Know Your Rivers - Salmon and Sea Trout Catchment Summary River Wye

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Know Your Rivers - Salmon and Sea Trout Catchment Summary River Wye
Know Your Rivers -
                                                     Salmon and Sea Trout
                                                     Catchment Summary
                                                     River Wye
Introduction
This report describes the status of the salmon and sea trout populations in the Wye
catchments. Bringing together data from rod catches, stock assessments and juvenile
monitoring, it will describe the factors limiting the populations and set out the challenges
faced in the catchment.
Action tables set out habitat improvements to restore freshwater productivity of salmon and
sea trout populations. These tables also include some work which will be carried out by our
partner organisations, not just Natural Resources Wales (NRW).
NRW has a duty, defined in the Environment (Wales) Act 2016 to have Sustainable
Management of Natural Resources (SMNR) at the core of everything that we do. By applying
the principles of SMNR in all of our activities - from agriculture, forestry and flood defence to
development planning - we are undertaking catchment-wide initiatives that will deliver for
fish stock improvements. Our reports highlight the importance of considering the whole
catchment when identifying and addressing fisheries issues; and of working with partners.
NRW is committed to reporting on the status of salmon stocks in all of our principal salmon
rivers for the Salmon Action Plans and condition assessments under the Habitats Directive
in SAC rivers; all fish species in all of our rivers are reported for the Water Framework
Directive (WFD). This report will fulfil these commitments and provide an informative and
useful summary of stock status and remedial work planned, for our customers, specifically
anglers, fishery and land owners; as well as our partners.

Catchment
The River Wye rises from an altitude of 741m in the Welsh mountains at Plynlimon and at
250km in length it is the 6th largest river in the UK. The principal tributaries are the Elan,
Ithon, Irfon, Lugg and Arrow, and the Monnow. The Lugg and Arrow rise in Wales and then
flow east through England before joining the Wye at Hereford, in addition significant parts of
the Monnow catchment and main river Wye also lie within England.
Land-use in the catchment is predominantly agriculture (with some woodland and residential
areas). Higher grounds and poorer soils to the north and west supporting largely
monoculture conifer forestry and pastoral farming, give way to higher quality and more
intensive arable agriculture in the south and east of the catchment. In the upper catchment
the headwaters of the Elan River are impounded, creating the Elan Valley system of
reservoirs.
The Wye catchment is one of great ecological value. It has many SSSIs and the main river
and many of its tributaries are designated as a riverine SAC under the Habitats Directive for
ten rare or threatened nationally and internationally important species. These species
include seven fish species - Atlantic salmon; allis and twaite shad; brook, river and sea
lamprey; and bullhead.

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Know Your Rivers - Salmon and Sea Trout Catchment Summary River Wye
The River Wye is a well-established and nationally significant salmon rod fishery with the
most recent reported rod catch (2015) of 1212. Salmon are found throughout the Wye
catchment except in the upper reaches of the Elan, above the reservoirs. Fish passes
installed at numerous weirs across the Lugg and Arrow, and at Osbaston on the Monnow
have opened up these catchments and have resulted in the inclusion of these catchments
in the Salmon Conservation Targets. The Wye catchment has suffered from declining rod
catches, and after some years of promoting voluntary catch and release, a Wye specific
byelaw was introduced in June 2012 which mandated the release of all rod caught salmon.
A small number of sea trout are caught on the Wye (84 fish in 2015). Because sea trout rod
catch is low and they are rarely targeted by anglers on the wye, we will not further consider
sea trout within this report.
The River Wye and its tributaries are also a locally important brown trout, coarse fish and
grayling fishery. Elver fishing takes within the tidal reaches of the Wye.

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Know Your Rivers - Salmon and Sea Trout Catchment Summary River Wye
Rod catches
The following graph shows the total declared rod catches, including numbers released or
killed for salmon on the Wye, since 1960. Returns are collected from the Wye Owners Group,
and more recently we use the data which the Wye and Usk Foundation (WUF) collect from
the fishery owners. Release data is taken from the rod licence returns, these are likely to be
a slight underestimate as the full returns are invariably lower than the owners returns.
The trend is dramatically downwards since the 1960s, but has considerable variability within
it, peaking at 7854 in 1967 and dropping as low as 320 in 1992. Signs of an upturn in the
trend are apparent in recent years.

                                                     Salmon rod catch, River Wye
                9000                                         1960-2015
No. of salmon

                6000

                                                                                                             Released

                                                                                                             Killed
                3000

                   0
                       1960

                              1964

                                     1968

                                            1972

                                                   1976

                                                          1980

                                                                   1984

                                                                          1988

                                                                                 1992

                                                                                        1996

                                                                                               2000

                                                                                                      2004

                                                                                                              2008

                                                                                                                      2012

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www.naturalresourceswales.gov.uk                                                                             Page |3
Know Your Rivers - Salmon and Sea Trout Catchment Summary River Wye
Monnow Fish Counter
The Monnow catchment had been entirely inaccessible to migratory fish for the best part of
300 years, due to the large weir at Osbaston. In 2008 we installed a pool and traverse fish
pass and a Vaki river watcher fish counter to assess the extent of the re-colonisation of the
catchment. The Vaki fish counter produces images using infrared light. As fish pass through
the infrared scanner plates an image is produced. Underwater cameras were also installed
to help with species identification. With the opening of Osbaston fish pass and the removal
of Kentchurch weir (in 2011), 200km of the river Monnow catchment have become
accessible for migratory fish. Since Osbaston fish pass was opened, salmon and large
numbers of brown trout have been recorded migrating upstream.

                                                         Vaki image of a Salmon

                                                        Camera image of a Salmon

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Know Your Rivers - Salmon and Sea Trout Catchment Summary River Wye
Stock Status
Conservation of Salmon
Salmon stock status is assessed through the use of ‘Conservation Limits’ (CL) which
provide an objective reference point against which to assess the status of salmon stocks
in individual rivers. The numbers of salmon a river can produce (and consequently the
catches that the stocks support) are a function of the quality and quantity of accessible
spawning and rearing area. This is why, in general, big rivers have larger catches and have
correspondingly bigger total spawning requirements (or Egg Deposition Targets - EDT)
than small rivers. Thus, for any given rivers there should be an optimum level of stock
which the CL seeks to protect. The Conservation Limit represents the number of eggs that
must be deposited each year within a given catchment in order to conserve salmon stocks
in the future.

                                                                       River Wye
                                          Estimates of egg deposition, and compliance with conservation limit
                                    3.0

                                    2.5
   Log (egg deposition, millions)

                                    2.0

                                    1.5

                                    1.0

                                    0.5

                                    0.0
                                       2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
                                                                         Year

The Conservation Limit for the Wye is set at 38.57 million eggs, represented by the red
line on the graph. The current estimate of number of eggs is being deposited is marginally
below the Conservation Limit which puts the Wye salmon stock ‘Probably At Risk’ but
with an improving trend. In 5 years’ time, the predicted status of the Wye salmon stock will
be ‘Probably Not At Risk’. Based on current and predicted trends, the Wye salmon stock
will continue to improve. This is a very positive improvement on recent years.
To describe the estimate of compliance as salmon available to spawn; we would need
around 8000 salmon running the river to spawn to meet the conservation limit, our estimate
for 2015 was 7300 fish.

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www.naturalresourceswales.gov.uk                                                                       Page |5
Juvenile Abundance Monitoring
The following maps show the results of the routine juvenile salmonid population surveys
from 2015 in Wales and England. The surveying programme (and responsibility for the river)
is split between Natural Resources Wales, who are responsible for the Welsh Wye, and the
Environment Agency on the English side. Results from the Monnow salmon investigations
can be seen in the Appendix.
The symbols display the National Fish Classification Scheme (NFCS) grades which have
been developed to evaluate and compare the results of fish population surveys in a
consistent manner. The NFCS ranks survey data by comparing fish abundance at the survey
sites with sites nationally where juvenile salmonids are present. Sites are classified into
categories A to F, depending on densities of juvenile salmonids at the site. The following
table shows the values and classification of NFCS.

           Grade           Descriptor                     Interpretation
             A              Excellent         In the top 20% for a fishery of this type
             B               Good             In the top 40% for a fishery of this type
             C                Fair          In the middle 20% for a fishery of this type
             D                Fair          In the bottom 40% for a fishery of this type
             E                Poor          In the bottom 20% for a fishery of this type
             F              Fishless                No fish of this type present

Juvenile salmon were recorded in at 22 of 28 Wye sites in 2015; the exceptions being the
sites on the Monnow and upper Lugg and upper Arrow catchments.
Salmon have never been recorded at the three Monnow sites due to man-made barriers,
some but not all of which have now been made passable or removed. The Lugg, Arrow and
Hindwell brook sites also have migration barriers, and records of salmon are patchy in these
areas.
Eleven of the 28 sites had salmon fry classifications of Excellent (A) or Good (B), although
salmon parr classifications were considerably lower, with none Excellent and just three
Good.
Juvenile brown trout were recorded at 27 of 28 Wye sites in 2015; the exception being the
site on the Ithon at Dol y Dre which has only had three records of trout since 1985 and none
since 2004.
Just eight of the 28 sites had trout fry classifications of Excellent (A) or Good (B), and as
seen with the salmon parr, trout parr and adult (>0+) classifications considerably lower, with
none Excellent and just two Good.

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Juvenile salmon distribution within the Wye catchment
In 2014 a full spatial programme, comprising 179 sites, was undertaken on the Wye. The
distribution of juvenile salmon from these surveys is shown in the map below. Data from a
further 44 sites surveyed in 2013 in the Irfon catchment as part of the ISAC project; and 18
in 2013 and 2015 on Monnow and Lugg are also included for a more complete picture. As
can be seen, juvenile salmon were recorded at most of the sites in the catchment (162/241).
The majority of sites with salmon absent are on the upper Lugg, Lugg and Arrow tributaries,
the Frome and Lodon, and the Monnow catchments, all of which have migratory access
problems that are not yet fully resolved. It is worth noting that for the first time in many years,
salmon were found at every site on the main Lugg and Arrow up to the English / Welsh
border. NB – the absences which appear on this map to be on the River Lugg downstream
of Hereford are in fact on the Wellington and Moreton Brooks.

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Juvenile Trend Analysis
Trends in the population data for juvenile salmon and brown trout were assessed using
Bayesian statistical linear and non-linear models.
The linear model fits a straight line to the data in order to determine whether a trend (upwards
or downwards) is present. The statistical significance of the trend is denoted by the P value,
P>0.975 indicates a statistically significant upward trend (or a 97.5% chance of an upward
trend) and P0+ densities have also shown some improvement.

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Juvenile Salmon Trends

                     1                                                                                                            95% Confidence Interval around trend
                                                                                                                                  median
                                                                                                                                  Temporal variation around trend, with 95% CI
                     0
  Log Density

                     -1

                     -2

                     -3
                                 1985

                                               1987

                                                          1989

                                                                        1991

                                                                                         1993

                                                                                                       1995

                                                                                                                 1997

                                                                                                                          1999

                                                                                                                                  2001

                                                                                                                                             2003

                                                                                                                                                       2005

                                                                                                                                                                     2007

                                                                                                                                                                                   2009

                                                                                                                                                                                                 2011

                                                                                                                                                                                                           2013

                                                                                                                                                                                                                   2015
                                        Linear analysis of salmon population in Wye catchment, 1985 to 2015 (P = 0)

                2
                                                                                                                                          Median trend
                                                                                                                                          Temporal variation around trend, with 95% CI
                                                                                                                                          95% confidence interval around trend
                1
 Log Density

                0

                -1

                -2
                                                                                                              1997
                          1985

                                        1987

                                                       1989

                                                                     1991

                                                                                      1993

                                                                                                  1995

                                                                                                                        1999

                                                                                                                                 2001

                                                                                                                                            2003

                                                                                                                                                      2005

                                                                                                                                                                    2007

                                                                                                                                                                                   2009

                                                                                                                                                                                                 2011

                                                                                                                                                                                                          2013

                                                                                                                                                                                                                   2015
                                           Non-linear analysis of salmon population in Wye catchment, 1985 to 2015

                1

                0
 Log Density

                -1

                -2                                                                                                                         95% confidence interval around trend
                                                                                                                                           median
                                                                                                                                           Temporal variation around trend, with 95% CI
                -3
                                                                                                                        2008
                             2002

                                                2003

                                                              2004

                                                                               2005

                                                                                                2006

                                                                                                              2007

                                                                                                                                   2009

                                                                                                                                               2010

                                                                                                                                                             2011

                                                                                                                                                                            2012

                                                                                                                                                                                          2013

                                                                                                                                                                                                        2014

                                                                                                                                                                                                                  2015

                                   Linear analysis of salmon population in Wye catchment, 2002 to 2015 (P = 0.9271)

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Juvenile Brown Trout Trends
                                                                                                                                  95% confidence interval around trend
                -1                                                                                                                Temporal variation around trend, with 95% CI
                                                                                                                                  median

                -2
   Log Density

                -3

                -4

                -5
                                  1985

                                            1987

                                                          1989

                                                                        1991

                                                                                        1993

                                                                                                    1995

                                                                                                                1997

                                                                                                                         1999

                                                                                                                                 2001

                                                                                                                                         2003

                                                                                                                                                  2005

                                                                                                                                                            2007

                                                                                                                                                                           2009

                                                                                                                                                                                          2011

                                                                                                                                                                                                        2013

                                                                                                                                                                                                                  2015
                                     Linear analysis of brown trout population in Wye catchment, 1985 to 2015 (P = 0.0184)

                                                                                                                                        Median trend
                             0                                                                                                          Temporal variation around trend, with 95% CI
                                                                                                                                        95% confidence interval around trend

                             -1
               Log Density

                             -2

                             -3

                             -4
                                                                          1991
                                     1985

                                               1987

                                                             1989

                                                                                          1993

                                                                                                        1995

                                                                                                                  1997

                                                                                                                          1999

                                                                                                                                 2001

                                                                                                                                         2003

                                                                                                                                                  2005

                                                                                                                                                            2007

                                                                                                                                                                          2009

                                                                                                                                                                                         2011

                                                                                                                                                                                                   2013

                                                                                                                                                                                                               2015

                                            Non-linear analysis of brown trout population in Wye catchment, 1985 to 2015

                                                                                                                                        95% confidence interval around trend
                                                                                                                                        median
                  -1                                                                                                                    Temporal variation around trend, with 95% CI

                  -2
 Log Density

                  -3

                  -4

                  -5
                                     2002

                                                   2003

                                                                 2004

                                                                                 2005

                                                                                                 2006

                                                                                                               2007

                                                                                                                         2008

                                                                                                                                 2009

                                                                                                                                           2010

                                                                                                                                                     2011

                                                                                                                                                                   2012

                                                                                                                                                                                  2013

                                                                                                                                                                                                 2014

                                                                                                                                                                                                               2015

                                     Linear analysis of brown trout population in Wye catchment, 2002 to 2015 (P = 0.9962)

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Fisheries Actions – Wye

                                                                                                                                    Timescales
Site         Action                                                       Benefits                              Lead   Partner(s)
                                                                                                                                    for delivery

             Barriers in Wales to be addressed:                           The last remaining significant
                 Crucorney Weir (SO3172220959) rock ramp below           barriers to salmon migration in the
                    weir; work is waiting suitable legal mechanisms for   Monnow catchment. Making them         NRW       WUF          2017
Monnow              delivery                                              accessible increases the spawning
             Barriers in England to be addressed:                         habitat available to salmon and       EA        WUF          2016
                 Monnow at Clodock (SO3269427496) - managed              trout; improving population size
                    through enforcement action.                           and viability.

             Barriers in Wales to be addressed:
                 Dolley Green Weir (SO275655) – lowering or removal.                                           NRW       WUF        2016/17
                    Alternative Mitigation Action
                 Gerwen (tributary) pipe bridge at SO223677 TBC                                                WUF                    TBC
                 Belddfa (tributary) weir/pipe bridge at SO207684 TBC                                          WUF                    TBC

             Barriers in England to be addressed, funded from FCRM        More habitat accessible to salmon
Lugg         Environment linked funding:                                  and trout; increased population
                 Ballsgate (SO418660) fish passage option and build      size and viability.
                                                                                                                EA        WUF        2016/17
                 Lugg Green (SO451619) reduction easement
                                                                                                                                      2016
                 Crowards Weir (SO484605) option appraisal
                                                                                                                                      2018
                 Coxall Weir (SO477606) option appraisal                                                                             2016
                 Gilberts Weir (SO465613) option appraisal                                                                          2016/17
                 Holgate (SO462613) option appraisal                                                                                2016/17
                 Lyepole Weir (SO392651) removal option appraisal                                                                   2016/17
             Barriers in Wales to be addressed:
                 Llanpica Weir (SO2330750258) – lowering or rock                                               NRW                  2016/17
                                                                          More habitat accessible to salmon
                    ramp. Alternative Mitigation Action
Arrow                                                                     and trout; increased population                 WUF
             Barriers in England to be addressed:
                                                                          size and viability.
                 Turners Mill (SO298564), to be managed through                                                EA                     2016
                    enforcement action.

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Fisheries Actions – Wye

Garth Dulas                                                                       Habitat remains accessible to
               Maintenance on fish pass at Garth to improve fish migration                                             NRW      WUF      2016
(Irfon)                                                                           spawning salmon and trout
               Barriers to be addressed:
                   Fernant (A470 crossing). Falls with fence causing a           More habitat accessible to salmon
Aran (Ithon)          blockage.                                                   and trout; increased population      NRW      WUF      TBC
                   A483 (SO0888073670). Pipebridge                               size and viability.
                   Dolau tributary. Stone weir in village

Upper Ithon    Habitat improvement
                                                                                  Cooler, cleaner rivers, mitigating
(other sites   As part of the Keeping Rivers Cool initiative, sites have been
                                                                                  climate change and so benefitting
in the Wye     identified for fencing in order to promote natural re-generation                                        NRW      WUF    2016/17
                                                                                  salmon and trout spawning and
to be          of trees/shrubs leading to increased shade and associated
                                                                                  egg/juvenile survival.
confirmed)     reductions in temperatures. Alternative Mitigation Action.
               Habitat Improvement
               Financed by fisheries improvement funds from Rod Licence
               Revenue; the Joint Working Partnership Fund and                    Reduced siltation, improved                   HWT
Whole          Competitive Fund                                                   spawning gravels. Improved           NRW      WUF
                   Riparian improvements                                                                                                2016
catchment                                                                         juvenile habitat. Restoration of      EA       NE
                   In-stream habitat work                                        favourable condition.                          FC
                   Invasive plant control
                   Farm liaison - better land management practices
                                                                                  Allowable catch for the Historical
                                                                                                                                       Ongoing
                                                                                  Instruments is dictated by
Severn         Manage Exploitation                                                                                             NRW     until 2018
                                                                                  management levels set in the         EA
Estuary        Management of the Severn Estuary mixed stock net fishery.                                                        NE     review of
                                                                                  habitats regulatory assessment to
                                                                                                                                         NLO
                                                                                  protect Wye Salmon stocks

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Fisheries Actions – Wye

            Agriculture
            Focusing on the Llynfi, Trothy and Ithon catchments in Wales;
            Lugg in England                                                                                            WUF
                Wet weather inspections                                                                                FC
Whole                                                                     Improved water quality for salmon    NRW
                Water quality investigations                                                                          MCC     Ongoing
catchment                                                                 and trout                             EA
                Farm compliance checks and associated                                                                 ADAS
                   enforcement.                                                                                        GWT
                Referral to Rural Payments Agency (RPA) when x-
                   compliance breaches identified – England
            Water Framework Directive
            We will continue to monitor the status of the environment     Water environment protected and
            and investigate causes of failures.                           improved.
Whole                                                                                                          NRW     WUF
            Refer to Severn River Basin Management Plan for more                                                               Ongoing
catchment                                                                                                       EA     WCP
            details                                                       More WFD waterbodies achieving
            https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/severn-river-      Good Ecological Status.
            basin-district-river-basin-management-plan
            Wye Catchment Partnership
                                                                          Improved water quality in the Wye
            Continue to develop a broad based partnership of interested
                                                                          catchment.
            parties & bodies with the objective of addressing all the
Whole                                                                     Projects effectively developed and   NRW
            issues affecting the Wye catchment, specifically to improve                                                  EA    Ongoing
catchment                                                                 delivered.                           WUF
            water quality and quantity.
                                                                          Opportunities and issues
            Refer to Wye Catchment Partnership for more details
                                                                          highlighted and discussed.
            www.wyecatchment.org

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  www.naturalresourceswales.gov.uk                                                                              P a g e | 14
Fisheries Actions – Wye

            Habitats Directive Review of Licenced Abstraction
            Consents
                                                                                                                               Licence
            NRW licences water abstractions from the river Wye. Over
                                                                                                                     DCWW      changes
            several years we have been reviewing these licences to        Enough water will remain in the
Whole                                                                                                        NRW      STW        2016
            ensure they do no harm to the features of the Wye Special     river to allow salmon and other
catchment                                                                                                     EA      WUF
            Area of Conservation (SAC). Salmon are a feature of the Wye   features of the SAC to thrive.
                                                                                                                              Compliance
            SAC. Many agricultural licences have already been changed.
                                                                                                                               by 2018
            Changes for the remaining water company licences are now
            being completed.

   NRW       Natural Resources Wales           NE        Natural England                      MCC     Monmouthshire County
                                                                                                      Council
   EA        Environment Agency                WCP       Wye Catchment Partnership            GWT     Gwent Wildlife Trust
   DCWW      Dwr Cymru Welsh Water             STW       Severn Trent Water                   FC      Farming Connect
   WUF       Wye and Usk Foundation            HWT       Hereford Wildlife Trust

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  www.naturalresourceswales.gov.uk                                                                             P a g e | 15
APPENDIX

In 2014 and 2015 we undertook investigations into the spread of salmon in the Monnow
catchment. This follows the installation of the fish pass at Osbaston (2008) and the removal
of the weir at Kentchurch (2011). In 2015, several 5-minute riffle surveys were carried out in
addition to the three temporal (one Welsh W020 and two English Llanveynoe and Abbey
Dore Court) sites in the catchment. The following map shows the results of this investigation
using a simple presence absence of juvenile salmon.

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