Thursday, 25 April 2019 - Vellichor Group
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Thursday, 25 April 2019
VAT Number: GB286 5218 76
UK Company Number: 10884308
DUNS Number: 223121945
The information contained in this work is confidential and must not be reproduced or disclosed to others without the prior written permission of VELLICHOR GROUP. The reproduction of this work in any
way is considered as counterfeiting and you are informed that any dissemination, copying or disclosure of the material contained herein, to include any attachments, in whole or in part, is strictly prohibited.VELLICHOR A2 – Analysis & Assessment
VELLICHOR DAILY SECURITY SUMMARY 25 APRIL 2019
1. COUNTRY OVERVIEW
Elders and Dignitaries from Tarhuna held a Tribal Forum today discussing current political, security and military
developments in the country. The Forum was held under the banner, “yes to the Libyan army, not to the militias”, expressing
consensus over the support for the Libyan National Army (LNA) and calling on the international community to support the
LNA. United Nations (UN), Special Representative of the Secretary-General Ghassan Salamé, stated at a press conference
in Rome yesterday, that the UN Support Mission in Libya (UNSMIL) is continuing its efforts to bring together the various
Libyan parties under the political process before the month of Ramadan, which begins on May 05. Furthermore, the
UNSMIL, the World Health Organisation (WHO) and the UN High Commissioner for Refugees (UNHCR), are providing
continued support in the form of humanitarian and medical assistance as well as relocating civilians and refugees into “safe
areas”. Egyptian President Abdel Fattah el-Sisi issued Presidential Decree No. 208, 2019 declaring a State of Emergency
from 0100hrs today, lasting for three months, which includes territorial restrictions, increased powers by law enforcement
and judicial bodies as well as the implementation of a curfew.
Commander of the LNA Western Region Operations Room, Major General Abdul Salam al-Hassi has confirmed the
implementation of LNA Operation Flood of Dignity Phase Two, which aims to attack GNA Military Positions in the Aziziyah,
Al-Jabal, and Al-Hira areas. At approx. 0200hrs, the Tripoli Revolutionaries Battalion (TRB) refuted reports of yesterday’s
troop withdrawal from the southern Tripoli outskirts, which allegedly led to the LNA advance on the Al-Khilat and Ain Zara
Axes. In the southern Tripoli outskirts area, at approx. 0827hrs, localised sources reported of renewed armed clashes on
the Al-Khilat Axis. At approx. 1200hrs, a localised source reported of the withdrawal of Central Security Abu Salim Branch
(Ghaniwa) units on the Al-Khilat Axis towards Hamza Military Camp area. At approx. 1500hrs LNA advances were reported
on the Ain Zara Axis. At approx. the same hour, the GNA Military Region was reportedly instructed by the GNA Volcano of
Wrath Command to advance southwards under air cover. At approx. 1530hrs armed clashes were reported in the Khallet
Al-Furjan area. At approx. the same hour, LNA forces were reportedly stationed at the Alashkan Mosque on the Ain Zara
Axis with an attempted northward advance with airstrikes on an undisclosed location in the area. At approx. 1545hrs, gunfire
was reported in the Qaser Bin Gashir area. At approx. 1600hrs armed clashes were reported in the Al-Rumlat area behind
Tripoli International Airport (TIA) as well as in the “Four Streets” area of Wadi Al-Rabie. At approx. the same hour armed
clashes on the Ain Zara Axis had spread towards the Salem Bashir connection area/route. In the Warshefana area, at
approx. 1430hrs, no clashes were reported on the Aziziyah Axis, however with three Misrata Air College Airstrikes in the
area as well as in Sheliouni, south-west of Aziziyah. At approx. 1630hrs an LNA ambush on GNA Military Region forces on
the southern entrance of Aziziyah was reported with numerous unconfirmed casualties. At approx. 1730hrs a preliminary
unconfirmed localised LNA report claimed LNA control over Aziziyah.
2. REGIONAL SUMMARIES
TRIPOLITANIA CYRENAICA FEZZAN
Main area of interest: Aziziyah Axis – Main area of interest: Benghazi – The Main area of interest: Sabha – Sabha
Disputed area with reported LNA city remains under a high state of alert continues to be under a high state of
advances after initial withdrawal. due to LNA Western Region alert with recent increased security
Importance of Axis due to connection Operations with the introduction of operations due to the monitoring of
to LNA supply route from LNA CID Security Plan No. 01, 2019 (April hostile forces in the wider area as well
Western Axis 1 via Gharyan. 22) as well as the VBIED attack on as the nearby Tamanhint Airbase
April 15 being amongst recent main attack on April 18.
The GNA Ministry of Interior (MoI) developments.
announced the arrest of a terror- The Sabha Joint Security Room
suspect identified as Yasser Saleh Security review in Benghazi by the issued a threat warning regarding the
Khalifa Al-Majri today as part of the head of the Security Plan No. 04, presence of criminal elements in the
implementation of increased security Khalid Basta including CID units and areas of Tayuri and Nsiriyah (southern
measures with the Misrata Security patrol operations. Sabha) as well as in Tajarhi area,
Directorate under the ongoing State of southern Desert area, south of Qatrun.
Emergency. As part of CID Security Plan No. 01,
security patrol units in the Ras Lanuf, A local media report claims the Sabha
Reported killing of the son of the Brega and Ajdabiyah area arrested a Security Directorate refuses to protect
Mayor of West Zawiyah last night, group of illegal migrants yesterday, polling stations for Municipal Elections
accused of having been involved in which were subsequently transferred without a letter of approval from the
prior criminal activity. to the Immigration Control Authority. Interim Government.
VELLICHOR in CONFIDENCE Page | 1VELLICHOR A2 – Analysis & Assessment
3. COUNTRYWIDE INCIDENTS
VIOLENT CRIME SECURITY REVIEW
(TARGETED BENGHAZI
KILLING)
WEST ZAWIYAH
POLICE ACTION
(ILLEGAL
ARMED CLASHES MIGRANTS)
AZIZIYAH AXIS, OIL CRESCENT
SOUTHERN
TRIPOLI
AIRSTRIKE
AZIZIYAH AREA –
SHELIOUNI, AIN
ZARA
POLICE ACTION
(TERROR
SUSPECT)
TRIPOLI
THREAT WARNING
SOUTHERN
SABHA, TAJARHI
4. SIGNIFICANT ACTIVITY
4.1 LNA Western Axes – Overview
AXIS 1:
Ash Shwayrif – (through Al
Qaryat) – (through Al-
Batma checkpoint) –
Mizdah – Garyan.
AXIS 2:
As Saddadah – Bani Waled -
Tarhuna
AXIS 3:
Hamada – (desert route) –
Alzintan – Alrujban – al
Watyah Airbase
AXIS 2
AXIS 1
NAVAL ROUTE:
AXIS 3
AL-JUFRA AIRBASE
VELLICHOR in CONFIDENCE Page | 2VELLICHOR A2 – Analysis & Assessment
4.2 Western Region Military Developments – Overview @ 1900hrs
AL-ZAHRA BRIDGE: MITIGA AIRPORT AREA:
LNA airstrike reported @ Preliminary unconfirmed
approx. 1815hrs. reports of gunfire and
explosions towards Mitiga
AZIZIYAH: Airport.
Unconfirmed LNA entry and
control. KHALLET AL-FURJAN:
Ongoing armed clashes.
AL TWAISHA AREA:
Ongoing armed clashes
including reports of shelling.
5. OUTLOOK
No Significant Changes - National political efforts are likely to be subject to international agency. National security
actors/bodies may begin to have increasing effects on developments including control structures.
Military activity is likely to remain focused on the Warshefana and southern Tripoli areas with possible significant
developments in the coastal (western and eastern) areas.
Increased security in the south is likely to remain with possible offensive operations aimed at mitigating hostile threats in
the region – the possibility of attacks remains.
6. RISK RATINGS
The current residual risk ratings countrywide for the main identified security risk, post implementation of the recommended
security controls as follows:
IMPACT
LOW MEDIUM HIGH VERY HIGH EXTREME
EXTREME
LIKELIHOOD
V HIGH TRAFFIC INCIDENTS ARMED CLASHES
HIGH CRIMINALITY KIDNAP
MEDIUM
LOW
7. MEDIA HIGHLIGHTS
Washington Rejects Report on Trump's Support For Haftar’s Offensive on Tripoli (Sputnik) – Earlier in April,
Secretary of State Mike Pompeo underscored that the US is “deeply concerned” about the situation in Libya and that it
urges the Libyan National Army loyal to Field Marshal Khalifa Haftar to stop its offensive on Tripoli.
https://sputniknews.com/world/201904251074456909-libya-escalation-trump-haftar/
VELLICHOR in CONFIDENCE Page | 3VELLICHOR A2 – Analysis & Assessment
General Haftar’s greatest gamble in Libya is going against him (The Globe and Mail) – At 76, Khalifa Haftar is full of
fight and making the biggest military and geopolitical move of his life. And it’s not going well.
https://beta.theglobeandmail.com/world/article-general-haftars-greatest-gamble-in-libya-is-going-against-him/
8. SIGNIFICANT DATES & NATIONAL HOLIDAYS
DAY DATE EVENT COMMENTS
SUNDAY 17 February February 17th Revolution
WEDNESDAY 01 May Labour Day
WEDNESDAY 05 June Eid ul-Fitr End of Ramadan
THURSDAY 06 June Eid Al Fitr Holiday End of Ramadan
SUNDAY 11 August Arafat Day Date TBC. Arafat (Haj) Day
MONDAY 12 August Eid Al-Adha Date varies on Lunar cycle
TUESDAY 13 August Eid Al-Adha Holiday Date varies on Lunar cycle
WEDNESDAY 14 August Eid Al-Adha Holiday Date varies on Lunar cycle
SUNDAY 01 September Hijri New Year Islamic New Year
MONDAY 16 September Martyr’s Day
WEDNESDAY 23 October Liberation Day
SUNDAY 10 November Birthday of Prophet Muhammad
TUESDAY 24 December Independence Day
9. LIBYA 5 DAY WEATHER FORECAST
Day Description High / Low Precip Wind
TONIGHT 25 APR Clear - / 15° 10% NE 9 km/h
FRI 26 APR Sunny 25° / 15° 10% N 15 km/h
SAT 27 APR Mostly Sunny 22° / 15° 10% N 20 km/h
SUN 28 APR Sunny 21° / 13° 10% N 18 km/h
MON 29 APR Sunny 22° / 13° 10% NNE 17 km/h
TUE 30 APR Partly Cloudy 24° / 16° 0% ENE 21 km/h
10. GENERAL SECURITY & SAFETY RECOMMENDATIONS
Political situation – The political situation in Libya remains fragile and the security situation remains dangerous and
unpredictable. Fighting can break out anywhere without warning, including between local militia groups, and many civilians
have been killed in outbreaks of conflict in residential areas.
There’s a high risk of civilians, including journalists, humanitarian and medical workers, being caught in indiscriminate
gunfire or shelling, including air strikes, in all areas where there is fighting. Political events may impact on the security
situation.
Reports of violence, reprisal killings, looting and human rights abuses continue across the country. If you are planning to
travel to Libya, you should monitor the local security situation carefully and use a licensed and reputable security provider,
you should never travel alone.
Crime – Ongoing conflict and the proliferation of armed militias has led to a rise in crime in most areas, including violent
robbery, carjacking and kidnapping. There’s an elevated risk of kidnap for ransom and arbitrary detention by local militias
throughout Libya, and a very high risk of criminal kidnap for ransom in Tripoli and coastal towns to the West of Tripoli.
Foreigners are increasingly targeted for kidnappings by both criminal and extremist groups.
Local travel – If you travel to Libya, you should regularly reassess your security arrangements and carefully plan your
movements. Take security advice from competent security experts before any travel within the country. Close security
protection is extremely important.
VELLICHOR in CONFIDENCE Page | 4VELLICHOR A2 – Analysis & Assessment
In the event of a further deterioration of the security situation, routes in and out of major cities and towns may become
blocked and airports closed or inaccessible at little or no notice. Don’t advertise your travel or other plans through social
media. Avoid routine, vary your travel routes, and keep a low profile at all times.
Road travel – Road travel within Libya remains highly dangerous. There continues to be a risk of being caught up in
outbreaks of hostilities. There’s also a high risk of carjacking and robbery. The coastal road between Zawiyah and Tripoli
presents an elevated risk. There’s a risk of striking unexploded ordnance off-road. Road traffic accidents are frequent and
often result in fatalities.
Chad and Niger have closed their border with Libya on several occasions in 2017 without warning, in response to the activity
of armed groups in the area. Tunisian border crossings are affected by frequent clashes along the coastal road in west
Libya and are often inaccessible.
Air travel – Airports across Libya can close without warming and airlines may change their flight schedule without notice.
Contact your airline or travel company for further information before travelling.
Due to a number of ongoing safety concerns, the European Union has agreed with the Libyan authorities to continue a
voluntary restriction on Libyan airlines flying into the EU. However, some Libyan airlines operate flights to the EU using
aircraft leased from other airlines.
We cannot offer advice on the safety of airlines. However, the International Air Transport Association publishes a list of
registered airlines that have been audited and found to meet a number of operational safety standards and recommended
practices. This list is not exhaustive and the absence of an airline from this list does not necessarily mean that it is unsafe.
VELLICHOR Disclaimer:
You are responsible for your own safety abroad and for making the decision to travel. The information contained in this
advisory is provided for information only. Whilst care is taken to ensure that this advisory is as up-to-date and accurate as
possible, it is provided on an "as is" basis without any representation or endorsement made and without warranty of any
kind, express or implied. VELLICHOR does not assume responsibility and shall not be liable for any damages in connection
to the advisory information provided.
VELLICHOR in CONFIDENCE Page | 5VELLICHOR A2 – Analysis & Assessment
CENTRALIZED MAP INFORMATION SYSTEM
Developed & built in collaboration with leading GIS experts, former police and armed forces professionals.
OPSMAPIA is a unique map information system, it helps operations room personnel to easily create and define their spot structure to
fit any custom needs, the spots and associated information are visually and audibly shared within the company/organization in real-
time. OPSMAPIA was developed in collaboration with GIS experts, on-the-ground security operators, former police and armed forces
professionals. OPSMAPIA brings advanced mapping tools to a simple one page web application, its friendly interface minimises the
learning curve to almost zero and makes it enjoyable to work with.
OPSMAPIA FUNCTIONALITY
OPSMAPIA is an advanced (backend) but simple (frontend) global mapping tool for domestic or International applications. Users can
create their own unique structure determined by their operational needs using customizable, Dynamic/Static Spots and share critical
information.
OPSMAPIA is highly customizable for your organization specific needs. If OPSMAPIA is found to not quite do what you want, speak to
us and we can make subtle changes to suite your specific requirements.
VELLICHOR in CONFIDENCE Page | 6You can also read
