Industry Insights A roundup of noteworthy foodservice findings for the week of May 17, 2021

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Industry Insights A roundup of noteworthy foodservice findings for the week of May 17, 2021
Industry
Insights
A roundup of noteworthy foodservice findings
for the week of May 17, 2021
Industry Insights A roundup of noteworthy foodservice findings for the week of May 17, 2021
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I G N I TE C O M PAN Y

Same-Store Sales
                                                                                                                    QUARTERLY U.S. SAME-STORE SALES
                                                                                                                WEIGHTED AVERAGE* CHANGE VS. PRIOR YEAR

Results Spike in Q1                                                                                                                                   9.1%

After a tumultuous 2020 due to the                                double-digit quarterly increases from
COVID-19 pandemic, same-store sales                               several key segment players, including
results for publicly held chain                                   McDonald’s, Wendy’s, Domino’s and
restaurants improved significantly                                Chipotle.
during the first quarter of 2021, jumping                                                                   -1.9%                -2.5%     -2.7%
by an average rate of 9.1% on a year-
over-year basis.
Despite notably improved results from
many full-service chains, overall
segment results remained negative
during the first quarter, falling by 4.5%.
Limited-service chain results were
significantly stronger, with Q1 same-
store sales rising by 12.0%, boosted by                                                                               -18.0%

                                                                                                           Q1 2020   Q2 2020    Q3 2020   Q4 2020   Q1 2021**

*Weighted average calculated using respective chain sales
**Preliminary reporting
Note: Results are only inclusive of publicly held chain restaurants
Sources: Technomic Ignite company data

© 2021 Technomic, Inc.                                                                                                                                          3
I G N I TE M E N U

What’s Next in Plant-Based Fare?
Plant-based alternatives, particularly                          swaps out the traditional pork and/or     based” to healthier foods and
imitation meats, continue to trend on                           beef blend filling with imitation meat.   beverages.** This, paired with the
menus. In Q1 2021 alone, Top 500                                                                          recent news that Epicurious won’t be
                                                                Some have even thrown their hat into
chains launched 69% more imitation                                                                        publishing new beef recipes and New
                                                                the patty ring by introducing crumbly
meat limited-time offers* than in all of                                                                  York City’s famed Eleven Madison Park
                                                                textured nutmeat as an alternative to
2020 (27 launched in Q1 2021                                                                              is going 100% plant-based (both in
                                                                these imitation meats. Sunflower Drive
compared to 16 launched in all of                                                                         efforts be more sustainable), means
                                                                In in Sacramento, Calif., menus the
2020). So, what’s next?                                                                                   operators will likely find more ways to
                                                                Nutburger with raw nutmeat, featuring a
                                                                                                          incorporate plant-based offerings on
Plant-based burgers are common, but                             blend of mushrooms, walnuts and
                                                                                                          their menus in the years to come.
now, operators are challenged to think                          spices.
outside the bun when it comes to
                                                                The evolution of plant-based fare will
innovating plant-based fare and some
                                                                likely continue as consumers look for
already have. Anju’s Restaurant in
                                                                more ways to eat healthfully and
Washington, D.C., for example, menus
                                                                sustainably. In fact, 54% consumers
Yache Wang Mandu, a dumpling that
                                                                say that they relate the term “plant-

                                                                                                                                                         Plant-based burger made with
                                                                                                                                                    mushrooms, beans, nuts and grains
*Includes imitation meat found in bowls, sandwiches, breakfast sandwiches, burgers, burritos and tacos                                                       Image Source: Shutterstock
*Source: Technomic Ignite menu data, Q1 2020-Q1 2021
**Base: Approx. 565 consumers who ever eat at foodservice
**Source: Technomic 2020 Healthy Eating Consumer Trend Report

© 2021 Technomic, Inc.                                                                                                                                                               4
I G N I TE C O N S U M E R

At-Home Channels                                                                                                                              EXPECTED USAGE POST-PANDEMIC

Will Face More
Competition                                                                                                           Ghost/virtual
                                                                                                                      restaurants
                                                                                                                                       16%            20%              35%                18%       10%

Though not shown here, consumers                               Meal kit providers and virtual
reported a net increase in usage of                            restaurants must consider focusing on
meal kits and virtual restaurants during                       ways to build and maintain loyalty as
the pandemic as dining room                                    restrictions are gradually lifted across
                                                                                                                         Meal kits     14%         22%                   41%                 17%     7%
shutdowns led consumers to find new                            the country. While this could include
ways to source food for at-home                                special rewards programs for loyal
occasions.                                                     customers, focusing on execution and
                                                               quality will ultimately be the best way to
Data suggests that some of these
                                                               retain customers.
changes could stick, with many meal kit
buyers expecting to maintain elevated                                                                                      More often than I am now, and at least as often as I did before the pandemic
usage. However, consumers overall are                                                                                      More often than I am now, but not as often as before the pandemic
less likely to expect increased usage of
meal kits and virtual restaurants than                                                                                     About as often as I am now
emerging channels that were more                                                                                           Less often than I am now
negatively impacted by the coronavirus
                                                                                                                           Not sure
pandemic, such as food halls and food
trucks.

Base: Varies by channel usage
Q: Looking ahead, how often do you anticipate ordering food and/or beverage from the following foodservice channels
once the pandemic has subsided and all coronavirus-related restrictions are lifted?
Source: Technomic Ignite consumer data featuring the 2021 Emerging Channels Consumer Trend Report

© 2021 Technomic, Inc.                                                                                                                                                                                5
G L O B AL F O O D S E RV I C E N AV I G ATO R

3 Chains Rapidly Growing in                                                                                                                 2020 UNIT GROWTH IN CHINA

China Despite Pandemic
                                                                                                                                                 Haidilao
For many in the restaurant industry,                     found time for a respectable 9.7% unit     Check out the performance for China’s
2020 was a year of disruption, pivots,                   growth in 2020, ending the year with       top 25 chains along with consumer,            68.3%
challenges and survival. Unit growth                     more than 7,100 locations.                 menu and industry insights in
was not high atop last year’s key                                                                   Technomic’s new 2021 China Country
                                                         Haidilao
priorities (at least from about March                                                               Report.
onward).                                                 This hot pot chain grew a staggering
                                                         68.3% to surpass 1,200 units. That’s a
But some operators in China apparently
                                                         laudable feat for any chain, let alone a                                                        Heytea
did not get that memo and instead went
all in on expansion.
                                                         full serve.                                                                                     52.3%
                                                         Heytea
Let’s check out which chains saw
massive unit growth in the world’s most-                 Not just a trendy beverage brand                                                     KFC
populous market last year.                               launching ridiculous quantities of LTOs
                                                         each month, but a growth engine as                                                   9.7%
KFC
                                                         well, Heytea’s 52.3% unit growth took it
China’s dominant restaurant player                       to about 720 shops on the mainland.

Source: Technomic Global Foodservice Navigator Program

© 2021 Technomic, Inc.                                                                                                                                              6
COVID-19 DISRUPTION INDEX

COVID-19 Disruption Index is                Change Versus Previous Week and
                                                                                                                                     COVID-19
powered by Shortest Track, utilizing AI,    Month                                        TOP 5 MOST DISRUPTED MARKETS            DISRUPTION
                                                                                                                                                   PERCENT      PERCENT
machine learning and disparate sets of      Change versus previous week/month                                                                       CHANGE       CHANGE
                                                                                             BY INDEX POINT CHANGE                      INDEX
                                                                                                                                                    VERSUS       VERSUS
data resources to quantify the potential    allows users to see if the market is            (VERSUS PREVIOUS WEEK)            (MAX: 1.00, HIGH
                                                                                                                                                 LAST WEEK   LAST MONTH
risks that U.S. businesses face from the    becoming more or less disrupted over                                                 DISRUPTION)
spread of the COVID-19 virus at the         time. Changes that are positive (+)
market level.                               show a move toward becoming
                                            increasingly more impacted by COVID-     1     Burlington-South Burlington, Vt.            0.536        6.23%       14.61%
The highest index possible is 1.00,         19 (not good). Changes that are
which is not good and reflects markets      negative (-) show a trend toward being
that are extremely disrupted. The index     less impacted by COVID-19 (good).        2     Glens Falls, N.Y.                           0.601        5.01%       11.40%
is updated on a weekly basis.
                                            Ignite Subscribers: Download full        3     Lexington-Fayette, Ky.                      0.115       27.20%      -26.05%
The COVID-19 Disruption Risk Index          market report
shares weekly updates through a
business lens, rather than a health lens,                                            4     Decatur, Alaska                             0.458        4.92%       -0.74%
and incorporates more than 20 different
data signals to measure disruption and                                               5     Birmingham-Hoover, Alaska                   0.591        2.68%       -2.85%
predict future impact. These signals
include infection rates, deaths, state-
level restrictions and social distancing
requirements, population densities and
mobility, group size limitations and
lifestyle risk factors contributing to
spread. More information is available
HERE.

Notes: Data updated May 10, 2021
Source: Shortest Track

© 2021 Technomic, Inc.                                                                                                                                                    7
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