Streatham A local market review - CBRE

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Streatham A local market review - CBRE
Streatham
A local market review
Streatham A local market review - CBRE
Streatham snapshot                         London overview

Streatham is well served by public         In the post-recession recovery period
transport with trains, tubes and           London’s housing market has performed
                                           strongly, outperforming the wider UK by a
buses going almost anywhere in             significant margin. Prices across the city are
London. Currently more                     now 36% above their previous peak. Some of
affordable than nearby areas of            the strongest growth occurred in 2014 with
                                           annual growth peaking at 21% in August.
Clapham and Balham, it is                  Towards the end of the year and moving into
definitely up and coming with              2015 activity has slowed and growth started
new eateries and retail provision          to cool. However, this is something we
                                           anticipated and welcome an orderly
springing up on the high street.           slowdown. Fears of a London house price
                                           bubble have subsided and the market is
                                           maintaining sustainable and robust growth,
                                           with 9% inflation in the year to May 2015.

                                           Moreover, activity in the new build market
                                           remains extremely strong and demand is
                                           high, with 67% of the 51,000 new build
                                           homes under construction already sold. This
                                           is the highest absorption rate of new build
                                           stock in recent years.

                                           London’s new build market

                                                                        60,000                                                                                                                      80%

                                                                                                                                                                                                    70%
                                                                        50,000

                                                                                                                                                                                                    60%

                                                                        40,000
                                     Private units under construction

                                                                                                                                                                                                    50%

                                                                        30,000                                                                                                                      40%

                                                                                                                                                                                                    30%
                                                                        20,000

                                                                                                                                                                                                    20%

                                                                        10,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                    10%

                                                                            0                                                                                                                       0
                                                                                             End 2007
                                                                                 2001–2006
                                                                                   average

                                                                                                        End 2008

                                                                                                                   End 2009

                                                                                                                              End 2010

                                                                                                                                         End 2011

                                                                                                                                                    End 2012

                                                                                                                                                               End 2013

                                                                                                                                                                          End 2014

                                                                                                                                                                                        Q1 2015

                                                                                                                                Sold                     Unsold                      Proportion Sold (RHS)
Streatham A local market review - CBRE
Demographics and demand                          Streatham Hill lies in the south of the        Tenure profile
for homes                                        borough and accommodates approximately
                                                 5% of its population. In 2011 this stood                              100%
The population of Lambeth currently stands       at 14,260 having increased by 4% since
                                                                                                                       90%
at 318,200 having increased by 20% since         2001. Homes in Streatham are now in high                                                             35%

                                                                                            Proportion of households
2001. The population of the borough is           demand and the area is experiencing a                                 80%
                                                                                                                                        42%
expected to hit 335,000 in 2021, an increase     wave of gentrification and it has a much                              70%
of a further 5%. As a result of this growth      higher proportion of privately owned and
the number of households in Lambeth              rented homes compared with the rest of                                60%
increased by 10% between 2001 and 2011,          the borough. Across Lambeth 64% of units                              50%                            30%
and by 2021 it is forecast that there will be    currently being built have been sold off                                               32%
148,000 households in the borough. This          plan and only 1% of those completed in                                40%
represents growth of approximately 1,800         the last year remain on the market.                                   30%
households per year. However, since 2009                                                                                                              35%
only 2,700 new homes have been built                                                                                   20%

across the borough equating to a significant                                                                                            26%
                                                                                                                       10%
shortfall of housing. As a result, and typical
of London overall, demand for homes is                                                                                              Streatham Hill   Lambeth
hugely outweighing supply and this is
fuelling price inflation.
                                                                                                                             Owner occupied
                                                                                                                             Privately rented
                                                                                                                             Socially rented
House prices and growth                                Average house price index

House price growth across Lambeth has                                           180
been extremely strong and since the

                                                    Average house price index
beginning of 2010 has typically been higher                                     160
than the London average. London overall

                                                       (Base = Jan 2007)
experienced the strongest growth of the
                                                                                140
post-recession period in 2014 but this was
even more pronounced in Lambeth. Prices in
                                                                                120
the borough increased by 23% last year,
compared with 15% across London.
                                                                                100

In the district of Streatham Hill (SW2)
houses usually sell for a discount to the                                        80
                                                                                         2007             2008           2009                    2010   2011    2012     2013        2014   2015
wider borough. In the first quarter of 2015
apartments in SW2 sold for an average of
                                                                                                                                                               Lambeth      London          Base
£392,500, a discount of 13%. This equates
to flats which are approximately £60,000
cheaper in Streatham compared with                      Streatham affordability - flats
Lambeth overall.
                                                                              £550,000
As a result Streatham is more affordable
                                                    Average apartment price

compared with other neighbouring areas.                                       £500,000
As such it is becoming increasingly popular,
                                                                              £450,000
especially with young Londoners looking to
get onto the housing ladder. This is all driving                              £400,000
price growth in the area with the value of an
                                                                              £350,000
average flat increasing by 11% between
Q1 2014 and the same period of 2015.                                          £300,000
                                                                                                Clapham

                                                                                                           Balham

                                                                                                                    Brixton

                                                                                                                                Streatham Hill

Property prices in the areas surrounding Streatham

                                       Westminster

                            Chelsea

                                        Nine Elms

                         Wandsworth

                                      Balham                         Streatham

                                 Tooting
Connectivity
                                                                                                                                   5 year growth
                                                                          2015        2016         2017      2018        2019
                                                                                                                                         2015-19
As well as its relative affordability, Streatham
is also well connected. The average journey
time from Streatham Hill station into Oxford         UK                    6%           5%          4%         4%         4%                25%
Circus and Liverpool Street is just over 30
minutes. Comparing other areas with similar
travel times illustrates how affordable              London                7%           5%          5%         5%         6%                31%
Streatham is considering its ease to reach
central London. Similarly it is well connected
to the major universities in London.

Travel times from Streatham
to London universities

1   Kings College London                   34 mins
2   London School of Economics             37 mins
3   University of Arts London              38 mins
4   Goldsmiths                             39 mins
5   University College London              49 mins
6   School of Oriental and Asian studies   49 mins
7   Birbeck                                50 mins
8   Imperial College                       53 mins
9   Queen Mary University                  53 mins
10 City University                         54 mins
11 University of Greenwich                 59 mins
12 University of Westminster               58 mins
13 Royal Academy of Music                  60 mins

Average travel time into central London

                                              South Hampstead
                                                25 mins                                      Highbury & Islington
                                                £1,012,626                                     12 mins
                                                                   Camden                      £1,028,957
                                                                     12 mins
                                                                     £822,492          Kings Cross
                                                                                         8 mins
                                                                                         £615,222             Wapping
                                                                                                               20 mins
                                                                                                               £554,289
                            Ealing Broadway
                              30 mins
                                                                                                                            Canary Wharf
                              £564,900
                                                                                                                              20 mins
                                                                                              Canada Water                    £479,879
                                                           Fulham Broadway                      18 mins
                                                             28 mins                            £541,389
                 Chiswick Park                               £1,351,562
                   38 mins
                   £832,300
                                           Parsons Green
                                             25 mins                            Clapham Junction
                                             £1,100,400                           25 mins
                                                                                  £708,291

                       Richmond                           East Putney
                         40 mins                            35 mins
                         £897,500                           £731,900      London Square
                                                                          Streatham Hill
                                           Wimbledon Park                   30 mins
                                             40 mins                        £435,727
                                             £781,100

                                                                                                          Travel times      Average house price
Contacts               Jennet Siebrits                                           Mark Collins
                       Head of Residential Research                              Chairman of Residential
                       +44 20 7182 2066                                          +44 20 7182 2264
                       jennet.siebrits@cbre.com                                  mark.collins2@cbre.com

                       Tom Bryant                                                Julien Mills
                       Director Residential Development                          Executive Director Residential
                       Sales & Consultancy                                       +44 20 7182 2679
                       +44 20 7182 2562                                          julien.mills@cbre.com
                       tom.bryant@cbre.com
                                                                                 Adam Soussi
                       Charles Leigh                                             Middle East Desk – London
                       Senior Director Residential Development                   +44 20 7182 2060
                       Sales & Consultancy                                       adam.soussi@cbre.com
                       +44 20 7182 2288
                       charles.leigh@cbre.com

                       Safina Ahmad
                       Head of Residential Agency – Middle East
                       +971 52 640 9505
                       safina.ahmad@cbre.com

Sources                CBRE, Molior, Rightmove, TFL

Disclaimer 2015 CBRE   CBRE Limited confirms that information contained herein, including projections, has been obtained from
                       sources believed to be reliable. While we do not doubt their accuracy, we have not verified them and make
                       no guarantee, warranty or representation about them. It is your responsibility to confirm independently their
                       accuracy and completeness. This information is presented exclusively for use by CBRE clients and
                       professionals and all rights to the material are reserved and cannot be reproduced without prior written
                       permission of CBRE. © 2015 CBRE Ltd.
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