OPENING REMARKS FROM IFC INDONESIA - Dialogue to Drive Japanese Investments in Indonesia - International ...

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OPENING REMARKS FROM IFC INDONESIA - Dialogue to Drive Japanese Investments in Indonesia - International ...
OPENING REMARKS FROM IFC INDONESIA
Dialogue to Drive Japanese Investments in Indonesia

                Indonesia Country Manager
                       Azam Khan

                                                 April 23rd, 2021
OPENING REMARKS FROM IFC INDONESIA - Dialogue to Drive Japanese Investments in Indonesia - International ...
INDONESIA AT-A-GLANCE

                                                                                              7th largest economy
270 million population                     Rich in renewable resources …
                                                                                              US$1 trillion GDP, average of ~5% GDP
4th most populated country globally        (fishing, forestry, and agriculture)
                                                                                              growth since 1990

Young population                           … and non-renewable resources                      Investment grade
                                                                                              S&P-BBB negative, Moody’s-Baa2 stable,
Median age of 30                           (tin, gold, copper, nickel, bauxite, oil, & gas)
                                                                                              Fitch-BBB stable
OPENING REMARKS FROM IFC INDONESIA - Dialogue to Drive Japanese Investments in Indonesia - International ...
PREVALENT DEVELOPMENT GAPS FACED BY THE COUNTRY
         POVERTY AND HUMAN DEVELOPMENT INDICATORS                                                        BUSINESS ENVIRONMENT AND INVESTMENT

  ~10.2%                   ~1.5mn                                          ~96%                 EASE OF DOING BUSINESS
                               (6%)                   ~21                                                                                   COMPETITIVE INDEX RANKING
Poverty Rate at the
 National Poverty           Out of School         Infant Mortality
                                                                        Adult Literacy Rate
                                                                        (% of People Ages
                                                                                                         #73/190                                       #50/141
                        Children (% of Primary (Per 1000 Live Births)                                   Overall Ranking in
       Line                                                               15 and Above)                                                      Global Competitiveness Report 2019
                             School Age)                                                               Doing Business 2020

~27.6mn                       0.54                  ~28%                      ~9%
Individuals Living in      Human Capital           Stunting Rate           Prevalence of
                                                                                                  ~2.1% of GDP                                   ~34% of GDP
       Poverty              Index (0-1)           (Under 5 Years)       Undernourishment            Foreign Direct Investment
                                                                         (% of Population)                                                        Gross Capital Formation
                                                                                                          (Net Inflows)

   CLIMATE VULNERABILITY & ENVIRONMENTAL DEGRADATION                                                                         JOBS & GENDER

               RANKED                                               RANKED                                                           RANKED
                                                              #116/180                             ~22mn                            #85/153                   ~51%
                #64                                                                           will join workforce in the
                                                                                                                             Global Gender Gap Index
                                                                                                                                                          Female Bank Account
                                                     Environmental Performance Index (EPI)           next 10 years                                              Access
    Global Climate Risk Index 2020                                  2020                                                              2020

          0.45/#105                                           0.39/#103                        ~67%                 ~54%               ~60%                   ~94%
ND-GAIN Vulnerability Score/Rank out of              ND-GAIN Readiness Score/Rank out of       Labor Force          Female Labor       of SMEs are      Female Literacy Rate – 3
           181 Countries                                       191 Countries                   Participation        Participation     Women-owned       Percentage Points below
                                                                                                                        Rate                                     Male
OPENING REMARKS FROM IFC INDONESIA - Dialogue to Drive Japanese Investments in Indonesia - International ...
KEY CONTRAINTS TO PRIVATE SECTOR PARTICIPATION

  THE COMPETITION GAP                                                                     THE HUMAN CAPITAL GAP
  • Country with some of the strictest restrictions on FDI - FDI inflows                  • Gaps in both education and health diminishing labor productivity and slowing
    representing 2.1% of GDP (Vietnam (6.2%) and Malaysia (2.5%))                           down economic growth
  • Increased barriers to goods imports, raising the cost and reducing the                • Low levels of health spending (~1.4% of GDP) and high prices of nutritious
    availability of inputs                                                                  food, contributing to the prevalence of stunting and non-communicable diseases
  • Regulatory uncertainty, weak competition policy and enforcement - ranked                (NCDs)
    #140/190 on starting a business in Doing Business 2020 with overall Doing             • Limited access to financial services - ~20 million people still pay their bills and
    Business ranking of #73/190                                                             other expenses in cash and ~95 million adults don’t have an account at a financial
  • In response to the above factors, the government and Parliament passed the              institution
    Omnibus Law on Job Creation in 2020 with Implementing Regulations issued              • Inadequate skills cited as a top constraint when hiring managers and
    (Perpres/ PP) in February 2021                                                          professionals, addressed by the Omnibus Law on Job Creation with Implementing
                                                                                            Regulations (Perpres/ PP) issued in February 2021

  THE FINANCIAL GAP                                                                       THE INFRASTRUCTURE GAP
  • Underdeveloped financial markets - credit to private sector of 33% of GDP,            • The government’s limited fiscal capacity for infrastructure projects,
    deposits of 36% of GDP, and capital markets capitalization of 47% of GDP                particularly due to the COVID-19 pandemic
  • Corporate bonds instruments mainly are plain vanilla bonds, due to nascent            • Long period of underinvestment particularly in the energy, transportation, and
    stage of bond-market development, limited investor literacy, and tax and regulatory     digital sectors
    impediments                                                                           • The government’s SOE-driven model limits participation and competition for the
  • Highly concentrated banking sector dominates the financial system (78% of               private-sector in infrastructure sectors
    total financial assets), with four state-owned banks holding 44% of banking           • Low bankability of concessions and tariffs in most infrastructure sectors
    assets
                                                                                          • Domestic lending practices are unconducive to infrastructure financing - short
  • Underdeveloped sub-national financing markets, making it difficult for sub-             tenure loans and short-term outlook of local investors
    national governments to borrow

Source: The World Bank Country Private Sector Diagnostic 2019
OPENING REMARKS FROM IFC INDONESIA - Dialogue to Drive Japanese Investments in Indonesia - International ...
ECONOMIC GROWTH CONTRACTED DUE TO COVID-19,
                                BUT RECOVERY CONTINUES

                                    Q4

Source: Bank Indonesia, BPS, CEIC
OPENING REMARKS FROM IFC INDONESIA - Dialogue to Drive Japanese Investments in Indonesia - International ...
JOKOWI’S MAJOR POLICY REFORMS TO ATTRACT FOREIGN
          INVESTMENTS: THE OMNIBUS LAW ON JOB CREATION
The Omnibus Law was promulgated in November 2020 and the first wave of Implementing Regulations was issued in February 2021. The Law amends 76 different
  laws across 11 clusters and focuses on removal of sectoral discrimination towards foreign investment and simplification of business licensing. The Law will
                                                         facilitate reforms in the following key areas:
                         The Law substantially reduces the number of business activities subject to restrictions from 813 to 260.
                         • The Law permits foreign investment in hospital businesses (health sector) from a cap of 67%.
 INVESTMENT              • It also removes the government’s obligation of reserving sectors for SMEs.
                         The Law eases the issuance of work permits for foreign skilled workers and reduces barriers to import of key commodities and
     AND
                         industrial inputs.
   LABOUR                However, the Law excludes the revisions on the Education and Higher Education laws, which would have allowed for-profit education
                         legal entities to establish schools and higher education institutions and bring more flexibility for foreign education to operate in
                         Indonesia.

                         The Law stipulates the establishment of an Indonesian Sovereign Wealth Fund (SWF), known as the Indonesia Investment Authority (or
                         INA) to attract global investors into Indonesian based assets.
 SOVEREIGN
WEALTH FUND
                         Circumstances surrounding the SWF are still uncertain at this stage, but IFC has already established a dialogue with the entity,
                         including on potential pilot transactions.

                         The Law introduces a risk-based approach to business licensing that incorporates environmental permits.
ENVIRONMENT
                         The implementation of a risk-based system requires significant institutional strengthening across all levels of government and relevant
                         agencies, as well as the enactment of new standards. However, some of these arrangements are not yet fully detailed.
OPENING REMARKS FROM IFC INDONESIA - Dialogue to Drive Japanese Investments in Indonesia - International ...
IFC IN INDONESIA
                 STARTED OPERATING IN 1968, INDONESIA GRADUATED FROM IDA IN 2008

                                Over the last 10+ years, IFC committed 77 Long-Term Financing (LTF) projects worth US$5.5 billion
                                              (US$3.1 billion on Own Account (56%), US$2.4 billion Mobilization (44%))

     NEW INVESTMENT (US$ million)                                  PORTFOLIO AMOUNT BY SECTORS                                     NUMBER OF OUTSTANDING PROJECTS BY SECTORS

                                                                                    Private Equity Funds
                                                                                             6%
                                                                   Housing & Real
                                                                      Estate                                                                         Insurance and   Education, 1
                                                                        9%                                                                             Pensions, 1
                                                                                                                                                                                    Tourism, 1
                                                          Retail
                                                          10%
                                                Tourism                                                                                                                                Infrastructure
                                                  1%                                                                         Banking and                                                 Finance, 2
                                                                                                                            Microfinance, 14
                                           Disruptive                                                                                                                                         Disruptive
                                          Technologies                                                                                                                                      Technologies, 2
                                              1%
                                                                                                                                                                                                  Retail, 2
                                          Life Sciences
                                          and Medtech                                                                                                                                            Agribusiness, 3
                                                6%
TOTAL COMMITTED PORTFOLIO (US$ million)
                                                                                                             Banking and
                                                                                                             Microfinance                                                                         Life Sciences
                                                                                                                 40%                                                                             and Medtech, 3
                                          Agribusiness
                                               4%

                                                                                                                            Housing & Real                                                 Private Equity
                                              Manufacturing                                                                   Estate, 6                                                       Funds, 4
                                                  7%

                                                             Infrastructure
                                                                  12%                       Infrastructure                                     Infrastructure, 6           Manufacturing, 4
                                                                                               Finance
                                                                                                  4%
OPENING REMARKS FROM IFC INDONESIA - Dialogue to Drive Japanese Investments in Indonesia - International ...
IFC INDONESIA IN INFRASTRUCTURE
                                                                          SELECTED PROJECTS

                       ASAHAN 1                                                             SUNTER WTE                                                   LEGOK NANGKA WTE
                  Hydroelectric Power Plant                                                Waste-to-Energy Plant                                                 Waste-to-Energy Plant
                    North Sumatra, 2020                                                        Jakarta, 2021                                                     West Java, 2020-2023

  $230m               One of the Country’s
                     lowest cost producers          180                 $224m                     2,200                   35                     A/S                    1,820                 $265m
  loan facility            of power               megawatt           financing package        tons/ day capacity   megawatt electricity       IFC provides          tons/ day capacity   estimated project cost
                                              hydroelectric plant   incl. up to $94m IFC                                output            transaction advisory
                                                                             loan

Asahan 1 is a run-of-river hydro plant in North Sumatra,               The Sunter WtE is the first Waste-to-Energy plant in                 In August 2019, JICA signed a Cooperation Agreement
constructed in 2010 and selling electricity to Indonesia’s             Indonesia, which is developed to manage waste for                     with the Ministry of Finance (MoF), then in September
  national electricity utility company (PLN) under a 30-             Jakarta and sell power to PLN. The project is developed                  2019, JICA concluded a Project Services Agreement
 year long-term Power Purchase Agreement. It is owned                     jointly by Fortum Oyj and Jakarta Propertindo                      with IFC. Under these contracts, JICA, in cooperation
 by a subsidiary of PLN and Singaporean Fareast Green                  (“JakPro”). The total project cost is expected to be                 with IFC, will provide Transaction Advisory Services in
  Energy. In March 2020, IFC led refinancing of the debt            around $250-300m. The proposed IFC financing package                    support of procurement procedures by the Indonesian
with total refinancing package of $230m. IFC was able to            is up to $224m, consisting of up to $94m from IFC’s own                    Government agencies for selecting private project
extend the tenor to 17 years and improve pricing, hence                      account and up to $130m of mobilization.                       operator for Legok Nangka WtE. Legok Nangka WtE is
             improve the shareholders’ return.                                                                                                the first PPP Waste-to-Energy project in Indonesia.
OPENING REMARKS FROM IFC INDONESIA - Dialogue to Drive Japanese Investments in Indonesia - International ...
IFC INDONESIA IN FINANCIAL SECTOR
                                                                             SELECTED PROJECTS

             BTPN SME GREEN LOAN                                            SUSTAINABLE BOND PROGRAM                                                                       FMF KBC MSME LOAN
                      Commercial Bank, 2018                                                   Commercial Bank, 2020                                                          Multi-finance Company, 2020

   $150m                     $600m                  $70m                 $200m                        $350m                  $210m                   $50m                   $327m                  $34m
revolving loan from      expected green loan    expected SCF loan    loan facility from IFC      expected climate loan     expected loan to    loan facility from IFC   expected micro loan   expected SMEs loan
 IFC own account         outstanding by 2022   outstanding by 2022       own account              outstanding by 2024    WSME outstanding by       own account          outstanding by 2023   outstanding by 2023
                                                                                                                                2024

 BTPN SME Green Loan comprises of $150m revolving                      OCBC NISP Sustainable Bond Program comprises of a                         FMF KBC MSME Loan consists of a 3-years IFC’s loan
   loan to BTPN, the 9th largest bank in Indonesia, to                  Green Bond and a Gender Bond of $100m each. The                              of up to $50m to FMF, a mid-size multi-finance
  expand green financing and to increase lending to                      Gender Bond was the first ever gender bond in the                        company. The Project is guaranteed by KB Kookmin
 MSMEs focusing on the following two areas: (i) supply                    country. The Program leveraged blended finance                            Card (KBC), the parent company of FMF and the
chain finance (SCF); and (ii) women owned MSMEs. The                  resource from UK-IFC MAGC program to promote green                          second-largest credit card-issuing company in South
 Project is the first ever SCF engagement of IFC in the               building financing under Green Bond as well as We-Fi to                    Korea. The project will help FMF to continue lending to
                          country.                                      support the first ever gender bond in Indonesia and                      MSMEs and expand its newly launched SCF business.
                                                                             second issuance in the Asia Pacific Region.
OPENING REMARKS FROM IFC INDONESIA - Dialogue to Drive Japanese Investments in Indonesia - International ...
IFC INDONESIA IN MANUFACTURING AND SERVICES
                                                                              SELECTED PROJECTS

             TRANSCORPORA LOAN                                                           NABATI INDONESIA                                                 LOGOS INDONESIA
                  Retail Industry Player, 2018                                           Food Manufacturer, 2018                                      Logistics Property Specialist, 2020

   $275m              The first retail chain in
                       Indonesia to adopt             53,000                 $44m                $63m                   8,600                $120m             The project facilities
                                                                                                                                                               meet the IFC’s green
                                                                                                                                                                                        IFC’s countercyclical
                                                                                                                                                                                         role in supporting a
 financing package     IFC’s Excellence in         expected direct and      IFC A-loan      IFC B-loan and MCPP    expected direct jobs   consisting of $73m    building standards        large investment
incl. $60m IFC loan            EDGE               indirect jobs created                             facility         created from the     IFC loan and $47m                                    program
                                                   from the expansion                                                   expansion            mobilization

                                                                                                                                          The IFC investment is used to finance the development
                                                                          The financing package is used to expand Nabati’s wafer
   The financing package consists of an A-loan of up to                                                                                   of Grade A warehouse facilities in West Java. The client,
                                                                           and biscuit manufacturing plant in Majalengka, West
  US$60 million and mobilization of up to US$215 million                                                                                   Logos, is an experienced logistics property specialist
                                                                               Java. As the existing facilities are operating at
     to PT Trans Corpora, a leading player in the retail                                                                                      that develops and manages property assets for
                                                                             full capacity, the Project is necessary to maintain
industry in Indonesia. IFC’s investment is primarily used                                                                                      domestic and international companies, which
                                                                            Nabati’s continued growth. Nabati was started as a
 to expand TC’s retail, property, and tourism operations,                                                                                  lease warehousing space for their business activities.
                                                                          small-scale business, which was then transformed into
including for housing and hotels. The investment marks                                                                                      The investment marks IFC’s first formal engagement
                                                                          a professionally run company and becomes the market
       IFC’s first formal engagement with the Group.                                                                                                            with Logos.
                                                                                       leader for wafers in East Asia.
IFC STRATEGY FOR FY21-24
                                              PILLAR 1:                                                   PILLAR 2:                                                PILLAR 3:
                                      SUPPORTING SUSTAINABILITY                                      ENHANCING INCLUSION                                  IMPROVING COMPETITIVENESS

                            •      Fill the infrastructure gap                          •    Increase access to finance/ higher financial         •    Address skills gap and gender disparities
                            •      Make urban lives livable & sustainable                    inclusiveness for MSMEs, gender, and Supply          •    Access, affordability, and quality of healthcare
          Objectives        •      Reduce waste and carbon footprint of economic             Chain Financing (SCF)                                     and education
                                   activities                                           •    Develop and deepen the capital markets and           •    Increase value-added production beyond low-
                            •      Built resilience against natural disasters                Financial Institutions (FIs)                              wage competitiveness
                                                                                        •    Development of capital markets
                            •      Improve access to reliable and affordable                                                                      •    Human capital development – Health
                                                                                        •    Increase access to finance for MSMEs (through
                                   energy                                                                                                         •    Human capital development – Education
       Focus Areas                                                                           Supply Chain Financing (SCF) & Gender
                            •      Improve access to efficient logistics                                                                          •    Promote value-added and competitive sector –
                                                                                             Financing)
                            •      Improve urban services                                                                                              Agri and Tourism
                                                                                        •    Improve digital infrastructure and connectivity

                            •      COVID-19 facility (RSE)/ Capital injections/         •    Liquidity support for Banks/ Non-Bank Financial      •    COVID-19 facility (RSE)/ Liquidity support/
                                   Other support for clients (e.g., extension of             Institutions (NBFIs)                                      Working capital finance
       Relief
                                   loan’s disbursement period, cushions for CODs)       •    SME Guarantee Facilities; Risk Sharing
                                                                                             Facilities

                            •      Select corporate restructuring for infra players     •    NPL Resolutions/ Distressed Asset Recovery           •    Select corporate restructuring for real sector
  Restructuring                                                                              Program (DARP)                                            players
                                                                                        •    Insolvency frameworks

                            •      Renewable Energy                                     •    Capital markets development                          •    Health & Education (HealthTech/ EdTech)
                            •      Transport and logistics/ E-logistics                 •    Supply Chain Financing (SCF)                         •    Electric Vehicles (EV) supply chain*
     Resilient
                            •      SOE’s Asset Recycle                                  •    Gender Financing
     Recovery
                            •      Urban services, Municipal financing                  •    Fintech, digital finance
                            •      Electric Vehicles (EV) supply chain*                 •    Digital infrastructure/ connectivity
                                Digitalization of Economy: Harnessing digital technologies not only to power economic recovery in the short term, but to also bring greater inclusion and resilience in
                                                                                                         the medium term

* Cross-cutting sectors between INFRA and MAS
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