France : towards a universal pension system - Fiscal sustainability and social systems Challenges and policy options for the next decades ...

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France : towards a universal pension system - Fiscal sustainability and social systems Challenges and policy options for the next decades ...
France : towards
                                     a universal
                                     pension system

                                     Berlin 22 June 2018

Fiscal sustainability and social systems
Challenges and policy options for the next decades
France : towards a universal pension system - Fiscal sustainability and social systems Challenges and policy options for the next decades ...
An overview
    THE FRENCH PENSION SYSTEM

2

                                2
France : towards a universal pension system - Fiscal sustainability and social systems Challenges and policy options for the next decades ...
SINCE 1993, MAJOR PENSION REFORMS HAVE BEEN CARRIED OUT.
SIGNIFICANT EFFORT HAS BEEN MADE TO IMPROVE THE FINANCIAL
SITUATION
•   1993 (the « Balladur » reform) : review of the pension calculation
    formula (25/40 years) and price indexation
•   2001 : creation of a Pensions Reserve Fund (FRR - Fonds de Réserve
    pour les Retraites)
•   2003 (the « Fillon » reform) : extension of period of insurance
    required for a full-rate pension; long-career-based early retirement
    scheme
•   2008 (special regimes’ reform) : gradual convergence with existing
    general regime (retirement age, period of insurance, contribution
    rates, indexation, bonuses and penalties, etc.)
•   2010 (the « Woerth » reform) : increase of minimum retirement
    age from 60 to 62 years, full-rate retirement age from 65 to 67 years
•   2014 (the « Touraine » reform) : extension of period of insurance
    required for a full-rate pension (period of insurance required : 43 years
    for those born from 1973) ; retirement from arduous work scheme
    (« arduous work risk prevention account”, now called “job risk
    prevention account”, includes an opportunity for workers to retire up
    to two years before the minimum retirement age or individual training 3
France : towards a universal pension system - Fiscal sustainability and social systems Challenges and policy options for the next decades ...
A FINANCIAL POSITION THAT IS CLOSE TO BALANCE
  RELATIVELY POSITIVE PROSPECTS
   Pension system’s financial balance (%
of GDP)
                                           Pension system’s
                                           financial balance (→)
                                           2017 : 0 % of GDP
                                           2022 : - 0,2 % of GDP
                                           2040 : +0,3 to -1% of GDP
                                           (1,8 to 1,0 % productivity)
                                           2070 : +1,1 to -1,5 % of
                                           GDP (c.a.)
  Public pension spending (%
 of GDP)
                                           Public pension spending
                                           (↘)
                                           2017 : 13,8 % of GDP
                                           2022 : 13,5 % of GDP
                                           2040 : 12,8 to 14,1 % of GDP
                                           (c.a.)
                                           2070 : 11,6 to 14,4% of GDP
                                           (c.a.)
                                                                  4
THE AVERAGE EFFECTIVE RETIREMENT AGE HAS INCREASED
OVER RECENT YEARS (STARTED FROM A LOW BASE)

                                      Impact on labour market
                                      due to the effect of past
Average effective age of retirement   pension reforms :
           (by gender)                • Increase in older workers
                                        employment rate
                                      • Continued increase even
                                        post-crisis
                                      • Marked increase in the 55-
                                        59 group
                                      • Generations born between
                                        1951 and 1955 :
                                        percentage of retirees at 61
                                        years has decreased from
                                        73 % to 34 %.

                                      Average effective age of
                                      retirement in 2016 : 61 y
                                      and 10 m
                                      • Women : 62 y and 1 m
                                      • Men : 61 y and 6 m

                                      Average effective age of
                                      retirement (projection)5
PENSIONERS’ HIGH STANDARD OF LIVING
   Standard of living of 65 years +                                                               One of the lowest elderly
 % average income of the population                                                                       poverty
                                                                                                     rates in the OECD
                                                                                                         Total   65 à 74 ans   75 ans et plus
                                                                                                 25,0

                                                                                                 20,0

                                                                                                 15,0

                                                                                                 10,0

                                                                                                  5,0

                                                                                                  0,0

                                          66 ans et plu s ( ↗)   6 6-75 ans   76 an s et plus

Source : OECD (2017), Pensions at a Glance, indicator                                           Source : Eurostat (2016)
6.1.                                                                                            Note : poverty threshold at 60 % of median
                                                                                                household income

                                                                                                                                                6
42 RÉGIMES
     EXPECTED   DE RETRAITES
              YEARS           EN 2018
                    IN RETIREMENT ARE RECORD HIGH

          Life expectancy
                                                                         France is indeed the OECD country
 and effective age of labour market
                                                                        with the longest average retirement
             exit (2016)
           espérance
      Eséprance   de viede
             Expected      vie résiduelle
                          years   after
                         résiduelle        à la sortie
                                          labour
                                    à la sortie        du marché
                                                    market
                                                du marché  du
                                                                                 period, mainly due
27
           du  travail
      travailexit
                                                                   75
                                                                         to early labour market exit (2016)
      âge deAge   ofdu
              sortie  labour
                        marchémarket     exit
                                du travail  (échelle de droite)
                                                                                               Average     Expecte     Expecte
                                                                                               effective   d years     d years
                                                                                   Normal
                                                                                               age of      after       at
                                                                                   pensiona
                                                                                               labour      labour      normal
                                                                                   ble age
                                                                                               market      market      pensiona
22                                                                 70                          exit        exit        ble age
                                                                        France        61,6        60,2       25,6        24,2
                                                                        OCDE          63,9        64,4        20,3       20,8
                                                                        Differen      - 2,3       - 4,2      + 5,3      + 3,4
                                                                        tial
17                                                                 65   German         65         63,2        21,1       19,3
                                                                        y
                                                                        Belgium        65         60,5        21,7       17,2
                                                                        Italy          65         61,7        21,7       18,4
                                                                        Swede          65         65,2       20,3        20,5
12                                                                 60
                                                                        n

                                                                        Source : OECD (2017), Pensions at a Glance
Source : OECD (2017), Pensions at a Glance                              Note : Normal pensionable age is shown for individuals
                                                                        retiring in 2016 and assuming labour market entry at age
                                                                        20

                                                                                                                          7
A HIGH LEVEL OF INTRA-GENERATIONAL SOLIDARITY

• A mixed system : both a contributory system and a
  non-contributory system
• Redistribution aspects of the french pension system
  –   Early retirement is possible for those with a disability, a long career, or a
      history of arduous work
  –   Basic scheme and contributory minimum pensions
  –   Periods credited as periods of insurance (periods of cessation of work in the
      case of sickness, maternity, disability, unemployment…)
  –   Pensions increase for raising children, reversion for surviving spouses and ex-
      spouses
  –   20% of pensions rights (employees and public employees) provided through
      non-contributory schemes
• Significant redistributive effects
The minimum pension scheme and non-contributory benefits help achieve one of
the lowest elderly poverty rates in the OECD. First-tier pensions and instruments
for periods of unemployment and childcare generate substantial redistribution
  – Income earning : a one-to-six ratio
  – Retirement pensions : a one-to-four ratio (due to non-contributory benefits)

                                                                                 8
THE SYSTEM REMAINS DEEPLY FRAGMENTED : 42 PENSION
SCHEMES (I)

    Legacy of history and professional status rationale
                            :
            42 mandatory retirement schemes

 Source : HCRR
                                                          9
THE SYSTEM REMAINS DEEPLY FRAGMENTED : 42 PENSION
SCHEMES (II)

•   Unusually, in the private sector, the pension system has two
    public mandatory tiers: a general defined benefit scheme
    managed by Social Security (régime général) and a point system
    managed by social partners (régimes complémentaires, notably
    AGIRC-ARRCO), together representing about 70% of benefits paid
    (financed on a pay-as-you go basis)
•   The other 30% come from special regimes including those
    covering civil servants
•   Voluntary pensions play a limited role as many saving
    instruments benefit from tax incentives and target long-term
    savings
•   The complexity of the pension system comes from the
    duality of the mandatory system in the private sector and
    also from the substantial differences in the treatment of
    private-, public-sector workers and those covered by
    special regimes
•   Rules to compute contributory retirement pension and
    non-contributory benefits differ across schemes   10
A SYSTEM THAT CAN DISCOURAGE OCCUPATIONAL
MOBILITY

           A typical case: a nurse could                                      A single
           belong to five schemes during                                    occupation
           her career                                                      Five different
                                                                          pension schemes

  Nurse in a          Nurse in a      Self-employed      Working in a
                     private clinic        nurse      medical humanita      Régime général
public hospital                                        rian association

                                                                           Régime de base de
                                                                              la CARPIMKO
                        Régime                            Régime
                      général de       Régime de
                                                        général de la
                      la sécurité      base de la
                                                          sécurité
   Caisse                              CARPIMKO
                        sociale                            sociale              ARRCO
Nationale de
Retraite des
 Agents des                                                                      Régime
Collectivités                            Régime                            complémentaire de
  Locales                  ARRCO       complément
                                                           ARRCO              la CARPIMKO
                                        aire de la
                                        CARPIMKO

                                                                                CNRACL

           Source : HCRR
                                                                                         11
A FUNDAMENTAL NEED FOR THE PENSION SYSTEM TO ADAPT
TO THE LABOUR MARKET

Information on people's
pension entitlements has
improved recently, but a
complexity issue

Generations born between
1949 et 1992, all mandatory
schemes combined (2017) :
o In average, individuals
   belong to 3,1 pension
   schemes
o 1/3 of individuals
   belong to 4 pension
   schemes
o 250 000 people belong
   to 7 or more pension       Source : GIP Union Retraite (inter-
   schemes                    institutional information agency on
                              people's pension entitlements)        12
COMPLEXITY IS DETRIMENTAL TO THE TRUST IN THE SYSTEM

• The French pension system faced various
  challenges :
o The overall complexity feeds the impression that other
  groups might be treated favourably.
o Risk of loss of confidence in the system and doubts
  about the sustainability of the pension system

• A paradox :
o Reforms over the last decades have improved the
  viability and continuity of the retirement pension system
o Pensioners’ standard of living has never been higher
o Distrust remains regarding the financial sustainability
  and the level of pensions in the future

                                                           13
Prospects
     MOVING TOWARDS A UNIVERSAL PENSION
     SYSTEM

14

                                          14
THE REFORM PROPOSAL

•   Strong campaign commitment of the President of
    the French Republic
•   The reform proposal :
“Our project is not to change this or that parameter of our
pension system.
It is to restore trust, (...)
It is to clarify rules once for all, by installing a universal
system, fair, transparent and sustainable (...)
We will create a universal pension system where one euro
contributed offers the same pension rights, whatever the
period it was contributed, whatever the occupation or status
of the person who contributed.”
Emmanuel Macron, En Marche platform
                                                            15
THE UNIVERSAL PENSION SYSTEM : CLARITY, FAIRNESS AND
SUSTAINABILITY
The principles of the systemic reform :
•   From a professional status-based system to a universal system
    (common to active people)
•   All 42 mandatory pension schemes concerned
•   Renewed contributory principle: pension will be calculated on
    the basis of work-related earnings adjusted over the person's
    entire career (compared to earnings reference based on the
    average of the 25 best years in private sector or on the last six
    months preceding retirement in public sector today)
•   Renewed non-contributory principle: while preserving a high
    level of intra-generational solidarity, the universal pension
    system provides opportunities to review, update and align the
    non-contributory instruments
•   A common unit of account (points or notional accounts)
•   « For every euro contributed to the pension system, the same
    pension rights »
•   A balanced pension system from the date of its coming into force;
                                                                 16
BEHIND THE UNIVERSAL PENSION SYSTEM,
A COHESIVE AND INTEGRATED VISION OF SOCIETY
A realistic but ambitious political project :
•   Solidarity between active people, whatever their status, so
    that trust is restored
•   Common non contributory benefits, so that fairness is
    guaranteed
•   Modernisation of the social protection system so that it
    encourages professional mobility
A political project with fiscal and technical implications
:
•   A balanced system from the date of its coming into force,
•   A review of contributory efforts
•   A reform which will improve transparency and facilitate
    management of the pension system (monitoring, correction
    of deviations),
•   An organisational transformation in the coming years
                                                      17
Prospects
     THE METHOD : REFORM EXPERIENCE,
     REFORM EXPERIMENT

18

                                       18
HIGH COMMISSIONER FOR PENSION REFORM’S MANDATE

•   Appointment of a High Commissioner for Pension
    Reform,
     Mr Jean-Paul Delevoye (September 2017)
High Commissioner in charge of the reform (with a team of
special advisers) :
o organise the dialogue with the main actors in the field of
  pensions (including social partners)
o coordinate at the inter-ministerial level the preparation of the
  pension reform and the drafting of legislative and regulatory
  projects
o monitor their implementation
•   Universal pension system under preparation in 2018
•   Universal pension system Act expected to be voted on
    in 2019
•   Gradual introduction of    the universal pension system
                                                         19
Une méthode à confirmer – Un dialogue constructif, transparent et permanent
AN OPEN METHOD : A TRANSPARENT, CONTINUOUS AND
CONSTRUCTIVE DIALOGUE WITH SOCIAL PARTNERS AND CIVIL SOCIETY

                   Communication of the results of the public
                               participation

                                      HCRR
    CONCERTATION                                             PARTICIPATION
   SOCIAL PARTNERS                  FINDINGS                   CITIZENS

                                 EXPECTATIONS
                                                           Results of the public
                                   PROPOSALS                    participation
                                                              used to inform
                                                             parliamentarians
                                                        Parliamentarians involved
                                                          in citizens' workshops
 INFORMATION
 JOURNALISTS
                                 INFORMATION
                               PARLIAMENTARIANS

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