Tech Cities in Motion - Savills

Page created by Terry Austin
 
CONTINUE READING
Tech Cities in Motion - Savills
World Research – 2019

 Report
Savills Research   Tech Cities in Motion

                                    1
Tech Cities in Motion - Savills
Tech Cities in Motion

The cities at                   Summary
the forefront                        ■ Savills Tech Cities are important centres for tech in their region
of global tech                       and VC investment hotspots. Vibrant cities in which to live and
                                     work, they are magnets for talent. The Savills Tech Cities index
In this, the third edition of        measures what makes them successful.
Savills Tech Cities, five
mainland Chinese cities              ■ Tech Cities are outperforming other global centres. GDP across
make our ranking for the             the 30 Tech Cities is forecast to rise by 36% in the next decade,
first time. These, together          against a rate of 19% across other developed cities.
with other new entrants,
brings our total Tech Cities         ■ New York has emerged as the premier Tech City in this year’s
to 30.                               index, overtaking San Francisco. Access to a deep talent
   Testbeds for innovation,          pool and the city’s reputation as a global centre of commerce
our Tech Cities are at the           makes New York the global leader.
forefront of addressing
transportation challenges.           ■ Chinese Tech Cities have risen fast, and now account for a higher
   To assess how effective           share of VC investment than their US counterparts. Beijing recorded
they are, and how they               an average $34 billion of VC p.a. in the last three years, volumes
compare, this year we’ve             higher even than New York and San Francisco.
added a new ‘mobility’
category. It explores how            ■ Chinese cities have also emerged as leaders in shared mobility
effective our cities are at          services. Our overall mobility ranking puts London first, however,
getting people from A to B.          thanks to transport innovations and an urban form conducive to
                                     cycling and walking.

                                     ■ The expansion of coworking space has gone hand in hand with
                                     the growth of the global tech sector. The average coworking-cost
                                     for a desk in a private office is $590, and is highest in San Francisco
                                     at $1,050.

                                                                                           1    New York
                                                                                           2    San Francisco
                                                                                           3    London
                                                                                           4    Amsterdam
                                                                                           5    Boston
                                                                                           6    Singapore
                                                                                           7    Los Angeles
                                                                                           8    Austin
                                                                                           9    Stockholm
                                                                                           10   Copenhagen
                                                                                           11   Toronto
                                                                                           12   Seattle
                                                                                           13   Tokyo
                                                                                           14   Paris
                                                                                           15   Shanghai
                                                                                           16   Berlin
                                                                                           17   Beijing
                                                                                           18   Tel Aviv
                                                                                           19   Dublin
                                                                                           20   Hong Kong
                                                                                           21   Barcelona
                                                                                           22   Melbourne
                                                                                           23   Seoul
                                                                                           24   Shenzhen
                                                                                           25   Hangzhou
                                                                                           26   Chengdu
                                                                                           27   Santiago
                                                                                           28   Buenos Aires
                                                                                           29   Bengaluru
                                                                                           30
                                                                                                Cape Town

                                             2
Tech Cities in Motion - Savills
Tech Cities in Motion

What is a
Savills Tech City?                                                      the six index categories

                                                                        Business Environment
■ An important centre of tech within its region                         ■ Investment
■ Major recipient of VC investment                                      ■ Size of finance & business services sector
■ On the shopping list for expanding global tech companies              ■ Ease of starting a business
■ A vibrant city in which to live and work                              ■ R&D / innovation
■ A generator of, and magnet for, talent                                ■ Physical linkages
                                                                        ■ Cost of doing business
The Savills Tech Cities index measures                                    (regulations, taxes, pay)
what makes a successful Tech City. Our
assessment for each city comprises of over
100 individual metrics, ranging from the                                Tech Environment
number of days needed to start a business                               ■ Venture capital
through to the cost of a flat white coffee.                             ■ Size / value of tech sector
These metrics are grouped into six                                      ■ Tech infrastructure
categories: business environment, tech                                  ■ Tech engagement
environment, city buzz & wellness, talent
pool, real estate costs, and mobility.
Each category is weighted to reflect its
importance to the tech sector.
                                                                        City Buzz & Wellness
                                                                        ■ City wellness
                                                                        ■ City buzz
                                                                        ■ Cost of living

                                                                        Talent Pool
                                                                        ■ Higher Education
                                                                        ■ Immigration & talent attractiveness
                                                                        ■ City youthfulness

                                                                        Real Estate Costs
                                                                        ■ Cost of renting commercial
                                                                          and residential property
                                                                        ■ Cost of coworking space

                                                                        Mobility
                                                                        ■ Shared mobility services
                                                                        ■ Metro system
                                                                        ■ Quality of urban infrastructure

                                                             3
Tech Cities in Motion - Savills
Tech Cities in Motion

          3. LONDON
           Big city buzz

                                                                                   1. NEW YORK
                                      2. SAN FRANCISCO                      Global centre of commerce
                                          Tech environment

                                                  Figure 1 The Tech Cities global rankings
New York                                              ■ Business Environment ■ Tech Environment ■ City Buzz and Wellness

leads the way
                                                                  ■ Talent Pool ■ Real Estate Costs ■ Mobility
                                                                                       Index score
                                                                   0   10     20     30     40     50      60      70
The Big Apple has emerged                              New York
as the premier Tech City                           San Francisco
in this year’s index,                                   London
overtaking San Francisco                             Amsterdam

Access to a deep talent pool and the city’s              Boston

reputation as a global centre of commerce             Singapore
makes New York the global leader. Home              Los Angeles
to several world-renowned universities, a
                                                          Austin
business-focused culture and global links,
                                                      Stockholm
New York stands out with its ability to attract
world-class talent as a key determinator. VC        Copenhagen

investment volumes have topped those of San             Toronto
Francisco for the last three years.                      Seattle
   London ranks third. Performing especially
                                                          Tokyo
well on our ‘buzz and wellness’ and mobility
                                                           Paris
sub-metrics (see page 5), the UK capital
remains the dominant tech hub in Europe,               Shanghai
with three times more VC investment recorded              Berlin
in 2018 than the nearest European rival for VC           Beijing
investment, Paris.
                                                        Tel Aviv
   Amsterdam is hot on its heels, rivalling
                                                          Dublin
London’s position as the global gateway to
Europe. This vibrant global hub benefits from a      Hong Kong

skilled, English-speaking workforce and scores        Barcelona
well across all categories.                           Melbourne

                                                          Seoul

 A centre of commerce                                  Shenzhen

with a deep talent pool                               Hangzhou

and global links means that                            Chengdu

New York is an attractive                              Santiago

base for both start-ups and                         Buenos Aires

multinationals alike                                  Bengaluru
                                                     Cape Town

                                                                                                 Source Savills World Research

                                                             4
Tech Cities in Motion - Savills
Tech Cities in Motion

Why mobility matters
The ease a city’s population can get from A to B is an important consideration

Our Tech Cities are among the fastest growing            Figure 2 The mobility sub rankings
developed cities in the world. Across the 30
                                                            ■ Chinese Cities ■ European Cities ■ US Cities ■ Other Asia Pacific cities
tech cities, GDP is forecast to rise by 36% in the
next decade, against a rate of 19% across other                    SHARED MOBILITY                                QUALITY OF URBAN
                                                                                             METRO SYSTEM
developed centres. Measured by metro area, these                      SERVICES                                     INFRASTRUCTURE
30 cities are home to 291 million people between
them, and will add another 18 million inhabitants             1            Beijing      1        Shanghai        1      Amsterdam

in the next 10 years.                                         2           Shanghai      2         Seoul          2     Copenhagen
   Rising populations are putting ever greater
                                                              3       San Francisco     3         Tokyo          3      Stockholm
pressure on existing infrastructure, posing a risk
                                                              4          Hangzhou       4         Beijing        4       Barcelona
to city competitiveness. From mobility as a service
to investment in ridesharing and autonomous                   5            Berlin       5       Shenzhen         5        London
vehicles, our Tech Cities are at the forefront of
                                                              6             Paris       6        London          6       New York
addressing this. Many of these cities benefit from
                                                              7           Barcelona     7       Hangzhou         7           Berlin
an urban form that is conducive to cycling and
walking, making sustainable modes of transport                8           Shenzhen      8       Hong Kong        8      Melbourne
popular too.                                                  9          Los Angeles    9        New York        9           Paris
   We consider three elements when assessing
                                                             10          Stockholm      10      Singapore       10           Dublin
mobility: the availability, density and investment
in shared mobility services (car, bike and scooter            11          New York      11      Melbourne        11       Boston
sharing services), the scale and level of innovation          12           London       12       Chengdu        12     San Francisco
in the city’s metro system, and the quality of
urban infrastructure (walkability, cycle networks,
                                                              Car, bike and scooter       Scale, ridership,        Urban form, cycle
congestion and air pollution).                                   share schemes            cost, innovation       networks, walkability,
                                                                 availability and        Modern Asian cities        congestion and
   Chinese cities have emerged as leaders in shared                investment              perform well.              air pollution
mobility services. Many of the dockless bikeshare                 Chinese cities                                  Compact European
                                                               well-served. Beijing                                  cities perform
schemes now found in cities across the world (such                home to Didi                                          well here

as Mobike) originated in China. Hangzhou is home
to more shared bikes than in any other city globally.                                  Mobility sub-category – index score
Numbers here topped 800,000, before they had to                            0           1           2         3          4             5
                                                                   London
be culled to manage congestion.                                Stockholm
   Major Asian cities lead when it comes to metro               New York
                                                                 Shanghai
systems. The large, modern systems benefit from
                                                                Barcelona
onboard wifi and air conditioning and are among             San Francisco
the cheapest to travel on.                                    Amsterdam
                                                                      Paris
   The final pillar, urban infrastructure, looks
                                                                     Berlin
at the quality of the urban environment.                     Copenhagen
European cities compare favourably. Amsterdam,                  Shenzhen
                                                               Melbourne
Copenhagen, Stockholm and Barcelona are among
                                                                    Beijing
the world’s most cycle-friendly. Their compact size                 Boston
allows residents shorter commutes, easier access to                 Dublin
                                                                    Austin
amenities and a better work/life balance.
                                                                Singapore
   While not leading in any single category, taken                  Seattle
together, London ranks first overall for mobility.                 Tel Aviv
                                                                     Tokyo
The city’s public transport system offers smart                      Seoul
ticketing (mobile, contactless, Oyster), integrated          Buenos Aires
across all transport modes (from rail to bus).                  Hangzhou
                                                              Los Angeles
Existing congestion charging and a low emissions
                                                                  Toronto
zone will be complemented with an ultra-low                      Santiago
emissions zone this year. Pollution remains a major            Hong Kong
                                                                 Chengdu
issue, however, while upgrading the world’s oldest
                                                               Cape Town
metro system poses ongoing challenges.                          Bengaluru

                                                                                                               Source Savills World Research

                                                                     5
Tech Cities in Motion

                                                                                 2012                 2018
                                                                              $37bn               $208bn

                                                 VC investment volumes across the 30 Tech Cities rose
                                                 from $37 billion in 2012 to $207.8 billion in 2018

The rise of
Chinese Tech Cities
Chinese Tech Cities have risen                           Already established as a centre              Figure 4 VC investment volumes by city
rapidly on the global stage, and                      of tech manufacturing, home-grown                                     ■ Autonomous Cars ■ Ridesharing ■ Other
now account for a higher share                        hardware firms are now making                                         Average annual VC investment, billions (2016-2018)
of VC investment than their US                        global moves.                                                    $0     $5      $10       $15     $20      $25      $30       $35
counterparts.                                            Beijing sees by far the greatest                        Beijing
   VC investment volumes across                       VC investment, an average of $34                         New York
the 30 Tech Cities rose from $37                      billion per annum in the last three                        London
billion in 2012 to $207.8 billion in                  years, with volumes higher even                    San Francisco

2018. While the scale of overall                      than New York and San Francisco.                         Shanghai
                                                                                                                  Tokyo
investment has risen, the US-city                     Close to regulators some of China’s
                                                                                                              Hangzhou
share of these volumes has dropped                    largest tech firms are headquartered
                                                                                                                   Paris
from 40% to 28% (see chart).                          in Beijing.                                             Singapore
Chinese cities, by contrast, have                        Our ranking puts Shanghai ahead                       Shenzhen
seen their share rise from 11% to 36%                 as a more ‘global’ tech city, however,                 Los Angeles
over the same period.                                 thanks to an international business                         Austin
                                                                                                              Melbourne
   For every US tech giant there                      environment and better of quality of
                                                                                                                 Boston
is a Chinese equivalent. The US                       life for residents (Beijing’s air quality
                                                                                                                  Dublin
has ‘FAANG’ (Facebook, Amazon,                        is the worst of any of our Tech Cities).
                                                                                                             Hong Kong
Apple, Netflix, and Google). China                       Elsewhere, Shenzhen, an                                   Seoul
has ‘BAT’ (Baidu, Alibaba and                         exceptionally youthful tech city,                          Toronto
Tencent), and more recently the                       benefits from strengthening links                      Amsterdam
mobile-driven ‘TMD’ (news app                         with Hong Kong (just 15 minutes                         Stockholm
Toutiao, group-buying service                         away via high-speed rail) and a new                         Berlin
Meituan-Dianping, and ride-sharing                    tech-stock exchange, ChiNext.                              Seattle

firm Didi Chuxing).                                   Hangzhou, home to Alibaba, stands                       Barcelona
                                                                                                              Bengaluru
   Tapping into a vast, internet-                     out as a lower cost ‘smaller’ city
                                                                                                         Copenhagen
enabled domestic market they have                     (population 9.5m), famed for its
                                                                                                               Chengdu
risen fast, and thanks to integrated                  West Lake UNESCO World Heritage
                                                                                                         Buenos Aires
payment systems, revolutionised                       site. Chengdu’s tech economy
                                                                                                                Tel Aviv
the way business is conducted in the                  has risen on outsourcing, its                            Santiago
country. China is also a global leader                government is pro-business and tech                    Cape Town
in AI.                                                investment is rising.                                                                 Source Savills World Research using Pitchbook

Figure 3 Chinese cities take a higher global share of VC investment*

                                                ■ Other Cities ■ Other Asian Cities ■ Chinese Cities ■ European Cities ■ US Cities
                                 100%
  Share of total VC investment

                                  90%
                                 80%
                                 70%
           (30 cities)

                                 60%
                                 50%
                                 40%
                                 30%
                                 20%
                                 10%
                                  0%
                                        2012   2013                       2014                        2015                     2016                     2017                 2018

*Across our 30-city sample                                                                                                                  Source Savills World Research using Pitchbook

                                                                                                  6
Tech Cities in Motion

                           Chinese Tech cities now account for a higher share
                           of VC investment than their US counterparts

                                                                                                                         15   Shanghai

                                                                                                                         17   Beijing

                                                                                                                         20 Hong Kong

                                                                                                                         24 Shenzhen

                                                                                                                         25 Hangzhou

                                                                                                                         26 Chengdu

Figure 5 Chinese Tech Cities rankings

              Shanghai                                                                 Shenzhen
              Rank: 15                                                                 Rank: 24
              Population: 24.2m                                                        Population: 12.5m
              VC investment*: $12bn                                                    VC investment*: $4.5bn
              Notable Tech Companies: Ele.me                                           Notable Tech Companies: Tencent
              Global city appealing to expats and good                                 High-tech manufacturing centre,
              for scaling larger tech companies                                        now a start-up hub in its own right

              Beijing                                                                  Hangzhou
              Rank: 17                                                                 Rank: 25
              Population: 21.7m                                                        Population: 9.5m
              VC investment*: $34bn                                                    VC investment*: $7.6bn
              Notable Tech Companies: Didi, Baidu                                      Notable Tech Companies: Alibaba
              Major VC recipient. China’s capital,                                     An hour away from Shanghai. Quality of life and
              close to regulators                                                      famous for West Lake UNESCO world heritage site

              Hong Kong                                                                Chengdu
              Rank: 20                                                                 Rank: 26
              Population: 7.4m                                                         Population: 16.0m
              VC investment*: $2.9bn                                                   VC investment*: $0.2bn
              Notable Tech Cos: WeLab, 8 Securities                                    Notable Tech Companies: SuDiYi
              Gateway to China and top for ease of doing                               Central China hub built on outsourcing
              business, but losing its USP?                                            services, pro-business and rising

                                                                                                                         Source Savills World Research
                                                                   *Average annual venture capital investment between 2016 and 2018. Source: Pitchbook

                                                               7
Tech Cities in Motion

                           Mainstream residential rent                                                         Coworking cost
                                           (per week)                                                (desk in a private office, per month)

                                          Highest                                                                  Highest
                                     San Francisco $720                                                      San Francisco $1,050

                                           Average                                                                    Average
                                            $350                                                                       $590
                                          Lowest                                                                   Lowest
                                       Chengdu $140                                                            Buenos Aires $110

                                                                                    Figure 6 Real estate costs rankings
The cost of real estate
                                                                                    Real Estate                                Sample metric         Sample metric
We give real estate costs the         subsector rising fastest. We                    costs                                       Mainstream          Coworking cost
                                                                                                              City              residential rent     (desk in a private
lowest weighting in our index,        have measured costs for this                   ranking                                   (Per week, USD)       office, per month,
because factors such as the           type of space (see Figure 6).                                                                                         USD)
availability of talent and quality      Costs are highest in San
of business environment matter        Francisco where the supply/                         1               Bengaluru                  $160                  $250
more to the tech sector, but          demand imbalance is most                            2               Chengdu                    $140                   $270
property still plays a role.          acute. Some markets appear                          3             Buenos Aires                 $180                   $110
   The cost and availability          good value by comparison,                           4               Hangzhou                   $190                  $290
of suitable office space for          notably Amsterdam, at $380
                                                                                          5               Santiago                   $180                  $330
scaling tech firms can make the       per month.
difference between uninhibited                                                            6              Cape Town                   $280                  $350
growth and an opportunity             Residential rents                                   7               Barcelona                  $250                  $380
missed. High residential              Mainstream residential rents                        8                 Berlin                   $200                  $520
accommodation costs can               (see table) matter because they                     9                  Seoul                   $270                  $350
dissuade young talent from            are a factor in where young
                                                                                         10               Shanghai                   $260                  $380
making a city home.                   talent decides to settle.
                                                                                          11             Melbourne                   $330                  $540
                                         In San Francisco residential
Coworking costs                       rents have grown faster than                       12               Shenzhen                   $330                  $220
The expansion of coworking            capital values in the last decade,                 13             Copenhagen                   $410                  $620
has gone hand in hand with            in spite of rent controls, and                     14                 Beijing                  $190                  $290
the growth of the global tech         are the highest of our Tech                        15                Tel Aviv                  $460                   $310
sector. Coworking providers           Cities at $720 per week. New
                                                                                         16                 Dublin                   $470                  $670
accounted for 13% and 13.5% of        York is more expensive for real
office market take-up in London       estate costs overall, but renters                  17              Stockholm                   $330                 $1,000
and Dublin respectively in the        have more affordable, but still                    18                Toronto                   $360                  $960
first nine months of 2018. The        commutable, options in the                         19             Los Angeles                  $490                   $810
sector is rising fast globally,       outer boroughs.                                    20                 Seattle                  $440                  $660
but there is room for growth.            Several European centres
                                                                                         21                 Austin                   $440                  $890
Even in US markets such as            compare favourably. Barcelona
                                                                                         22               Singapore                  $330                  $800
Manhattan, total coworking            ($250 per week) and Berlin
space is estimated at just 2% of      ($200 per week) offer                              23              Amsterdam                   $350                  $380
total office stock.                   relatively affordable rental                       24                  Paris                   $400                  $980
   Private offices, offering the      accommodation. Our South                           25                London                    $490                  $890
benefits of coworking (flexible       American Tech Cities offer the                     26                 Boston                   $510                  $970
leases, amenity provision),           lowest mainstream rents (sub
                                                                                         27            San Francisco                 $720                 $1,050
but with individual space for         $200 per week), but salaries are
the occupier, is the coworking                                                           28                 Tokyo                    $320                  $740
                                      lower here too.
                                                                                         29              Hong Kong                   $450                  $750
                                                                                         30               New York                   $520                  $950
  The affordability of property plays
a role in the success of a Tech City,                                                                      Average                   $350                  $590
but other factors matter more                                                                                                              Source Savills World Research
                                                                                      Sample metrics displayed. Our real estate costs ranking comprises of residential and
                                                                                                               commercial costs for tech occupiers and their employees.

                                                                                8
Savills World Research
                             We’re a dedicated team with an unrivalled reputation for producing well-informed and accurate analysis,
                             research and commentary across all sectors of global property

Paul Tostevin                                 Anh Nguyen                                  James Macdonald                                     Steven Lang
World Research                                World Research                              Research China                                      Commercial Research
+44 (0) 207 016 3883                          +44 (0) 207 877 4541                        +8621 6391 6688                                     +44 (0) 207 409 8738
ptostevin@savills.com                         anh.nguyen@savills.com                      james.macdonald@savills.com.cn                      slang@savills.com

Jeremy Bates                                  Nicky Wightman
Worldwide Occupier Services                   Global Occupier Trends
+44 (0) 207 409 8813                          +44 (0)1223 347 087
jbates@savills.com                            nwightman@savills.com

Savills plc: Savills plc is a global real estate services provider listed on the London Stock Exchange. We have an international network of more than 600 offices and associates throughout the Americas, the UK,
continental Europe, Asia Pacific, Africa and the Middle East, offering a broad range of specialist advisory, management and transactional services to clients all over the world. This report is for general
informative purposes only. It may not be published, reproduced or quoted in part or in whole, nor may it be used as a basis for any contract, prospectus, agreement or other document without prior consent.
While every effort has been made to ensure its accuracy, Savills accepts no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential loss arising from its use. The content is strictly copyright and reproduction of the
whole or part of it in any form is prohibited without written permission from Savills Research.
You can also read