Greater Manchester Clean Air Plan - Overview and update February 2019

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Greater Manchester Clean Air Plan - Overview and update February 2019
Greater Manchester
Clean Air Plan
Overview and update
February 2019
Greater Manchester Clean Air Plan - Overview and update February 2019
What is air pollution and
why does it matter?
Greater Manchester Clean Air Plan - Overview and update February 2019
Greater Manchester Clean Air Plan - Overview and update February 2019
Poor air quality is one of the largest
                public health issues facing the UK
• Long-term exposure to elevated levels of particulate matter (PM2.5) and nitrogen
  dioxide (NO2) contributes to the development of cardiovascular or respiratory disease,
  and may reduce life expectancy.
• The youngest, the oldest, those living in areas of deprivation, and those with existing
  respiratory or cardiovascular disease are most likely to develop symptoms due to
  exposure to air pollution.
• People walking or cycling are exposed to significantly lower levels of air pollution
  compared to drivers and passengers inside vehicles travelling along the same urban
  route. Cars take in emissions from surrounding vehicles and they recirculate the
  pollutants within the confined ‘cabin’ space.
• By 2035, the estimated UK health and social care costs due to exposure to air pollution
  are £5.3 billion for diseases with a strong association with air pollution, and £18.6
  billion for all diseases evidence shows have an association with air pollution.
Why are we producing
a Clean Air Plan?
• EU 2008 Directive on Ambient Air Quality sets legal limit values for a
  range of air pollutants, including NO2.
• This was incorporated into UK law in the UK Air Quality Standards
  Regulations 2010.
• The UK has been in breach of the legal limits for NO2 since 2010.
UK Air Quality Plans (AQP)

                                                                                  December 2015 AQP:
 ClientEarth v The SoS for the           Government to draw up AQP to
                                                                                National Air Quality Plan:
 Environment, Food and Rural            achieve the EU limit values in the
    Affairs [2015] UKSC 28                                                     Birmingham, Derby, Leeds,
                                             shortest time possible
                                                                              Nottingham, and Southampton

ClientEarth (No. 2) v The SoS           2015 AQP gave too much weight            July 2017 AQP: 23 local
 for the Environment, Food               to cost, political sensitivity and    authorities including Bolton,
   and Rural Affairs [2016]                 administrative difficulties.       Bury, Manchester, Salford,
         EWHC 2740                         New AQP by 31 July 2017.           Stockport, Tameside, Trafford

ClientEarth (No. 3) v (1) The SoS           Mandatory order: urgent
 for the Environment, Food and          production of a Supplement to
                                                                               March 2018 Supplementary
  Rural Affairs; (2) The SoS for       2017 AQP including requirements
                                                                               Directive: 33 local authorities
     Transport and (3) Welsh           for additional feasibility studies
                                                                                    including Oldham
   Ministers [2018] EWCH 315            to be undertaken in 33 of the
                                                   45 areas.
What have local
authorities been directed
to do?
Local responsibility to act

• Government has delegated the responsibility to address NO2 compliance to
  Local Authorities and has set out the process and timescale for doing so.
• Local Authorities are responsible for the local road network and their own fleets.
• Responsibility for the Strategic Road Network (Motorways and trunk roads) lies
  with Highways England, who have not been directed to act to reduce NO2 on
  the Strategic Road Network in the same timescale/process.
• Highways England is currently assessing sections of the motorway network
  around GM to explore potential measures.
What Government requires

Defra and DfT (2017) ‘UK Plan for tackling roadside nitrogen dioxide concentrations’.
Diesel
vehicles
are the
 largest
 source
Public consultation to be undertaken if the
option that emerges from the required
feasibility study process requires it
GOVERNMENT HAS
  ALLOCATED £255
    MILLION FOR
  IMPLEMENTATION
 FUNDING AND £220
MILLION TO A CLEAN
      AIR FUND
   (NATIONALLY)
The three legal tests for assessing air quality plans

Local plans must:
1. Aim to achieve compliance as soon as possible;
2. Choose a route to compliance which reduces human exposure as quickly as
   possible; and
3. Ensure that compliance with the limit values is not just possible but likely.
   (ClientEarth (No. 2) v The Secretary of State for the Environment, Food and Rural Affairs [2016]
                                                                                     EWHC 2740)

NOTE: The legal responsibility for achieving the requirements of UK Plan for
tackling roadside nitrogen dioxide concentrations sits with the local authorities with
exceedances in their area.
The National Plan identifies charging
Clean Air Zones (CAZ) as the
benchmark measure for achieving
statutory NO2 limit values in the
shortest possible time.

Local authorities must consider
introducing charging CAZ unless they
can identify alternatives that are at
least as effective at reducing NO2, and
deliver compliance as quickly as a
charging Clean Air Zone.
Differences: Congestion Charging and Clean Air
Zones
                                                     Clean Air or Low
Congestion Charging
                                                      Emission Zone

    Objective: ensure drivers pay the cost they       Objective: persuade drivers to upgrade their
                 impose on others                              vehicle to a cleaner model

    Charge applies to all vehicles (with some           Charge applies only to non-compliant
      discounts and exemptions applied)               vehicles, compliant vehicles are unaffected

                                                        Designed so most people upgrade their
      Designed so most people stay and pay
                                                               vehicle and do not pay

                                                                                                         A CAZ is a
     Goal is to reduce congestion with wider           Goal is to improve air quality and reduce          temporary
        benefits to air quality, safety etc            emissions by cleaning up the vehicle fleet
                                                                                                         measure to
                                                                                                      achieve air quality
                                                                                                            targets
     Schemes are highly profitable, providing
                                                       Schemes typically make a loss, especially in
   resources to invest in public transport, active
                                                                       later years
    travel and other complementary measures
Clean Air Zone Framework:
                               Compliant Vehicles

                                                                   GM being encouraged
                                                                     to sign up to Fossil-
                        Age of Compliant Vehicles                   Fuel-Free streets (buy
                                                                     zero-emission buses
  GM has signed a       Vehicle Type       Compliant Class        from 2025 and ensure a
declaration of intent                                                major area of city is
  for the city-region
                                           Diesel Euro 6 (2015)
                        Car/Taxi                                   zero emission by 2030)
 to move to a zero-                        Petrol Euro 4 (2005)
 emission bus fleet     Van                Euro 6 (2016)
      (May 2018)
                        Bus/HGV            Euro 6 (2013)

                        Motorcycle/Moped   Euro 3
Activity in Greater
Manchester
A Greater Manchester Clean Air Plan

  The purpose of taking a GM-wide approach is to avoid introducing
measures in one part of the conurbation that simply displace pollution
to other locations, and to ensure that (as far as possible) the eventual
 Clean Air Plan complements other GM-wide strategies including the
 existing GM Air Quality Action Plan and GM Low Emission Strategy.
Where are we now?

Spring 2018:
-   Development of long-list of 96 measures, refined to 17 to include in Strategic Outline Case.
-   Strategic Outline Case approved by 10 Local Authorities and submitted to Government.
Summer 2018:
-   Detailed modelling and understanding of air quality problem across GM.
-   Refining possible measures and development of options.
Autumn 2018:
-   Modelling of options (NO2 reduction).
-   Commenced analysis of socio-economic impact of options.
Understanding the NO2 problem

• Government initially identified 11 non-compliant links on the Pollution Climate
  Mapping (PCM) network in GM
• The national model does not contain detailed local data (local roads and fleet)
  (etc) and must be verified against local evidence.
• Local authorities were asked to re-model predicted NO2 levels in 2021 under a
  “do minimum” scenario as part of the feasibility study to confirm the local air
  quality problem.
Local evidence used to understand likely NO2
               concentrations beyond 2020

Based on government guidance:

 • Detailed Base Year (2016) and Future Year (2021) transport model (actual and future demand
   on the road network) for all roads within GM (the National Model underpinning the National
   Plan includes only major urban roads).
 • Local vehicle fleet (e.g. ages and types of vehicle) using ANPR data.
 • Local background concentrations of NO2 (e.g. from energy generation, industry, domestic, non-
   road transportation).
 • Detailed road network & junction data (e.g. real-word road alignment and width).
 • Representation of canyons (e.g. tall buildings).
 • Local air quality monitoring data (from across GM).
 • Confirmed future changes to the local road network, regional traffic growth and changes to the
   traffic fleet.
Manchester Evening News, 7th October 2018
A wide range of options continue to be analysed …
Type of option                        Overview of analysis (headlines)                                               Latest
                                                                                                                     analysis
Increase public transport capacity    Build new Metrolink line: not possible by 2021. May not provide sufficient
                                      NO2 reduction across GM
                                      Increase rail capacity: not possible by 2021. Insufficient powers
                                      Increase bus capacity: commercial market, discuss with operators – identify
                                      routes with most impact
Retrofit/upgrade public transport     Existing fleet must be retrofitted or replaced with a higher Euro rating
fleet
Electric vehicle incentives           Good NO2 impact, Early Measures Funding creating momentum
Travel choices/active travel          Good NO2 impact but insufficient by 2021 as a single measure
engagement
Parking (e.g. different charges for   Undeliverable in time (contracts with parking suppliers), unfair as based on
time of day/vehicle type/car          reliance on parking rather than cleanliness of vehicle, and insufficient NO2
sharing/workplace levy)               impact by 2021 as a single measure
Switch bus/HGV/LGV fuelling           Industry engagement shows not feasible
stations or GM fleet to GtL fuel
Retrofit or upgrade GM Family fleet Existing fleet must be retrofitted or replaced with a higher Euro rating
A wide range of options continue to be analysed …
Type of option                        Overview of analysis (headlines)                                                  Latest
                                                                                                                        analysis
Congestion Deal – increase            Feasible but unlikely to reduce NO2 sufficiently as a single measure
capacity
Congestion Deal – encouraging         Feasible but unlikely to reduce NO2 sufficiently as a single measure
alternatives
Congestion Deal – network             Feasible but unlikely to reduce NO2 sufficiently as a single measure
management
Active travel programme (e.g.         Good NO2 impact but insufficient by 2021 as a single measure
cycling and walking infrastructure)
Communications campaigns              Feasible but unlikely to reduce NO2 sufficiently as a single measure

Private hire and taxi EV and          Switch to alternative fuels unlikely to be feasible in time
alternative fuels                     EV upgrade feasible but support needed
Charging Clean Air Zone (as           Charging all non-compliant vehicles: undeliverable by 2021 (infrastructure),
defined by Government)                and creates re-distribution of NO2
                                      Targeted area-based charging: feasible as enables different vehicles to be
                                      included in toll at different times/scales based on NO2 emissions, availability
                                                                                                                        Ongoing
                                      of alternatives, and socio-economic impact. To include exemption periods +
                                      support to replace/upgrade vehicles
Charging Clean Air Zones (as defined by Government)

As required by Government Guidance and agreed in the Strategic Outline Case (March 2018), a
range of charging options for Clean Air Zones (CAZ) are being developed and modelled.

Options being modelled include:

1. Different classes of charging CAZ for non-compliant vehicles at different scales (Government’s
    categories A,B,C and D):
  - E.g. within the inner ring road only
  - E.g. within the M60 boundary
  - E.g. across the whole of Greater Manchester

2. Exemption periods and discounts (including timing)

           No decisions have been made. Analysis of their full impact continues.
Analysis is not yet completed but …

A multi-option approach is likely to be needed because:
- Incentives and support to replace or retrofit the most-polluting vehicles must
  underpin any action.
  - Any residents in an area where a toll could be introduced must be offered
      exemption periods.
  - There must be support for people on low incomes to replace their vehicle if it
      falls into the most polluting categories.
- Any tolls for the most-polluting vehicles must also take account of availability of
  alternatives (timing).
- Action must reduce exposure as quickly as possible (some things can be done
  faster than others).
Analysis is not yet completed but …

Multi-variant policy analysis is needed to …
- Ensure any options support economic well-being.
- Ensure any options support social inclusion.
- Ensure any options support reduction of carbon emissions and particulates as
  well as NO2.

   Whilst recognising the reality of the implications of the court findings.
Questions?
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