Jobs Online Trends in New Zealand Job AdverƟsements - Workforce and Workplace - MBIE
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Workforce and
Workplace
Jobs Online
Trends in New Zealand Job AdverƟsements
October 2018Ministry of Business, InnovaƟon and Employment (MBIE)
Hīkina Whakatutuki – LiŌing to make successful
MBIE develops and delivers policy, services, advice and regulaƟon to support economic growth
and the prosperity and well-being of New Zealanders.
MBIE combines the former Ministries of Economic Development, Science + InnovaƟon, and the
Departments of Labour and Building and Housing.
More informaƟon
InformaƟon, examples and answers to your
www.mbie.govt.nz quesƟons about the topics covered here can be
found on our website www.mbie.govt.nz or by
0800 20 90 20
calling us free on 0800 20 90 20.
Disclaimer
This document is a guide only. It should not be
used as a subsƟtute for legislaƟon or legal
advice. The Ministry of Business, InnovaƟon
and Employment is not responsible for the
results of any acƟons taken on the basis of
informaƟon in this document, or for any errors
or omissions.
2253-5721
October 2018
© Crown copyright 2018 The material contained in this report is subject
to Crown copyright protecƟon unless otherwise indicated. The Crown
copyright protected material may be reproduced free of charge in any
format or media without requiring specific permission. This is subject to
the material being reproduced accurately and not being used in a
derogatory manner or in a misleading context. Where the material is
being published or issued to others, the source and copyright status
should be acknowledged. The permission to reproduce Crown copyright
protected material does not extend to any material in this report that is
idenƟfied as being the copyright of a third party. AuthorizaƟon to
reproduce such material should be obtained from the copyright holders.IntroducƟon
• OVERVIEW OF KEY TRENDS
◦ Online adverƟsements increased by 1.9 per cent in the September 2018 quarter, the
same as the June 2018 quarter.
◦ The strongest increase over the quarter was in the Health Care and Medical, Construc-
Ɵon and Engineering, and Business Service industries, in most regions.
◦ The strongest percentage increase in online adverƟsing, over the quarter, came from
the Professional and Machinery Operator Driver occupaƟon groups, in most regions.
◦ Over the year, increase was contributed to by Highly Skilled and Unskilled jobs. Semi-
skilled jobs conƟnued to show the weakest increase, especially in the sales occupaƟon
group.
◦ Provincial New Zealand sƟll leads the increase in job adverƟsements over the quarter,
when unweighted change is considered. However, the size of Auckland and Wellington
meant they were the main contributors of quarterly increase, while Canterbury’s job
adverƟsements fell. Over the year, the main contributors of overall increase remained
in Auckland and Wellington when the volume of adverƟsements was considered.
Purpose of Jobs Online
Jobs Online measures changes in online job adverƟsements from four internet job boards: SEEK,
Trade Me Jobs, the EducaƟon GazeƩe and Kiwi Health Jobs. Job adverƟsements are a proxy for
job vacancies, a key indicator of labour demand and economic change.
The relaƟonship between job adverƟsements and labour demand is complex, parƟcularly when
disaggregated at an industry, occupaƟon and regional level. For example, an increase in job
adverƟsements by a parƟcular industry may indicate the industry is expanding, and looking for
new workers; or the industry has a high rate of churn (workers are moving between businesses,
but overall employment is not necessarily increasing). Likewise, declining job adverƟsing can
signal reduced headcount in an industry, or that the industry is using alternaƟves to online
adverƟsing in their hiring process (such as word-of-mouth or social networks).
The lead results use unweighted changes — both quarterly and annual. When volume or the
number of lisƟngs are menƟoned the changes are weighted by the volume of adverƟsements.
This means a small increase in Auckland will have more impact on the overall results than a large
increase in a smaller provincial town. With these caveats in mind, data from Jobs Online tracks
well with other labour market indicators, such as the unemployment rate.Overall Job AdverƟsements
Job adverƟsements point to an steady upwards trend in job openings
Online job adverƟsements increased by 1.9 per cent in the September 2018 quarter. This is the
same increase recorded in the June 2018 quarter. Overall, job adverƟsements rose by 8.4 per
cent in the year to September. Recent indicators of business confidence give weight to an steady
upward increase in employment intenƟons: NZIER’s Quarterly Survey of Business Opinion, for
example, shows a net eight per cent of businesses intend to increase the number of their
employees over the next quarter, the same as the previous quarter.1
Figure 1: All Vacancies Index
1
New Zealand InsƟtute of Economic Research, Quarterly Survey of Business Opinion: September quarter 2018
MINISTRY OF BUSINESS, INNOVATION & EMPLOYMENT 2 Jobs Online: September 2018Figure 2: Annual change in All Vacancies Index
Annual Percentage Change (%)
15
10
5
0
2012 2014 2016 2018
MINISTRY OF BUSINESS, INNOVATION & EMPLOYMENT 3 Jobs Online: September 2018Job AdverƟsements by Industry Quarterly increase was led by both the Healthcare and Medical and Primary industries At an industry level, percentage increase over the September quarter was led by both the Health Care and Medical, and the Primary industries. The main contributors to the overall increase in adverƟsing over the quarter, in terms of the number of lisƟngs, were Health Care and Medical, and Business Services. The main contributors for the annual increase were similar. Figure 3: Quarterly and annual changes in online job adverƟsements by industry MINISTRY OF BUSINESS, INNOVATION & EMPLOYMENT 4 Jobs Online: September 2018
Figure 4: Indices by industry MINISTRY OF BUSINESS, INNOVATION & EMPLOYMENT 5 Jobs Online: September 2018
Job AdverƟsements by OccupaƟon and skill level AdverƟsements for higher skilled jobs on the increase This quarter saw an increase in the number of adverƟsements for Professional, and Clerical and AdministraƟon occupaƟons. Demand fell in four occupaƟon groups (Sales, Technicians and Trades, Community and Personal Services, and Managers). Over the year, the increase was largest for the Labourer occupaƟon group, followed by Professionals. Over the quarter, the main occupaƟons where adverƟsed vacancies increased in terms of lisƟngs were Professionals, and Clerical and AdministraƟon workers. The occupaƟons contribuƟng to the annual increase were similar. Figure 5: Quarterly and annual changes in online job adverƟsements by occupaƟon MINISTRY OF BUSINESS, INNOVATION & EMPLOYMENT 6 Jobs Online: September 2018
Figure 6: Indices by occupaƟon Higher skilled jobs lead increase The quarterly increase in adverƟsed vacancies was strongest for Highly-skilled and Skilled jobs. There were weaker levels of increase for Semi-skilled, Low Skilled, and Unskilled jobs, reflecƟng a longer-term slow-down. The annual increase was greatest in Highly Skilled areas, followed by Unskilled. The skill levels contribuƟng most to increase were Highly Skilled, and Low Skilled vacancies when the numbers of adverƟsements are considered — both quarterly and annually. Figure 7: Quarterly and annual changes in online job adverƟsements by skill level MINISTRY OF BUSINESS, INNOVATION & EMPLOYMENT 7 Jobs Online: September 2018
Figure 8: Indices by skill levels MINISTRY OF BUSINESS, INNOVATION & EMPLOYMENT 8 Jobs Online: September 2018
Job AdverƟsements by Region Provincial New Zealand sƟll leads increase in job adverƟsing The three regions with the highest increase over the quarter were in Gisborne/Hawkes’s Bay, Northland, and Manawatu - Whanganui/ Taranaki, while in Canterbury vacancies fell. While vacancies in Auckland increased modestly, the region’s size means that it had the greatest impact on overall increase during the quarter, followed by Wellington and Waikato. The highest quarterly increase by volume in vacancies, for most regions, was in the Health Care and Medical, ConstrucƟon and Engineering, and Business Service industries. By occupaƟon, most regions had their highest increase in the contribuƟng occupaƟon groups of Professional, Labourer, Clerical and AdministraƟon, and Machinery Operator and Driver. The volume of adverƟsed job vacancies fell in Canterbury over the quarter, as a result of falls in the Health Care and Medical service, and Hospitality and Tourism industries and in the Sales occupaƟon group. Annually, the regions where increases in lisƟngs were highest were in Gisborne/Hawkes Bay, Whanganui/ Taranaki and Waikato. Figure 9: Quarterly and annual changes in online job adverƟsements by region MINISTRY OF BUSINESS, INNOVATION & EMPLOYMENT 9 Jobs Online: September 2018
Figure 10: Indices by region • NORTHLAND Northland job adverƟsements grew by 5.5 per cent over the quarter, and 18.5 per cent over the year: the level of increase has picked up over the last year. The main contributors to this increase were Health Care and Medical, ConstrucƟon and Engineering, and Business Service industries. OccupaƟons making the greatest contribuƟon to the increase were Professionals and Managers, followed by Clerical and AdministraƟon workers. These occupaƟons, together with Technician and Trades workers, contributed most to the annual increase. • AUCKLAND Auckland job adverƟsements grew by 2.2 per cent over the quarter, and 4.9 per cent over the year. This is a moderate increase for this region — both quarterly and annually. The main contributors to the quarterly increase were the Health Care and Medical and Manufacturing industries; and the Professional, Community and Personal Service worker, and Labourer occupaƟon groups. On an annualised basis, the increase had the same contributors, along with the InformaƟon Technology industry. MINISTRY OF BUSINESS, INNOVATION & EMPLOYMENT 10 Jobs Online: September 2018
• WAIKATO Waikato job adverƟsements grew by 2.8 per cent over the quarter, and 16.5 per cent over the year. The greatest contributors to the quarterly increase were the Health Care and Medical, ConstrucƟon and Engineering and Business Service industries; and the occupaƟon groups of Professional, and Clerical and AdministraƟon workers. On an annualised basis, the increase had the same contributors, along with the InformaƟon Technology industry. On an annualised basis, the increase had the same contributors, along with the Manager occupaƟon group. • BAY OF PLENTY Bay of Plenty adverƟsements rose 2.2 per cent in the quarter, and 16 per cent over the year. The Quarterly increase was contributed to by the Health Care and Medical, Business Service industries and the occupaƟon groups of Professionals, and Clerical and AdministraƟve workers. Over the year, the Health Care and Medical, Hospitality and Tourism, and Sales industries; and the Professional, Manager, and Clerical and AdministraƟon occupaƟon groups made the greatest contribuƟon to the increase. • GISBORNE/HAWKE’S BAY Gisborne/Hawke’s Bay experienced a strong increase of 7 percent in the September quarter, and of 29.2 per cent since September 2017. The quarterly increase reflects the impact of a strong increase in the Health Care and Medical, and Business Services, and ConstrucƟon and Engineering industries; and the Professional, Clerical and AdministraƟon, and Labourer occupaƟon groups. The Health Care and Medical, and ConstrucƟon and Engineering industries; and Professionals and Technician and Trades worker occupaƟon groups had the biggest impact, over the year. • MANAWATU-WHANGANUI/TARANAKI Manawatu-Whanganui/Taranaki experienced a strong increase of 4.6 percent in the September quarter, and strong increase of 20.7 per cent since September 2017. Health Care and Medical, ConstrucƟon and Engineering, and Manufacturing industries and the Professional and Labourer occupaƟon groups were the main contributors to the quarterly increase. The main contributors for the annual increase were similar. • WELLINGTON Wellington showed a strong increase of 4.1 per cent in the September quarter, and moderate increase of 11.4 per cent over the year. The increase over the quarter was made up of increases in vacancies in ConstrucƟon and Engineering, Health Care and Medical, and InformaƟon Technology industries; and the Professional, Technician and Trades, and Machinery Operator and Driver occupaƟon groups. Over the year, Business Services, Health Care and Medical, and MINISTRY OF BUSINESS, INNOVATION & EMPLOYMENT 11 Jobs Online: September 2018
Hospitality and Tourism industries, and the Professional and Manager occupaƟon groups had the strongest increase. • NELSON/TASMAN/MARLBOROUGH/WEST COAST Rising 1.8 per cent in the September quarter, the upper South Island was influenced by Health Care and Medical, ConstrucƟon and Engineering, and Primary industries; and the Technician and Trades and Professional occupaƟon groups. Over the year a rise of 13.1 per cent was contributed to by similar industries and occupaƟons. • CANTERBURY Canterbury was the only region to decrease by 2.1 per cent over the quarter, and by 1.3 per cent over the year. Over the quarter, strong increase in the ConstrucƟon and Engineering, and Manufacturing industries was offset by falls in the Health Care and Medical, and Hospitality and Tourism industries. Increases in Manager, and Labourer occupaƟon groups were offset by falls in the Sales occupaƟon group. Over the year, the strong increase in the Health Care and Medical, and Hospitality and Tourism industries was offset by falls in ConstrucƟon and Engineering and Manufacturing. Similarly, increases in Machinery Operator and Drivers, and Technician and Trade workers occupaƟon groups was offset by falls in Professional, Community and Personal Service occupaƟons. • OTAGO/SOUTHLAND Job adverƟsements in Otago/Southland rose by 1.9 per cent in the September quarter, and 14.3 per cent over the year. For the quarter the most significant increases were in Health Care and Medical, and ConstrucƟon and Engineering industries; and the Professional and Machinery Operator and Driver occupaƟon groups. The annual increase was contributed to by similar industries, but Clerical and AdministraƟon workers increased more than the Machinery Operator and Driver occupaƟon group. MINISTRY OF BUSINESS, INNOVATION & EMPLOYMENT 12 Jobs Online: September 2018
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