Game on How to have fun, develop new skills and drive business growth - Bridgepoint

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Game on How to have fun, develop new skills and drive business growth - Bridgepoint
Intelligent Investing from Bridgepoint

                                                                        May 2021 | Issue 39

                                   Game
                                    on
                           How to have fun, develop new skills
                               and drive business growth

            The art of reduction     Lessons from the locker room    On the rebound
            Getting the food         Patrik Nilsson on ice hockey,   The sharing economy in a
            industry into shape      leadership and Vitamin Well     post-pandemic world
Game on How to have fun, develop new skills and drive business growth - Bridgepoint
02                                             22
• Ins & outs                                   •   Analysis

    Bridgepoint news                               In sharing we trust
                                                   The sharing economy has been hit by
    04                                             a series of blows over the past year.
                                                   Does this sector have a future, or has
•   Business
                                                   it been permanently tarnished?
    Rules of the game
    Games were once associated
    exclusively with play. Today, they are         28
    used to learn new skills, recruit staff     •   Management

    and drive business growth. But                 Think fast
    gamification still needs to be handled          Making the right decisions is integral
    with care                                      to business success, so firms that
                                                   consider how best to tackle their
 10                                                decision-making processes can secure
                                                   real advantage
• In focus
    War on waste
    More than a billion tons of food is lost       32
    or wasted worldwide every year.            • Viewpoint
    Reducing this could benefit                     Silent epidemic
    businesses across the value chain –            Mental health used to be a taboo
    and cut down harmful emissions too             topic in the workplace. Now, there
                                                   are real signs of change, as
 16                                                businesses recognise the critical
                                                   importance of mental resilience for
• The interview                                    employees and other stakeholders
    A good sport
    Patrik Nilsson played ice hockey for
    Sweden, ran Adidas in North America            36
    and led the leisurewear brand, Gant.       •   Last word

    Now, he chairs Bridgepoint-backed              Animal magic
    Vitamin Well                                   Parks are filled with dog-walkers, vets
                                                   are turning away new customers, pet
                                                   shops are booming, even egg-laying
                                                   chickens are in short supply. The
                                                   world has gone pet mad – but not
                                                   everyone is happy about it
Game on How to have fun, develop new skills and drive business growth - Bridgepoint
•Foreword

                           Game changers
                           When entire countries and even the security services deploy it, you have to ask
                           yourself what gamification really is. Memorably described as ‘when video
                           games and business have a baby’, it is the process of applying the
                           psychological and entertaining aspects of game-playing to other activities to
                           make them more fun, increase engagement and improve results. In this edition
                           of The Point (‘Rules of the game’, page 4), we analyse how savvy businesses
                           are using gamification to drive customer loyalty and even influence behaviour
                           – and ask whether its powerful appeal might also have a darker side.
                           The rise of the sharing economy              and the US, before becoming CEO of
                           continues apace, even though a deadly        Gant and then chairman of Vitamin
                           pandemic seems to have undercut the          Well. It’s a fascinating story with some
                           sector’s core proposition. We examine        interesting insights about team
                           how businesses in this industry can          motivation (‘A good sport’, page 16).
                           overcome some of the obstacles they             Since our last edition, Bridgepoint
                           face and seek out fresh opportunities in     has been busy, making investments in
                           a post-Covid world (‘In sharing we           Swiss cybersecurity specialist
                           trust’, page 22).                            Infinigate, US fruit genetics pioneer Sun
                               Until recently, mental resilience was    World, UK digital marketing agency
                           seldom discussed or even recognised as       IDHL, Swedish medical dermatology
                           an issue in the workplace. Wind forward      services provider Diagnostiskt Centrum
                           to today, and there is an increasing         Hud and UK pharma and biotech
                           awareness that firms need to                 advisory firm Prescient. We also
                           acknowledge and understand it for the        successfully exited our investment in
                           good of their employees and their            Calypso Technology in the US, one of
                           business. That’s why in ‘Silent              the foremost providers of software to the
May 2021                   epidemic’ (page 32), The Point tries to      global capital markets industry (‘Ins &
Issue 39
Published by               assess the scale of the issue and learn      outs’, page 2).
Bladonmore
Editor
                           how forward-looking companies are              We hope you enjoy this edition of
Joanne Hart                working through it.                          The Point. As always, we welcome your
Design
Bagshawe Associates
Reproduction, copying
                               In this edition, we are also profiling   feedback via thepoint@bridgepoint.eu  •
or extracting by any
                           the chairman of one of our fastest-
means of the whole or
part of this publication
                           growing consumer companies – Patrik
must not be undertaken
without the written        Nilsson of functional drinks and food
permission of the
publishers.                group Vitamin Well. A champion
The views expressed in
The Point are not
                           ice-hockey player in his youth, he opted     William Jackson
necessarily those of
Bridgepoint.
                           for a career in business, eventually         is managing partner
www.bridgepoint.eu         heading Adidas in the Nordic region          of Bridgepoint

                                                                                                               01
Game on How to have fun, develop new skills and drive business growth - Bridgepoint
•Ins&outs             | Bridgepoint news

                                                                                    Here comes
                                                                                    the sun
                                                                                    Sun World is a global pioneer in fruit genetics
                                                                                    with a track record stretching back to the
                                                                                    1970s. Bridgepoint has now acquired the
                                                                                    California-based company, which owns more
                                                                                    than 300 plant patents and licenses around
                                                                                    1,800 growers in 15 countries, including Chile,
                                                                                    Israel, South Africa and Spain.
                                                                                      The transaction is designed to drive growth
                                                                                    at Sun World by building a broad-based
                                                                                    genetics and technology platform for

Bridgepoint snaps up                                                                speciality fruit growers. The company
                                                                                    traditionally works with grapes and stone

Swiss cybersecurity firm                                                             fruit but has recently begun studying several
                                                                                    underserved crops and technology to support
                                                                                    them. There are also opportunities to acquire
Bridgepoint has acquired one of Europe’s leading
                                                                                    new genetics and emerging technologies.
cybersecurity specialists, Infinigate                                                  “Sun World was part of the first wave of
The enterprise cybersecurity               The group was founded in 1996            genetic innovation for produce, establishing a
market is one of the fastest             and has grown consistently over
growing in Western Europe. Worth         the past 25 years. Employees now
an estimated €10 billion, it is          exceed 450 and the business is
expanding by around 10 per cent          expected to have generated gross
annually as the                                       revenues of more
threat of cybercrime                                  than €600 million in
intensifies,                                           the year to
companies’                                            March 2021.
information technology systems             Led by CEO Klaus Schlichtherle,
become more complex and                  Infinigate focuses on innovative            recurring royalty business model that has
regulations around data protection       and specialised security solutions,        enabled it to prioritise R&D innovation. Today
grow increasingly stringent.             complemented by dedicated                  it enjoys a market-leading reputation with the
  Infinigate is the foremost              technical, marketing, sales and            largest growers, distribution partners and
distributor of value-added               professional services for both             retailers globally thanks to its cutting-edge
cybersecurity solutions in               partners and vendors.                      molecular techniques and breeding
Germany, Austria, Switzerland and          Bridgepoint partner Christopher          processes. We expect to continue to invest in
the Nordic region, and is ranked         Brackmann says: “Infinigate is an           new technologies that benefit growers and
number two in Europe.                    exciting platform in a growth              consumers alike,” says Bridgepoint partner
  Headquartered in Rotkreuz,             market, with an experienced                Andrew Sweet.
Switzerland, it offers state-of-the-      management team. With                         Sun World, led by CEO David Marguleas,
art security solutions from more         Bridgepoint’s support, it will be          recently opened an innovation centre,
than 70 vendors through a                well placed to capitalise on its           featuring a sophisticated fruit breeding
network of more than                     high-quality vendor base and long-         and variety development operation and a
10,000 partners.                         standing reseller relationships.”  •       160-acre research farm  •

BDC teams up with marketing agency as growth soars
IDHL is a fast-growing digital       With more than 240 staff,         growth in 2020, with unaudited   Dennis Engel has amassed a
marketing agency based in          IDHL helps businesses across the   EBITDA of £5.6 million and        portfolio of seven brands
Harrogate, Yorkshire.              UK to maximise their digital       revenues of £19.4 million,           across five locations.
Bridgepoint Development            potential through search engine    an increase of nearly                 Supported by BDC,
Capital has now partnered with     marketing, automated email         40 per cent from 2019.                Engel now hopes to build
the business providing a           marketing, e-commerce and web        Having completed                   on IDHL’s acquisition
substantial investment to foster   design and build.                  several acquisitions in            record, both at home
and drive future growth.             The company delivered record     recent years, CEO and founder     and overseas •
02
Game on How to have fun, develop new skills and drive business growth - Bridgepoint
An exit for Calypso after business transformation
Leading financial software
specialist Calypso Technology has
been sold by Bridgepoint
San Francisco-based Calypso Technology is one
of the foremost providers of software to the
capital markets industry, with a suite of products
encompassing trading, risk management,
regulatory reporting and accounting.
  The group’s award-winning software improves         through a period of significant          transition of the business to a
reliability, adaptability and scalability across      transformation. Internal processes      cloud model, combined with
several areas of the financial services industry,      were enhanced, the management           best-in-class client service, was
such as capital markets, investment                   team was upgraded and the               undoubtedly key in accelerating
management, central banking, clearing,                company moved from selling              growth. The business is now well
treasury, liquidity and collateral.                   perpetual one-off                                     placed for the next
  Acquired by Bridgepoint in 2016, Calypso’s          licences to offering                                  stage of its evolution,”
products are now used by some 35,000 market           software as a service,                               says David Nicault,
professionals in more than 60 countries               via annual licences.                                 partner and global head
worldwide. These customers represent more                “We are proud to have partnered      of digital, technology and media
than 190 financial institutions, including banks,      with Calypso and its management         at Bridgepoint.
insurers, asset managers and pension funds.           team through this time. Alongside a       Calypso has been sold to US
  Over the past five years, the business has been      range of operational initiatives, the   private equity firm Thoma Bravo     •

Swedish dermatology                                   BDC acquisition set to boost
group wins backing                                    pharmaceutical advisory firm
for expansion                                         Bridgepoint Development Capital
                                                      has acquired Prescient, a global
Bridgepoint Growth has     Sweden, operating          advisory firm serving the pharma-
invested in Diagnostiskt   from six clinics across    ceutical and biotech industries.
Centrum Hud (DCH), the     four cities. With a           Founded in 2007, Prescient
foremost provider of       high-quality platform,
                                                      provides product strategy services
medical dermatology        the group is well placed
                                                      to help its clients make better
services in Sweden.        for growth in the
  The company was          fragmented dermatology     clinical and commercial decisions,
founded in 2012 by CEO     markets of Northern        resulting in enhanced outcomes
Philip Jerlmyr and three   Europe.                    for patients.
dermatologists to             “We are very               Over the years, the business
address demand for         impressed by DCH’s         has developed a reputation for
high-quality medical       successful expansion to    combining expertise, experience                            and consolidate
dermatology treatments.    date, creating the
                                                      and evidence to help clients                               its market
Headquartered in           leading dermatology
Stockholm, DCH focuses     provider focused on        maximise the potential of their                            leadership. This
on treating melanoma,      clinical excellence and    products, at every stage of the         will be achieved through a
psoriasis and other        high customer              drug development and                    combination of investment to
severe dermatology                                    commercialisation process.              enhance scale and expertise,
conditions.                                              Headquartered in London, with        organic growth and selective
  This market is                                      offices in the US, India and China,       mergers and acquisitions, with the
underpinned by
                                                      Prescient works with many leading       aim of becoming the leading
structural growth          satisfaction, thanks to
                                                      multinational pharmaceutical            technology- and data-enabled
drivers, including an      its having the best
aging population and       dermatologists. We look    companies, as well as a growing         strategic product partner of choice
an increase in skin        forward to supporting      number of emerging biotech and          for decision support and advisory
diseases, such as          the DCH team in its next   speciality pharmaceutical               services to the large pharma
skin cancer.               phase of expansion,”       organisations.                          industry,” says Bridgepoint
  Today DCH is the clear   says Bridgepoint Growth       “We’re delighted to partner with     Development Capital partner
market leader in           partner Ann Dahlman  •     Prescient to help it drive growth       Stephen Bonnard    •
                                                                                                                                 03
Game on How to have fun, develop new skills and drive business growth - Bridgepoint
•Business

Rules of
the game
Games were once the preserve of children, but today
they are deployed across markets and industries, for
everything from learning new skills to buying goods
online and recruiting staff. Used wisely, they can be a
real force for good. But there are dangers to
gamification, too.

04
Game on How to have fun, develop new skills and drive business growth - Bridgepoint
iven the choice between watching      fitness industry, as rewards,
a corporate training video or         badges and leaderboard
playing a compelling computer         competitions are employed to
game, there’s little doubt which      maximise motivation.
option most people would choose.          But the techniques can be
So it is perhaps not surprising       applied to virtually any business or
that forward-thinking businesses      sector, says Toby Beresford, the
are increasingly looking at           author of Infinite Gamification:
gamification as a way to keep         Motivate your team until the end of
employees and customers engaged.      time. “If you can count something,
   Put simply, gamification is        it can be gamified,” he says.
the process of applying the           “As soon as you put a target number
psychological and entertaining        in front of a person or organisation,
aspects of game playing to other      you are gamifying. You have
activities to make them more fun,     turned them into a player.”
increase engagement and improve
results. Or, as Mario Herger,         That special feeling
founder of innovation consultancy     The term gamification emerged
Enterprise Garage, puts it:           in the early 2000s, coined by
“Gamification is when video           British computer programmer Nick
games and business have a baby.”      Pelling. But the concept has been
                                      around for much longer, as
Gold stars                            Beresford explains. “Just look back
Some markets, for example             to the Boy Scout movement in the
education, are particularly suited    early 1900s, where achievements
to the concept. Teachers have been    were rewarded with badges,”
awarding gold stars or black marks    he says.
for centuries, so the process of         Even eBay, established in 1995,
encouraging good behaviour and        uses the thrill of competition to
chastising bad is built into the      keep people interested. Customers
sector. Gamification is also widely   bid to buy goods via the website’s
employed in the ever-expanding        time-limited auctions. When their

                   If you can count something, it can be gamified.
                   As soon as you put a target number in front of a
                   person or organisation, you are gamifying.
                   You have turned them into a player

                                                                        05
Game on How to have fun, develop new skills and drive business growth - Bridgepoint
•        Business | Rules of the game

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                                                                                       $2 billion in a funding round and
                                 Britain’s intelligence agency,                        is considering a flotation this year.
                                 GCHQ, deployed gamification to                           Duolingo’s growth has been
                                 help recruit future generations                       dramatic, as customers have
                                 of spies                                              signed up for courses that use
                                                                                       traditional gaming techniques,
                                                                                       such as leaderboards and badges,
                                                offer is accepted, they’re told:       to keep students motivated.
                                                “You’ve won!”                          Offering tuition in around
                                                   “This is gamification at its most   40 languages, the group’s reach
                                                primal,” says Andrea Thorpe, a         extends to lesser-known tongues,
                                                professor of entrepreneurship,         such as Gaelic, Welsh and Navajo
                                                innovation and strategy at France’s    – even Star Trek’s Klingon can be
                                                Kedge Business School. People          studied on its app. And with more
                                                love to feel like winners, even if     than 500 million downloads, it is
                                                they’ve just bought a used kettle.     now the world’s most popular way
                                                                                       to learn languages online.
                                                Student motivation                        Gamification has spread into
                                                One company that has put               the political sphere as well. In the
                                                gamification at its core is online     US, Donald Trump’s 2020
                                                language course group Duolingo.        re-election team developed an app
                                                Launched just nine years ago, the      that offered prizes to those who
                                                Pittsburgh-based business was          downloaded it and encouraged
                                                recently valued at more than           friends to do the same. Points were

            06
Game on How to have fun, develop new skills and drive business growth - Bridgepoint
Business | Rules of the game
                                                                                                                           •

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            earned for sharing campaign
            news, with prizes ranging from a                         Every time I take a drive, the car tells me
            photo with the president for the                         how ecologically-friendly my journey
            most prolific sharers, to a MAGA                         has been. It gives me a score, which of
            (Make America Great Again) hat.                          course you want to try to beat

            Baffling code
            Entire countries can deploy            agency, GCHQ, for instance,            at least some of the qualities
            gamification. In an effort to boost    deployed gamification to help          needed to work there.
            post-Covid visitor numbers, the        recruit future generations of spies.
            New Zealand tourist board has          Some years ago, it launched a web      Prize draws
            developed a sophisticated,             page, Can you crack it?,               Financial services firms have been
            multi-layered video game, billed       containing a cryptic puzzle. Those     embracing gamification in recent
            as “the first gameplay walkthrough     few who successfully broke the         years. One of the early adopters
            of the real world” and offering        apparently baffling code were          was Spanish bank BBVA, which
            users an immersive tour of the         rewarded with a hidden message         created a game in 2012 to
            country’s greatest attractions.        revealing a keyword that could be      encourage customers to bank
               While sales and marketing           used to unlock a web address.          online. Account holders were
            teams the world over will be           Once there, the codebreakers           awarded points for viewing
            familiar with targets and bonuses,     were invited to submit a formal        information videos, completing
            gamification can also be applied to    job application.                       online transactions and
            other areas of business, from new         The process was fun – at least      referring friends.
            skills and training to retention and   for those who succeeded – and, for        The points could be cashed in
            recruitment. Britain’s intelligence    GCHQ, it yielded applicants with       for music and film streaming

                                                                                                                           07
Game on How to have fun, develop new skills and drive business growth - Bridgepoint
•    Business | Rules of the game

                                                                               prizes are offered, the game
                                                                               becomes too addictive, a
                                                                               distraction from work, or open
                                                                               to manipulation.
                                                                                  Thorpe explored the moral
                                                                               aspects of gamification in The
                                                                               Ethics of Gamification in a
                                                                               Marketing Context, a paper she
                                                                               co-wrote with Warwick Business
                                                                               School’s Stephen Roper.
                                                                               Published in the Journal of
                                                                               Business Ethics, it explored the
                                                                               need for transparency in
                                                                               gamification, and suggested that
                                                                               people must be made aware that
                                                                               they are being gamified.

                                                                               Grey area
                Even before the Reddit-inspired trading frenzy                 “Employing marketing techniques
                over GameStop at the start of the year, there                  to influence behaviour is standard
                were worries that the addictive, game-like                     practice, but when does
                aspect of the Robinhood app might encourage                    persuasion become manipulation?
                                                                               Rather than a thin line, it’s a more
                financially irresponsible behaviour, particularly
                                                                               of a ‘fuzzy grey area’,” she says.
                from inexperienced investors
                                                                                  The stock trading app
                                                                               Robinhood, for example, has come
                                                                               under criticism for gamifying
services, or tickets to La Liga      Society offers prizes on its Start to     investment. Even before the
football matches. And the process    Save accounts and last year               Reddit-inspired trading frenzy over
worked. Just six months after its    launched a fixed-rate bond that           GameStop at the start of the year,
launch, the bank had signed up       put savers in a £10,000 prize draw.       there were worries that the
100,000 customers to its                                                       addictive, game-like aspect of the
online service.                      Blow to morale                            app might encourage financially
   Prize-linked savings accounts     But gamification is not just about        irresponsible behaviour, particu-
are becoming more popular, too. In   making serious things fun or              larly from inexperienced investors.
the US, retail giant Walmart added   turning real life into a game, says          “Most of us are aware of
a “virtual vault” to its popular     Beresford. There can be a dark            marketing techniques. We know
prepaid card four years ago to       side to it, particularly if the process   adverts are used to sell us things,
encourage customers to save.         is shrouded in secrecy or “players”       they’re not just pretty pictures.
There are monthly prize draws and    have no choice but to take part.          But with gamification, when it
the app regularly prompts            Badly thought-through schemes             really works, it goes quite deeply
customers to “stash some cash”.      can reap havoc with employee              into people’s consciousness, and
The retailer says users have saved   morale, with those at the bottom of       they are often unaware they are
35 per cent more on average than     the scorecard feeling excluded and        being manipulated. Some of it
they otherwise would have done.      demotivated. Sometimes,                   works quite deeply and rather
In the UK, Nationwide Building       particularly if cash or valuable          darkly,” Thorpe says.

08
Business | Rules of the game
                                                                                                            •

Clear choice                          what they are signing up to,”        delve deeply into people’s psyches.
It’s important that employees and     Thorpe adds. In this regard, there      “Part of me is a little bit
customers opt in to gamification –    are growing concerns about the       frightened of the future and how
and not just by signing a             increasing power and influence of    we might all be manipulated.
small-print waiver that few people    the big tech companies. She says:    I don’t want to give impression that
bother to read when accepting         “They have so much money             we’re walking zombie-like into a
terms and conditions.                 behind them and can invest in        dark place, but we do need to
    “It needs to be made clear, and   really sophisticated methods to      be alert.”
people should not be asked to sign
up to something that could be
harmful to them. It’s not good
enough for a company just to say,                     Badly thought through schemes can reap
‘Well, they agreed to this.’                          havoc with employee morale, with those at
Sometimes people don’t realise                        the bottom of the scorecard feeling
                                                      excluded and demotivated

                                                                           Powerful appeal
                                                                           Responsible gamification is fun,
                                                                           though, and it can be used to foster
                                                                           good behaviour, too. Even Thorpe
                                                                           admits she enjoys playing along,
                                                                           particularly in the car she shares
                                                                           with her husband. “Every time
                                                                           I take a drive, it tells me how
                                                                           ecologically friendly my journey
                                                                           has been. It gives me a score,
                                                                           which of course you want to try
                                                                           to beat.
                                                                               “I’m locked in a battle for best-
                                                                           ever score with my husband – and
                                                                           I’m winning at the moment. I know
                                                                           it’s a game, but it has a powerful
                                                                           appeal,” she admits •

                                                                                                             09
•In focus

     Waste not,

10
T
               More than a billion tons of food is lost or wasted
               worldwide every year. Reducing this could benefit
               businesses from farm to fork, and have a meaningful
               impact on climate change, too.

                            he “vegan meat”            the production cost of a cultured
                            market is expected to      chicken breast to just $7.50.
                            double in size over the    United Nations data suggests that
                            next four years, topping   animal agriculture is responsible
                            $8 billion by 2025,        for 14.5 per cent of global
               according to market research.           greenhouse emissions, so the
               Veganism, vegetarianism and             ecological upside from such
               even flexitarianism are on the rise     technologies is obvious.
               worldwide, as millions of                  Of course, replacing steaks and
               consumers take the view that meat       burgers with lifelike alternatives
               and fish-free diets are better for      could prove to be a game changer
               their health and the planet.            in the food industry, but food waste
                  The trend has provoked a surge       has been a hotbed of innovation,
               in demand for fake meat, and            too. And the commercial and
               companies in the sector are             ecological potential of companies
               booming. Earlier this year,             in this area easily rivals that of
               Redefine Meat raised $29 million        fake meat.
               to commercialise its technology,
               which uses 3D printing to produce       Efficiency savings
               plant-based steaks. And Future          “Around 1.3 billion tons of the food
               Meat Technologies, which                produced in the world for human
               develops lab-grown meat, recently       consumption every year gets lost or
               announced it had brought down           wasted, equal to over $1 trillion or
                                                       over one per cent of global output,”
                                                       says Marc Zornes, chief executive
                                                       and co-founder of Winnow
Around 1.3 billion tons of the food                    Solutions, which uses artificial
produced in the world for human                        intelligence (AI) and sensors to
consumption every year gets lost                       lower food waste in commercial
or wasted                                              kitchens. “And from a climate
                                                       perspective, food waste contributes

                                                                                        11
•    In focus | War on waste

                    Food waste contributes around eight per               Short shelf life
                    cent of global greenhouse gas emissions.              The inefficiencies start at the
                    If food waste were a country, it would be             source, the farms themselves, says
     8%             the third-largest emitter of greenhouse               Jozef Wallis, chief executive of
                    gases after the US and China                          consultancy TerraPrima Group.
                                                                             “With crops like avocado or
                                                                          blueberries, it’s important to
                                                                          harvest them at exactly the right
around eight per cent of global      consumption. A report from the       time and transfer them to cold
greenhouse gas emissions. If food    Ellen MacArthur Foundation and       storage fast,” he says. “If you don’t,
waste were a country, it would be    Google estimates that technologies   their shelf life diminishes by the
the third-largest emitter of         employing AI to design out food      hour. They can become unsaleable
greenhouse gases after the US        waste could help to generate up to   or simply last less time on
and China.”                          $127 billion a year by 2030. Such    supermarket shelves before they
  With such efficiency savings –     innovations range from machine       have to be thrown out.”
and ecological gains – in sight, a   vision that pinpoints when fruit
new generation of companies has      and vegetables are ready for
been sprouting up to reduce          picking to algorithms that project     Employing artificial
inefficiencies across the entire     demand so that supermarkets            intelligence to design out
chain of food production and         don’t overstock certain foods.         food waste could help to
                                                                            generate up to $127 billion
                                                                            a year by 2030

12
In focus | War on waste
                                                                                                               •

Accessible technology                  emerging markets. TerraPrima’s
TerraPrima’s sensors, spread           sensors collect data on such           Kitchens can waste up to
around a farm, feed data to an         variables as light, soil moisture      20 per cent of food
AI-driven system that informs          and temperature, and the               purchased, often
farmers about the optimal time to      information is fed back to a           equivalent to total net
harvest crops and line up logistics,   dashboard that uses AI and
                                                                              profits, because chefs too
as well as improving other aspects     machine learning to guide farmers’
                                                                              often lack the necessary
of efficiency. Such high-tech          decisions. Such technologies can
                                                                              tools to accurately
solutions, Wallis says, have           be lined up with innovations from
                                                                              measure and manage waste
become increasingly accessible         other precision agriculture firms –
even to smaller farmers in             such as robotic crop pickers or
                                       drones – to significantly reduce
                                       waste. “This all feeds through to     Schwartz, the company’s founder.
                                       the bottom line for agricultural      “Our system uses AI, deep
                                       firms, improving profit margins, so   learning and probabilistic
                                       farmers don’t need to be focused      methods, to ensure store managers
                                       on the environment to find this       are able to strike the right balance
                                       appealing, though many are, of        – helping them to predict
                                       course,” says Wallis.                 inventory, forecast demand and
                                                                             optimise ordering decisions.”
                                       Optimising orders                        This can have a significant
                                       Moving along the chain, a host of     effect on the profitability of super-
                                       companies seeks to address the        markets, which is usually a
                                       tier of waste once food has           low-margin industry. “Grocery
                                       progressed to supermarkets. San       chains typically have net margins
                                       Francisco-based Afresh                of one to three per cent, while
                                       Technologies has developed            waste in fresh food averages
                                       algorithms incorporating variables    around five to seven per cent of
                                       such as weather and peak              sales,” explains Schwartz. “In
                                       freshness to forecast demand for      some cases, by halving waste,
                                       certain fresh produce. “Ordering      supermarkets can literally double
                                       the right number of bananas – not     their profitability.”
                                       too many, not too few, for
                                       example – simultaneously              Far-reaching effects
                                       prevents waste from ordering too      The company’s research among
                                       much and prevents lost sales from     current customers shows that
                                       ordering too little,” says Matt       grocers using the technology have

                                                                                                                13
•    In focus | War on waste

                                                                             subscription in discounted food.
                                                                                Some 50,000 companies across
                                                                             15 countries have partnered with
                                                                             Too Good To Go to sell surplus
                                                                             food – from small local bakeries to
                                                                             large supermarkets such as
                                                                             Carrefour, and hotel chains such as
                                                                             Accor. Launched just five years
                                                                             ago, the group’s app is thought to
                                                                             have saved around 60 million
                                                                             meals from going to waste.Yet,
                                                                             Basch believes the company has
                                                                             barely scratched the surface of
                                                                             potential demand. Heading the
                                                                             group’s push into the US, she
                                                                             estimates Too Good To Go has so
                                                                             far reached just five per cent of its
                                                                             addressable global market.

                                                                             Motion sensors
                                                                             Restaurant and hospitality
                                                                             industries are also profligate
                                                                             wasters of food. Around one in six
seen chain-wide reductions in food     hard to predict, so stores don’t      meals served outside the home are
waste of at least 25 per cent – in     usually know exactly what food        wasted in the UK, according to
some cases significantly higher –      will be surplus to requirements       the Sustainable Restaurant
and increases in produce               on any particular day,” says          Association. Globally, food waste
operating margins of around            co-founder Lucie Basch. “Our app      costs the hospitality industry more
40 per cent. Afresh Technologies’      allows companies to offer ‘surprise   than $100 billion annually, money
platform is already deployed in        bags’, which increases flexibility    it can ill afford to lose after months
hundreds of stores across the US,      and also provides consumers with      of lockdown restrictions.
including chains such as WinCo         an element of novelty.”                   Part of the waste is due to
Foods, Fresh Thyme Market and                                                kitchen inefficiencies. Kitchens
Heinen’s. Looking ahead, there are     New exposure                          can waste up to 20 per cent of food
plans to expand beyond North           This has several benefits for
America, with Europe a clear           businesses and their customers,
target market.                         says Basch. First, the app
   Some innovators in this space       increases sales and reduces
are moving the other way, from         inefficiency. Second, the surprise     Too Good To Go has
Europe to the US. Copenhagen-          element of the packages exposes        developed an app that links
based Too Good To Go has               local consumers to products that       consumers with local food
developed an app that links            they might not otherwise have tried    stores, enabling retailers to
consumers with local food stores,      – which have the potential to          sell food at a discount that
enabling retailers to sell food at a   become favourites. Third,              would otherwise be
discount that would otherwise be       consumers recoup around three          thrown away
thrown away. “Food waste is often      times the cost of the app

14
In focus | War on waste
                                                                                                              •

     Less                             Better
     waste                            business

                                      teams pinpoint waste quickly,           nears expiry. This is more than
 In some cases, by halving            giving managers the insights they       simply an ecological problem:
 waste, supermarkets can              need to cut costs and reduce            Ovie estimates that such waste
 literally double their               impact,” says Zornes. “Once you         costs the average US household
 profitability                        know where waste is occurring,          $2,000 a year. Ovie’s storage kits
                                      improved forecasting and                can monitor the freshness of a full
                                      production planning allows you          range of produce, which is
                                      address the issue at its root cause.”   especially useful since food expiry
purchased, often equivalent to           The company calculates that          labels can be overly cautious, or
total net profits, because chefs      this technology enables clients to      hard to interpret by consumers.
too often lack the necessary tools    halve their food waste, generally       Another solution to this problem
to accurately measure and             saving restaurants between three        has been proposed by Ynvisible
manage waste.                         per cent and eight per cent on food     and Innoscentia. Based in
   “We install motion sensor          costs. Total savings have now           Vancouver and Stockholm
cameras that capture images of        reached $42 million, the company        respectively, the two companies
food being thrown away,” explains     estimates, with 36.5 million meals      have joined forces to produce
Winnow’s Zornes. “Our system is       saved, cutting carbon dioxide           labels incorporating digital
then able to translate these images   emissions by 61,000 tons.               sensors that monitor the real-time
into menu items – anything from                                               quality of food.
meatballs to fries.”                  Smart containers                           Across the food chain, efforts to
                                      There is plenty of waste to be          reduce food waste have produced a
Accurate picture                      addressed at the final stage of the     burgeoning ecosystem of smart
In other words, Winnow takes into     food chain too – in our homes.          companies and technologies.
consideration the items that          Most households throw away an           Many of these firms remain at an
individual restaurants are serving    eyebrow-raising 40 per cent of the      early stage of development, but
so it can more accurately identify    food brought home, according to         growth is widely expected as
what is being thrown away on each     smart food storage group Ovie.          businesses, investors and
site, rather than just assess the     The Chicago-based company               consumers recognise the effect of
quantum of waste. “Our analytics      produces containers that turn from      food waste on their purse and on
platform and reporting suite help     green, to yellow, to red as food        the planet•
                                                                                                               15
•The interview

A good spo

16
From world-class ice-hockey player to president of

       A
       Adidas North America, Patrik Nilsson has been
       around sport for most of his life. Now he chairs
       Vitamin Well, the fast-growing, Bridgepoint-backed

port
       functional food and drinks group.

                      s a five-year-old boy,   US, Canada, Russia and the Czech
                      Patrik Nilsson would     Republic from when I was seven to
                      stand outside his        about 15 or 16. We were one of the
                      house with a ball,       top teams in the world for our age
                      waiting for the          group,” he says.
       schoolchildren across the road to          Several of Nilsson’s teammates
       finish for the day. They were two or    went on to become professional
       three years older than him, but he      ice-hockey players. Nilsson
       had a ball so, begrudgingly, they       decided to channel his energies
       let him join their games.               into business instead.
          Spotted by a coach one afternoon,       “I had an offer to play for one of
       Nilsson was soon drafted into the       the top teams in Sweden, but I
       local football team, even though he     needed to do my military service
       was younger than everyone else.         and once I had done that, I realised
       That was in the summer of 1969.         that I didn’t really have the skills
       Come winter, football gave way to       needed to go to the next level. My
       ice hockey and, by the early            coach used to say that I could play
       1970s, he was playing in                with eggs in my pockets because I
       international tournaments.              never went down into the corners
          “Our junior team was the best in     and fought with the bigger guys!”
       Sweden and we travelled to the          Nilsson explains.

                           On day one, I told everyone that we would be
                           bigger than Nike within three years. I don’t
                           think many of the 220 employees believed me,
                           but we got there in two years and by the end of
                           year three, we were 15 per cent ahead of them

                                                                                 17
•    The interview | Patrik Nilsson

                                       Engaging attitude
                                           Continuing to play at the               My coach used to say that
                                              second level, he decided to          I could play with eggs in
                                               take a break before heading         my pockets because I
                                              to university. He took some          never went down into the
                                           time out and started working            corners and fought with
                                       at NK, the top department store             the bigger guys
                                      in Stockholm.
                                         “It was there that I realised I was
                                      pretty good at selling. I was
                                      working in the sportswear
                                      department and one of the brands
                                      we stocked was New Balance. The
                                      guys there really engaged with us
                                       and talked to us about what the
                                       business was doing, which made
                                        me think that was the type of
                                        company I would like to work for.
                                         So when customers came in
                                         looking for Nike or Adidas
                                          trainers, I sold them New            European Football Championship
                                           Balance ones instead. Sales         took place in Sweden. It was
                                           spiked and when the company         too good an opportunity to miss
                                            needed a travelling sales rep,     so I moved to Adidas,”
                                             they asked me,” says Nilsson.     Nilsson explains.
                                                                                  Nilsson went on to spend
                                           Unmissable opportunity              23 years at Adidas, including
                                            Higher education was left          10 years in Germany and three
                                            behind, as Nilsson worked          years as managing director for
                                             first for New Balance and         the Nordics.
                                              then for Asics. He was              “When I arrived back in
                                               happy in his job but, in        Sweden, Nike was 10 per cent
                                               1991, Adidas came               ahead of us in terms of market
                                                knocking.                      share. There was no energy, no
                                                    “I had always been an      passion and people were pretty
                                                 Adidas fan because I          tired. They’d had three Germans
                                                  played in Adidas shoes       and an American in charge, none
                                                  when I was young and         of whom really understood the
                                                   the company was one         Nordic culture. On day one, I told
                                                    of the best in the         everyone that we would be bigger
                                                    market. They offered       than Nike within three years.
                                                     me a job as head of       I don’t think many of the 220
                                                     sales and marketing       employees believed me, but we got
                                                 for the sports part of the    there in two years and by the end of
                                            business in Sweden. This           year three, we were 15 per cent
                                          was a year before the UEFA           ahead of them,” says Nilsson.

18
Cultural differences
                                       “Nike people were very competitive
                                       too. If they heard that we were
Having gained a reputation as a        going to be at a party, for instance,
trouble-shooter, Nilsson was asked     they wouldn’t go. It was a difficult
if he would like to head up Adidas     time but I learnt a lot and grew a
in North America, a business that      lot. Leading Americans is very
had been through nine presidents       different from leading Germans or           Jonas and the team are
in 13 years and was struggling         Scandinavians, so you have to be            super-impressive, they’ve
against arch-competitor Nike.          mindful of the different cultures           created an incredible
                                       and work with them. Fundamentally           business and no one’s told
Disenchanted staff                      though, wherever you are, you               them how to do it. It’s in
“I talked about the move to my         have to inspire people. And for             their DNA
wife, Ulla, and we discussed it        that, you have to be clear about
with our two boys, who were in         the journey that the company
their teens at the time. They all      needs to take and the part they can
said yes so we set off for Portland,   play in it, without being too rigid
Oregon,” Nilsson says.                 about what they need to do,”            their own way,” he adds.
    The job was a tough one. Nike’s    Nilsson explains.                          Nilsson’s jigsaw worked well.
global headquarters are in the            “It’s like a jigsaw puzzle. The      Between 2007 and 2014, Adidas
same city but, where the US group      leaders provide the framework and       North America doubled its
employed 8,000 people, Adidas          paint the picture of what the           turnover and grew EBITDA
had just 800, many of whom were        finished work will look like but        margins from nothing to around
disenchanted with the business.        everyone puts their own pieces in       15 per cent.

                                                                                                                  19
•    The interview | Patrik Nilsson

Doubling profits
“More than that though, we built
a culture where people believed
in the business and believed in
the brand. And some of the
people I recruited are now in
leadership positions at the
company. That’s what I am most
proud of because that’s how you
build a sustainable business,
one that can be successful over
the long term,” says Nilsson.
   By 2014, Nilsson had taken
on new responsibilities within
Adidas. He found himself
travelling much of the time,            importance of teamwork.                 rival football teams in Stockholm,”
leaving his wife alone, as one son         “You need to get everyone            Nilsson jokes.
had returned to Sweden and the          excited about where you are going,         Used to joining companies as a
other was at college. It was time for   whether they are a team leader, a       problem-solver, Nilsson has taken
a change and that materialised in       player on the field or taking care of   a very different approach at
the form of an offer to become CEO      stuff off pitch. Everyone is            Vitamin Well.
of Gant, the designer fashion           important, not just you. And if you
group headquartered in Sweden.          all work together and you all have      Sounding board
   Another company that needed          conviction, that’s when you can         “I’ve spent my life coming into
fresh blood, Gant gave Nilsson the      create magic,” he explains.             businesses that are in a mess.
opportunity to lead an entire              And that is what he found when       Vitamin Well is completely
business and return home. Within        he joined Vitamin Well.                 different. Jonas and the team are
four years, profits had doubled and        “I was approached to chair the       super-impressive, they’ve created
Nilsson had again managed to            company in 2017, just after             an incredible business and no
build a strong culture that exists to   Bridgepoint acquired it. I knew the     one’s told them how to do it. It’s in
this day.                               business, of course, because I’d        their DNA. They’ve worked
                                        been using their products for years     together for such a long time they
Creating magic                          and really liked them. I met the        can finish each other’s sentences
A sportsman at heart, Nilsson           Bridgepoint team and we got on so       because they know where they are,
believes the locker room has            then I went to meet the founder,        they know where they came from
taught him invaluable lessons           Jonas Pettersson. We really hit it      and they know where they are
about leadership and the                off, even though we support arch-       going,” he says.
                                                                                   “Jonas already knows about
                                                                                strategy, he knows about sales and
                                                                                marketing and he knows about
                    You need to get everyone excited about                      leadership so I don’t need to talk to
                    where you are going, whether they are a                     him about any of that. I just act as a
                    team leader, a player on the field or taking                sounding board for him and, if he
                    care of stuff off pitch. Everyone is                        wants to talk about anything, I am
                    important, not not just you                                 here to give my point of view. He
                                                                                doesn’t have to agree with me but

20
Name: Patrik Nilsson
                                           Position: Chairman, Vitamin Well
                                             Born: Just outside Stockholm
                                             Education: Tibble Gymnasium
                                            First job: A lifeguard for a local
                                             swimming pool when I was 15
                                        Family: Met my wife Ulla in 1990 and we
                                        have been together ever since. We have
                                          two sons in their 20s, Calle and Pelle
                                             Home: We try to split our time
                                         between the Algarve in Portugal and a
                                               summerhouse in Sweden
                                           Favourite sports: Golf, tennis and
                                                      paddleboard
                                                      Car: Audi Q8

                   It’s like a jigsaw puzzle. The leaders provide                  group’s sales are generated outside
                   the framework and paint the picture of what                     Sweden and the product range has
                   the finished work will look like, but everyone                  expanded too.
                   puts in their own pieces in their own way
                                                                                   New brands
                                                                                   From an initial focus on the core
                                                                                   Vitamin Well brand – flavoured
                                                                                   water with added vitamins and
I can offer a different perspective,”     move that should drive further           minerals – the business has moved
he adds.                                  growth over the next few years.          into new brands, such as the
   Nilsson believes that the                  “We now have even more               energy drink Nocco and
relationship between the                  opportunity to develop in the            Barebells, a protein bar and
management team and                       markets that we have recently            milkshake division.
Bridgepoint has proved highly             moved into, such as the US. And I           “Vitamin Well tends to build its
effective too. Vitamin Well has           believe that we will continue to         brands by first selling to gyms, golf
grown significantly under                 take market share and grow,              clubs, trendy cafes and other
Bridgepoint’s ownership, moving           sustainably into the future.             premium spots. Only once they
from 80 employees to around 300               There is a genuine desire across     have established a certain brand
and expanding into dozens of              the company to make the world a          image, do they distribute more
markets worldwide, including              better place by creating products        widely, to supermarkets and online
recent moves into the US,                 that support a more active lifestyle.    platforms, such as Amazon.
Germany, France and the UK.               And that passion has a tangible             “Of course, many of their
                                          impact on the people and the             premium distribution avenues
Active lifestyle                          culture,” says Nilsson.                  have been largely closed through
“Bridgepoint seem to have a                   “The innovation, speed and           the pandemic, but the company
culture of supporting and helping         courage within this business make        still managed to record its best ever
companies rather than rigidly             it really stand out. And they are        year in 2020. That underlines the
controlling them and that really          building communities within their        resilience of this business and the
works well here,” says Nilsson.           brands, which in turn generates          performance of its people. I could
   The firm recently made a fresh         huge loyalty among consumers,”           not be prouder of their efforts,”
investment in Vitamin Well, a             he adds. Today, around half the          says Nilsson •
                                                                                                                     21
•Analysis

22
W
The sharing economy is not immune to                              alking the floor of
                                                                  his family’s
controversy, but it seemed to be going from                       manufacturing
strength to strength – until the pandemic                         plant in Mumbai,
struck. Now, as markets look to the future,                       Rigved Raut was
                                               struck with a realisation: the
what are the prospects for businesses in the   machines spent most of their time
sector? Will they regain their old verve, or   idle. The company was Raut
                                               Electro-Mech Industries, a maker
have they been permanently undermined?         of train components, but Raut
                                               deduced that many businesses
                                               around the world would be in a
                                               similar position to his.
                                                  Raut’s lightbulb moment
                                               spawned McPond.com, a
                                               marketplace that turns any plant
                                               into a contract manufacturer by
                                               renting out machines during their
                                               downtime. To get it off the ground,
                                               Raut, 35, relocated to California to
                                               take part in Y Combinator, the
                                               start-up boot camp behind the
                                               launch of tech giants that include
                                               Airbnb, Dropbox and DoorDash.

                                               Change in fortune
                                               Towards the end of 2019, Raut
                                               moved to Chicago to set up shop
                                               in the middle of America’s
                                               manufacturing heartland, but just
                                               months after launching his
                                               machine marketplace, the
                                               pandemic struck. Like countless
                                               businesses around the world,
                                               McPond was hit hard. “Many
                                               factories simply shut down or went
                                               bankrupt,” he explains.
                                                  Over last summer, however,
                                               McPond’s fortunes took a
                                               surprising turn. As the economy
                                               yo-yoed from dramatic stoppage to
                                               roaring recovery to renewed
                                               slowdown, plant owners started to
                                               make contact, even though
                                               McPond had yet to begin any
                                               formal marketing. Cash-strapped
                                               companies were intrigued by the
                                               idea of squeezing more revenue
                                               out of machines that were

                                                                                  23
•    Analysis | In sharing we trust

                                                                           capitalisation of more than
                                                                           $100 billion – but it doesn’t own
                                                                           any cars.
                                                                              It is perhaps not surprising,
                                                                           then, that these tech pioneers,
                                                                           founded less than 15 years ago,
                                                                           have been followed by thousands
                                                                           of wannabes, each determined
                                                                           to revolutionise certain markets
                                                                           or industries.
                                                                              There were basketball rental
                                                                           machines in Beijing and
                                                                           scooter-hire fledglings the world
                                                                           over. At one point, 11 mobile phone
                                                                           charging-bank start-ups were
                                                                           fighting for supremacy, according
                                                                           to Arun Sundararajan, a professor
                                                                           at New York University and author
                                                                           of The Sharing Economy: The End
                                                                           of Employment and the Rise of
                                                                           Crowd-Based Capitalism.

                                                                           Reasons to be cheerful
                                                                           The question now, of course, is
                                                                           how will sharing economy
                                      otherwise sitting silent.The         companies navigate a world where
                                      marketplace now has a growing        a deadly pandemic has undercut
                                      catalogue of millingmachines, 3D     their core proposition? What is the
                                      printers, label makers and such      future of a sharing business when
 As Airbnb chief executive            like. “This is going to be the       sharing something with a stranger,
 Brian Chesky said last year:         future,” he says. “The more assets   be it an enclosed space or a
 “It felt like everything was         we share, the better it is for the   basketball, can lay you low with a
 breaking at once                     business community and the more      potentially fatal disease?
                                      sustainable it is.”                  Sundararajan is optimistic. He
                                                                           believes that, despite the huge hit
                                      Go forth and multiply                from the pandemic, the sector will
                                      The rise of the sharing economy      not only rebound, but thrive. And
                                      was a dominant theme in the          he points to three factors behind
                                      decade before the pandemic.          his conviction: technology, trust
                                      Airbnb is valued at around           and economics.
                                      $110 billion on Nasdaq, which is        Technology is the most obvious.
                                      more than Marriott, Hilton, Hyatt    More than 4 billion people are
                                      and InterContinental Hotels          walking the earth with a
                                      combined, yet it doesn’t own a       GPS-enabled smartphone, a
                                      single hotel room.                   device without which much of the
                                         Similarly, Uber has a market      sector would simply not exist.

24
Analysis | In sharing we trust
                                                                          •

Lockdowns have thrust them even
more to the centre of modern
life, and this leads to the second,
arguably more important
factor: trust.

Secret fuel
Our faith in digital services has
been building since the
mid-1990s, when eBay and
Amazon introduced the star-rating
system for buyers and sellers. As
Sundararajan explains: “Getting
into a stranger’s car, sleeping in a
stranger’s spare bedroom, having
someone handle a food order –
these are things that require a little
more trust. But as we have read
more Yelp and TripAdvisor
reviews, as we have spent more
time on Facebook and LinkedIn,
the population has tacitly
become more confident using a
digital interface to make
consumption decisions.”
   Trust was the secret fuel that
powered the rise of the sharing          Cash-strapped companies
economy – but it almost
                                         were intrigued by the idea of
evaporated as Covid-19 spread
                                         squeezing more revenue out
and lingered.
                                         of machines that were
   Passenger journeys at Uber fell
                                         otherwise sitting silent
by 80 per cent, forcing boss Dara
Khosrowshahi to lay off a quarter of
the workforce. BlaBlaCar, the
French carpooling service that
offers rides in 22 European
countries, put half of its staff on
part-time work and suspended its
bus service amid France’s second
lockdown in November. Airbnb
was forced into a multibillion-
dollar emergency fundraising and
laid off workers as bookings
disappeared. As chief executive
Brian Chesky said last year: “It felt
like everything was breaking

                                                                          25
•    Analysis | In sharing we trust

       Side hustles will become                              at once.”       to look their best, and spending
       more important, whether it’s                           Ambika         $50 a month on a designer clothes
       a factory renting out a                            Singh, the         subscription is cheaper than going
       ziplock bag maker for $45                        founder of           on a shopping spree, at least for
       an hour or an out-of-work                      Armoire, had a         her target market.
       dog lover signing up on                      similar experience.         Crucially, too, trust is coming
       Rover.com, a marketplace for                Armoire, a                back. As public knowledge of the
                                                 subscription clothing       virus and how it spreads has
       overnight dog boarding
                                               rental business for profes-   grown, customers have become
                                             sional women in Seattle,        more discerning. They are more
                                            had been growing at a rate of    willing to take dry-cleaned clothes
                                           knots. The five-year-old start-   from a rental business because
                                         up had its best-ever month in       they are probably cleaner than,
                                        February 2020, but, when the         say, a frock in a high-end boutique
                                      lockdowns started, everything          that has been handled and
                                      stopped. New subscriptions dried       breathed on by countless patrons.
                                      up and cancellations rocketed.         BlaBlaCar, which instituted
                                                                             stringent hygiene guidelines and
                                      True believers                         an “only one in the back” feature
                                      “It was extremely traumatic,” says     on its app, has seen a surge in
                                      Singh. “It’s not an exaggeration to    rides as people have begun to opt
                                      call this Armageddon for a             for sharing a car with a single
                                      business like ours, which targets      stranger, rather than a train
                                      the working woman and is               carriage full of them.
                                      dressing her for the workplace. We
                                      weren’t sure whether that customer     Side hustles
                                      would continue to be relevant.”        The final piece in the sharing
                                         What saw the company                jigsaw is economics. Jared
                                      through, however, was a core           Isaacman, founder of Shift4
                                      group of customers who had used        Payments, a payment processor
                                      the service for at least nine months   used by more than 200,000
                                      – Armoire’s true believers.            businesses, says: “We don’t
                                      “Without them, we would have           have a single customer that’s at
                                      been dead,” Singh says. They kept      100 per cent. Every one of them
                                      paying, but instead of pencil skirts   has been set back.”
                                      and trouser suits, they started            Indeed, for many businesses,
                                      renting tracksuits and high-end        the road back from the pandemic
                                      loungewear.                            will not be a straight line. Business
                                                                             will be different. Side hustles will
                                      Discerning customers                   become more important, whether
                                      Armoire has not recovered to           it’s a factory renting out a ziplock
                                      pre-pandemic sales, but Singh is       bag maker for $45 an hour or an
                                      confident that it will emerge          out-of-work dog lover signing up
                                      stronger as the world returns to       on Rover.com, a marketplace for
                                      normal, not least because when         overnight dog boarding. The
                                      offices do reopen, people will want    US-based company intends to

26
Analysis | In sharing we trust
                                                                                                                   •

float this summer with a
$1.6 billion valuation, via a
merger with a special purpose
acquisition vehicle.

Restaurants rejigged
The restaurant industry might
also be changed for ever. “I don’t
think a lot of restaurants are going
to come back in their pre-pandemic
form; we’ll see a lot more
delivery-only businesses,”
Sundararajan suggests.
   That bodes well for the likes of
Uber, which has refashioned itself
                                                          Crucially, trust is coming back. As public
into a delivery business by
                                                          knowledge of the virus and how it spreads has
snapping up DoorDash, a food
                                                          grown, customers have become more discerning
delivery app, and alcohol delivery
service Drizly.
   This is a trend that a number of
“dark kitchen” start-ups are betting    renters. The incident was splashed      customers comfortable enough to
on across Britain and the US, with      across the media within days.           try something different – like, say,
companies offering space for            “Will criminals kill the Airbnb         handing your dog to a stranger for
delivery-only operations on             model?” asked one headline.             the weekend.
monthly or even daily contracts         Chesky responded by offering a             And technology advances
that cost from about $30 an hour.       $50,000 liability guarantee to          apace, exposing more industries to
                                        hosts – and added his personal          disruption. The collapse of solar
Cultivating trust                       email address. He said that the         panel prices and improvements to
The sharing economy still has           decision, a risky one for a young       battery technology mean that local
obstacles to overcome, however.         start-up, “changed the company          energy exchanges can be set up in
The UK Supreme Court ruled in           for ever”.                              developing countries such as
February that Uber drivers were in         That decade-old episode is           India, where the electricity grid is
fact “workers” entitled to paid         telling. Airbnb has spent years         not reliable.
holiday and the minimum wage,           cultivating a deep level of trust          And better webcams enable
not independent contractors, as         with its customers because it is        people to verify their identity by
the ride-hailing giant has long         elemental to the business.              holding up their driving licence,
argued. The ruling could inspire        The same goes, with varying             which has been critical for say,
other sharing economy contractors       degrees of success, for Uber,           alcohol delivery, as well as the rise
to file similar suits in an effort to   Armoire and countless other             of digital notaries. At the heart of it
rebalance benefits that                 sharing companies.                      all is what Sundararajan calls the
campaigners claim are skewed                                                    “invisible infrastructure” of
toward the companies.                   Invisible infrastructure                sharing economy companies:
   The industry must also regain        Trust is the sector’s currency, so it   trust. For many industries, Covid-
the faith of customers and              is perhaps better primed than           19 destroyed it. Those that can
suppliers alike. Back in 2011, an       traditional businesses, which           regain it are likely to reap the spoils
Airbnb host’s home was trashed by       aren’t so laser-focused on getting      as the pandemic recedes    •
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