UCAS update: qualifications reform and the new Tariff - Alan Jones Professional Development Executive

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UCAS update: qualifications reform and the new Tariff - Alan Jones Professional Development Executive
UCAS update: qualifications
reform and the new Tariff
                              Alan Jones
        Professional Development Executive

                                February 2015   1
UCAS update: qualifications reform and the new Tariff - Alan Jones Professional Development Executive
Qualifications reform

                        February 2015   2
UCAS update: qualifications reform and the new Tariff - Alan Jones Professional Development Executive
English 18 year old entry rate by type of
qualifications held

                                        February 2015   3
UCAS update: qualifications reform and the new Tariff - Alan Jones Professional Development Executive
English 18 year old ratio of acceptances holding
BTECs to to acceptances holding A levels

                                       February 2015   4
UCAS update: qualifications reform and the new Tariff - Alan Jones Professional Development Executive
Acceptance rates for English 18 year olds by
level and type of qualification held

                                       February 2015   5
UCAS update: qualifications reform and the new Tariff - Alan Jones Professional Development Executive
An HE admissions perspective
              New core maths      Decoupled AS
              - England           - England           New Nationals
Science                                               - Scotland
practical -
England
                                                              New Highers
                                                              - Scotland
New A levels
– England,
Wales, NI                                                           VQ reform
                                                                    - England
    New Welsh
    Bacc - Wales

                                                              Coupled AS –
          New GCSEs -                                         Wales and NI
          England
                                                      Increased use of VQs
                   Declining 18 year old population             February 2015   6
UCAS update: qualifications reform and the new Tariff - Alan Jones Professional Development Executive
• DATA
• Biog, chem and phys – numbers (trend)

• 1/2/3 science progression trends – HML Tariff and POLAR
• 1/2/3 science - JACs

                                                            11/02/2015   7
UCAS update: qualifications reform and the new Tariff - Alan Jones Professional Development Executive
The impact of the A level changes

• Many universities in favour of more synoptic learning and
  assessment; supports progression to HE
• Will be challenging to manage mixed model of old and
  qualifications, and differences between England, Wales and NI
• Unclear if/how practical sciences will feature in offers
• Concerns about inflation of predicted grades
• Need to align offer making with standard state sector
  curriculum

                                                       February 2015   8
UCAS update: qualifications reform and the new Tariff - Alan Jones Professional Development Executive
The impact of the AS changes

• Use of AS in admissions is variable; not used widely in entry
  requirements and unlikely to change
• Loss of AS results could lead to greater reliance on subjective
  information e.g. predicted grades, personal statement, reference –
  and/or greater reliance on GCSEs
• BUT also concern about accuracy of predicted grades
• Increase in admissions tests unlikely
• Concern about impacts on widening participation
• Universities want to know what curriculum schools will offer

• Wales – AS will remain coupled, but 40% contribution

                                                           February 2015   9
UCAS survey on A level reform

 Schools in England currently deciding what A level programme
  they intend to offer from 2015 onwards in light of A level
  reform.

 Universities and colleges are also interested to know what
  qualifications applicants may present in the future.

 Survey designed to provide an indication of what the future
  may look like.

                                                     February 2015   10
In 2015, what will schools offer in terms
  of AS?
   Offer an AS in all reformed A level subjects

Offer an AS in some reformed A level subjects

     Do not offer the AS in reformed subjects

                                   Undecided

                                                  0%   10%   20%   30%   40%      50%     60%

                                                                          February 2015     11
In 2015, what will schools offer in terms
of AS? (By school type)

   Offer an AS in all reformed A level subjects

Offer an AS in some reformed A level subjects

     Do not offer the AS in reformed subjects

                                   Undecided

                                                  0%   10%    20%      30%   40%      50%    60%
                                 State     Independent       Academy

                                                                             February 2015    12
Do you intend to revisit this decision in
2017?

     Yes

      No

Undecided

            0%   10%   20%   30%   40%   50%   60%             70%

                                               February 2015         13
HEP response                                                            Aston University
                                                                        “If a school or college chooses to enter its
                                                                        students for AS levels then this should be
University of Sheffield                                                 stated on the UCAS form and in the UCAS
“At present (2014) there are a small number of areas                    reference."
in which AS attainment is a key part of the
admissions decision at Sheffield, and we will ensure
that, by the time applicants are presenting with               King’s
reformed AS and A levels, any areas which currently            “King’s appreciates that under the new post-16 funding
use AS grades revise their practices so that there is          model, schools and colleges may find it challenging to
no advantage or disadvantage to applicants based on            offer such a wide range of subjects, especially if the
the presence or otherwise of certified AS grades on            class size is small. If the range of subject choices on
their UCAS application.”                                       offer to students has been restricted then a school or
                                                               college may wish to include this information in the
                                                               UCAS reference.”

     University College London
     “At present all applicants to UCL taking A levels are required to offer 3 A levels and a pass in a 4th
     subject at AS level. The requirement for the 4th AS was introduced with Curriculum 2000 and
     modular A levels, when 4 subjects were routinely offered in year 12. Now that there has been a
     change in funding and a return to linear A levels it is likely that UCL will no longer require a 4th
     AS. We would not wish to maintain a requirement that would disadvantage applicants from
     schools that are not able to offer four subjects.”

                                                                                                  February 2015        14
Impact of GCSE changes
• Interim challenge of modular as linear GCSEs
• Achievement of GCSE grade C in English Language and Maths
  is standard
• Likely to be grade 4 under new grading structure
• Some professionally accredited courses specify GCSE
  requirements
• GCSE results may be used to discriminate between candidates
  for very competitive courses
• Will be challenging to manage mixed model of old and
  qualifications, and differences between England, Wales and NI
• Uncertain as yet how new grading will be used for admissions
  to medicine, veterinary science and dentistry courses

                                                    February 2015   15
Challenges for admissions professionals
• Maintaining fair and transparent admissions is paramount
• Volume of change, especially from 2017
• Fewer “standard” applications makes the process of admissions
   more demanding and time-consuming
• Loss of reliance on historic evidence base; will take years to
   rebuild offer-making strategies
• Treatment of GCSEs, AS and A levels from England, Wales and NI
• Narrowing of curriculum breath and subject choice:
 - impact s on widening participation
- information and advice will need to be stronger

                                                    February 2015   16
What is UCAS doing to help?
 UCAS products and services to
  include new qualifications

 Awareness raising

 Qualifications information on our
  website

 New Tariff events (e.g. University
  of Exeter 23 April)

 Page in Adviser section of UCAS
  website linking to HEP statements

 Analysis and Research

 What else can we do to help
  you?
          https://www.ucas.com/sites/default/files/ucas-unpacking-qualification-reform-jan-15.pdf

                                                                           February 2015     17
The new Tariff

                 February 2015   18
Background
In July 2012 UCAS completed the Qualifications Information Review (QIR).

The aims of this review were as follows:
• to understand and articulate what requirements learners, institutions and other
  stakeholders have for information about qualifications to enable fair, transparent
  and efficient admissions to HE

• to review how effective the Tariff and other approaches are in meeting these
  needs

• to work with a wide range of stakeholders, including regulators and awarding
  organisations, to develop and consult on improvements and alternative
  approaches

Review found that HEPs would welcome more information regarding qualifications.

                                                                       February 2015   19
Issues - identified by Qualifications Information
Review (QIR)
1. Lack of              Opaque process for allocating Tariff points
   transparency
2. Not meeting the      Did not fully support HEPs for management information
   needs of HE sector   purposes

3. Costly               Cost implications for awarding organisations

4. Non-inclusive        Unable to accommodate all UK regulated Level 3/ SCQF
                        Level 6 qualifications
5. Unsustainable        Not robust enough to cope with ongoing UK qualifications
                        reforms across the UK
6. UK-centric           Not responsive to the growing demand for international
                        qualifications to be included in the Tariff
7. Confusing for        Misunderstanding amongst some students about how the
   students             Tariff is used in admissions

                                  The issues                           February 2015   20
The way forward

 The review found that higher education providers (HEPs) wanted much
  more information regarding qualifications and that there were issues with
  the current Tariff that needed to be resolved.
 As a result the UCAS Board agreed to develop a new simple Tariff and
  support the development of qualification information profiles (QIPs) to
  provide clear and consistent information on different qualifications to
  support admissions staff.
 The shaping of the new Tariff has benefitted enormously from a Project
  Advisory Group.

                                   Outcomes                    February 2015   21
Project Advisory Group
Development of the new Tariff has been overseen by a project advisory group
comprising:
• HEPs
• Teachers
• Teaching representative bodies such as the Association of School and
  College Leaders (ASCL)
• Supporting Professionalism in Admissions (SPA)
• Association of Colleges (AoC)
• Higher Education Liaison Officers Association (HELOA)

                              The new Tariff                  February 2015   22
How the new Tariff works

                           February 2015   223
Design principles
1. Transparency         Clear process for allocating Tariff points

2. Meets the needs of   Supports HEPs that use the Tariff for management
   the HE sector        information purposes and admissions purposes

3. Cost effective       Lower cost than the current process and/or no charge to
                        awarding organisations
4. Comprehensive        Has the scope to accommodate all UK regulated Level 3/
                        SCQF Level 6 qualifications
5. Sustainable          Robust enough to cope with qualifications reforms across
                        the UK, and to last for a minimum of ten years
6. Flexible             Sufficiently flexible to cope with the widest range of
                        qualifications and accommodate future changes to them
7. Support fairness     Fair to the greatest number of applicants across the UK and
                        in support of the widening participation agenda

                                 The new Tariff                      February 2015    24
Methodology

 New Tariff points are determined by multiplying size and grade bands

                      size x grade

       Size bands - qualifications will be allocated a size band of
       1 to 4, based on their guided learning hours

       Grade bands – qualifications will also be allocated a grade
       band. Our recommended option contains 12 grade bands
       across a value range of 3-14. These grade bands spread
       across the breadth of Level 3 / SCQF Level 6

                                                                  February 2015   25
Size bands
 Four size bands ensure that existing size relationships between qualifications
  are maintained whilst not over-emphasising the importance of size

 The AS remains half the size of an A level and is size band 2

 Scottish Highers are allocated to a size band in between AS and A level

 Scottish Advanced Higher, A levels, IBHL, Pre-U Principal Subjects are in the
  same size band, size band 4

 Welsh Baccalaureate is being revised for programmes starting in 2015. The
  new qualification is expected to be of equivalent size to an A level and would
  therefore be allocated to size band 4

                                The new Tariff                      February 2015   26
Examples

                    Size
    Size
                   band           Qualifications included           GLH/NLH
    band   GLH/NLH
                   value
1          < 120   1     Free Standing Mathematics Qualifications   60
                            IB Theory of Knowledge                  100
                            IB Extended Essay                       100
2          120-219   2      Extended Project Qualification          120
                            AS                                      180
                            BTEC (QCF) L3 Certificate               180
                            IB Standard Certificate                 200
3          220-319   3      Scottish Higher                         240

4          320+      4      Scottish Advanced Higher                320
                            A level                                 360
                            IB Higher Certificate                   360
                            BTEC (QCF) L3 Subsidiary Diploma        360
                            Pre-U Principal Subject                 380

                                  The new Tariff                          February 2015   27
Grade bands
A finite grade scale has been established for Level 3/SCQF Level 6
qualifications providing 12 grade bands that all qualifications can
be mapped to.
  Grade    A level    AS       Scottish     Scottish
  Points                       Highers        Adv
                                                       • The new Tariff uses a 3-14 point scale with
                      (New                               12 grade bands
                     Tariff)                Highers
                                                       • Scale starts at 3 points (as 1 or 2 points
   14       A*                                 A
                                                         does not provide a sufficient multiplier
   13
                                                         effect)
   12        A                                 B
   11                             A
                                                       • The scale ensures that key UK benchmark
   10        B         A                       C         qualifications such as Scottish Highers can
    9                             B                      be precisely positioned in agreement
    8        C         B                       D         with UK qualification regulators
    7                             C
    6        D         C                               • The scale is finite – for example,
    5                  D          D                      qualification grades operating significantly
    4        E                                           above A* at A level are considered Level 4
    3                  E

                                      The new Tariff                            February 2015     28
New Tariff points – A levels
The new Tariff numbers are very different (i.e. lower).

For example, the illustration below taken from the new Tariff tables shows
that the new total Tariff points for an A level A* grade = 56 points; under the
current Tariff the A level A* grade is allocated 140 points.

                                     The new Tariff                      February 2015   29
Positioning of the AS

   Value of AS qualification has been adjusted to circa
   40% of an A level at each grade to reflect the Ofqual
   statement –
   ‘the material studied in AS is less demanding than an A level’.

   Adjustment has been applied to other qualifications e.g.
   Pre-U short-courses that are aligned to the AS rather than the
   A level.

                                                                February 2015   30
Timeline for schools, colleges & HEPs – new Tariff
    Calculator available
    on UCAS website for
    students to use
                                                                              2017 Entry
                                                                              applicants receive
                                    UCAS search tool                          their results
                                    opens (entry 2017)

                  Feb/Mar                                      Sept onwards   July/August      from Sept/Oct
 Sept 2014                      Sept 2015      May 2016                           2017             2017
                    2015                                           2016

UCAS                    2017 Entry                                                   2017 Entry
published the           applicants start                                             applicants begin
new Tariff              their Level 3                                                their HE courses
points, toolkit         qualifications
& factsheets                                             First offers made
                                                         to 2017 applicants
                                                                                     February 2015    311
                                            The new Tariff
Resources & support

                      February 2015   32
New UCAS tariff
http://www.ucas.com/how-it-all-works/advisers-and-referees/tariff-2017

  COMING SOON…

• New tariff video
   (expected Feb 2015)

• New tariff calculator
   (expected Feb 2015)

                                                             February 2015   33
• DATA
• Biog, chem and phys – numbers (trend)

• 1/2/3 science progression trends – HML Tariff and POLAR
• 1/2/3 science - JACs

                                               new Tariff offers from Sept 16

                                                                    11/02/2015   34
Keeping in touch

                       Ben Jordan
           Senior Policy Executive
                  01242 544883
             b.jordan@ucas.ac.uk

                                     February 2015   35
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