Gainesville City Schools - Workforce Data 2019
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Gainesville City Schools Workforce Data 2019
Gainesville Profile
A report prepared by the Carl Vinson Institute of Government at the University of Georgia
to inform Gainesville City School District’s workforce development strategy.
Jan Coyne, GIS and Data Visualization
Greg Wilson, Public Service Assistant
Rebecca McIver, Research ProfessionalTable of Contents Population and Economy 1 Education 11 Sources 16
Gainesville City Schools Workforce Data
Population and Economy
pattern of growth in Hall County follows the
Population statewide pattern of rural counties losing pop-
ulation and metropolitan counties gaining the
The City of Gainesville is a regional hub in a most. Atlanta metropolitan counties will con-
diverse area comprising the widening edge of tinue adding to their already large populations.
the Atlanta metropolitan area, vacation and The rate of growth will be highest for counties
recreation areas around Lake Lanier, and rural along the I-85 corridor northeast of Atlanta, as
foothills of the Appalachian Mountains. The well as for Albany, Augusta, and the coast around
urban-suburban counties are expected to con- Savannah. Hall County benefits from growth
tinue the growth in population that has been moving up I-85 from the Atlanta area.
occurring for the last several decades; the rural
areas have been growing, as well, having become Population projections are typically not cal-
a popular retirement destination. culated for jurisdictions smaller than counties.
Because the county projections include Gaines-
Figure 1 shows the pattern of change for the en- ville, it is safe to say that the 77% growth in Hall
tire state, and Table 1 shows population numbers County between 2010 and 2050 will be reflected
for the City of Gainesville and Hall County. The in growth in the city, as well.
Figure 1. State population change by county, 2010–2050.
Percent Change, 2010–2050
-53.5 – -2.0
-19.9 – 0.0
0.1 – 50.0
50.1 – 120.0
120.1 – 237.9
Hall County
Sources: U.S. Census Bureau; Governor’s Office of Planning and Budget.
1Gainesville City Schools Workforce Data
Table 1. Gainesville and Hall County population, 2010–2050.
Percent Change,
2010 Population 2017 Estimate 2050 Projection 2010–2050
Gainesville 33,979 40,359
Hall County 180,059 199,335 318,828 77.1%
Sources: U.S. Census Bureau; Governor’s Office of Planning and Budget.
Figure 2 traces the pattern of population relatively few retirees. This general pattern is
change by age for Hall County. In 2010, the projected to persist over the next two decades;
largest number of people were under 20 and in however, population in the youngest age groups
their mid-40’s. Young adults have left the area, will rebound to 2010 levels after decreasing,
possibly to pursue higher education. Working while the population around age 60 will increase.
age adults with families make up the highest
proportion of the population. The older working The vertical line at the 15–19 age group corre-
age adult population drops rapidly, and there are sponds to the points on the graph in Figure 3.
Figure 2. Population projection by age, Hall County, 2010–2030.
18
16
14
Population (in thousands)
2030
12
2020
10
8 2010
6
4
2
0
0–4 5–9 10–14 15–19 20–24 25–29 30–34 35–39 40–44 45–49 50–54 55–59 60–64 65–69 70–74 75–79 80–84 85 or older
Source: Governor’s Office of Planning and Budget.
In 2010, the population in that age group was Figure 3. Population projection age 15–19,
12, 874. In 2020, the population is estimated Hall County, 2010–2030.
to increase to 15,459 and remain fairly steady,
growing only by approximately 120 in the next 15,459 15,579
12,874
10 years.
2010 2020 2030
Source: Governor’s Office of Planning and Budget.
2Gainesville City Schools Workforce Data
The most recent Census Bureau estimates of age population compared to the other groups.
Hall County’s race and ethnicity by age is shown The youngest Hispanic age group outnumbers
in Figure 4. While the pattern is similar to that all others, but there is a rapid drop-off of the
in Figure 2, the white population has a much older population.
more pronounced increase in the older working
Figure 4. Population by age, race, and ethnicity, Hall County, 2018.
10
9
8
7
Population (in thousands)
6
5
4
White alone
3
2
Hispanic
Black alone
1
Ot her
0
0–4 5–9 10–14 15–19 20–24 25–29 30–34 35–39 40–44 45–49 50–54 55–59 60–64 65–69 70–74 75–79 80–84 85 or older
Source: U.S Census Bureau.
Economy
There are two common ways to look at a local Figure 5. Median household income,
economy: through household data and through 2013–2017.
local business and industry data. Household data
are measures like median household income and Hall County $55,622
percentage of school-aged students in poverty.
In Hall county the median household income is
$55,622 in Hall County and $41,250 in Gaines- Georgia $52,977
ville for the 5-year period 2013–2017. Georgia’s
falls in the middle at $52,977.
Gainesville $41,250
The percentage of school-age children in pov-
Source: U.S. Census Bureau
erty in Georgia also falls between that of the
Gainesville School District and the Hall County
School District. In Gainesville, 26.1% of people
aged 5-17 are in poverty. In Georgia, it is 20.3%,
and in Hall County, 15.4%. The trend has been
decreasing since the recession, as shown in
Figure 6.
3Gainesville City Schools Workforce Data
Figure 6. Poverty rate of children ages 5 to 17 in families by school district.
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
United States Georgia
Gainesville City School District (GA) Hall County School District (GA)
Source: U.S. Census Bureau. The gap between 2004 and 2005 represents a switch from the Current Population Survey to the American Community Survey.
Unemployment data provide insight into a a community may indicate a skills mismatch or
region’s available workforce and serve as an potential economic distress. Figure 7 shows the
economic indicator. The unemployment rate is unemployment trend since 2000. Hall County
calculated by dividing the number of individuals is consistently lower than the state and follows
actively looking for a job by the total labor force. the same pattern of high unemployment during
Hall County’s unemployment rate in 2018 was the recession and a continuing recovery. It is
3.2%, indicating a strong economy and near approaching the unemployment rate of 3.0% in
full employment. A high unemployment rate in 2000, the lowest in this period.
Figure 7. Unemployment rate, Hall County and Georgia, 2000–2018.
12%
10%
8%
Georgia
6%
Hall County
4%
2%
0%
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Source: Georgia Department of Labor.
4Gainesville City Schools Workforce Data
Hall County has seen nine years of continuous changes (e.g., recession, large economic develop-
job growth, and currently has 22,000 jobs. The ment announcement, or natural disaster). Figure
region is projected to add another 11,000 jobs 8 shows the employment trend from 2008-2019
over the next ten years, assuming no major and a forecast through 2028.
Figure 8. Hall County employment trend, 2009–2028.
120
100
Number Employed (in Thousands)
80
60
40
20
0
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Source: EMSI
To analyze the economy through business agriculture, forestry, fishing and hunting (-364
and industry data, the United States uses the jobs) and mining, quarrying, and oil and gas
North American Industry Classification System extraction (-3), a small decrease in a small sector.
(NAICS) to classify businesses. Industries are The loss in agricultural employment may be tied
categorized based on their production processes, to the increased development around Gainesville
and there are several levels of detail available. and Lake Lanier and resulting loss in agricultur-
Federal statistical agencies, such as the Census al land as building resumed after the recession.
Bureau, Bureau of Labor Statistics, and the
Bureau of Economic Analysis, use this taxonomy Another way to explore a region’s economy is
to organize much of their data. by utilizing a location quotient. It is a measure
of specialization that compares a region to the
There are nearly 96,000 jobs in Hall County. United States as whole. A location quotient
Table 2 provides a snapshot of the region’s above 1.2 indicates that the industry is more
economy organized by high-level NAICS concentrated in the region than in the rest of
sectors. The five largest industry sectors in the the country: with more jobs, potentially more
region are manufacturing (20,594 jobs), health related industries, and possibly exporting goods
care and social assistance (13,267 jobs), govern- and bringing money into the region. The highest
ment (11,467 jobs), retail trade (9,295 jobs), and location quotient in the Hall County is for the
accommodation and food services (6,914 jobs). manufacturing sector. Manufacturing jobs are
These five industries comprise over 60% of all 2.7 times more concentrated in Hall County
jobs in the region. than in the United States as a whole. The Geor-
gia Department of Labor lists seven manufactur-
Over the past decade the county has added ing companies, including poultry processors, as
almost 19,000 jobs and grown total employment top ten employers. Wholesale trade is the other
by 25%. Several industries have declined even specialized sector in Hall County, with a location
as the overall economy has grown, including quotient of 1.3.
5Gainesville City Schools Workforce Data
Table 2. Hall County industry profile, 2009–2018.
Avg. 2018
2009 2018 2009–2018 Percent Earnings Location 2018
NAICS Description Jobs Jobs Change Change Per Job Quotient Establishments
Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing and
11 776 412 -364 -47% $42,067 0.37 26
Hunting
Mining, Quarrying, and Oil and Gas
21 49 46 -3 -6% $86,879 0.12 3
Extraction
22 Utilities 147 158 11 7% $116,441 0.48 6
23 Construction 5,105 5,590 485 10% $53,464 1.05 463
31 Manufacturing 15,430 20,594 5,164 33% $56,040 2.72 258
42 Wholesale Trade 3,562 4,498 936 26% $72,292 1.27 296
44 Retail Trade 7,758 9,295 1,537 20% $34,812 0.96 568
48 Transportation and Warehousing 2,206 3,116 910 41% $64,586 0.90 142
51 Information 611 554 -57 -9% $76,419 0.31 38
52 Finance and Insurance 2,537 2,836 299 12% $80,058 0.73 263
53 Real Estate and Rental and Leasing 761 845 84 11% $45,594 0.52 186
Professional, Scientific, and Technical
54 1,906 2,378 472 25% $63,421 0.38 392
Services
Management of Companies and
55 272 969 697 256% $116,057 0.71 29
Enterprises
Administrative and Support and Waste
56 4,724 6,499 1,775 38% $32,479 1.08 274
Management and Remediation Services
61 Educational Services 1,360 1,722 362 27% $32,981 0.70 36
62 Health Care and Social Assistance 9,425 13,267 3,842 41% $67,945 1.09 514
71 Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation 880 1,116 236 27% $270,227 0.67 75
72 Accommodation and Food Services 4,555 6,914 2,359 52% $20,717 0.84 306
Other Services (except Public Adminis-
81 3,387 3,571 184 5% $27,293 0.78 263
tration)
90 Government 11,469 11,467 -2 -0% $55,874 0.79 116
Total 76,919 95,846 18,927 25% $70,782 4,252
Source: EMSI.
In Figure 9, the top 10 destination counties for Figure 10 shows the opposite direction of travel
the working residents of Hall County are rep- for jobs in the region. The lines indicate the per-
resented by lines emanating from it. The circle centage of workers who live outside Hall County
represent the jobs in the county that residents and come into Hall County for work. The circle,
hold. The majority of residents do not commute again, is the percentage of primary jobs held by
outside the county. When they do, most of them county residents: 45.1% of 76,058 jobs. Of the
travel to or within the metro area. top ten counties whose residents work in Hall,
Gwinnet sends the most by far. Gwinnett Coun-
In 2015, the latest year for which data is avail- ty residents hold 10.3% of the Hall County jobs,
able, 46.5% of 73,753 primary jobs held by Hall over 7,800 jobs. Forsyth County follows, holding
County residents were in the county. Gwinnett only 4.2% of Hall County jobs. The other eight
had 14.9%, Fulton had 8.0%, the other eight counties together supply 20.0% of workers, with
counties had 18.3%, leaving 6.3% elsewhere. another 20.5% coming from elsewhere.
6Gainesville City Schools Workforce Data
Figure 9. Work destination counties for region Figure 10. Home destination counties for
residents, 2015 region workers, 2015
White
Habersham Habersham
Lumpkin Lumpkin
Banks
Forsyth
Forsyth
Jackson
Jackson
Barrow Barrow
Clarke Gwinnett
Cobb
Gwinnett
Fulton DeKalb
DeKalb
Fulton
Source: U.S. Census Bureau. LEHD Origin-Destination Employment Statistics.
Tables 3, 4, and 5 provide a more detailed view and General Medical and Surgical Hospitals added
of what industries are growing, shrinking, and the most jobs. These same sectors are also the
employing the largest number of individuals. largest industries in Hall County, as Table 4
These tables utilize NAICS 4-digit subsectors shows. These tables provide additional detail to
(two levels down from the 2-digit sectors used the more general industry information presented
previously) to provide more detailed industry above; for example the importance of the poul-
data than previous figures and tables. Table 3 try industry to the manufacturing sector. The
shows the fastest growing industries over the industries in the region that are experiencing the
past decade. Restaurants and Other Eating slowest growth (or decline) are listed in Table 5.
Places, Animal Slaughtering and Processing,
Table 3. Fastest growing industries in Hall County, 2009–2018.
Average
2009–2018 Percent Earnings
Industry (Four-Digit NAICS) 2009 Jobs 2018 Jobs Change Change per Job
Restaurants and Other Eating Places 3,818 6,011 2,193 57% $19,209
Animal Slaughtering and Processing 6,763 8,842 2,079 31% $40,391
General Medical and Surgical Hospitals 3,651 5,236 1,585 43% $70,104
Offices of Physicians 2,153 3,222 1,069 50% $104,536
Motor Vehicle Body and Trailer Manufacturing 186 1,052 866 466% $67,326
Employment Services 2,314 3,147 833 36% $29,454
Management of Companies and Enterprises 272 969 697 256% $116,057
Agriculture, Construction, and Mining
1,134 1,644 510 45% $67,462
Machinery Manufacturing
Services to Buildings and Dwellings 819 1,290 471 58% $35,025
Nondepository Credit Intermediation 412 881 469 114% $86,212
Source: EMSI
7Gainesville City Schools Workforce Data
Table 4. Largest industries in Hall County, 2009–2018.
Average
2009–2018 Percent Earnings
Industry (Four-Digit NAICS) 2009 Jobs 2018 Jobs Change Change per Job
Animal Slaughtering and Processing 6,763 8,842 2,079 31% $40,391
Restaurants and Other Eating Places 3,818 6,011 2,193 57% $19,209
General Medical and Surgical Hospitals 3,651 5,236 1,585 43% $70,104
Education and Hospitals (Local Government) 4,764 4,538 -226 -5% $59,846
Offices of Physicians 2,153 3,222 1,069 50% $104,536
Employment Services 2,314 3,147 833 36% $29,454
Local Government, Excluding Education
2,706 2,808 102 4% $59,406
and Hospitals
Education and Hospitals (State Government) 1,699 1,977 278 16% $43,821
Grocery Stores 1,417 1,741 324 23% $27,511
Agriculture, Construction, and Mining
1,134 1,644 510 45% $67,462
Machinery Manufacturing
Source: EMSI
Table 5. Slowest growing industries in Hall County, 2009–2018.
Average
2009–2018 Percent Earnings per
Industry (Four-Digit NAICS) 2009 Jobs 2018 Jobs Change Change Job
Mining, Quarrying, and Oil and Gas Ex-
581 642 61 10% $71,054
traction
Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation 4,109 4,336 227 6% $22,751
Real Estate and Rental and Leasing 5,854 5,896 42 1% $47,227
Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing and Hunting 1,289 1,276 -13 -1% $37,337
Manufacturing 29,816 29,397 -419 -1% $65,381
Finance and Insurance 13,942 13,506 -436 -3% $59,179
Wholesale Trade 16,649 16,019 -630 -4% $63,874
Government 63,182 57,887 -5295 -8% $63,381
Utilities 3,411 2,968 -443 -13% $125,181
Construction 23,467 19,408 -4059 -17% $50,127
Source: EMSI
Tables 6, 7, and 8 list occupations with the most training, and General and Operations Managers
jobs in 2018 categorized by low skill (high school is the top occupation requiring a bachelor’s
diploma or less), middle skill (some college or degree.
associate’s degree), and high skill (bachelor’s
degree or greater). Laborers and Freight, Stock, The fastest growing occupations requiring at
and Material Movers, Hand is the top occupa- least some college over the next decade are
tion requiring no formal educational credential, those with few annual openings, listed in Table
with twice as many jobs in 2018 as the next occu- 9. Because they start from a small number, the
pation in the list, Food Preparation. Heavy and addition of a few more jobs has a large affect on
Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers is the occupation the percentage change. Postsecondary education
with the most jobs requiring some postsecondary administrators and dentists top the list, closely
8Gainesville City Schools Workforce Data
Table 6. Top ten low-skill occupations in Hall County, 2018.
Avg. Hourly Annual
Occupation 2018 Jobs Earnings Typical Entry Level Education Openings
Laborers and Freight, Stock, and Material
4,030 $12.25 No formal educational credential 581
Movers, Hand
Combined Food Preparation and Serving
2,622 $9.31 No formal educational credential 475
Workers, Including Fast Food
Meat, Poultry, and Fish Cutters and Trimmers 2,603 $10.85 No formal educational credential 351
Assemblers and Fabricators, All Other, Includ-
2,261 $12.92 High school diploma or equivalent 296
ing Team Assemblers
Office Clerks, General 2,180 $12.77 High school diploma or equivalent 273
Retail Salespersons 2,044 $11.76 No formal educational credential 307
Cashiers 1,910 $9.48 No formal educational credential 387
Customer Service Representatives 1,644 $15.25 High school diploma or equivalent 231
Secretaries and Administrative Assistants,
1,553 $16.56 High school diploma or equivalent 189
Except Legal, Medical, and Executive
Waiters and Waitresses 1,451 $9.70 No formal educational credential 276
Source: EMSI
Table 7. Top ten middle-skill occupations in Hall County, 2018.
Avg. Hourly Annual
Occupation 2018 Jobs Earnings Typical Entry Level Education Openings
Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers 1,515 $22.97 Postsecondary nondegree award 175
Medical Assistants 1,022 $15.62 Postsecondary nondegree award 129
Teacher Assistants 891 $10.00 Some college, no degree 94
Bookkeeping, Accounting, and Auditing Clerks 758 $18.48 Some college, no degree 90
Emergency Medical Technicians and Para-
753 $16.48 Postsecondary nondegree award 81
medics
Surgical Technologists 686 $26.03 Postsecondary nondegree award 72
Nursing Assistants 564 $12.77 Postsecondary nondegree award 68
Licensed Practical and Licensed Vocational
484 $20.10 Postsecondary nondegree award 40
Nurses
Automotive Service Technicians and Mechan-
460 $17.09 Postsecondary nondegree award 48
ics
Firefighters 391 $17.65 Postsecondary nondegree award 31
Source: EMSI
Table 8. Top ten high-skill occupations in Hall County, 2018.
Avg. Hourly Annual
Occupation 2018 Jobs Earnings Typical Entry Level Education Openings
General and Operations Managers 1,478 $51.31 Bachelor's degree 153
Registered Nurses 1,154 $32.09 Bachelor's degree 78
Elementary School Teachers, Except Special
1,133 $25.31 Bachelor's degree 86
Education
Postsecondary Teachers 830 $33.92 Doctoral or professional degree 85
Secondary School Teachers, Except Special
665 $27.51 Bachelor's degree 51
and Career/Technical Education
Accountants and Auditors 511 $32.78 Bachelor's degree 52
Physicians and Surgeons, All Other 508 $130.33 Doctoral or professional degree 34
Loan Officers 506 $39.85 Bachelor's degree 69
Special Education Teachers, Kindergarten and
400 $26.96 Bachelor's degree 32
Elementary School
Business Operations Specialists, All Other 318 $33.25 Bachelor's degree 32
Source: EMSI
9Gainesville City Schools Workforce Data
followed by respiratory therapists; however, they jobs, as in Table 10, registered nurses and medi-
account for a combined total of only 39 new jobs cal assistants top the list with a total of 725 new
by 2028. When looked at by total number of jobs by 2028.
Table 9. Fastest growing occupations (by percent change in jobs) requiring some college or more,
2018–2028.
Avg.
Projected 2018–2028 Percent Hourly Typical Entry Annual
Occupation 2018 Jobs 2028 Jobs Change Change Earnings Level Education Openings
Education Administra-
11 22 11 100% Insf. Data Master's degree 2
tors, Postsecondary
Doctoral or pro-
Dentists, General 13 26 13 100% $89.99 2
fessional degree
Respiratory Therapists 16 31 15 94% $17.19 Associate's degree 3
Operations Research
13 22 9 69% $40.81 Bachelor's degree 2
Analysts
Medical Scientists, Doctoral or pro-
12 20 8 67% Insf. Data 2
Except Epidemiologists fessional degree
Doctoral or pro-
Chiropractors 14 23 9 64% $52.14 1
fessional degree
Health Diagnosing and
Treating Practitioners, 11 18 7 64% Insf. Data Master's degree 1
All Other
Physician Assistants 67 109 42 63% $44.75 Master's degree 9
Software Developers,
92 143 51 55% $39.49 Bachelor's degree 13
Applications
Computer Numerically
Controlled Machine Tool Postsecondary
14 21 7 50% $23.01 2
Programmers, Metal and nondegree award
Plastic
Source: EMSI
Table 10. Highest growth occupations (by change in total number of jobs) requiring some college
or more, 2018–2028.
Avg.
2018 Projected 2018–2028 Percent Hourly Typical Entry Annual
Occupation Jobs 2028 Jobs Change Change Earnings Level Education Openings
Registered Nurses 1,162 1,541 379 33% $32.06 Bachelor's degree 106
Postsecondary
Medical Assistants 1,023 1,369 346 34% $15.67 161
nondegree award
General and Operations
1,486 1,727 241 16% $51.16 Bachelor's degree 154
Managers
Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Postsecondary
1,609 1,837 228 14% $22.67 207
Truck Drivers nondegree award
Doctoral or pro-
Postsecondary Teachers 841 1,046 205 24% $33.84 92
fessional degree
Emergency Medical Techni- Postsecondary
753 957 204 27% $16.48 71
cians and Paramedics nondegree award
Accountants and Auditors 555 684 129 23% $32.14 Bachelor's degree 68
Physicians and Surgeons, All Doctoral or pro-
524 643 119 23% $128.65 27
Other fessional degree
Postsecondary
Nursing Assistants 569 687 118 21% $12.77 82
nondegree award
Bookkeeping, Accounting, Some college, no
787 882 95 12% $18.46 102
and Auditing Clerks degree
Source: EMSI
10Gainesville City Schools Workforce Data
Education
Almost three quarters of the population 25 years Figure 11. Educational attainment in
and over in Gainesville has finished high school Gainesville.
or better. The data in Figures 11 and 12 are
from the American Community Survey five-year
estimates for the periods 2005–2009 and 2013–
2017. The percentage of the adult population 26.4% High school graduate (includes equivalency)
with a post-secondary degree rose somewhat 24.5%
between 2005–09 and 2013–17, although there 22.4%
was a small decrease in the percentage with
Associate’s degrees. There is a corresponding
17.9% Some college, no degree
drop in the percentages of adults who did not at
least graduate from high school. 15.9% Less than 9th grade
14.9% 14.9% Bachelor's degree
13.2%
Figure 12 shows educational attainment by race 12.7%
in Gainesville. Whites have the highest per- 10.5% 9th to 12th grade, no diploma
centage of bachelor’s degrees or higher. A third 8.7% Graduate or professional degree
of African Americans have some college or an
6.4%
associate’s degree, and slightly more than a third 6.0% 5.9% Associate's degree
are high school graduates. A high percentage of
Hispanics have not finished high school, not sur-
prising given the number of recent immigrants
coming to the state to work in the agricultural 2005–2009 2013–2017
and construction industries.
Source: U. S. Census Bureau.
Figure 12. Educational attainment by race in Gainesville, 2013–2017.
28.3%
10.8%
Bachelor's degree or higher
20.0%
5.5%
21.9%
31.0%
Some college or associate's degree
19.5%
10.6%
23.8%
38.6%
High school graduate (includes equivalency)
16.8%
25.6%
White 26.0%
Black 19.6%
Less than high school diploma
Asian 43.7%
Hispanic 58.3%
Source: U. S. Census Bureau.
11Gainesville City Schools Workforce Data
Table 11. Opportunity Youth, 2017.
Number Not in School and Percentage Not in School
Population Age 16–24 Not Working and Not Working
Forsyth 19,231 2,000 10%
Hall 23,144 3,055 13%
Gwinnett 104,792 15,090 14%
Jackson 6,602 1,195 18%
Barrow 8,011 1,490 19%
Georgia 1,311,232 203,241 16%
Source: 2017 Opportunity Index; US Census Bureau
Opportunity youth are young people between (with nearly 1,490 of this age group). Gwinnet
the ages of 16 and 24 not enrolled in secondary County, at 14%, has the largest population of
or postsecondary education and not working or this age group and by far the largest number of
actively seeking a job. This group represents an opportunity youth—15,090.
opportunity for the community, because, with
some encouragement and social support, these Gainesville High School has almost the lowest
youth may be reestablished in school or begin a graduation rate of schools in Hall County, and it
new job. Table 11 shows the numbers of oppor- is the largest school (Figure 13). There were 512
tunity youth in the region. Hall County is on the students in the 4-year cohort used to calculated
lower end with 13% of the population age 16–24 the graduation rate for 2018, and 450 graduates.
not in school and not working. The proportion Forty-one percent of Gainesville High School
ranges from 10% in Forsyth County (with 2,000 students were eligible for HOPE funding.
of this age group) to 19% in Barrow County
Figure 13. High school graduation and HOPE eligibility by school system, 2018.
High School Graduation Rate HOPE Eligibility, Percent
Gainesville School District Gainesville School District
Hall County School District Hall County School District
95 North Hall High School 57 North Hall High School
Chestatee High School Chestatee High School
East Hall High School East Hall High School
92 45
93 35
88 Gainesville High School 41 Gainesville High School
Lanier College & Career Academy Lanier College & Career Academy
West Hall High School 42 West Hall High School 4
92 Johnson High School 53 Johnson High School
96 45
93 Flowery Branch High School 57 Flowery Branch High School
Cherokee Bluff High School Cherokee Bluff High School
ND ND
Source: Governor’s Office of Student Achievement.
Note: Cherokee Bluff High School is new and had no graduating class this year.
12Gainesville City Schools Workforce Data
The other 59% may find it difficult to afford to Figure 14 shows the outcomes one year after
attend a post-secondary educational institution. graduation for the graduating classes of 2012 to
2016. A larger proportion of Gainesville’s high
The Governor’s Office of Student Achievement school graduates went to work after graduation
(GOSA) recently developed a dashboard re- than did those of the state as a whole. Fewer
porting the outcomes of high school graduates. graduates went to college.
Figure 14. High school graduate outcomes one year after graduation.
Gainesville High Schools
29% 32% 29% 28% 28% Enrolled in Georgia public college/university
5% 4% 5% Enrolled in Georgia private college/university
10% 6%
8% 8% 10% Enrolled in college/university outside of Georgia
8% 9% 8%
10% 6% Enrolled in Georgia public technical college
6%
10%
25% 31% 29% Working in Georgia, not enrolled in college
26% 33%
23% 20% 21% Unknown
17% 15%
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Graduating Class
All Georgia High Schools
43% 43% 41% 39% Enrolled in Georgia public college/university
43%
5% 5% Enrolled in Georgia private college/university
6% 6% 6%
10% 10% Enrolled in college/university outside of Georgia
10% 10% 10%
8% 8% Enrolled in Georgia public technical college
8% 9% 8%
22% Working in Georgia, not enrolled in college
18% 20% 24%
21%
13% 12% 11% 12% 15% Unknown
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Graduating Class
Source: Governor’s Office of Student Achievement.
13Gainesville City Schools Workforce Data
GOSA also tracks students over time. Figure 15 Graduates around the state had a similar pro-
shows the class of 2012. One year after gradu- gression: although more of them enrolled in a
ation, over half of the Gainesville class of 2012 postsecondary institution in 2013, only about a
enrolled in postsecondary education but either quarter of them earned a credential after 5 years.
did not finish or dropped out to work. By 2017, Nearly a third of both groups went to work with
only 21% had earned a postsecondary credential. no credential by 2017.
Figure 15. Progress from high school graduation, class of 2012.
Gainesville High Schools
5%
14%
21% Earned postsecondary credential
38% 22%
52% 51% 14% Enrolled in postsecondary
Working without postsecondary
36% 35%
credential or enrollment
30%
25% 25%
28% 28% 30% Unknown
23% 23%
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
All Georgia High Schools
5%
15%
27% Earned postsecondary credential
45%
30%
68% 62% 16% Enrolled in postsecondary
Working without postsecondary
32% credential or enrollment
33%
30%
22%
18%
22% 25% Unknown
20%
13% 14%
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Source: Governor’s Office of Student Achievement.
14Gainesville City Schools Workforce Data
The Gainesville class of 2012 who enrolled in
college went to the following institutions in
2012-2013, according to the Governor’s Office
of Student Achievement High School Graduate
Outcomes Report:
Top In-State College/Universities
1. Gainesville State College
2. Lanier Technical College
3. University Of Georgia
4. Georgia Southern University
5. University Of North Georgia
Top Out-of-State College/Universities
1. Florida A&M University
2. Oral Roberts University
3. Auburn University At Montgomery
4. Baylor University
5. College Of Charleston
15Gainesville City Schools Workforce Data
Sources
Child Trends and Opportunity Nation. Opportunity Index. https://opportunityindex.org/.
Economic Modeling Specialists, Inc. https://www.economicmodeling.com/
Georgia Governor’s Office of Planning and Budget, Georgia Residential Population Projections by
County: 2015–2050, 2015 Series, http://opb.georgia.gov/population-projections.
Georgia Department of Labor, Workforce Statistics and Economic Research, Local Area Unemploy-
ment Statistics Unit, “Labor Force, Employment and Unemployment for Hall County in All Years.”
https://explorer.gdol.ga.gov/vosnet/Default.aspx
The Governor’s Office of Student Achievement. “High School Graduate Outcomes Report,”
High School Graduate Outcomes Dashboard. https://gosa.georgia.gov/high-school-graduate-out-
comes-dashboard.
U.S. Census Bureau, 2013-2017 American Community Survey 5-Yr. Estimates:
“Educational Attainment,” Table S1501. https://factfinder.census.gov/faces/tableservices/jsf/
pages/productview.xhtml?pid=ACS_17_5YR_S1501&prodType=table.
“Median Income in the Past 12 Months (in 2017 inflation-adjusted dollars),” Table B19001.
https://factfinder.census.gov/faces/tableservices/jsf/pages/productview.xhtml?pid=ACS_17_5YR_
B19001&prodType=table.
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l?pid=ACS_17_1YR_B15002A&prodType=table.
“Sex by Educational Attainment for the Population 25 Years and Over (Black Or African Ameri-
can Alone),” Table B15002B. https://factfinder.census.gov/faces/tableservices/jsf/pages/product-
view.xhtml?pid=ACS_17_1YR_B15002B&prodType=table.
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B15002D. https://factfinder.census.gov/faces/tableservices/jsf/pages/productview.xhtm-
l?pid=ACS_17_1YR_B15002D&prodType=table.
“Sex by Educational Attainment for the Population 25 Years and Over (Hispanic Or Latino),”
Table B15002I. https://factfinder.census.gov/faces/tableservices/jsf/pages/productview.xhtm-
l?pid=ACS_17_1YR_B15002I&prodType=table.
U.S. Census Bureau. “Annual County Resident Population Estimates by Age, Sex, Race, and Hispan-
ic Origin: April 1, 2010 to July 1, 2018.” https://www.census.gov/data/datasets/time-series/demo/
popest/2010s-counties-detail.html?#
U.S. Census Bureau Longitudinal-Employer Household Dynamics Program. LEHD Origin-Desti-
nation Employment Statistics (2002-2015). https://onthemap.ces.census.gov. LODES 7.3.
U.S. Census Bureau, Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates. https://www.census.gov/data-tools/
demo/saipe/#/?map_geoSelector=aa_c
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