Rooting SA: Strengthening the local automotive industry - Value Beyond Compliance series September 2019 - Deloitte

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Rooting SA: Strengthening the local automotive industry - Value Beyond Compliance series September 2019 - Deloitte
Rooting SA: Strengthening the local automotive industry | Value Beyond Compliance series

Rooting SA: Strengthening the
local automotive industry
Value Beyond Compliance series
September 2019

                                                                                                          1
Rooting SA: Strengthening the local automotive industry - Value Beyond Compliance series September 2019 - Deloitte
Rooting SA: Strengthening the local automotive industry - Value Beyond Compliance series September 2019 - Deloitte
Rooting SA: Strengthening the local automotive industry | Contents

Contents
Introduction............................................................................................. 1

Global automotive industry overview.................................................. 2
    Case study: Thailand – the Detroit of Asia............................................ 3

Local automotive industry overview.................................................... 5
    Case study: The South African policy landscape.................................. 6

Enabling localisation............................................................................... 8

Deloitte Africa: Lessons from the trenches ......................................10
    Deloitte Africa’s ESD framework........................................................... 11

The road ahead.....................................................................................12

Contacts..................................................................................................13

Endnotes.................................................................................................14
Rooting SA: Strengthening the local automotive industry - Value Beyond Compliance series September 2019 - Deloitte
Rooting SA: Strengthening the local automotive industry | Value Beyond Compliance series

            “We want the industry to be globally competitive,
            but competitiveness is not just a function of what
            happens on the factory floor.”
            – Trade and Industry Minister Ebrahim Patel1
Rooting SA: Strengthening the local automotive industry | Introduction

Introduction
Manufacturing is often seen as a gateway to inclusive growth. It has the potential to create jobs, deepen and
broaden local value chains, advance technology and cultivate local skills. As such, numerous countries,2 like South
Africa, have solidified manufacturing as the cornerstone of their industrial policies.3

The automotive industry is part of the manufacturing basket, and so many developing economy
governments 4 have incentivised domestic automotive manufacturing. For some countries, such
as Thailand, this investment has also contributed to deep socio-economic gains. However, other
countries have not realised their full potential. In addition, the global automotive industry is
now experiencing slowing demand and manufacturing volumes as a result, making government
incentives increasingly important to retain global automotive manufacturers.

The South African automotive industry employed around 110 000 people directly and
contributed 6.8% (4.3% manufacturing and 2.5% retail) to gross domestic product (GDP) in
2018.5 The government has recognised the importance of well-designed automotive incentives,
supporting the industry through consecutive industry incentive programmes.6 Yet, when compared to
other emerging countries with local automotive manufacturing, localisation remains relatively weak.

Figure 1. South Africa: local content (%) of the automotive industry

   60%

   50%           46.60%
                                      40.90%                41.50%
                                                                                   38.70%
   40%

   30%
                                                                                                           The South African
   20%                                                                                                     government has
   10%
                                                                                                           recognised the
                                                                                                           importance of
    0%
                    2012                2013                  2014                  2015                   well-designed
                                    Local content            SAAM target                                   automotive
 Source: Black, et al., 20187                                                                              incentives.
South Africa’s latest automotive policy, the South African Automotive Masterplan (SAAM), aims to
rectify this by broadening and deepening local value chains and embedding industry into the domestic
economy. Meaningful localisation, at its core, forms part of value beyond compliance:8 it supports
innovation and productivity, and aligns economic performance with social progress, thus driving
inclusive growth.

This report investigates enabling localisation factors as compiled from industry interviews, while
unpacking the South African automotive context and supplementing it with corresponding international
best practice, and Deloitte Africa’s own experience in meaningful localisation and value beyond
compliance practices.

                                                                                                                                              1
Rooting SA: Strengthening the local automotive industry | Global automotive industry overview

 Global automotive
 industry overview
 Globally, there is a symbiotic relationship          Globally, tier 2/remaining tier suppliers
 between the automotive industry and                  dominate the automotive supply chain and
 governments: the automotive industry                 are responsible for 50% of value addition
 depends on government incentives to                  (Figure 2). These suppliers often drive
 improve viability, while governments                 localisation and are important to deepen
 support automotive industries to spur                skills, employment and value chains in the
 economic development.                                host country.14

 The automotive industry often relies                  Figure 2. Global value addition
 on this support, with net profit margins              composition (% of total value addition)
 relatively low – mostly single digits.9 The                                                        Tier 2/remaining
 dependence was recently highlighted when
 Ford, Holden and Toyota’s manufacturing
                                                                                                    tier suppliers
                                                                                20%
 plants in Australia closed due to a lack
                                                                               OEMs
                                                                                                    often drive
 of government support, with many local
 suppliers (and jobs) following suit.10                                                             localisation and
                                                                                30%                 are important to
 The automotive industry – defined
                                                                          Tier 1 suppliers
 in this report as the automotive
 manufacturing sector – usually consists
                                                                                                    deepen skills,
 of three categories, all of which can
                                                                                50%
                                                                                                    employment and
 create employment opportunities in the
 producing country:                                               Tier 2/remaining tier suppliers   value chains in
 •• Original Equipment Manufacturers                                                                the host country.
    (OEMs)
    Design, assemble and market the                    Source: Black, et al., 201815
    final automotive product, and, on
                                                      This typical global composition, however,
    occasion, manufacture equipment for it.
                                                      requires conducive domestic business,
    Components are typically procured from
                                                      economic and policy environments to
    suppliers according to the OEM’s specific
                                                      support local suppliers.
    criteria.11
    Examples: BMW, Ford, Mercedes Benz,
    Nissan, Toyota and Volkswagen

 •• Tier 1 suppliers
    Manufacture components and/or
    systems according to specified criteria.
    These firms supply OEMs directly. Inputs
    into these parts and systems are typically
    procured from the tier 2/remaining tier
    suppliers.12
    Examples: Bosch and Continental

 •• Tier 2/remaining tier suppliers
    The tier 2/remaining tier suppliers
    produce parts and/or raw materials
    throughout the automotive industry
    value chain. Importantly, these suppliers
    usually serve multiple industries and not
    exclusively the automotive industry.13
    Examples: Aluminium, plastic and steel
    industries

   2
Rooting SA: Strengthening the local automotive industry | Global automotive industry overview

Case study: Thailand – the Detroit of Asia                              Figure 3. Thailand’s automotive structure
Thailand has made great strides in realising its automotive
aspirations. Over a 60-year period, the country has
transitioned from an assembler to a top automotive                                                             31
manufacturing and export hub. Its success has attracted                                                       OEMs
leading global automakers, assemblers and component
manufacturers.

This progress is evident in the numbers. Thailand’s
automotive production increased by 383% from 2000 to
2017.17 There are 31 assemblers and over 2 000 suppliers
located in Thailand, which produced around 2.2 million
vehicles in 2018. This local production caters for most of
the local demand, meeting over 95% thereof. In addition,
local production amounted to US$30bn in foreign revenue
with around 55% of cars and 60% of commercial vehicles
exported. It is thus no surprise that the automotive sector
constitutes approximately 12% of GDP. This all translates
                                                                                       386                                   ~1 700
into employment: the automotive sector employs around                                                                  Tier 2/remaining tier
850 000 people.18 This has also led to various training                          Tier 1 suppliers                            suppliers
initiatives, upskilling people in lifelong and, often, industry-
transferrable skills.                                                    Source: Maikaew, 201916

The success described above required long-term strategic and concerted efforts. Pragmatic, coherent and dynamic government
policies were, and remain, integral to the success of the industry.

Figure 4. Thai automotive policy development

  Initial phase          Investment               Export              Domestic              Industrial           Export            Green automotive
                          promotion             promotion          automotive part       re-engineering      production base             base
                                                                    manufacturing
                                                                     promotion

   1961                   1967                  1977                  1987                 1997                   2007                   2012
 •• Focus on           •• Focus on          •• Support             •• Introduce         •• Establish           •• Introduce          •• Develop
    import                automotive           automotive             trade                the Thailand           the Thailand          Thailand
    substitution          industry             assembly               agreements           Automotive             Automotive            Automotive
                          promotion                                                        Institute (TAI)        Industry              Industry
                                            •• Focus on            •• Promote
                                                                                                                  Master Plan           Master Plan
                       •• Decrease             and promote            targeted          •• Introduce
                                                                                                                  2007–2011             2012–2016
                          import tariffs       exports                manufacturing:       the Thailand
                                                                                                                                        and 2017–2021
                                                                      5 C parts for        Automotive          •• Promote
                       •• Support
                                                                      the pickup           Industry               eco-friendly       •• Focus on green
                          domestic
                                                                      truck                Master Plan            investment            automotives
                          manufacturing
                                                                                           2002–2006              and vehicles,
                          by introducing                                                                                             •• Vision 2027:
                                                                                                                  and export
                          localisation                                                  •• Define vision                                Global Green
                                                                                                                  50% of
                          rate                                                                                                          Automotive
                                                                                        •• Introduce the          production
                                                                                                                                        Research and
                                                                                           first product
                                                                                                                                        Development
                                                                                           champion
                                                                                                                                        (R&D) base

Source: Thailand Automotive Institute, 2012,19 and Deloitte Africa research

                                                                                                                                                    3
Rooting SA: Strengthening the local automotive industry | Global automotive industry overview

 The Thai government used a phased                    This was not the only policy that
 approach to attract OEMs and benefit                 contributed to automotive development.
 from the automotive industry. After                  The government also created strategic
 focussing on protectionist measures, the             trade agreements with key countries such
 Thai government shifted its attention                as Australia, China and India, yet another
 to attracting multinational automotive               benefit to automotive exporters. These
 manufacturers, promoting exports and                 agreements assisted OEMs to tap into
 building local capacity for greater export           the growing regional middle class, and to
 production.                                          source raw materials.25

 Importantly, the objectives were generally           However, Thailand’s policy is also dynamic
 clear, with incentives, investment and               and adjusts to the changing internal and       Given the global
 growth aligned to support the objectives.20          external environment. Given the global
 For example, Thailand’s automotive                   trend of moving towards digital and green      trend of moving
 industry focussed on producing select                automotive solutions, Thailand’s current
 vehicles (appropriately called the product           policy iteration focusses on promoting         towards digital and
 champion) and components locally.21
 This strategy narrowed the scope of
                                                      green vehicles. Subsequent incentive
                                                      schemes have been established to support
                                                                                                     green automotive
 local vehicle manufacturing and thus                 its 2027 Vision of becoming the Global         solutions,
 components, increasing volumes and                   Green Automotive R&D base.26 For example,
 improving economies of scale. Policy was             Thailand has already attracted electric        Thailand’s current
 developed to support specific investment             vehicle (EV) investment from Nissan, Toyota
 as well as local demand for these vehicles.22        and Honda by introducing applicable tax        policy iteration
 By focussing incentives and support
 on targeted areas, Thailand was able to
                                                      breaks.27
                                                                                                     focusses on
 deepen the relevant supply chains.                   These comprehensive and targeted policy        promoting green
                                                      reforms, alongside economic stability, well-
 Notably, Thailand also concentrated                  developed infrastructure and upskilling        vehicles.
 on developing local skills, including for            the local labour force, have proven strong
 lower tier suppliers, often by entering              drivers for the Thai automotive industry.
 into strategic partnerships and sharing
 the responsibility of transferring the
 needed skills to domestic suppliers and
 employees.23

 The government also introduced industrial
 policy which linked to the abovementioned
 objectives. These policies translated
 into practical benefits for multinationals;
 including exemptions on corporate income
 tax and import duties on machinery and
 raw materials, immigration permits for
 experts, land ownership options and
 supercluster automotive zone benefits.24

   4
Rooting SA: Strengthening the local automotive industry | Local automotive industry overview

Local automotive
industry overview
For decades, the automotive industry has been fundamental to South Africa’s economy. It contributed 6.8% (4.3% manufacturing and
2.5% retail) to GDP in 2018. In addition, automotive exports are valued at nearly R180bn, and comprised 14.3% of South African exports.28

Moreover, in 2018 the industry employed around 110 000 people (across vehicle and component manufacturing),29 producing over half
a million vehicles.30 This makes South Africa the largest automotive producer in Africa (54.3%) with many of the major OEMs operating
in South Africa. However, Morocco – the second largest African producer – has increased production significantly, and produces more
passenger cars than South Africa.31

Figure 5. South African automotive industry key 2018 statistics

                                      4.3%
                                 manufacturing                                                     110 000

           6.8%
                                                                                                   people employed across vehicle
                                                                                                   and component manufacturers

           contribution
           to GDP
                                                                                                   610 854
                                      2.5%
                                       retail                                                      vehicles produced

Source: Automotive Industry Export Council, 2019,32 and Davies, 201833

While the sector is important to the South African economy, the low and                Figure 6. South African automotive value addition
decreasing level of local content (see Figure 1) remains distressing. In 2015,         composition (% of total value addition)
local content was recorded at 38.7% – below some of our automotive peers
and the current SAAM target of 60%. This is challenging for the domestic
economy – localisation drives employment and skills development – and for
the automotive industry in particular. By importing goods, the automotive
industry is exposed to exchange rate volatility, something the rand is
renowned for as one of the most traded emerging market currencies.34
                                                                                                                   40%
                                                                                                                   OEMs
As shown in Figure 6, the structure of South Africa’s automotive industry
is dominated by OEMs and tier 1 suppliers, with few tier 2/remaining tier
suppliers. In comparison (Figure 2), the tier 2/remaining tier suppliers typically
contribute 50% value addition to the automotive industry globally relative to
South Africa’s 20%.                                                                                                40%
                                                                                                              Tier 1 suppliers
This is exacerbated by the lack of volumes and inadequate local production
capabilities.36 Volumes are important in utilising economies of scale:

                                                                                                                 20%
significant volumes decrease input costs, making production economical.
Local lower tier suppliers thus often struggle to deploy economies of scale,
skills and advanced technologies.                                                                                 Tier 2/
                                                                                                               remaining tier
There are more challenges, all of which affect small suppliers more than                                         suppliers
their downstream counterparts. Inconsistent electricity supply, fragmented
transport infrastructure and low business confidence plague the South
African economy.37 Rectifying these inefficiencies and supporting small local             Source: Black, et al., 201835
suppliers, in this environment, are crucial for their survival.

                                                                                                                                                   5
Rooting SA: Strengthening the local automotive industry | Local automotive industry overview

 Case study: The South African policy landscape
 The Thai case study above highlighted some key areas for developing an automotive
 production hub. Government policies are pivotal, and should be practical, simple,
 targeted and aligned.

 South African automotive policy, much like Thailand’s, began with an inward focus.
 At the start of the 1960s, policy prioritised local content for local consumption. This
 started to change in the late 1980s with later phases of the local content programme.
 Post-democracy saw liberalisation increase further with the Motor Industry                                Government policies
 Development Programme (MIDP), which reduced tariffs at an even faster rate.38
                                                                                                           are pivotal, and
 In 2013, the MIDP was replaced by the Automotive Production and Development
 Programme (APDP). Although both these programmes aimed to increase production                             should be practical,
 volumes, the MIDP focussed on exports, while the APDP shifted focus to increasing
 production in general. Both these policies, however, were accompanied by stable,
                                                                                                           simple, targeted and
 if not declining, levels of localisation.39                                                               aligned.

 Figure 7. South African automotive policy landscape – focus on localisation

          Local content                                                     MIDP                       APDP                    SAAM
          programmes                                                                                                    and amendments to and
            phase 1                                                                                                       extension of APDP

           1961                                                           1995                        2013                      2018
    •• Localisation was                                              •• Prioritise              •• Shift away from       •• Promote higher
       used to protect                                                  liberalisation to          solely exports,          degree of
       foreign exchange                                                 increase volume            towards supporting       localisation (target
                                                                                                   production               set at 60%)
    •• Further phases                                                •• No local content
                                                                                                   in general
       were introduced,                                                 requirement                                      •• Support local value
                                                                                                   (irrespective of
       with phase 6                                                                                                         addition – shift from
                                                                     •• Focus on                   market)
       introduced in 1989                                                                                                   Vehicle Assembly
                                                                        exports
                                                                                                                            Allowance (VAA) to
                                                                                                                            Volume Assembly
                                                                                                                            Localisation
                                                                                                                            Allowance (VALA)

   Source: Black, et al., 2018;40 and Davies, 201841

   6
Rooting SA: Strengthening the local automotive industry | Local automotive industry overview

In 2018, the South African Cabinet approved the extension of the APDP to 2035 with amendments which align with the new
automotive policy document, the SAAM 2035. Importantly, the SAAM gives a clear vision and sets objectives for the industry –
a crucial element of policy certainty for the automotive industry.42

    The SAAM’s vision:
    “A globally competitive and transformed industry that actively contributes to the sustainable
    development of South Africa’s productive economy, creating prosperity for industry stakeholders and
    broader society.”

    Key summary of SAAM:
    •• “Achieve 1% of global vehicle production by 2035 (increase from current 600 000 units to almost 1.4 million
       units a year)

    •• Increase local content from current 39% to 60%

    •• Double employment in the value chain from current levels to about 240 000

    •• Achieve at least level 4 BEE status from 2021

    •• Support to be based on value addition rather than production sales value.”

 Source: Davies, 201843

The SAAM and APDP policies are widely regarded as supportive and well-developed, with the changes focussed on
creating greater opportunities for local suppliers. The SAAM targets 60% local content with the extended APDP moving
away from VAA towards VALA.44 The latter excludes imported content and is expected to drive greater localisation,
compelling OEMs and tier 1 suppliers to source locally.45

Yet, the SAAM and APDP do not function in isolation. There are multiple government departments which influence
the automotive industry through different policies, e.g. the promotion of EVs. The APDP, the Green Transport Strategy
and the EV Roadmap all aim to support EV production. However, government and the industry have yet to finalise a
comprehensive and aligned plan.46 South Africa would benefit from better alignment across policies, not only in the EV
space, to support the industry’s vision.47

Misalignment frequently also extends across industries. Alignment is especially important for tier 2/remaining tier
suppliers, who globally tend to supply multiple industries rather than solely the automotive industry.

                                                                                                                                                7
Rooting SA: Strengthening the local automotive industry | Enabling localisation

  Enabling
  localisation
  The latest policy changes have heightened the emphasis on
  localisation, intentionally shifting focus from imported to
  local content. Nevertheless, the desired level and quality of
  localisation require determination. Local suppliers need to
  be grown and/or created; if done properly, this will benefit all
  stakeholders in the long run.

  Below are insights on developing meaningful localisation
  drawn from interviews conducted with various automotive
  stakeholders.48 Three key themes emerged:

  Figure 8. Key localisation enablers

         The will                                                Volumes                                   Upskilling

        Drive efficiency gains                                  Increase volumes                         Cultivate the local skills
        in the:                                                 by promoting:                            base by focussing on:

        •• public sector                                        •• regional integration                  •• individual business needs
           such as structural reforms, alignment
                                                                •• incentives for locally                •• continuous business
           of efforts, special economic zones and
                                                                   produced vehicles                        development
           administrative efficiencies
                                                                •• cross-industry value chains
        •• private sector
           such as OEM collaboration and
           transparency

  Source: Deloitte Africa interviews and research

                 The will

  The best automotive vision means                      procure from, and supporting economic         and consistent power supply are typical
  little without the will to follow through.            growth, thus increasing automotive            benefits of SEZs.
  This requires proper regulation,                      demand. In addition, this could assist in
  implementation and, importantly, the                  addressing low–hanging fruit, such as         Government processes, furthermore,
  will to change inefficient structures and             scrap metal localisation, and rail and port   often lead to unintended administrative
  systems in both the public and private                efficiency.50                                 burdens. This is especially damaging
  sectors.                                                                                            for smaller businesses with limited
                                                        The issue of will also relates to Special     administrative capacity. For example,
  This starts with the South African business           Economic Zones (SEZs), which could            VAT administration can be cumbersome,
  environment.49 Structural reforms are                 often be used more efficiently. Many          resulting in wasted resources, and refunds
  vital for broader economic efficiency                 small suppliers do not have access to         are often slow, resulting in cash flow
  gains. Although reforms do not specifically           these advantageous zones, leading to          difficulties. This also applies to incentive
  target the automotive industry, the impact            higher production costs and limited           schemes, with some small businesses
  on it could be two-fold: stimulating local            exposure to technical expertise. For          finding incentive programmes difficult to
  business for the automotive industry to               example, preferential electricity pricing     access, and finding the process slow.

   8
Rooting SA: Strengthening the local automotive industry | Enabling localisation

Overall, strategy and policy efforts             that SSA production could increase to a            for example, is plastics. Plastics are used
should be aligned and more holistic              projected 2.05 million units.51 As Deloitte        in multiple industries, including the
to pursue strategic interest areas. This         Africa has stated previously, it is not            automotive industry (e.g. plastic injection),
includes targeted trade strategies to            unfathomable to see this market as the             and are currently being produced as a by-
decrease tariffs and unlock volume, as           “final frontier for the global automotive          product in South Africa.
well as prioritising specific value chains for   industry”.52 South Africa is well positioned
local development. Progress needs to be          as the anchor economy, which is an
monitored and evaluated to keep parties          opportunity the country cannot afford to                         Upskilling
accountable.                                     waste. However, markets in SSA are fraught
                                                 with challenges: these include inadequate
Efficiency gains are also required from the      logistics, overlapping trade agreements,           Business excellence is no easy feat. With
private sector. Collaboration between            insufficient financing options, and                the focus on local manufacturers, some
OEMs is central: clustering incentives and       misalignment across policies. In addition,         of whom may not yet exist, the industry
opportunities will give greater support to       these markets tend to be dominated by              needs to understand what type of
small business. This could also assist OEMs      second-hand vehicles.53                            upskilling small suppliers require. This likely
and tier 1 suppliers in finding a supplier                                                          entails a wide range of development, from
base. A unified approach to information          Moreover, African markets are vastly               technical training in R&D centres, to basic
sharing and utilising small local suppliers      different, and it requires time and effort to      financial and management training on
can thus assist everyone in the sector.          understand local conditions. It is important       business readiness.
                                                 to develop targeted product strategies per
Moreover, small local suppliers need             country (or even per city), and establish          As is often the case in South Africa, the
transparency and adeptness from                  local and international partnerships to            skills spread is wide.60 This often leads to
OEMs for business planning and                   overcome current barriers. Nonetheless,            blanket-approach incubation programmes
forecasting. Current and potential small         there are opportunities. Progress has              being less effective. Skills training should
suppliers often do not understand the            been made with some African countries              cater for the individual business
opportunities available in the industry,         revising or developing automotive policies         needs (see section titled Deloitte Africa:
exacerbating difficulties in identifying         (including legislation to curb second-             Lessons from the trenches). For example,
opportunities and planning. This also            hand vehicle importation)54 and the SSA            some suppliers need to acquire better
relates to current processes, where some         Automotive Pact Task Team investigating            technology – giving small local suppliers
payment terms are lengthy, creating cash         regional integration.55                            the opportunity to leapfrog to the next
flow challenges for small businesses. This                                                          level of productivity. For others, they
is worsened by the naturally low profit          South Africa also has opportunities for            may need to acquire negotiation and
margins of the automotive industry.              economies of scale. Volumes can be                 forecasting skills training.61 Depending on
                                                 stimulated by incentivising South                  the need, it could be beneficial to partner
                                                 African consumers to buy locally                   with global experts to increase local
              Volumes                            produced vehicles. This can come in                competency. Once again, this requires a
                                                 various forms: Thailand uses import                targeted approach.
                                                 duties,56 India offers upfront subsidies
Economies of scale are essential for an          with EV purchases,57 Kenya plans to                Additionally, continuous business
industry with low profit margins. Scale is       limit second-hand car imports,58 and               development is crucial for long-term
one of the greatest challenges facing the        China incentivises the acceleration of             success (and the lack thereof is partly
South African automotive industry, with          auto replacement.59 As a World Trade               noted for the failure of past incubation
current production volumes around                Organisation (WTO) member, South Africa            programmes). Long-term coaching,
600 000 vehicles. With the domestic              would need to investigate these different          especially throughout the business
economy weak, and unlikely to yield              options, ensuring the country complies             life cycle, assists in dealing with new-
significantly more demand in the short           with international trade regulation.               found challenges. This requires regular
term, it is crucial for the industry to find                                                        check-ins, and embedded incubation
alternative methods to stimulate demand.         Furthermore, volumes for tier 2/remaining          practices, processes and systems. Another
                                                 tier suppliers can be increased by                 consideration is having incubation
One such way is through regional                 deepening the cross-industry value                 programmes in industrial parks or SEZs.
integration. The middle class in Sub-            chains (and not solely focussing on the            This would give small businesses access to
Saharan Africa (SSA) is expected to              automotive industry). This is done globally,       preferential agreements of SEZs and the
increase substantially: by 2035, around          with lower tier suppliers supplying multiple       necessary exposure to OEMs and tier 1
50 million adults are expected to earn           industries. A targeted approach may prove          suppliers.
more than US$10 000 annually. If binding         beneficial and would entail understanding
structural constraints are resolved, the         South Africa’s import base and products
SSA Automotive Pact Task Team estimates          used across industries. One possibility,

                                                                                                                                                  9
Rooting SA: Strengthening the local automotive industry | Deloitte Africa: Lessons from the trenches

  Deloitte Africa: Lessons
  from the trenches
  Meaningful localisation, which both deepens and broadens local value chains, is crucial in aligning economic and social
  progress. This requires a shift away from a compliance-driven approach, towards value beyond compliance thinking, which
  fosters innovation and productivity. For localisation, this involves developing successful strategies to develop and/or create
  sustainable local suppliers, based on their individual needs and aspirations.

  The focus area for Enterprise and Supplier Development (ESD) is specifically small, medium and micro-sized enterprises
  (SMMEs). SMMEs have the greatest need for developmental support, and require different ESD support at different phases of
  their growth journey (Figure 9). Their needs, and the challenges they face, are well researched and documented, not only in
  South Africa, but globally.

  Based on Deloitte Africa’s experience, some of the important considerations when supporting SMMEs are:

  •• Entrepreneurial competence is correlated with the business’s survival and success

  •• Education and training are also correlated with successful SMMEs (as evidence in South Africa has indicated)

  •• Support should be differentiated by sector, size, skills and other factors

  •• Different stages of business growth should be taken into consideration

  •• The low survival rate for start-ups in South Africa (most fail within the first three years) is correlated with inadequate
     managerial skills

  •• Accessing and retaining skills within SMMEs is a key competitive advantage.

  Figure 9. SMME support phases - Emerging Micro Enterprises (EMEs), Qualifying Small Enterprises (QSEs) and Generics

        Types of ESD       •• Incubation                 •• Financial assistance           •• Favourable
        support               programmes                    (i.e. loans)                      funding (e.g. loans)
                           •• Training                   •• Managerial                        for expansion,
                                                            development                       transformation,
                           •• Equipment and
                                                                                              and productivity
                              materials                  •• Acceleration
                                                                                              improvements
                                                            programmes

                               EMEs                               QSEs                         Generics

        Typical length     •• 5 years

  Source: Deloitte Africa, 2019b62

   10
Rooting SA: Strengthening the local automotive industry | Deloitte Africa: Lessons from the trenches

Deloitte Africa’s ESD framework                Data-driven opportunity identification
Traditionally, ESD programmes have             We identify opportunities for enterprise
focussed on organisational programmes,         and/or supplier development by analysing
which often disregard the specific needs of    data at organisation, sector and cross-
SMMEs and their operating environment.         sector levels. This includes understanding
Deloitte Africa has taken a different          relevant value chains, and undertaking
approach.                                      proper market sensing, while considering
                                               the potential capabilities of suppliers. This
Our ESD framework is underpinned by            process helps to identify opportunities that
an industry approach (e.g. tier 1 suppliers    are likely to succeed.                                       We identify
collaborating to develop their tier 2
suppliers), with elements of cross-industry    Individual approach                                          opportunities
deliberation. Hence, the framework
considers direct and side value chains
                                               After identifying and prioritising
                                               opportunities, it is important to create a
                                                                                                            for enterprise
to identify volume and opportunities for       personalised programme. We work with                         and/or supplier
small suppliers. It therefore supports small   entrepreneurs to match their capabilities
suppliers in achieving a sustainable growth    to the selected opportunity. This means                      development by
path.                                          creating individual development plans
                                               – including elements such as types of                        analysing data
Figure 10. Deloitte Africa’s ESD               funding, skills development or mentorship –
                                               and implementing these effectively.
                                                                                                            at organisation,
framework
                                                                                                            sector and cross-
                                               Robust post-investment monitoring
                                               In an ever-changing environment, efficient                   sector levels.
                                               monitoring and effective adjustments are
                                               crucial for SMMEs’ long-term sustainability.
                                               ESD programmes therefore need to
                                               be agile. In this phase, we monitor and
                                               evaluate SMMEs’ progress, and adjust the
                                               programme to support their long-term
                                               sustainability. The data collected feeds
                                               back into the first step, i.e. data-driven
                                               opportunity identification, to ensure we
                                               have the best information to make the best
                                               decisions.

                                               Having the right processes, people and
Source: Deloitte Africa                        procedures in place to ensure successful
                                               localisation is key in driving value beyond
Moreover, the framework is dynamic and         compliance. This helps our clients to obtain
iterative – collecting data throughout the     value for their money and exertions,
process, and adapting to shifting needs.       and drives social progress by developing
Deloitte Africa’s ESD framework consists of    sustainable businesses.
three basic steps:

                                                                                                                                                  11
Rooting SA: Strengthening the local automotive industry | The road ahead

                                                  The road
                                                  ahead
                                                   The SAAM has recognised the need
                                                   for and urgency to drive meaningful
                                                   localisation. The reasons are clear.
                                                   Developing the local automotive
                                                   industry and subsequently tier 2/
                                                   remaining tier suppliers has the
                                                   potential to generate high-value
                                                   economic activities, improve living
                                                   standards, and create higher-paying
                                                   jobs, while developing upstream
                                                   (e.g. plastics) and even services-
                                                   based downstream (e.g. maintenance
                                                   services) industries.

                                                   Nevertheless, legislation alone is not
                                                   enough and key areas – including
                                                   the will, volume and upskilling –
                                                   need to be addressed to unlock the
                                                   full potential of the local automotive
                                                   industry.

   12
Rooting SA: Strengthening the local automotive industry | Contacts

Contacts
    Dr Martyn Davies
    Managing Director: Emerging Markets & Africa
    Africa Automotive Leader
    Deloitte Africa
    Email: mdavies@deloitte.com
    Tel: +27 (0)11 209 8290 09 8290

    Mike Vincent
    Director: Strategy
    Africa Consulting Leader: Automotive
    Deloitte Africa
    Email: mivincent@deloitte.co.za
    Tel: +27 (0)11 806 5467

    Khutso Sekgota
    Director: Strategy
    Deloitte Africa
    Email: ksekgota@deloitte.co.za
    Tel: +27 (0)12 482 0048

    Elmarie Nel
    Senior Consultant: Africa Insights
    Deloitte Africa
    Email: elnel@deloitte.co.za
    Tel: +27 (0)11 209 8496

                                                                                                              13
Rooting SA: Strengthening the local automotive industry | Endnotes

 Endnotes
 1
    Furlonger, D., 2019. State should do more to help motor industry, says Ebrahim Patel. [Online] Available at: https://www.businesslive.co.za/bd/
    economy/2019-08-22-state-should-do-more-to-help-motor-industry-says-ebrahim-patel/ [Accessed 26 August 2019].
 2
    For example, many Asian countries have focussed on industrial development. See Chang, H.-J. & Zach, K. (2018) Industrial development in Asia:
    Trends in industrialization and industrial policy experiences of developing Asia, s.l.: WIDER Working Paper 2018/120. Helsinki: UNU-WIDER.
 3
    The Department of Trade and Industry, 2018. Geared for Growth: South Africa’s automotive industry masterplan to 2035, s.l.: The Department of
    Trade and Industry.
 4
    For example, Brazil, China, India, Indonesia, Mexico, Thailand and Turkey all have developed their automotive manufacturing sector.
 5
    Automotive Industry Export Council, 2019. Automotive Export Manual 2019, s.l.: Automotive Industry Export Council.
 6
    Such as the Motor Industry Development Programme (MIDP), Automotive Production and Development Programme (APDP), and South African
    Automotive Masterplan (SAAM).
 7
    Black, A., Barnes, J. & Monaco, L., 2018. Structural Transformation in the Auto Sector: Industrial Policy, State-Business Bargaining and Supply Chain
    Development, s.l.: Industrial Development Think Tank.
 8
    Value beyond compliance is about the fundamental synergy between business performance and social progress in creating shared value. See
    Deloitte, 2019a. Value Beyond Compliance: A new paradigm to create shared value for mines, communities and government, s.l.: Deloitte.
 9
    For example, the global auto and truck net profit margin is 5.14%, auto parts is 4.34%, while automotive retail is 3.12%. See Damodaran, A., 2019.
    Data. [Online] Available at: http://people.stern.nyu.edu/adamodar/New_Home_Page/data.html [Accessed 20 April 2019].
 10
     Australian Government, Department of Industry, Innovation and Science, 2018. Transitioning Australia’s automotive manufacturing industry.
     [Online] Available at: https://www.industry.gov.au/funding-and-incentives/manufacturing/transitioning-australias-automotive-manufacturing-
     industry [Accessed 18 April 2019].
 11
     Silver, D., 2016. The Automotive Supply Chain, Explained. [Online] Available at: https://medium.com/self-driving-cars/the-automotive-supply-chain-
     explained-d4e74250106f [Accessed 12 April 2019].
 12
     Ibid.
 13
     Ibid.
 14
     Venter, I., 2018. Auto thought leader on need to build Tier 2 and 3 suppliers as local content falls. [Online] Available at: https://www.
     engineeringnews.co.za/article/auto-thought-leader-on-need-to-build-tier-2-and-3-suppliers-as-local-content-falls-2018-08-24/rep_id:4136
     [Accessed 17 July 2019].
 15
     Black, A., Barnes, J. & Monaco, L., 2018. Structural Transformation in the Auto Sector: Industrial Policy, State-Business Bargaining and Supply Chain
     Development, s.l.: Industrial Development Think Tank.
 16
     Maikaew, P., 2019. Automotive industry at a turning point. [Online] Available at: https://www.bangkokpost.com/business/1606570/automotive-
     industry-at-a-turning-point [Accessed 23 July 2019].
 17
     Visram, T., 2018. How Thailand became the ‘Detroit of Asia’. [Online] Available at: https://money.cnn.com/2018/07/10/news/world/thailand-auto-
     industry/index.html [Accessed 23 July 2019].
 18
     The Economist Intelligence Unit, 2019. Industry Report, Automotive, Thailand, 2nd Quarter 2019. s.I.: The Economist Intelligence Unit.
 19
     Thailand Automotive Institute, 2012. Master Plan for Automotive Industry 2012–2016, s.l.: Ministry of Industry.
 20
     Automotive Supply Chain Competitiveness Initiative, 2015. Lessons for South Africa from the Thai automotive industry’s success, s.l.: ASCCI
     Quarterly.
 21
     Natsuda, K. & Thoburn, J., 2011. Industrial Policy and the Development of the Automotive Industry in Thailand, s.l.: RCAPS Working Paper No. 11-5.
 22
     Ibid.
 23
     Automotive Supply Chain Competitiveness Initiative, 2015. Lessons for South Africa from the Thai automotive industry’s success, s.l.: ASCCI
     Quarterly.
 24
     Natsuda, K. & Thoburn, J., 2011. Industrial Policy and the Development of the Automotive Industry in Thailand, s.l.: RCAPS Working Paper No. 11-5.
 25
     Automotive Supply Chain Competitiveness Initiative, 2015. Lessons for South Africa from the Thai automotive industry’s success, s.l.: ASCCI
     Quarterly.
 26
     Nitipathanapirak, R., 2017. Thailand Automotive Industry Situation and Master Plan, s.l.: Thailand Automotive Institute.
 27
     The Economist Intelligence Unit, 2019. Industry Report, Automotive, Thailand, 2nd Quarter 2019. s.I.: The Economist Intelligence Unit.
 28
     Automotive Industry Export Council, 2019. Automotive Export Manual 2019, s.l.: Automotive Industry Export Council.
 29
     Davies, R., 2018. Media statement on the South African Automotive Masterplan 2035 and the Extension of the Automotive Production and
     Development Programme with amendments [Interview] (23 November 2018).
 30
      Automotive Industry Export Council, 2019. Automotive Export Manual 2019, s.l.: Automotive Industry Export Council.
 31
      Ibid.
 32
      Ibid.
 33
      Davies, R., 2018. Media statement on the South African Automotive Masterplan 2035 and the Extension of the Automotive Production and
      Development Programme with amendments [Interview] (23 November 2018).

      14
Rooting SA: Strengthening the local automotive industry | Endnotes

34
    Black, A., Barnes, J. & Monaco, L., 2018. Structural Transformation in the Auto Sector: Industrial Policy, State-Business Bargaining and Supply
   Chain Development, s.l.: Industrial Development Think Tank.
35
   Ibid.
36
   Ibid.
37
   International Monetary Fund, 2018. IMF Country Report: South Africa, s.l.: International Monetary Fund.
38
   Black, A., Barnes, J. & Monaco, L., 2018. Structural Transformation in the Auto Sector: Industrial Policy, State-Business Bargaining and Supply
   Chain Development, s.l.: Industrial Development Think Tank.
39
   Ibid.
40
    Ibid.
41
   Davies, R., 2018. Media statement on the South African Automotive Masterplan 2035 and the Extension of the Automotive Production and
   Development Programme with amendments [Interview] (23 November 2018).
42
   Ibid.
43
   Ibid.
44
    Ibid.
45
   Venter, I., 2019. New-look APDP could change face of the local auto industry, says Naacam. [Online] Available at: https://www.engineeringnews.
   co.za/article/driving-force-2019-02-01 [Accessed 26 July 2019].
46
     Cokayne, R., 2019. Volkswagen on the electric vehicle offensive. [Online] Available at: https://www.moneyweb.co.za/news/companies-and-deals/
   volkswagen-on-the-electric-vehicle-offensive/ [Accessed 26 August 2019].
47
   Automotive Supply Chain Competitiveness Initiative, 2015. Lessons for South Africa from the Thai automotive industry’s success, s.l.: ASCCI
   Quarterly.
48
    Interviews were conducted with 20 industry stakeholders across six organisations (such as OEMs, industry bodies, and tier 1 suppliers).
49
   South Africa ranks 82nd out of 190 countries for ease of doing business. See World Bank Group, 2019. Doing Business 2019: Training for Reform,
   s.l.: World Bank Group.
50
   South Africa ranks 65th for rail and 55th for port efficiency out of 137 countries in the World Economic Forum’s Global Competitiveness report.
   See World Economic Forum, 2018. The Global Competitiveness Report 2018, s.l.: World Economic Forum.
51
   The Sub-Saharan African Automotive Pact Task Team, 2019. Realising the potential of the Sub-Saharan African automotive market: The
   importance of establishing a subcontinental Automotive Pact, s.l.: A Report for Trade and Industrial Policy Strategies (TIPS) and the African
   Association of Automotive Manufacturers (AAAM).
52
   Deloitte, 2016. Navigating the African Automotive Sector: Ethiopia, Kenya and Nigeria. [Online] Available at: https://www2.deloitte.com/content/
   dam/Deloitte/za/Documents/manufacturing/ZA_Deloitte-Africa-automotive-insights-Ethiopia-Kenya-Nigeria-Apr16.pdf [Accessed 24 April 2019].
53
   The Sub-Saharan African Automotive Pact Task Team, 2019. Realising the potential of the Sub-Saharan African automotive market: The
   importance of establishing a subcontinental Automotive Pact, s.l.: A Report for Trade and Industrial Policy Strategies (TIPS) and the African
   Association of Automotive Manufacturers (AAAM).
54
    For example, Kenya plans to lower the restricted age of imported second-hand cars. See Miriri, D., 2019. Kenya to restrict second-hand imports
   to boost domestic car sector, s.l.: Reuters.
55
   The Sub-Saharan African Automotive Pact Task Team, 2019. Realising the potential of the Sub-Saharan African automotive market: The
   importance of establishing a subcontinental Automotive Pact, s.l.: A Report for Trade and Industrial Policy Strategies (TIPS) and the African
   Association of Automotive Manufacturers (AAAM).
56
   Automotive Supply Chain Competitiveness Initiative, 2015. Lessons for South Africa from the Thai automotive industry’s success, s.l.: ASCCI
   Quarterly.
57
   Bahree, M., 2019. India Offers $1.4 Billion In Subsidies To Support The Domestic Electric Vehicle Industry. [Online] Available at: https://www.
   forbes.com/sites/meghabahree/2019/03/09/india-offers-1-4-billion-in-subsidies-to-support-the-domestic-electric-vehicle-industry/#1fd41f3f610a
   [Accessed 28 May 2019].
58
   Miriri, D., 2019. Kenya to restrict second-hand imports to boost domestic car sector, s.l.: Reuters.
59
   People’s Daily Online., 2019. China rolls out new incentives to boost auto market. [Online] Available at: http://en.people.cn/n3/2019/0227/c90000-
   9550399.html [Accessed 28 May 2019].
60
   Many corporates already upskill people to break down the skills divide. For example, Bosch established a training centre where learners on
   multiple Bosch programmes have the opportunity to undergo vocational training. See Bosch, 2019. Quality Bosch Parts Made in South Africa.
   [Online] Available at: https://www.bosch.africa/news-and-stories/bosch-brits-plant/ [Accessed 26 August 2019].
61
     Basic business skills often let companies down: bottom lines are insufficient, worsened by the lack of negotiation and forecasting skills. This is
     often exacerbated by the lack of transparency from OEMs and tier 1 suppliers.
62
     Deloitte, 2019b. 2018 Mining Charter Analysis: Finding a happy medium, s.l.: Deloitte.

                                                                                                                                                      15
Rooting SA: Strengthening the local automotive industry | Value Beyond Compliance series

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   16
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