DEBTWIRE'S RESTRUCTURING ROULETTE TABLE - AN ACURIS COMPANY - PARR GLOBAL

 
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An Acuris Company

March 2020

Debtwire’s
Restructuring
Roulette Table

Debtwire.com
An Acuris Company

OVERVIEW

Considering recent market volatility, recessionary concerns and risk repricing due to COVID-19, we have                 TABLE OF CONTENTS:
decided to bring back our Restructuring Roulette Table to update subscribers on the status of issuers with              Restructuring Roulette
increased risk of near-term credit events. Debtwire’s Restructuring Roulette Table highlights the trigger points of     Table…………..………………...........3
borrowers that could lead to such a near term event, including upcoming coupon payments, distressed exchange
                                                                                                                        RESEARCH — NORTH AMERICA
deadlines, debt maturities, and borrowing base redeterminations or other developments that could lead to a
default. As of this report the issuer count stands at 42.                                                               Tim Hynes
                                                                                                                        Head of North American Research
                                                                                                                        212.574.7878
                                                                                                                        Tim.Hynes@acuris.com

                                                                                                                        Larry Feldman
                                                                                                                        Credit Analyst
                                                                                                                        646.378.3105
                                                                                                                        Larry Feldman@acuris.com

                                                                                                                        Rong Ren, CFA
                                                                                                                        Credit Analyst
                                                                                                                        646.412.5318
                                                                                                                        Rong.Ren@acuris.com

                                                                                                                        Seth Crystall
                                                                                                                        Senior Analyst
                                                                                                                        646.378.3105
                                                                                                                        Seth.Crystall@acuris.com
An Acuris Company
                                                      Debtwire North America Research - Restructuring Roulette Table
                                                                                                                                      Upcoming Trigger
          Issuer                     Sector                                      Recent Developments                                                         Trigger Event         Net Leverage at Face
                                                                                                                                          Dates
                                                                                                                                                              USD 322m in
                                                                                                                                                         Unsecured Bondholder
                                                                        • Drew down its Revolving Credit Facility                                              Coupon Due
 Frontier Communications       Telecommunications                                                                                        16-Mar-20                                         4.9x
                                                           • In discussions with creditors about various restructuring options                            (Unsecured notes are
                                                                                                                                                           trading around mid-
                                                                                                                                                                   30s)
                                                                                • In default since 2Q19                                                    RSA Forbearance
American Addiction Centers           Medical                                                                                             20-Mar-20                                        24.6x
                                                                      • Unable to recapitalize - Chapter 11 on deck                                            Expires
                                                                                                                                                           Bankruptcy Plan
        EP Energy                    Energy               • Commodity price collapse threatens bankruptcy plan effectiveness             23-Mar-20                                         7.8x
                                                                                                                                                            Effectiveness
                                                       • Failed to get bondholders on board with a proposed exchange offer that
                                                       first launched in November, and after five extensions now has a 30 March
                                                                                 participation deadline
                                                                                                                                                            Exchange Offer
         Unit Corp                   Energy            • Unit selected Opportune as operational advisor to help turn around its          30-Mar-20                                         2.8x
                                                                                                                                                               Expires
                                                                                        business
                                                       • Holders of 6.625% subordinated notes due 2021 hired Greenhill as they
                                                                               look to go restricted soon
                                                         • Collapse of commodity prices could threaten distressed exchange and                             Exchange Offer
   California Resources              Energy                                                                                              31-Mar-20                                         4.3x
                                                                                     company output                                                          Terminated
                                                                    • Hired Guggenheim Partners and Kirkland & Ellis                                         Forbearance
    Hornbeck Offshore            Energy Services                                                                                         31-Mar-20                                         N/A
                                                                 • Failed to achieve percentage threshold for exchange                                    Agreement Expires
                                                          •Hired restructuring advisors McDermott Will & Emery, and financial
                                                                                                                                                         Secured Net Leverage
      Quorum Health                  Medical                                    advisor Alvarez & Marsal                                 31-Mar-20                            4.49x at 30 Sept 2019
                                                                                                                                                          Ratio Drops to 4.5x
                                                                     •In discussions with KKR about recapitalization
                                                                  • Missed coupon payment on 2022 notes in Dec 2019                                                                 4.25x as of 30 Sept
     Tapstone Energy                 Energy                                                                                              31-Mar-20           Restructuring
                                                                            • Facing commodity price collapse                                                                              2019
                                                                     • Facing potential restructuring via Chapter 11
        Petroquest                   Energy                                                                                              31-Mar-20           Restructuring                 N/A
                                                                          • Affected by lower commodity prices
                                                                                                                                                               Forbearance
                                                                   • Missed interest payment due 18 February 2020
                                                                                                                                                           Agreement Expires
                                                       • Entered into a forbearance agreement with its first lien lenders following
                                                                                                                                                           (First lien term loan
Phillips Pet Food & Supplies        Consumer                                  the missing interest payment                               31-Mar-20                                         N/A
                                                                                                                                                         trading around 38 and
                                                          • Announced on 25 February 2020 that it has entered into a merger
                                                                                                                                                          second lien term loan
                                                                        agreement with Animal Supply Company
                                                                                                                                                              trading at 7.5)
                                                         • Reached an agreement with lenders to execute a sale of the company,
                                                                                                                                                         Potential Bankruptcy
          Akorn                  Pharmaceuticals                             potentially via Chapter 11                                  31-Mar-20                                         N/A
                                                                                                                                                                Filing

                                                      • Announced it does not expect to have sufficient cash flow to repay convert
      GNC Holdings               Consumer: Retail                           notes or tranche B-2 term loan                               31-Mar-20          Going Concern                  4.7x
                                                         • Expressed doubt regarding its ability to continue as a going concern
                                                                          • Debt trading at distressed levels
          Seadrill               Energy Services                                                                                         31-Mar-20        Looming Maturities              29.9x
                                                                        • Affected by lower commodity prices
                                                                                                                                                          2020 Convert Notes
                                                                        • Hired advisors for liability management
    Whiting Petroleum                Energy                                                                                              1-Apr-20                Maturity                  2.9x
                                                                        • Unsecured notes trading in the low 20s
                                                                                                                                                          (Trading around 74)
                                                        • Pitching a restructuring plan that would cut one third of its outstanding                        Revolver Maturity
     Longview Power              Electrical Power                                                                                        13-Apr-20                                         N/A
                                                                                           debt                                                           (Trading around 27)
                                                                                                                                                         Pyxus Has USD 900m
                                                             • Seeking an advisor to deal with over-leveraged balance sheet                              Debt Wall Due in 2021
    Pyxus International              Tobacco                                                                                             15-Apr-20                                        17.9x
                                                                  • Current environment might be difficult to refi debt                                  (First Lien 8.5% notes
                                                                                                                                                               trade at 90)
                                                          • Bondholder group is pushing back on distressed exchange proposal                              Proposed Exchange
   Sherritt International            Mining                                                                                              30-Apr-20                                        14.0x
                                                                                • Highly levered issuer                                                      Effective Date
                                                           • Hired Evercore to explore strategic options for capital structure                                Forbearance
   LSC Communications          Manufacturing: Other                                                                                      14-May-20                                         8.8x
                                                                      • Ad Hoc Group of bondholders has formed                                             Agreement Expires
An Acuris Company
                                                              • Extended forbearance Agreement through 29 May 2020
                                                                   • Reduce revolver size to USD 25m from USD 32.5                                       Forbearance
Core Molding Technology     Industrial Products                                                                                         29-May-20                              12.8x
                                                         • Hired Huron Consulting Services as a financial advisor to assist the                       Agreement Expires
                                                                     company to evaluate the strategic alternatives
                                                       • Opco bondholders hired Lazard and Milbank as advisors to discuss the
                                                     possibility of a swap of its Holdco notes into a senior position at Opco level ;
                                                                                                                                                     2020 Unsecured Notes
                                                        while the company tapped Moelis and Squire Patton Boggs as advisors
  Ferrellgas Partners            Energy                                                                                                 15-Jun-20          Maturity            9.3x
                                                                        • Issued going concern warning in 10-Q
                                                                                                                                                      (Trading around 24)
                                                        • Not in compliance with the fixed charge ratio contained in the senior
                                                                           unsecured notes due in June 2020
                                                                             • Upcoming term loan maturity
  Apogee Enterprises          Construction                                                                                              23-Jun-20     Term Loan Maturity       2.2x
                                                                                  • May face cyclical risks
                                                            • Working with Oppenheimer to address near term maturities                                ABL and Term Loan
    Latshaw Drilling             Energy                                                                                                  Jul-20                                N/A
                                                           • Faces adverse impact from reduction in oil and gas well drilling                              Maturity
                          Industrial Products and   • Examining refinancing plan with Stifel, Goldman Sachs, Macquarie and RBC
      TNT Crane                                                                                                                          Aug-20        Revolver Maturity       7.3x
                                 Services                                   • High levered, cyclical business
                                                                           • Debt trading at distressed levels                                        2020 Notes Mature
      Noble Corp                 Energy                                                                                                 1-Aug-20                               7.8x
                                                                         • Affected by lower commodity prices                                         (Trading around 87)
                                                               • Commodity price collapse impacts company production                                  2020 Notes Mature
  Chesapeake Energy              Energy                                                                                                 15-Aug-20                              3.4x
                                                                           • Debt trading at distressed levels                                        (Trading around 49)
                                                    • S&P downgraded the company's issuer credit rating to CCC- from CCC due
                                                                                                                                                     2020 Unsecured Notes
                                                               to the USD 442m debt maturities over the next 6 months
  Omnimax Holdings            Construction                                                                                              15-Aug-20          Maturity            N/A
                                                        • S&P believes a default, distressed exchange or restructuring appears
                                                                                                                                                      (Trading around 72)
                                                                              inevitable in the next 6 month
                                                                                                                                                     Springing Maturity of
   Martin Midstream              Energy                                    •Seeking to refi unsecured notes                             19-Aug-20    Revolver if unsecured     4.6x
                                                                                                                                                     notes not refinanced
                                                    • Sold two PJM power plants to EIG Global Energy Partners and the Carlyle
                                                                                                                                                     Term Loans Maturities
                                                                                         Group
     Panda Liberty           Electrical Power                                                                                           21-Aug-20                              N/A
                                                              • EIG and Carlyle are lining up a refinancing of senior debt
                                                                                                                                                      (Trading around 97)
                                                     • EIG and Carlyle last week made an equity cure of approximately USD 5m
                                                        • Facing parent-child well issues, as well as reduced commodity prices
    Templar Energy               Energy                                                                                                  Sep-20        Revolver Maturity       N/A
                                                                          • Upcoming credit facility maturity
                                                       • Has asked lenders to get restricted to discuss extending its near-term                       Term Loan Maturity
      Progrexion             Services (Other)                                                                                           29-Sep-20                              N/A
                                                                                       maturities                                                     (Trading around 52)
                                                     • S&P downgraded the company's first lien loan rating to CCC- from B- and
                                                                         second lien loan rating to C from CCC
                                                       • S&P expects USD 20m to USD 25m liquidity deficits over the next 12
                                                        months; S&P finds it challenging to refinance the company's USD 50m                            Revolver Maturity
       Alert 360             Services (Other)                                                                                           6-Oct-20                               N/A
                                                                        revolver which is due in October 2020.                                        (Trading around 49)
                                                    • Working with Kirkland & Ellis and Houlihan Lockey to evaluate options for
                                                                                  upcoming maturities
                                                    • An Ad Hoc group of lenders has organized with Gibson Dunn and Greenhill
                                                     • Working with Evercore on capital structure review, upcoming maturities                        Super-Priority Facility
     Vine Oil & Gas              Energy                                                                                                  Nov-20                                4.7x
                                                                        • Affected by lower commodity prices                                               Matures
                                                      • A group of Sandy Creek lenders has been consulting with legal counsel
                                                    Stroock & Stroock as investors brace for the borrower’s entire debt stack to                         Term Loan and
     Sandy Creek             Electrical Power                                     mature due in 2020                                    9-Nov-20      Revolver Maturities      13x
                                                       • S&P projects the company's liquidity is 'less than adequate' due to the                      (Trading around 85)
                                                                     upcoming maturity of the project's term loan
                                                                     • Working with advisors Moelis and Milbank                                        Inmarsat Payment
        Ligado             Telecommunications                                                                                           27-Nov-20                              N/A
                                                                   • Received amendment to put off restructuring                                     (USD 136m) Resumes
                                                    • Working with Houlihan Lokey and Akin Gump for assistance negotiating a
                                                          restructuring plan leading up to its December term loan maturity
                                                                                                                                                      Term Loan Maturity
    New Millennium               Medical                • Group of lenders are working with the company on an out-of-court              21-Dec-20                              19x
                                                                                                                                                      (Trading around 45)
                                                     restructuring plan that could result in the term loan lenders taking over the
                                                                                   company’s equity
                                                                    • Retained Houlihan Lokey as financial advisor
                                                      • The company's sponsor, ArchLight, pulled a USD 335m refinancing loan
                                                                                                                                                      Term Loan Maturity
  Chief Power Finance        Electrical Power                                             deal                                          31-Dec-20                              N/A
                                                                                                                                                      (Trading around 37)
                                                       • Potential for a breach of 1.1x debt service ratio within the next a few
                                                                                        months
An Acuris Company
                                                                                                     • Highly leveraged capital structure
             Valaris (Ensco/Rowan)                 Energy - Offshore Drilling     • Weak 4Q19 earnings; weak economies; low oil price; and expected cash       31-Dec-20    Possible Restructuring   39.0x
                                                                                                                      burn
                                                                                         • Postponed secured bond offering due to market volatility
                                                                                                                                                                            Term Loan B Maturity
               Del Monte Foods¹                          Consumer: Foods        • Faces potential restructuring or bankruptcy in the next twelve months per     Feb-21                               30.0x
                                                                                                                                                                             (Trading around 93)
                                                                                                                      S&P
                                                                                   • Highly leverage; 2020 cash burn expected; debt trading at distressed
               FTS International                             Energy                                                  levels                                    16-Apr-21     Term Loan Maturity      24.8x
                                                                                                    • Affected by lower commodity prices
                                                                                   • Ad Hoc group of crossholders proposing liquidity injection subject to
                                                                                                                                                                             Term Loan Maturity
                    Skillsoft                            Services (Other)                             subordination of first lien holdings                     28-Apr-21                             11.0x
                                                                                                                                                                             (Trading around 68)
                                                                                                            • Highly levered issuer
                                                                                • Disclosed a disappointing preliminary 4Q19 earnings and issued a weaker-
                                                                                                        than-expected FY20 guidance
                                                                                • Delayed 10-k filing due to provide more information about its expectations
                                                                                                        for 2020 and refinancing plans
                                                                                                                                                                            2021 Unsecured Notes
                                                                                  • Investors raised questions about the company's ability to refinance the
                  Tupperware                                Consumer                                                                                           1-Jun-21           Maturity           3.1x
                                                                                                          USD 600m bond due 2020
                                                                                                                                                                             (Trading around 61)
                                                                                 • Became a fallen angel as S&P downgraded the company bond rating by 4
                                                                                                             notched to high yield
                                                                                    • Prospective leverage ratio relief secured through Credit Agreement
                                                                                                                 amendment
                                                                                               • Commodity price collapse impacts EBITDAX                                    2021 Notes Mature
               Antero Resources                              Energy                                                                                            1-Nov-21                              4.7x
                                                                                               • Unsecured notes trading at distressed levels                                (Trading around 62)
Sources: Debtwire, Company Filings, MarketAxess, FINRA
1 Debtwire estimate

                                                                                                                                                                                                             5
An Acuris Company

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                                                                                     to be reliable, but we do not independently verify the information. The information is not intended to
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