Shariah-compliant index derived from the FTSE100 vs. FTSE 100: 2003-2014 performance comparison
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Shariah-compliant index derived from the FTSE100 vs. FTSE 100: 2003-2014 performance comparison Basheer Ahmed Moosagie Research assignment presented in partial fulfilment of the requirements for the degree of Master of Business Administration at Stellenbosch University Supervisor: Mr Mohamed Iqbal Asaria Confidentiality: A December 2014
Stellenbosch University http://scholar.sun.ac.za ii Declaration I, Basheer Moosagie, declare that the entire body of work contained in this research assignment is my own, original work; that I am the sole author thereof (save to the extent explicitly otherwise stated); that reproduction and publication thereof by Stellenbosch University will not infringe any third party rights; and that I have not previously in its entirety or part submitted it for obtaining any qualification. B. Moosagie 31 October 2014 Copyright © 2014 Stellenbosch University All rights reserved
Stellenbosch University http://scholar.sun.ac.za iii Acknowledgements I would like to acknowledge the support I got from several individuals during the course of this study: Professor Mohamed Iqbal Asaria Mohamed Kharwa- Nedbank Matthew Bowler - Element Investment Managers Shahiem Khan - Element Investment Managers Dr. Anwah Nagia - Element Investment Managers Abdul Basit Oldey - Kagiso Asset Managers Niyaaz Mowser - Old Mutual Nigel Suliman - Sanlam Investments Mikko Ekström. I would like to express my gratitude to the many advisors, especially Dr. John Morrison, at Stellenbosch Business School for their support and encouragement throughout my MBA studies. Additional recognition to Cynthia Lategan for continued support during my studies. My thanks also extend to Aston University for providing me with an extraordinary opportunity to study Islamic Finance. Thank you to my mother Zaiboen, and Mohamed Allie, father and Mymoena and Allie my father and mother-in-law for their continued support over the years and their enthusiasm as I neared my goal. Last, but not by any means least, I would like to thank my wife, Tasnim, for her continuous support, love and understanding during the course of my studies. Her encouragement and support was in the end what made this dissertation possible. The time spent away from my family while attending classes and writing exams and, in particular, this dissertation was truly difficult. I could not have completed my research without all these wonderful people!
Stellenbosch University http://scholar.sun.ac.za iv Abstract This research study critically reviewed the performance of a Shariah-compliant index compared with that of the UK FTSE 100 between 2003 and 2014. Two broad indices were constructed based on business evaluation techniques, one using market capitalisation and the other total assets as a means to value a company. Shariah-compliant equity screening combines a financial ratio screen as well as business activity screening, which excludes a company’s involvement in any unlawful activities in the eyes of Islamic law. The sample period was further broken into three sub-periods, namely the bull period (2003-2007), the financial crisis period (2008-2009), and the post-crisis period (2009-2014), reflecting the various stages of the business cycle. A comparison of the risk-adjusted returns shows that the Shariah-compliant index, using market capitalisation as the means for valuing a company, delivers superior returns at lower risk levels than the FTSE100 over the sample period. Although the Shariah-compliant indices underperform to the FTSE100 during the bull market period, both of the Shariah compliant indices outperform the FTSE 100 during the era of the financial crisis. This can be explained by the fact that Shariah screening excludes companies that are highly leveraged and therefore it remains buffered from an economic crisis. In general, this research contends that the application of a faith-based-screen does not have an adverse effect on returns. Key words: Islamic finance Shariah Screening Interest Gearing Index Shariah-compliant investments Financial performance Risk-adjusted ratios
Stellenbosch University http://scholar.sun.ac.za v Table of contents Declaration ii Acknowledgements iii Abstract iv List of tables viii List of figures ix List of acronyms and abbreviations x CHAPTER 1 BACKGROUND 1 1.1. INTRODUCTION 1 1.1.1. Islamic finance entry 2 1.1.2. Ethical investing 2 1.2. ETHICAL SCREENING 3 1.3. ISLAMIC FINANCE 3 1.4. SHARIAH PRINCIPLES 4 1.5. GOVERNANCE 5 1.5.1. Shariah-compliant asset management 5 1.5.2. Shariah Supervisory Board 5 CHAPTER 2 LITERATURE REVIEW 7 2.1. INTRODUCTION 7 2.2. SHARIAH-COMPLIANT SCREENING 8 2.3. SECTOR BASED SCREENS 8 2.3.1. Financial ratio screens 8 2.3.2. Dividend purification 10 2.3.3. SRI funds screening 10 2.4. RATIONALE 10 2.5. OBJECTIVES 11 CHAPTER 3 RESEARCH METHODOLOGY 12 3.1. RESEARCH DESIGN 12 3.2. POPULATION OF THE STUDY 12 3.3. DATA COLLECTION 12
Stellenbosch University http://scholar.sun.ac.za vi 3.4. FTSE 100 12 3.5. PERIOD 12 3.6. SCREENING 12 3.6.1. Business activity screen (qualitative screen) 13 3.6.2. Financial ratio screening 13 3.6.3. Denominators 13 3.7. QUANTITATIVE SCREEN 13 3.8. INDEX CONSTRUCTION 14 3.8.1. Dividend purification 14 3.8.2. Calculations 14 3.8.3. Risk-adjusted return ratios 15 3.8.3.1. Jensen’s measure 15 3.8.3.2. Sharpe measure 15 3.8.3.3. Treynor measure: 15 3.8.4. Statistical tools 16 3.8.5. Weighting 16 CHAPTER 4 FINDINGS 17 4.1. BUSINESS ACTIVITY SCREEN 17 4.2. TABLE 4.2 - FINANCIAL RATIO SCREEN: INDEX 1 19 4.3. TABLE 4.3 - FINANCIAL RATIO SCREEN: INDEX 2 19 4.4. CALCULATIONS 22 4.5. DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS 23 4.6. IDENTIFIED ISSUES 26 4.6.1. Consensus among scholars about what is and is not permissible 26 4.6.2. Non-permissible revenue cannot be separated 26 4.6.3. Supply versus collaboration 27 4.6.4. Qualitative screen 27 4.7. DISCUSSION 27 4.8. FURTHER STUDIES 28 CHAPTER 5 CONCLUSIONS 30 5.1. SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS 30 REFERENCES 32 Appendix A Company’s product or service 35
Stellenbosch University http://scholar.sun.ac.za vii Appendix B: Fields searched in Bloomberg 36 Appendix C: List of constituents in the UK FTSE100 between 2003 and 2014 37 Appendix D: Companies that were excluded after the quantitative screen 40 Appendix E: Further exclusion due to second screen 42 Appendix F: Constituents of the indices 43 Appendix G: Glossary of terms 45
Stellenbosch University http://scholar.sun.ac.za viii List of tables Table 1.1: Difference between profit and interest 5 Table 2.1: Screening rules 9 Table 4.1: Companies excluded based on business activity 18 Table 4.2: Companies excluded based on financial ratios of Index 1 18 Table 4.3: Companies excluded based on financial ratios of Index 2 18 Table 4.4: Average quarterly constituents per index 20 Table 4.5: Total assets as the denominator (Index 1) 21 Table 4.6: Market cap as the denominator (Index 2) 21 Table 4.7: Descriptive statistics of annual returns for the indices (2003-2014) 23 Table 4.8: Risk-adjusted measurements using a three-month risk-free UK bond and the market index is the FTSE100 (2003-2014) 25
Stellenbosch University http://scholar.sun.ac.za ix List of figures Figure 4.1: Average quarterly constituent number per index between 2003-2014 19 Figure 4.2: Total returns 22 Figure 4.3: Cumulative returns of £100 invested on 1January 2003 27
Stellenbosch University http://scholar.sun.ac.za x List of acronyms and abbreviations DJIMI Dow Jones Islamic Market Index EIF Equity Islamic Funds FTSE Financial Times Stock Exchange GEIS Global Equity Index Series IEFs Islamic Equity Funds IFSB Islamic Financial Services Board LSE London Stock Exchange MSCI Morgan Stanley Capital International PBUH Prophet Muhammad S&P Standard and Poor’s SRI socially responsible investments SSB Shariah Supervisory Board UK United Kingdom
Stellenbosch University http://scholar.sun.ac.za CHAPTER 1 BACKGROUND 1.1. INTRODUCTION In today’s world an important question surfaces about whether a person practising Islam can invest in a company that is not 100% compliant with Islamic law, or not. The quick answer is no. The protracted answer, however, boils down to the consensus among Islamic scholars regarding investing: that there is a dire need. What does a ‘dire need’ mean in this context? If investing in a financial market were as simple as black and white (black being impermissible and white meaning permissible), then investment decisions would be simple: invest in the permissible shares and refrain from the impermissible ones. The truth of the matter is that investing in financial markets is neither black nor white, and thus the exercise of investing poses a conundrum for scholars. The primary reason for the prohibition in investing in financial markets is based on Islam’s prohibition on interest. There is unanimity among Shariah scholars that the use of interest, whether paying or receiving, is impermissible (Vahed, 2011:170). Muslims are also not allowed to participate in businesses earning primarily from impermissible activities, in the eyes of Islamic law, such as alcohol beverage producers, casinos or even partially as for instance many hotels, due to their income from the sale of alcohol. In light of this, any entity that deals in interest will automatically make investing in these businesses impermissible. And here is the caveat: investments that are impermissible can be made permissible if there is a necessity (Vahed, 2011:170). Under the legal maxim of dhurura, Arabic for necessity, Islamic scholars have agreed that there is a need for investment in financial markets, for the preservation of wealth (Hunt-Ahmed, 2013; Kamali, 1999). There are a few core principles that scholars use in order to gauge whether an investment falls into the necessity-basket. However, certain restrictions remain. Although companies might meet the requirements of this necessity, there are limits to which investment categories should not breach. For example, since gambling is not permitted in Islam, any provision to finance a casino must be avoided. A company that cannot be avoided is one that has a conventional bank account, which accumulates interest. Unfortunately, interest is an inevitable reality of the current economic system and cannot be avoided (Usmani, 2008:246).
Stellenbosch University http://scholar.sun.ac.za 2 Now, since the doors of investing in equity markets have been available for Muslims, what options do they have? And can these investment options offer a market-related risk/reward alternative as well? 1.1.1. Islamic finance entry Until the 1980s, Muslims were discouraged from investing in financial markets because of Shariah prohibition on certain business activities (Hussein & Omran, 2005:105). In the 1990s when a majority of the Islamic scholars reached unanimous consensus regarding the acceptability of investing in equity markets (Hayat, 2006), changes in Shariah rulings related to investment saw the dawn of Shariah-compliant financial markets (Uddin, 2012). The ability of Shariah-compliant investments to survive and grow during the financial crisis further enhanced their attractiveness in the financial industry. Though some Islamic financial institutions were hurt during the recent financial crisis, they were less affected than those in the conventional financial industry, which saw high profile institutions collapse (Hunt-Ahmed, 2013). Since the Shariah prohibits the use of interest as well as the investment in high leveraged firms, Shariah- compliant investments were, to a large extent, buffered during this period. As a result, large financial institutions established Islamic footprints that sought to take advantage of this upswing, and use Islamic investment vehicles as a means of diversification. In February 1999, the Dow Jones launched the Dow Jones Islamic Market Index (DJIMI). It tracked the performance of equity in over 34 countries. Today, Muslims represent approximately one-fifth of the world’s population and are estimated to have more than $2 trillion to invest (Gosh, 2013). With the growth in Shariah-compliant investments, the need for having a screened universe of Shariah-compliant equity is increasing to accommodate this opportunity. 1.1.2. Ethical investing According to Etzioni (1988), people are guided by a sense of moral duty, in that, not only is the maximisation of shareholder wealth an important goal, but also the maximisation of shareholder welfare. What emerges from this concern is an awareness that the responsibilities of business extend further than that which is owed to shareholders. Investors who adhere to this concern often wish to invest with companies that pursue a broader ethical goal rather than those interested only in increasing shareholder wealth. This poses a problem because trying to determine which companies have actively incorporated social ethical standards can be a costly and time-consuming exercise. This has led to the formation of Social Mutual Funds or Ethical Unit Trusts that were specifically screened to meet the needs of socially sensitive investors (Cummings, 2000:79).
Stellenbosch University http://scholar.sun.ac.za 3 1.2. ETHICAL SCREENING Over the past three decades, the world has seen a positive shift in attitude towards ethical investment. As a result, ethical funds have been some of the faster growing areas in the financial sector (Forte & Miglietta, 2007). The use of ethical screening, however, is not a new phenomenon. It dates back to a time when religious bodies discouraged their followers from investing in the so called ‘sin’ industries which included alcohol, gambling and tobacco (Hussein & Omran, 2005:105; Uddin, 2012). In the 1970s, ethical investors refrained from offering finance to those businesses that had ties to the proponents of the Vietnamese War. In the 1980s, they disinvested in South Africa due it its human-rights violations (Arnold & Hammond, 1994:111). Recently, ethical screening has encompassed corporate responsiveness to the needs of human rights and the environment in which they participate (Welford, 2002:1). Screening is a process of scrutinising a company’s activity as part of their investment process. Ethical screening therefore is a procedure of vetting companies as part of the ethical or responsible investment process (Klein, Eriksen, Næss, Hammill, Tanner, Robledo & O’Brien, 2007:23). Shariah screening determines whether a stock or security is Shariah-compliant. It consists of a variety of Shariah principles to test for compliance. The objective of screening is to ensure that the stock or security which is purchased does not contain any forbidden elements that make it non-compliant in the eyes of the Shariah. 1.3. ISLAMIC FINANCE Islamic finance can be categorised as financial transactions that are in accordance with the teachings of Islamic jurisprudence, labelled in Arabic as the Shariah (Usmani, 2008:246). Shariah, Islamic canon law, is derived from two primary sources, namely the Quran and traditions and practices of the Prophet Muhammad (PBUH) known as the Sunnah (Usmani, 2008:246; Vahed, 2011:170). Though called Islamic law, it can best be described as a moral code that governs all aspects of a Muslim’s day-to-day activities (Treasury, 2008; Usmani, 2008:246; Vahed, 2011:170). Shariah law prohibits the following: 1. The consumption and repaying of interest; 2. The investment in companies that deal in activities that are prohibited in Islam (alcoholic beverage production, pork-related products and ammunition); 3. Speculation and excessive risk (Usmani, 2008). According to Iqbal and Mirakhor (2011:406), these prohibitions have a far-reaching consequence for Muslims, and by implication it means that Muslims are not allowed to invest in futures, options
Stellenbosch University http://scholar.sun.ac.za 4 or any other speculation-based derivative and they are not allowed to have access to conventional credit. Though the principle of paying and receiving interest is too restrictive for investors, Islamic scholars have applied some leniency to this. Although Islamic finance type products are primarily designed to accommodate the Muslim community, they are available to all. These products provide an alternative financial model to conventional financial products and investment opportunities. 1.4. SHARIAH PRINCIPLES Islamic financial institutions are governed by Shariah principles, which make their functioning different to conventional financial institutions. Islamic finance can be considered as an alternative financing method, which offers several means to handle the financing of economic activity from rudimentary mechanisms to sophisticated instruments. The central theme of Islamic finance is the prohibition of interest. Other principles, which shape the tenets of Islamic finance, are as follows: Islamic finance aims at promoting productive economic activity through asset-based type financing, which must be linked to a tangible asset, rather than through a debt-based system (Iqbal & Mirakhor, 2011:406). Money does not hold any inherent value in itself, it is understood to be an accepted means of exchange and, as a result, money cannot be created through a credit system (Usmani, 2008:246). Productive economic activity, with business activity and the prohibition of interest, defines another key principle for Shariah screening: uncertainty and speculation are forbidden with the objective of achieving a stable financial system (Iqbal & Mirakhor, 2011:406). The nature of business activity is also scrutinised. Any activity that deals in impermissible activities in the eyes of the Shariah is limited. Any activity that causes harm to individuals, society or the environment, such as the defence industry is also limited. Fixed returns are prohibited, as a result of the prohibition of interest (Iqbal & Mirakhor, 2011:406). With the prohibition of interest, Islamic finance institutes a profit and loss principle that aims to establish fairness between work effort and return. As a result, risk sharing becomes an important tenet in Islamic finance (Iqbal & Mirakhor, 2011:406). Given this prescribed set of principles, Islamic scholars engineer new and sophisticated instruments that respond to the current needs of the industry. These principles are voiced in the Qur’anic verse that trade is “permissible and interest is forbidden”. Therefore, profit constitutes
Stellenbosch University http://scholar.sun.ac.za 5 indispensable revenue for business activity. For a better understanding, Table 1.1 summarises the difference between interest and profit. Table 1.1: Difference between profit and interest Profit Interest Return on the proceeds of a venture Return on capital Profit and loss agreement Interest is guaranteed Variable return Fixed return Return on joint ventures and participation Return on deposit In summary, Islamic finance is the product of religious ethics, which is moulded by Shariah law. 1.5. GOVERNANCE Corporate governance within Islamic financial institutions operates very similar to conventional financial institutions. However, Islamic financial institutions have the responsibility to ensure compliance with the Shariah within in their corporate governance mandate. Thus, Shariah governance is an additional component peculiarly exclusive to Islamic finance. The Islamic Financial Services Board (IFSB) is an organisation that guides, regulates and issues standards within the Islamic finance services industry. The IFSB regulates the functioning of the Shariah Supervisory Board (SSB) (Rammal, 2006:204). 1.5.1. Shariah-compliant asset management Using the Shariah to guide investment decisions is not a straightforward task. It needs be handled with caution due to the complexity of financial markets and the multidisciplinary facets of global participation of businesses. 1.5.2. Shariah Supervisory Board A Shariah Supervisory Board (SSB) is a governing body that ensures that all activities of a financial institution are within the boundaries as intended by the Shariah. The SSB is required to apply research methods and use deductive, analytical knowledge as well as interpretation from the sources of Shariah law to determine investment compliance (Asutay & Marzban, 2012:151). The responsibility of the SSB goes beyond creating a definitive static set of rules that guide compliant investments. Shariah compliance revolves around a continuous feedback loop, that not only provides Shariah advice, but also ongoing data screening services and ongoing monitoring arrangements. A member of an SSB is typically a scholar trained in Islamic jurisprudence. There is no fixed configuration for the composition of this board.
Stellenbosch University http://scholar.sun.ac.za 6 The prohibition of interest makes the investment approach adopted by Islamic institutions unique since they operate on profit/loss sharing arrangements. This principle requires institutions to share the profits and losses resulting from co-funded projects with their customers (Ahmad & Haron, 2002:13; Forte & Miglietta, 2007; Hussein & Omran, 2005:105). According to Forte and Miglietta (2007:2), investors entering the Shariah-compliant investments, and in particular the Islamic mutual funds, are increasing about 12-15% per year. With this growth rate and with a total estimated asset value of $2 trillion, it signifies an immense investment potential for investors. The literature on the performance of Shariah-complainant indices against their counterparts is scarce. This paper aims to advance the research in the field of Islamic-compliant indices using the FTSE100 that will act as a proxy for the market. The goal of this research study was to analyse the performance of an index that meets the minimum standards of the Shariah and compare it with the performance of the FTSE 100. This research also aimed to establish whether the risk/returns of a Shariah-compliant index are significantly different from the risk/returns of the FTSE100. Thus the period from 2003 to 2014 was chosen so that different phases of the market could be measured. The objective was to detect whether investors would have shown higher or lower returns on an Islamic-screened index than those who invested in conventional non-Shariah compliant indices. This research has been divided into five chapters: Chapter 1: Begins with a brief background of Islamic Law, defines Shariah law and delivers an Introduction to Islamic Finance. Chapter 2: Presents a review on relevant literature and discusses various screening devices and the intended objectives. Chapter 3: Deals with the methodology used to create a Shariah-compliant index. It also describes the tools that were used to measure the indices. Chapter 4: Presents the results and description of the results and the limitations. Chapter 5: Provides a conclusion and discusses potential future research.
Stellenbosch University http://scholar.sun.ac.za 7 CHAPTER 2 LITERATURE REVIEW 2.1. INTRODUCTION Nobel laureate, Friedman (1970:193) argued that accepting a responsibility other than profit maximisation will impair returns. This idea is further ratified through Portfolio Theory that suggests as soon as investment options are restricted or screened, the performance of such an investment might be jeopardised due to lack of diversification. It is for this reason that researchers continue to track the performance of socially responsible investments (SRI) and Shariah-compliant activities in order to determine whether they perform better or worse than conventional, less restrictive investments (Forte & Miglietta, 2007). Literature documenting the performance of SRI is diverse and therefore shows mixed results. According to Melton (1995:18), SRI-screened funds performed better than 58% of their corresponding non-ethical pairs over a 12-month period, ending in September 1994. Although this transpired, a single 12-month period is too short to value the performance of SRI against non-SRI. Kreander, Gray, Power and Sinclair (2005:1465) suggested that a basket of European funds perform at least as well their counterparts. However, Kurtz (1997) found no relationship between the performance of an SRI fund and conventional funds. The literature detailing the performance and behaviour of Islamic funds is also limited and diverse. Hussein and Omran (2005) investigated the performance of Islamic indices covering the period from 1996 to 2003. Their findings suggest that the indices showed positive returns during the bull period (January 1996 to March 2000), and it underperformed during the bear period (April 2000 to July 2003). The underperformance shown during the bear period could stem from the socio- political environment of the time such as the September 2011 attack which could have had a negative effect on the Islamic funds and depressed the demand for Islamic investments (Hussein & Omran, 2005). After examining the risk-free rate, the DJIMI and Wilshire 5000 index over 1999 to 2002, Hakim and Rashidian (2002) concluded that the screening criteria filtering non-compliant funds, had no effect on returns. Kräussl and Hayat (2008), after analysing the risk/return characteristics of 145 Equity Islamic Funds (EIF) from 2000 to 2009, stated that the Islamic Equity Funds (IEFs) underperformed to the conventional benchmarks. According to Kräussl and Hayat (2008:28), the underperformance was further exacerbated during the financial crisis.
Stellenbosch University http://scholar.sun.ac.za 8 The consensus in the literature suggests that due to the low diversification and higher volatility within Islamic-screened portfolios, they perform poorly on average against conventional non- screened portfolios. 2.2. SHARIAH-COMPLIANT SCREENING Proponents against the tenets of Islamic finance argue that by excluding major sectors of businesses from an asset universe potentially exposes such a portfolio to losing out in overall performances. They argue that the alcoholic beverage industry is inelastic to major volatilities and generally performs well, even during times of recession (Hussein & Omran, 2005:105). On the one hand, Lyn and Zychowicz (2010:136) contended that investors do not sacrifice economic returns based on their chosen ethical and social decisions based on their faith. And on the other hand, during the recent financial crisis as well as during times before the collapse of high profile companies like Enron, Shariah-compliant screening was able to detect signs of high leverage and eliminated those stocks from their portfolios. Approximately a year before the collapse of WorldCom, the Dow Jones Islamic Market Index (DJIMI) excluded WorldCom because its debt to market capitalisation breached the 33% limit. As a result, the WorldCom’s stock was liquidated at $14 a share. Soon after that, the share lost its entire value (Hussein & Omran, 2005:105; Usmani, 2008:246). Enrol as well as Tyco stocks were excluded from Shariah indices before their scandals became public. By liquidating their stances in these firms before their share prices plummeted, Islamic fund managers were able to not only save their investors a considerable sum of money, but they also increased their shareholder wealth (Hussein & Omran, 2005:105). Instances like these created an environment of acceptance of Islamic finance by the conventional financial community. In order to filter equity for Shariah compliance, two broad screening procedures are used. The first is a sectorial-based screen, and the second is a financial ratio-based screen. 2.3. SECTOR BASED SCREENS According to Ghoul and Karam (2007), the sector-based screen investigates business practices that are unacceptable in the view of the Shariah which are the majority of financial institutions or businesses involved in any aspect of alcohol, pork or non-halal meat. The rest of the screening criteria are similar to those applied by SRI funds such as gambling, pornography, tobacco and armaments. 2.3.1. Financial ratio screens Financial ratio screening, on the other hand, focuses on liquidity, gearing levels, account receivables, interest and non-permissible income. These ratios are compared to a maximum
Stellenbosch University http://scholar.sun.ac.za 9 threshold as shown in Table 2.1 below. Different Shariah compositions on levels of the threshold are widespread in the industry, but the central difference between the different compositions is to use total assets or market capitalisation as a base to value a company as well as to use as a denominator in calculating the financial ratios (refer to Table 2.2). Certain funds, however, apply their own restrictions on objectionable activities and only allow investing in businesses that have 5% or less of their revenue from non-permissible activities (Ghoul & Karam, 2007:96). Below are two typical compositions that a fund manager will use to screen for Shariah compliance. The distinguishing factor is the divisor. Table 2.1: Screening rules Asset-based ratios Market cap-based ratios Non permissible income
Stellenbosch University http://scholar.sun.ac.za 10 2.3.2. Dividend purification Dividend income is derived directly from profits of a company. If a company invests surplus cash into interest-bearing facilities or if the company earns income from non-compliant investments/shareholdings, the returns of this also feature in the dividends that a company distributes. Since interest is not accepted in accordance with the Shariah, it has to be removed (FTSE, 2014). Dividend purification is therefore an amount that is deducted from the dividends received, and the proceeds are paid to charity. 2.3.3. SRI funds screening Companies that are chosen for SRI eligibility must pass the following tests: No involvement in alcohol, gambling, tobacco and armaments. Show respect and good performance in the areas of animal welfare, board diversity, community relations, corporate governance, environment, human rights, indigenous people’s rights, product safety and impact, and workplace practices. Shariah and SRI screening share many similarities (see Appendix A). The distinguishing factors that separate Shariah screening procedures from SRI screening procedures are their oppositions to interest income and expense and their objections to industries such as businesses that deal in alcohol, entertainment and pork (Ghoul & Karam, 2007:96). The performance of a Shariah-screened index vis-à-vis the FTSE 100 counterpart was done using a variety of risk measures such as the Sharpe measure, the Treynor measure, the Jensen Alpha and the Information ratio to gauge performance. 2.4. RATIONALE Is participating in a faith-based investment increasing the risk profile and sacrificing returns on religious grounds? This is the question this research has tried to answer. After all, Shariah- compliant funds have a smaller universe of stock to select from, and have a portion deducted from the returns for purification purposes. Portfolio theory suggests that by reducing the stock universe, diversification is hindered, and as a result returns are inadvertently affected (Bodie, Kane & Marcus, 2011). Investing in accordance with Islamic law mimics the directive of SRI, and critics condemn SRI-type of investments as they say that not only is the effect of diversification lost but SRI screening increases the expenses and as a result hampers competiveness. This research sought to find out whether a faith-based investment is a viable option that offers a balance between risk and reward.
Stellenbosch University http://scholar.sun.ac.za 11 2.5. OBJECTIVES i. To determine to what extent the various screening devices can in fact create a robust Shariah-compliant index. ii. To identify an index of Shariah-compliant firms. iii. To compare the performance of this index against the FTSE100 using risk-adjusted measures. iv. To measure the performances of these different indices when using total asset and market cap denominators for calculating gearing and receivables.
Stellenbosch University http://scholar.sun.ac.za 12 CHAPTER 3 RESEARCH METHODOLOGY 3.1. RESEARCH DESIGN This research sought to measure the performance of a Shariah-compliant index carved from the constituents of the UK FTSE 100 between 2003 and 2014. Three additional subgroups from the sample period were chosen that reflect the different phases of the market. This assignment describes the basic features of the data, and provides a summary about the risk and returns of the Shariah-compliant indices. The research methodology chapter will conclude with a discussion on the limitations of the research. Microsoft Excel 2011 was used for handling the data. 3.2. POPULATION OF THE STUDY The population of the study comprised of the returns of constituent companies of the UK FTSE 100 between 1 January 2003 and 30 April 2014. A three-month United Kingdom (UK) Treasury bill return, extracted from Bloomberg, was used as a proxy for the risk-free rate 3.3. DATA COLLECTION This research made use of secondary data sourced from Bloomberg. Fields that were extracted using Bloomberg can be found in Appendix A. 3.4. FTSE 100 The FTSE 100 was used as the proxy for the market. The data was subdivided so that each quarter could be reflected on a single tab within an Excel workbook. 3.5. PERIOD The research covered the sample period 1 January 2003 until 30 April 2014 as well as three sub- periods that were impacted by different economic trends. The three sub-periods are: 1. From 1 January 2003 to 31 December 2007 which represents the bull period; 2. From 1 January 2007 to 31 March 2008 which represents the financial crisis period; and; 3. From 1 April 2008 to 30 June 2014 which represents the post-financial crisis period. 3.6. SCREENING This research used the constituents of the FTSE100 to carve an index; the FTSE Shariah Index Ground rules (FTSE, 2014) were used as an outline to evaluate the securities for Shariah compliance. Two major screening devices were employed in order to achieve Shariah compliance,
Stellenbosch University http://scholar.sun.ac.za 13 i.e. a business activity screen, which is qualitative in nature and a financial ratio screen which is quantitative in nature. 3.6.1. Business activity screen (qualitative screen) Companies that are primarily involved in any of the following activities were excluded from the index: Producers of alcoholic beverages; Conventional finance (non-Islamic banking, finance and insurance, etc.); Entertainment (casinos, gambling and pornography); Pork-related products and non-halal food production, packaging and processing or any other activity related to pork and non-halal food; Tobacco; weapons, arms and defence manufacturing. The Bloomberg industry sector and sector names fields were analysed in order to test for Shariah compliance. 3.6.2. Financial ratio screening The remaining companies were further screened on a financial ratio basis. The following financial ratios had to be met for companies to be considered Sharia-compliant: Accounts receivable and cash are less than 50% of total assets and market cap; Cash and interest-bearing items are less than 33.333% of total assets and market cap; Debt is less than 33.333% of total assets and market cap; Total interest and non-compliant activities income should not exceed 5% of total revenue. 3.6.3. Denominators Since scholars differ in opinion on using either market capitalisation or total assets as a denominator, this research analysed the impact using both denominators on the FTSE 100. Two indices were created. The first, using total assets as the denominator (Index 1), and the second a 12-month-trailing-market-capitalisation as a denominator (Index 2). Both indices were compared with the performance of the FTSE 100, as well as the risk-free rate 3.7. QUANTITATIVE SCREEN Total assets as the denominator: Index 1
Stellenbosch University http://scholar.sun.ac.za 14 1.
Stellenbosch University http://scholar.sun.ac.za 15 3.8.3. Risk-adjusted return ratios The performance of the Shariah-compliant indices and the UK FTSE 100 was evaluated using the information ratio, the Jensen’s measure, the Sharpe measure and the Treynor measure. The results of these calculations are useful in comparing indices that have varied risk-return characteristics (Bodie et al., 2011). 3.8.3.1. Jensen’s measure “This is the average return of the index over that predicted by the Capital Asset Pricing “Model (CAPM), given the index’s beta and the average market return” (Bodie et al., 2011). Where: = Expected index return = Risk free rate = Beta of the index = Expected market return 3.8.3.2. Sharpe measure “The Sharpe’s Measure divides the average portfolio excess return over the sample period by the standard deviation of returns over that period. It is a measurement of the reward to the volatility trade off” (Bodie et al., 2011). A higher Sharpe ratio is associated with better performance. Where: = Expected index return = Risk free rate = Standard deviation 3.8.3.3. Treynor measure: “Similar to the Sharpe’s Measure, Treynor’s measure gives excess return per unit of systematic risk” (Bodie et al., 2011).
Stellenbosch University http://scholar.sun.ac.za 16 Whereas the Sharpe ratio uses total risk as the divisor, the Treynor ratio uses systematic risk as the divisor. A higher Treynor ratio is associated with better performance. Where: = Expected index return = Risk free rate = Beta of the index 3.8.4. Statistical tools Kurtosis: Is a measure of the peaks of a curve (Bodie et al., 2011). Skew: Refers to the asymmetry of a distribution (Bodie et al., 2011). Standard deviation: Is a measure of spread of data from the mean (Bodie et al., 2011). 3.8.5. Weighting Once the Shariah-compliant universe was established, the new weighting within the index was calculated. The new index weigh was calculated by dividing the market cap of each security by the total market cap of the index per quarter. The Shariah-compliant index is thus a market value- weighted index. The returns of the Shariah indices were calculated for each quarter by multiplying the total returns per security by their weightings within the index. The balance was then multiplied by the returns of the following quarter’s index yield.
Stellenbosch University http://scholar.sun.ac.za 17 CHAPTER 4 FINDINGS The first step included the application of the business activity and financial ratio screens in order to identify those that are not Shariah-compliant. Table 4.1 below gives a summary of the results of both screening activities. Table 4.1 also details the business activity screen, while Table 4.2 and Table 4.3 detail the financial ratio screen. A total of 202 constituent companies existed in the FTSE100 between 1 January 2003 and 30 June 2014 (Appendix B). Applying the qualitative screen based on the sector in which they participate, 62 companies were excluded from the index (Appendix C). A second qualitative screen was applied based on scrutiny of annual reports of the companies, and a further eight companies were excluded (Appendix D). A total of 132 companies were left after an in-depth qualitative screen had been applied. 4.1. BUSINESS ACTIVITY SCREEN Within this universe of companies, 70 companies are excluded from the index due to their primary or secondary business activity. Table 4.1 represents of the sectors that are excluded and the number of companies within the sector. From a total of 202 companies (Appendix B), 70 companies are excluded because of their primary or secondary business activity. Of the 70 companies excluded, 46 are made up of companies within the conventional financial services industry. Financial services is one of the bigger sectors within the constituents of the FTSE100, amounting to 22.77%. Its exclusion amounts to 65.71% of the number of companies excluded from the index. The financial services/insurance activity screen is therefore the most constricting screen within the business activity screen.
Stellenbosch University http://scholar.sun.ac.za 18 Table 4.1: Companies excluded based on business activity Companies with core and secondary non-compliant activities Financial Alcoholic Defence/ Entertainment/ Hotel Industry Tobacco Total Services/Insurance Beverages Weapons Gambling Number of excluded companies 46 8 7 2 3 4 70 Percentage of total number of companies 22,77% 3,96% 3,47% 0,99% 1,49% 1,98% 34,65% Percentage of total number of excluded companies 65,71% 11,43% 10,00% 2,86% 4,29% 5,71% 100,00% Table 4.2: Companies excluded based on financial ratios of Index 1 Average Average Interest- number of Accounts number of Debt/Total bearing companies in receivable/ total Interest/Revenue non-compliant assets income/total index per assets companies per assets year year 274 66 6 8 0 76 Percentage of total companies Index 1 24,00% 2,25% 2,75% 0,00% Percentage of non-compliant companies 86,52% 8,11% 9,90% 0,00% Table 4.3: Companies excluded based on financial ratios of Index 2 Average Average Interest- number of number of Accounts Debt/Market bearing non- companies receivable/Market Interest/Revenue cap income/market compliant in index per cap cap companies year per year 274 112 145 45 0 152 Percentage of total companies Index 2 40,88% 52,95% 16,39% 0,00% Percentage of non-compliant companies 73,46% 95,17% 29,46% 0,00%
Stellenbosch University http://scholar.sun.ac.za 19 4.2. TABLE 4.2 - FINANCIAL RATIO SCREEN: INDEX 1 Sixty-five percent (132) of the companies qualify for the second phase of the screening process. As shown in Table 4.1, Panel B details the list of financial ratios. Panel B consists of two parts, the first part uses total assets as the denominator, while the second part uses market cap as the denominator in calculating the various ratios. When using total assets as the denominator, the debt ratio is the most constricting ratio. 4.3. TABLE 4.3 - FINANCIAL RATIO SCREEN: INDEX 2 When market cap is used as the denominator, accounts receivable/market cap is the most limiting ratio at excluding 145 companies, followed closely by the debt ratio at excluding 112 companies. It is interesting to note that no companies were excluded from either index due to the interest/revenue ratio. As a result of the screening, the universe of companies is drastically reduced. This coincides with the findings of Hakim and Rashidian (2004) that showed that out of 5 000 stocks that make up the Wilshire 5000, 75% was screened out because of Shariah non-compliance. Figure 4.1: Average quarterly constituent number per index between 2003-2014
Stellenbosch University http://scholar.sun.ac.za 20 On average, the less restrictive Index 1 contains just over 48 companies per quarter, while Index 2 contains 33 companies per quarter. Index 1 contains 52.5 companies less than the FTSE 100, and Index 2 contains 6.7% less than the FTSE 100. Table 4.4: Average quarterly constituents per index Percentage of Year: FTSE100 Index 1 Index 2 Difference the same 2003-2014 stock Average 101.8 48.2 33.0 15.2 58.80% Table 4.4 above displays the average number of companies in each index between the period between 2003 and 2014. On average, 48 companies were Shariah-compliant using total assets as the denominator, while 32.8 companies were compliant where market cap was the denominator, a difference of ±15,53 (between index 1 and index 2) companies during the period. On average, 58.88% of the companies in Index 2 were the represented in Index 1. The full table detailing each quarter during the period can be found in Appendix E. Table 4.4 and Table 4.5 below refer to the average sectorial weightings ranked by their weighting in the corresponding index between 2003 and 2014. The fourth column describes the weight of the each sector within the FTSE 100. In both tables, the differences in weighting between the Shariah indices and the FTSE 100 are marginal with the exception in Table 4.5 where mining has a significantly larger footprint than the benchmark. The maximum difference in Table 4.4 is mining with a 3.64% difference, and the minimum is media at 0.13%. The maximum difference in Table 4.5 is mining as well, with a difference of 7.07%, while the minimum difference is food services at 0.31%. The top 10 sectors make up an overwhelming majority of the companies within both indices, with 89.70% for total assets as the denominator, and 83.17% for market cap as the denominator.
Stellenbosch University http://scholar.sun.ac.za 21 Table 4.5: Total assets as the denominator (Index 1) Sector Index 1 FTSE Difference 1 Oil and Gas Total 33,01% 32,94% 0,07% 2 Mining Total 18,51% 14,87% 3,64% 3 Pharmaceuticals Total 10,25% 11,41% -1,16% 4 Telecommunications Total 9,78% 11,94% -2,16% 5 Food Total 9,44% 8,54% 0,90% 6 Household Products/Wares Total 2,15% 2,59% -0,45% 7 Retail Total 1,93% 1,88% 0,06% 8 Leisure Time Total 1,82% 0,72% 1,10% 9 Gas Total 1,41% 1,80% -0,39% 10 Media Total 1,41% 1,53% -0,13% Total 89,70% 88,23% 1,47% Important to note from an analytical perspective, that even if the sector footprint is similar, the sectorial weightings differ widely. Table 4.6: Market cap as the denominator (Index 2) Sector Index 2 FTSE Difference 1 Oil and Gas Total 19,54% 16,99% 2,55% 2 Pharmaceuticals Total 18,69% 15,71% 2,99% 3 Mining Total 11,78% 18,85% -7,07% 4 Food Total 8,95% 12,41% -3,47% 5 Telecommunications Total 5,89% 5,13% 0,76% 6 Media Total 4,88% 6,57% -1,69% 7 Household Products/Wares Total 4,57% 3,68% 0,89% 8 Commercial Services Total 3,21% 2,52% 0,68% 9 Retail Total 3,12% 2,51% 0,61% 10 Food Service Total 2,54% 2,85% -0,31% Total 83,18% 87,23% -4,05% The time series in Table 4.6 plots the total returns per quarter of the three indices from 2003 until 2014.
Stellenbosch University http://scholar.sun.ac.za 22 Total Returns 0.250 0.150 0.050 ‐0.050 ‐0.150 FTSE 100 Index 1 Index 2 ‐0.250 Figure 4.2: Total returns The graph in Figure 4.2 demonstrates that the returns of the Index 1 and Index 2 move in the same direction with that of the FTSE 100, but in different magnitudes. The results are mixed, where sometimes the Shariah Indices outperform the FTSE100, and at times it underperforms. The highest return for the index is 32.17% and the lowest is -17.33%. Index 1 beats the FTSE100 by 45.65% while Index 2 beats the FTSE 100 50% of the time. 4.4. CALCULATIONS Four periods were chosen to calculate the descriptive statistics as well as the risk-adjusted measurements. The periods are as follows: 1. 2003 to 2014 – this refers to the entire period; 2. 2003 to 2007 – the pre-financial crisis; 3. 2007 to 2010 – the period of the financial crisis; and 4. 2010 to 2014 – the post-financial crisis period.
Stellenbosch University http://scholar.sun.ac.za 23 4.5. DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS Table 4.7 below provides the descriptive statistic of annual returns for the indices from 2003 till 2012. This is followed by explanations dealing with each of the periods indicated. Table 4.7: Descriptive statistics of annual returns for the indices (2003-2014) Mean Median Maximum Minimum Std.Dev. Skewness Kurtosis FTSE100 0.023 0.348 0.219 -0.129 0.143 -0.272 0.778 Index 1 0.020 0.398 0.183 -0.216 0.159 -0.763 1.236 Index 2 0.024 0.374 0.200 -0.173 0.143 -0.601 1.365 2003-2007 FTSE100 0.035 0.195 0.124 -0.070 0.087 -0.324 0.964 Index 1 0.034 0.174 0.110 -0.065 0.105 -0.172 -0.871 Index 2 0.028 0.170 0.106 -0.064 0.093 -0.202 -0.246 2008-2009 FTSE100 -0.084 0.116 -0.004 -0.120 0.092 0.669 3.763 Index 1 -0.079 0.265 0.050 -0.216 0.197 -0.360 0.336 Index 2 -0.043 0.223 0.070 -0.153 0.174 -0.017 -0.896 2009-2014 FTSE100 0.038 0.348 0.219 -0.129 0.156 -0.263 1.587 Index 1 0.030 0.344 0.183 -0.161 0.167 -0.565 0.902 Index 2 0.036 0.374 0.200 -0.173 0.163 -0.694 1.685 2003-2014 The mean annualised returns of the entire period are in close proximity. The mean return of Index 2 is the highest, followed by the FTSE100’s mean returns and Index 1’s returns which are the lowest, Index 2 returns are 4.16% higher than the FTSE100’s returns and 16.67% higher than that of Index 1. Both of the Shariah-compliant indices have higher maximum returns as well as lower minimum returns than that of the FTSE100. The standard deviation between the FTSE100 and Index 2 are the same, which is 10.06% lower than the standard deviation of Index 1. 2003-2007 The mean returns are similar between Index 1 and the FTSE100, with the FTSE100 having a 2.85% higher return. The FTSE100 return is higher than Index 2’s return by 20% and Index 1’s return is higher than Index 2’s return by 17.65%. The median of the FTSE100 is the highest while Index 1 comes in second and Index 2 has the lowest median. The same order is displayed for the
Stellenbosch University http://scholar.sun.ac.za 24 maximum, minimum returns. The standard deviation for Index 1 is the highest followed by Index 2, and lastly the FTSE100, with the lowest standard deviation. 2008-2009 The mean return in this period is highest for Index 1, followed by Index 2 and then the Ftse100. Index 2’s returns are 83.72% higher than Index 1 and 95.35% higher than the returns of the FTSE100. The median returns are higher among Index 1 and Index 2, which are 56.23 % and 47.99% respectively, higher than the FTSE 100’s median returns. The maximum return for the FTSE100 is in negative territory, which means that all returns in this period are negative. Index 1 and Index 2 have a 225% and 275% respective increase in maximum returns over the FTSE100. Index 1 has a 40% lower maximum return than index 2. However, both indices have lower minimum returns than the FTSE100. Index 1 has an 80% lower minimum return than the FTSE100 while Index 2 has a 27.5% lower minimum return than the FTSE100. The FTSE100’s returns have the lowest standard deviation, followed by Index 2 and then by Index 1 that has the highest standard deviation. 2009-2014 The FTSE has the highest mean returns during this period, followed by Index 2’s returns and lastly by Index 1’s return that has the lowest mean return. The FTSE100’s mean return is higher by 21.05% than Index 1’s mean return, and 5.26% higher than Index 2’s mean return. Index 2 has the highest median return followed closely by the Ftse100’s median return, and lastly by Index 1’s median return. Index 2’s median return is 7.47% higher than the FTSE100’s median return, and 72% higher than that of the returns of Index 1. The FTSE100’s has the highest maximum and minimum returns during this period. Index 2 has the second highest maximum return and Index 1 has the lowest maximum return during this period. Index 2 records the lowest minimum return in this period which is a 34.1% lower than the FTSE100’s minimum return, and Index 1 has a 24.8% lower minimum return than the FTSE100’s minimum return. The standard deviation is close between the three, with the FTSE100 having the lowest standard deviation, followed by Index 2’s standard deviation, and Index 1, having the highest standard deviation.
Stellenbosch University http://scholar.sun.ac.za 25 Table 4.8: Risk-adjusted measurements using a three-month risk-free UK bond and the market index is the FTSE100 (2003-2014) Index β Rank Sharpe Rank Treynor Rank Jensen Rank FTSE 100 1.000 3 0.617 2 0.088 2 0.000 - Index 1 0.933 2 0.453 3 0.077 3 -0.010 2 Index 2 0.783 1 0.642 1 0.117 1 0.023 1 2003-2007 FTSE 100 1.000 3 1.548 1 0.135 2 0.000 - Index 1 0.918 1 1.239 2 0.141 1 0.006 1 Index 2 0.829 2 1.157 3 0.129 3 -0.005 2 2008-2009 FTSE 100 1.000 3 -3.296 3 -0.305 3 0.000 - Index 1 1.906 1 -1.464 2 -0.151 2 0.292 2 Index 2 1.676 2 -0.980 1 -0.102 1 0.340 1 2009-2014 FTSE 100 1.000 3 0.998 1 0.155 2 0.000 - Index 1 0.992 1 0.706 3 0.119 3 -0.036 2 Index 2 0.886 2 0.903 2 0.166 1 0.009 1 2003-2014 Both of the Shariah-compliant indices have Beta scores lower than that of the market. Index 2 has the highest Sharpe and Treynor ratio, followed by the FTSE 100 and then Index 1, with the lowest Sharpe and Treynor readings. Index 2’s Sharpe ratio is 3.22% higher than the FTSE100’s Sharpe ration, and 42.22% higher than Index 1’s Sharpe ratio. Index 2’s Treynor ratio is 101.13% higher than the FTSE100’s Treynor ratio, and has a 129.87% higher Treynor ratio than Index 1. Index 1 has a negative Jensen’s Alpha reading, while Index 2 has a positive reading which is 330% higher than that of Index 1’s Jensen’s Alpha reading. 2003-2007 Once again, the Shariah-compliant indices have a lower Beta than the FTSE100. Index 2’s Beta is 10.73% higher than Index 1’s Beta reading. The FTSE100 has the highest Sharpe reading during this period, followed by Index 1’s Sharpe reading and then by Index 2’s Sharpe reading which has the lowest Sharpe reading. The FTSE 100’s Sharpe reading is 25% higher than that of Index 1’s Sharpe ratio and 33.62% higher than Index 2’s Sharpe ratio. Index 1 has the highest Treynor ratio, followed by the FTSE 100’s Treynor ratio and last by Index 2’s Treynor ratio. Index 1’s ratio is 4.45% higher than the FTSE100’s Treynor ratio, and 9.30% higher than Index 2’s Treynor ratio.
Stellenbosch University http://scholar.sun.ac.za 26 Index 1’s Jensen’s Alpha is positive and higher by 220% over Index 2’s Jensen’s Alpha, which is negative. 2008-2009 The Betas of Index 1 and 2 are significantly higher than the FTSE100’s Beta. Index 1 has the highest Beta and is higher by 90.6% over the FTSE100’s Beta and is 67.6% higher than Index 2’s Beta. Both the Sharpe and Treynor readings are negative for the three indices during this period. Index 2 has the highest Sharpe and Treynor Ratio, followed by Index 1 and then by the FTSE 100, which has the lowest reading for both ratios. Index 2’s Sharpe ratio is 48.97% higher than Index 1’s Sharpe ratio, and is 236.73% higher than the FTSE100’s Sharpe ratio. Index 2’s Treynor ratio is 48.03% higher than Index 1’s Treynor ratio and 199.01% higher than the FTSE100’s Treynor ratio. Index 1 and 2’s Jensen’s Alpha’s are in positive territory, with Index 2 having a higher reading by 16.44%. 2010-2014 Index 1 and 2’s Beta is less than 1. Index 2 has the lower Beta of the two readings. The FTSE has the highest Sharpe ratio, which is 11.11% higher than that of the Index 2’s Sharpe ratio, and 40.84% higher than Index 1’s Sharpe ratio. Index 2 has the highest Treynor ratio, which is 7.1% higher than the FTSE 100’s Treynor ratio and 39.5% higher than Index 1’s Treynor ratio. The Jensen’s Alpha is positive for Index 2, and negative for Index 1. Index 2’s Jensen’s Alpha is higher than Index 1’s Jensen’s Alpha by 125%. 4.6. IDENTIFIED ISSUES 4.6.1. Consensus among scholars about what is and is not permissible The different criteria that the various Shariah Supervisory Boards (SSB) use to assess the compliance of equity screening are subjective. This is largely influenced by various interpretations of the primary sources of Shariah Law. These differences in interpretations present a challenge to the future large-scale, cross-border development of Islamic finance. 4.6.2. Non-permissible revenue cannot be separated The companies represented in the FTSE100 consolidate their income streams in order to simplify the appearance on their respective financial statements. This poses an issue because the exact sources of income are difficult to separate, and as a result, income from non-compliant activities cannot be filtered. Although some financial reports are more informative than others, none of the financial statements provided a detailed breakdown of the sources of revenue. Although all stock is subject to screening devices, a company can pass both the qualitative and quantitative screen, but have income streams from non-compliant sources.
Stellenbosch University http://scholar.sun.ac.za 27 4.6.3. Supply versus collaboration While many companies’ activities revolve around activities that are non-compliant with Shariah law, some companies’ activities are difficult to assess, as they either collaborate or supply non- compliant companies. An example to illustrate this is the Compass Group (a provider of food contract catering services). Compass receives a significant amount of revenue from supplying the military. In this instance, the catering of food is regarded as compliant, however military operations are non-compliant. This creates ambiguity to the inclusion of such firms into the Shariah-compliant index. 4.6.4. Qualitative screen Sector names are not sufficient in scanning for compliance. An example of this is the company Marks and Spencer, although grouped under retail, they have a financial services footprint. On deep scrutiny of their financial notes, it revealed that 7% of their revenue is derived from their financial services offering. 4.7. DISCUSSION This research investigated the performance of a Shariah-compliant index, carved from the FTSE 100, against the performance of the FTSE100. Two Shariah-compliant indices were created and compared with the performance of the FTSE100 between 2003 and 2014. 270.00 250.00 230.00 210.00 190.00 170.00 150.00 130.00 110.00 90.00 2003/03/01 2003/09/01 2004/03/01 2004/09/01 2005/03/01 2005/09/01 2006/03/01 2006/09/01 2007/03/01 2007/09/01 2008/03/01 2008/09/01 2009/03/01 2009/09/01 2010/03/01 2010/09/01 2011/03/01 2011/09/01 2012/03/01 2012/09/01 2013/03/01 2013/09/01 2014/03/01 FTSE 100 Index 1 Index 2 Risk Free Rate Figure 4.3: Cumulative returns of £100 invested on 1January 2003
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