocean are relevant to the Ocean E-
Station that was placed in 2018 Bombay Reef in the Paracel Island.
The FIIP communications functionality includes AIS, which could
be allow for spoofing of AIS sending a fake collision alert by Closet
Point of Approach (CPA) spoofing and negating the true alert
transmitting to the vessel.

  China’s goal to complete the development of the “Belt and Road”
sea network cooperation to meet the military and civilian
management by 2025. China’s researchers state there is an urgent

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need for information acquisition in the jurisdictional sea area
(Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, 2019). China
Telcom will use the maritime information nodes, network and
submarine network to construct ideas and continue to strengthen
the Blue Ocean Information Network.

  Digital Silk Road

  Digital Silk Road (DSR) initiative was introduced by China in 2015.
DSR has more of a government push using Chinese commercial
company channels. The idea to grow DSR through several vectors
such as social media, telecom, fintech, etc. Ideally, China wants
the homegrown companies to fit in with their specific industry, to
become a trusted member and contributor to their specific sector.
This would give China the ability to intertwine DSR within the
different tech vectors. China uses to their advantage of taking lead
in specific technology to gain members for DSR, for example next
generation (5G). They have used mobile technologies and fiber optic
infrastructure to entice countries to the DSR with internet/telecom
advantages (Greene & Triolo, 2020). China also promotes their
payment system technology, digital wallets, two-way QR codes,
paying via social media.

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Figure 12.7 China E-Commerce Europe
  Source: (Shi-Kupfer & Ohlberg, 2019)

  The fiber-optic members of the Digital Silk Road (DSR), Frankfurt
to Mumbai via Azerbaijan added a new member November 2020.
Turkmenistan agreed to link with Azerbaijan through cables in the
Caspian Sea. It is suspected Iran is part of the DSR with cables
running down the Persian Gulf.
  The drone industry plays a critical part of DSR. SZ DJI Technology
is a leader in the global consumer drone marketplace, therefore a
large part of the technology vector. DJI has been accused of sharing
user information and having week cybersecurity practices. Banned
by the U.S. Military, DJI is attempting to create a DoD version of
their product. If DJI is successful reaching DoD level of security, it
could allow DJI access to a broader marketplace.

  Conclusions
  China’s Brick and Road Initiative has covered several sectors. In

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the context of unmanned, China has a significant role in the Middle
East, Asia, and Africa military drone marketplace. They are
beginning to capture the attention buyers from the Europe Union.
China’s strong relationships across all vectors in the Middle East
has led to a maritime advantage for trade and military operations.
Extensive ties between China and Iran has created an unlikely
partnership for the U.S. and allies. China has expanded technology
under water that will lead to control of several regions if maritime
partnerships continue to grow. The Digital Silk Road is an immediate
cause for concern for Europe and the U.S., as consumers and
industry become dependent on products produced by Chinese
companies. The BRI continues to grow at an accelerated rate as
trusted partnerships across all industries continue crossover into
other opportunities.

  Discussion Questions

 1. Discuss the key areas of expansion of Belt and Road Initiative
    that impact the military drone marketplace.
2. Which Silk Road initiative is a greater threat, Maritime or
    Digital?
3. What Silk Road initiative has greater impact to the United
    States?

  References
  International Institute for Green Finance II Central University for
Finance and Economics. (2020, March). Countries of the Belt and
Road Initiative (BRI). Retrieved from Green Belt and Road Initiative
Center:       https://green-bri.org/countries-of-the-belt-and-road-
initiative-bri?cookie-state-change=1596286450104
  Alden, C., Fiala, L., Krol, E., & Whittle, R. (2020, May 28). Wings
Along the BRI: Exporting Chinese UCAVs and Security? Retrieved

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from Medium: https://medium.com/@lseideas/wings-along-the-
bri-exporting-chinese-ucavs-and-security-a4bf7a3324df
  Asia Maritime Transparency Initiative. (2020, June 16). Exploring
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silk-road-and-middle-east-tacking-against-wind
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