VIRGIN REBIRTH? - ICAEW.com

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VIRGIN REBIRTH? - ICAEW.com
Sir Richard Branson’s empire
                                                                                                                       has been battered by the
                                                                                                                       COVID-19 pandemic, but
                                                                                                                          he’s on the hunt for his
                                                                                                                            next big opportunity

VIRGIN
REBIRTH?
Sir Richard Branson’s business has many tentacles,
and plans for a new investment vehicle to target
post-pandemic opportunities. David Prosser looks
at a portfolio that has had a mixed crisis

N
           obody could accuse Sir Richard          Money raised but not invested within
           Branson of overlooking Albert           two years will be returned. It’s a pretty
           Einstein’s advice that “in the midst    defiant move after an intensely difficult
of every crisis lies great opportunity”.           summer for Virgin Group.
After months of firefighting at a host of             Virgin itself is effectively a giant
his Virgin Group businesses caught in the          investment vehicle – a family office that
eye of the COVID-19 storm, the billionaire         looks after the wealth of the Branson
is still on the lookout for the next big thing.    family. Branson’s day-to-day involvement
In September, Virgin Group quietly filed           is limited – the group is run by CEO
a special purchase acquisition company             Josh Bayliss – but his name and personal
(SPAC) with the Securities and Exchange            brand runs through the group. The aim is
Commission ahead of an NYSE listing                to build businesses, often with partners,
that aims to raise up to $480m.                    and then partially or wholly divest, with
   Virgin is one of a number of investors          the proceeds recycled into the next
right now that are launching so-called             opportunity. The group recently used
‘blank-cheque companies’, with war                 Rothschild, Barclays, Greenhill and RBS as
chests ready for rapid deployment as               advisers. In addition, a brand-licensing
deal opportunities present themselves.             operation provides recurring revenues,
Virgin’s SPAC doesn’t yet have any                 smoothing the inevitably lumpy rewards
particular transaction in mind, but the            of a buy, build and sell strategy.
group thinks the pandemic will leave                  “We see ourselves as patient and
fundamentally strong businesses in its             long-term capital and have held
favoured consumer sector on attractive             investments in some companies for                With its many aircraft grounded and cruises
valuations. It wants to be ready to strike.        more than 20 years, and in a few cases           cancelled, Virgin’s revenues have plummeted

RECENT DEALS                         2019 – Flybe: UK airline          2018 – Virgin Money banking         2015 – Virgin Mobile India
                                     bought by Virgin Atlantic and     group sold to CYBG for £1.7bn       sold to Tata Teleservices
2020 – Virgin Australia:             consortium for £2.2m. Flybe
Australian airline sold out of       collapsed in March 2020, but      2017 – Hyperloop One:               2014 – Virgin Mobile France
administration to Bain Capital       the business and assets were      Virgin Group invests                sold to Numericable-SFR
                                     bought out of administration      undisclosed sum in high-            for £265m
2019 – Virgin Galactic: space        by Thyme Opco in October          tech transport group
exploration company floated                                                                                2013 – Virgin Media sold to
on NYSE via merger with              2018 – Virgin Cruises             2016 – Virgin America:              Liberty Media for £15bn
Social Capital Hedosophia,           launched in $2.5bn joint          US airline sold to Alaska
valuing company at £1.8bn            venture with Bain Capital         Air Group for $4bn

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VIRGIN REBIRTH? - ICAEW.com
INNOVATION & SUSTAINABLE RECOVERY

for more than 30 years,” explains Virgin          “We see ourselves as
Group’s CFO Amy Stirling.
  But, as for so many others, COVID-19 has        patient and long-term
been a black swan event. “We have felt this       capital and have held
impact across our investee businesses
operating in the travel and leisure sector in
                                                  investments in companies
particular, like many other companies in          for 20-30 years”
these industries,” concedes Stirling.
                                                  Amy Stirling,
                                                  CFO, Virgin Group
SHUTTING UP SHOP
Back in March, as Europe and the US
followed parts of East Asia into lockdown,
many of Virgin’s businesses faced a               ownership models make for tough
near-total collapse in revenues. Branson’s        conversations about who should shoulder
airlines, Virgin Atlantic and Virgin Australia,   the burden of shoring up troubled
were grounded. His cruise company’s ships         businesses. While Branson initially hoped
– a relatively new venture – were stuck in        for government support, particularly for
port. His hotels operation shut up shop.          his airlines (see box, page 30), it quickly
The gyms had to close.                            emerged none would be forthcoming.
   Moreover, Branson’s room for manoeuvre            The initial response was to commit
was limited. In many cases, Virgin Group          $250m of his own money to Virgin. In
owns minority stakes in its businesses,           April, Branson penned an open letter to
making it difficult to move money and             employees around the world promising
assets around the portfolio. Shared               to “help our businesses and protect jobs”,
                                                  even though “there is no money coming
                                                  in and lots going out”. He offered to
                                                  mortgage his luxurious Necker Island
                                                  in the Caribbean’s British Virgin Islands
2013 – Virgin Games sold to                       should it prove necessary.
Gamesys for undisclosed sum                          Very quickly, however, it became clear
                                                  this extra cash would be nowhere near
2012 – Northern Rock: state-                      enough for many of Virgin’s businesses to
owned bank bought by Virgin                       survive the crisis. Virgin Australia went into
Money for £747m                                   administration the day after the letter.
                                                                                                                                  ALAMY, GETTY IMAHES

2011 – Virgin Australia founded                   HELP FROM SPACE
through merger of Virgin Blue,                    In July, Branson announced that he was
V Australia, Pacific Blue and                     selling a £396m stake in his space tourism
Polynesian Blue                                   business Virgin Galactic – relinquishing

ICAEW.COM/CFF                                                                                                               29
VIRGIN REBIRTH? - ICAEW.com
INNOVATION & SUSTAINABLE RECOVERY

                                                                                                    equity group Bain Capital bought the
                                                                                                    company out of administration, but
                                                                                                    the deal effectively wiped out the
                                                                                                    airline’s previous equity investors.
                                                                                                       Meanwhile, Virgin needs the rest of
                                                                                                    the proceeds of its Galactic share sale
                                                                                                    to shore up other group companies. Its
                                                                                                    cruises and hotels businesses are under
                                                                                                    particular pressure, with international
                                                                                                    travel and tourism still so difficult, while
                                                                                                    Virgin Active has also struggled during
                                                                                                    lockdown. “These sectors remain under
                                                                                                    severe pressure as further lockdowns
                                                                                                    are either considered or implemented
                                                                                                    across the globe,” warns Hunter.
                                                                                                       This all adds up to further headaches
                                                                                                    for Branson and the Virgin Group – and
Virgin Group has relinquished majority              majority control in the process – with          underlines the gutsy nature of its SPAC
control of its space tourism business,
Virgin Galactic. The funds from the                 £200m of the cash to be invested in Virgin      listing. But the entrepreneur has never
sell-off will be used to support other              Atlantic. He also secured £200m of support      been one to dwell on problems or
branches of the group hit hard by the
unprecedented impact of the pandemic
                                                    from the US hedge fund Davidson                 failures. The failure of Virgin Cola and
                                                    Kempner, and a further £400m in the             the demise of Virgin Trains are problems
                                                    form of deferred payments to creditors.         he moved on from.
                                                       That should be enough to buy the                The family-office approach, with its
                                                    airline some time, says Richard Hunter,         mix of direct investment and licensing,
                                                    an analyst at the stockbroker Interactive       will therefore continue. “In the past,
                                                    Investor. However, the short-term               we have tended to invest early and
                                                    outlook for the sector looks bleak.             build companies by bringing in a
                                                    “There is certainly no guarantee of a           management team and partners to
                                                    return to form this winter and potentially      expand the businesses, sometimes by
                                                    even in the earlier stages of 2021, with        buying companies in new markets,” adds

£396m
                                                    pressure remaining on revenues and              Stirling. “Over the years, we have also
                                                    costs,” he warns.                               sold our stakes in Virgin companies to
                                                       Virgin failed to salvage its stake in        finance new ventures and have built up
Branson’s Virgin Galactic stake sold in July 2020   Virgin Australia. In August, US private         a portfolio of brand-only companies.”

   BRANSON’S PICKLE                                 Australia appear to take the view that         back into the NHS. It doesn’t help that
                                                    someone with so much wealth should             Branson lives as a tax exile – his Necker
   When COVID-19 struck, Virgin Group’s             be funding their own bailout. Public           Island home is in the British Virgin
   airline businesses, Virgin Atlantic and          opinion is no doubt a factor. As               Islands – though he’s always said he lives
   Virgin Australia, were caught in the eye         Bloomberg analyst Chris Bryant puts            there because his family loves it, rather
   of the storm. Richard Branson was quick          it: “The consequence of stamping the           than for tax reasons.
   to call for state support for the industry,      Virgin name on everything, often in               Still, while Virgin Group eventually
   citing the potential for devastating job         return for no more than a licensing            got no special help for its airlines,
   losses and diminished competition.               fee, is that the public think he owns          Branson hasn’t done too badly on
   However, his pleas fell on deaf ears.            half the economy and is in no need             the bailout front. In 2018, the UK
      One problem was that the UK and               of a handout.”                                 government agreed to write off more
   Australian governments largely framed                Such criticisms overlook the likely        than £2bn that Virgin Trains – a joint
   their responses to COVID-19’s economic           reality that most of Branson’s wealth          venture with Stagecoach – had agreed
   impacts with generalised support                 is illiquid, but controversies haven’t         to pay to run the East Coast train line.
   schemes, rather than industry-specific           helped his cause. Virgin Atlantic was
   bailouts – let alone rescues for individual      criticised for asking staff to take time off
   companies. Both governments – and the            with no pay during the crisis, though it
   airlines’ rivals – also pointed out that the     insists this was an initiative supported by
   two businesses were loss-making even             employees and their unions. The group
   before the pandemic.                             was also accused of exploiting the NHS
      A second factor is that while Branson         when Virgin Care took legal action after
   is asset rich – Forbes puts his wealth at        failing to win several contracts. Again,
   £3.3bn – he seems to be short on                 Virgin denies any wrongdoing, arguing
   political capital. Ministers in the UK and       that all monies have been ploughed

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