Resilient performance; increased returns to shareholders - Full year results 2017 - STV Group plc

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Resilient performance; increased returns to shareholders - Full year results 2017 - STV Group plc
Full year results 2017

Resilient performance; increased returns to shareholders
Resilient performance; increased returns to shareholders - Full year results 2017 - STV Group plc
Revenue
Reflecting advertising market and strong digital growth

                                                2017      2016
                                                                  Change
                                                 £m        £m
Consumer
  National Airtime                               74.3      79.9     -7%
  Regional Airtime                               11.0      11.2     -2%
  Digital                                         8.4       7.4    +14%
  Sponsorship                                     5.7       5.4     +6%
  STV2                                            1.7       1.2    +42%
  Other                                           2.0       2.1     -5%
                                                103.1     107.2     -4%
  Internal supply                                (2.9)    (1.3)      n/a
                                                100.2     105.9     -5%
STV Productions                                  10.4      12.7    -18%
External Lottery Manager (ELM)                    6.4       1.8   +256%
Total                                           117.0     120.4     -3%
Resilient performance; increased returns to shareholders - Full year results 2017 - STV Group plc
2018 Q1 Outlook
Improving ad market and commissions increasing

                                Q1 2018

National Airtime                       +1%

Regional Airtime                20% to 25%

Digital                         20% to 25%

STV Productions                 commissioned titles revenues up 25% on 2017 full year
Resilient performance; increased returns to shareholders - Full year results 2017 - STV Group plc
Financial Results
(excluding exceptional items and IAS19)

Resilient performance in challenging market

                                           2017      2016   Change

EBITDA                                    £21.5m   £22.4m     -4%
Operating Profit                          £19.0m   £19.7m     -4%
PBT                                       £18.0m   £18.5m     -3%
EPS                                        39.6p    39.7p        -
Resilient performance; increased returns to shareholders - Full year results 2017 - STV Group plc
Resilience of business model
                                     2017                 2016
                                                                          2017             2016
                                      £m                   £m
     Consumer                        18.7                 19.6           18.7%            18.5%
     STV Productions                     0.3               0.1           2.9%              0.8%
     ELM                                   -                 -               -                   -
     Total                           19.0                 19.7           16.2%            16.3%

                                                                              Other
                                                Digital                  (includes cost
      2016                     NAA/ASA           profit                                   2017
                                                                            savings)
£m                              offset         increase    Productions
      19.7                                                                    0.7         19.0
                                                0.8              0.2
                               3.2

                       5.6
                   Channel 3
                    revenue
                   decrease
First period of expanded STV2
STV2 P&L

                                2017    2016
                                 £m      £m
Revenue                          1.7     1.2
Costs                           (2.5)   (2.0)
Total                           (0.8)   (0.8)
Strong digital growth
Digital P&L

                        2017    2016
                                        Change
                         £m      £m

Revenue                  8.4     7.4     +14%
Costs                   (3.8)   (3.6)     +5%
Total                    4.6     3.8     +21%
Margin                  55%     52%
ELM/Scottish Children’s Lottery
On track to breakeven

  Over 130,000 new customer sign ups with rich data
  New customer sign ups growing strongly
  Over 75% to investment/funding recoupment point by February (170k entries per week)
  £9.0m debtor balance as at 31 December 2017
  More than £1m raised for good causes by end 2017

                                                                                            170
 Weekly lottery draw sales (000’s)
                                                                        130
                                                       107
                                           78
                       66
      39

 Q1 2017          Q2 2017            Q3 2017      Q4 2017      Q1 2018 Projected    Cash breakeven
                                                                                   (mid 2018) target
Cashflow and Net Debt
Target range net debt: EBITDA achieved
                                           2017       2016
                                             £m        £m
Operating Profit                            19.0      19.7
Non-cash Items                               2.5       2.7
EBITDA                                      21.5      22.4
Working Capital Movements
- NAA/ASA timing                            (3.7)         -
- Other                                     (2.2)     (1.1)
Capex                                       (3.4)     (3.2)
Operating Cashflow                          12.2      18.1
Conversion                                  64%       92%
Pension deficit payments                    (7.9)     (7.8)
Interest paid                               (1.0)     (1.2)
Tax paid                                    (0.3)         -
Dividends paid                              (6.2)     (4.3)
SCL funding                                 (3.9)     (5.4)
Share purchases                             (2.0)         -
Investments                                     -     (0.1)
                                            (9.1)     (0.7)
Net Debt                                  £35.5m    £26.4m
Net Debt: EBITDA ratio (covenant basis)    1.41x     1.01x
Interest cover                             32.0x     26.2x
Pensions

                                                       Dec 2017            Jun 2017                Dec 2016
                                                            £m                  £m                      £m
Assets                                                       369                 358                     359
Liabilities                                                (440)               (442)                   (448)
(Deficit)/Surplus   - gross                                  (71)               (84)                    (89)
                    - net                                    (59)               (69)                    (73)

Discount rate                                             2.55%               2.75%                   2.80%
Inflation (RPI)                                           3.20%               3.20%                   3.30%

  Triennial valuation settlement (as at 1 January 2015) announced in December 2016

  Deficit funding recovery plan of 11 years agreed for pre-tax deficit of £130m, at 31/11/16 comprising
  - base contribution of £8.6m pa, paid monthly, increasing by 2% pa, plus
  - 20% contingent funding of any outperformance over an agreed cash generation target
  - cash generation target is stated after all funding needs of the business (eg capex, tax, interest, loyalty and
    incentive plan awards, working capital) and prior to pension funding payments and shareholder returns

  Next valuation (as at 1 January 2018) commenced and conclusion expected in Q1 2019
2017 KPI Update
The Key Performance Indicators (KPIs) will be reviewed through the strategic review
currently being undertaken

KPI                                                     2017 Actual       2018 Target        Performance

Group

 1 Non broadcast EBIT share                                 28%               30%              On track

Consumer

 2 Peak time audience ITV Network                     +0.6 share points To exceed network      On track

 3 Consumer division margin                                18.7%             20.0%          Trending below

      Consumer reach

   - STV                                                   3.5m              3.5m              On track
 4
   - STV2                                                  1.0m              1.3m              On track
   - STV Player                                            0.7m              1.3m              On track
   - STV.TV                                                3.7m              4.4m              on track
2017 KPI Update
The Key Performance Indicators (KPIs) will be reviewed through the strategic review
currently being undertaken

KPI                                                     2017 Actual      2018 Target       Performance
 5 Consumer engagement

      -   STV                                         39 mins per day   41 mins per day      On track
      -   STV2                                         1 min per day    10 mins per day   Trending below
      -   STV Player                                  43 mins per day   60 mins per day   Trending below
      -   STV.TV                                       3 mins per day   6 mins per day    Trending below
Consumer

 6 Consumer insights                                       2.5m              2.6m            On track

 7 Digital revenues                                       £8.4m            £11.4m            On track

 8 Digital margin                                          55%               55%             On track

STV Productions

 9 Production revenue                                     £10.4m           £20.0m         Trending below

10 Production margin                                        3%               6%           Trending below
Dividend Policy
Increasing returns to shareholders
                                                                             +6%
                                                              +13%
                                                +50%                         12.5p
                                                               12p
                                                 11p
                                 +25%
                  +400%
                                   7p                                                       Interim   Final
                    6p
   Return to
   dividend                                                     5p           5.5p
                                                 4p
                                   3p
      2p            2p
     2013          2014           2015          2016           2017          2018

   2017 proposed final dividend increased to 17p per share in line with previous guidance

   2017 proposed total dividend up 13% year on year

   Progressive dividend policy will continue, targeted at 60% - 80% of cash generated
   after pension funding arrangements
TV has a bright future
TV has a bright future, despite the challenges

                                                 TV still dominates
 Changing viewing habits
                                                   video viewing

Uncertain economic outlook                   TV advertising is robust and
  and structural pressure                      getting more effective

 Rise of digital advertising
                                           VoD makes TV bigger and better
         platforms

                                           More buyers of TV programmes,
   Growing influence of
                                            local content more important
   global media players
                                                      than ever
STV has a number of strengths and areas of competitive advantage

                                      Strong, trusted brand

                                                                 Unrivalled connection with
           Talented people                                         Scottish viewers and
                                                                         advertisers

   Robust balance sheet and
                                                                       Scotland’s most powerful
      growing returns to
                                                                          marketing platform
         shareholders

                                                               A production business well
        Profitable, growing digital
                                                              placed to benefit from ‘out of
                 business
                                                                      London’ push
                                      Settled relationship
                                            with ITV
However, we have some important strategic
           questions to address:

How do we build a distinctive, cost effective news organisation?

How do we broaden our programme offer beyond news?

What is our optimal line up of TV channels?

How can we deepen our relationships with advertisers?
However, we have some important strategic
               questions to address:

How do we position our production business to deliver more returning series?

Can we make more of our producer - broadcaster advantage?

How can we accelerate digital growth?

Are there things we should stop doing?
We began a strategic review in January and
            will provide an update in Q2

STV is a television business - that won’t change

News review commenced to deliver a future-facing news organisation

Review of TV channels underway in light of proposed BBC Scotland channel

STV Productions and digital also areas of strategic focus
Positive outlook for 2018 in key growth areas

        Channels               STV Productions                 Digital
  National and regional     Strong start to the year      Record VoD views
airtime both expected to                               pointing to double digit
     be positive in H1     Double digit revenue and        revenue growth
                            profit growth expected
In summary

  Resilient performance in 2017 with shareholder returns increasing

  Strong growth prospects building on STV’s core strengths

  Positive start to 2018

  Update on future plans in Q2
And finally… the STV Player now brings you boxsets

                   Marcella     Endeavour    Girlfriends
                   8 episodes   6 episodes   6 episodes
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