SPECIAL - Happy to be Arrested with Major Milestone - Vol 3, Issue 12, Jan-Mar 2021 - Raksha-Anirveda

Page created by Dorothy Jacobs
 
CONTINUE READING
SPECIAL - Happy to be Arrested with Major Milestone - Vol 3, Issue 12, Jan-Mar 2021 - Raksha-Anirveda
Vol 3, Issue 12, Jan-Mar 2021

                                            SPECIAL

                                Happy to be Arrested with
                                          Major Milestone

                                                            www.hal-india.co.in
SPECIAL - Happy to be Arrested with Major Milestone - Vol 3, Issue 12, Jan-Mar 2021 - Raksha-Anirveda
RAKSHA ANIRVEDA
                       IT HOME.

VOL. NO. 3 ISSUE 12
JANUARY - MARCH 2021
                       The H225M is the helicopter of choice in the most dangerous warzones in the world. Equipped with a highly
                       advanced defensive aides suite, it keeps both pilots and crew safe. It includes radar, missile & laser warning
                       receiver, chaff and flare, and much more. On top of that, it also boasts the heaviest payload capacity,
                       the highest speeds, and the furthest range in its category. Combined, these make the H225M more than
                       ready for the world’s most demanding missions.

                       Defence. We make it fly.

                       airbus.com
SPECIAL - Happy to be Arrested with Major Milestone - Vol 3, Issue 12, Jan-Mar 2021 - Raksha-Anirveda
Vol 3, Issue 12, Jan-Mar 2021

                                            SPECIAL

                                Happy to be Arrested with
                                          Major Milestone

                                                            www.hal-india.co.in
SPECIAL - Happy to be Arrested with Major Milestone - Vol 3, Issue 12, Jan-Mar 2021 - Raksha-Anirveda
SPECIAL - Happy to be Arrested with Major Milestone - Vol 3, Issue 12, Jan-Mar 2021 - Raksha-Anirveda
PBG Media Ventures
                                              Editorial
                                              INDIA WILL HAVE TO GO FULL
                                                                                                                                                Contents
                                                                                                                                                 RAKSHA ANIRVEDA                                                                    VOLUME 3 | ISSUE 12 | JANUARY - MARCH 2021

                                              THROTTLE IN THIS NEW DECADE
       RNI NO. DELENG/2018/76856
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         p14	Deepening Defence Ties in a Changing

                                                                                                                                                     DRONE SWARMS: THE NEXT
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               Global Order
Editor & Business Director                                                                                                                                                                                                                               p18	Air-To-Air Missiles: India’s Window of
Ajit Kumar Thakur                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              Vulnerability

                                                                                                                                                     EVOLUTION IN WARFARE
Editorial Director                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       p24	Battlefield Energy, ‘Oil of Space’ and
PK Ghosh                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       Rebalancing
Consulting Editor                                                  The Raksha Anirveda        have always been safety and survival while                                                                                                                 p28	Indo-French Strategic Cooperation
Vinay Shukla                                                       team wishes all its        being in a comfort zone. Moreover, the                                                                                                                           Need of the Hour for Regional Stability
Sri Krishna
Ramesh S                                                           readers a vibrant new      inability of the current Indian leadership to          Advances in drone swarming, the next evolution of robotic                                           p32	IAF’s C-295 Transport Aircraft Project

Advisory Board                                                     year 2021 – one that       listen to other viewpoints and surrounding             warfare, are mostly classified, though governments have given                                             Has Many Long Range Goals
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         p36	Fund Shortage: Indian Navy Faces
Amb Smita Purushottam, IFS (Retd)                                  brings robust growth       itself with people who eventually don’t                glimpses of their progress over the years. The question is not                                            Hobson’s choice between Third
Amb Vishnu Prakash, IFS (Retd)
Air Marshal M Matheswaran (Retd)                                   through innovative         speak out has resulted in a blurred                    if, but when and where drone swarms will be utilised as part of                                           Aircraft Carrier and SSNs
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         p44	 At 20 Indo-Russian Strategic Partnership
Lt Gen PC Katoch (Retd)                                            ideas and successful       understanding of the real challenges. This             a mature concept of operations (ConOps)                                                                   Falls Victim to Hostile Narratives
Lt Gen PR Shankar (Retd)
Lt Gen AB Shivane (Retd)                                           endeavours.                has to change now considering the multiple                                                                                                                 p54	Re-evolving SAARC with a Strategic
Maj Gen JS Kataria (Retd)                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Vision
Cmde Ranjit B Rai (Retd)
                                                 The terrible and mind-boggling               threats to its sovereignty. India has to                                                                                                                   p58	Halting The Dragon’s March Through
Cmde Anil Jai Singh (Retd)                    experience of the past year is behind us        shed its cocoon and rise to the occasion                                                                                                                         Unconventional Means
Cdr KP Sanjeev Kumar (Retd)                                                                                                                                                                                                                              p62	Securing India through Futuristic and
Dr Mathew Simon
                                              now. It brought an end to many things           through good governance and economic
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               Disruptive Technologies
Amit Cowshish                                 and gave rise to some unimaginable              development.                                                                                                                                               p70 	A Paradigm Shift in Nature And
Sameer Joshi
Dr Punit Saurabh                              innovations. The year 2021 is special for           One hopes the country will make                                                                                                                              Spectrum of Future Wars
                                              us as it marks the third anniversary of our     practical and realistic efforts to ensure                                                                                                                  p80 	IAF Needs At Least a Dozen More
International Roving Correspondent
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               Powerful AWACS
Arie Egozi                                    magazine at the start of the third decade of    steady economic progress that empowers
Legal Advisor
                                              the 21st century. And for India, it’s another   it to face the ever-growing challenges                                                                                                                      P86 AERO INDIA 2021
Ramesh Sharma
                                              opportunity to let go off its balancing act     from the Sino-Pak nexus. Similarly, a                                                                                                                      p108 	Boeing Makes Strong Pitch for F/A -18

                                                                                                                                                                                                                           48
Creative Director
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                Block III Super Hornet for Indian Navy
Md Moeen Aijaz                                for now and change its track, be attentive      recalibrated and innovative approach                                                                                                                       p110 	Look to Increase India Defense
Design & Layout                               and alert, initiate permanent corrective        in foreign policy is required to counter                                                                                                                          Cooperation and in Talks with Potential
Design Cubicle
                                              measures taking note of the imbalances          China’s sinister manoeuvring in the sub                                                                                                                           Partners
For Advertisement contact us:                                                                                                                                                                                                                            p112 	Indian Army to Play a Decisive Role in
ajitk.thakur@gmail.com                        and myriad challenges, and reverse the          continental neighbourhood. India has to                                                                                                                           the New Decade
ajit@raksha-anirveda.com
                                              course of its perilous economic downslide.      refocus and think long term to overcome                                                                                                                    p114 Appointments

                                                                                                                                                                                                                        LEAD
rakshaanirveda@gmail.com
For any complaint and query                      The geopolitical world has witnessed         the biggest fallacy of its planning – the                                                                                                                    P117 CIVIL AVIATION SECTION
contact us:
info@raksha-anirveda.com
ajitk.thakur@gmail.com
                                              tectonic shifts. The intensified power tussle
                                              between the US and China has proven that
                                                                                              belief and assumption of its planners
                                                                                              that the outcome will follow their plan. In
                                                                                                                                                                                                                        STORY                            p126 News Round Up
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         p130 In News
Raksha Anirveda is printed and                the current world order is still a bipolar      reality, a plan is just a best-case scenario.
published by PBG Media Ventures
Published, Edited & Printed by
                                              one. For India to emerge as a real global       The real game-changer will be an economic
Ajit Kumar Thakur on behalf of                power in the ever-changing, complex             policy that embeds defence as a key growth
‘PBG Media Ventures’
649/4, Konark Residency, Nambardar            world order, the path ahead will be a           driver; a financial planning where the
Colony, Burari, Delhi -110084                 tightrope walk. It will have to overcome        allocations are realistic for a cohesive, well-
Printed at: Star Print-O-Bind,                the multifaceted challenges it faces now.       integrated national security requirement.
Star House, F-31, Okhla Industrial Area
Phase-I, New Delhi-110020                     Moreover, how India counters its security       Also, it goes without saying that a well-
Editor: Ajit Kumar Thakur
All disputes are subjected to the
                                              and non-security threats this decade,
                                              including a looming two-front war with
                                                                                              defined national security policy will
                                                                                              be a force-multiplier for India’s power           40                           66                             76                            82                              98
                                                                                                                                                Institutional Reforms        Rafael’s Approach to           EMALS, AAG Power to Startups, MSMEs to Play Airbus’ Support to
jurisdiction of Delhi
Mobile: +91-9910252485                        China and Pakistan, will decide its fate as     projection globally.

Disclaimer: Views expressed are those of
                                              a real global power.
                                                 With changing times, democracies
                                                                                                  We have put in sincere efforts to make
                                                                                              the Aero India 2021 edition a special
                                                                                                                                                Must for ‘Big Leap’ in       India Production &             Support India’s Nex-Gen Pivotal Role in Building Indian Armed Forces
individual authors and do not represent any
policy of this publication.                   around the world are experiencing multiple      one for our readers. Hope you will find it        Defence Self-Reliance        Technology Transfer            Aircraft Carrier        Indian Defence Ecosystem Modernisation
-Editor
                                              fissures. The absence of consensual             interesting, insightful and worthwhile. Just      If we want private players   The company’s“Value            Dr Vivek Lall, Chief          Startups and MSMEs to           Airbus takes immense
            RESPONSE                          decision-making is taking its toll as nations   don’t forget to share your feedback with us.      in defence production to     Proposition” to India starts   Executive, General            play a significant role         pride in being a partner to
                                                                                                                                                invest their money and       from Production to Transfer    Atomics sharing his           towards India’s journey         India’s growing aerospace
 ‘Raksha Anirveda’ editorial                  find it difficult to align national interests                                                     talent on a long-term        of Technology for fulfilling   insights on how India-US      into making a vigorous          industry and Make in India
 team looks forward to receive                with their global ambitions.                       Jai Hind!!.                                    basis, then the Ministry     the requirements within        relations grown over the      defence ecosystem,              is at the centre stage of
 comments and views from the                     Historically speaking, India’s priorities                                                      of Defence must ensure a     the country, explains Yoav     years in terms of defence     opines Mwiven MD while          it’s strategy. Remi Maillard,
 readers on the content of the                                                                                                                  credible and stable ‘level   Har-Even, President and        and strategic footprints,     appreciating Government’s       Airbus India President
 magazine.                                                                                                      Ajit Kumar Thakur               playing field’ through       CEO of Rafael Advanced         and GA’s support to India’s   latest initiative to promote    describes about company’s
                                                                                                           Editor & Business Director           critical policy reforms      Defense Systems Ltd            Indigenization journey        the sector                      India connection
COVER GRAPHICS: ANGAD MAOLANKAR                                                                                                                                                                                                                      RAKSHA ANIRVEDA JANUARY - MARCH 2021            3
SPECIAL - Happy to be Arrested with Major Milestone - Vol 3, Issue 12, Jan-Mar 2021 - Raksha-Anirveda
RAKSHA ANIRVEDA

OPINION: DIPLOMACY THIS DECADE                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     www.raksha-anirveda.com

FROM TURMOIL TO CLARITY: INTERNATIONAL
                                                                                                                                                      The year 2021 therefore is
                                                                                                                                                  beginning with a certain clarity
                                                                                                                                                  which only the turmoil of 2020
                                                                                                                                                  could have made possible.
                                                                                                                                                  Consequently, key aspects of the

RELATIONS IN THE NEW DECADE
                                                                                                                                                  global order this year will be
                                                                                                                                                  sculpted by the legacy of the year
                                                                                                                                                  gone by. And perhaps no other
                                                                                                                                                  factor will have as much of an
                                                                                                                                                  impact on international affairs as
                                                                                                                                                  China’s foreign policy trajectory
                                            By HARSH V PANT                                                                                       under President Xi Jinping. Xi
     India’s foreign                                                                                                                              has already veered away from
    policy will have                                               e enter a new year and a new decade of the 21st century as the world           his predecessors in carving a

                                              W
                                                                   around us is evolving at such a rapid pace, with a scale and scope often       more ambitious and aggressive
      to respond to                                                difficult to comprehend. For scholars and pundits, older paradigms have        approach to the external world.
   the meta-trends                                                 ceased being adequate in guiding their analyses about the national and         As the COVID-19 outbreak reached
                                                                   global political environment. Policymakers, for their part, are being forced   pandemic proportions, he used
      by crafting an                                               to respond in real time to the challenges coming from multiple dimensions.     the crisis as an opportunity
                                                                   The year that has just passed was a reminder that history can be made          to expand China’s geopolitical
   approach that is                                                up of events — and their consequences — beyond anyone’s control.               footprint across the world — from
                                                                                                                                                                                           Mr Xi with Russian President Vladimir Putin

 more than just the                                                The world was blindsided by the COVID-19 pandemic, which has not               the South and East China Seas to         geopolitical contest of the coming
                                                                   only taken lives and livelihoods but is accentuating the trends that were      the Himalayas, from Europe to            years. Even if Biden decides to
 sum of its bilateral                                              already visible in the last few years: changing global balance of power,       the West Asia. As Xi lays down a         engage China after assuming the
    and multilateral                                               weakening multilateral institutions, growing disenchantment with the           blueprint for a new world order          presidency later in January, it is
                                                                   global economic order, and challenges to the extant normative consensus.       hinged on the Chinese Communist          unlikely to change the longer-
     engagements                                                                                                                                  Party’s worldview, the rest of the       term trajectory of this bilateral
                                                                                                                                                  world will be anxiously looking          relationship. The sharpening of
                                                                                                                                                  for a greater balance in the global      their tensions will be accentuated
                                                                                                                                                  matrix.                                  in the domains of trade and
                                                                                                                                                      For much of the rest of the world,   technology — the two areas that
                                                                                                                                                  such anticipation extends to the         have been driving the global
                                                                                                                                                  wait for the Biden administration        economic order in the last several
                                                                                                                                                  in the United States to set out          decades.
                                                                                                                                                  its own foreign policy agenda.              Attempts by key global actors
                                                                                                                                                  Joe Biden has come to power at           toward trade and technological
                                                                                                                                                  a time when America is divided           decoupling are setting the stage
                                                                                                                                                  on the fundamental values it has         for a conflict that is challenging
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         An image depicting multi-nation relations
                                                                                                                                                  historically espoused. And while         the fundamentals of globalisation
                                                                                                                                                  Donald Trump will soon be leaving        as we have known it since the                 supply chains to connectivity
                                                                                                                                                  the White House, Trumpism is alive       early 1990s. An ongoing backlash              initiatives — shoring up support
                                                                                                                                                  and well. American leadership            against globalisation is likely to            for globalisation will only become
                                                                                                                                                  is in great demand precisely at a        gain further momentum, especially             more difficult.
                                                                                                                                                  time when the country’s ability to       as the costs of global integration               This fragmentation will
                                                                                                                                                  deliver on its global commitments        are seemingly rising by the day.              influence the future of global
                                                                                                                                                  is at its weakest because of fraying     Already, there is a recalibration             multilateralism. While most
                                                                                                                                                  domestic consensus.                      happening across the West where               nations continue to profess their
                                                                                                                                                      Yet one area where there is          even mainstream political parties             abiding faith in multilateralism,
                                                                                                                                                  emerging consensus not only              have been changing their long-                the institutional manifestations
                                                                                                                                                  in the US but globally as well is        held positions on issues such as              underpinning the extant order are
                                                                                                                                                  the challenge that China poses           trade and migration. It is unlikely,          getting hobbled by their internal
                                                                                                                                                  to US interests and to the global        however, to be restricted to the              contradictions. Indeed, a global
                                                                                                                                                  order. The US-China contestation         West. As the world becomes                    health pandemic should have
Chinese President Xi Jinping with then US President Donald Trump                                                                                  is shaping up as the epochal             more fragmented — from                        been the high point of the search

  4     www.raksha-anirveda.com                                                                                                                                                                                                                         RAKSHA ANIRVEDA JANUARY - MARCH 2021   5
SPECIAL - Happy to be Arrested with Major Milestone - Vol 3, Issue 12, Jan-Mar 2021 - Raksha-Anirveda
RAKSHA ANIRVEDA

OPINION: DIPLOMACY THIS DECADE

                                                                                                                                                 Ensure Your Advantage
                                                                                               some of the traditional calculus
                                                                                               as we know them. And then
                                                                                               there is the West Asia, a region
                                                                                               that tends to hog the global
                                                                                               limelight. The Abraham Accords
                                                                                               have managed to overturn a
                                                                                               number of assumptions about
                                                                                               regional politics, opening up new                   Advanced Suite for Fighter Jets
                                                                                               possibilities in the region, both
                                                                                               for cooperation and renewed
                                                                                               conflict.
                                                                                                   Indian foreign policy will have
                                                                                               to respond to these meta-trends
                                                                                               by crafting an approach that
                                                                                               is more than just the sum of
                                                                                               its bilateral and multilateral
 UNSC meeting                                                                                  engagements. The year gone by
                                                                                               was an inflection point in India’s
                                                            The most consequential             China policy as it made clear
                                                        theatre of this emerging               for New Delhi the choices that
                                                        geopolitical and geoeconomic           it faces in the coming years and
                                                        jostling will be the Indo-Pacific,     decades. But the crisis with China
                                                        which is already the centre of         continues, even as the world’s
                                                        gravity of global opportunities        expectations for India to play a
                                                        and challenges – a process that        larger global role are heightening.
                                                        will hasten in the near future. For    An aspirational India in the third
                                                        all of China’s attempts to discredit   decade of the 21st century will
                                                        the idea of the Indo-Pacific, its      no longer be satisfied with sitting
                                                        unprecedented acceptance -- from       on the margins; it is eager to play
                                                        Western Europe to the far shores       in the big league. Like the rest of
                                                        of the Pacific — merely shows that     the world, India will have to deal
                  for a collective solution; instead,   its time has come. The churn in        with its health and economic
                  it has turned out to be its nadir.    this maritime geography will see       crises in 2021. At the same
                  Not only is China challenging an      a strengthening of “coalitions of      time, however, it will also have
                  order that it believes was created    the willing” in the absence of any     opportunities to mould global
                  in its absence, but even the US,      formal institutional architecture      discourse and outcomes, whether
                  which was its most important          and in light of an intensified major   with its purported role as the
THE ABILITY AND   founder, seems dissatisfied with      power contestation.                    “pharmacy of the world,” or as a
WILLINGNESS       the status quo.                           The other geography that           non-permanent member of the
OF INDIAN            The same liberal order that        is key to unlocking the global         United Nations Security Council.
POLICYMAKERS      has arguably been central to          geopolitical chessboard will           The ability and willingness of
TO MAKE USE       maintaining peace and prosperity      be Eurasia, where the Sino-            Indian policymakers to make
OF THESE          worldwide for more than seven         Russian entente is producing           use of these opportunities will
OPPORTUNITIES     decades is proving incapable of       new realities and can profoundly       not only determine India’s global
WILL NOT ONLY
                  finding equitable and effective       shape the global balance of            footprint but will also outline the
DETERMINE
INDIA’S GLOBAL    solutions to today’s common           power. While unlikely to result        trajectory of global politics in the
FOOTPRINT         challenges. This signals a            in a formal alliance, the China-       coming decade.
                  remarkable retreat: a fragmented      Russia relationship is disproving          The article was earlier published (https://
BUT WILL ALSO                                                                                  www.orfonline.org/expert-speak/turmoil-
OUTLINE THE       global order is emerging not only     some of the initial skepticism         clarity-international-relations-new-decade/)
TRAJECTORY OF     in traditional spheres of global      about it. Its future trajectory will   on Observer Research Foundation portal.
GLOBAL POLITICS
IN THE COMING
                  governance but also in those areas    not only shape the geopolitics           -The writer is Director of Studies and Head     See us at
                  where new norms are needed to         of the heartland but will also          of Strategic Studies Programme at ORF. The
DECADE            be set — such as space, cyber and     push other major powers into             views expressed above belong to the writer
                                                                                                   and do not necessarily reflect the views of
                                                                                                                                                 Aero India 2021
                  emerging strategic technologies.      reacting in ways that will upend                                  Raksha Anirveda
                                                                                                                                                 HALL C 5.9-6.0
 6     www.raksha-anirveda.com
SPECIAL - Happy to be Arrested with Major Milestone - Vol 3, Issue 12, Jan-Mar 2021 - Raksha-Anirveda
RAKSHA ANIRVEDA

STRATEGIC DIPLOMACY                                                                                                                                                                                                                             www.raksha-anirveda.com

DYNAMICS OF MILITARY DIPLOMACY
IN THE ASIAN SUBCONTINENT
Interestingly, Asia as a continent is increasingly becoming the focus of interest for the
United States and the world since it is home to 40 per cent of the world GDP, 65 per cent of
global population, and accounts for seven largest militaries with six declared nuclear states

                                                                         Indian Army jawans
                                                                                                  trade, competing territorial
                                                                         with the national flag   claims, and consequent demands
                                                                                                  for military force is creating a
                                                                                                  new Indo-Pacific “Ring of Fire”        and defence preparedness.              and time factor it can be acquired       IN THE INDIAN CONTEXT A VISIBLE SHIFT IN THE
                                                                                                  of potential conflict flashpoints      However for an enduring peace,         through “military alliance’.             DEFENSIVE MINDSET OF THE POLITICAL CLASS IS
                                                                                                  principally surrounding India          it is incumbent that India should         In the Indian context a visible       ALLOWING FOR GREATER MILITARY FLEXIBILITY
                                                                                                  and SCS. The perceived Chinese         endeavour to bridge this capability    shift in the defensive mindset           IN CALIBRATING SUCH RESPONSES, MADE
                                                                                                  hegemonistic aim appears to            imbalance with military diplomacy      of the political class is allowing       POSSIBLE BY ACQUISITION AND DEVELOPMENT OF
                                                                                                  stymie the growth of India as a        as an instrument of state craft.       for greater military flexibility         WEAPON SYSTEMS WITH INCREASED STANDOFF
                                                                                                  global power while taking full         Therefore from a regional strategic    in calibrating such responses,           RANGES, WARHEAD LETHALITY AND PRECISION
                                                                                                                                                                                                                         ENGAGEMENT
                                                                                                  control over the SCS.                  security standpoint China shall        made possible by acquisition
                                                                                                                                         be the principal adversary as          and development of weapon                Islands by coercion and North
                                                                                                  STRATEGIC SECURITY SITUATION           we stretch into the next decade.
                                                                                                                                         At the same time there will be a
                                                                                                                                                                                systems with increased standoff
                                                                                                                                                                                ranges, warhead lethality and
                                                                                                                                                                                                                         Korea’s belligerent behaviour
                                                                                                                                                                                                                         contingent on its nuclear missile
                                                                                                  IN SOUTH AND EAST ASIA                 marked escalation in the ongoing       precision engagement. Air power,         programs and the abductions of

                                                                                                  India                                  terrorist and irregular threats, as    long range artillery, weaponised         Japanese citizens. Thus Japanese
                                                                                                                                         well as perceived conventional         Unmanned Aerial System (UAS)             foreign policy and security
                                                                                                  The ongoing border intransigence       and nuclear threats from less-         /drones, maritime dominance              perceptions have undergone a
                                                                                                  with China is vexed with a sense       formidable regional opponents.         and space based deterrence shall         perceptible and steady change to
By MAJ GEN G SHANKARNARAYANAN (RETD)                                                              of political and military insecurity       While border provocations,         be significant contributors. That        include India within its ambit of

     T
                                                                                                  borne out of the visible military      with the potentials for escalation,    notwithstanding the focus should         security alliance. These actions
                  he growing dominance of China and its intimidating stance in the Asian          asymmetry in numbers and               require a challenging and equally      be on global military alliances          may be viewed as a significant step
                  subcontinent has fuelled its expansionist tendencies across its land            technology besides its collusive       befitting response, it calls for       as part of defence diplomacy             in India’s growing international
                  borders and costal frontiers. Over the years China’s visible coercive and       intent with Pakistan. That             a robust military capability to        that shall play a dominant role          politico-security profile to not only
                  threatening activities along the Sino-Indian Line of Actual Control (LAC)       notwithstanding, India is today        deal with such incursion besides       in checkmating a belligerent             act as a regional stabilising factor
                  and in the South China Sea (SCS) has led to a partial destruction of the        juxtaposed between a global            being prepared to counter any          adversary. It represents a collective    addressing hard security concerns
                  strategic balance in the region. On land, China has moved steadily to take      economic and political power in        possible escalation. In this regard    show of force with shared interest       against China and North Korea but
                  full control over the territory and its restive minority population in Tibet,   being and a regional nuclearised       India today is at the threshold of a   against a common enemy and will          also to dispel Japan’s maritime
                  defend its ground lines of communication to Central Asia via Pakistan           military power whose war               credible deterrence against China.     act as a deterrent besides allowing      insecurities that emerge from its
                  through its Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) strategy, and exert increasing       waging potentials transcend these      However it needs to build on it to     the flexibility of leveraging military   quest for assured energy supplies
                  pressure on its border with India.                                              seemingly debilitating military        reach a level where it can translate   strengths in times of conflict.          and security of its large maritime
                                                                                                  inequalities. While the hard fact      into a limited punitive deterrence                                              interests as a trading nation.
                                                                                                  of China’s military modernisation      that is capable of imposing            Japan                                    Towards this end India‘s bilateral
                     At sea, China has increased its      South China Sea (SCS), the Indian       and increasingly aggressive foreign    reasonable destructive costs in        Japan’s regional security threats,       summit has spelt out concrete
                  maritime presence and influence         Ocean to Djibouti and other parts of    policy cannot be wished away,          men and material. The capability       stems from China’s relentless            steps on a range of global and
                  from the Senkaku Islands in the         eastern Africa. From a geo strategic    it can be militarily confronted        should preferably be intrinsic but     attempts to change the status quo        regional security issues including
                  East China Sea through Taiwan,          perspective, the confluence of          given the current political will       considering the prohibitive cost       of the sea area around the Senkaku       maritime cooperation in the Indo-

 8    www.raksha-anirveda.com                                                                                                                                                                                                         RAKSHA ANIRVEDA JANUARY - MARCH 2021   9
SPECIAL - Happy to be Arrested with Major Milestone - Vol 3, Issue 12, Jan-Mar 2021 - Raksha-Anirveda
RAKSHA ANIRVEDA

STRATEGIC DIPLOMACY                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      www.raksha-anirveda.com

THESE ACTIONS         Pacific region where the influence    already signed similar agreements       independent state and is dwarfed        encroachment and reaffirms its
MAY BE VIEWED         of China is growing. Revival of       with the US, France and Singapore.      by China’s sheer size and military      long standing strategy of “four-nos
AS A SIGNIFICANT      Quadrilateral Security Dialogue       The inclusion of Australia in           capability. Crucially, the military     and one-depend.” This means no
STEP IN INDIA’S       (QUAD) signals deeper defence         MALABAR, the annual India-Japan-        gap between China and Taiwan            military alliances, no siding with
GROWING               cooperation.                          US maritime exercise is reflective      widens every year. Although it          one country against another, no
INTERNATIONAL                                               of the regional credibility of QUAD     is under Washington’s military          foreign military bases, and no using
POLITICO-
SECURITY PROFILE
                      Australia                             which in the limited sense may be       commitment, these are highly            force or threatening to use force
TO NOT ONLY ACT       India and Australia, against the      classified as an extension of India’s   ambiguous. More recently China’s        in international relations; but,
AS A REGIONAL         backdrop of their frosty relations    defence diplomacy where joint           border clashes with India have          “depending on circumstances and
STABILISING           with China, unveiled a shared         exercises and capability matching       evoked anti-Beijing sentiments          specific conditions, Vietnam will
FACTOR                vision for maritime cooperation       are a part.                             among the Indian public which has       consider developing necessary and
ADDRESSING            in the Indo-Pacific, as a counter                                             led to a growing sense of solidarity    appropriate defence and military
HARD SECURITY         to the growing Chinese military       Taiwan                                  with the pro-independence               relations with other countries.”
CONCERNS              assertiveness. As a sequel to         China’s aggressive military probing     movements in Hong Kong and              It represents the flexibility
AGAINST               Chinese border incursion with         has been going on for years —           Taiwan. Close on its heel is the        and resilience long embedded
CHINA AND             India and strained relations with     an unending stress test for the         US legislations for the support         in Vietnam’s foreign policy and
NORTH KOREA           Australia, after Canberra pitched     democratic island of Taiwan. But        of Taiwan. However, India’s             significantly expands the spectrum         Four-nation naval display at Malabar exercise
BUT ALSO TO           for an international probe into       in 2020, the threat has taken on a      approach has been one of caution        of strategic choices by giving the
DISPEL JAPAN’S
MARITIME              the origin of the Coronavirus         new intensity wherein Taiwan had        but soon could change if the border     military more room to manoeuvre.          to Beijing. If true, this naval              to involve as many major powers        THE INCLUSION
INSECURITIES          pandemic which is widely believed     to scramble fighters to intercept       intransigence continues.                The strategic necessity of dealing        outpost will put Cambodia in an              in the regional balance, so that no    OF AUSTRALIA
                      to have started in China’s Wuhan      Chinese warplanes flying towards                                                with an aggressive China brings           uncomfortable position vis-à-                power can dominate, Singapore          IN MALABAR,
THAT EMERGE
FROM ITS QUEST        city, the India-Australia relations   or even into Taiwan’s airspace.         Vietnam                                 India and Vietnam closer together.        vis neighbouring Thailand and                and the Association of Southeast       THE ANNUAL
FOR ASSURED           touched a new level with both         With China, cracking down on            Vietnam considers the Asia-             Vietnam has been emerging as a            Vietnam, who have beefed up                  Asian Nations (ASEAN). Its             INDIA-JAPAN-
ENERGY SUPPLIES       the countries elevating their ties    freedom fighters in Hong Kong,          Pacific region, including Southeast     pivotal state in India’s Act East         their armed forces in recent years           position of not “choosing sides”       US MARITIME
AND SECURITY          to a “comprehensive strategic         accused of sweeping repression          Asia, to be not only its own            policy, which can be reflected in         besides impacting the existing               between Beijing and Washington         EXERCISE IS
OF ITS LARGE          partnership”, that includes           against the Uyghurs in Xinjiang,        living space, but also a centre         multiple dimension of cooperation         regional security architecture in            comes as a natural evolution of its    REFLECTIVE OF
MARITIME              a reciprocal access to military       expanding in the South China Sea,       for dynamic development that            including defence cooperation.            Southeast Asia and the Asia-Pacific          balance-of-power approach. Its
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          THE REGIONAL
INTERESTS AS A                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            CREDIBILITY OF
                      bases namely the Mutual Logistics     and clashing with India in the          occupy an increasingly important                                                  as a whole. While Indo Cambodian             relation with India also continues
TRADING NATION        Support Agreement (MLSA).             Himalayas, Taiwan seems to be           geo-economic, geo-politic and           Cambodia                                  relations are cordial it needs to            on similar lines while maintaining
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          QUAD WHICH
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          IN THE LIMITED
                         The MLSA will allow militaries     next on the line.                       geo-strategic significance. Most        Although the current marriage             build its relations with India, to           a strong military diplomacy for its    SENSE MAY BE
                      of the two countries to use each         Whereas Taiwan, despite              importantly, it recognises the          of convenience with China yields          avoid overdependence on China.               security preparedness.                 CLASSIFIED AS
                      other’s bases for repair and          flourishing into a vibrant, high-       region as a boiling cauldron            economic benefits today, this trend       Cambodia has to invigorate the                                                      AN EXTENSION
                      replenishment of supplies besides     tech democratic society since           where great powers compete              could potentially drag Cambodia           Indian card to balance China’s               Indonesia                              OF INDIA’S
                      facilitating scaling up of overall    its split from mainland China,          for influence. China’s Belt and         into Beijing’s geopolitical tutelage      economic and geopolitical                    The recent tensions between            DEFENCE
                      defence cooperation. India has        is yet to be recognised as an           Road Initiative and the US Free         and, as a result, threaten its national   influence in Cambodia as well as             China and Indonesia in the Natuna      DIPLOMACY
                                                                                                    and Open Indo-Pacific Strategy          security interest in the long             in Southeast Asia.                           islands, has once again put the        WHERE JOINT
                                                                                                    among others, are mechanisms            run, if not properly strategised.                                                      spotlight on this flashpoint, and      EXERCISES AND
                                                                                                    for these powers to exert control.      Internally, the influx of Chinese         Singapore                                    is expected to continue with a
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          CAPABILITY
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          MATCHING ARE
                                                                                                    From a strategic standpoint             immigrants has fuelled criminal           The island nation has maintained             range of ongoing Indonesian            A PART
                                                                                                    Hanoi considers disputes in the         activities and alienated local            its ties with Washington and Beijing         reactions. But importantly it
                                                                                                    South China Sea as one of the           and foreign tourists from other           without provoking the ire of either          reflects Indonesia’s inability to
                                                                                                    most destabilising elements that        countries. Economically, Cambodia         side. But as US-China relations              deter Beijing’s incursion into
                                                                                                    threaten regional stability. More       is now one of several countries           deteriorate and tensions grow in             Jakarta’s waters. While Indonesia
                                                                                                    explicitly than ever in the recent      around the world whose debt to            the South China Sea, Singapore’s             technically does not consider itself
                                                                                                    past, Vietnam has endured Chinese       China amounts to more than 25 per         balancing act is proving to be               a claimant in the South China Sea
                                                                                                    assertiveness, including unilateral     cent of its gross domestic product        amorphous. However, Singapore’s              disputes, it is an interested party
                                                                                                    and power-based coercion,               (GDP).                                    long-standing relationship with              to safeguard regional stability,
                                                                                                    violation of international law,            Diplomatically, Cambodia’s             the United States is a classic               and uphold international law,
                                                                                                    militarisation, change in the status-   reputation on the world stage has         exposition of the island nation’s            including the United Nations
                                                                                                    quo and infringement over its           suffered a number of setbacks.            foreign policy – taking the world            Convention of the Law of the Sea
                                                                                                    sovereign rights, and jurisdiction.     The military agreement between            as it is, and seeking to entrench            (UNCLOS), as the world’s largest
                                                                                                       While it does not call out           Cambodia and China in Ream                American power and presence                  archipelagic state. Indonesia’s
                                                                                                    China by name, it is clear that         Naval Base is another sign of             in the region for the collective             traditional approach to the South
Quad nations foreign ministers at a meeting                                                         Vietnam reflects fears of Chinese       Phnom Penh’s unhealthy drift              good. Singapore has also sought              China Sea can be best summed up

 10     www.raksha-anirveda.com                                                                                                                                                                                                                 RAKSHA ANIRVEDA JANUARY - MARCH 2021   11
SPECIAL - Happy to be Arrested with Major Milestone - Vol 3, Issue 12, Jan-Mar 2021 - Raksha-Anirveda
RAKSHA ANIRVEDA

STRATEGIC DIPLOMACY                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        www.raksha-anirveda.com

                                                                                                      to 40 per cent of the world GDP,       and continued belligerent and            and irregular warfare, followed           in fact enshrined in the wider                 MILITARY
                                                                                                      65 per cent of global population,      provocative stance all along the         by force relocation to augment            diplomatic exchange. It is aimed               DIPLOMACY
                                                                                                      and accounts for seven largest         northern borders, tending to             resources thereby creating                at regular summits, information                OF QUAD
                                                                                                      militaries with six declared nuclear   precipitate a war, has been one          positions of strategic advantage          exchanges and military drills                  SHOULD ALSO
                                                                                                      states. Thus, in the twenty-first      of its kind since the conflict of        vis a vis China. From a maritime          between members to outweigh                    STRATEGISE TO
                                                                                                      century, Asia is the focus of          1962. From a broader strategic           perspective India on the other            the military superiority of China              NEUTRALISE
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               THE MILITARY
                                                                                                      power dynamics, and economic           perspective it gives an impression       hand maintains virtually all its          thereby limiting its hegemonestic
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               IMBALANCE
                                                                                                      globalisation. Ironically China’s      that China is testing waters to          forces in the Indian Ocean Region,        tendencies. In due course QUAD                 IN THE REGION
                                                                                                      aggressive posturing in Eastern        assess India’s retaliatory stance        while most of China’s forces are          must enhance the scope to                      WITH A CLEAR
                                                                                                      Ladakh and coercive actions in the     given its military asymmetry with        east of Malacca. This will put a          include most of the aggrieved                  MANDATE OF
                                                                                                      South China Sea is a destabilising     India. On the contrary the bold          great deal of pressure on China to        states whose interests have been               COLLABORATIVE
                                                                                                      factor that has necessitated global    and resolute action on the part          either keep its Indian Ocean forces       impinged by China.                             MILITARY
                                                                                                      intervention with US bearing           of the Indian Army to occupy             as a fleet in being, or to rapidly link                                                  ASSISTANCE
                                                                                                      the mantle. Thus Asia’s growing
                                                                                                      economic importance and China
                                                                                                                                             dominating heights in the face of
                                                                                                                                             Chinese provocative incursions
                                                                                                                                                                                      its western and eastern forces.
                                                                                                                                                                                      This, in turn, will put pressure on
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                CONCLUSION                                     THEREBY
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               ACHIEVING
                                                                                                      being a major power, its behaviour     thwarting large scale Chinese build      India to prevent these outcomes.          The fact that the world is viewing             CONFLICT
                                                                                                      has assumed even greater               up has been demonstrative of the         Therefore, control of several major       China as the sole perpetrator of               TERMINATION
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               IN FAVOURABLE
                                                                                                      significance for the United States     country’s resolve to deal with such      chokepoints including the straits of      the Wuhan Virus, there has been
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               TERMS SHOULD
                                                                                                      and the world particularly when        incursions politically and militarily.   Malacca, Sunda, and Lombok gives          a significant relook to allow for a            THE NEED ARISE
                                                                                                      US China relations have sharply        It has also sent a clear message that    India the unique opportunity to           strategic, political and economic
                                                                                                      deteriorated.                          India is now capable of retaliatory      operate on interior lines to prevent      isolation of China. In fact, QUAD is
US President Joe Biden                                                                                   Beijing and Washington traded       actions and is being viewed as a         China from gaining maritime               emerging as a dominant security
                     as a “delicate equilibrium”, seeking    talks between India and Indonesia        blame over the Coronavirus             stabilising factor in the region.        superiority in the Indian Ocean.          structure vis a vis China. Hence the
                     to engage China diplomatically on       who have agree to expand defence         pandemic, remained locked in               However under the prevailing                                                   scope and engagement with QUAD
                     the issue while at the same time
                     pursuing a range of security, legal,
                                                             ties and technology sharing.             a trade war, competed over 5G
                                                                                                      networks and other technologies,
                                                                                                                                             geo strategic situation, this may
                                                                                                                                             be a quick fix but in a conflict
                                                                                                                                                                                      MILITARY DIPLOMACY AT PLAY                should include all the ASEAN
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                nations and must be escalated to
                     and economic measures designed
                     to protect its own interests.           UNITED STATES OF AMERICA                 and clashed over rights abuses in
                                                                                                      Xinjiang, Hong Kong and Taiwan,
                                                                                                                                             situation between India and
                                                                                                                                             China, two scenarios emerge: an
                                                                                                                                                                                      Specific to India, in either scenario
                                                                                                                                                                                      a military alliance with US will
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                the next level of military diplomacy
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                that will serve to stymie China’s
                        While Indonesia has taken            (USA) - THE CHANGING                     among other issues. The latest         escalation of a border dispute           significantly alter the strategic         aggressiveness besides acting as

                                                             FUNDAMENTALS OF US-CHINA
                     actions in response to periodic                                                  is the contentious issues of US        along the LAC reminiscent of             imbalance besides lowering                an effective counter against any
                     incursions into Indonesian waters,                                               legislations in support of Taiwan      the 1962 Sino-Indian War, or a           the threshold of conflict and             brazen act of aggression. Military
                     including shoring up military
                     capabilities related to the Natuna
                                                             RELATIONS                                and Tibet. The Tibetan Policy and
                                                                                                      Support Act of 2020 and Taiwan
                                                                                                                                             maritime clash in the Indian Ocean.
                                                                                                                                             The former is China’s attempt
                                                                                                                                                                                      preventing large scale force
                                                                                                                                                                                      relocation over land, sea and air by
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                diplomacy of QUAD should also
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                strategise to neutralise the military
                     islands and launching diplomatic        Currently, the United States and         Assurance Act of 2020 include          in seeking a broader reordering          China. Consequently it will allow         imbalance in the region with a
SPECIFIC TO
INDIA, IN EITHER     protests, there has been no tangible    China are engaged in an intensive        economic sanctions against China       of the political-military status         India with a unique opportunity           clear mandate of collaborative
SCENARIO             impact. Instead Chinese incursions      and costly trade war that, even          for appointing the next Dalai Lama     quo in the region. The approach          to delay and attrite Chinese forces       military assistance thereby
A MILITARY           have continued episodically. In         if resolved through negotiations,        while the other seeks to strengthen    might be more deliberate and             while denying them the ability to         achieving conflict termination
ALLIANCE             fact China’s deliberate efforts at      is unlikely to provide the basis         Washington’s ties with Taipei.         expansive which will present             achieve its military and political        in favourable terms should
WITH US WILL         cyclical incursions and escalations     for long-term stability. Instead,        Beijing has resolutely opposed         India with an unpleasant dilemma         objectives through aggression.            the need arise. Herein lay the
SIGNIFICANTLY        to test responses have also posed       it may carry the seeds of future         both bills since Taiwan and Tibet      of either a counterattack and            It is here that we clearly see the        state craft of leveraging shared
ALTER THE            a huge issue for South China Sea        confrontation. In fact, bureaucratic     were China’s issues of territorial     potentially escalate a conflict          importance of military diplomacy          military capability of likeminded
STRATEGIC            claimant states, be it Malaysia,        processes on both sides are              integrity. However, be that as it      against a superior foe, or accept a      which goes beyond the accepted            countries with common National
IMBALANCE            which traditionally prides itself on    straining to keep up with the            may, it is clear that South and        loss of territory and the political      principles of peacetime military          challenges. A strategy that has
BESIDES              having a special relationship with      growing diversity and complexity         East Asia are emerging as global       ramifications that shall ensue.          collaboration and humanitarian            found favour with Washington
LOWERING THE
                     Beijing, or Vietnam, which remains      of the relationship that is global       flash points with China taking the     However by a careful use of terrain,     assistance.                               under President elect Joe Biden
THRESHOLD OF
CONFLICT AND         the most capable of standing up         in scope and consequence. As             centrestage.                           weather and tri-service combined             The formation of the                  who is looking to build a coalition
PREVENTING           to China.                               China emerges as a global power                                                 arms force application it is possible    Quadrilateral Security Dialogue an        of likeminded partners and allies
LARGE
SCALE FORCE
                        Thus with Chinese incursions
                     continuing unabated the South
                                                             the confrontation seems more
                                                             belligerent and challenging US           CONFLICT SITUATION                     to achieve disruption, dislocation
                                                                                                                                             and destruction of the Chinese
                                                                                                                                                                                      informal strategic dialogue between
                                                                                                                                                                                      India, US, Japan and Australia with a
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                with shared interests and values
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                to confront China - a step in the
RELOCATION           China Sea is heating up to be a         interests.                               WITH INDIA                             military over time.                      shared objective to support a “free,      right direction.
OVER LAND,           global flashpoint. The issue of             Interestingly, Asia as a continent                                              In physical terms it will entail     open and prosperous” Indo-Pacific           –The writer is a former GOC-Indian Army
SEA AND AIR BY       China’s aggressive posturing in         is increasingly becoming the focus       In the Indian context the border       a border engagement supported            Region is an effective counter to             and presently a Strategic Consultant &
CHINA                eastern Ladakh and South China          of interest for the United States        skirmish by China followed by          by capability incapacitation using       China that seeks to threaten the               Principal Advisor. Views expressed are
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 personal and do not necessarily reflect the
                     Sea figured in the recent ministerial   and the world since it is home           large scale troop mobilisation         long range weapons systems               region. Military diplomacy is                              views of Raksha Anirveda

 12     www.raksha-anirveda.com                                                                                                                                                                                                                 RAKSHA ANIRVEDA JANUARY - MARCH 2021      13
RAKSHA ANIRVEDA

OPINION                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  www.raksha-anirveda.com

DEEPENING DEFENCE TIES IN
A CHANGING GLOBAL ORDER
Apart from internal integration of security imperatives and apparatus within the country,
India has to actively think of issue-based security and technology alignments with
prominent likeminded strategic partners across the desired security spectrum

                                                                                                         direct ramifications for India. In
                                                                                                         such a scenario, even though India     Prime Minister Narendra Modi with his Israeli counterpart Benjamin Netanyahu            Mr Modi with then US President Donald Trump
                                                                                                         is averse to traditional alliance
                                                                                                         structures it will be forced to        of Indo-Pacific gaining traction,           structures as well as big power       MECHANISMS LIKE IONS, ANTI-PIRACY
                                                                                                         enter into issue based alignments      India’s Act East Policy, the SAGAR          rivalries. Cyber security and         OPERATIONS, IORA AND BILATERAL
                                                                                                         by reaping the congruence of           initiative and the more recent              Artificial Intelligence (AI) have     AND MULTILATERAL INTEROPERABILITY
                                                                                                         economics of objectives and            Indo-Pacific Oceans Initiative              become the new norm across            ARRANGEMENTS WITH FRIENDLY COUNTRIES
                                                                                                         polity of threat perceptions in        (IPOI) there is a need to look              the spectrum and need constant        LIKE US, JAPAN, AUSTRALIA, FRANCE, UK AND
                                                                                                         accordance with the common             beyond the Indian Ocean Region              upgradation to deal with hitherto     GERMANY WHO HAVE DEVISED INDO-PACIFIC
                                                                                                         denominator being the mutually         (IOR) and explore the Indo-Pacific          unknown challenges. Terrorists        STRATEGIES AND DOCTRINES ACQUIRE MUCH
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  GREATER SALIENCE
                                                                                                         beneficial matrix of strategic and     Region. Mechanisms like IONS,               use disruptive technologies better
                                                                                                         reliable choices.                      Anti-piracy operations, IORA                than the Nation States. Non-State     that India’s defence and security
                                                                                                            Maritime issues, whether            and bilateral and multilateral              Actors have been embedded             doctrine should not only attempt
                                                                                                         considered hard or soft, traditional   interoperability arrangements               and nurtured by some states           to have a non-conventional edge
                                                                                                         or non-traditional impact the Blue     with friendly countries like US,            including in our region and serve     or parity but also ensure nuclear
                                                                                                         Economy of nations, including          Japan, Australia, France , UK and           as instruments of their foreign       deterrence capability and tweak
                                                                                                         landlocked nations, with spin-offs     Germany who have devised Indo-              policy. Hence, a comprehensive        its doctrine accordingly. There is
Defence Minister Rajnath Singh and EAM S Jaishankar with their US counterparts during 2+2 dialogue       at the regional and global levels.     Pacific strategies and doctrines            security architecture including       a greater likelihood of a two-front
                                                                                                         Therefore, in order to pursue          acquire much greater salience. At           the traditional and non-traditional   war for which India needs to have
By AMB ANIL TRIGUNAYAT                                                                                   a sustainable and secure Blue          the same time we have to maintain           dimensions must be built in which     military and technological gear

      T
                                                                                                         Economy, there is a need to ensure     our primacy in the region be it on          international collaboration with      up. For same reasons India figures
                      he World is in disarray. Multilateralism at its lowest point and Unilateralism     a stable, secure and peaceful          land, air or sea beginning with             friendly countries has a central      prominently in the South Asia and
                      dictating the international discourse especially as the sole hyper power           Maritime Environment.                  our extended neighbourhood by               role at least until “Atmanirbharta”   Indo-Pacific strategic calculus
                      under US President Donald Trump created a paradigm shift with his                     India has over 7,500 km             following a policy of “Concentric           becomes a reality. Of course, we      of USA whose key objective is to
                      destabilising Twiplomacy for friends and foes alike. Covid-19 engineered           coastline and we have seen the         Circles of Security Perimeter”              must secure ourselves internally      keep the South China Sea lanes and
                      a global recession and unprecedented economic downturn. China has been             worst attacks of 26/11 that were       which should not only ensure our            and externally. No one is going       Indo-Pacific free for navigation.
                      flexing its expansionist muscles. Sino-US Trade wars and implicit conflictual      mounted from the sea. Moreover,        security but should assure the              to do it for us unless we wish to     Japan and Australia have been
                      relationship threatening to enter Cold War 2.0 of a different genre. State         India’s trade and energy security      security of our partners. Military          be subjected to the geo-politico-     facing the Chinese brunt and
                      sponsor terrorism and asymmetric warfare from our western and northern             through the Strait of Hormuz           Capability and political intent and         strategic games of major powers.      expansionist policies whereas
                      borders is a contiguous reality. Fact that Sino-Pak axis becoming toxic in         and Arabian Sea is dependent           will to exercise this benign power          Only the strong can demand and        India not only had to fight a war
                      the region poses tremendous security challenges for India.                         on our capabilities to provide a       are essential ingredients for India.        enforce peace and security.           with China but also continues to
                                                                                                         sustained protection and response         World and global power                      In the changed global scenario     remain a major challenge and
                                                                                                         mechanism in accordance with           equations are going through a               and emerging world order China        illegal occupant of her territories.
                         Generally economy and                     a closed mindset have become          our maritime doctrine driven for       churn. Newer challenges are                 and its proxies like Pakistan             China’s “String of Pearls” and
                      security are becoming two sides              a common phenomenon. Indo-            securing our national interests.       posed for the concerns of defence           (both nuclear power states) play      possible militarisation of its Belt
                      of the same coin the prospects of            Pacific has become a new theatre of   Oceans are not restricted by any       and security, technology and                a truant role in India’s strategic    and Road Initiative (BRI) strategy,
                      protectionism, unilateralism and             geo-strategic competition that has    boundaries and with the concept        economy, and changing alliance              matrix .Therefore, it is imperative   economic and technological

 14     www.raksha-anirveda.com                                                                                                                                                                                                                RAKSHA ANIRVEDA JANUARY - MARCH 2021   15
RAKSHA ANIRVEDA

OPINION                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           www.raksha-anirveda.com

A COMPREHENSIVE       edge and adventurism pose a                 India’s objectives for ensuring its        for Multi-Sectoral Technical and      remains New Delhi’s major
SECURITY              peculiar threat to India’s security         comprehensive security within the          Economic Cooperation (BIMSTEC)        partner in civil nuclear energy
ARCHITECTURE          and sovereignty. Hence, India               context of Strategic Partnership. At       must be accorded highest priority.    and space cooperation and one of
INCLUDING THE         responded to US overtures                   the same time India will have to              In West Asia we have crucial       the few countries which agree to
TRADITIONAL AND       positively and has expanded to              continue with its ‘Neighbourhood           stakes and hence India has to         transfer the military technology
NON-TRADITIONAL       conduct “Malabar “exercises with            First Policy’ to work closely for          work for acquiring strategic          whether we have been able to use
DIMENSIONS            Japan and Australia in the context          their economic and security                depth through mutually beneficial     it effectively is debatable. BrahMos
MUST BE BUILT
IN WHICH              of QUAD and the Indo-Pacific.               development to avoid being pulled          projects and partnerships in          missile is a credible exception.
INTERNATIONAL         It has signed nearly all major              down in the regional context. Sub-         bilateral and trilateral domain.      Russia’s suspicion of India’s
COLLABORATION         agreements ensuring exchange and            regional connectivity projects             Likewise in Africa we have to carry   closeness to Washington and US’s
WITH FRIENDLY         interoperability with the US be it          under the Bangladesh, Bhutan,              on with our development, defence      suspicion of India’s closeness to
COUNTRIES HAS         Logistics Exchange Memorandum               India, Nepal (BBIN) initiative             and digital partnership directly      Moscow are difficult to leverage as
A CENTRAL ROLE        of Agreement or LEMOA (2016),               and the Bay of Bengal Initiative           and with likeminded democracies.      Russia-China strategic partnership
AT LEAST UNTIL        Communications Compatibility and                                                                                             has the potential to become a
“ATMANIR-             Security Agreement or COMCASA                                                                                                military alliance if pushed or          Multi-nation naval ships during Malabar exercise
BHARTA”               (2018) and Basic Exchange and                                                                                                threats perception exceeds their
BECOMES A             Cooperation Agreement or BECA                                                                                                threshold. What we can leverage                                                                                                    CHINA’S “STRING
REALITY               (2020) as an extension to General                                                                                            is a truly transactional relationship                                                                                              OF PEARLS”
                      Security of Military Information                                                                                             and India’s market strength and                                                                                                    AND POSSIBLE
                      Agreement or GSOMIA (2002) and                                                                                               potential with anyone who is                                                                                                       MILITARISATION
                      Civil Nuclear Agreement of 2008.                                                                                             eyeing India’s huge defence pie.                                                                                                   OF ITS BORDER
                         India may have to overlap its                                                                                                 Technology will underwrite the                                                                                                 AND ROAD
                      reciprocal access arrangements                                                                                               21st century hence Indovation is                                                                                                   INITIATIVE (BRI)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      STRATEGY,
                      with Japan, Australia as well as                                                                                             extremely important. But given
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      ECONOMIC AND
                      both have nationalised security                                                                                              the systemic malaise it might be                                                                                                   TECHNOLOGICAL
                      arrangements with the US to meet                                                                                             a while. Hence as argued by C                                                                                                      EDGE AND
                      its growing security challenges.                                                                                             Rajamohan, ‘The time is now ripe                                                                                                   ADVENTURISM
                      France, UK and Germany are                                                                                                   for Delhi to consider coalition-                                                                                                   POSE A
                      other three major countries                                                                                                  building as a major tool of its                                                                                                    PECULIAR
                      looking at the Indo-Pacific rather                                                                                           tech-diplomacy. India has figured                                                                                                  THREAT
                      seriously and France and UK do                                                                                               quite prominently in the US and                                                                                                    TO INDIA’S
                                                                                                                                                                                           Naval ships in column during Malabar 2020
                      have adequate maritime presence                                                                                              Western discourse on building                                                                                                      SECURITY AND
                      and arrangements in the region                                                                                               new coalitions to promote and              Recently speaking at Manohar              likeminded strategic partners                 SOVEREIGNTY.
                      and key understandings with                                                                                                  regulate advanced technologies.         Parrikar Institute for Defence               across the desired security                   HENCE, INDIA
                                                                  PM Modi with then Japanese PM Shinzo Abe                                                                                                                                                                            RESPONDED TO
                      them could help in meeting                                                                                                   The size of India’s market as well      Studies and Analyses (MP-IDSA)/              spectrum. It would require
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      US OVERTURES
                                                                                                                Russia is a unique partner         as its technological capabilities       Forum for Integrated National                advocacy and an ongoing SWOT                  POSITIVELY AND
                                                                                                             but at odds on the Indo-Pacific       make it an attractive partner in        Security (FINS) External Affairs             analysis of available strategic               HAS EXPANDED
                                                                                                             construct which it considers as a     the effort to build “technology         Minister Dr S Jaishankar aptly               space and workable initiatives                TO CONDUCT
                                                                                                             containment against China and         coalitions of the capable and           noted, “To my mind, adequately               as the strategic autonomy and                 “MALABAR
                                                                                                             where it feels its own strategic      willing.” Likewise the growth of        securitising foreign policy is for           national interest are ensured. For            “EXERCISES
                                                                                                             interest might be adversely           autonomous weapons systems              mean absolute imperative…, there             contending with the emerging                  WITH JAPAN
                                                                                                             affected especially as it does not    and ongoing militarisation of outer     are the daily security challenges of         global dynamics India has to work             AND AUSTRALIA
                                                                                                             feel that US-Russia relations will    space have created an urgency to        long borders and large sea space.            through its strategic calculations            IN THE CONTEXT
                                                                                                             improve anytime sooner especially     step up India’s comprehensive           The thinking and planning of a               and more integrated matrix of                 OF QUAD AND
                                                                                                             under Biden Presidency. It causes     strategic doctrine. The “Artemis        polity that operates in such an              economic strength, smart military             THE INDO-
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      PACIFIC
                                                                                                             some perception problem for India     Accords” must be seriously              uncertain environment naturally              capability, astute diplomacy,
                                                                                                             for which Russia is her special and   examined. In the domain of across       should give primacy to hard                  firm leadership and conviction
                                                                                                             privileged partner and supplier       the board technological revival         security.”                                   combined with its philosophy
                                                                                                             of technologies and over 70 per       and adaptation, Israel can become          Hence apart from internal                 of “Atmanirbhar Bharat” and
                                                                                                             cent of its conventional arms and     an effective strategic partner          integration of security imperatives          Vasudhaiv Kutumbakam.
                                                                                                             ammunition including nuclear          and a conduit for joint research        and apparatus within the country             -The writer is a former Indian Ambassador
                                                                                                             submarines. Even a S-400 missile      and development especially as           India has to actively think of issue-                to Jordan, Libya and Malta and is a
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Distinguished Fellow at the Vivekananda
                                                                                                             shield will soon be there.            “Abraham Accords’ also open up          based security and technology                     International Foundation (VIF) and a
Narendra Modi and Sheikh Mohamed bin Zayed during the former’s visit to UAE                                     More importantly Moscow            new vistas of cooperation.              alignments with prominent                         commentator on Foreign Policy issues

 16     www.raksha-anirveda.com                                                                                                                                                                                                                        RAKSHA ANIRVEDA JANUARY - MARCH 2021       17
RAKSHA ANIRVEDA

ABSOLUTE POWER                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 www.raksha-anirveda.com

                                                                                                                                                                                 chips that are at the heart of air-to-   km range R-73 missile) prevented      IAF’S BVR EDGE
                                                                                                                                                                                 air weaponry. It is the quality of the   PAF F-16s from coming to the aid      ERODED WITH
   Fighter aircraft are                                                                                                                                                          chips that determines the missile’s      of the Pakistan Army which was        THE PAF’S
     not weapons but                                                                                                                                                             accuracy. But while other (usually       taking a pounding from the Indian     ACQUISITION OF
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                THE AIM-120C
  weapons platforms,                                                                                                                                                             large) missiles can compensate           Army and Air Force.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                AMRAAM. IN
                                                                                                                                                                                 for their lack of accuracy with             According to a Strategy Page
    and without long-                                                                                                                                                            sheer explosive power or speed,          report, “While a number of IAF        2006, PAKISTANI
        range missiles                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          INKED A DEAL
                                                                                                                                                                                 air-to-air missiles are harmless         aircraft took part in the Kargil
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                FOR 500 OF
       and radars, the                                                                                                                                                           if they are not accurate. Because        campaign, it was the cover            THESE MACH 4
                                                                                                                                                                                 they have to be slung under the          provided by the MiG-29 Fulcrum        MISSILES WITH
           IAF is under                                                                                                                                                          wings of aircraft, and at least          armed with BVR missiles that          A RANGE OF
         utilising these                                                                                                                                                         four such missiles are needed            exposed the PAF’s plight. While       OVER 100 KM.
     powerful aircraft                                                                                                                                                           for an effective engagement, air-        PAF fighters did fly combat air       THE AIM-120C
                                                                                                                                                                                 to-air missiles have to be small.        patrols (CAP) during the conflict,    INCORPORATES
    that were built for                                                                                                                                                          This is why the Russians were            they stayed well within Pakistani     A DATALINK
       air dominance.                                                                                                                                                            exceptional at building massive          air space.” On occasions, IAF MiG-    TO GUIDE THE
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                MISSILE TO A
     Therefore, at this                                                                                                                                                          ballistic and anti-ship cruise           29s armed with the R-73 missiles
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                POINT WHERE
                                                                                                                                                                                 missiles, but lagged behind in air-      were able to lock on to PAF F-16s,
     juncture, IAF has                                                                                                                                                           to-air missiles.                         forcing the latter to disengage.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                ITS ACTIVE
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                RADAR TURNS
     two simple fixes,                                                                                                                                                                                                    “The Pakistanis had no answer         ON AND MAKES
     either it replaces                                                                                                                                                          AIR TO AIR CLASHES IN THE                to the 30 km range R-73. In the
                                                                                                                                                                                                                          absence of a PAF threat, the IAF
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                TERMINAL
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                INTERCEPT OF
     underperforming                                                                                                                                                             SUBCONTINENT                             was able to deliver numerous          THE TARGET
     R-77s with better                                                                                                                                                                                                    devastating strikes on intruder
   imports or develop                                                                                                                                                            The IAF enjoyed an extended              positions and supply dumps.”
                                                                                                                                                                                 period of air superiority in beyond         However, the IAF’s BVR edge
           its own BVR                                                                                                                         R-77 Missile Systems on display   visual range (BVR) combat with           eroded with the PAF’s acquisition
                missiles                                                                                                                                                         the induction of the MiG-29              of the AIM-120C Advanced

AIR-TO-AIR MISSILES: INDIA’S WINDOW
                                                                                                                                                                                 Fulcrum in 1985. The value of an         Medium Range Air to Air Missile
                                                                                                                                           RUSSIA’S TECH PROBLEM                 excellent dogfighter armed with
                                                                                                                                                                                 a long-range weapon was proven
                                                                                                                                                                                                                          (AMRAAM). In 2006, Pakistani
                                                                                                                                                                                                                          inked a deal for 500 of these
                                                                                                                                           The dogfight from 1971                in the 1999 Kargil War when the          Mach 4 missiles with a range
                                                                                                                                           illustrated the importance of         Fulcrum (equipped with the 30            of over 100 km. The AIM-120C

OF VULNERABILITY
                                                                                                                                           superior training and weaponry.
                                                                                                                                           A warplane is only as good as
                                                                                                                                           its air-to-air weapons. While
                                                                                             the enemy plane and launched a Vympel         the MiG-21 was without doubt
                                                                                             R-3 (NATO codename AA-2) air-to-air           a highly capable aircraft in the
                                                                                             missile. It missed.                           right hands, its weakness was
By RAKESH KRISHNAN SIMHA                                                                         The Pakistani attempted to get away       the R-3 missile. It was an exact
                                                                                             using sheer speed but realised the MiG-       copy of an AIM-9 Sidewinder air-
           n the afternoon of December 12, 1971, at the peak of the India-Pakistan War,      21 was equally fast. The desperate chase      to-air missile that became lodged

 O
           two Lockheed F-104 Starfighters of the Pakistan Air Force crossed the Gujarat     now took them over the shark-infested         in a Chinese MiG-17 without
           border on their way to attack the forward airbase at Jamnagar. Indian Air         waters of the Arabian Sea. This time,         exploding. And like all knockoffs,
           Force radar units detected the intruders and scrambled a couple of MiG-21         instead of using missiles, the Indian pilot   it simply wasn’t as good as the
           interceptors to deal with the threat. As the first Pakistani aircraft dived in    took aim with his cannon and fired a long     original. There’s a very easy
           towards the airfield, a patrolling MiG-21 pilot spotted the attacking aircraft    burst. Flashes on the F-104’s metallic        explanation for Russia lagging
           and got after him. The second MiG-21 went after the wingman. Realising he         surface indicated a direct hit. Seconds       behind the West in air-to-air
           was up against a much superior aircraft, he made his escape back into Pakistan.   later the American-built aircraft spun        missile development.
                                                                                             out of control and crashed into the sea.          The Soviet armament
                                                                                             The Indian Navy sent a couple of search       industry had suffered a 70-year
   His captain, however, wasn’t so            turned and tried to shake off its pursuer.     vessels, but the pilot was never found. At    technology embargo which made
lucky. Observing the MiG on his tail, the     However, the Indian pilot pulled the           that speed, when a plane impacts water,       it difficult for Moscow to acquire
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         Amraatm Missile System
Pakistani F-104 broke off the attack,         MiG-21 into a tighter turn well inside         it is like hitting concrete.                  microprocessors or computer

 18    www.raksha-anirveda.com                                                                                                                                                                                                        RAKSHA ANIRVEDA JANUARY - MARCH 2021   19
You can also read