City Resilience Framework - City Resilience Index April 2014

 
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City Resilience Framework - City Resilience Index April 2014
City Resilience Index

City Resilience Framework
April 2014
© Ove Arup & Partners International Limited 2014
City Resilience Framework - City Resilience Index April 2014
Acknowledgements

On behalf of the study team, I would like
to thank The Rockefeller Foundation for
giving Arup International Development the
opportunity to undertake this study. Our
special thanks go to Dr. Nancy Kete, Sundaa
Bridgett-Jones and Lily Fu for their support
throughout. We would also like to thank the
Rebuild by Design, 100 Resilient Cities –
pioneered by The Rockefeller Foundation
– and the Asian Cities Climate Change
Resilience Network teams. Their comments
and feedback have been very valuable to
our work.

Our particular thanks go to everyone who
contributed to the fieldwork, especially
our local partners: Fundación Alto Río
(Concepción, Chile); GIP Pacífico and
Findeter (Cali, Colombia); City of New
Orleans and the American Red Cross
Southeast Louisiana Chapter (USA); Arup
Cape Town (South Africa); TARU Leading
Edge (Surat, India); and Mercy Corps
(Semarang, Indonesia). Their assistance
during the fieldwork made a significant
contribution to the final quality and
outcomes of the study.

Jo da Silva
Director
Arup International Development

On behalf of Arup International
Development’s study team: Sachin Bhoite,
Kieran Birtill, Stephen Cook, Sandra Diaz,
Vicky Evans, Andrea Fernandez, Laura
Frost, Sam Kernaghan, Ashlee Loiacono,
Braulio Eduardo Morera, Geoffrey Morgan,
Elizabeth Parker, Jo da Silva, Samantha
Stratton-Short, Flora Tonking.

Graphic design: Charlotte Svensson.

Unless specified, all images are copyright
Arup.                                              (Front cover)

                                                   Cali: Centro
                                                   Administrativo
                                                   Municipal
© Ove Arup & Partners International Limited 2014
City Resilience Framework - City Resilience Index April 2014
Foreword

              In 1958, Jane Jacobs, a community activist,                  We found potential partners ready to
              received a Rockefeller Foundation grant                      jump into the metrics and indicators, but
              to expand upon her ideas about how a city                    few with the experience to work with us
              should look, feel, and work. The book she                    to understand what does and does not
              published three years later − The Death and                  contribute to urban resilience. We risked
              Life of Great American Cities − transformed                  investing in an index that measured and
              how city dwellers, urban academics and                       compared cities based on available data,
              policy-makers think about cities and urban                   but did not necessarily help cities better
              planning. Jacobs challenged the prevailing                   understand and assess their own resilience.
              assumptions of what makes a city thrive.
              Over the past five decades, the values and                   We found perspectives were siloed, shaped
              ideas put forward by Jacobs and others have                  by experience and expertise in one or
              been profoundly important as questions                       another aspect of resilience, disaster risk
              of identity, voice, inclusion, access and                    reduction, infrastructure resilience, climate
              opportunity have been negotiated in the                      change, national security or business
              context of dynamic urban growth and                          continuity. What Arup has been able to
              globalisation.                                               bring is thought leadership and the capacity
                                                                           to create a comprehensive framework that
              This legacy of progressive urban thinking                    reflects reality. A city’s resilience depends
              becomes even more crucial as we look                         on its physical assets as well as its policies,
              to the future. Just as cities are hubs                       social capital and institutions.
              for innovations and investments that
              expand opportunities, they are also living                   This report presents the inclusive
              laboratories forced to confront challenges                   framework for articulating city resilience
              of increasing complexity. Indeed, the role of                that the Foundation was looking for, to
              cities has become central in debates around                  underpin the City Resilience Index. It has
              our planetary boundaries, economic futures,                  already proven useful in the agenda-setting
              social stability and climate change. What                    workshops in cities across the globe that
              and who makes a city resilient – and not                     are participating in the 100 Resilient Cities
              just liveable now or sustainable for the long                Challenge. These workshops, in turn, have
              term – has become an increasingly critical                   helped and will continue to help shape the
              question, one we set out to answer in late                   framework and contribute to the final phase,
              2012 with our partners at Arup through the                   developing the indicators and variables that
              creation of a City Resilience Index.                         will comprise the City Resilience Index.

              The Rockefeller Foundation has been                          This framework will form the basis of a tool
              pioneering work on climate resilience in                     that should enable all of us interested in
              both rural and urban regions for more than                   city resilience to convene around a common
              a decade. By 2012, the idea of resilience as                 understanding of that idea, and begin to
              the critical lens through which to consider                  ‘baseline’ what matters most for making
              not only climate change, but also disaster                   cities more resilient. Both the framework
              risk reduction more generally, including                     and the index are intended to facilitate a
              financial shocks, terrorism and slow-moving                  process of engagement with and within
              chronic stresses, was gaining traction                       cities that generates dialogue and deeper
              globally. But, producing a meaningful index                  understanding. Ultimately, this will lead
              for something as complex as the resilience                   to new ideas and opportunities to engage
              of a city is fraught with reputational,                      new actors in civil society, government and
              conceptual and execution risk. We stumbled                   business on what makes a city resilient.
              again and again on major conceptual and
              practical challenges.

                                                                           Dr. Nancy Kete
                                                                           Managing Director
                                                                           The Rockefeller Foundation

           City Resilience Framework - The Rockefeller Foundation | Arup                                                     1
City Resilience Framework - City Resilience Index April 2014
“In order to get a grip on it, one must be able to relate resilience to
other properties that one has some means of ascertaining, through
observation.”
Martin-Breen & Andries (2011) Resilience: A literature review. The Rockefeller Foundation: New York City, p. 11

2                                           City Resilience Framework - The Rockefeller Foundation | Arup
City Resilience Framework - City Resilience Index April 2014
Understanding city resilience
                                                                                         “By April 2014, to articulate
                                                                                         urban resilience in a measurable,
                                                                                         evidence-based and accessible
                                                                                         way that can inform urban
                                                                                         planning, practice, and investment
                                                                                         patterns which better enable
                                                                                         urban communities (e.g. poor and
                                                                                         vulnerable, businesses, coastal) to
                                                                                         survive and thrive multiple shocks
                                                                                         and stresses.”
                                                                                         Opportunity statement (Rockefeller
                                                                                         Grantee Workshop, New York City,
                                                                                         February 2013)

                  Why city resilience?                                         primary audience for this tool is municipal
                                                                               governments. But, the framework,
                  As the 21st century unfolds, an increasing                   indicators and variables are also intended to
                  majority of the world’s population will                      support dialogue between other stakeholders
                  live in cities. Human wellbeing in cities                    who contribute to building more resilient
                  relies on a complex web of interconnected                    cities globally.
                  institutions, infrastructure and information.
                  People are drawn to cities as centres
                  of economic activity, opportunity and                        What is city resilience?
                  innovation. But cities are also places where
                  stresses accumulate or sudden shocks                         Definition | City resilience describes
                  occur that may result in social breakdown,                   the capacity of cities to function, so that
                  physical collapse or economic deprivation.                   the people living and working in cities
                  That is, unless a city is resilient.                         – particularly the poor and vulnerable –
                                                                               survive and thrive no matter what stresses or
                  Cities have always faced risks, and many                     shocks they encounter.
                  cities that have existed for centuries have
                  demonstrated their resilience in the face                    Resilience is a term that emerged from the
                  of resource shortages, natural hazards,                      field of ecology in the 1970s, to describe
                  and conflict. In the 21st century, global                    the capacity of a system to maintain
                  pressures that play out at a city scale − such               or recover functionality in the event of
                  as climate change, disease pandemics,                        disruption or disturbance. It is applicable
                  economic fluctuations, and terrorism − pose                  to cities because they are complex systems
                  new challenges. The scale of urban risk                      that are constantly adapting to changing
                  is increasing due to the number of people                    circumstances. The notion of a resilient
                  living in cities. Risk is also increasingly                  city becomes conceptually relevant when
                  unpredictable due to the complexity of city                  chronic stresses or sudden shocks threaten
                  systems and the uncertainty associated with                  widespread disruption or the collapse of
                  many hazards – notably climate change.                       physical or social systems. The conceptual
                                                                               limitation of resilience is that it does not
                  Risk assessments and measures to reduce                      necessarily account for the power dynamics
                  specific foreseeable risks will continue to                  that are inherent in the way cities function
                  play an important role in urban planning.                    and cope with disruptions.
                  In addition, cities need to ensure that their
                  development strategies and investment                        In the context of cities, resilience has helped
                  decisions enhance, rather than undermine,                    to bridge the gap between disaster risk
                  the city’s resilience. If governments, donors,               reduction and climate change adaptation.
                  investors, policy-makers, and the private                    It moves away from traditional disaster
                  sector are to collectively support and foster                risk management, which is founded on risk
                  more resilient cities, there needs to be a                   assessments that relate to specific hazards.
                  common understanding of what constitutes                     Instead, it accepts the possibility that a
                  a resilient city and how it can be achieved.                 wide range of disruptive events – both
                                                                               stresses and shocks – may occur but are not
                  The City Resilience Framework responds to                    necessarily predictable. Resilience focuses
                  this challenge by providing an accessible,                   on enhancing the performance of a system
                  evidence-based articulation of city                          in the face of multiple hazards, rather than
                  resilience. Over the coming months, it will                  preventing or mitigating the loss of assets
                  be further developed to create the City                      due to specific events.
                  Resilience Index, which will introduce
                  variables that provide a robust basis for                    (Image opposite)
                  measuring resilience at the city scale. The                  Area of redevelopment in the Silo District, Cape Town.

               City Resilience Framework - The Rockefeller Foundation | Arup                                                            3
City Resilience Framework - City Resilience Index April 2014
Surat                           Concepción                            New Orleans                          Semarang                          Cali
                                    © Municipality of Concepción

Learning from literature                                Learning from case studies                                   Learning from cities

Approaches | Various approaches have been               Functions and failure | A performance-                       Fieldwork | To ensure the framework
taken to framing or assessing resilience.               based approach, which defines resilience                     is widely applicable and grounded in the
They focus either on urban assets or systems,           in terms of a city’s ability to fulfil and                   experiences of cities, the second stage of
and, to varying degrees, consider man-made              sustain its core functions, offers a more                    research involved fieldwork in six cities:
infrastructure, the natural environment, urban          comprehensive and holistic approach. As                      Cali, Colombia; Concepción, Chile; New
management and human behaviour. Asset-                  a city’s functions rely on a combination                     Orleans, USA; Cape Town, South Africa;
based approaches tend to focus on physical              of assets, systems, practices and                            Surat, India; and Semarang, Indonesia.
assets, rather than considering intangible              actions undertaken by multiple actors,                       These cities were selected as they had either
assets that influence human behaviour, such as          a performance-based approach has                             recently experienced a major shock or are
culture, social networks and knowledge. They            greater potential to address questions of                    suffering chronic stresses, and as a group
neglect the role that assets play in city systems,      interdependency, power dynamics and scale.                   are geographically diverse.
and, therefore, overlook the importance of
assets outside the city boundary; for example, a        Based on the literature review, a draft                      The primary purpose of the fieldwork was
reservoir that may be a critical part of the water      hypothesis was developed which proposed                      to understand what contributes to resilience
supply or flood management system.                      that urban resilience could be framed in                     in cities, and how resilience is understood
                                                        relation to seven critical functions of a                    from the perspective of different city
System-based approaches align more closely              city. This was tested through a desk-based                   stakeholder groups in different contexts. In
with the concept of resilience, and the                 analysis of the ‘factors’ of resilience                      each city, we carried out workshops, focus
long-standing notion of cities as ‘systems of           identified from more than 150 sources,                       groups and key informant interviews with
systems’. Social systems determine human                which examined cities experiencing shocks                    people from the municipal government,
behaviour, which is also influenced by physical         or stresses, together with recent guidance on                utility providers, business and civil society.
systems in the urban environment. Various               urban resilience.                                            Across the six cities, we collected data from
approaches exist, but they mostly examine the                                                                        450 consultees and identified 1546 factors.
resilience of individual sub-systems rather than        This analysis resulted in a refined list of                  Factors are defined as things (physical)
attempting to consider the resilience of the city       eight city functions that are critical to                    or practices/procedures or behaviours
as a system in itself. This promotes a sectoral         resilience. The functions propose that                       (non-physical) that, in the opinion of the
approach and means that interdependencies               a resilient city: delivers basic needs;                      consultees, contribute to the resilience of
between different systems at different scales,          safeguards human life; protects, maintains                   their cities.
and the governing structures that influence the         and enhances assets; facilitates human
way systems work, are not easily considered.            relationships and identity; promotes                         A detailed analysis of the factors identified
                                                        knowledge; defends the rule of law, justice                  12 key themes: essential needs; health
Finally, empirical evidence throughout the              and equity; supports livelihoods; stimulates                 management; livelihood support; law
literature suggests that urban systems that             economic prosperity. The city’s ability to                   enforcement; social harmonisation;
exhibit particular qualities (or characteristics)       perform these functions determines whether                   information and knowledge management;
are more likely to be resilient. The seven              the city is resilient or not. Resilience                     capacity and coordination; critical
qualities summarised opposite are derived               could be perceived as good health, a                         infrastructure management; environmental
from published literature, including the set of         safe environment, social harmony and                         management; urban strategy and planning;
characteristics developed previously by Arup            prosperity. Conversely, a city that is not                   economic sustainability; accessibility. These
and the Institute for Social and Environmental          resilient would be identified by ill-health or               themes represent what the city stakeholders
Transition, as used by the Asian Cities Climate         insecurity, an unsafe environment, conflict                  perceived to be the key city functions
Change Resilience Network. These qualities              and deprivation.                                             relevant to improving resilience. They
apply at a city scale and to individual systems.                                                                     map very closely to the functions that were
                                                                                                                     derived from the desk-top analysis, with the
We concluded that what was missing is a                                                                              following exceptions:
comprehensive, holistic framework that
combines the physical aspects of cities with                                                                         Infrastructure + environment | Physical
the less tangible aspects associated with                                                                            assets were least mentioned by consultees
human behaviour; that is relevant in the                                                                             in the field, whereas they feature very
context of economic, physical and social                                                                             strongly in the literature review. In the
disruption; and that applies at the city scale                                                                       fieldwork research, emphasis was placed on
rather than to individual systems within a city.                                                                     proactive management and maintenance of
Finally, it needs to incorporate the qualities                                                                       infrastructure and the environment, rather
that describe a resilient city (or system).

4                                                    City Resilience Framework - The Rockefeller Foundation | Arup
City Resilience Framework - City Resilience Index April 2014
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                                                                     Qualities of
        than its presence. Consultees also talked                    resilient systems
        about connecting people and enabling
        flows of information, goods, and services                    Reflective                                                   Resourceful
        as a result of integrated transport and                      Reflective systems are accepting of the                      Resourcefulness implies that people and
        communications infrastructure.                               inherent and ever-increasing uncertainty                     institutions are able to rapidly find different
                                                                     and change in today’s world. They have                       ways to achieve their goals or meet their
        Two new aspects of resilience were                           mechanisms to continuously evolve, and                       needs during a shock or when under stress.
        identified:                                                  will modify standards or norms based on                      This may include investing in capacity to
                                                                     emerging evidence, rather than seeking                       anticipate future conditions, set priorities,
        Leadership + coordination | Consultees                       permanent solutions based on the status quo.                 and respond, for example, by mobilising
        emphasised the critical importance of                        As a result, people and institutions examine                 and coordinating wider human, financial
        leadership, in the form of a committed city                  and systematically learn from their past                     and physical resources. Resourcefulness
        government that takes decisions on the basis                 experiences, and leverage this learning to                   is instrumental to a city’s ability to restore
        of sound evidence; engages with business,                    inform future decision-making.                               functionality of critical systems, potentially
        citizens and civil society groups; and aligns                                                                             under severely constrained conditions.
        with other governing bodies at the regional                  Robust
        and national level.                                          Robust systems include well-conceived,                       Inclusive
                                                                     constructed and managed physical assets,                     Inclusion emphasises the need for
        Urban planning + strategy | Consultees                       so that they can withstand the impacts of                    broad consultation and engagement of
        proposed that cities should have a holistic                  hazard events without significant damage or                  communities, including the most vulnerable
        cross-sectoral city vision, strategy or                      loss of function. Robust design anticipates                  groups. Addressing the shocks or stresses
        plan underpinned by appropriate data and                     potential failures in systems, making                        faced by one sector, location, or community
        delivered via policy, regulations, standards                 provision to ensure failure is predictable,                  in isolation of others is an anathema to the
        and codes.                                                   safe, and not disproportionate to the cause.                 notion of resilience. An inclusive approach
                                                                     Over-reliance on a single asset, cascading                   contributes to a sense of shared ownership
        Every city perceived resilience-building to                  failure and design thresholds that might                     or a joint vision to build city resilience.
        be an integrated, ongoing process involving                  lead to catastrophic collapse if exceeded are
        a multitude of actions at different scales.                  actively avoided.                                            Integrated
        Across the six cities, there was a clear                                                                                  Integration and alignment between city
        distinction between those cities which had                   Redundant                                                    systems promotes consistency in decision-
        experienced shocks, and those which had                      Redundancy refers to spare capacity                          making and ensures that all investments are
        not. Different groups within the same city                   purposely created within systems so                          mutually supportive to a common outcome.
        had different perspectives on, and priorities                that they can accommodate disruption,                        Integration is evident within and between
        for, what makes their city resilient. This                   extreme pressures or surges in demand. It                    resilient systems, and across different scales
        highlights the importance of inclusive                       includes diversity: the presence of multiple                 of their operation. Exchange of information
        consultation in resilience planning.                         ways to achieve a given need or fulfil a                     between systems enables them to function
        Further research is needed to specifically                   particular function. Examples include                        collectively and respond rapidly through
        understand the factors that contribute to the                distributed infrastructure networks and                      shorter feedback loops throughout the city.
        resilience of lower income groups. Our                       resource reserves. Redundancies should be
        research suggested that their concerns and                   intentional, cost-effective and prioritised
        priorities were very different to those of the               at a city-wide scale, and should not be an
        government and the private sector.                           externality of inefficient design.

                                                                     Flexible
                                                                     Flexibility implies that systems can change,
                                                                     evolve and adapt in response to changing
                                                                     circumstances. This may favour decentralised
        Further information on our journey to understand city
        resilience is captured in the research reports:              and modular approaches to infrastructure or
                                                                     ecosystem management. Flexibility can be
        • City Resilience Index: Research Report Volume I: Desk      achieved through the introduction of new
        Study (Arup, April 2014)
        • City Resilience Index: Research Report Volume II:          knowledge and technologies, as needed. It
        Fieldwork and Primary Data Analysis (Arup, April 2014)       also means considering and incorporating
        These are available on request - see back cover for          indigenous or traditional knowledge and
        contact information.                                         practices in new ways.

                                                                  City Resilience Framework - The Rockefeller Foundation | Arup                                                                  5
City Resilience Framework - City Resilience Index April 2014
6   City Resilience Framework - The Rockefeller Foundation | Arup
City Resilience Framework - City Resilience Index April 2014
City Resilience Framework

                                                                                    Structure of the
                                                                                    City Resilience Index

                   Every city is unique. The way                                     Categories              Indicators
                   resilience manifests itself plays
                   out differently in different places.
                   The City Resilience Framework
                                                                                     4                       12
                   provides a lens through which                                     Sub-indicators
                   the complexity of cities and the
                   numerous factors that contribute
                   to a city’s resilience can be
                                                                                     48-54
                   understood. It comprises 12 key                                   Variables
                   indicators that describe the
                   fundamental attributes of a resilient
                   city.
                                                                                     130-150

                   A resilient city is a city where there is or                 7. Reduced physical exposure and
                   are…                                                         vulnerability
                                                                                Indicated by environmental stewardship;
                   1. Minimal human vulnerability                               appropriate infrastructure; effective land
                   Indicated by the extent to which everyone’s                  use planning; and enforcement of planning
                   basic needs are met.                                         regulations.

                   2. Diverse livelihoods and employment                        8. Continuity of critical services
                   Facilitated by access to finance, ability to                 Indicated by diverse provision and active
                   accrue savings, skills training, business                    management; maintenance of ecosystems and
                   support and social welfare.                                  infrastructure; and contingency planning

                   3. Adequate safeguards to human life and                     9. Reliable communications and mobility
                   health                                                      Indicated by diverse and affordable multi-
                   Relying on integrated health facilities                      modal transport systems and information and
                   and services, and responsive emergency                       communication technology (ICT) networks;
                   services.                                                    and contingency planning.

                   4. Collective identity and mutual support                    10. Effective leadership and management
                   Observed as active community engagement,                     Involving government, business and civil
                   strong social networks and social                            society, and indicated by trusted individuals;
                   integration.                                                 multi-stakeholder consultation; and evidence-
                                                                                based decision-making.
                   5. Social stability and security
                   Including law enforcement, crime                             11. Empowered stakeholders
                   prevention, justice, and emergency                           Indicated by education for all, and access
                   management.                                                  to up-to-date information and knowledge
                                                                                to enable people and organisations to take
                   6. Availability of financial resources and                   appropriate action.
                   contingency funds
                   Observed as sound financial management,                      12. Integrated development planning
                   diverse revenue streams, the ability to                      Indicated by the presence of a city vision; an
                   attract business investment, adequate                        integrated development strategy; and plans that
                   investment, and emergency funds.                             are regularly reviewed and updated by cross-
                                                                                departmental working groups.

                                                                                (Image across)
                                                                                View of Concepción, Chile.

                City Resilience Framework - The Rockefeller Foundation | Arup                                                7
City Resilience Framework - City Resilience Index April 2014
Categories

                                                                                                                                     Indicators

                                                                                                                                      Qualities
                                                                                                                                      Qualities

Categories                                          Indicators                                                   Qualities

The 12 indicators fall into four categories:        The relative importance of the 12 indicators                 The indicators are complemented by
the health and wellbeing of individuals             is likely to depend on the urban context and                 qualities that distinguish a resilient city from
(people); infrastructure & environment              the challenges a city faces. However, our                    one that is simply liveable, sustainable or
(place); economy and society (organisation);        research tells us that, generally, these factors             prosperous. These qualities are considered
and, finally, leadership and strategy               are what matter most when a city faces a                     to be important in preventing breakdown or
(knowledge). For each, it is possible to            wide range of chronic problems or a sudden                   failure; or enabling appropriate and timely
envisage a best case which represents               catastrophe. They represent the backbone of                  action to be taken. They can be observed
a resilient city, and a worst case which            a resilient city. They are what enable people                in relation to the various assets, systems,
equates to breakdown or collapse. A city            to survive and thrive and businesses to                      behaviours and practices that collectively
characterised by poverty, social conflict,          prosper despite adverse circumstances.                       contribute to achieving the 12 outcomes (or
poor quality infrastructure and weak                                                                             indicators). For example, health services
governance is not resilient. This is evident        The twelve indicators provide a holistic                     that are flexible can reallocate staff to deal
in Port au Prince, Haiti, where recovery            articulation of resilience which equates to                  with an outbreak of disease. Protective
following the devastation caused by an              the elements of a city’s immune system.                      infrastructure that is robust will not fail
earthquake on 12 January 2010 has proven            A weakness in one area may compromise                        catastrophically when design thresholds are
particularly challenging.                           the city’s resilience overall, unless it is                  exceeded. Energy systems with redundancy
                                                    compensated for by strength elsewhere. In                    can accommodate surges in demand or
The categories can be used to explain New           Guangzhou, China, public squares were                        disruption to supply networks. Planning
York City’s resilience, as demonstrated             redesigned to encourage social interaction                   processes that are reflective are better placed
following Superstorm Sandy in 2012, and,            between migrant workers as part of an                        to respond to changing circumstances.
previously, after the 9/11 terrorist attack         integrated approach to urban planning.                       Families that are resourceful will have put
in 2001. This was due to the city’s relative        In Surat, India, there has been substantial                  aside savings or invested in insurance. Early
prosperity, but also to collective identity         investment in health services to offset the                  warning systems that are inclusive will
and effective city leadership. These factors        lack of family support and social networks                   minimise loss of life and property.
meant that people were willing to help each         among migrant workers.
other and unite around the common goal of                                                                        City resilience is complex. The three
getting the city back to normal as quickly          The indicators are performance indicators;                   layers of the City Resilience Framework
as possible. Emergency plans were in place          they describe the outcome of actions to                      – categories, indicators and qualities –
that meant that urban systems and services          build resilience, not the actions themselves.                each contribute to a richer articulation of
were rapidly reinstated and civil order was         This acknowledges that resilience results                    resilience. The framework can be used
maintained.                                         from individual and collective action                        to facilitate a common understanding of
                                                    at various levels, delivered by multiple                     resilience amongst diverse stakeholders. It
Wealthier cities are not necessarily more           stakeholders ranging from households to                      can also be used to identify where there are
resilient, as demonstrated by the decline           municipal government. In Cape Town,                          critical gaps, where action and investment
of the US city of Detroit, which became             South Africa, emergency response in some                     to build resilience will be most effective,
overly dependent on a single industry, or the       townships has fallen to community groups,                    or where deeper analysis or understanding
flooding which brought Bangkok, Thailand,           as the city police force is unwilling to                     is required. The final layer will be the
to a standstill in 2010, affecting supply           operate in these areas due to concerns for                   variables and metrics that result in the City
chains globally. Conversely, relatively poor        their safety. In the Philippines, the efficacy               Resilience Index. This will enable cities to
cities can make choices that build resilience.      of a community-based early warning system                    carry out an objective assessment of their
Gorakhpur, India, is working to build               in Metro Manila has been strengthened                        resilience and measure progress against an
resilience at the ward level in response to         through access to data and knowledge as a                    initial baseline.
annual waterlogging in poorer parts of the          result of a partnership between a local non-
city. By improving solid waste management           governmental agency and the university.
practices to unblock drains, and increasing
drainage of waterlogged areas, the city
has reduced incidences of diseases such
as malaria and Japanese encephalitis,
which are spread by vectors that breed in
waterlogged areas.

8                                                City Resilience Framework - The Rockefeller Foundation | Arup
“Resilience is based on the shifting relationship between scales, and between
autonomy on the one hand and connectivity on the other.”
Allan, P. & Bryant, M. (2011) ‘Resilience as a framework for urbanism and recovery’. Journal of Landscape Architecture 6(2), p. 43

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                                                          City Resilience Framework - The Rockefeller Foundation | Arup                                               9
2. Diverse livelihoods and                                   3. Adequate safeguards to human
                                                       employment                                                   life and health
                                                       This is facilitated by access to finance,                    This relies on integrated health facilities
 1. Minimal human vulnerability                        ability to accrue savings, skills training,                  and services, and responsive emergency
                                                       business support, and social welfare.                        services.
 This relates to the extent to which                   Diverse livelihood opportunities and                         Health systems are critical to the day-to-
 everyone’s basic needs are met.                       support mechanisms allow citizens to                         day prevention of illness and the spread of
 Minimising underlying human vulnerabilities           proactively respond to changing conditions                   disease, as well as protecting the population
 enables individuals and households to achieve         within their city without undermining their                  during emergencies. They comprise a
 a standard of living which goes beyond                wellbeing. Access to finance, skills training                diverse suite of practices and infrastructure,
 mere survival. A basic level of wellbeing             and business support enables individuals                     which help to maintain public health and
 also allows people to deal with unforeseen            to pursue a range of options to secure the                   treat chronic and acute health problems.
 circumstances. This is only possible once             critical assets necessary to meet their basic
 their physiological needs are met through a           needs. Long-term, secure livelihoods allow                   Health services encompass a variety of
 basic level of provision of food, water and           people to accrue personal savings that will                  practices, including: education; sanitation;
 sanitation, energy and shelter.                       support their development, as well as their                  epidemiological surveillance; vaccination;
                                                       survival during times of crisis.                             and provision of healthcare services. These
 The focus of this indicator is on providing                                                                        are focused on ensuring both physical and
 an adequate and dependable supply of                  Mechanisms through which diverse                             mental health. Accessible and affordable
 essential services to a city’s whole population.      livelihood and employment opportunities                      day-to-day individual healthcare, as well as
 Access to shelter and food – particularly for         can be generated include training and skills                 appropriate population-based interventions
 vulnerable groups – as well as sufficient, safe,      development, microfinance, incentive                         (i.e. targeted at the community or city level),
 and reliable citywide water, sanitation and           and innovation programmes, as well as                        are key features of a functioning city health
 energy networks are key to achieving this             a living wage. Financial resources for                       system.
 goal. Evidence from cities suggests that the          business development and incentives
 affordability of these services is also critical      for innovation allow individuals to seek                     Measures to address injuries and addiction
 to ensuring the whole population has daily            diverse employment options during times of                   are also important to reduce the burden
 access, including during times of disruption.         economic constraint or change. Contingency                   of ill-health in urban settings. Effective,
                                                       measures, such as insurance and social                       inclusive and well-prepared medical staff
 The robustness of essential city networks             welfare, contribute to supporting households                 and procedures ensure that all individuals
 becomes particularly important in severe              through challenging circumstances.                           have access to health services before, as
 environmental events. For example: electricity                                                                     well as during, emergencies. Responsive
 power lines may be damaged by storms.                 An inclusive approach to livelihoods                         emergency services provide surge capacity
 If failure occurs, resourceful city utility           ensures that all citizens in a city have                     to support peak demand during a crisis.
 companies are able to respond quickly in line         unrestricted access to legitimate                            In order to achieve the above, appropriate
 with coordinated and pre-prepared emergency           occupations, regardless of race, ethnicity,                  health infrastructure is critical.
 plans. Inclusive plans are also essential             gender or sexual orientation. A range of
 to ensure that all communities receive a              diverse (redundant) small, medium and                        Reflective learning and future planning
 minimum supply of basic assets, notably               large businesses in different economic                       ensure that public health practices − such
 water and food, particularly in extreme               sectors helps people to access job                           as prevention through education − are
 circumstances.                                        opportunities, even during challenging                       appropriate for the social and physical
                                                       macro-economic circumstances. In the                         context of a given city. Services or
 Specific sub-indicators that underpin this            long term, microfinance, savings, training,                  facilities that target vulnerable groups
 indicator area include: Food; Water and               business support and social welfare form a                   ensure that preventive and responsive
 sanitation; Energy; Housing.                          safety net that enables people to be flexible                strategies are inclusive and able to reach
                                                       during times of stress.                                      the entire population. In emergencies, a
                                                                                                                    diverse network of medical practitioners
                                                       Specific sub-indicators that underpin                        and facilities throughout the city ensures
                                                       this indicator area include: Livelihood                      the availability of additional resources
                                                       opportunities; Skills and training;                          (redundancy) that can be deployed
                                                       Development and innovation; Access to                        immediately wherever they are needed.
                                                       financial assistance.
                                                                                                                    Specific sub-indicators that underpin
                                                                                                                    this indicator area include: Public health

Health &                                                                                                            management; Access to affordable
                                                                                                                    health services; Emergency facilities and

wellbeing                                                                                                           practitioners.

 10                                                 City Resilience Framework - The Rockefeller Foundation | Arup
Economy &
society
                                                                                                                6. Availability of financial
                                                                                                                resources and contingency funds

                                                   5. Social stability and security                             This is observed in sound management
                                                                                                                of city finances, diverse revenue streams,
                                                   This includes law enforcement, crime                         and the ability to attract business
                                                   prevention, justice, and emergency                           investment, allocate capital, and build
                                                   management.                                                  emergency funds.
4. Collective identity and mutual
support                                                                                                         A robust economic system is critical to
                                                   A comprehensive and contextually                             sustaining the investment that a city needs
This is observed as active community               appropriate approach to law enforcement                      to maintain its infrastructure and provide
engagement, strong social networks and             facilitates the reduction and prevention of                  for its communities. It helps to create
social integration.
                                                   crime and corruption in a city. By instituting               contingency funds that both the private
                                                   a transparent justice system based on ethical                and public sectors can use to respond to
Communities that are active, appropriately         principles, cities can uphold the rule of                    emergencies and unforeseen events. As a
supported by the city government and               law and promote citizenship in daily life.                   result, cities are better able to respond to
well-connected with one another contribute         These norms are critical to maintaining                      changing economic conditions and pursue
to the bottom-up creation of a city with a         order during times of stress. Well planned                   long-term prosperity.
strong identity and culture. This enables          and resourced law enforcement facilitates
individuals, communities and the city              peaceful recovery, and ensures a healthy                     A sustainable city economy is developed by
government to trust and support each other,        population by reducing crime-related injury,                 aligning fiscal procedures in government,
and face unforeseen circumstances together         fatality and stress.                                         and the ability of the private sector to
without civil unrest or violence.                                                                               function despite shocks and stresses. A
                                                   An integrated approach to law enforcement                    careful structuring of city budgets will
Creating cohesive cities has both social           combines deterrents with effective policing,                 consider the availability of funds to
and physical dimensions. Reinforcing               emergency capacity, a transparent judicial                   regularly invest in infrastructure and to
local identity and culture contributes to          system, and measures to reduce corruption.                   respond to emergencies. This is supported
positive relationships between individuals         An effective judicial system promotes civic                  by a robust revenue base, supplemented
while reinforcing their collective ability to      education as a preventive measure, as well                   by the city’s ability to attract inward
improve the environment where they live,           as responsive action through fair justice.                   investment.
work, create and play. These relationships         Sufficiently resourced policing practices
are supported by a number of practices,            that promote safety and security are a                       The private sector has a complementary
including social networks and community            feature of daily life in a resilient city, and               responsibility to develop business
organisations, artistic expression and the         continue during times of unrest. Trust and                   continuity plans to ensure that businesses
preservation of cultural heritage, including       transparency are identified as key attributes                can also function during, and recover
religion, language and traditions. Ideally,        of policing, which can be achieved by                        from, emergencies. City government can
these practices are underpinned by spatial         reducing corruption and by involving                         contribute to the sustainability of private
interventions that shape the places where          other relevant actors in law enforcement,                    economic activities by empowering
communities develop and connect.                   such as community leaders. Trust in city                     different sectors within the economy and
Provision of communal facilities, public           authorities and legal institutions is achieved               strengthening trade relationships beyond
spaces and physical accessibility can help to      by appropriate enforcement of laws and                       the city.
strengthen community cohesion and avoid            avoiding discrimination or violence in law
isolation.                                         enforcement.                                                 Redundancy (diversity) and resourcefulness
                                                                                                                are identified as key qualities for a healthy
Inclusivity is promoted by community               Laws are upheld by resourceful and                           city economy. A diverse economy can
participation. For example: processes that         responsive systems of policing, which                        absorb the impacts of sector-based shocks
encourage civic engagement in planning and         actively involve city agencies, businesses                   without major impact on the city’s revenue
decision-making processes. Social practices        and civil society. Social stability and                      streams. Resilient cities are also resourceful,
are reinforced by physical interventions           security is also facilitated by inclusive                    optimising revenues and expenditures, and
that foster resourcefulness and integration,       public space design, which helps to avoid                    leveraging funds from non-government and
such as the provision of communal meeting          creating places where crime may proliferate,                 business sources where appropriate. For
places; and the development of mixed               while maximising the safety and security of                  example: public-private partnerships, direct
neighbourhoods that offer a range of               individuals.                                                 investment and grant funding.
housing opportunities to different social/
income groups.                                     Specific sub-indicators that underpin this                   Specific sub-indicators that underpin
                                                   indicator area include: Deterrents to crime;                 this indicator area include: Economic
Specific sub-indicators that underpin this         Corruption reduction; Policing and justice;                  structure; Inward investment; Integration
indicator area include: Community and              Approach to law enforcement.                                 with regional and global economy;
civic participation; Social relationships                                                                       Business continuity planning; Sound fiscal
and networks; Local identity and culture;                                                                       management.
Integrated communities.

                                                City Resilience Framework - The Rockefeller Foundation | Arup                                                  11
Infrastructure
                                                                                                              & environment

                                                                                                                  9. Reliable communications and
                                                                                                                  mobility
                                                     8. Continuity of critical services
                                                                                                                  This is enabled by diverse and affordable
                                                     This results from diversity of provision,                    multi-modal transport systems and
                                                     redundancy, active management                                information and communication
7. Reduced physical exposure and                     and maintenance of ecosystems and                            technology (ICT) networks, and
vulnerability                                        infrastructure, and contingency planning.                    contingency planning.

This relies on environmental stewardship,            Ecosystems and infrastructure both provide                   Reliable communications and mobility
appropriate infrastructure, effective                critical services to urban populations.                      create daily connectivity between places,
land use planning and enforcement of
planning regulations.                                However, these services depend on more                       people and services. This fosters a positive
                                                     than just the presence of assets; their quality              environment for everyday working
Conservation of environmental assets                 and performance are only maintained                          and living, builds social cohesion, and
preserves the natural protection afforded            through proactive management. During                         also supports rapid mass evacuation
to cities by ecosystems. Among other                 times of stress, some ecosystem services                     and widespread communication during
things, this might include the absorption of         and infrastructure become central to the                     emergencies.
tidal surges by coastal wetlands or fluvial          city functioning. Well-maintained systems
flooding by upstream woodlands. The                  are better able to accommodate abnormal                      A combination of transport links and
protective function of infrastructure relies         demand, withstand unusual pressures and                      the provision of ICT are fundamental
on appropriate design and construction. This         continue functioning. Well-established                       to connectivity in contemporary cities.
is as important for homes, offices and other         management practices create enhanced                         Transport links enable physical mobility and
day-to-day infrastructure as it is for specific      knowledge of system components, so that                      should be characterised by a wide coverage
defences, like flood barriers. Working               infrastructure managers are better prepared to               of the city, as well as good service quality
together, both natural and man-made assets           restore disrupted services.                                  and affordability. Good infrastructure
help to improve protection against severe                                                                         capacity, safety and efficiency are essential
conditions, avoiding injury, damage or loss.         Educating communities and businesses is                      for the effective operation of transport
                                                     essential to ensuring that ecosystem services                networks. Business logistics and freight
Ecosystems and built infrastructure                  of importance to urban populations – such as                 infrastructure are an important consideration
designed as integrated urban systems                 natural drainage capacity and flood defences                 to support the city’s economic functioning.
effectively contribute to reducing physical          – remain robust and are not undermined by
exposure and vulnerability. For example:             careless or unwise actions, such as natural                  Consultations undertaken in this research
river basins, forests, drains and sewers             resource extraction or destruction of coastal                suggest that communication technologies
all play a role in protecting cities from            dunes and mangroves. The management of                       are also critical for a city’s connectivity.
flooding. In coastal areas, for example,             man-made infrastructure includes frequent                    These include a diverse range of
robustness can be better achieved by using           monitoring together with regular plans for                   technologies, such as radio networks,
natural wetlands and man-made dykes as               upgrade and renewal. Demand management                       internet and mobile phone services, as well
part of an integrated approach to coastal            is critical in the continuity of critical services,          as specific channels such as social media.
flooding.                                            ensuring that neither built nor natural systems              The availability of reliable and inclusive
                                                     are overloaded, and can maintain sufficient                  forms of communication is critical to
A resilient city values ecosystem services           redundancy to absorb surges in demand.                       disseminate information during emergencies
and has in place robust environmental                A resilient city also implements continuity                  – particularly to the most vulnerable
policies to protect ecosystems in situ. In           plans to ensure that infrastructure managers                 residents of a city, such as the poor and the
resilient cities, man-made infrastructure            are ready to maintain service provision and                  elderly.
and buildings are well-conceived, well-              avoid disruption during extreme events.
constructed and safeguarded against known                                                                         Inclusive multi-modal transport networks
hazards. Building codes and standards                Active management of ecosystem services                      allow safe and affordable travel between all
promote long-term robustness, flexibility            and infrastructure ensures long-term                         neighbourhoods and key facilities across
to adapt in the future and safe failure              robustness and flexibility in changing                       the city. Multi-modal systems incorporate
mechanisms in the event of a shock.                  conditions. For example: through monitoring                  redundancy and flexibility by providing
                                                     and maintenance programmes. Reflective                       alternative options in the event of failure
Cities in seismic zones can be better                approaches may use intelligent technologies                  or surges in demand. Robust and redundant
prepared for earthquakes by updating and             and education to monitor the integrity of                    ICT services enable safe communication
enforcing building codes on the basis of             assets and disseminate alerts in the event of                and access to information, including
reflective learning and new understanding of         declining performance.                                       coordination of emergency services.
future conditions.
                                                     Specific sub-indicators that underpin                        Specific sub-indicators that underpin this
Specific sub-indicators that underpin this           this indicator area include: Ecosystem                       indicator area include: Integrated transport
indicator area include: Environmental                management; Flood risk management;                           networks; Information and communications
policy; Safeguards for critical infrastructure;      Maintenance practice; Demand on critical                     technology; Emergency communications
Building codes and standards.                        infrastructure; Continuity planning.                         services.

12                                                City Resilience Framework - The Rockefeller Foundation | Arup                                              12
Leadership
                                                                                                                              & strategy

10. Effective leadership and
management                                             11. Empowered stakeholders

                                                                                                                    12. Integrated development
This relates to government, business                   This is underpinned by education for                         planning
and civil society and is recognisable in               all, and relies on access to up-to-date
trusted individuals, multi-stakeholder                 information and knowledge to enable
consultation, and evidence-based                       people and organisations to take                             This is indicated by the presence of
decision-making.                                       appropriate action.                                          a vision, an integrated development
                                                                                                                    strategy, and plans that are regularly
                                                                                                                    reviewed and updated by cross-
Clear and purposeful leadership promotes               Individuals and communities that know                        departmental groups.
trust, unity and a shared understanding                what to do during unexpected events are
of a city’s trajectory. Leadership is a key            invaluable assets to a city. The provision                   Development plans and land use regulations
ingredient in encouraging individuals                  of early warnings and access to education,                   are instruments that cities use to coordinate
and communities to take action during                  information and knowledge empowers                           and control urban development and guide
challenging times. A committed city                    citizens and gives them the tools to take                    future investments. The creation and
government that takes decisions on the basis           appropriate decisions in the face of shocks                  implementation of plans and regulations
of sound evidence enables a city to thrive             and stresses. As a consequence, urban                        ensures that individual projects and
from day to day, and to respond to shocks              stakeholders are better positioned to act,                   programmes are aligned and sufficiently
and stresses.                                          learn, and adapt.                                            address uncertainty. Integrated plans
                                                                                                                    create a formalised framework to deal with
Cross-sector collaboration that challenges             The generation of information and                            multidisciplinary issues, such as climate
‘siloed’ approaches in government is critical          knowledge depends on a city’s investment                     change, disaster risk reduction or emergency
to effective decision-making. Multi-                   in research, data collection and risk                        response.
stakeholder alignment and consultations                monitoring. By leveraging relevant
with communities, including the private                information for evidence-based decision-                     A critical aspect of delivering a
sector, are measures that support relevant             making, resilient cities can take better                     comprehensive development and planning
and effective decision-making. Evidence                decisions and act appropriately in changing                  framework is the presence of a city vision.
gathered in cities suggests that effective             circumstances. Multiple and well-used                        The development of a shared and integrated
city governments are given the necessary               channels of communication help to make                       city vision requires understanding of and
power to make decisions at local level.                this process effective. In addition, resilient               alignment between the motivations of
The presence of a strong local government              cities ensure that information shared with                   different stakeholders involved in designing
leader is also an asset in this context.               their citizens can be understood. Other                      and implementing projects in the city.
Integrated, multi-stakeholder decision-                forms of knowledge exchange between                          This, in turn, requires ongoing processes
making is also supported by coordinated                communities and cities – such as city                        of communication and coordination at
practices and procedures, such as                      networks or ‘twin city’ schemes – are also                   all stages of planning. A vision should be
emergency management structures and                    beneficial when it comes to disseminating                    underpinned by appropriate evidence and
response plans.                                        best practice.                                               acceptance of uncertainty, and delivered
                                                                                                                    via policy and regulations. Land use plans
Inclusive governments recognise the                    Inclusive provision of education and                         should be permanently enforced and
importance of grassroots knowledge to                  information enables citizens to protect                      regularly updated. Preparation of plans
help them understand local challenges, and             themselves in emergency situations. For                      relies on collecting up-to-date and relevant
they value the research and innovation that            example, in many cities that are vulnerable                  data, as well as the ongoing monitoring of
universities and businesses can contribute             to seismic activity, television and radio                    urban trends.
to solve city problems. By forging cross-              stations automatically switch to deliver
sector relationships, resilient cities are better      official earthquake information following                    The implementation of integrated strategies
able to coordinate people and access private           an event, which alerts the public to risks                   and plans ensures that different projects
resources and support during times of need.            and precautionary measures. Sharing                          and programmes across a city are aligned,
Integration and resourcefulness are essential          knowledge, experience and best practices                     mutually-supportive, reflective of past
to emergency coordination and capacity-                between cities enables reflectiveness                        experience and resourceful in the face
building, enabling appropriate and timely              through broader exchange of information,                     of future uncertainty. These processes
government responses.                                  feedback loops, learning and adaptation.                     should be truly inclusive, incorporating
                                                                                                                    consultations with residents and others who
Specific sub-indicators that underpin this             Specific sub-indicators that underpin this                   will experience their effects.
indicator area include: Multi-stakeholder              indicator area include: Research, knowledge
alignment; Intra-governmental alignment;               transfer and best practice sharing; Risk                     Specific sub-indicators that underpin this
Government decision-making and                         monitoring and alerts; Public awareness of                   indicator area include: City monitoring and
leadership; Emergency capacity and                     risk; Communication between government                       data; Strategies and plans; Land use and
coordination.                                          and citizens; Education.                                     development.

                                                    City Resilience Framework - The Rockefeller Foundation | Arup                                              13
“Surat started off as a place with household workplaces specialising
in high skill products –hand woven textiles, diamond cutting/
polishing and embroidery. Due to scarcity of labour, competition
in the country and demand for craftsmanship, employers had to
be nice to their immigrant employees – they needed to retain their
employees. They tried to understand their issues and treated them
like family…This sentiment has continued.”
Elected standing commitee member

14                                 City Resilience Framework - The Rockefeller Foundation | Arup
Recognising resilience

                   Building cross-sectoral leadership for
                   disasters, Surat

                   As the fastest growing city in India, and                    Following this catastrophe, a municipal
                   despite its economic prosperity, Surat                       commissioner was put in place to lead the
                   struggles to keep up with demands on                         city back to normality and rebuild trust
                   its infrastructure and services. It has                      internally and externally. There was a
                   experienced several shocks in recent                         recognised need for improved infrastructure,
                   decades, including floods, social unrest and                 such as sewerage and stormwater drainage,
                   an outbreak of the pneumonic plague. This                    as well as better flood management to
                   has strongly influenced the city’s successful                reduce the chances of a recurrence. This
                   efforts to enhance resilience.                               event also raised awareness of public
                                                                                health generally and the wellbeing of
                   Surat is well-known for its flooding                         the workforce to contribute to economic
                   challenges. However, 20 years ago, a chain                   prosperity. The local government put in
                   reaction following a flood permanently                       place measures to prevent rapid disease
                   changed Surat’s approach to flood                            spread, such as monitoring at household
                   management. After the flood in 1994, poor                    level, and provided local health centres in
                   sanitation in vulnerable communities is                      the most vulnerable areas to anticipate and
                   reasoned to have caused an outbreak of                       respond to a disaster.
                   pneumonic plague. While the number of
                   suspected cases was limited, the unexpected
                   nature and fear of a relatively unknown
                   disease caused panic which started
                   locally but quickly spread nationally and
                   internationally.

                                                                                Civil hospital quaratined by Indian military
                                                                                officials © Laurie Garett

                   Door to door solid waste collection                          It took longer to restore trust in the security
                   © JNNURM                                                     of Surat after the disaster than it did to
                                                                                clean up the streets and control the disease.
                                                                                This lack of trust delayed residents from
                                                                                returning to the city and impacted heavily
                                                                                on business continuity. In light of this, the
                                                                                business community, led by the Chamber
                                  Learning from previous                        of Commerce, now contributes strong
                                   disasters has helped                         leadership in planning for disasters and
                                  Surat to cope with new
                                    challenges, through                         being on the ground during emergencies,
                                     evolving systems                           helping to disseminate information and
                                   and developing new                           resources. This complements government
                                         practices.
                                                                                recognition of the importance of providing
                                                                                fast, reliable information to the public about
                                                                                emergencies and their management.

                City Resilience Framework - The Rockefeller Foundation | Arup                                                15
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