Journey from Descriptive Analytics to Predictive Analytics - Session ID # 83598 Balaji Sundaram, BI Analyst, Benjamin Moore & Co - Insights

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Journey from Descriptive Analytics to Predictive Analytics - Session ID # 83598 Balaji Sundaram, BI Analyst, Benjamin Moore & Co - Insights
Journey from Descriptive Analytics to Predictive
                  Analytics
      Balaji Sundaram, BI Analyst, Benjamin Moore & Co
Sree Rajitha Indraganti, Lead BW Analyst, Benjamin Moore & Co
                    Session ID # 83598

                                                   May 7 – 9, 2019
Journey from Descriptive Analytics to Predictive Analytics - Session ID # 83598 Balaji Sundaram, BI Analyst, Benjamin Moore & Co - Insights
About the Speakers
Speaker Name                    Speaker Name
• Balaji Sundaram - Business    • Sree Rajitha Indraganti –
  Intelligence Analyst            Business Warehouse Lead
• 5 years of experience in BI   • 10 years of experience in
• Certified Data Scientist        SAP BW
Journey from Descriptive Analytics to Predictive Analytics - Session ID # 83598 Balaji Sundaram, BI Analyst, Benjamin Moore & Co - Insights
Agenda
•   Introduction
•   Reporting System Architecture
•   Descriptive to Predictive Analytics
•   Benefits Realized
•   Roadmap
Journey from Descriptive Analytics to Predictive Analytics - Session ID # 83598 Balaji Sundaram, BI Analyst, Benjamin Moore & Co - Insights
Benjamin Moore & Co. Company Overview
• Benjamin Moore & Co., a Berkshire Hathaway company, was founded in 1883.
• One of North America's leading manufacturers of premium quality residential,
  commercial and industrial maintenance coatings, Benjamin Moore & Co.
  maintains a relentless commitment to innovation and sustainable manufacturing
  practices.
• The Benjamin Moore premium portfolio spans the brand’s flagship paint lines
  including Aura, Regal Select, Natura and ben. The Benjamin Moore & Co. family
  of brands includes specialty and architectural paints       from Coronado,
  Corotech, Lenmar and Insl-x.
• Benjamin Moore & Co. coatings are available primarily
  from its more than 5,000 locally owned and operated
  paint and decorating retailers.
Journey from Descriptive Analytics to Predictive Analytics - Session ID # 83598 Balaji Sundaram, BI Analyst, Benjamin Moore & Co - Insights
Benjamin Moore & Co. Company Overview

              “Benjamin Moore’s primary goal: turn out
              the best paint in the world and have the
              best retailer organization in the world”
Journey from Descriptive Analytics to Predictive Analytics - Session ID # 83598 Balaji Sundaram, BI Analyst, Benjamin Moore & Co - Insights
Wonder What Your
 Customer really
     wants
Give them before they
      could ask
Journey from Descriptive Analytics to Predictive Analytics - Session ID # 83598 Balaji Sundaram, BI Analyst, Benjamin Moore & Co - Insights
Modern BI and Analytics Platforms
High                                                                                              Today                      3 to 5 Years
Pervasiveness of ML-Enabled Advanced Insight

                                                                          Visual-Based Data
                                                                          Discovery
                                                                          Platforms
                                                                                                                            Pervasive
                                               Semantic Layer-
                                               Based Platforms                                                              Autodescriptive
                                                                                                Business-Led                Diagnostic
                                                                                                Descriptive/                Predictive, Prescriptive
                                                                                                Diagnostic
on All Data

                                                                 IT-Led
                                                                 Descriptive
Low
                                               Months                                                   Days/Hours                       Instant/In-Line
                                                                                                 Time to Advanced Insight                                  Source: Gartner
Journey from Descriptive Analytics to Predictive Analytics - Session ID # 83598 Balaji Sundaram, BI Analyst, Benjamin Moore & Co - Insights
From Traditional Reporting Process

 QUERY               RESULT

          DATABASE
         (BW/HANA)
Journey from Descriptive Analytics to Predictive Analytics - Session ID # 83598 Balaji Sundaram, BI Analyst, Benjamin Moore & Co - Insights
Reporting Process Towards…
             PAST DATA

             TRAINING

  NEW DATA    MODEL      RESULT   ACTION
Journey from Descriptive Analytics to Predictive Analytics - Session ID # 83598 Balaji Sundaram, BI Analyst, Benjamin Moore & Co - Insights
Old Vs New Architecture
Old                                                 New
                                                      SAP
  Oracle                           Stage
                                                    BW/HANA                  Stage
                                                                                           SAP HANA
                                           EDW
  CRM                       Hist                      CRM
                                           Oracle
                                                                 SAP Data
              Informatica                                       Services /            Non-EDW
                                   Stage                        Workbench            Oracle Loads
Ecommerce                                           Ecommerce

                                           Non-
                                           EDW
                            Hist
   DB2                                     Oracle      DB2                             Sybase
                                           Loads

      Flat                                              Flat
      Files                                             Files
Reporting System Architecture – Pre SAP
Initiative
          Reporting   SAP Business Objects BI Enterprise 4.2 SP03
          Layer                  WebIntelligence
                                 Web Intelligence

                                         Oracle
                                        Data
                                         DataMarts
                                             Marts
          Data
          Warehouse                   Tables
                                       Tablesand
                                              andViews
                                                  Views

          Layer                           Staging
                                           Staging

                         Flat Files        Legacy System
          Source
          System
                                      3rd Party
          Layer                       Systems
Project Delivery – Tracking / Keeping Pace
•   Project life cycle
     – Phase 1 (SAP Data)
          •   Began July 2015
          •   Sprint 1 go live Jan 2016
          •   Sprint 2 Phase 1 go live Jan 2017
          •   Sprint 2 Phase 2 go live Dec 2017
     – Phase 2 (Non SAP data)
          •   Began October 2017
          •   Sprint 1 go live April 2018
          •   Sprints 2 and 3 go live May 2018
          •   Sprint 4 to be completed June 2018
•   Delivered using Agile methodology for SAP BW and Scrum approach for HANA
•   Each sprint had a series of associated RICEFs
     – Each RICEF had a series of associated tasks/ effort
     – Delivered End to End to a final Business Objects report
•   Daily standups with visual progress tracking
Program Background: Prism
Benjamin Moore & Co. embarked on a business transformation effort – Prism – with a
multiphase implementation of SAP ECC, beginning in 2014, with these primary objectives:

•   Advance and standardize business processes to support future growth

         Order             Procure          Record            Forecast
         to Cash           to Pay           to Report         to Stock
•   Enable enhanced analytics and data-driven decision-making
Reporting System Architecture – Phase 1 (2015 – 2017)

    Reporting   SAP Business Objects BI Enterprise 4.2 SP03             Dashboards and Visualizations
                            Web Intelligence                                     QlikSense
    Layer

                        SAP BW 7.4 SP11 on HANA                                        Oracle

    Data                               BEx Queries                                    Data Marts

    Warehouse                     Composite Providers                            Tables and Views
    Layer        Open ODS Views       Advanced DSOs       InfoObjects
                                                                                       Staging

                        SAP ECC 6.0 SP07 on HANA
    Source               Standard and Generic Data Sources

    System            FM Extractors                   CDS Views
                                                                         Flat Files                Non SAP
    Layer
                               ABAP Dictionary Tables                                 3rd Party
                                                                                      Systems

                           HANA Enterprise Cloud                                      On Premise
2015        2016        2017        2018         2019   2020

                    Reporting Flow
• BW BEx Queries used as foundation for WebI
  reports, via BICS connection, eliminating the
  need for Universes

• BOBJ Web Intelligence as the reporting front end
  interface for all pre-built and ad-hoc user reporting

• WebI integrated with third-party tool to provide
  flexible and dynamic broadcasting of reports

• Ad-hoc: Users can copy and modify reports in
  personal folders or create new reports
2015   2016   2017   2018   2019   2020
2015   2016    2017   2018   2019   2020

                   Challenges
• Change Management
2015        2016    2017   2018   2019   2020

                                  Challenges
  • Data Literacy
Business                                                IT

• Knows what the                                        • Knows how to build and
  data means                                                 manage data systems

• Knows how to interpret                                • Knows how to build and
  the data to make                                           update reports
  decisions
                                                        • DOESN'T know what
• DOESN'T know how to                                        the data means or what
  think about data                                           decisions should be
  technically (organize,                                     made from it
  classify, etc.)
2015     2016     2017     2018   2019   2020

• More Training Sessions
• Increased number of Powers users
• Increased number of Business users
• Faster reporting than before
• Additional IT resources
2015   2016   2017    2018   2019   2020

                   In Favor
– Self Service Analytics
 was getting matured
– Descriptive Analytics and
 Ad-Hoc reporting
 increased
2015   2016   2017   2018   2019   2020

                  Challenges
• Heavy Usage of Excel
2015        2016        2017   2018   2019         2020

                                Challenges
• Heavy Usage of Excel
• Inconsistency in Metrics
         CHAOS                                            DOUBT
 Anyone and Everyone can
                                                     Can we trust our data?
    manipulate the data
Different People were getting
                                              Are our conclusions accurate?
       different results
2015   2016   2017   2018   2019   2020

                   Challenges
• Heavy Usage of Excel
• Inconsistency in Metrics
• Data Trust
2015      2016                2017           2018           2019      2020
                                                                                               Modern BI and Analytics Platforms
High                                                                                               Today                      3 to 5 Years
Pervasiveness of ML-Enabled Advanced Insight

                                                                           Visual-Based Data
                                                                           Discovery
                                                                           Platforms
                                                                                                                                Pervasive
                                               Semantic Layer-
                                               Based Platforms                                                                  Autodescriptive
                                                                                                 Business-Led                   Diagnostic
                                                                                                 Descriptive/                   Predictive, Prescriptive
                                                                                                 Diagnostic
on All Data

                                                                  IT-Led
                                                                  Descriptive
Low
                                               Months                                                    Days/Hours                           Instant/In-Line
                                                                                                  Time to Advanced Insight
2015      2016     2017   2018   2019   2020

 Predictive Analytics
• First need from Business
   o Forecast the need for Raw
     Materials

• Business Involved
   o Procurement and Supply
     Chain

• Partially Satisfy the requirement
  using - Excel and SAP BO
2015   2016   2017   2018   2019   2020
2015   2016   2017   2018   2019   2020
2015   2016    2017   2018   2019   2020

                       Challenges
• Not dynamic in
  generating results
• Not powerful enough to
  handle large data sets
• Capable of performing
  only algorithms
2015     2016       2017     2018   2019   2020

                                   In Favor
• Business users realized the need
  and advantages of predictive
  Analytics

• Preliminary Evaluation and POC’s
   o SAP Predictive Analytics
   o Text Analytics via HANA Libraries
   o Text Analytics via HDInsight and
     Qliksense
Reporting System Architecture – Phase2
 Reporting   SAP Business Objects BI Enterprise 4.2 SP03       Dashboards and Visualizations
 Layer                   Web Intelligence                               QlikSense

                     SAP BW 7.4 SP11 on HANA               SAP HANA Enterprise                 IQ
 Data                       BEx Queries                      Calculation Views

 Warehouse              Composite Providers                         DLM                     Cold Data
 Layer         Open ODS      Advanced                            HOT DATA
                Views          DSOs        InfoObjects

                    SAP ECC 6.0 SP07 on HANA
 Source          Standard and Generic Data Sources
 System          FM Extractors          CDS Views           Flat Files      Non SAP
 Layer
                       ABAP Dictionary Tables                             3rd Party
                                                                          Systems

                       HANA Enterprise Cloud                        HANA Enterprise Cloud
Benefits Realized
• High Performance: power of HANA for better performance
• Integration: SAP and Non-SAP on a single HANA platform for
  better data integration, support and maintenance
• Predictive and agile analytics with historical sales data
• Improved use of previously unused data
• Multi temperature data management using DLM
2015      2016     2017       2018   2019   2020

• Known Customer Needs
   o Publish forecast results in DSR App
   o Publish retailer churn analysis SMD App
• Proof of Concept
   o Real Time Predictive Analytics
   o Integrated R with Qliksense
   o Integrated Rapidminer with Qliksense
   o Integrated HANA with R & Rapidminer
• Business Unit
   o Presented Live Demo to FP&A and Pricing Team
2015   2016   2017   2018   2019   2020
2015   2016   2017   2018   2019   2020
2015         2016     2017           2018           2019       2020

                                      Applications

                                      Advanced Analytics                       End User

                                        Qliksense

                            Social         Retailer/       Forecast
   Database                 Media         Contractor       Analysis           Developer
                           Analysis     Churn Analysis
(HANA, Azure, Big
     Data)                                   R

                                               New Customized
                           Trained Models     Models (throughAPIs)           Data Scientist
Modern BI and Analytics Platforms
High                                                                                              Today                      3 to 5 Years
Pervasiveness of ML-Enabled Advanced Insight

                                                                          Visual-Based Data
                                                                          Discovery
                                                                          Platforms
                                                                                                                            Pervasive
                                               Semantic Layer-
                                               Based Platforms                                                              Autodescriptive
                                                                                                Business-Led                Diagnostic
                                                                                                Descriptive/                Predictive, Prescriptive
                                                                                                Diagnostic
on All Data

                                                                 IT-Led
                                                                 Descriptive
Low
                                               Months                                                   Days/Hours                       Instant/In-Line
                                                                                                 Time to Advanced Insight
2015   2016   2017   2018   2019   2020

       Business Requirement for AI
• Retailer Churn
• Price Elasticity
• Forecast Gallons
2015   2016   2017   2018   2019   2020
2015   2016    2017    2018   2019    2020

        Lets looks at some Numbers
Stores closed after renovating – We could have saved $175k
2015   2016    2017    2018   2019    2020

        Lets looks at some Numbers
Stores closed after renovating – We could have saved $175k
         Gallons were lost due to the churned customers
2015    2016    2017    2018    2019    2020

      Lets looks at some Numbers
Stores closed after renovating – We could have saved $175k
         Gallons were lost due to the churned customers
 would have been the profit margin from all discontinued stores
2015     2016     2017     2018      2019        2020

                   First Predictive Model
• Develop the model within Enterprise
• Predictive Model – R/ Python                                         R/ Python

• Semi-supervised Learning                                           SAP
                                                                   Leonardo
  o Clustering the Retail Outlets (Unsupervised Learning)
  o Random Forest for building the tree (Supervised Learning)
                                                                       Qliksense
• AI Platform – SAP Leonardo
• Visualization – Qliksense
2015   2016        2017          2018      2019            2020

                             First Predictive Model
                                                                                                Tidbits
                                                                                        U.S. companies lose
                                                        Sales                            $136.8 billion per
                                                                                             year due to
                                                                                        avoidable consumer
                                                                                             switching.
                                                                                             - CallMiner
                                                                     Accounts

       Tidbits
Churn can increase
                                    Promotions
                                                 Churn              Receivable

  by up to 15% if
 businesses fail to
    respond to
                                                 Model
  customers over
   social media.                           Demograp
     - Gartner                               hics/
                                            External
                                                                CRM
2015   2016       2017      2018       2019        2020

           First Predictive Model
Confusion Matrix – Preliminary Results based on
              data through 2017
                                Actual      Actual Active
                             Discontinue
            Predicted            34               52
           Discontinue
            Predicted            7                1742
                                                              Label
              Active                                          No – Discontinue
              Total              41               1794        Yes - Active
2015       2016      2017       2018       2019       2020

The work in progress model predicted 74% of Churned “Paint and Decorating”
   Retailers out of all the churned “Paint and Decorating” Retailers in 2018
2015       2016       2017       2018      2019         2020

The work in progress model predicted 74% of Churned “Paint and Decorating”
   Retailers out of all the churned “Paint and Decorating” Retailers in 2018
                                    Actual       Actual Active
                                 Discontinue
                 Predicted           74%                0
                Discontinue
                 Predicted           26%                0
                  Active
2015     2016   2017   2018   2019   2020

       Where are we heading to…
2015             2016              2017           2018            2019       2020

Our Vision
                                                                                      Modern BI and Analytics Platforms
  High                                                                                    Today                   3 to 5 Years
  Pervasiveness of ML-Enabled Advanced

                                                                     Visual-Based
                                                                     Data Discovery
                                                                     Platforms
                                                                                                                      Pervasive
                                         Semantic Layer-
                                         Based Platforms                                                              Autodescriptive
  Insight on All Data

                                                                                        Business-Led                  Diagnostic
                                                                                        Descriptive/                  Predictive,
                                                           IT-Led                       Diagnostic                    Prescriptive
                                                           Descriptive
  Low
                                         Months                                                Days/Hours                        Instant/In-Line
                                                                                                                                               Source: Gartner
                                                                                         Time to Advanced Insight
Q&A
             For questions after this session, contact us at
            Balaji Sundaram                               Sree Rajitha Indraganti
Email: Balaji.Sundaram@benjaminmoore.com             Email: Sree.rajitha@benjaminmoore.com
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/balaji-   LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/sree-rajitha-
             sundaram-994b4665/                                indraganti-7430158a/
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