Deloitte Webinar Responding to COVID-19: Updates and practical steps - Cambridge Network

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Deloitte Webinar Responding to COVID-19: Updates and practical steps - Cambridge Network
Deloitte Webinar
Responding to COVID-19: Updates and practical steps
COVID-19: current picture
Dr Jane Halpin, Clinical Lead, Deloitte

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Coronavirus case trajectories, by country
Impact of different suppression strategies

FT graphic John Burn-Murdoch / @jburnmurdoch
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Source: FT analysis of Johns Hopkins University, CSSE; Worldometers; FT Research. Data updated 24 March 19.00 GMT
Coronavirus cumulative deaths, by country
Impact of different suppression strategies

FT graphic John Burn-Murdoch / @jburnmurdoch
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Source: FT analysis of Johns Hopkins University, CSSE; Worldometers; FT Research. Data updated 24 March 19.00 GMT
Markets and economy
Maximilien Lambertson, Deloitte
Economist

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Monetary policy seems to be having an effect

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High frequency data highlight scale of shock to real economy

Source: OpenTable data covering restaurants in Australia, Canada, Germany,
Ireland, Mexico, UK and US

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Policy response aimed at preserving capacity

Key policy responses in a selection of developed economies:
                  Monetary policy                            Fiscal policy
                  Rate      Asset purchases and              Lending for     Tax relief for   Job/income
                  cuts      liquidity support                businesses      businesses       support
                                                                                              scheme
                            Unlimited QE, corporate bond
US                Yes       purchases, short-term loans to   TBA             TBA              TBA
                            banks

                            Expanded QE, schemes
UK                Yes
                            targeting banks and corporates
                                                             Yes             Yes              Yes

                            ECB sovereign and corporate
France            No
                            bond purchases
                                                             Yes             Yes              Yes

                            ECB sovereign and corporate
Germany           No
                            bond purchases
                                                             Yes             Yes              Yes

                  No(Rate
Denmark           rise)
                            Macro-prudential easing          Yes             Yes              Yes

Korea             Yes       Short-term loans to banks        Yes             Yes              Yes

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Where to look for green shoots?

                                  New daily Covid-19 cases in Italy

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                                  Source: Worldometers.info
Overview of government funding
initiatives for businesses
Jodi Birkett

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Government funding
Coronavirus Job Retention Scheme (“CJRS”)

Funding                                                                      Go live
              What is it?         Eligibility          Amount                              Access                 Recommendations
category                                                                     date
Coronavirus   • Employers         • All UK employers   HMRC will             Workers       New online portal      • Check further guidance when
Job             designate           with a PAYE        reimburse 80% of      ‘furloughed   being built by HMRC      released
Retention       employees as        scheme             furloughed workers    ’ from 1      to make applications   • Consider contractual re-
Scheme          ‘furloughed       • Uncertainty        wage costs, up to a   March 2020                             negotiations now
                workers’            whether agency     cap of £2,500 per
                                                                                                                  • Take care making promises of
              • Employer pays       workers on PAYE    month per             First
                                                                                                                    what salary payments the grant
                the workers         are included       employee              payments
                                                                                                                    can fund until clarity over how the
                                                                             expected
              • Employer claims   • Employees must                                                                  calculations will work (e.g. in
                                                                             by end of
                reimbursement       not work during                                                                 relation to Employer NIC)
                                                                             April
                from the            furlough                                                                      • Furloughing some workers may be
                government                                                                                          favourable to reduced hours for
                                                                                                                    all, but beware discrimination
                                                                                                                    risks

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Government funding
Funding packages

Funding                                                                                 Go live
               What is it?      Eligibility                                 Amount              Access                         Recommendations
category                                                                                date
Coronavirus • Bank loan   • Borrower is UK-based in its business            c.£5k-      23       • One of the 40+ banks        • Details are being published by
Business     • 80%          activity;                                       £5m         March      listed by the British         individual lenders
Interruption   guaranteed • Annual turnover < £45m; and                                 2020       Business Bank               • Potential borrowers should
Loan Scheme    by                                                                                • “Normal” application to       engage with their current
                          • Requirements:
(CBILS)        Government                                                                          the lender                    lender (in the first instance)
                                   • Supportable business model,
                                      were it not for the current                                • The lender should
                                      pandemic; and                                                consider whether it will
                                                                                                   extend finance and if
                                   • the provision of finance will                                 not, whether the support
                                      enable the business to trade                                 of the CBIL scheme
                                      out of any short-to-medium                                   would change that
                                      term difficulty                                              decision

  There is currently no provision for Companies with Turnover >£45m but sitting below the scale / financial position required to be equivalent to an investment
                                                                        grade rating

Covid          • Commercial • Make a material contribution to the           £1m+        23       • Any bank which can          • If a Company has a sufficient
Corporate        paper issued   UK economy                                              March      issue commercial paper        rating in place (prior to 1
Financing        through a    • Business must be of “Sound financial                    2020     • Application forms             March 2020), it can apply for
Facility         bank,          health” (determined by credit rating)                              available on the BoE          funding
(CCFF)           purchased                                                                         website                     • If not, a Company should
                              • Where a Company does not have a                                  • Once eligibility is
                 by the Bank                                                                                                     speak to its existing lenders to
                                rating, then the BOE may be able to                                confirmed by the BOE, it
                 of England                                                                                                      understand if their internal
                                use your current lenders internal                                  should be possible to
                                rating as evidence                                                                               rating may be sufficient
                                                                                                   issue paper quickly
                              • Cannot be a Bank, Building Society                                 (following working day)     • Look at BoE website, with
                                or Insurer or other sector regulated by                                                          further details on process and
                                the FCA                                                                                          required documentation
                                                                                                                                                                    12
Government funding
Overview of key packages

 Grants for retail, hospitality                            Rates relief                       Ban on evictions for
   and leisure businesses                       100% business rates discount for retail,   commercial tenants who miss
                                                   hospitality and leisure businesses
 £25,000 grant per property (with rateable
                                                 Empty rates property tax exemption
                                                                                                rent payments
   value between £15,000 and £51,000)                                                          Protection for 3 months if due to
                                                          Recommendation:                                Coronavirus
                                                 100% business rates relief: no action               Recommendation:
           Recommendation:                                                                        No application is necessary
 Contact Economic Development Officer at       required, should be automatically applied
                                                   Empty rates: needs to be applied         Commercial tenants should engage with
         local town or city council                                                                        landlords

   Time to pay arrangements                             Deferral of VAT                    Income tax payment deferral
             (TTP)                             Next quarter’s VAT payments are deferred    Income tax payments due on 31 July 2020
 Defer current tax debts to instalments over                                                    can be deferred to 31 Jan 2021
            a 3-12 month period

           Recommendation:                               Recommendation:                            Recommendation:
        Contact CCM / ring helpline            Suspend direct debit arrangements for VAT      Payments to be deferred only where
               Be prepared                        payments for the period of deferral            payments cannot be reached

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For more information
deloitte.co.uk/covid19govfunding
businesssupport.gov.uk

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Questions

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ukpages.deloitte.com/COVID-19-task-force-
and-Deloitte-Intelligence-Registration.html
For further information…

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