ORIX Aviation steps up for Avolon

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ORIX Aviation steps up for Avolon
September/October 2018
                                               YOUR ESSENTIAL INTELLIGENCE RESOURCE FOR AVIATION FINANCE

                                                                               ORIX Aviation
                                                                               steps up
                                                                               for Avolon
                                                                               The senior management
                                                                               explain the thinking
                                                                               behind the deal

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ORIX Aviation steps up for Avolon
Cover story

            ORIX Aviation
            steps up for Avolon
            The Dublin-based lessor’s move to take a 30% stake in Avolon,
            a company with a fleet three times its size, surprised many in
            the leasing industry. Jack Dutton speaks to the lessors’ senior
            management about the deal.

                                                 J    apanese-owned lessor ORIX
                                                      Aviation’s move to buy a 30% stake
                                                 in Avolon for $2.2 billion is the latest
                                                                                            been strong trading partners for the
                                                                                            past three or four years with 45 aircraft
                                                                                            valued at $3 billion being traded
                                                 in a series of divestments made by the     between both companies,” says Meyler,
                                                 Irish lessor’s once acquisitive parent,    in an interview with Airfinance Journal.
                                                 HNA Group.                                    He adds: “In knowing the Avolon
                                                     The Chinese conglomerate has           business well from our close working
                                                 shed nearly $17 billion in assets since    relationship, we knew there was
                                                 2017 after a multi-year asset binge.       limited overlap in our business models
                                                     The whole process began with a         which made it a fit.”
                                                 conversation between Avolon’s chief           Rumours first emerged at Airfinance
                                                 executive officer, Domhnal Slattery,       Journal’s Hong Kong event last
                                                 and James Meyler, chief executive          November that parts or the entire
                                                 officer of ORIX Aviation Hong Kong,        Avolon portfolio could be sold to a
                                                 in January in an informal setting about    rival lessor, with AerCap and CDB
                                                 the aspirations for their businesses.      Aviation being touted as possible
                                                     “ORIX Aviation and Avolon have         suitors.

22   Airfinance Journal September/October 2018
ORIX Aviation steps up for Avolon
Cover story

   The rumour mill started again this year                                                            He adds: “The great opportunity for
with various media reports indicating that                                                          Avolon is to have ORIX further turbocharge
HNA had contacted parties “in the last                                                              the level of activity in Japan so it becomes
couple of months” about buying a slice of                                                           the premier distributor of aircraft in the
the lessor. Hong Kong-based CK Holdings                                                             Japanese investor market, which over
and NWS were rumoured as potential                                                                  many cycles and decades has proven to
buyers.                                                                                             be a very resilient market. It’s perhaps the
   However, Slattery was quick to                                                                   deepest single market in the world for
deny these rumours on the day of the                                                                acquiring aircraft, be it corporate entities or
announcement, saying there was never any                                                            be it high net-worth individuals.”
formal sales process in place. He insisted
that sales talks only ever occurred with                                                            Complementary or competitive?
ORIX, which will finance the acquisition out                                                        The main benefit for Avolon in having ORIX
of cash from the ORIX Group. The deal is                                                            as a minority shareholder is the latter’s
expected to close in November.                                                                      investment-grade status.
                                                                                                       “ORIX fitted the profile of the investor
Deal challenges                                                                                     that would effectively remove any structural
“I think valuation is important,” says Slattery.                                                    impediments to our roadmap to investment
“This transaction has been valued at a                                                              grade,” says Slattery. “And we believe this
slight premium to our book value, but it’s                                                          transaction will achieve that and you’ll see
had a very significant premium on Bohai’s                                                           that any structural impediment of Avolon
price to book.” Bohai Capital is Avolon’s                                                           getting to investment grade has effectively
direct parent.                                                                                      been removed as a consequence of this
    According to Avolon, the HNA-owned                                                              transaction.”
lessor has an enterprise value of $23.7                                                                The deal is the largest-ever single
billion based on its 31 March status.                                                               dollar ticket for a minority investment in
    He adds: “Bohai’s stock price has had its                                                       an aircraft leasing company. Slattery says
challenges after the last number of weeks                                                           he was “convinced” that only a lessor with
after it effectively started trading again.                                                         ORIX’s scale, balance sheet, liquidity and
Bohai’s price is trading at a deep discount                                                         commitment to the leasing sector would be
to book, so this is a really smart transaction                                                      able to write a ticket of that size.
from the Bohai investor’s perspective.”                                                                Shareholders of Bohai Capital still need
    Although some market participants were                                                          to approve the deal, which includes a
surprised that ORIX ended up investing                                                              governance framework with significant
in Avolon, the lessor has been in the                 ORIX becoming a 30%                           protections for the minority shareholder.
space for 28 years and its parent, ORIX                                                                However, ORIX does not have a right
Corporation, has been consistently lending         shareholder in Avolon                            to purchase a larger stake of Avolon at a
and investing in airlines and aviation since                                                        predetermined price.
1978. ORIX Corporation has also invested
                                                   should be and will be                               “You should think about this split at
in airports and worked with companies              seen in the Japanese                             70 to 30% being a long-term stable split
such as Vinci Airports, which operates 36                                                           of the ownership of the business,” says
airports globally.                                 market as a very strong                          Slattery. “I think it’s fair to say, and I think
    Unlike Avolon, ORIX Aviation has a
long-term shareholding structure, being
                                                   endorsement of the                               this will be brought out in the rating agency
                                                                                                    releases when they come out over the
the industry’s longest single shareholder-         Avolon business model                            next few hours, that ORIX has got a series
owned leasing business. ORIX Aviation                                                               of minority shareholder protections that
combines larger aviation investments with          and franchise.                                   have got them very comfortable with their
asset management, which attracts both                                                               minority position.”
domestic Japanese and international                James Meyler, chief executive officer, ORIX         Slattery says that those minority
investors, as well as traditional aircraft         Aviation Hong Kong                               shareholder protections have also assisted
acquisition and leasing. In the financial year                                                      the agencies in becoming comfortable with
ending 31 March 2018, the lessor executed                                                           decoupling Avolon’s credit rating from its
$4.2 billion in transactions and has closed                                                         parent’s rating. He says the deal will take
more than $30 billion in deals over the past       endorsement of the Avolon business model         away the structural impediments of Avolon
15 years.                                          and franchise,” he says.                         getting to investment grade.
    Meyler says that the main challenges              Although Avolon already has several              “For the foreseeable future, 70 to 30% is
ORIX experienced when negotiating                  Japanese banks as part of its lending            what you’ll be looking at,” he adds.
the deal was defining the “insulation              syndicate, Slattery also believes that              Although both lessors have traded
framework” structure for Avolon as a fully         the ORIX stake is likely to improve the          many aircraft in the past, David Power,
funded and capitalised entity, independent         Japanese market’s perception of the HNA-         chief executive officer of ORIX Aviation,
of its troubled parent HNA Group.                  owned lessor, on both the bond investor          insists that the businesses are more
                                                   side or on the debt side.                        complementary than competitive.
Japanese endorsement                                  “ORIX is probably the most active                 “When we looked at the opportunity,
Meyler believes the deal will increase             distributor/syndicator in the Japanese           we could see that our businesses are very
Avolon’s foothold in the Japanese market.          investor market and has been for a very          complementary and the areas of overlap
   “ORIX becoming a 30% shareholder                long time,” says Slattery. “So, whether that’s   are minimal. That was very positive for
in Avolon should be and will be seen in            the single investor, Jol [Japanese operating     each of the parties; it also helps given
the Japanese market as a very strong               lease], ORIX are right up there.”                the strength of ORIX Corporation and the

                                                                                                                        www.airfinancejournal.com      23
ORIX Aviation steps up for Avolon
Cover story

     investment-grade aspirations of Avolon.”                                                        Avolon from HNA and gives ORIX Aviation
        Power says the deal will create “a win-                                                      has a powerful position at the board table
     win situation”, although both businesses                                                        with two board seats,” he adds.
     will continue to be run separately.
        As a 30% shareholder in Avolon, ORIX                                                         Putting dollars to work
     will benefit from the Chinese-owned                                                             For Avolon, the deal “accelerates its
     lessor’s cash flows and profits. Meyler, who                                                    roadmap” towards becoming an investment
     is also deputy chief executive officer and                                                      grade-rated lessor. As one of the largest
     chief commercial officer of ORIX Aviation                                                       buyers of aircraft in the world, becoming
     Group, says his company will also benefit                                                       investment grade will allow the lessor to
     from the returns made from Avolon’s                                                             buy aircraft at lower prices and access
     orderbook, but it will not be taking any of                                                     cheaper debt, accelerating its growth. It
     the orders itself.                                                                              also presents a significant deleveraging
        Meyler says: “We’re buying into the                                                          opportunity for its parent Bohai Leasing.
     business plan that Avolon has set out and                                                           Slattery does not expect HNA Group
     we want Avolon to keep growing, increase                                                        to extract any further capital from Avolon.
     in value and reach investment grade. That’s                                                     “Just normal on-the-run dividend flow
     very much our target for the investment.                                                        over years,” he adds, “so I think we’re
     ORIX Aviation will continue to grow by its                                                      in a different phase of the company’s
     business plan.”                                                                                 development now that ORIX has come to
        However, there will be areas of                                                              the table.”
     synergy. “We imagine in future there will                                                           For ORIX, which is primarily focused on
     be opportunities for us to cooperate on                                                         mid-life aircraft and asset management
     various types of transactions, especially in                                                    rather than new aircraft acquisitions from
     the Japanese market where ORIX is one of                                                        the original equipment manufacturers, it
     the key players,” says Meyler.                                                                  provides an opportunity for it to put its
        He adds that these transactions are likely                                                   dollars to work.
     to be aircraft trades.                                                                              “It’s an inflation hedge – inflation is
        ORIX has moved from owning and                                                               now back on the radar and so if you want
     managing 100 aircraft eight years ago to                                                        to put a significant amount of dollars to
     230 aircraft today. The lessor plans to                                                         work – and I think $2.2 billion in anybody’s
     grow to more than 300 aircraft in the next           Inflation is now back                      terminology is a big number – Avolon
     three years. Avolon, on the other hand,                                                         allowed them to put it to work in scale,”
     eventually looks to become the world’s           on the radar and so if you                     says Slattery.
     largest aircraft lessor. Its owned, managed                                                         ORIX has been through many industry
     and committed fleet was 890 aircraft at
                                                      want to put a significant                      cycles and events, including 9/11 and the
     30 June, making it the third largest behind      amount of dollars to work                      financial crisis of 2008. Meyler says the
     GECAS and AerCap.                                                                               lessor has had a strong past couple of
                                                      – and I think $2.2 billion                     years.
     HNA’s motivations                                                                                   “We’ve added almost 100 aircraft over
     Slattery insists that the deal was
                                                      in anybody’s terminology                       the last couple of years to our owned
     commercially rather than politically             is a big number – Avolon                       and managed portfolio,” he adds. “We’re
     motivated. He says conversations were                                                           now at just under 230 aircraft owned
     held purely between HNA Group, Bohai,            allowed them to put it to                      and managed, worth $10 billion. Our
     ORIX and Avolon, and they had nothing to
     do with China looking to sell off parts of the
                                                      work in scale.                                 business model is quite unique but also
                                                                                                     it’s complementary to the likes of Avolon
     HNA portfolio to reduce its debt burden.         Domhnal Slattery, chief executive officer,     where it has the orderbook.
        He indicated in an investor call in August    Avolon                                             “ORIX Aviation has bought into other
     that HNA had no interest in selling a                                                           investments in the past – airlines and
     controlling interest in Avolon.                                                                 airports; we’re an investor in aviation.
        On completion of the transaction, the         continue as a valued partner.”                 We see this as a very good investment
     revised Avolon board will comprise two              The fact that ORIX acquired a minority      and return on our equity as expected.
     ORIX directors, three Bohai directors, with      stake rather than a majority stake in Avolon   Even if the business is completely run
     Slattery as executive director and one           raised some eyebrows in the market,            independently to our business plan, we
     independent director.                            because it still allows Bohai and HNA to       expect the return on investment to be good
        “Having dealt with the HNA and Bohai          have majority control over the business.       and that’s accretive to our own business
     group in this process, it is fair to say that    However, Meyler seems comfortable with         because we’ll have 30% of their business.”
     they are a well-run and professional             this.                                              Although Slattery says that the
     organisation working diligently to                  “HNA and Bohai bring real value to          stakeholder structure of Avolon will not
     restructure their business model in line with    the table in terms of the ORIX Group’s         change in the short term, Power has
     their circumstances. This deal is assisting      position with the manufacturers and their      not ruled out increasing ORIX’s stake in
     that process,” says Meyler.                      knowledge and experience in the airline        Avolon sometime in the future. Asked
        “People need to remember that Avolon          and airport sectors,” says Meyler.             whether ORIX would consider eventually
     is fully funded from an equity perspective          “ORIX Aviation has certain minority         doing so, Power says: “We are committed
     and is very much a standalone global             shareholder protections that, in essence,      to this space and if the right opportunity
     entity. As such, Avolon is a real success        give us rights over key business decisions.    comes along to increase our investment
     story for HNA and fits its core aviation         Both ORIX Aviation and the rating agencies     in this space, we will certainly plan to take
     industry business focus. We expect them to       comfortable that this transaction decouples    advantage of that opportunity.”

24   Airfinance Journal September/October 2018
ORIX Aviation steps up for Avolon
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