The Nelson Tasman Regional Economic Development Briefing - Project Kokiri

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The Nelson Tasman Regional Economic Development Briefing - Project Kokiri
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The Nelson Tasman                               January 2021
                                                ̸
                                                The Nelson Tasman Regional Economic Development Briefing

Regional Economic
Development Briefing
Developed by the Project Kōkiri collaboration
January 2021
The Nelson Tasman Regional Economic Development Briefing - Project Kokiri
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The Nelson Tasman Regional Economic Development Briefing   ̸   January 2021
The Nelson Tasman Regional Economic Development Briefing - Project Kokiri
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Project Kōkiri –
Who We Are

Project Kōkiri is the Nelson Tasman         The following pages outline the current
economic development collaboration          state of our region’s economy – the
setup to navigate and mitigate the          key insights, drivers, challenges and

                                                                                         January 2021
economic impacts of the COVID-19            priorities that have been derived
pandemic. It’s an action and insights       through a series of engagements and
orientated taskforce backed by Nelson       from working on the coalface of the
City Council, Tasman District Council,      economic response.
Mana Whenua, Nelson Tasman Chamber
of Commerce, Nelson Regional                Project Kōkiri has had an unapologetic

                                                                                         ̸
Development Agency and the regionally       focus on response activity to cushion

                                                                                         The Nelson Tasman Regional Economic Development Briefing
based government agencies.                  the immediate economic impact of
                                            COVID-19 and support a coordinated
The collaboration was formed during         response across government, local
lockdown and developed the Nelson           government, mana whenua and the
Tasman Economic Response &                  business community. The collaboration is
Regeneration Action Plan which              now turning its attention to the medium
was released in June 2020. That plan        term “Regeneration Strategy” for the
focused on the response pathway for         region which sets out our economic
the region in navigating the immediate      priorities for the next 3 to 5 years and
challenges that COVID-19 presented          acts as a bridge between our initial
and ensuring our region was ‘match fit’     response activity and the long term
for the economic headwinds that the         aspirations and priorities laid out in the
country is facing.                          Te Tauihu Intergenerational Strategy.

The defining purpose of the collaboration   This briefing is a reflection of the
was to ensure that the region had a well    current economic challenges and
organised and coordinated response          priorities we are facing as a region and
across all agencies and stakeholders that   is intended to lay the groundwork for
could compliment the health and social      the next piece of work developing the
responses being undertaken.                 medium term regeneration strategy for
                                            the region which is due for completion
                                            in the first quarter of 2021.
The Nelson Tasman Regional Economic Development Briefing - Project Kokiri
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                                                           1,400
                                                           Supported over 1,400
                                                           businesses through our 1:1
                                                           business continuity service,
                                                           enabled by the Regional
                                                           Business Partner Programme.
                                                           In a typical year, we only
                                                           service approximately 350.

                                                           3,000
                                                           Communicated on a weekly
January 2021

                                                           basis with over 3,000 local
                                                           businesses supplying key
                                                           information and insights.
̸

                                                           Over 20 webinars
The Nelson Tasman Regional Economic Development Briefing

                                                           Delivered over 20 business
                                                           information webinars
                                                           supporting local businesses
                                                           with training, insights and
                                                           information on accessing
                                                           government support.

                                                           We’ve Got This
                                                           Delivered the We’ve Got This –
                                                           Kei a Tātou response campaign
                                                           which reached over one
                                                           million people and attracted
                                                           over 3,000 submissions from
                                                           locals helping storytell our
                                                           region’s recovery.
The Nelson Tasman Regional Economic Development Briefing - Project Kokiri
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Overview –
Briefing on a Page
Important                              Economic                           Economic                          Partnership
Insights                               Drivers                            Challenges                        Opportunities
Cautiously Optimistic Outlook —        The Oceans Economy — 70% of        Low Productivity — 24% lower      Unlocking Housing
The region has managed to weather      New Zealand's aquaculture is       than the national average.        Affordability & Access
the early storm from COVID             based here in Te Tauihu.                                             � Planning System Reform
relatively well, our September                                            Low Mean Incomes — 13%            � Enabling Intensification
quarterly performance was strong,      High-value Food, Beverage and      below the national average.       � Rental Security &
showing that we are performing         Wellness Products — This sector                                        Progressive Home
better than the country as a whole.    is our largest contributor to      Accelerating Ageing Population      Ownership
However, much of the impacts are       GDP, fuelled by innovation and     — Forecast to be the second       � Social Housing & Papakainga
yet to be fully realised and many in   favourable growing conditions.     smallest WAP by 2043.
our community are doing it tough.                                                                           Resilient & Future Proof

                                                                                                                                            January 2021
                                       Forestry and Wood Processing       Housing Access and                Infrastructure
Vulnerable to COVID-19 — Due           — We produce approximately         Affordability — Average house     � The Waimea West to Nelson
to the region’s exposure to            10% of New Zealand's               costs nearly 7 times average        City Link
the international consumer             sustainable roundwood forest       household income.                 � Active & Public Transport
markets, high proportion of            supply. and export a signficant                                        Solutions
SME's and disproportionately           % of value added wood              Resilient Future-Proof            � Rural Connectivity
high % of tourism contribution         products.                          Infrastucture — Under-
to the economy we are more                                                investment in critical            Enabling the Future of Work
vulnerable than most to COVID. An      The Visitor Economy — Driven       infrastructure is an economic     � Seasonal Labour
Infometrics report commissioned        by family owned businesses         handbrake.                          Intervention

                                                                                                                                            ̸
in May 2020 forecast a 7.9% decline    and renowned for its proximity                                       � Horticultural Harvesting
in regional GDP and similar            to a diverse range of stunning     Labour Challenges (Seasonality      Progression

                                                                                                                                            The Nelson Tasman Regional Economic Development Briefing
unemployment impacts over the          natural landscapes. Tourism        & Talent Attraction) — Over
short-term to March 2021. This         contributes to approx 10% of       60% of our businesses             Growing a Smarter Economy
compares to a 1.4% decline during      GDP and employment in the          identified talent attraction      � Accelerating Aquaculture
the GFC.                               region.                            as one of their top three         � Leadership on Climate
                                                                          challenges.                         Solutions
Export Driven — The Nelson             Research, Science and
Tasman region is more highly           Technology — We have the           Unemployment — A new              Championing Regional
connected to the global economy,       highest number of scientists       COVID-19 challenge for the        Economic Development
than many other parts of NZ.           per capita of any NZ city.         region.                           � Enabling Government
Exports generate 39% of GDP                                                                                   Economic Development
from compared with an average of       Liveability — Our accelerating     Resilience of our SME's — Over      Partnership in the region
27% for NZ.                            population base is driven by       90% of our businesses and 45%     � More Support for SME's
                                       migration due to our liveability   of our employment comes           � Destination Management
Increasing Job Seekers — Nelson        proposition (93% migration         from SME's.                         Plan implemntation
Tasman has recorded some of            compared to the national                                             � Enabling Māori Economic
the highest increases in COVID         average of 67%)                    Climate Change — We                 Development
related job seekers of any region                                         are already facing the
in NZ (20% increase from Jan                                              consequences.                     A Just Transition
2020).                                                                                                      � Zero Carbon Economy
                                                                          Visitor Seasonality and Loss of   � Climate Change Adaption
Low Productivity — Nelson                                                 Spend — International visitors    � Waimea Dam Hydro
Tasman suffers from the second                                            contributed approximately           Electricity
lowest productivity in the country.                                       40% of our annual visitor
Our productivity is 24% below the                                         spend.
national average.

Housing Affordability — Our
housing affordability is the second
worst in the country, behind
Auckland creating many barriers
to our medium-term economic
recovery (Tasman 2nd, Nelson 3rd).

Low Mean Incomes — Our mean
income is the second lowest in
NZ, 13% below the NZ average
and have only caught up by 2% in
the last 20 years.
The Nelson Tasman Regional Economic Development Briefing - Project Kokiri
The Nelson Tasman Regional Economic Development Briefing   ̸   January 2021   6
The Nelson Tasman Regional Economic Development Briefing - Project Kokiri
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Introduction
Tūpuna Pono – To Be Good Ancestors
That was the wero laid down when we           Whilst our region has many strengths, we
engaged with over 1,000 people of all ages,   are struggling with:
across our community, as we developed
the Te Tauihu Intergenerational Strategy,     � Consistent low productivity which
The Strategy was launched in November           impacts on our companies resilience
2020. It sets out our aspirational vision       and delivers poor outcomes for our
for our region and informs this Regional        communities in relation to wages and
Economic Briefing.                              living conditions.

                                                                                          January 2021
This Nelson Tasman Regional Economic          � A worsening housing crisis which
Briefing is designed to help inform the         disadvantages first home buyers,
government of our regional challenges,          renters and vulnerable communities
opportunities and priorities as we              and continues to be a handbrake on our
progress the COVID-19 economic                  region’s economic potential in
recovery, and leverage the recovery             particular around the attraction and

                                                                                          ̸
to reshape and reposition our region’s          retention of the talent we need to fuel

                                                                                          The Nelson Tasman Regional Economic Development Briefing
economy. It’s the beginning in a series         that potential.
of conversations we wish to have with
you, our central government partners,         � Mounting pressure on a just transition
as we seek to unlock the potential of our       to improve outcomes in areas such as
region and harness the passion we are           biodiversity and climate change in our
experiencing locally for ‘building back         core economic drivers such as tourism
better’ from COVID-19.                          and the primary sector.

We live in a very special place where the     These core issues are fuelling other
land and sea shapes our way of life. Our      challenges such as labour supply, low
communities are rich in human potential.      incomes, our ageing population and
But we face some serious challenges.          unemployment. These challenges are not
Solving them is not insurmountable but it     new but they have been accelerated by
will require unprecedented partnership        COVID-19. Solving them requires a strong
with central government.                      partnership with government, that aligns
                                              with our collaborative regional approach
As a region, we are committed                 and vision (To be Good Ancestors), and
and ready to partner with central             the government’s priorities and direction
government as together we face the            for Aotearoa New Zealand.
global headwinds of COVID-19 and
our other pressing challenges such as
climate change and inequality.
The Nelson Tasman Regional Economic Development Briefing - Project Kokiri
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                                                           Progress through Partnership
                                                           We are committed to strengthening our partnership with central government. Our
                                                           region is ‘match fit’ through successful and ground-breaking collaborations such as the
                                                           Te Tauihu Intergenerational Strategy and Project Kōkiri. We have worked together to
                                                           maximise regional benefits from many of the government’s economic development
                                                           policies and funds and are well positioned to work closely with government through the
                                                           next term and beyond to advance the interests of Nelson Tasman, in alignment with the
                                                           government’s goals and aspirations laid out for Aotearoa New Zealand.

                                                           We already have:

                                                           � A clear mandate from our community.         � An ability to generate ‘on the ground’
                                                                                                           regional insights quickly to inform
                                                           � Existing fora and systems to support          our clear and often understated
                                                             collaboration between regional leaders        regional deficits and disadvantages that
January 2021

                                                             and stakeholders.                             need addressing urgently.

                                                           � A focused list of key strategy priorities   � A compounding historic shortfall of
                                                             to work through to investment cases           central government investment in
                                                             status.                                       key areas across our region, especially
̸

                                                                                                           in comparison to other regions with
                                                           � The ability to be fast, agile, and            similar metrics and indicators to ours.
The Nelson Tasman Regional Economic Development Briefing

                                                             innovative. We are ready to pilot new
                                                             models and solutions.                       � Significant regional advantages and
                                                                                                           opportunities that can be leveraged.

                                                           These are unprecedented times of great challenge and great opportunity. Nelson Tasman
                                                           stands ready to work with government to advance our economic development agenda
                                                           and build a more inclusive, sustainable and productive economy. Through leveraging our
                                                           strengths, advancing new economic opportunities, and tackling our issues head on, our
                                                           regional economic development revitalisation and regeneration will support our vision
                                                           To Be Good Ancestors.

                                                           Being ‘Match Fit’ through Project Kōkiri
                                                           During the COVID-19 lockdown, our             collaborative, cohesive and effective as we
                                                           region came together under Project            recognised the enormity of the challenges
                                                           Kōkiri to ensure our response was nimble,     and uncertainty our people were facing.
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Project Kōkiri is now well established as    The collaborative structures we have
the “war room” of the region’s economic      built ensure we are continually taking
response to COVID-19 underpinned by a        action together, always operating from
strong partnership between our councils      the best insights from our public and
(Nelson City and Tasman District), mana      private sectors, and that we are tracking
whenua, our business community, our          our success against the wellbeing
economic development agencies and our        outcomes identified by the Te Tauihu
regionally based government agencies.        Intergenerational Strategy.

Activating the Te Tauihu
Intergenerational Strategy

                                                                                           January 2021
The recently launched Te Tauihu              actions with our vision of being good
Intergenerational Strategy gives voice       ancestors and delivering on our wellbeing
to the long term aspirations of our          framework ‘Oranga Te Tauihu’.
community across people, environment
and the economy. It connects our             Project Kōkiri acknowledges that we

                                                                                           ̸
decision-making and planning across          have a once-in-a-lifetime opportunity

                                                                                           The Nelson Tasman Regional Economic Development Briefing
geographical boundaries, generations and     to rebuild and regenerate our economy
sectors. It gives us an enduring blueprint   in new ways, so that our economy
from which we make decisions. It helps       underpins our regional wellbeing and our
us to align our short and medium term        intergenerational outcomes.

Building on our Strengths
The Nelson Tasman region is one of the       Research Science and Technology is a
main export generating regions of New        growing central enabler for the innovation
Zealand, generating 39% of its GDP from      and productivity improvements that the
exports (compared with an average of 27%     region needs, and is often reflected in the
for NZ). This means our region’s economic    core primary sector GDP. The remaining
future is more reliant on the global         45% of the regional economy includes
economic recovery than other parts of        services (18%), owner-occupied property
the country. Our key industry sectors        activities (e.g. DIY) and operations e.g.
represent 55% of the total economy, as       AirB&B (9%), and medical and social
measured by GDP.                             services (7%).
The Nelson Tasman Regional Economic Development Briefing   ̸   January 2021   10
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Our Key
Economic Drivers
The Nelson Tasman economic growth           This direction looks to build on our
direction is based around creating a more   strong export platform and the growing
productive, sustainable and inclusive       appreciation of the liveability of the
economic future through the application     region as a place to live, work, visit and
of research, science, and technology        do business. The six key areas of regional
within our six key areas of regional        economic competitive advantage
competitive advantage.                      outlined below are those which we
                                            believe will offer the key opportunities to

                                                                                          January 2021
                                            influence our regional intergenerational
                                            outcomes, as prioritised in our Te Tauihu
                                            Intergenerational Strategy.

                                                                                          ̸
GDP by Key Economic Driver Sectors, 2019

                                                                                          The Nelson Tasman Regional Economic Development Briefing
   Value Added Food
   and Beverage                                           10%
   Visitor Economy                                                    8%
   Oceans Economy
                                                                           6%
   Forestry and Wood
   Products                   45%                                             3%
   Population Based
   Consumption incl
   Construction

   Research, Science
   and Technology
                                                                  25%
   Other incl Support
                                               2%
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                                                           1   The Oceans Economy
                                                               70% of NZ’s aquaculture is located     Research into new products and
                                                               in Te Tauihu. The aquaculture and      new sectors (e.g. algae) is being led
                                                               fisheries sectors support a long and   by our Cawthron Institute and Plant
                                                               strong regional and national supply    and Food Research’s Seafood Unit.
                                                               chain. Quality products remain in      There is significant potential to
                                                               demand with the majority going         create an internationally recognised
                                                               to global export markets. There is     Oceans Research, Science,
                                                               significant potential for new value-   Technology and Innovation hub in
                                                               add products and industry growth       the region to advance the efforts to
                                                               via harnessing new water space and     create more sustainable value from
                                                               applying new research, science and     the ocean environment.
                                                               technology across the value chain.
January 2021

                                                           2   High-value Food, Beverage and
                                                               Wellness Products
̸
The Nelson Tasman Regional Economic Development Briefing

                                                               Favourable growing conditions          for wellness solutions. This sector is
                                                               and innovation in the region has       the largest contributor to GDP and
                                                               created a sustainable competitive      generates significant employment,
                                                               advantage in the production of         produces quality products that
                                                               hops, apples, kiwifruit, berries,      are in demand globally, and
                                                               grapes and a range of other            also supports a long and strong
                                                               horticultural products, as well        regional supply chain. With smart
                                                               as high-value ingredients for          investment in infrastructure and
                                                               wellness products (e.g. marine         productivity we are well positioned
                                                               extracts). From this platform we       to meet growing global consumer
                                                               have developed a strong position       demand for quality, nutritional,
                                                               across the value chain, including      high-value food and beverage
                                                               research, science and technology,      products and wellness solutions
                                                               high value food manufacturing, and     that are sustainable and traceable.
                                                               innovation around new ingredients
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3   Forestry and Wood Processing
    Producing approx. 10% of NZ            investment platform and a long
    sustainable roundwood forest           and strong local supply chain,
    harvest provides a sustainable         supporting a significant number
    supply for the range of value-add      of jobs. The sector presents an
    wood manufacturers in the region       opportunity for our region in the
    who are capturing value in NZ          further development of value-add
    from the raw material. Among           products, and the application of
    those manufacturers is Nelson          new science and technology to
    Pine Industries, one of the world’s    forestry planting, harvesting and
    largest single site producers of       production systems. The potential
    medium density fibreboard (MDF)        is significant for the innovative
    and also one of the largest and        utilisation of the value-added
    most modern laminated veneer           wood products and systems we

                                                                                 January 2021
    lumber (LVL) production lines in       currently have in the region to
    the Asia Pacific region. Their high-   enable new, smart, affordable
    quality products are exported to       housing solutions, for both
    markets around the world. This         domestic and export markets.
    sector has a stable international

                                                                                 ̸
                                                                                 The Nelson Tasman Regional Economic Development Briefing
4   The Visitor Economy
    The Nelson Tasman visitor industry     higher contribution than the NZ
    is made up of well-established         average. The region relies heavily
    family-owned operators who have        on our award-winning airport and
    been providing unique experiences      regular air connectivity with the
    in the region for decades. The         rest of NZ. The sector is currently
    industry is a significant employer,    adapting to the COVID-related
    and the recent period of sustained     market challenges. We are creating
    growth has contributed to              a more sustainable low-carbon
    supporting many other sectors          future plan, that includes a focus
    of the economy, including the          on developing a wider range of
    provision of seasonal labour to        experiences that will appeal across
    support the primary sectors. The       the seasons, leverage the region’s
    sector contributes to approx.          competitive advantages, and
    10% of the region’s economy and        underpin a transition to a more
    employment, which is about 45%         resilient sector.
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                                                           5   Research Science and Technology
                                                               Nelson has the highest number of       Technology and the new Nelson
                                                               scientists per capita of any NZ city   Artificial Intelligence Institute.
                                                               and the sector has created the most    Building from this strong base, the
                                                               jobs growth in the region over the     application of research, science
                                                               past 10 years. We have potential       and technology outcomes to
                                                               to leverage our existing cluster of    our primary industries, whilst
                                                               research, science and technology       developing a ‘knowledge economy’,
                                                               institutes, headlined by the           will provide a key opportunity.
                                                               Cawthron Institute and including       Leveraging our existing research
                                                               Plant and Food’s Seafood Unit and      and production capability to
                                                               their Motueka horticulture site        attract related, new industries
                                                               (with a specialisation in Hops),       to our region will be a focus, e.g.
                                                               Nelson Marlborough Institute of        pharmaceutical companies.
January 2021

                                                           6   Liveability
̸

                                                               The growing appreciation of the        population growth has led to a
                                                               liveability of the region as a place   significant increase in consumer
The Nelson Tasman Regional Economic Development Briefing

                                                               to live, work, visit and do business   spending and construction (whilst
                                                               has contributed to an accelerated      also putting pressure on growth
                                                               population growth, 93% of which        related infrastructure and housing
                                                               is driven by net migration (which      supply and affordability - issues
                                                               is high compared to 67% for NZ).       which will need to be addressed
                                                               COVID has assisted to accelerate       concurrently with our efforts to
                                                               and enable an opportunity to           attract new talent to the region ).
                                                               capitalise on the shifting trends      Our business and talent attraction
                                                               towards virtual working and            activity aims to focus on businesses
                                                               enhanced work-life balance and         and talent which will create new
                                                               attract new talent to our region,      high-value jobs within the region,
                                                               especially those in the technology     in particular within the younger
                                                               and service sectors who can work       demographic.
                                                               from anywhere. Our accelerated
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The Nelson Tasman Regional Economic Development Briefing   ̸   January 2021
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                                                           Our Top 10
                                                           Economic
                                                           Challenges
January 2021

                                                           1
                                                               Nelson Tasman Productivity per employee is 24% lower
                                                               than the NZ average and has only caught up by 1% in the last 20 years.
                                                               Nelson Tasman is second lowest in NZ, second only to Gisborne. The low
                                                               productivity has a significant impact on companies’ ability to pay higher
̸

                                                               wages, reinvest, and their overall profitability.
The Nelson Tasman Regional Economic Development Briefing

                                                           2   Mean Incomes are 13% below the NZ average and have only caught
                                                               up by 2% in the last 20 years. Nelson Tasman is second lowest in NZ,
                                                               second only to Gisborne. Low mean incomes have a signficant flow-on
                                                               impact through the wider economy and community well-being.

                                                           3   Accelerating Decline in Working Age Population (WAP).
                                                               We have a significantly disproportionate ageing population base. Our
                                                               regional WAP is projected to decline to the fourth smallest WAP by 2028
                                                               and the second smallest by 2043. Our projected decrease of around 8.5%
                                                               in our WAP over the next 15 years is in contrast to a NZ trend of +13%. This
                                                               projected shift in population structure will have a significant impact on
                                                               the ability of the business community to access the talent they require, the
                                                               type of businesses in the region, the value of the jobs associated with those
                                                               businesses and the provision of public services.
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4   Housing Affordability & Access
    � Affordability: Nelson Tasman house affordability has been declining
      since 2012 and an average house costs nearly 7 times an average annual
      household income. This is second only to Auckland as the least
      affordable region in NZ. Average NZ has been improving since 2017 and
      is now just over 6 x income. Average NZ excluding Auckland sits at just
      over 5 x income.

    � Supply and Demand: Analysis of regional population growth compared
      to new homes consented shows an approximate 4 year lag before the
      market responds to population increase. 93% of the Nelson Tasman
      population increase is driven by net migration, which is high when
      compared to NZ at 67%. (data source Statistics New Zealand). Tasman
      District Council’s annual monitoring report found that 63% of rental
      households in Nelson Tasman cannot comfortably afford ‘typical

                                                                                 January 2021
      rents.’ The Nelson Tasman Future Development Strategy (July 2019) cites
      a demand for an extra 24,000 homes in Nelson Tasman by 2049.
      Housing supply and affordability is having a significant impact
      throughout the wider community.

    � Homelessness & Inequity of Access - Our housing problems contributes

                                                                                 ̸
      to a range of issues including reinforcing inequality, child poverty

                                                                                 The Nelson Tasman Regional Economic Development Briefing
      and overcrowding, a growing level of homelessness, and a lack of capital
      available to invest in local businesses.

5   Resilient, Future Proof Infrastructure is required to
    support the functional demands of our growing region, as well as private
    sector confidence. Priority infrastructure has been identified as water,
    roading, housing, and digital connectivity. (Based on various market
    research reports and the 2019 NTIN Nelson Tasman Talent research.)

6
    Labour Challenges – Seasonality & Talent Attraction
    Pre-COVID over 60% of Nelson Tasman businesses identify talent
    attraction as one of the top three challenges, according to research
    conducted in 2019. Anecdotal evidence post-COVID lockdown suggests
    this situation has not eased that much. The dominance of our primary
    sector, in particular seafood and horticulture, makes seasonal labour
    availability one of our most pressing challenges in the short-medium term
    in a COVID-19 environment. This has a significant impact on productivity
    and the knock-on impacts for the permanent post-harvest jobs.
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                                                           7
                                                               Unemployment is a new challenge brought about by Covid-19
                                                               impacts. Compared to the start of 2020, at w/e 18th September 2020 the
                                                               number of Job Seekers for Nelson Tasman was up from 2644 persons to
                                                               3795, an increase of 44%. These figures do not include the approximately
                                                               4500 CIRP wage subsidy recipients of whom 3500 came off in September
                                                               and a further 1000 in October. (Data source MSD). Related to the talent
                                                               attraction challenges identified above, there appears to be a mis-match of
                                                               the skills of those coming into the jobseekers market and the demand.

                                                           8   Resilience of our SME’s 90%+ of our businesses are SMEs. 70% of
                                                               our businesses have zero employees. Only 0.5% of our businesses employ
                                                               more than 49 staff. (That is just 67 businesses out of our total of 12,264.)
                                                               The ability of our SMEs to respond to fast-paced change and unforeseen
January 2021

                                                               challenges is significantly impacted by their capacity and capability due to
                                                               size. There is also an increased risk of a cumulative impact across SMEs in
                                                               the region, in particular through cashflow constraints. Because our SME’s
                                                               employ 45% of the workforce, this could significantly affect employment
                                                               and generate supply chain spill over impacts.
̸
The Nelson Tasman Regional Economic Development Briefing

                                                           9   Climate Change. As a region we are facing new challenges
                                                               from climate change, including increased extreme weather events,
                                                               coastal incursion, and fires. Climate change is already affecting our
                                                               horticulture, aquaculture and agriculture industries, native ecosystems,
                                                               infrastructure, health and biosecurity. We are a coastal region and must
                                                               make challenging decisions on future investments in infrastructure
                                                               and strategic land use planning. Consideration of the transitions
                                                               required within the current economy to a lower-emissions focus,
                                                               and a focus on the future resilience of the region in response to the
                                                               significant challenges presented by climate change, is at the heart of the
                                                               regenerative economic thinking in Project Kōkiri.
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10   Visitor Seasonality and Loss of Spend. Seasonality has been
     a long-standing challenge and it is unknown what changes may occur as a
     result of the Covid-19 impacts on the visitor sector. Seasonality is of course
     heavily influenced by the pattern of international spend. However, even
     for domestic-only spend, Nelson-Tasman seasonality is twice as bad as
     the NZ average, with summer spend being more than double the winter
     spend at a ratio of 2.2:1. (Average NZ is only 1.2:1.) International visitors
     usually contribute approximately 40% of annual total visitor spend. Due
     to Covid-related border closures, the region is facing an enormous loss in
     revenue ($224m in 2019). (Data source MBIE). The sector is adjusting to a
     domestic-only market, which for the Nelson Tasman region comes with
     some additional constraints due to the comparatively small drive market,
     with the closest significant drive market being Christchurch, which is 5
     hours away. As a result, we rely heavily on air travel and this makes us more
     susceptible to alert level changes, airline capacity and pricing and more
     pronounced seasonality spikes.

                                                                                      January 2021
                                                                                      ̸
                                                                                      The Nelson Tasman Regional Economic Development Briefing
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                                                           Our Partnership
                                                           Opportunities
                                                           We recognise the competing priorities on government and believe that being clear
                                                           on areas of alignment, opportunities and priorities is critical to a good partnership.
                                                           Therefore, we have prioritised our partnership opportunities into six areas of focus
                                                           for the government, and outlined the specific priorities sitting within those that we
                                                           would like to work on together.

                                                           1.     Unlocking Housing Affordability & Access
                                                           Our data shows that we have a four-year housing supply lag of at least 1,600 homes
January 2021

                                                           across Nelson Tasman. Assuming that government policy and regulatory conditions
                                                           enable housing supply to keep pace with population growth demand, we still require
                                                           intervention to deal with this backlog which is handbraking regional growth.

                                                           Our housing crisis is critical – MSD advise that we have had circa 13,000
                                                           Accommodation Supplement Payments issued across the Te Tauihu, up 15%
̸

                                                           compared to the same period last year. We have also seen a 22% increase in people
The Nelson Tasman Regional Economic Development Briefing

                                                           on our Public Housing Register since June 2020. Tasman and Nelson regions have the
                                                           second and third worst housing affordability in New Zealand (behind Auckland).

                                                           Priorities:
                                                           1.1 Planning System Reform – We support        1.3 Rental Security and Progressive
                                                           improvements in our planning system and        Home Ownership – New legislative
                                                           RMA Reform. Whist this process unfolds,        frameworks to improve rental security
                                                           an expanded scope to the RMA Fast Track        and pilot new housing models and
                                                           Bill - or the utilisation of the Minister’s    progressive home ownership pathways.
                                                           approval process and all available tools -
                                                           would allow two significant and fully-ready    1.4 Social Housing and Papakainga –
                                                           housing development proposals in our           An increased regional share of central
                                                           region to deliver new housing solutions at     government social housing and
                                                           relative pace, if we can get them consented.   papakainga funds, to address years
                                                           Currently neither proposal meets the Fast      of underinvestment, and including
                                                           Track criteria.                                funding to address our urgent need for
                                                                                                          Emergency/Transition Housing Facilities,
                                                           1.2 Intensification – Policy and               alongside prioritisation of Kainga Ora
                                                           regulatory support for our Councils to         funding to accelerate the intensification
                                                           enable intensification in key areas and        of the social housing stock (142 units) they
                                                           urban centres.                                 recently acquired off Nelson City Council.
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2. Resilient & Future Proof Infrastructure
Investment in resilient and future proof infrastructure is essential to both meeting
our climate and biodiversity challenges, growing the economy and improving
housing affordability.

Decades of underinvestment in our roading network is affecting our resilience to
address future needs and challenges, including our ability to provide new active,
public, and low-carbon transport solutions. SH6 is the economic lifeline to our Port
and airport, and the economic and social connector sustaining our communities in
Nelson, Richmond and beyond.

Priorities:
2.1 The Waimea West to Nelson City             2.2 Active & Public Transport
Link – We are committed to working             Solutions – We are keen to pilot new

                                                                                            January 2021
with government on an urgent,                  funding and investment models
all-of-government solution to the              for public transport and active
critical transport bottleneck (SH6)            transport solutions. Our region has
that impacts economic and social               a low population density and a vast
connectivity between Nelson City, Port         geographic area: we know that new

                                                                                            ̸
Nelson, Richmond and the productive            solutions will need to be heavily
hinterlands beyond. The SH6 bottleneck         subsidised, and that existing funding

                                                                                            The Nelson Tasman Regional Economic Development Briefing
significantly affects our infrastructure’s     models will not deliver a transition to
resilience to forecast population growth       a lower-carbon transport network and
as well as extreme weather events,             the infrastructure improvements we
natural disasters, or lesser events that       need, at pace.
cause extraordinary congestion. SH6
capacity will also limit our transition        2.3 Rural Digital Connectivity – Our
to lower-carbon transport options.             vision for the future is for Nelson Tasman
Solving the challenges impacting SH6           to be a recognised leader in STEM,
will unlock opportunities to provide new       leveraged from our existing strengths in
pedestrian, cycling and public transport       the oceans and horticulture economies
solutions, as these solutions all require an   and wider primary sector. For us to be
appropriation of existing roading space.       truly world class in our approach here –
                                               we need consistent digital connectivity
                                               across our region. Central government
                                               help is needed to fast track improved
                                               service provision for fibre and the
                                               elimination of mobile blackspots across
                                               our region. The existing model for
                                               prioritising and delivering improvements
                                               to digital connectivity is not meeting our
                                               region’s needs.
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                                                           3. Enabling the Future of Work
                                                           Our strong primary sector has underpinned our economic recovery. But a labour
                                                           shortage, due to the borders being closed, threatens the economic gains of the
                                                           upcoming harvest. MSD is forecasting a seasonal labour gap of at least 1,350 people
                                                           in Nelson, Tasman and Marlborough. In horticulture alone, if just 75% of the fruit is
                                                           picked from harvest, the economic loss is approximately $125M to the local economy.
                                                           Traditionally, around 80% of our labour supply for harvest is through RSE and
                                                           Working Holiday Visas. However, the post-harvest employment is around 90% locals.

                                                           Dealing with our urgent short-term needs and enabling the future of work must go hand
                                                           in hand to ensure our businesses are able to invest. Our liveability proposition offers a
                                                           fantastic opportunity to position Nelson Tasman as a destination for remote working.

                                                           Priorities:
January 2021

                                                           3.1 Seasonal Labour Intervention –             really important to ensure information
                                                           Help is required urgently to meet              and support is clear and consistent. It’s
                                                           our seasonal labour demands for our            important that flexibility is provided
                                                           approaching harvests. As a region, we          to government departments to be agile
                                                           are throwing everything at this for the        and respond appropriately to these
̸

                                                           upcoming season but recognise this is          challenges, enabling and resourcing them
                                                           an ongoing and longstanding challenge.         to support the regionally led response.
The Nelson Tasman Regional Economic Development Briefing

                                                           The Government interventions around
                                                           financial incentives, the incoming RSE         3.2 Horticultural Progression – Help is
                                                           allocation and extensions to working           required (funding and tools) to support
                                                           holiday visas have been well received by       longer-term industry transitions
                                                           the local industry. Ongoing support for        to accommodate different labour /
                                                           the RSE scheme is essential for certainty      employment models, and the adoption
                                                           in the local primary sector. When it           of new technologies to mitigate seasonal
                                                           comes to coordinating seasonal labour          labour supply dependency.
                                                           issues, an all of government response is

                                                           4. Growing a Smarter Economy
                                                           Making a meaningful difference to the livelihoods of Nelson Tasman residents
                                                           requires a greater focus on higher value jobs and commerical opportunities. We are
                                                           well positioned for this transition. Nelson has the highest number of scientists per
                                                           capita of any NZ city and the sector has created the most jobs growth in the region
                                                           over the past 10 years. We have a regional capacity advantage that we can build from.
                                                           The commercial outcomes from investment in R&D that can result in high-value
                                                           applications (e.g. algae) are significant for our region and for New Zealand.
23
Priorities:
                                               between science and industry and enable
4.1 Accelerating Aquaculture – We              economic growth whilst safeguarding
back the Government’s goal of a $3B            industry against emerging threats.
aquaculture industry by 2035 and believe
it is easily achievable through open oceans    4.2 Leadership on Climate Solutions –
aquaculture. Our aquaculture sector            Nelson Tasman is well positioned to be
is eager to grow in response to globally       the engine room for climate solutions.
increasing demand but is constrained by        We have the backing of the business
limited allocation of inshore space and        community to champion a fast track
progress around unlocking offshore farms.      to zero carbon through leveraging our
Similarly, growth can’t happen in isolation.   strengths such as Ekos, Businesses for
We need to ensure we protect the existing      Climate Action, Wakatū Incorporation
sector from shocks (such as Bonamia            and Cawthron Institute. We have a
ostreae, the parasite that wiped out the       strong existing relationship with the
flat oyster farms). Science is critical for    Municipality of Lemvig (Denmark)

                                                                                           January 2021
both protection and growth. Cawthron           and their Klimatorium initiative, with
Institute and Plant and Food Research’s        progress being made on developing a
Seafood Unit provide an important bridge       similar model here.

                                                                                           ̸
                                                                                           The Nelson Tasman Regional Economic Development Briefing
5. Championing Regional Economic Development
We recognise that the Government has set out clear priorities in championing
regional economic development. Enhanced productivity, skills development,
increased wages, investment attraction and strengthening existing businesses are
all shared priorities between our region and your government. To achieve this, we
require the right investment and the delegated authority to get on with the job.

Priorities:
5.1 Enabling Government Economic               partnership delivery agent for government
Development Partnership - We have              to activate our shared priorities in the
invested in strengthening our regional         region. We believe increased investment
economic development platforms through         in regional economic development and
the Te Tauihu Intergenerational Strategy,      a stronger partnership with the regional
Project Kōkiri and the Nelson Regional         development agencies are both critical in
Development Agency which has ensured           enabling this.
we are ‘match ready’ for the Government’s
exciting new direction around regional
economic development. We are ready
to play a pivotal role as an insights and
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                                                           5.2 More Support for SME’s – The             5.4 Enabling Māori Economic
                                                           Government’s increased backing of the        Development – We fully support the
                                                           Regional Business Partner network was a      governments aspirations as laid out in
                                                           lifeline for many businesses this year. We   the ‘Strategy to 2040 - He kai kei aku
                                                           serviced over four times the number of       ringa’ which speaks to the importance
                                                           businesses we usually do in a year – many    of getting the settings right and backing
                                                           of them facing very serious decisions        Māori economic development. We see
                                                           and angst about the future. To accelerate    the key priorities for government here
                                                           our economic recovery and strengthen         as backing a regionally led approach
                                                           the SME sector against further economic      that ensures Māori enterprises are
                                                           headwinds, we ask the government to          connected to the innovation system,
                                                           utilise the Regional Business Partner        there is increased support for Māori
                                                           Network more to deliver new tools and        enterprises wanting to access export
                                                           support with a focus on more accessible      markets, and that our Te Tauihutanga
                                                           market access, capability, R&D and           (local identity) is a key part of our
                                                           innovation funding.                          provenance story. We also recognise
January 2021

                                                                                                        the need for safeguards and legislative
                                                           5.3 Implementing our Destination             frameworks to better protect the
                                                           Management Plan – Through the STAPP          cultural IP that exists in Aotearoa New
                                                           funding, we have been successfully           Zealand. Locally, our Kia Kotahi te Hoe
                                                           funded to develop a Destination              plan which was developed and backed
                                                           Management Plan for Nelson Tasman.           by all eight iwi of Te Tauihu lays out the
̸

                                                           As a region of small family owned            framework for our local iwi led response.
The Nelson Tasman Regional Economic Development Briefing

                                                           operators, this form of regional
                                                           coordination and collaboration is critical
                                                           to strengthening the resilience of the
                                                           industry and aligning ourselves around a
                                                           common set of aspirations and goals for
                                                           our community and the sector. We now
                                                           need central government to partner
                                                           with us and back the implementation
                                                           of these plans. This includes but is not
                                                           limited to growing our capability and
                                                           capacity to deliver on the priorities
                                                           identified such as enabling 100,000
                                                           local ambassadors, being a leader in
                                                           food tourism and championing light
                                                           footprint travel as a region.
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6. A Just Transition
The last term of government saw the significant Zero Carbon Act brought into law
which sets out the pathway for our transition to a zero carbon economy. As a region,
we are ready to go further and faster on this work by leveraging the existing appetite
amongst our business community to champion our zero carbon aspirations.

We recognise that a truly just transition is about more than reducing our carbon
emissions. Our just transition must deliver improved outcomes for our land
(whenua), water (wai), koiora (people and animals) and āhuarangi (climate). We
support the Government programmes such as Fit for a Better World and Te Taiao
which is helping support our primary sector transition and recognising the vital
contribution of Mātauranga Māori and the opportunity to truly partner under Te
Tiriti o Waitangi in this transition.

Priorities:

                                                                                           January 2021
6.1 Zero Carbon Economy – We                 areas that councils have responsibility for
ask government to support our                such as transport, water management,
region’s transition to a zero carbon         urban development and environmental
economy. Our regional economic               management. Our Councils have

                                                                                           ̸
development must have a focus on             opportunities to contribute towards
realising the opportunities that a zero      meeting national emissions reduction

                                                                                           The Nelson Tasman Regional Economic Development Briefing
carbon economy will present. We ask          targets in areas such as public transport
government to back us as a region to         and afforestation. There is currently
pilot innovative low carbon, waste           a great deal of uncertainty as to who
reduction and climate adaptation             will shoulder the burden of meeting
projects, models and solutions. Work         costs associated with addressing and
with us to fund our regional transition      responding to climate change.
and implementation plan. As a region,
we are ready to champion transition          6.3 Waimea Dam Hydroelectricity – The
pathways with our key economic drivers       Waimea Dam will be delivered with or
such as the visitor and primary sector.      without the inclusion of hydroelectricity.
We have a strong mandate from our            We believe this is an unmissable
communities to make bold progress on         opportunity for government to further
this, but we must offer support to and       back its investment in hydroelectricity,
make transition viable for our businesses,   add further community benefit to
especially our farmers and growers.          this significant regional asset. A $10M
                                             investment from government would help
6.2 Climate Change Adaption – Clear          unlock the hydro potential of the Waimea
signalling is needed regarding climate       Dam, create new jobs and leverage the
change policy implementation and             existing central and local government
cost burden. Climate change will have        investment in the dam.
significant impacts across many of the
26

                                                           Appendix – Te Tauihu
                                                           Intergenerational Strategy
January 2021
̸
The Nelson Tasman Regional Economic Development Briefing

                                                           You can find out more about the Intergenerational Strategy at: www.tetauihu.nz
The Nelson Tasman
Regional Economic
Development Briefing
                       kokiri@nelsontasman.nz
                       www.projectkokiri.nz
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