Insurance Webinar Series: 2022 Insurance Industry Trends - 1pm | 29 September 2021 - Deloitte

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Insurance Webinar Series: 2022 Insurance Industry Trends - 1pm | 29 September 2021 - Deloitte
Insurance Webinar Series:
2022 Insurance Industry Trends
1pm | 29 September 2021
Insurance Webinar Series: 2022 Insurance Industry Trends - 1pm | 29 September 2021 - Deloitte
Agenda

• Market Stats & Trends
  Ger Power | Senior Manager | Deloitte Ireland

• Sustainability
  Greg Lowe | Director of Sustainable Finance | Deloitte UK
  Marc Aboud | Director | Deloitte Ireland

• Differential Pricing, Business Continuity, and Future Considerations
  Derville Rowland | Director General, Financial Conduct | Central Bank of Ireland

• Q&A
  Moderated by Donal Lehane | Partner| Deloitte Ireland
Insurance Webinar Series: 2022 Insurance Industry Trends - 1pm | 29 September 2021 - Deloitte
Market Stats & Trends
Ger Power| Senior Manager| Deloitte Ireland
Insurance Webinar Series: 2022 Insurance Industry Trends - 1pm | 29 September 2021 - Deloitte
Irish Non Life Insurance Market
Data Sources

• CBI Insurance Statistics

• Central Statistics Office (CSO)

• Department of Transport, Tourism and Sport

• Road Safety Authority

• Solvency and Financial Condition Reports

• Insurance Ireland Factfiles

• Personal Injuries Assessment Board

• An Garda Síochána

• Government of Ireland (Gov.ie)

• Transport Infrastructure Ireland

                                               4
Insurance Webinar Series: 2022 Insurance Industry Trends - 1pm | 29 September 2021 - Deloitte
Irish Non Life Insurance Market
Milestones

    Jun              Oct                  Nov                Jan              Mar               July              Sep
   2020             2020                  2020              2021             2021               2021             2021

                                                                             Judicial
                                                        Severe Covid-     Council vote      CBI Review of
                                       NCID – Private                      in favour of   Differential Pricing
            11th and final progress                     19 restrictions
                                      Motor Insurance                     new Personal      – Final Report
               update – Cost of                          reimposed
                                         Report 2                            Injuries
             Insurance Working                          January 2021
                    Group                                                   Guidelines

                                                                                          NCID – EL, PL and
                                                                                             Commercial
                                                                                          Property Report 1

                                                                                                                        5
Irish Non-Life Market
Irish Non-Life Market
                                               Gross Written Premium                                                                                2019 Market Share by GWP
           4,000
                                                                         + 8%     + 2%
                                                                                             + 4%
                                                                                                              100%                                                      AXA
           3,500                                                 + 14%                                                                                  AXA                         AXA
                                                                                                                                                                      Allianz
           3,000                                     + 8%                                                                                  AXA
                                 - 6%       + 3%                                                              80%                                     Allianz
                                                                                                                                                                      Aviva       Allianz
           2,500
GWP (€m)

                                                                                                                                          Allianz      Aviva
           2,000                                                                                              60%                                                                  Aviva
                                                                                                                                                                      Other
                                                                                                                                          Aviva        Other
           1,500                                                                                                                                                                   Other
           1,000                                                                                              40%                          RSA          RSA            RSA          RSA
                                                                                                                                           FBD                         FBD         FBD
            500                                                                                                                                         FBD
                                                                                                              20%                         Zurich                      Zurich      Zurich
              0                                                                                                                            AIG        Zurich                         AIG
                      2012           2013    2014     2015        2016    2017     2018      2019   2020*                                                AIG            AIG
                                                                                                                                          Liberty                                  Liberty
                             Motor     Property      Liability     PA/Travel     Other Classes                   0%                                    Liberty

 Source: Insurance Ireland                                                                                                                 Motor      Property        Liability     Total
                                                                                                              Source: Insurance Ireland

                                               Historical Market Share                                                                                 Commentary
  20.00%
  18.00%                                                                                                        • Market volumes have been increasing and grew again to over €3.7bn in
                                                                                                    AXA           2019 (+4% compared to 2018, and +44% compared to 2013).
  16.00%                                                                                            Allianz
                                                                                                                • When figures are available, volumes are expected to remain broadly stable
  14.00%
                                                                                                    Aviva         in 2020.
  12.00%
                                                                                                    Other       • Motor continues to be the largest line of business while PA/Travel is the
  10.00%                                                                                                          smallest.
                                                                                                    RSA
      8.00%
                                                                                                    FBD         • AXA has consolidated its share of the overall non-life market at 18% of
      6.00%                                                                                                       GWP.
                                                                                                    Zurich
      4.00%                                                                                                     • RSA, and to a lessor extent, FBD have reduced market share over the
                                                                                                    AIG
      2.00%                                                                                                       period.
                                                                                                    Liberty
      0.00%                                                                                                     • AIG, FBD, Zurich and Allianz have a higher share of the Liability market than
                    2012         2013       2014    2015     2016     2017     2018   2019                        the Motor market.
                                                                                                                                                                                                  7
Irish Non-Life Market– Key Trends
140%                            Historical Net Combined Operating Ratios                                                                                                    Commentary
                   116%                                                     118%
120%                          108%                                111%                                                           • There has been an clear improvement in the Net COR since 2015 and the
                                                107%107%
          102%                                                                        102%
                     17%               95%                                   24%             96% 93%                               underwriting cycle is clearly visible.
100%                          19%                                   23%                              92%
           19%       10%                         24%      22%                         18%                                        • Over the last 11 years to 2019 only 4 years produced underwriting profit.
                                        21%                                  11%             22%
                              11%                                   11%                            19%   21%
80%         9%                                   12%      13%                         8%                                         • Based on 2020 SFCRs, 2020 is also expected to be profitable.
                                        11%                                                  6%    8%    7%
60%                                                                                                                              • 5 of 8 companies have been profitable in 2020 based on SFCRs

                     89%
                                                                                                                                 • Group reinsurance structures skew some results
40%                           78%                                   77%      83%      76%
           74%                                   71%      72%                                68%
                                        63%                                                        65%   64%
20%

  0%
           2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

                 Claims Ratio              Commission Ratio                   Management Expense Ratio
Source: 2013 Prior: CBI Insurance Statistics, 2014-2019 Insurance Ireland Fact file
                                                                                                                             Source: Insurance Ireland
* 2020 is a market estimate

     Expense Ratio                       2020 Net Combined Operating Ratios                                                                                  2020 v 2019 Net Combined Operating Ratios vs GWP
     Claims Ratio
                                                                                                                                                                               2020         2019
                                                                                                                                 140%
                                                                                         117%
                                                             103%                                                                130%                            AIG    RSA
                100%            98%                                                                                                                                            RSA
                                                                             94%                   92%         91%               120%
                                               84%                                                                                                 Liberty
                                                             32%                         55%
                36%                                                                                                              110%                            FBD                                   Allianz
                               40%

                                                                                                                       Net COR
                                                                            38%                    39%         37%                                                      FBD                  Aviva
  52%                                         33%                                                                                100%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                       AXA
                                                                                                                                                                            Zurich
                                                                                                                                 90%
                                                                                                                                                                                      Aviva        Allianz
                                                                                                                                                                   Zurich
                64%                                          70%                         62%                                     80%      Liberty
 46%                           57%            51%                           56%                    53%         55%                                                                                                      AXA
                                                                                                                                 70%
  6%
                                                                                                                                 60%                             AIG
                                                                                                              Market
                                                                                                                                 50%
                                                                                                           Average*
                                                                                                                                   200,000               300,000        400,000            500,000           600,000    700,000
 Source: 2020 SFCRs            Combined Operating Ratio = Claims Ratio + Expense Ratio
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  8
                                                                                                                                                                                     GWP
Irish Motor Market
Irish Motor Market – Key Trends
35%                             Market Share by Gross Written Premium                                                                                Historical Net Combined Operating Ratios
                                                                                                          140%                                                                            129%
                                                                                                                                                                                   121%
30%                                                                                                       120%                    110%110%
                                                                                                                       100%                                       103% 107%               23%    104%
                                                                                             AXA                                                        98%                        20%                  97%
                                                                                                                                                                                           8%                 89%
                                                                                                          100%                       17%       19%
                                                                                                                                                                             21%    7%
25%                                                                                          Aviva                        20%        6%                              23%
                                                                                                                                                                                                 17%                88%
                                                                                                                                                7%        21%                                           21%
                                                                                                                                                                                                  5%
                                                                                             Allianz        80%            5%                                        8%
                                                                                                                                                                             8%                               19%   21%
                                                                                                                                                           7%                                           4%
                                                                                                                                                                                                              6%    4%
20%                                                                                          Liberty        60%
                                                                                                                                                                                   94%    99%
                                                                                                                                     87%
                                                                                             RSA            40%           75%
                                                                                                                                               84%
                                                                                                                                                                     72%     78%                 82%
                                                                                                                                                                                                        72%
                                                                                                                                                          69%
15%                                                                                                                                                                                                           64%   63%
                                                                                             FBD            20%
10%                                                                                          Zurich
                                                                                                              0%
                                                                                             AIG
 5%                                                                                          Other

                                                                                                                               Claims Ratio                 Commission Ratio              Management Expense Ratio
 0%                                                                                                    Source: 2012-2019 Insurance Ireland Factfile, Government of Ireland
                2013         2014    2015       2016        2017        2018   2019                    * 2020 is an estimate
Source: Insurance Ireland

                                Net Combined Operating Ratios 2017 - 2020
200%                                                                                                                                                                   Commentary
                       Expense Ratio                                  175%
180%                   Claims Ratio                                                                            • AXA have increased market share from 19.8% to 28.6% since 2012.
160%                                                                                                           • Allianz have also increased considerably from 6.8% to 11.9%.
                                                               137%
140%                                                        125%        81%                                    • RSA has decreased from 15.6% to 10.4% from 2013 to 2019.
120%
                  99%         99%                                  99%         100%     98%     89%
                                                                                                               • Zurich and AIG have the smallest market shares with 7.2% and 5.6%
                                                             36%                           94%
100%      85%85%
                                    91%
                                       86%   83%
                                                91%
                                                               84% 9%
                                                                                  89%         89%                respectively.
                       82%       80%
                              30%                  74%
80%               35%
                                    29%         28%   68%                               33%
                                                                                           33%29%              • Net COR remained stable on average in 2020 at 89%.
          24%                          31%   25%                                  37%           36%
                                 22%
                44%    33%
60%                                               29%
                                                     31%                       108%
                                                             89%   90%94%
40%                           69%
                  64%                                                                   65%61%60%
          61%                    58%62%55%   58%63%            52%                52%           53%
                     49%
20%             41%                                45%
                                                      37%

 0%
                                                                                        Average
Source: SFCRs
                                                                                                                                                                                                                          10
Irish Motor Market – Key Trends
                                                  New Car Registrations and GWP                                                           1,800                                         Average Premium by Cover Type
                           New Cars            Imports             GWP Private vehicles         GWP Commercial vehicles
               250,000                                                                                                1600                1,600

                                                                                                                      1400                1,400
               200,000
                                                                                                                      1200                1,200
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     881     883
No. Vehicles

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     852
                                                                                                                      1000                1,000

                                                                                                                                GWP (€)
               150,000                                                                                                                                                                                                      781

                                                                                                                      800                      800             570         581       546                             624
                                                                                                                                                                                             498    488      526
               100,000                                                                                                600                      600
                                                                                                                                                                     499                                                                               676
                                                                                                                      400                      400
                50,000                                                                                                                                                                                                               652     673     644
                                                                                                                                                                                                                            566
                                                                                                                                                               481         491       479     449                     471
                                                                                                                      200                      200                                                  424      431

                       -                                                                                              0                                0
                                  2012    2013       2014       2015       2016      2017    2018   2019   2020                                                2009    2010         2011    2012   2013     2014   2015     2016    2017   2018     2019
               Source: 2012-2019 Insurance Ireland Factfile, Government of Ireland
                                                                                                                                          Source: NCID                                Comprehensive           Third Party          ALL
               *2021 values are YTD

                                              Average Claim Cost per Policy vs GEP Per Policy                                                                                                      Road Fatalities
       €800                                                                                                                                            500                                                                                         19500
                                                                                                                           676                         450                                                                                         19000
       €700
                                                                                                                                                       400
       €600                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        18500
                                                                                                                                                       350

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Kms travelled
       €500                                                                                                                                            300                                                                                         18000
                           13%
       €400                                                                   10%     10%     10%    10%      10%         11%
                                                                                                                                                       250                                                                                         17500

                                                                                                                                          Fatalities
                                    12%       10%        11%        10%
       €300                21%
                                                         13%        14%
                                                                              14%     14%     12%    11%      12%         12%                          200                                                                                         17000
                                    20%       16%
                                                                                                                                                       150
       €200                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        16500
                           59%                67%        71%        71%       72%     72%     75%    76%      74%         74%                          100
       €100                         61%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   16000
                                                                                                                                                        50
               €0                                                                                                                                          0                                                                                       15500
                       2009        2010      2011      2012       2013       2014     2015   2016   2017    2018       2019

                                                                                                                                                                *2021
                                                                                                                                                                 1998
                                                                                                                                                                 1999
                                                                                                                                                                 2000
                                                                                                                                                                 2001
                                                                                                                                                                 2002
                                                                                                                                                                 2003
                                                                                                                                                                 2004
                                                                                                                                                                 2005
                                                                                                                                                                 2006
                                                                                                                                                                 2007
                                                                                                                                                                 2008
                                                                                                                                                                 2009
                                                                                                                                                                 2010
                                                                                                                                                                 2011
                                                                                                                                                                 2012
                                                                                                                                                                 2013
                                                                                                                                                                 2014
                                                                                                                                                                 2015
                                                                                                                                                                 2016
                                                                                                                                                                 2017
                                                                                                                                                                 2018
                                                                                                                                                                 2019
                                                                                                                                                                 2020
                                 Third Party Injury               Accidental Damage             Fire and Theft
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           11
                                 Third Party Damage               Windscreen                    Average GEP                                                                      Road fatalities          Average km travelled per vehicle
                                                                                                                    Source: NCID
Irish Motor Market – Claim Trends
                                                          Claim Frequency by Claim Type                                                                                                                            Claim Severity by Claim Type
 20%                                                                                                                                                                    €50,000                                                                                                        6,000
 18%                                                                                                                                                                    €45,000                                                                                                        5,500
 16%                                                                                                                                                                    €40,000
 14%                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   5,000
                                                                                                                                                                        €35,000                                                                                          4,487
 12%                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   4,500
                                                                                                                                                                        €30,000
 10%
                                                                                                                                                                        €25,000                                                                                                        4,000
  8%
                                                                                                                                                                        €20,000                                                                                                        3,500
  6%
  4%                                                                                                                                                                    €15,000
                                                                                                                                                                                   2,726                                                                                               3,000
  2%                                                                                                                                                                    €10,000
                                                                                                                                                                         €5,000                                                                                                        2,500
  0%
            2009          2010              2011        2012           2013      2014          2015        2016         2017            2018       2019                       €0                                                                                                       2,000
                                                                                                                                                                                   2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
                        Third Party Injury                             Accidental Damage                       Fire and Theft
                        Third Party Damage                             Windscreen                              Overall                                                                     Third Party Injury                  Damage                  Overall Average

                                       Average cost per injury claim based on settlement channel                                                                                                   Injuries Board - Average Motor Award
 90,000
                         Compensation                    Legal              Other                                                                                      €24,000
 80,000                                                                                        2%                                                          0%                            €23,327
                                                                                                                            2%                                         €23,500                                                                                     €23,234
 70,000                         3%                              3%
                                                                                               32%                                                                     €23,000                                                                           €22,454             €22,682
 60,000                                                                                                                     33%
                                                                                                                                                           34%

                                33%                             33%                                                                                                    €22,500 €21,707             €21,844
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       €22,186
 50,000
                                                                                                                                                                       €22,000                                                     €21,730         €21,470
 40,000
                                                                                                                                                                       €21,500                           €20,898                             €21,215
 30,000                  4%                             4%                              4%                           3%                            3%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                         €20,631

                                                        2%                              3%     66%                   4%     65%                    4%      66%         €21,000
                         2%                                                                                                                                                                                        €20,438
 20,000        3%
                                64%            3%               64%            4%                           4%                            4%
                                               8%                              9%                          10%                            11%                          €20,500
               8%                                       94%                             93%                          93%                           93%
 10,000                  94%
               89%                             89%                            87%                          87%                            85%                          €20,000
        0
                                                                                                                                                                       €19,500
                                Litigated

                                                                Litigated

                                                                                               Litigated

                                                                                                                            Litigated

                                                                                                                                                           Litigated
               Direct

                                               Direct

                                                                               Direct

                                                                                                            Direct

                                                                                                                     PIAB

                                                                                                                                          Direct
                         PIAB

                                                         PIAB

                                                                                        PIAB

                                                                                                                                                    PIAB

                                                                                                                                                                       €19,000
                                                                                                                                                                       €18,500
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 12
Source: NCID              2015                            2016                           2017                         2018                         2019                            2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Effect of Covid 19 on Irish Motor Market
                        Private Car Usage - Red Cow Junction M50                                                                          LGV / HGV Usage - Red Cow Junction M50
150k                                                                                                               40k

                                                                                                                   30k
100k

                                                                                                                   20k

 50k
                                                                                 Phase 3                           10k                                                                       Phase 3
                                                                       Phase 2                                                                                                     Phase 2
                    Schools Close                                                                                                    Schools Close
                                                            Phase 1                                                                                                      Phase 1
                                       Full Lockdown                                                                                                   Full Lockdown
  0k                                                                                                                0k
       Jan    Feb      Mar            Apr       May           June           July           August                       Jan   Feb     Mar           Apr       May        June          July           August

                                     2019         2020           2021                                                                                2019         2020       2021

250,000
                                    Annual private vehicle sales                                                                                      Commentary
                                                                                                                    Private Car Usage
200,000                                                                                                             • There was a 78% drop-off in private car usage at the trough in 2020 (one week
                                                                                                                      into full lockdown)
                                                                                                                    • Recovery has coincided with the phased reopening of the economy in late 2020,
150,000
                                                                                                                      however dipped at the turn of 2021 with the reimposition of restrictions.
                                                                                                                    • At end-August 2021, private car usage at the M50 in Dublin is still 2% lower
100,000
                                                                                                                      than the equivalent time period in 2019.
                                                                                                                    Commercial LGV/HGV Usage
                                                                                                                    • The drop-off bottomed out at 59% lower than the equivalent period in 2019.
 50,000
                                                                                                                    • Recovery in commercial LGV/HGV usage was much faster, reaching comparable
                                                                                                                      levels to previous years in mid June.
       0
                                                                                                                    • As at July, activity is 6% lower than the equivalent period in 2019.
           2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021

                                       Jan-Jun         Jul-Dec                                                      Note: these are Dublin-only statistics, and mobility data published by Google and           13
                                                         Source: CSO      *Data for 2021 is inclusive up to July    Apple indicate that usage in rural counties rebounded at a faster rate.
Irish Property and Liability Market
Irish Property Market – Key Trends
                                   Market Share by Gross Written Premium                                                                        Historical Net Combined Operating Ratios
20%                                                                                                                  Claims Ratio              Commission Ratio      Management Expense Ratio
18%
                                                                                                             137%
                                                                                              Allianz    131%
16%
                                                                                              Aviva
                                                                                                                     18%   116%
14%                                                                                                        19%                                                  109%
                                                                                                                     17%
                                                                                              Zurich       16%
                                                                                                                              19%     95% 91% 97%                         94%
12%                                                                                                                                                                                       89% 85% 86%
                                                                                                                                                                   30%              84%
                                                                                              RSA                             17%
                                                                                                                                       20%               23%
10%                                                                                                                                             26%                           27%
                                                                                              FBD                                                                  17%              23%   26%   20%   21%
                                                                                                                                       18%
8%                                                                                            Other                                             18%
                                                                                                                                                         20%
                                                                                                                                                                              14%         11%   13%   12%
                                                                                                                    102%                                                            15%
                                                                                                           95%
6%                                                                                            AXA                             80%
                                                                                                                                       57%                         62%
                                                                                                                                                         53%
4%                                                                                            AIG                                               47%                           53%
                                                                                                                                                                                    47%   52%   52%   53%

2%                                                                                            Liberty

0%                                                                                                        2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 *2020
                                                                                                        Source: 2012-2019 Insurance Ireland Factfile, Government of Ireland
          2013        2014          2015      2016          2017     2018   2019
Source: Insurance Ireland                                                                               * 2020 are market estimates

                                  Net Combined Operating Ratios 2017 - 2020                                                                                 Commentary
250%
              Expense Ratio
              Claims Ratio                           199%
                                                                                                             • The market has been relatively stable in terms of market share.
200%                                                                                                         • Allianz has the largest market share, closely rivalled by Aviva.
                                                     36%
                                                                                                             • RSA has noticeably decreased its market share from 20.8% (largest
150%                                                                                          122%
                                                                                                               market player in 2012) to 13% in 2019.
                                                            125%
                                                                                                             • Liberty and FBD have also decreased their market share since 2014.
                            99%                                               102%
                    97%             96%                               98%               98%
                                                             36%90%
100%    85%85%                82%
                                 91%
                                           83%                     82%
                                                                                           89%  35%
                                                                                                             • Liberty and IG have the smallest market shares at around 3.5% each.
              77%                                                                             78%
                 28%        30%               69%65%163%                                33%
        24%                      34%
                                    33%
                                           25%                 42%
                                                                     41%          51%                        • Even considering major events in recent years (Emma, Ophelia) the
           39%                35%                                 36%                      44%
              36%
                                              30%
                                                                                              34%
                                                                                                               Market has been profitable 8 times in last 10 years. 2020 may be loss
50%                                              30%
                 70%        69%
                                                             89%
                                                                                        65%
                                                                                                87%            making as a result of Covid-19 exposures on commercial property
        61%                       57%63%   58%
           46%41%              47%            39%35%
                                                               48%46%
                                                                     57%          51%      44%44%              policies.
 0%                                                                          0%

                                                                                           Average
    Source: SFCRs                                                                                                                                                                                           15
Irish Liability Market – Key Trends
                                          Market Share by Gross Written Premium                                                                                                  Historical Net Combined Operating Ratios
35%
                                                                                                                                                                Claims Ratio              Commission Ratio            Management Expense Ratio
                                                                                                                                                                               149%
30%                                                                                                                                                                                                           143%
                                                                                                                            Other                                                                                    127%
                                                                                                                                                                                 26%    124%
                                                                                                                                                                                                              26%
25%                                                                                                                         Allianz                                                                                         112% 115% 114%
                                                                                                                                                                                 11%              105%               16%
                                                                                                                                                 104%                                      23%
                                                                                                                            AIG                                                                               15%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                      9%           17%
                                                                                                                                                            90%                                                              20%         21%
20%                                                                                                                                                17%                88%
                                                                                                                            Aviva                                                          13%      20%                            9%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             8%          7%
                                                                                                                            FBD         71%        10%       21%                                    11%
                                                                                                                                                                       22%
15%
                                                                                                                            Zurich       16%                 11%
                                                                                                                                                                       11%
                                                                                                                                                                                112%
                                                                                                                                                                                                              102%   102%
10%                                                                                                                         RSA          11%
                                                                                                                                                                                           87%                                     89%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             85%         86%
                                                                                                                                                   77%                                              75%
                                                                                                                            AXA                              58%       54%
                                                                                                                                         43%
 5%                                                                                                                         Liberty

 0%                                                                                                                                     2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 *2020
                                                                                                                                        Source: 2012-2019 Insurance Ireland Factfile, Government of Ireland
            2013             2014         2015         2016         2017          2018           2019
Source: Insurance Ireland                                                                                                               * 2020 GWP are market estimates

                                      Net Combined Operating Ratios 2017 - 2020
200%                                                                                                                                                                                        Commentary
           Expense Ratio        176%
180%       Claims Ratio                                                                                                                        • Market is dominated by IPB rather than one of the 8 main players.
160%                                39%
                                                                                                                                               • Allianz has the largest market share of named companies at 15.6%.
140%                                                                             129%
                                      123%                          125%
                                                                           115%                        117%
                                                                                                                124%
                                                                                                                                               • AXA, RSA, Zurich, FBD, AIG and Liberty have all experienced a decrease
120%        104%
                                          109%     106%
                                                                                                                     110%
                                                                                                                                                 in market share since 2016.
                              99%                                                                                            91%
                       95%            31%                           36%                                          40%       92%
100%    85%         86%                          83%29%81%             85%                               37%                                   • FBD has been consistently decreasing market share since 2012
                                          35%                                     72%
                                                                               57%                                    40%
                              30%
80%        46%
                 40%                                      66%                                                                                  • In the last ten years, the market has only been profitable twice, last in
        24%                                      25%                                                                       37%
                                                                                                                             38%
                                137%
60%
              43%                                       30%                                                                                      2011, however the SFCR data for named participants indicates that
                                      92%
                                                              31%
                                                                    89%79%
                                                                                                                                                 performance may have improved during 2020.
40%                           69%        74%        77%                                                  80%     85%
                                                                                                                    69%
        61%58%   56%                             58%
                                                       50%
                                                                               58%57%                                  55%
                                                                                                                         53%                   • Liberty/RSA results are skewed by the impact of reinsurance.
20%           43%
                                                          35%

 0%                                                                       5%                        0%

                                                                                                                       Average
    Source: SFCRs                                                                                                                                                                                                                                16
                                                                                        Source: SFCRs – Liberty excluded from average
Sustainability
Greg Lowe | Director of Sustainable Finance | Deloitte UK
Marc Aboud| Director | Deloitte Ireland
The evolving insurance climate landscape
Through the pursuit of net zero strategies, a more connected climate landscape is evolving – one which is
demanding nature-based solutions and second-order social impacts be integrated into firms’ climate strategies

               Regulatory advances and feedback loops on climate change                                  Collaboration, levelling-up and expanding outlooks on climate
               The advance of regulatory developments, to both help insurers think about, and            The next year will be crucial in understanding the full range of climate risks insurers
               understand new risks, continues to develop and will continue to be a priority for         face and to focus on where the gaps might be. Insurers should be thinking about the
               regulators and the insurance industry. These are early days for this type of regulation   role they play in the wider financial system as well, given that banks are subject to
               and reporting, so new learnings will continue to inform both how regulators respond       stress testing also, and starting to consider the role risk transfer capital plays. Industry
               and how these regulations impact potential strategy. The response of the Bank of          collaboration will be crucial to navigate the years ahead – the industry needs to think
               England’s PRA to the CBES in the UK should be carefully watched as it will show           outwards, through collaborative iniatives such as ClimateWise.
               where the regulator sees potential strengths and weaknesses.

               Net zero strategies begin to permeate the entirety of insurers                            Emerging systematic environmental risks and climate overlaps
               Behind all of this, we now have over two thirds of the global economy committed to        As insurers continue their TCFD exercises, focus should be on the strategic insights
               some kind of net-zero goal – insurers that haven’t considered transition risk when        the process gives you, rather than the reporting itself, which will become a
               planning investment in future lines of business need to do so now, or likely fail.        requirement across much of the world in coming years. Insurers should seize the
               A growing number of insurers are starting to align to their own net-zero targets, often   opportunities the energy transition and resilience brings to business. Further, there
               from an operations or investment angle, but the Net Zero Insurance Alliance               are other systemic environmental risks lapping at our shores – biodiversity and
               demonstrates this is beginning to permeate the entirety of an insurer.                    natural capital have significant overlap with climate risk and are getting the same kind
                                                                                                         of attention climate change was getting several years ago.

© 2021 Deloitte Ireland LLP. All rights reserved.                                                                                                                                                   18
The evolving insurance climate landscape
Through the pursuit of net zero strategies, a more connected climate landscape is evolving – one which is
demanding nature-based solutions and second-order social impacts be integrated into firms’ climate strategies

               Nature-based focus – role in net zero and adaptation                                  Just transition strategies - connection of ESG ‘S’ with net zero
               Following the Das Gupta Review, firms are increasingly seeking to value and assess     The pursuit of net zero generates new social equity challenges as it potentially
               impacts and dependencies on nature. Emerging standards exist to support with this     expands the existing and creates new protection gaps. This leads to new protection
               valuation (e.g. Partnership for Biodiversity Accounting Financials (PBAF) - this      opportunities, for example around income protection, in relation to job losses as
               requires updates to measurement, risk assessment and forecasting processes, in line   industries transition. Emergent financing alliances are committing through net zero
               with emerging reporting developments from the Taskforce for Nature-related            strategies to the pursuit of a ‘just’ transition. Place-based financing considerations are
               Financial Disclosures.                                                                emergent as a framework for examining impact.
                                                                                                     A just transition seeks to ensure that the substantial benefits of a green
                                                                                                     economy transition are shared widely, while also supporting those who stand to lose
                                                                                                     economically – be they countries, regions, industries, communities, workers or
                                                                                                     consumers.

               Increased quantitative focus                                                          Building back better post-COVID
               As the need for quantitative reporting evolves, insurers are seeking to understand    The Covid-19 pandemic has shone a light on the role of the industry and
               how and when standardised metrics will be introduced across the industry and what     opportunities for building back better. Either through due diligence through
               that will mean for reporting. Interest is growing on how might the ClimateWise        underwriting and investment decision-making, or through the opportunities to
               Principles, Guidance and member reporting process similarly develop, and if there a   leverage sustainable claims and build adaptative and mitigative capacity.
               role for expected KPIs or data sheets.

© 2021 Deloitte Ireland LLP. All rights reserved.                                                                                                                                             19
Establishing an ESG Journey
ESG best practice is a series of steps
                                                                                                            ESG integration

                                                                                                         Innovation can be
                                                                                 Strategy                catalysed by adjusting or
                                                                                                         expanding the product
                                                                                                         offering.
                                                                               Define and bring the
                                                                               sustainability strategy   Counterparty
                                                      Frameworks               to life.                  engagement can help
                                                                                                         reframe business models.
                                                                               Integrate ESG issues
                                                    Identify which             and consider steering     Embedding ESG into
                          Governance                frameworks are best        portfolios.               operations can enable a
                                                    suited for the business.                             more resilient business
                                                                               Climate scenario
             Develop new risk structures            This can help determine    analysis can actively     Capital can be
             – or build on existing ones –          KPIs, metrics and          support risk mitigation   reallocated to drive
             to equip the organization              objectives.                planning.                 greater impact.
             with ESG oversight.

© 2021 Deloitte Ireland LLP. All rights reserved.                                                                                    20
ESG regulatory requirements
Set out below is a summary of the key EU and UK sustainable reporting requirements. There may be additional
local reporting requirements and a number of voluntary reporting frameworks that firms can sign up to
                                                            What is it?                                 Status
                                                    • A common classification of economic            • Jan 2022 - the Delegated Act on the first two objectives
                                                      activities significantly contributing to six     are expected to apply (remaining 4 expected Jan 2023)
          EU Sustainable Finance
                                                      environmental objectives, using science-
          Taxonomy Regulation                         based criteria                                 • Jan 2022 - EU to publish a report on the taxonomy and
                                                                                                       social/non-green issues
                                                    • SFDR imposes mandatory ESG disclosure          • Jan 2022 - Periodic reporting and taxonomy alignment
          Sustainable Finance                         obligations for asset managers and other         disclosures (for environmental objectives) to begin for Art 8 &
                                                      financial markets participants                   9 Products that promote a sustainable investment objective.
          Disclosure Regulation (SFDR)
  EU

                                                                                                     • July 2022 (originally Jan 2022) – SFDR “RTS” on more detailed
                                                    • March 2021 - Level 1 principle based             Level 2 requirements for pre contractual and periodic
                                                      disclosures required                             reporting including Principal Adverse Impact (PAI) Reporting
                                                    • Reporting by large and listed companies on
          Non-financial Reporting                                                                    • Mid 2022 - CSRD reporting standards become available
                                                      their sustainability risks and impacts
          Directive (NFRD)/                                                                          • Jan 2023 - Firms apply CSRD standards for the first time
          {NEW} Corporate Sustainability            • All listed companies or large companies
                                                                                                       to reports published in 2024. Reporting through annual
          Reporting Directive (CSRD)                  that exceed 2/3 of the following: 1) BS
                                                                                                       report, digitisation, mandatory limited assurance
                                                      €20M, 2) Rev €40M 3) 250 staff
                                                    • Banks, buildings societies, insurance          • Jan 2022 - The PRA will review the quality of banks and
  UK

          PRA disclosure requirements                 companies and FCA premium listed                 insurers' 2021 TCFD disclosures. The PRA will review
                                                      aligned towards Task Force for Climate           disclosures after this deadline and determine whether
© 2021 Deloitte Ireland LLP. All rights reserved.     Related Disclosures (TCFD)                       additional measures are required.                       21
Overview of key supervisory expectations for insurers
As we approach COP26, we expect heightened focus by all stakeholders on the credibility of firms’ net zero
plans. Climate risk, ESG disclosures, “greenwashing”, and ESG data will also remain key priorities for firms

                                                    Strategy and business     Risk identification
                                                    model                      and risk appetite

                                                    Capital modelling
                                                    and stress testing      Asset transition risk

                                                    Governance and
                                                    culture                         Conduct risk

© 2021 Deloitte Ireland LLP. All rights reserved.                                                              22
Differential Pricing, Business Continuity, and Future Considerations
Derville Rowland | Director General, Financial Conduct | Central Bank of Ireland
24

Our mandate is to           Have sufficient financial
                           resources including under
deliver effective and                                     Have established robust
                         plausible but severe stresses,
                                                            governance and risk
                            are resilient, and can be
purposeful supervision     resolved effectively in the
                                                          management frameworks
that safeguards the        event of financial distress
interests of
policyholders and
                                                             That are proactively
supports a robust                                         developing their business
                            Behave well and have
insurance sector with     consumer centric cultures
                                                          models in order to operate
                                                           effectively in the future
firms that:                                                  insurance landscape

                                                                     Central Bank of Ireland - RESTRICTED
25

Differential Pricing -
Our proposals
                         Ban the practice of price walking in private motor and home
                         insurance

                            Require providers to review their pricing policies and processes
                            annually - to ensure that insurance providers maintain focus on
                            their pricing practices and the impact of such practices on their
                            customers

                         Introduce new consumer consent and disclosure requirements to
                         ensure the automatic renewal process is more transparent for all
                         personal non-life insurance products.

                                                                     Public consultation on
                                                                    our proposals open until
                                                                          22 October
                                                                         Central Bank of Ireland - RESTRICTED
26

  Business Interruption Insurance

  System
   wide                                Supervisory                               Claims
examination                            Engagement                               oversight

              Development of BI                      •Identified 31,000                     •Over €130 million
                                                      policies responsive to                 paid on 4,371 policies
              Insurance
                                                      BI                                     to date
              Supervisory
                                                     •Firms expected to                     •Continued monitoring
              Framework                               firms identify and                     to ensure insurers
              Analysis of 200                         contact all potentially                continue to meet their
              different policy types                  affected                               obligations on all
              across 27 insurers                      policyholders                          claims

                                                                                               Central Bank of Ireland - RESTRICTED
27

Looking ahead
            Digitisation

            Climate Change

            European developments

            Individual Accountability Framework

                                          Central Bank of Ireland - RESTRICTED
Q&A
Moderated by Donal Lehane| Partner | Deloitte Ireland

  Please put your questions in the Question Box on the panel
Insurance Webinar Series:
2022 Insurance Industry Trends

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