Future-proof: Fuel retail businesses and changing landscapes

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Future-proof: Fuel retail businesses and changing landscapes
Deloitte | A Middle East Point of View - Spring 2021 | Fuel retail

        Future-proof:
        Fuel retail businesses
        and changing
        landscapes

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Future-proof: Fuel retail businesses and changing landscapes
Deloitte | A Middle East Point of View - Spring 2021 | Fuel retail

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Deloitte | A Middle East Point of View - Spring 2021 | Fuel retail

GCC fuel retailers are                              The changing paradigm of fuel                     GCC fuel retailers are also not immune to
                                                    retailing                                         the global themes affecting the industry
also not immune to the                              The fuel retail industry across the GCC           that include the commitment of countries
global themes affecting                             has been experiencing significant                 and companies to meet targets set by
                                                    changes over the past decade. There               Paris Agreement, society’s need for
the industry that include                           were amendments to laws and                       sustainable energy, and pressure from
the commitment of                                   regulations, women driving in Saudi               investors on companies to embed

countries and companies                             Arabia and a reduction in fuel subsidies
                                                    across several GCC countries. In addition,
                                                                                                      sustainability in the way they operate.
                                                                                                      Given these changes, fuel retailers are
to meet targets set by                              we observed a shift in the competitive            asking difficult questions regarding how
Paris Agreement,                                    landscape as some fuel retailers                  they can best serve their customers, and
                                                    expanded to new territories, such as the          how their businesses should respond to
society’s need for                                  entrance of Abu Dhabi National Oil                remain competitive. In the retail industry
sustainable energy, and                             Company (ADNOC) fuel stations into the            at large, stories of incumbents failing to
                                                    Saudi market and Dubai. Furthermore,              evolve and allowing newcomers with
pressure from investors                             there has been a change in consumer               innovative and customer-centric business
on companies to embed                               sentiment as customers in the region              models to acquire their consumers, such
sustainability in the way                           experience the convenience of a digitized         as Nokia, are still fresh in our minds. This
                                                    and personalized service across different         represents a challenge for the local fuel
they operate.                                       areas of retail, including fuel retail outlets.   retail market players, but also an
                                                                                                      opportunity to grow and explore new
                                                                                                      ways of doing business (Figure 1).
                                                                                                      The landscape in which GCC fuel retailers

Figure 1: Adapting to the changing market landscape requires fuel retailers to revisit their strategy, business model and capabilities

               Forces of change                                Changing market dynamic                       Fuel retail business continuum

                                                                                                             Organization analysis components

                                                                      Consumer behavior                               Strategy/Vision

      1         Carbon-free economy
                                                            - Adoption of shared vehicles,
                                                                                                           Redefine customer experience strategy

                                                              electric vehicles, etc.
                                                            - Embracing digitization                                  Business Model
                                                              e.g. digital payment, etc.                      Develop customer-centric model

                 Digital technologies
      2           and connectivity                                                                                     Capabilities
                                                                                                               Operating model architecture
                                                                     Competitive landscape
                                                                                                              Reassess organizational activities
                                                                                                                   and operating model
                                                            - New regulatory frameworks
                Mobility and adjacent
      3               offerings
                                                            - Receding footprint of fuel retail
                                                              monopolies
                                                                                                                         Enablers
                                                                                                              Process, people and technology
                                                                                                                  Review/Update enablers

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Deloitte | A Middle East Point of View - Spring 2021 | Fuel retail

operate is being reshaped by certain
macro-forces, namely, a shift towards a        EV charging stations present an
carbon-free economy, a rise in digital
connectivity, and a structural change in       opportunity for GCC fuel retailers to
mobility and adjacent offerings. These
forces are also coupled with a change in       tap into a growing market, generate
fuel retailer customer behavior. We
observe how the customer experience            income from non-fuel sales, and take
strategy, customer value proposition
(CVP), as well as the business model of        part in shaping the net-zero emissions
fuel retailers may need to evolve to cater
to the changing market landscape, and          future.
consequently allowing these companies
to thrive in the new environment, and
future-proof their business.                   environment. As seen in Figure 2, 54
                                               percent of GCC respondents who do not
Forces of change                               yet own a car would be inclined to buy a
Through our survey, we identified key          car if it were an electric vehicle (EV). This
internal and external macro-forces that        makes fast EV charging stations a critical
are affecting the landscape for fuel           upgrade consideration for fuel retail
retailers in the GCC. These forces have        players who want to cater to the
presented key market players with a new        customer of the future, as the
set of challenges and opportunities that       overwhelming majority of respondents
will require them to adapt and evolve.         were millennials and generation Z,
                                               signaling that the trend is here to stay. EV
Carbon-free economy                            charging stations present an opportunity
A global movement towards a carbon-            for GCC fuel retailers to tap into a
free economy is underway. In fact, in its      growing market, generate income from
2020 Energy Outlook report, BP is              non-fuel sales, and take part in shaping
predicting a base-case scenario where          the net-zero emissions future.
contribution of solar to global energy will
have a compound annual growth rate             Figure 2: Car non-owners inclined to own an
(CAGR) of 7.8 percent through to 2050.         electric vehicle in the future
This, contrasted with a CAGR of 1 percent
for natural gas and -0.3 percent for oil,
highlights the shift away from fossil fuels,
albeit gradual1. This creates a challenge                   30%
for fuel retailers as less carbon-based
fuel is likely to be sold, but also gives                                   54%

them an opportunity to explore new
markets. Moreover we note that within                       16%
the GCC, consumers are perturbed by
climate change since, as evidenced by
our survey, 70 percent of respondents
                                                 Yes        No         Maybe
were concerned about the effect of fossil
fuel carbon emissions on the

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Deloitte | A Middle East Point of View - Spring 2021 | Fuel retail

            Exhibit 1: BP Chargemaster case study: Catering for a growing EV market
                                                                                                             An example of this is illustrated in Exhibit
                                                                                                             1, where BP has acquired Chargemaster2
                                                                                                             in the UK, in order to establish a firm
                  The company was founded in 2008 by entrepreneur David Martell. In June 2018, BP            foothold in the UK EV charging services
                  announced that it had entered into an agreement to buy Chargemaster for GBP130m,           market, expecting to have one million EV
                  with the company to be rebranded BP Chargemaster.                                          users by 2022.

                                                                                                             Digital technologies and connectivity
                  The company provides charging units for home, business and public use, and operates        On-demand services and online retail
                  its own electric vehicle public charging network, called POLAR, which is the largest
                                                                                                             consumption continue to evolve and
                  network in the United Kingdom. By 2017, the company had supplied more than 30,000
                  charging points for electric vehicle drivers’ homes and more than 10,000 public and        raise consumer expectations. This is due
                  commercially-operated charging points.                                                     to advancement in universal connectivity
                                                                                                             and its underlying technology
                                                                                                             infrastructure, not to mention the Covid-
                  The business model of Chargemaster capitalizes on two revenue streams. The first
                                                                                                             19 lockdown, which introduced many
                  is installing charging stations at homes or offices for a fixed fee. The second is a
                  subscription fee whereby customers pay a monthly fee and through a mobile app can          people to the convenience of online
                  find where the closest charging station is and use it, an option to pay per use is also     shopping. Customers, now more than
                  available.                                                                                 ever, expect to have seamless
                                                                                                             communication and increased
                                                                                                             personalization in services. In fact, the
                  Chargemaster is growing rapidly and is currently the largest operator of charging
                                                                                                             survey reveals that 86 percent of expat
                  stations in the UK, putting it in the prime position to benefit from the anticipated
                  one million EV drivers expected to be in the UK by 2022. This gives BP an edge over        and local vehicle owners, in the GCC,
                  competition in terms of catering for this new customer group as people start to            prefer to use contactless digital payments
                  move away from ICE (Internal Combustion Engine) vehicles.                                  at fuel stations. However, almost 60
                                                                                                             percent of transactions today are still
                                                                                                             cash transactions driven mainly by blue
                 Exhibit 2: Shell case study: Innovation across different verticals
                                                                                                             collar workers.
Shell is one of many companies that has adapted successfully to the new environment of the fuel retail
market, with the realization of the need to reinvent the way they serve customers. Therefore, they have      Certain global fuel retailers have already
developed several initiatives to cater to customers’ needs:
                                                                                                             started embracing digitization to enhance
                                                     Shell tap-up                                            operational efficiency and improve on
            A fuel delivery service that is helping Shell play into the trend of on-demand home delivery     their customer experience. For example,
            service.                                                                                         ExxonMobil developed Speedpass+ to
                                                                                                             facilitate payment processes for their
                                              Amazon parcel network                                          customers. In addition, Shell is heavily
            A joint venture with Amazon to create a network of convenient pick-up locations for its goods    innovating in retail by a mix of
            at Shell’s fuel stations (experimented in Munich, Germany).
                                                                                                             partnerships and internal capability
                                                                                                             building, to address market
                                                   Shell motorist
                                                                                                             developments and customer needs
            Customer app that keeps the user up to date with Shell loyalty offers, rewards and                (Exhibit 2).
            promotions, and acts as a station locator. The app’s latest feature, “Fill up & Go” allows for
            mobile payments to be conducted at the fuel pump.
                                                                                                             Although similar digital payments already
                                                  Alternative fuels
                                                                                                             exist in the GCC, only 7 percent of vehicle
            Shell is part of a consortium of 13 companies (including car manufacturers such as BMW           owners have used them (Figure 3). The
            and Toyota) that has announced they will invest US$10.78billion in hydrogen fuel cells. In
            addition, Shell announced a partnership with Allego, a leading EV charging station provider
                                                                                                             primary reason for this contradicting
            in Europe, on deploying fast stations at select Shell service stations.                          result was that 61 percent of
                                                                                                             respondents were not aware of these
                                                   Connected car                                             apps. As such, GCC fuel retailers might
            A mobile payment mechanism installation onto Jaguar’s Connected Car platform, to show its        want to reassess their marketing and
            OEM partners its digital leadership in the automotive sector.                                    customer attraction initiatives.

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Deloitte | A Middle East Point of View - Spring 2021 | Fuel retail

Figure 3: Percentage of car owners who have
used digital services offered by fuel stations
                                                 driver-driven vehicles is expected to            Certain global fuel
                                                 decline; in 2025, shared driver-driven
(e.g. ENOC ViP, ENOCPay, ADNOC Wallet) and
the percentage of car owners who are willing
                                                 vehicles are expected to account for             retailers have already
to use digital/contactless payment in light of   more than 10 percent of miles driven,            started embracing
the COVID-19 outbreak                            increasing through to 2040, when shared
                                                 mobility will account for up to 80 percent
                                                                                                  digitization to enhance
Car owners using digital services by
fuel stations
                                                 of miles driven3. Therefore, how will the        operational efficiency
                                                 future fuel station change once the
                                                 mobility is largely autonomous/driverless
                                                                                                  and improve on their
                    7%                           and platform driven? Fewer cars on the           customer experience.
                                                 road and increased popularity of electric
                                                 vehicles will ultimately have major
                                                 implications on the fuel retail business,
                                                 and will cause them to reexamine the
                                                 products and services they offer to create
                         93%                     cross selling opportunities, and introduce
                                                 services to accommodate for EVs.

                                                 In addition, GCC fuel retailers may want
     Yes       No                                to focus on offering an experience, as
                                                 opposed to selling a commodity, in order
Car owners’ willingness to use                   to explore new revenue streams. The
digital/contactless payment
                                                 survey indicates that, in the GCC,
                                                 participants visit fuel stations for reasons
2%                                               other than fueling their cars. Such
                 12%                             services include using the carwash,
                                                 buying items from the grocery store,
                                                 visiting the restaurants in the gas
                                                 stations, or simply stopping to take a
                                                 break (Figure 4). In fact, new customer
                         86%
                                                 segments are emerging, forcing fuel
                                                 retailers to rethink the type of services
                                                 offered at fuel stations. An example of
     Yes       No         Maybe                  new customer segments are women
                                                 drivers in Saudi Arabia. In addition, more
                                                 than a third of respondents have
                                                 reported that over 50 percent of their
In addition to digital payments, fuel
                                                 non-fuel spending is composed of
retailers may want to focus on data
                                                 impulse shopping, giving fuel retailers an
analytics to capture consumer data in
                                                 opportunity to capitalize on an additional
real time. This will help retailers obtain
                                                 revenue source.
constructive insight on customers’ needs,
behavior and trends, enabling them to
                                                 Fuel retails might also focus on entering
make data-driven decisions.
                                                 new markets to diversify their market
                                                 portfolio—a trend that has started
Mobility and adjacent offerings
                                                 already with ENOC Group announcing, in
Mobility is transforming into a complex,
                                                 2018, major expansion plans to build 45
horizontally structured ecosystem. As per
                                                 new service stations in Saudi Arabia over
Deloitte’s global Future of Mobility Analysis;
                                                 the next four years.
by 2022, the use of personally-owned

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Deloitte | A Middle East Point of View - Spring 2021 | Fuel retail

Figure 4: Reasons for car non-owners to visit fuel stations

                                                                             Buy food and drinks from the               Take a break
30%                                                                          convenience shop
                                                                             (e.g. groceries, snacks, water,
         25%
                                                     24%                     soft drinks, etc.)
25%
                                                                                                                        None, I don’t visit fuel stations
                                                                             Buy non-food items from the
20%                                                                          convenience shop
                                                                             (e.g. camping gear and                     Fill up fuel for a car I don’t own
                        14%                                                  supplies, cosmetics, cigarettes,           (e.g. a rental car, or a car for a
15%
                                                                             batteries, etc.)                           friend/family member)
                                              11%
                               10%
10%              8%
                                       7%                                    Buy food and drinks from
                                                                             other food retailers                       Other
 5%                                                                          (fast-food chains, coffee
                                                                             chains, etc.)
                                                              1%
 0%                                                                          Use toilets

                                                    What companies can do: Redesigning                programs, which ranked second in our
Fuel retailers need to be                           the value proposition                             survey as services that customers would
aware that a digitized,                             The drivers of change discussed above             like to be offered by fuel retailers (digital
personalized, and                                   have redefined the context in which               payments ranked first).
                                                    retailers operate. Fuel retailers need to
seamless customer                                   be aware that a digitized, personalized,          As the customer experience is being
experience is increasingly                          and seamless customer experience is               defined, fuel retailers need to look
                                                    increasingly becoming the norm rather             inwards towards their existing business
becoming the norm                                   than the exception. Thus, they can                model and the systems supporting it, to
rather than the                                     leverage technological disruption to              assess whether or not they are capable

exception.                                          better serve their customers’ needs and
                                                    design a new customer value proposition
                                                                                                      of creating and delivering value to
                                                                                                      customers in the new business context.
                                                    that captures this end-to-end retail              This would require fuel retailers to re-
                                                    experience.                                       examine the products and services that
                                                                                                      they are offering customers as well as the
                                                    Our survey indicates that enhancing the           channels used to deliver said products
                                                    customer experience entails addressing            and services.
                                                    pain points and providing new services.
                                                    Among the vehicle owners surveyed,                Simultaneously, the company must ask
                                                    nearly 70 percent identified long queues          what capabilities would be needed to
                                                    as the main pain point they experience            create the new customer experience, and
                                                    when visiting fuel stations. This provides        how must it organize these capabilities
                                                    the retail players with the opportunity to        around its new objectives in order to
                                                    deploy technology in order to improve             operate profitably, effectively, and
                                                    operations and cut throughput time, thus          efficiently. The business model redesign
                                                    increasing customer satisfaction. In fact,        process is thus both technology-enabled
                                                    the survey demonstrates that consumers            and technology-induced (Exhibit 3). An
                                                    in the UAE are willing to change their            awareness of the interplay between
                                                    habits by using the Cafu services (an             emerging technology, a changing
                                                    online fuel delivery service), in order to        customer experience, and a new
                                                    receive a seamless experience and avoid           business model that encompasses them
                                                    long queues. Other services can also be           is key to future-proof the fuel retail
                                                    developed, such as tailored loyalty               industry.

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Deloitte | A Middle East Point of View - Spring 2021 | Fuel retail

The evolution                                             Exhibit 3: Future-proofing fuel retailers requires understanding the interdependencies
Players in the GCC fuel retail market need                        between the experience of the customer, the retailers’ business model,
to fundamentally reimagine and update                                                   and emerging technologies
ways of working to appeal to the
customer base which, as our survey
indicates, is experiencing a shift in their
preferences and behaviors. The new
customer value proposition must take                                                                  Customer
                                                      Diffusing technology in the                                                To effectively tailor the value
into account the needs of today’s                                                                    Experience
                                                      marketplace redefines customer                                              proposition underpinning the
consumers, as well as the potential                   expectations and                                                             new customer experience,
needs of the consumers of the future. It              simultaneously offers                                                           a redesign and revisit of a
also needs to be mindful of the energy                business tools                                                                   company’s business
                                                      to deliver the expected                                                            model would be
transition that is being shaped by the                customer experience                                                                 required
forces of change discussed hitherto. Fuel
retail businesses might also need to
redefine their business models to add
new services and benefit from potential
new sources of revenue while addressing
current customer pain points. Such an                                      Technological                                       Business
                                                                            Innovation                                          Model
exercise should be complemented by an
update to existing processes, systems,
and people capabilities; eventually
                                                                                         Setting the right systems and tools in
yielding new and updated gas station                                                   place to realize the new business model
archetypes (Exhibit 4). Thus, ensuring fuel                                            requires incorporating digitalization into
retail businesses are equipped with the                                                     the company’s ways of working

relevant organizational tools and have a
solid foundation to transform the new
                                                                                    Exhibit 4: The three fuel station archetypes
business model into reality.
                                                      Defining the type of station is highly dependent on the location and consumer needs in that area.
by Bart Cornelissen, Energy, Resources                Three archetypes of future energy stations are outlined below together with their key features.
& Industrials Leader, Deloitte Middle
East, Managing Partner, Monitor Deloitte,                 Urban Energy Station                Suburban Energy Station               Highway Energy Station
Carmen Hamze, Director, Monitor                            ‘Get the basics right’           ‘Key asset for local community’          ‘All travel needs covered’
Deloitte, Middle East, Abdellatif Smairi,
Senior Consultant and Tatiana Ibrahim,
Consultant, Consulting, Deloitte Middle
East

Endnotes
1. BP 2020 Energy Outlook report
2. “BP to Acquire the UK’s Largest Electric Vehicle    • EV “Fast” charging                  Superior amenties                      All a travellers’ needs
   Charging Company: News and Insights: Home.”           capabilities                        • All features of ‘Urban               • All features of ‘Suburban
   BP Global                                           • Autonomous drive                      energy station’ plus:                  energy station’ plus:
3. Deloitte Future of Mobility Analysis                  support                               - ‘Mini-mall’ products and             - Logistics hub for online
                                                       • Automated fueling and                   services                               retailers
                                                         payment solutions                     - Enhanced ‘click and                  - Extensive vehicle
                                                       • Digital engagement with                 collect’                               maintenance facilities
                                                         Saudi Aramco in advance               - Collaboration space for              - Broader range of fuel
                                                         of arrival                              local start-ups                        products
                                                       • Last mile delivery for                - ‘Pop-up’ space to                    - Transport hub for
                                                         retail deliveries                       support local                          autonomous vehicles
                                                       • Bike rental                             restaurants, shops etc.              - Load balancer providing
                                                                                               - Basic vehicle safety                   storage for autonomous
                                                                                                 checks                                 vehicles when demand
                                                                                                                                        is below peak

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