EVA AIR 2021 Investor Conference 2021.04.22

Page created by Mike Rogers
 
CONTINUE READING
EVA AIR 2021 Investor Conference 2021.04.22
EVA AIR
2021 Investor Conference
                    2021.04.22
EVA AIR 2021 Investor Conference 2021.04.22
Legal Disclaimer

 • The information contained in this presentation, including all
   forward-looking information, is subject to change without notice,
   whether as a result of new information, further events or
   otherwise, and EVA Airways (the “Company”) undertakes no
   obligation to publicly update or revise the information contained
   in this presentation.
 • Investors should not regard the above forward-looking information
   as legally binding but as information subject to change. No
   guarantees regarding the completeness, accuracy, and reliability of
   information contained are made explicitly or implicitly. They are
   not intended to represent complete statement of the Company,
   industry or future development.

                                   2
EVA AIR 2021 Investor Conference 2021.04.22
Outline

• 2020 Financial Results
• Passenger and Cargo Operations
 Operating Performance
  Impact on the Industry
 Outlook and Future Challenges
 Measures Taken in Response to Covid-19

                                    3
2020 Financial Results

          4
Operating Performance
   Group Financial Statistics
                                                         2020           2019     YoY%
   Group Operating Revenue               NT$ Million     89,049        181,275   -50.9%
   Net Operating Income (Loss)           NT$ Million         (827)       9,443          -
   Profit (Loss)                         NT$ Million     (3,277)         4,852          -
   Group profit (loss) attributable to
                                         NT$ Million     (3,362)         3,982          -
   owners of parent
   Earnings (Loss) Per Share             NT$                 (0.69)       0.83          -

   Group Financial Position
                                               2020               2019           YoY%

   Total assets         NT$ Million                329,567            356,252     -7.5%

   Total liabilities    NT$ Million                252,908            278,110     -9.1%

   Total equity         NT$ Million                 76,659             78,142     -1.9%

                                               5
Operating Performance
   EVA Financial Statistics
                                                   2020         2019         %

   Operating Revenue             NT$ Million       79,603      135,621     -41.3%

   Operating Income (Loss)       NT$ Million       (1,854)       6,117           -

   Profit (Loss)                 NT$ Million       (3,362)       3,982           -
   Earnings (Loss) Per Share     NT$                (0.69)          0.83         -

   EVA Financial Position
                                        2020                 2019          YoY%

   Total assets        NT$ Million           302,237          321,863       -6.1%

   Total liabilities   NT$ Million           231,440          250,611       -7.6%

   Total equity        NT$ Million             70,797          71,252       -0.6%

                                         6
Operating Costs Analysis
                     Group                                                      EVA
              2020              2019                                2020                2019
 100%          5%               5%                  100%             5%
               1%
                                                                                         8%              Others
                                 1%                                  1%
               2%                                                    2%                  1%
                                 6%
               8%                                                    9%                  8%              Commissions
                                 8%
                                                                                        11%
                                16%                                                                      Passenger service
               30%
                                                                    32%
                                                                                        19%              Landing, parking
                                16%
 50%                                                  50%                                                Depreciation and
                                                                                        15%              amortization
               23%                                                  18%
                                25%                                                                      Staff
                                                                                         8%
               10%                                                  10%                                  Maintenance

                                                                                        30%              Fuel
               21%              23%                                 23%

  0%                                                   0%
  Note: (1)Owing to Evergreen Aviation Technologies Corp., the consolidated subsidiary, transferred maintenance of
           engine to GE Evergreen Engine Services Corp., the maintenance expenses decreased in 2020.
        (2)Amid the COVID-19 outbreak, passenger service costs decreased due to reduced flying, and the decrease
            in price of aircraft fuel led to the drop of fuel cost. Thus, compared to the year-ago period, staff cost,
           depreciation and amortization expense are relatively higher.
                                                            7
Operating Costs Analysis - Fuel Cost
 Fuel expenditure
                                                       2020     2019     YoY%

 Fuel average price(SIN JET)            USD/BBL         46.72    76.69   -39%
 Fuel consumption                       thousand/BBL   10,710   15,200   -30%
 Fuel cost                              NT$ Million    17,266   38,703   -55%
 Fuel hedging expenditure(profit)       NT$ Million     1,523     (19)      -
 Total fuel cost                        NT$ Million    18,789   38,684   -51%

 Fuel hedging coverage
         Year              % Coverage
         2020                  18.9%
         2021                       -

                                                  8
Cash Flow Analysis

EVA Airways Corp.
                                                           2020        2019        YoY%
(NT$ Million)
Cash and cash equivalents at the beginning of year          41,856      39,931        5%

  Net cash flows from operating activities                   (3,171)    29,835            -

  Net cash flows from investing activities                  (6,643)     (19,274)     -66%

  Net cash flows from financing activities                    (967)     (8,636)      -89%

Net increase (decrease) in cash and cash equivalents        (10,781)     1,925            -

Cash and cash equivalents at the end of period              31,075      41,856       -26%

                                                       9
Passenger and Cargo Operations

              10
Operating Performance-
Passenger and Cargo Revenue
NT$ 100M
                               Passenger and Cargo Revenue Trend, Year 2020-2021
                 107.8
100.0

 80.0

                          52.3          57.7                     56.9                                                                               57.7          59.0
 60.0
               48.0                                                                                                                   49.1
                             46.2                   42.0                      44.5                        42.7          42.8
                                                                                            41.6
 40.0
                                     26.9
        19.2                                 26.3
 20.0                 17.7
           8.7                                                                                                    9.0
                         3.7          4.3                                             5.7           8.2                         7.0           6.5           6.8
                                                           4.5          5.0
                                                                                                                                                                          5.9
  0.0
           Jan           Feb           Mar            Apr          May          Jun           Jul           Aug           Sep           Oct           Nov           Dec

                                    2020 CGO Rev.                2021 CGO Rev.                2020 PAX Rev.                    2021 PAX Rev.

 Pandemic resurgences along with halted connection services have caused a sharp plunge in
  passenger revenue in FEB2021 to a new low of NT$370 million.
 Improving cargo demand has resulted in a steady growth in both cargo volumes and rates, thus
  cargo revenue in 2021Q1 has risen by 138% YoY.
                                                                                     11
Operating Performance-
Passenger Revenue by Region (1)

                             12
Operating Performance-
Passenger Revenue by Region (2)

                             13
Operating Performance-
Cargo Revenue by Region (1)

                              14
Operating Performance-
Cargo Revenue by Region (2)

                              15
Impact on the Industry (1)

 Drastic slump in passenger demand and stagnated recovery globally

  1. 2021 is shaping up to be a much tougher year than previously expected, with
     global passenger demand estimated to be 38% of 2019.

  2. Patchy rollout of vaccines along with stringent border restrictions have stalled
     passenger demand recovery worldwide.

 In 2020, cargo performance started off on a weaker tone but
  rebounded rapidly and remained a bright spot for the industry

  1. Global AFTK for 2020 was down by 24% YoY, FTK was down by 12% YoY.

  2. Global FTK for 2021 has not only recovered but also surpassed 2019 level, and
     growth rates in January and February were 1% and 9% YoY respectively.

                                         16
Impact on the Industry (2)

 Revenue and Cash Flow

   1. The latest estimation of global cash burn for the industry has nearly doubled
      from the original 48 billion USD to 75-95 billion USD.

   2. The airline industry is expected to be cash negative until 2022.

 Difficult and disruptive business environment

   1. Tough aircrew quarantine rules restricted fleet deployment and limited air
      capacity.

   2. Surging jet fuel prices put increased pressure on operating costs.

                                          17
Outlook and Future Challenges-
Passenger Operation (1)
 Recovery in international air travel remains sluggish

   1. The relaxation of border controls worldwide is slow-paced and uncertain.

   2. Although nations have expanded their vaccination programs, the vaccination
      rates outside of the UK and the US are not as high as expected.

 The implementation of “Travel Bubble“ faces obstacles

   1. Testing and stricter self-management hold passengers at bay.

   2. Increased travel costs suppress market demand.

                                        18
Outlook and Future Challenges-
Passenger Operation (2)
 Travel demand will rebound in the short term, and gradually increase
  in the long term

   1. VFR and leisure travel demand will rebound significantly in the short term
      once the pandemic ceases.

   2. The time span for passenger demand to recover to pre-pandemic level is
      around 3-4 years, but long-term growth can be expected.

 The development and application of “Health Passport”

   1. The aviation industry actively supports and promotes health passports.

   2. Consensus are still underway among nations and international associations.

                                         19
Measures Taken in Response to Covid-19
Passenger Operation (1)
 Maintaining a “bare skeleton” network

  1. Operate skeleton global network in accordance to current regulations and
     market demand.

  2. Gradually ramp up capacity and flight frequencies in line with market recovery.

 Resume connection services

  As transfer restrictions loosen, EVA will restore hub network and improve
  connection services to attract more transfer passengers.

                                        20
Measures Taken in Response to Covid-19
Passenger Operation (2)
 Moderate growth for future fleet planning

   1. Scale down new aircraft deliveries and defer delivery schedule.

   2. Terminate expired leases and suspend renewals or new lease contracts.

 Facilitate contactless automated services

   1. Promote pre-check in services and enhance existing self-check in services.

   2. Cooperate with airports worldwide to promote biometric boarding services.

                                         21
Outlook and Future Challenges-
Cargo Operation (1)
 Global economic recovery can be anticipated, and cargo demand
  remains strong

  1. As optimism in global manufacturing PMI rises, the IMF expects the world
     economy to grow by 6.0% in 2021.

  2. As inventory replenishment cycle speeds up, cargo demand is further driven
     up.

  3. U.S. relief packages and infrastructure plans will push demand for goods and
     raw materials.

  4. Air freight rate and demand are still on the rise, driven by port congestion in
     Europe and America.

                                        22
Outlook and Future Challenges-
Cargo Operation (2)
 The emergence of stay-at-home economy and e-commerce

   1. Business opportunities derived from stay-at-home economy and remote
      working continue to thrive.

   2. Sales revenue of booming global e-commerce amounted to US$4.5 trillion in
      2021.

 Changes are occurring in the industry supply chain

   1. Geopolitics are reshuffling supply chains and affecting cargo networking.

   2. Recovery of air passenger traffic results in the growth of passenger fleet belly
      space, lowering yields.

                                          23
Measures Taken in Response to Covid-19
Cargo Operation (1)
 Optimizing fleet utilization

   1. Utilizing more “preighter flights (passenger-cargo flights)” to optimize EVA
      cargo service network.

   2. Increase long-haul frequency of cargo fleet to improve performance.

 Enhance air cargo operation via “preighter flights”

   1. To increase preighter flight frequency.

   2. To optimize the utilization of preighter cabin space for further enhancement
      in cargo capacity.

                                          24
Measures Taken in Response to Covid-19
Cargo Operation (2)
 Swap order to freighter and expedite delivery

   1. Three new 777 freighters will be delivered by Q1/2022.

   2. Negotiations for an earlier delivery schedule are still ongoing.

 Strengthen cargo business management

   1. Smart space allocation and rate management will enhance operation revenue.

   2. The creation of new high-yield products (e.g. space block and charter flights)
      can generate and capture potential demand.

                                          25
Q&A

 26
You can also read