Continuity and Change in the Foreign Policies of the Mbeki and Zuma Governments

 
CONTINUE READING
Continuity and Change in the
              Foreign Policies of the Mbeki
                and Zuma Governments
    There is a commonly held view in foreign                     Introduction
 policy analysis circles that in the transition
 from the Mandela to the Mbeki government,                       Paradoxical though it may sound, the foreign
          continuity was the order of the day,                   policy of South Africa, like that of all other
    while from Mbeki to Zuma it purportedly                      states, is a story essentially of both continuity
    suggested change. Was this the case? We                      and change. In political and foreign policy anal-
       are interested in establishing whether                    ysis, change and continuity depend on several
        Mbeki introduced important nuances,                      explanatory factors, including institutional,
   refinements and changes in foreign policy                     environmental and personality dynamics.1
      that might reveal some discontinuities,                    Here should be added aspects such as routines
    and whether the foreign policy directions                    in decision making, beliefs, socialisation, and
       and strategies of the Zuma presidency                     human and financial resources, which all have
  resembled a fundamental break from those                       a bearing on whether a government’s foreign
     pursued by Mbeki. In terms of the latter,                   policy is the product of continuity or a subject
        the leadership tensions in the African                   of change.2 Let us remember that it is in the na-
     National Congress (ANC) which brought                       ture of governments, especially bureaucracies,
     about the Zuma presidency were said to                      not to favour change over continuity. South
        be accompanied by changes in policy.                     African foreign policy theorist Costa Georghiou
    Could it be that this rupture in the ruling                  argues that ‘persistence and change coexist
                                                                 uneasily, and it is this mixture that makes
     ANC and the government was ironically
                                                                 the future so uncertain. The twin forces of
         characterised by policy continuities?
                                                                 integration and disintegration, continuity and
                                                                 change, creates a mood of both confidence and
                                                                 disorientation in international politics’.3
                                                                     In this article we seek to understand the
                                                                 paradox inherent in South Africa’s foreign
                                                                 policy by examining its avowed macro-agendas
                               Chris Landsberg
                                                                 within a world increasingly realigning itself
                Chris Landsberg is Professor of International    in powerful economic groupings. It is given as
                Relations at the University of Johannesburg.     read that statements made by policymakers

© Africa Institute of South Africa                             Africa Insight   Vol 41 (4) – March 2012   1
Continuity and Change in the Foreign Policies of the Mbeki and Zuma Governments | Chris Landsberg                                                    Continuity and Change in the Foreign Policies of the Mbeki and Zuma Governments | Chris Landsberg

may assume different forms when delivered to                    more strategic. He came to advance the course                   Eradicating poverty, unemployment and in-                 it, ‘the regeneration of Africa is the main pillar
different audiences – for instance for the con-                 of a highly ambitious transformational and de-              equality were not merely ends in their own right              of South Africa’s foreign policy objectives. It is
sumption of domestic voters or for the global                   velopmental foreign policy programme and, in                – they were also means to boosting the econo-                 central to ensuring a better life for all in South
media – yet it is precisely this schizophrenia,                 many respects, he modified and refined many                 my in a cyclical process that Mbeki championed                Africa and on the continent’.9 The fact that in
the legacy of decades of hounding by a vehe-                    of the foreign policy directives of the Mandela             under the rubric of a ‘developmental state’. In               2008 South Africa had diplomatic relations
mently critical world, that has informed the                    government, of which he was a key member.                   his modernisation project, emphasis was con-                  with 47 of the continent’s states, compared to
new Republic’s political discourse over the last                    Where Mandela’s government had spoken                   stantly placed on creating a macro-economic                   just one at the height of apartheid, was testi-
12 years or so.                                                 of domestic and continental African interests               environment that could boost growth and cre-                  mony to its ‘Africa first’ policy.
    This policy article tests the commonly held                 and of ‘universality’, Mbeki would seek, some-              ate opportunities for sharing it. Domestic and                     The Mbeki administration endeavoured
view that, in the transition from the Mandela                   what ambitiously perhaps, to put these words                foreign policy was informed by his understand-                to remain faithful to the idea of never going
to the Mbeki government, continuity was the                     into actual policy. He would come to herald                 ing that South Africa was characterised by a                  it alone in Africa, but preferred to build stra-
order of the day, while from Mbeki to Zuma it                   the Republic as an ‘active agent of progres-                context of ‘Two Nations’ and ‘Two Economies’.                 tegic partnerships as it sought to consolidate
purportedly suggested change. We are inter-                     sive change’4 as he pursued a foreign policy of             One was largely poor and black, living mainly                 its agenda. As Mbeki engaged Africans as
ested in establishing whether Mbeki introduced                  redress and development. He was determined                  in conditions of poverty and ranked around 135                partners, he shunned hegemonic ambitions.
important nuances, refinements and changes                      to see South Africa become a pivotal state on               on the Human Development Index. The other                     Therefore, while many commentators over-
in foreign policy that might reveal some discon-                the continent, as a reliable global player follow-          was largely wealthy and white, and ranked                     stated Pretoria’s leverage and labelled it a ‘he-
tinuities, and whether the foreign policy direc-                ing a predictable foreign policy in pursuit of a            around 28th.                                                  gemon’ demanding leadership and dominance,
tions and strategies of the Zuma presidency                     progressive agenda. To do this he would come                    These two economies, belonging to both the                Pretoria-Tshwane chose the part of partnership
resembled a fundamental break from those                        to rely heavily on negotiations, diplomacy and              developed global ‘First World’ and developing                 and equality with African states.
pursued by Mbeki. In terms of the latter, we                    what became known as ‘soft power’.                          ‘Third World’, led the Mbeki government to                         Mbeki advocated a New Partnership for
consider whether the leadership tensions in the                     Mandela had struggled to articulate an                  identify six broad strategic goals that domes-                Africa’s Development (NEPAD), a modernisa-
ANC which brought about the Zuma presidency                     effective national interest paradigm and set-               tic and foreign policy should have in order to                tion and pro-growth plan aimed at soliciting
were accompanied by changes in policy, or                       tled for a foreign policy that sought in part to            narrow the gap: eradicating poverty; reducing                 Western investment, aid, market access and
whether this rupture was ironically character-                  realise the goals of the Reconstruction and                 unemployment and creating jobs; fighting                      assistance for Africa’s development and peace
ised by policy continuities. More interestingly,                Development Programme (RDP), notably job                    crime; building the capacity of state; bringing               operations, in exchange for Africans holding
we consider whether stated policy by the Zuma                   creation, addressing inequalities and accelerat-            about a better Africa; and bringing about a bet-              themselves accountable politically and eco-
government was in line with practice followed                   ing economic growth. Mbeki however thought                  ter world. The last two aims reveal explicitly a              nomically. If Mbeki’s much vaunted ‘African
or whether there were deviations.                               he could realise his predecessor’s wish to in-              line of thinking also evident in a 2005 strategic             Renaissance’ served the purpose of the vision,
                                                                fuse into foreign policy the notion of national             Department of Foreign Affairs (DFA) document                  then NEPAD became the policy strategy to
                                                                interest. To do so, he set out to use domestic              – that ‘the context of South Africa’s foreign                 realise that vision. NEPAD was a modernisa-
1999–2008: Mbeki’s Change                                       sources for foreign policy and address the di-              policy is firmly rooted in Africa and the South,              tion and reconstruction programme aimed at
trumping Continuity                                             chotomy of the country’s domestic and interna-              and its national interest is, therefore, defined in           stimulating Africa’s development after decades
                                                                tionalist roles by anchoring foreign relations, in          terms of achieving the challenges of the second               of failures that were the legacies of colonial-
On the face of it, Thabo Mbeki’s vision was                     the eyes of voters at least, on domestic goals. A           economy’7.                                                    ism, as well as the Cold War, bad governance,
more internationalist than that of Nelson                       strategic 2005 foreign affairs document stated                  As part of a new ‘continentalism’, Mbeki                  unsound economic policies and management,
Mandela, perhaps reflecting his exposure to                     that ‘domestic priorities guide the Department’s            sought to influence the inter-African system,                 and destructive conflicts.10 It was a strategy of
international affairs during the ANC’s decades                  policies and underpin its activities’.5 It further          not in the direction of supra-nationalism or                  engagement which promoted intra- and extra-
in exile, including his years attending univer-                 stated that ‘South Africa’s interaction with                explicit federalism, but towards functional-                  African partnerships.
sity in England and political training in Russia.               the international community must necessar-                  ism and a rules-based continental order – if                       Major achievements in the African strat-
Certainly, when he replaced Mandela as presi-                   ily reflect its national imperatives, including             anything, a kind of confederalism or loose                    egy came through multilateralism: the re-
dent in June 1999, the impetus of his diplomacy                 such critical issues as job creation and poverty            cooperation that falls short of binding struc-                structuring of the South African Development
was first to overhaul foreign policy and make it                alleviation’.6                                              tural reform.8 As the Fifteen Year Review put                 Community (SADC) and transformation from

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Continuity and Change in the Foreign Policies of the Mbeki and Zuma Governments | Chris Landsberg                                                    Continuity and Change in the Foreign Policies of the Mbeki and Zuma Governments | Chris Landsberg

the Organisation of African Unity (OAU) to the                  thankless negotiations in Burundi, coordinat-               which was established at the Bandung re-                      playing a bridging role between these divided
African Union (AU). Pretoria played a strategic                 ing the Comores’ peace effort, mediating in the             vival, the 50th anniversary commemoration                     blocs with the aim of extracting political and
role as champion of new values and principles                   Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC), facilita-               in April 2005 co-hosted by South Africa and                   financial commitments from the North.
in Africa, emphasising the construction of                      tion in Lesotho and dialogue with Angola, on                Indonesia14 during the Asia-Africa Sub-regional                   Transformation of global power and eco-
sub-regional and continental institutions and                   top of dispatching observers in Ethiopia/Eritrea            Organisations Conference (AASROC); and the                    nomic relations featured as major goals of the
mechanisms in defence of democratisation and                    and supporting the UN-led process in Western                African-Caribbean-Pacific (ACP) bloc within the               Mbeki government, and as such they built on
a new interventionism against gross violations                  Sahara. In peacekeeping it actively helped in               context of EU–ACP relations. As one foreign af-               and added to Mandela’s notion of commitment
of human rights, genocide, unconstitutional                     Burundi, the DRC and Liberia. Mbeki in fact                 fairs official said, ‘in relating to Asian states,            to multilateralism and international law. His
changes of government (read coups d’état) and                   continued with the Mandela government’s                     we sought to pursue Africa’s interests’.15                    executive collective came to promote ‘global
instability in one country, threatening broader                 tactic of ‘quiet diplomacy’, this time towards                  Mbeki had introduced a new, more complex                  governance’ that would influence the balance of
regional instability.11                                         Zimbabwe from 1999 onwards.                                 and dispersed dimension to North–South dia-                   power in a West-dominated world. On the politi-
    Perhaps as wary as Mandela of grand                             While Mandela had committed himself to                  logue, which in essence sought to reformulate                 cal front, modernised policies campaigned for
continental arrangements, Mbeki saw build-                      non-alignment, Mbeki subscribed to a more                   development as a universal and strategic chal-                the reform of the global political architecture,
ing a continental union in Africa – a new                       elaborate scheme of South–South coopera-                    lenge facing the international community. This                while on the socio-economic front South Africa
continentalism but not as a United States of                    tion as he set out to reinvigorate political and            reconfigured or modernised notion had as its                  was concerned with the transformation of the
Africa – as the most rational way to proceed                    economic links between Asia, South America                  aim a challenge to the international economic                 global financial systems, as well as with ex-
in transforming the African order. Mbeki                        and Africa, and emphasised developmental                    balance of power, and extraction of significant               tracting finances for development commitments
challenged the then Libyan leader Muammar                       goals linked to the expansion of trade, poverty             financial resource commitments from the North                 from multilateral bodies.19 While political policy
Gaddafi’s United States of Africa (USAf) as not                 reduction through growth, and modernisation                 in areas of aid, trade, debt relief and eradica-              stressed the need to restore the centrality of the
palatable, and preferred instead an institution-                through infrastructure development and tech-                tion, and market access.16                                    United Nations (UN) in global affairs and the
alised, functionalist approach to continental                   nical cooperation. To quote the Fifteen Year                    Mbeki and his government approached                       need for a strong disarmament and nuclear non-
affairs. South Africa’s preference for a looser                 Review, ‘the value of South–South co-operation              the industrialised powers with much self-                     proliferation global regime, socio-economic pol-
confederation was instrumental in the estab-                    [had to] be visible in increased market access,             assurance and boldness. Indeed, if the chief                  icy pushed for restructuring of the International
lishment of the AU and institutions such as the                 trade and investment benefits for all countries             goal of South–South strategies were to turn                   Monetary Fund (IMF) and the World Bank. The
Peace and Security Council, the strengthening                   of the South and material support for NEPAD                 the South into a more cohesive bloc that could                defence of multilateralism strongly emerged as
of the AU Commission, and the establishment                     projects’.13 A key goal of Mbeki’s tri-continental          engage the North more effectively, then the                   a priority. As the Fifteen Year Review stated, ‘a
of an African Court of Human and People’s                       strategies was to engage leaders of the three               goals of the North–South strategies were just                 commitment to multilateralism is at the heart
Rights. South Africa was also a key promoter                    continents so that they could organise them-                as bold: the Mbeki government took it upon                    of South Africa’s foreign policy. Since 1994, the
of the idea that Africa’s Regional Economic                     selves better, speak with one voice and utilise             itself to bargain for more favourable conces-                 country has sought to contribute to a transpar-
Communities       (RECs)    and    Sub-regional                 multilateral forums in order to extract greater             sions in the areas of political governance, the               ent and rules-based international political and
Economic Communities (SECs) could be the                        political and development commitments from                  global financial architecture, financing for                  economic order that advances the interests of
building blocks of continental development and                  the North and/or West.                                      development and a voice for the South in global               developing countries’20.
integration.12                                                      Membership of strategic partnerships with               forums. Mbeki’s foreign policy strategists had                    In a subtle way, Mbeki had taken up
    How far this proliferation of partnerships                  like-minded states continued to proliferate.                long held the view that ‘engagement with                      Mandela’s mantle of domestic change and
would make any difference to domestic trans-                    Pretoria-Tshwane formed ad hoc coalitions, and              developed countries is premised on the notion                 reform, and had skilfully introduced a trans-
formation remained a key concern, but as                        created regional and sub-regional platforms to              of forging partnerships for peace, security and               formational agenda at home and aligned it
important were the military conflicts that have                 attain its goals. It had played a role in redefin-          development’.17 Foreign policy came to stress a               with a proactive role in foreign diplomacy. The
turned the continent into a volatile region.                    ing forums like the Non-aligned Movement                    new priority: ‘fundamentally’ altering ‘the re-               West needed South Africa as much as South
Under Mbeki’s leadership, South Africa made                     (NAM), as well as being pivotal in the creation             lationship between Africa and the North, while                Africa needed the West, and that had profound
a significant shift by adopting a pro-peace-                    of new platforms such as the G20+; the India-               strengthening the relationship between Africa                 implications for Mbeki’s leverage on the conti-
keeping posture, not just a stance in favour                    Brazil-South Africa Trilateral Forum (IBSA); the            and the South’.18 The goal was to bring about                 nent and in multilateral organisations. It gave
of peacemaking. Peacemaking involved the                        New Africa-Asia Strategic Partnership (NAASP),              international political and economic redress by               him a strong bargaining hand, and at times

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Continuity and Change in the Foreign Policies of the Mbeki and Zuma Governments | Chris Landsberg                                                    Continuity and Change in the Foreign Policies of the Mbeki and Zuma Governments | Chris Landsberg

he was forceful in his criticism of the West, as                for them, would not result in a radical change              about Mbeki’s contribution to foreign policy in               the advancement of the global community.29
was evidenced by his government’s response                      in policy, certainly not in foreign policy and              particular: ‘[H]e made our country an integral                Motlanthe reminded South Africans that his
to the September 11 events. However, it was                     definitely not in terms of stated policy on pa-             part of the continent and worked tirelessly for               task was to see out the mandate of the Mbeki
still not clear how this increased voice, without               per. Instead of the change that many of Mbeki’s             an African rebirth.’25 ‘Through his leadership’,              years; the priorities he identified for his own
substantive pooling of sovereignty, could be                    detractors had hoped for, we would rather see a             continued Zuma, ‘South Africa’s stature grew                  government were the same as those articulated
anything more than talk – or such at least was                  high degree of the embrace of policies of Mbeki             in the continent and globally.’26                             by President Mbeki in 2004.
the growing concern of many within the ranks                    as articulated in key foreign policy statements                 So if continuity, at least in terms of stated                 In his first and only State of the Nation
of the ANC.                                                     and documents associated with the new Zuma                  policy, was to be the order of the day, what                  Address on 6 February 2009, Motlanthe made
                                                                government. Many of the Mbeki critics who                   about the ‘change’ that opponents consistently                it known that his was ‘a responsibility, within
                                                                yearned for widespread change did not even                  promised? The foundation for the foreign policy               a matter of a few months, to lead the national
2008 and Beyond: Continuity                                     realise that the motto of the Zuma government               agenda of the next government was laid by the                 Executive in completing the mandate accorded
with Practical Deviations                                       during the election campaign was ‘continuity                dramatic 52nd ANC Conference in the northern                  to the ANC in the 2004 elections, and in laying
trumping Change                                                 and change’. Elsewhere the author has argued                city of Polokwane in December 2007, which                     the foundation for the post-election adminis-
                                                                that ‘...since Zuma’s emergence as president                not only witnessed a shift in support from                    tration to hit the ground running’. With this,
From 2003 an internecine broedertwis (frater-                   there has, on paper at least, been more conti-              Thabo Mbeki to Jacob Zuma, but also adopted                   Motlanthe signalled continuity, as well as mak-
nal squabble) pervaded the ANC, which became                    nuity than change in South African foreign                  a number of resolutions, including those on                   ing an explicit link between the previous Mbeki
increasingly bitter. This fallout resulted first in             policy’.22 He went further to argue that ‘such              international relations and foreign policy.27                 administration and a future post-2009 election
the deputy president Jacob Zuma being relieved                  changes as have occurred have been changes                                                                                government.
of his duties in 2005, followed by a change in                  in style and refinements here and there, while                                                                                According to the caretaker president, ‘both
ANC leadership at Polokwane in December                         as regards stated policy, continuity has pre-               The Motlanthe Months:                                         in the G20 meetings and other multilateral
2007, plus the forced recalling by the party of                 vailed’.23 This should not have come as a sur-              Continuity all the Way                                        institutions, our government has argued for
Thabo Mbeki as head of state in September                       prise to seasoned observers of South African                                                                              appropriate and urgent interventions par-
2008, and ultimately Zuma’s election as presi-                  foreign policy, with the stress here on policy,             Kgalema Motlanthe, South Africa’s caretaker                   ticularly in the developed countries whence the
dent. This led many an observer to believe that                 which should not be confused with the analysis              president after the dramatic recalling of Mbeki               crisis originated and where it is most severe’.30
there would be radical changes in domestic                      of second-hand punditry.                                    on 20 September 2008, made plain that the                     Motlanthe made specific reference to Mbeki’s
and foreign policy. During Zuma’s election                          On the eve of Jacob Zuma’s assuming office,             main goal of his seven-month stint to April                   role as SADC facilitator in Zimbabwe, and said
campaign hustings, for example, the Congress                    the president-to-be hinted at continuity when               2009 would be to see out the Mbeki period. As                 that his government would assist in efforts to
of South African Trade Unions (COSATU), one                     all the talk was reconciliatory: ‘[W]e have said            such, he gave notice that his intension was not               help reconstruct Zimbabwe and urgently as-
of Zuma’s staunchest defenders, vowed that                      that … foreign policy will not change. There                to introduce new policies but to ensure that the              sist in dealing with the humanitarian crisis
‘everything must change’, a sentiment echoed                    will be continuity’. Indeed, Zuma was signal-               mandate of the Mbeki government was brought                   in that country. Over Zimbabwe policy there
by the South African Communist Party (SACP)                     ling anything but radical change, and markers               to a successful conclusion. On 28 September                   would be continuity. In spite of the continued
who vowed that ‘things are going to have to                     were being laid down that promised more of                  2009, Motlanthe gave his first live television                political and refugee crisis in the troublesome
change’.21                                                      the same. In spite of the bitter infighting of              address to the nation and described the week                  northern neighbour, Motlanthe did not deviate
    However, Mbeki’s critics and Zuma’s sup-                    the previous five years, in his presidential in-            in which Mbeki was recalled as president as                   from the Mbeki’s government’s stance in favour
porters appeared oblivious to the fact that the                 augural address on 9 May 2009 Zuma lauded                   ‘one of the most difficult weeks in the history               of engagement in it, stressing the need for a
fight between Zuma and Mbeki within the ANC                     his predecessor’s achievements in foreign                   of our young democracy … it has been a week                   negotiated settlement and full implementation
was largely about style and personality, and                    policy and diplomacy: ‘[H]e took the country                of uncertainty and doubt, hurt and anger’.28                  of the Global Political Agreement (GPA) brokered
not over policy substance. Zuma’s allies ap-                    forward as a true statesman. He made a re-                  Motlanthe vowed to ‘draw on the example                       by Mbeki in 2008. On the wider continent, too,
peared to have misinterpreted the policy mood                   markable contribution towards strengthening                 set by my immediate predecessor, President                    Motlanthe welcomed the political dialogue be-
in ANC quarters as they confused anger with                     our democracy, and laid a firm foundation for               Thabo Mbeki’ and expressed indebtedness to                    tween the leaders of the DRC and Rwanda, and
Mbeki over his style with differences over poli-                economic growth and development.’24 As newly                his predecessor for his ‘leadership’ and ‘his                 stated that his government would continue to
cy. The change in leadership in the ANC, sadly                  elected president, Zuma proceeded to opine                  vision’ in promoting progress in Africa and                   support the AU in pursuit of the same strategy

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Continuity and Change in the Foreign Policies of the Mbeki and Zuma Governments | Chris Landsberg                                                    Continuity and Change in the Foreign Policies of the Mbeki and Zuma Governments | Chris Landsberg

of political dialogue in Burundi, Sudan, Western                Enter Zuma: Continuity                                      see the Republic ‘becoming an active agent of                 to ‘streamline the work that is currently done
Sahara, Cote d’Ivoire, Somalia, and elsewhere.                  amidst Diffusion                                            progressive change’.36                                        by different departments on development
    Whereas Mbeki had emphasised a function-                                                                                    One of the first moves announced by                       co-operation into a coherent and systematic
alist approach to Regional Economic Comm-                       Turning to the new Jacob Zuma-led govern-                   Minister Nkoana-Mashabane was that the                        framework’.39 In August 2009, she confirmed
unities (RECs) on the continent, Motlanthe                      ment which was elected into office in April                 name of the department responsible for the                    that ‘work towards the establishment of SADPA
stressed that his government would ‘use the                     2009 and inaugurated in May of that year, it                management and coordination of the Republic’s                 is currently underway … This agency… will be
privilege of chairing SADC to strengthen this                   articulated policies which read like carbon                 diplomacy and foreign policy would change                     tasked with the management of South Africa’s
regional institution, with a particular empha-                  copies of Mbeki’s. In August 2009, the new                  from the Department of Foreign Affairs (DFA)                  developmental assistance to contribute to
sis on implementing Summit resolutions and                      Zuma administration finalised their Medium-                 to that of DIRCO. According to the new min-                   capacity and institutional building, as well as
cementing regional strategic cohesion’.31 Just                  term Strategic Framework (MTSF) to Guide                    ister, the idea was to emphasise that foreign                 support socio-economic and human resource
how this strengthening would take place was                     Government’s Programme for the Electoral                    policy would be ‘based upon and is indeed an                  development’.40
not spelled out. Instead, the Motlanthe govern-                 Mandate Period 2009–2014, revealing that                    advancement of our domestic priorities at an                      In terms of the Zuma administration’s
ment turned its attention to improving SADC’s                   the Zuma administration would cham-                         international level’. This did not come as much               ‘Africa prioritisation’ strategies, there emerged
interaction with the Common Market for East                     pion its foreign policy under the broad goal of             of a surprise, and signalled government’s in-                 two broad thematic areas: Africa continental;
and Southern Africa (COMESA), another worthy                    ‘Pursuing African Advancement and Enhanced                  tention to introduce a new style and approach                 and improving political and economic integra-
cause for trade but hardly underpinned by firm                  Co-operation’.33                                            to the conduct of foreign affairs, namely to em-              tion of the SADC. Even though the government
commitments to direct integration and peace-                        The developmental agenda was in turn                    phasise issues of collaboration and non-hegem-                set out to pursue its Africa strategies under
making or peacekeeping.                                         to be based on the existing ‘key pillars of our             onic soft-balancing as opposed to dominance,                  the label of ‘African advancement’, its policy
    In terms of South–South cooperation, the                    foreign policy’, under a series of sub-goals or             hegemonic intentions and power-seeking real-                  borrowed heavily from the Mbeki government’s
message in Motlanthe’s State of the Nation ad-                  sub-categories, namely34 (1) closing the gap                ist approaches to its relations with other states             notion of the ‘African agenda’, even retaining
dress was similar to that articulated by Mbeki.                 between domestic and foreign policy; (2) con-               and international entities. Nkoana-Mashabane                  the very labelling41 Indeed, Deputy Minister of
He insisted that South Africa would continue to                 tinued prioritisation of the African continent;             announced that the name had been changed ‘to                  International Co-operation, Ebrahim Ebrahim’s
foster strong ties with China in the belief that                (3) strengthening of South–South relations;                 help clarify the mandate of the Department…                   declaration that the ‘consolidation of the
there was ‘much mutual benefit to be gained                     (4) relations with strategic formations of the              The name should reflect the new focus that our                African agenda’ would be the main priority in
from our partnership’, and affirmed his gov-                    North; (5) strengthening political and economic             government wishes to place on partnerships                    South Africa’s foreign policy,42 corroborates
ernment’s ‘commitment to close relations that                   relations; and (6) participating in the global              and co-operation for development.’37, 38                      this view of continuity in Africa strategy. In
we have forged with Brazil and India through                    system of governance. All these were familiar                   However, while talks of fundamental change                line with the Mbeki posture in Africa, the new
IBSA’, the trilateral cooperation initiated by                  themes and suggested continuity, not change.                were being dished up for popular consumption,                 Zuma government vowed to contribute to the
Mbeki in 2003. He also preferred a ‘strengthen-                 While the wording had been adapted here and                 in reality many actors hinted at stability and                promotion of peace, security and stability by
ing of bonds that our country has been forging                  there, in reality it meant more of the same.                predictability. More significantly, they did not              sustaining involvement in peacekeeping opera-
with Russia, and countries in Asia, the Middle                      When Deputy Minister of the Department                  wish to end those of Mbeki’s policies that were               tions in Africa.43 Policy further stated that the
East, as well as Latin and North America’.32                    of International Relations and Cooperation                  proving successful. One such example commu-                   Republic would continue with reconstruction
    Even as pertains global governance strate-                  (DIRCO), Ebrahim Ismail Ebrahim, told parlia-               nicated by the new Zuma-led government was                    and development efforts on the continent, es-
gies, Motlanthe made known that South Africa                    ment in June 2009 that South Africa’s approach              that it would build on the work of the Mbeki                  pecially in post-conflict situations in countries
would join other countries from the South and                   to foreign relations over the next five years               government in the area of development coop-                   such as the DRC, Sudan, Burundi, Western
‘continue to pursue the cause of the restruc-                   would ‘be driven by the need to deliver to the              eration and proceed to establish a development                Sahara and Zimbabwe.44
turing of the UN, the IMF and other multilat-                   masses of our people, which is at the core of               agency for South Africa. The new government                       Whereas the Mbeki government had ex-
eral institutions so they reflect the changed and               our national interest’, he was not stating                  publicly committed itself to establishing the                 panded on the Mandela administration’s idea
changing global reality and operate in a demo-                  something novel or original, nor was Deputy                 South African Development Partnership Agency                  of pursuing a non-aligned foreign policy pos-
cratic, equitable and transparent manner’.. In                  Minister Ebrahim Ebrahim’s commitment to                    (SADPA), with the aim of promoting develop-                   ture and expansion of a South–South coopera-
short, the change from Mbeki to Motlanthe                       the pursuit of a ‘progressive international-                mental partnerships. According to Nkoana-                     tion strategy, the Zuma government’s policy of
heralded continuity, not change.                                ism’,35, echoing as it did Mbeki’s commitment to            Mashabane, the new government intended                        ‘strengthening South–South relations’ marked

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Continuity and Change in the Foreign Policies of the Mbeki and Zuma Governments | Chris Landsberg                                                    Continuity and Change in the Foreign Policies of the Mbeki and Zuma Governments | Chris Landsberg

a direct continuation of Mbeki’s South–South                    agenda both on the continent and the develop-               government from 1999 to 2008 essentially fol-                 policy, very little has changed on paper and
cooperation and ‘agenda of the South’ strate-                   ing world’, as Nkoane-Mashabane explained,                  lowed a transformational and developmental                    in terms of articulated foreign policy. In the
gies. As with the Mbeki government, the main                    and to persue a ‘dynamic partnership for devel-             foreign policy. This was especially true in                   Inroads article of 2011, titled Transformation,
rationale which underscores the South–South                     opment and co-operation’.49 Here it should be               relation to the global governance strategies of               continuity and diffusion: South African foreign
cooperation strategies of the Zuma government                   remembered that the Mbeki government’s rela-                the Mbeki government. President Zuma has                      policy under Thabo Mbeki and Jacob Zuma, the
would be to ’ensure the creation of political,                  tions with developed countries were concerned               attempted to borrow from this dimension of                    author argued that, instead of any farfetched
economic and social spheres necessary for                       with peace, security and development.50                     Mbeki’s diplomacy too as he and his govern-                   change, ‘the Zuma government opted for a
the fight against poverty, underdevelopment                         The rationale behind Zuma’s stated policy               ment endorsed the notions of transformation                   tactic of merely sticking different labels on
and marginalization of the South’. Nkoana-                      in favour of engaging the industrialised pow-               and developmentalism in their future foreign                  policy without changing the policy itself ... At
Mashabane stressed that                                         ers was advanced by Nkoane-Mashabane,                       policy.                                                       the same time however’, its journey without a
                                                                when she stated that ‘countries of the North                    It should also be remembered here that                    map has rendered South Africa’s foreign policy
    ‘South Africa will continue to build relations              are undeniably an economic power base of the                the voice and participation of Africa and the                 ‘unpredictable and erratic’.56 The question
    based on solidarity and co-operation with                   world and remain essential to the economic                  broader South were key rationales behind                      about the Zuma government’s foreign policy in
    regional and sub-regional groups in the South               well-being of the developing world’.51 Given                Mbeki’s transformational global govern-                       relation to continuity and change was not so
    such as the Non-aligned Movement (NAM),                     these economic considerations, South Africa                 ance positions. If more evidence is required,                 much whether there was change from Mbeki
    Forum for China-Africa Co-operation (FOCAC),                set out to ’forge partnerships with these coun-             Nkoane-Mashabane’s declaration soon after                     to Zuma, because we have established that on
    Africa-India Forum, G77 plus China, the India-              tries within the context of trade, development              the April 2009 polls, that ‘we believe that the               paper it was sturdiness. In terms of stipulated
    Brazil-South Africa Dialogue Forum, and the                 and co-operation.’52 Engaging the North, policy             transformation of the international system will               policy there was continuity. Instead the issue
    New Asia-Africa Strategic Partnership (NAASP)               stated, would furthermore be ‘done to advance               not only give Africa a bigger voice, but will                 was an apparent disjuncture between Zuma’s
    in pursuit of the consolidation of the African              South Africa, the continent and the rest of the             put us in a better position to address the de-                stated policy and the actions of the government
    Agenda.’45                                                  South’s developmental agenda’. In the medium                velopmental plight of our continent’,54 marked                in practice.
                                                                term, policy toward the North would see the                 a direct continuation of Mbeki’s position. When                   This divergence between stated policy and
Nkoane-Mashabane’s refrain that South Africa                    Zuma government continue to pursue a devel-                 she also vowed that ‘we will continue to work                 action came about because of a number of rea-
as a developing country would maintain ‘natu-                   opmental and investment-oriented approach                   with other nations and progressive non-state                  sons and explanatory factors, but because of
ral partnerships with other countries of the                    to engagements with the North, such as the                  actors’, as well as ‘for the reform of the UN,                the weaknesses in the institutional apparatus
South with whom we share similar challenges                     Organisation for Economic Cooperation and                   including the Bretton Woods Institutions’, she                in the Zuma government, many deviations
and constraints’, was a familiar theme which                    Development (OECD) and the Group of Eight                   borrowed directly from the Mbeki script. Just as              from the government’s own stated policies crept
came to the fore during the Mbeki years.46                      (G8).                                                       the Minister insisted that ‘we cannot achieve                 in, and we had what has been called elsewhere
Ebrahim’s pledge that South Africa’s South–                         The final pillar of the Zuma government’s               our objective of a better world when the current              a ‘diffused’ foreign policy in practice. Stated
South cooperation would focus on its ‘strategic                 evolving foreign policy is that of ‘participating           configuration of the Security Council of the UN               policy on paper did not correspond neatly with
alliance’ with India, China and Brazil47 was a                  in the global system of governance’, and the                is informed by the geo-politics and security                  actual policy in practice.
direct continuation of Mbeki’s strategies to-                   preference for ‘robust engagement’ in multi-                concerns of the 1950s when most of Africa was                     Zuma’s first state visit since becoming
wards IBSA and the G-77 Plus China. Zuma was                    lateral fora, including championing the reform              under colonial rule’,55 she was again identify-               president was to Angola in 2009, a mission
present at what might turn out to have been                     of the UN Security Council. These are themes,               ing directly with the Mbeki position in favour                undertaken to patch up the relationship with
the founding meeting of another South–South                     it will be recalled, that were championed by                of ‘rules-based multilateral approaches to                    President Dos Santos and his government,
partnership, that between Africa and South                      Mbeki’s bifurcated strategy of politico-security            problems of international peace and security’,,               which had deteriorated between the two coun-
America.48                                                      global governance and socio-economic global                 as well as ‘proposals for addressing the short-               tries during the Mbeki era. Again, this was not
    Engaging the Northern industrialised pow-                   governance. The very phrase was lifted directly             comings in the UN system’.                                    so much a change in policy as an attempt to
ers and their associations is another pillar of                 from the 2008 DFA Strategic Plan.53 In the early                 Thus, in spite of COSATU’s call on the eve               ease the frosty relations between Luanda and
the new Zuma administration’s foreign policy                    part of this treatise, dealing with the foreign             of the Zuma government taking office that                     Pretoria-Tshwane, which came about more as
that echoes Mbeki’s international plans. At                     policy strategies of the Mbeki government,                  ‘everything must change’, in terms of foreign                 a result of a personality clash between Dos
its core is the pursuit of a ‘developmental                     the point was made that the South African

  10        Africa Insight   Vol 41 (4) – March 2012                                  © Africa Institute of South Africa   © Africa Institute of South Africa                         Africa Insight   Vol 41 (4) – March 2012              11
Continuity and Change in the Foreign Policies of the Mbeki and Zuma Governments | Chris Landsberg                                                    Continuity and Change in the Foreign Policies of the Mbeki and Zuma Governments | Chris Landsberg

Santos and Mbeki. Again, practical considera-                   approximately December of that year revealed                rights.58 Part of its motivation was fear that the            pertains Syria, the Zuma government’s position
tions and differences should not be confused                    not just inconsistency but confusion. What is               UN resolution would be used by NATO and the                   was much in line with the position of its prede-
with policy differences.                                        even more interesting about the Zuma govern-                Western powers as a pretext for military inter-               cessor’s views. What is less obvious to explain
    Certainly, Luanda took umbrage at South                     ment’s voting behaviour in terms of the Libyan              vention against a regime change in Damascus,                  is the inconsistencies between South Africa’s
Africa’s growing influence in Africa under                      debacle is that it appeared to have taken many              as they did against Libya.                                    Libya and Syria positions, and the apparent
Mbeki’s leadership, and there was an element                    of its original positions in apparent isolation of              In November, when the Syrian issue was                    wavering in its decision-making approaches.
of jealousy and envy. South Africa tried on nu-                 the AU, which nominated South Africa to serve               moved to the General Assembly for a vote                          In its response to the crisis surrounding
merous occasions to patch up the relationship,                  for a second term as a non-permanent mem-                   condemning Syria’s excesses, 122 countries                    the 2010 presidential election in Cote d’Ivoire,
but Luanda chose to keep the Mbeki govern-                      ber on the Council. The AU’s position rejected              voted in favour, 13 against and 41 abstained,                 we witnessed a great deal of prevarication and
ment at arm’s length. Zuma, who enjoyed closer                  ‘...any foreign military intervention, whatever             including South Africa.59 China and Russia                    what Kiru Naidoo had called ‘vacillation’ by the
personal ties with Dos Santos, set out to restore               its form’.57 Much confusion emerged because                 vetoed the resolution, while fellow BRICs                     Zuma government. Zuma first toyed with the
the relationship.                                               South Africa voted in favour of resolutions                 member, Brazil, abstained along with South                    idea of backing the Angolan position, which
    Another example to consider here is the                     1970 and 1973, together with two other African              Africa. After the failure to secure a unanimous               was in support of former president Laurent
furore caused by South Africa’s vote on the UN                  members, Gabon and Nigeria, and soon after,                 vote in the Security Council, the Syria issue                 Gbagbo, after which the South Africans made
Security Council pertaining to Libya. During                    when it became apparent that North Atlantic                 became a victim of both South Africa’s burning                a U-turn by supporting the AU position, which
the debates in the UN Security Council over                     Treaty Organisation (NATO) was using the                    of its fingers regarding Libya and the Western                called for a negotiated position between the
what to do with the recalcitrant and tyranni-                   resolutions for ‘regime change’ purposes and                powers’ blatant abuse of the issue for ulterior               belligerents, and later on the AU switched to
cal President Gaddafi of Libya, in March 2011                   to bring about a resource war in that country,              regime change and resource war motives. On                    supporting Alassane Ouattara.64 In the end, it
South Africa voted in favour of Resolutions                     South Africa criticised the very resolutions                23 November 2011, South Africa decided not                    took a trip to Paris and an official meeting with
1970 and 1973 (which imposed sanctions and a                    it had voted for. Again, South Africa’s vote                to support a resolution condemning the hu-                    French president Nicholas Sarkozy for Zuma to
no-fly zone over Libya) but abstained on a vote                 showed confusion and diffusion. South Africa                man rights violations and threatening punitive                make a decisive call for Gbagbo to leave and for
in November of that year (which condemned                       took these votes in apparent isolation of the               measures against the Bashar al-Assad regime;                  Ouattara to be installed as president, but only
the Syrian government’s excesses against its                    AU, the continental body which nominated it to              the South African mission in New York opted                   after it backed a negotiated solution between
own people). However, the Mbeki government                      serve on the Council for another two years from             to abstain on the vote.60 Scarcely three months               Gbagbo and Ouattara.65 The Cote d’Ivoire deci-
followed a more consistent line of voting in the                January 2011 to December 2012, after its origi-             later we witnessed the continuation of a new                  sion and how it came about, showed indeci-
Security Council on issues such as Myanmar,                     nal stint of January 2007 until December 2008.              disturbing trend in foreign policy as govern-                 siveness on the part of the Zuma government,
Zimbabwe, Iran and Iraq. The Mbeki govern-                           While many commentators have tried to                  ment again prevaricated. In February 2012                     which made it difficult to pin down whether it
ment’s rationale was that, unless a government                  rationalise South Africa’s Libya vote in favour             it voted in favour of a resolution calling on                 was continuity or change that was at play when
or state ‘poses a threat to international peace                 of Resolutions 1970 and 1973 as having been                 President Al-Assad to step down from power.61                 compared to the Mbeki approach.66 One thing
and security’, it would refer such an issue to                  motivated by ethical and moralistic consid-                 After Russia and China had vetoed the UN                      is certain – Mbeki was more decisive when it
another UN body, notably the Human Rights                       erations a la the Nelson Mandela attempts at                planned resolution, South Africa emerged with                 came to conflict resolution than Zuma appears
Council. Thus the hallmark of the Mbeki gov-                    a moralistic and values-driven foreign policy               yet another position as it came out against                   to be.
ernment’s behaviour on the Council during                       orientation between 1994 and 1999, no sooner                military intervention in Syria and called on the                  A further example could be highlighted
the period January 2007 to December 2008                        had South Africa adopted this apparent moral-               Syrian people to be allowed the opportunity                   here to show that the rhetoric of change often
was consistency, and the principled position                    istic position – and stung by widespread criti-             and space to determine their own future.62                    invoked by officials in the Zuma government is
adopted was that those issues which were not                    cism against its handling of the Libya issue,                   In a statement explaining its decision, the               not always backed up by the actions in reality.
dubbed ‘threats to international peace and                      including its prevarication and backtracking                representatives to South Africa’s mission in                  Just as Mbeki offered the Zimbabwe govern-
security’, and which could be resolved through                  after NATO’s abuse of the UN mandate given                  New York said that the Syria issue needed to                  ment a credit extension of some US$1 billion in
peaceful and negotiated means did not belong                    to it to execute resolutions 1970 and 1973 –in              be discussed in the UN Human Rights Council                   2005, so in 2011 the Zuma government offered
in the Security Council.                                        October 2011 South Africa decided to abstain                in Geneva, not in the UN Security Council.63 It               the beleaguered Swazi monarchy and govern-
    The Zuma government’s behaviour on the                      on a crucial vote in the UN Security Council                should be remembered that this was a rationale                ment a R1,2 billion loan to address the woes of
Council during the period January 2011 until                    condemning Syria’s violations of human                      often invoked by the Mbeki government, and as                 their ailing economy.67 What all of this shows

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Continuity and Change in the Foreign Policies of the Mbeki and Zuma Governments | Chris Landsberg                                                            Continuity and Change in the Foreign Policies of the Mbeki and Zuma Governments | Chris Landsberg

is that the public speak and idiom often em-                        Mbeki also articulated a clear North–South              from the foreign policy rubrics of his predeces-                           and even inside the ruling ANC, has been of
ployed of ‘change’ and ‘difference’ is not always               agenda in which he sought to extract commit-                sor under the mantra of ‘pursuing African                                  radical change under Zuma. The reality, howev-
backed by action in reality.                                    ments from the industrialised powers in the                 advancement in enhanced international                                      er, has been that the articulated foreign policy
    Finally, when President Zuma delivered his                  forms of aid, debt relief, market access, trade             cooperation’. Zuma made it just as clear that,                             of the government, at least as stated on paper,
2012 State of the Nation Address on 9 February,                 and resources for peace support operations that             in line with the Mbeki approach, his govern-                               has in the main suggested continuity. The
there was not a single reference to matters of                  would help to bolster Africa and the South’s                ment would continue to pursue a ‘broad-based                               stated foreign policy borrowed heavily from the
foreign policy or diplomacy, except for one line                development goals. He pursued equally grand                 developmental’ foreign policy trajectory. Just                             Mbeki script. However, because of largely insti-
referring to NEPAD in the context of infrastruc-                aims pertaining to global governance, ar-                   as the Mbeki administration had emphasised                                 tutional weaknesses which characterised the
tural development. This again conveys a mes-                    ticulating political governance goals alongside             an African agenda, South–South cooperation,                                state and foreign policy apparatus of the Zuma
sage about foreign policy as an afterthought,                   socio-economic global governance aims. The                  North–South dialogue and global governance,                                government, fuelled in the main by the spill-
and may help to explain the haphazard nature                    former were aimed at transforming political                 so the Zuma-led administration is articulating                             over of broedertwiste (fraternal squabbles) and
of foreign policy.                                              institutions such as the UN Security Council,               a similar set of foreign policy pillars. These                             factionalisation in the ANC, fragmentation has
                                                                whereas the latter focused on the need to trans-            are African advancement, strengthening                                     been the order of the day, and a great deal of
                                                                form global socio-economic institutions such as             South–South relations, engaging the North                                  diffusion and confusion came to mark foreign
Conclusion: The Change                                          the World Bank, the IMF and the World Trade                 and actively participating in the global system                            policy, and deviations from even government’s
of Continuity                                                   Organisation (WTO), and to ensure that Africa               of governance. Even the Zuma government’s                                  own stated foreign policy.
                                                                and the South enjoyed greater levels of voice               emphasis on a domestically driven foreign                                      In short, during the transition from Mbeki
The last 12 years of South Africa’s foreign                     and participation. The changes introduced in                policy was akin to a notion pursued by both the                            to Zuma, there was continuity in policy on
policy have been a story of promised change                     South African foreign policy and diplomacy                  Mandela and Mbeki governments, if not as well                              paper but detours in practice. The moral of
but general continuity, with the latter at                      during the Mbeki period should therefore not be             articulated or skilfully constructed.                                      the story is that the fractured nature of the
times trumping the former when it was least                     underestimated, but they did not achieve what                   To conclude, while following the immediate                             transition and government that Zuma came
expected, and change prevailing when the                        they were intended to, namely a narrowing of                aftermath of the dramatic recalling of Thabo                               to preside over has negative implications, not
assumption was that continuity would be the                     the gap between the two domestic economies.                 Mbeki as head of state in September 2008,                                  just for foreign policy, but for all dimensions of
order of the day.                                                   In the run-up to the April 2009 elections,              much of the talk inside and outside government                             national policy as well.
    There was a widespread view that the tran-                  many in the ANC threatened a decisive shift
sition from the Mandela to the Mbeki era was                    away from the policy agenda of the Mbeki era
marked by continuity rather than change. The                    and towards sweeping change. However, as far                Notes and References
reality is that Mbeki introduced many refine-                   as foreign policy is concerned, these threats
ments and changes to foreign policy, and in a                   did not materialise. Even before he became                  1   Pagano, U. and Trento, S., Continuity        5    Ibid., p.2.                                      and the responsibility to protect. Global
sense it was radically overhauled. Africa was                   head of state, Zuma signalled that policy would                 and change in Italian corporate              6    Ibid., p.2.                                      Responsibility to Protect Journal, 2,
                                                                                                                                governance: The institutional stability of                                                         pp.436–457.
elevated to high priority in Mbeki’s foreign                    not change and that there would be continu-                     one variety of capitalism. In Di Matteo,     7    Ibid., p.2.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                              12 Landsberg, C., 2007. South Africa and
policy trajectory, and he was determined to                     ity. Indeed, stated policy as it was articulated                M. and Piacentini, P. (eds.), The Italian    8    Landsberg, C., 2011. Afro-continentalism:      the making of the African Union and
                                                                                                                                economy at the dawn of the XXI Century.           Pan-Africanism in post-settlement South        NEPAD: Mbeki’s ‘progressive African
leave an imprint of the country as a reliable                   on paper revealed this continuity; practice,                    Ashgate, Aldershot: Hants, pp.177–211.            Africa’s foreign policy. Journal of Asian      Agenda’, in Adebajo, A., Adedeji, A.
partner, working with fellow African states,                    however, revealed deviations from it. President             2   Olsen, J.P., 2009. Change and continuity:         and African Studies, 46(3).                    and Landsberg, C. (eds.), South Africa
not as a hegemon bent on dictating the terms                    Kgalema Motlanthe had already vowed to                          An institutional approach to institutions    9    The Presidency, 2008. Towards a fifteen        in Africa: The post-apartheid era. UKZN
                                                                                                                                of democratic government. European                year review: Synthesis report. Discussion      Press: Scottsville, pp. 197–198.
to the rest of the continent. He also pursued                   continue with the Mbeki foreign policy agenda                   Political Science Review, [AQ: does this          document, Pretoria, p.58.                   13 The Presidency, op. cit., p.65.
a highly ambitious South–South agenda, far                      and his brief seven-month stint did not see the                 have a volume and/or issue number?]          10 Bekoe, D.A. and Landsberg, C., 2002.
                                                                                                                                p.16.                                                                                         14 Department of Foreign Affairs, 2005.
more so than the one championed by Mandela,                     introduction of any major changes in contradic-                                                                 NEPAD: African initiative, new partner-          Annual Report 2005–06, Pretoria-
                                                                                                                            3   Costa Georghiou: definition used in the         ship? International Peace Academy (IPA)
and links with Latin America, Asia and the                      tion to Mbeki’s agenda.                                                                                         workshop report. New York, July.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Tshwane, pp.70–71.
                                                                                                                                2011 Foreign Policy Analysis course,
Caribbean became important new avenues in                           Zuma inherited from Mbeki a well-institu-                   University of Johannesburg, July 2011.                                                        15 Ibid., p.71.
                                                                                                                                                                             11 For a perspective on South Africa’s
the Republic’s international relations.                         tionalised foreign policy that borrowed heavily             4   Department of Foreign Affairs, 2005.            ‘responsibility to respect strategies’, see   16 The Presidency, op. cit., p.66.
                                                                                                                                Strategic Plan 2005–2008. Pretoria, p. 2.       Landsberg, C., 2010. Pax South Africana       17 DFA, 2005a. A Strategic appraisal of

  14        Africa Insight   Vol 41 (4) – March 2012                                  © Africa Institute of South Africa   © Africa Institute of South Africa                                      Africa Insight   Vol 41 (4) – March 2012                       15
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