Saturday, 26 January 2019 - Vellichor Group
←
→
Page content transcription
If your browser does not render page correctly, please read the page content below
Saturday, 26 January 2019 VAT Number: GB286 5218 76 UK Company Number: 10884308 DUNS Number: 223121945 The information contained in this work is confidential and must not be reproduced or disclosed to others without the prior written permission of VELLICHOR GROUP. The reproduction of this work in any way is considered as counterfeiting and you are informed that any dissemination, copying or disclosure of the material contained herein, to include any attachments, in whole or in part, is strictly prohibited.
VELLICHOR A2 – Analysis & Assessment
VELLICHOR DAILY SECURITY SUMMARY 26 JANUARY 2019
1. COUNTRY OVERVIEW
Prime Minister Fayez AL-Sarraj attended today’s meeting of the National Association of Municipal Councils, which took
place at the Tripoli International Fair under the title "Local Administration between Reality and Hope". Prime Minister Sarraj
gave a speech at the meeting, in which he expressed the Government of National Accord’s (GNA) efforts to achieve
reconciliation through addressing the country’s ongoing political, security and economic issues as well as the provision of
basic services to Libyan citizens. Regarding the security arrangements, the GNA aims to build unified security and military
institutions under civilian authority. The continued implementation of the economic reform program, which aims to correct
the distortions in the Libyan economy, has according to Prime Minister Sarraj, shown positive effects including a reduction
of the deficit, the improvement of the price of the national currency, as well as ensuring food security and the supply of
medication. Prime Minister Sarraj highlighted the “key role” played by local municipalities in the implementation and success
of the different reform packages, as they provide a better understanding of the needs and choices of their respective local
citizenries. Head of the High Council of State Khalid Al-Mishri has reportedly resigned from the Muslim Brotherhood.
The Libyan National Army’s (LNA) Operation Southern Liberation is currently the focal point of the overall security situation
in Libya. The National Action Organization of Fezzan has welcomed the southern operations and the resulting extended
presence of LNA forces in the province. The LNA appears to be in the process of gathering support and forging allegiances
with local groups and actors in order to extend their presence and accomplish their operational objectives, which include
the imposition of law and order, the removal of terrorist, criminal and foreign rebel elements, the securing of critical
infrastructure, the reestablishment and provision of basic services and materials for local citizens as well as securing the
southern border. The LNA has managed to ensure their control over vital facilities over the past 48hrs, including Sabha
International Airport, Sabha Castle and the Mountain Hotel. Furthermore, it is widening its ground presence with reported
reinforcements underway and the positioning of units in the wider Sabha area as well as reconnaissance operations further
southwards. The Spokesman for the Special Forces, Colonel Meloud al-Zuway informed of their deployment in various parts
of Sabha including the Sayuri District, with the overall security situation showing improvements. Speaker of the House of
Representatives (HoR), Aqilah Saleh released a statement today, expressing his appreciation for the efforts of the Warfallah
Tribe for facilitating the ceasefire agreement between the sides of Tarhuna and Tripoli, urging them to continue their efforts
on a national basis.
Libya’s overall oil production output continues to be affected by the shutdown of Sahara Oil Field due to security issues.
Libyana Telecom has announced the implementation of the “FTTX” project, which aims to equip more than 50 mobile
communication towers with fibre optic cables.
2. REGIONAL SUMMARIES
TRIPOLITANIA CYRENAICA FEZZAN
Main area of interest: Southern Tripoli
Main areas of interest: Derna – LNA Main areas of interest: Sabha –
District – The ceasefire agreement operations in the Old City area Ongoing LNA operations with
continues to hold with ongoing continue to create an effective siege increasing control over state facilities
security operations in the areas on Derna Protection Forces (DPF) and strategic locations. Central /
affected by the recent clashes thatwith unconfirmed reports of the Southern Fezzan – Continuing LNA
erupted on January 16. repeated rejection of safe passage reconnaissance operations towards
corridors. Kufra District – The Kufra the southern border region with
The Western Criminal Investigation Military Region is conducting ongoing states of alert in Umm Al-
Department reported of ongoing reconnaissance operations in light of Aranib, Ghadduwaha and Taraghin.
security patrol operations in the the ongoing declared state of
Shubayka area near Al Ajaylat. emergency. The LNA’s 155th Battalion is
reportedly being stationed at Sabha
A Joint Security Room operation in The Criminal Investigation Castle after the yesterday’s handover
Misrata led to an arrest after a raid on Department in Al-Bayda revealed the of the site.
a location, used to sell alcohol and circumstances of the find of a
weapons in the Tamina area. strangled infant, which has led to the Forces of the Police and Military
arrest and investigation of two Prisons Department Benghazi under
Mitiga Airport, Ras Ajdir and Dehiba Sudanese nationals. Maj. Gen. Abdullah Nooruddin Al-
Wazin are open and operational. Hamali, have arrived in Sabha.
VELLICHOR in CONFIDENCE Page | 1
VELLICHOR A2 – Analysis & Assessment
3. COUNTRYWIDE INCIDENTS
ARREST OF BODY FIND &
TERROR SUSPECT ARRESTS
WADI KA’AM AL-BAYDA
ZLITEN
RAID AND ARREST
TAMINA
MISRATA
ARRIVAL OF
MILITARY POLICE
SABHA
4. SIGNIFICANT ACTIVITY
4.1 Arrest of Terror Suspect – Wadi Ka’am – Zliten
APPROX. AREA OF ARREST:
A terror suspect identified as
Ali Amin was arrested by Anti-
Terror forces on Thursday
morning January 24, at an
unspecified location in the
area between Wadi Ka’am
and Zliten.
• The suspect is said to have been involved in operations in Benghazi and Derna as well as having an alleged
involvement in the murder of Aqeed Naji Awami.
VELLICHOR in CONFIDENCE Page | 2VELLICHOR A2 – Analysis & Assessment
5. OUTLOOK
Divisions amongst political institutions as well as the continued delay in the creation of a constitutional base may result in
the postponement of parliamentary and presidential elections according to the Spring 2019 timeframe.
Unconfirmed reports of growing tensions amongst armed groups in Al Ajaylat may lead to an increase in threat levels in the
area.
The presence and operations of the LNA in the south-west are likely to increase with the possible development of
allegiances and opposition.
6. RISK RATINGS
The current residual risk ratings countrywide for the main identified security risk, post implementation of the recommended
security controls as follows:
IMPACT
LOW MEDIUM HIGH VERY HIGH EXTREME
EXTREME
LIKELIHOOD
V HIGH TRAFFIC INCIDENTS
ARMED CLASHES
KIDNAP
HIGH CRIMINALITY
MEDIUM
LOW
7. MEDIA HIGHLIGHTS
Tripoli clashes, lack of Libyan support to UN initiative undermine Salame’s standing (The Arab Weekly) – The UN
Support Mission in Libya (UNSMIL) and UN Special Envoy Ghassan Salame have apparently been backing Sarraj’s power
moves.
https://thearabweekly.com/tripoli-clashes-lack-libyan-support-un-initiative-undermine-salames-standing
8. SIGNIFICANT DATES & NATIONAL HOLIDAYS
DAY DATE EVENT COMMENTS
SUNDAY 17 February February 17th Revolution
WEDNESDAY 01 May Labour Day
WEDNESDAY 05 June Eid ul-Fitr End of Ramadan
THURSDAY 06 June Eid Al Fitr Holiday End of Ramadan
SUNDAY 11 August Arafat Day Date TBC. Arafat (Haj) Day
MONDAY 12 August Eid Al-Adha Date varies on Lunar cycle
TUESDAY 13 August Eid Al-Adha Holiday Date varies on Lunar cycle
WEDNESDAY 14 August Eid Al-Adha Holiday Date varies on Lunar cycle
SUNDAY 01 September Hijri New Year Islamic New Year
MONDAY 16 September Martyr’s Day
WEDNESDAY 23 October Liberation Day
SUNDAY 10 November Birthday of Prophet Muhammad
TUESDAY 24 December Independence Day
VELLICHOR in CONFIDENCE Page | 3VELLICHOR A2 – Analysis & Assessment
9. LIBYA 5 DAY WEATHER FORECAST
Day Description High / Low Precip Wind
TONIGHT 26 JAN Light Rain Early - / 10° 60% NW 23 km/h
SUN 27 JAN Partly Cloudy 16° / 10° 10% W 20 km/h
MON 28 JAN Partly Cloudy 17° / 8° 20% W 20 km/h
TUE 29 JAN Showers / Wind 15° / 8° 50% W 32 km/h
WED 30 JAN Mostly Sunny 18° / 10° 0% WSW 27 km/h
THU 31 JAN Mostly Sunny 17° / 11° 0% W 25 km/h
10. GENERAL SECURITY & SAFETY RECOMMENDATIONS
Political situation – The political situation in Libya remains fragile and the security situation remains dangerous and
unpredictable. Fighting can break out anywhere without warning, including between local militia groups, and many civilians
have been killed in outbreaks of conflict in residential areas.
There’s a high risk of civilians, including journalists, humanitarian and medical workers, being caught in indiscriminate
gunfire or shelling, including air strikes, in all areas where there is fighting. Political events may impact on the security
situation.
Reports of violence, reprisal killings, looting and human rights abuses continue across the country. If you are planning to
travel to Libya, you should monitor the local security situation carefully and use a licensed and reputable security provider,
you should never travel alone.
Crime – Ongoing conflict and the proliferation of armed militias has led to a rise in crime in most areas, including violent
robbery, carjacking and kidnapping. There’s an elevated risk of kidnap for ransom and arbitrary detention by local militias
throughout Libya, and a very high risk of criminal kidnap for ransom in Tripoli and coastal towns to the West of Tripoli.
Foreigners are increasingly targeted for kidnappings by both criminal and extremist groups.
Local travel – If you travel to Libya, you should regularly reassess your security arrangements and carefully plan your
movements. Take security advice from competent security experts before any travel within the country. Close security
protection is extremely important.
In the event of a further deterioration of the security situation, routes in and out of major cities and towns may become
blocked and airports closed or inaccessible at little or no notice. Don’t advertise your travel or other plans through social
media. Avoid routine, vary your travel routes, and keep a low profile at all times.
Road travel – Road travel within Libya remains highly dangerous. There continues to be a risk of being caught up in
outbreaks of hostilities. There’s also a high risk of carjacking and robbery. The coastal road between Zawiyah and Tripoli
presents an elevated risk. There’s a risk of striking unexploded ordnance off-road. Road traffic accidents are frequent and
often result in fatalities.
Chad and Niger have closed their border with Libya on several occasions in 2017 without warning, in response to the activity
of armed groups in the area. Tunisian border crossings are affected by frequent clashes along the coastal road in west
Libya and are often inaccessible.
Air travel – Airports across Libya can close without warming and airlines may change their flight schedule without notice.
Contact your airline or travel company for further information before travelling.
Due to a number of ongoing safety concerns, the European Union has agreed with the Libyan authorities to continue a
voluntary restriction on Libyan airlines flying into the EU. However, some Libyan airlines operate flights to the EU using
aircraft leased from other airlines.
VELLICHOR in CONFIDENCE Page | 4VELLICHOR A2 – Analysis & Assessment
We cannot offer advice on the safety of airlines. However, the International Air Transport Association publishes a list of
registered airlines that have been audited and found to meet a number of operational safety standards and recommended
practices. This list is not exhaustive and the absence of an airline from this list does not necessarily mean that it is unsafe.
VELLICHOR Disclaimer:
You are responsible for your own safety abroad and for making the decision to travel. The information contained in this
advisory is provided for information only. Whilst care is taken to ensure that this advisory is as up-to-date and accurate as
possible, it is provided on an "as is" basis without any representation or endorsement made and without warranty of any
kind, express or implied. VELLICHOR does not assume responsibility and shall not be liable for any damages in connection
to the advisory information provided.
CENTRALIZED MAP INFORMATION SYSTEM
Developed & built in collaboration with leading GIS experts, former police and armed forces professionals.
OPSMAPIA is a unique map information system, it helps operations room personnel to easily create and define their spot structure to
fit any custom needs, the spots and associated information are visually and audibly shared within the company/organization in real-
time. OPSMAPIA was developed in collaboration with GIS experts, on-the-ground security operators, former police and armed forces
professionals. OPSMAPIA brings advanced mapping tools to a simple one page web application, its friendly interface minimises the
learning curve to almost zero and makes it enjoyable to work with.
OPSMAPIA FUNCTIONALITY
OPSMAPIA is an advanced (backend) but simple (frontend) global mapping tool for domestic or International applications. Users can
create their own unique structure determined by their operational needs using customizable, Dynamic/Static Spots and share critical
information.
OPSMAPIA is highly customizable for your organization specific needs. If OPSMAPIA is found to not quite do what you want, speak to
us and we can make subtle changes to suite your specific requirements.
VELLICHOR in CONFIDENCE Page | 5You can also read
