2 Revisions to in-year spending plans and the division of revenue

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Revisions to in-year spending plans
and the division of revenue

 In brief
 •   Since the tabling of the 2020 Budget, in-year spending priorities have changed significantly due to the emergence
     and spread of COVID-19.
 •   This special adjustments budget revises government’s spending plans for 2020/21 in line with the fiscal relief
     package announced in April 2020. Consolidated spending for 2020/21 has been revised from R1.95 trillion as tabled
     in February to R2.04 trillion, mainly due to additional funding of R145 billion allocated for government’s COVID-19
     response.
 •   Net in-year suspensions of spending amounting to R100.9 billion have been implemented for national departments,
     provinces and local government. Further suspensions may be announced in the October 2020 Medium Term Budget
     Policy Statement (MTBPS).
 •   Provinces will reallocate at least R20 billion to the COVID-19 response in their own budgets.

     Overview

S    ince the 2020 Budget, responding to the COVID-19 pandemic has
     become government’s central priority. The crisis has required
     frontline functions – primarily health, peace and security, and social
development – to focus and scale up their efforts. Other departments have
been required to reprioritise funding to complement these efforts and roll
out their own responses. At the same time, restricted economic activity
has caused sharp declines in revenue across general government.
This special adjustments budget outlines immediate revisions to the
2020/21 spending plans set out in the 2020 Budget Review. More details
will be presented in the October 2020 MTBPS.

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2020 SUPPLEMENTARY BUDGET REVIEW

                                   Elements of the COVID-19 fiscal relief package
                                   In April, government announced a R500 billion relief package to support
                                   the economy, and to provide a safety net for households and businesses to
                                   cushion the impact of restrictions on economic activity. The measures are
                                   temporary and provide support where it is needed most. Government aims
                                   to spend these funds efficiently and effectively, avoiding waste.
                                   While government moved quickly to redirect funding to support COVID-19
                                   interventions, the trajectory and effects of the virus remain highly
                                   uncertain. In this context, government is adjusting the allocation of funding
                                   to respond to new data and accompanying adjustments to policy. The
                                   allocation of funding in this special adjustments budget reflects the
                                   reorganisation of the initial package proposed in April based on
                                   subsequent shifts in spending needs related to COVID-19.
                                   Funding has been secured by shifting resources from existing programmes
                                   and drawing down surplus funds from institutions such as the
                                   Unemployment Insurance Fund (UIF). Budget allocations across national,
                                   provincial and local government fund R145 billion of government’s
                                   response. Details of departmental allocations are provided in the
                                   Explanatory Memorandum to the Adjustments Appropriation Bill
                                   (Annexure B).

                                   Table 2.1 Main budget non-interest expenditure increases
                                    R million                                                           2020/21
                                    Support to vulnerable households for 6 months                        40 891
                                    Health                                                               21 544
                                    Support to municipalities                                            20 034
                                    Other frontline services                                             13 623
                                    Basic and higher education                                           12 541
                                    Small and informal business support, and job creation                 6 061
                                    and protection
                                    Support to public entities                                             5 964
                                    Other COVID-19 interventions                                           1 766
                                    Allocated for COVID-19 fiscal relief package                         122 425
                                    Land Bank equity investment                                            3 000
                                    Provisional allocations for COVID-19 fiscal relief                    19 575
                                   Total                                                                 145 000
                                   Source: National Treasury

                                   Various functions have different timeframes for implementing
                                   interventions; as a result, R19.6 billion is provisionally set aside, mainly for
                                   job creation and protection. Some interventions will be phased in through
                                   upcoming budget announcements, including the October 2020 MTBPS and
                                   the February 2021 Budget Review.
                                   Rollout has been rapid in programmes that use existing infrastructure, such
                                   as the child support grant and tax relief programmes. In contrast, those
                                   such as the social relief of distress grant have taken somewhat longer to
                                   reach recipients. The COVID-19 loan guarantee scheme had provided more
                                   than R10 billion in loans to businesses for operational expenses by 13 June.
                                   Amendments to improve access to the scheme will be enacted, including a
                                   “business restart loan”.
                                   Because the required health response is larger than originally anticipated,
                                   R21.5 billion is allocated to the function. In addition, resources will be

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CHAPTER 2: REVISIONS TO IN-YEAR SPENDING PLANS AND THE DIVISION OF REVENUE

provided through internal reprioritisation in the education sector to fund
COVID-19-related spending and catch-up programmes in the basic and
higher education and training sectors.
Local government support of R20 billion is provided for, including an
increase of R11 billion in the local government equitable share. A number
of public entities, including South African National Parks and the Passenger
Rail Agency of South Africa, require substantial support to replace revenue
lost during the lockdown and prevent large job losses.
Over the next several months, further spending pressures are likely to
emerge. Accordingly, the unallocated portion of R19.6 billion is set aside as
a provisional allocation towards the COVID-19 response.

     In-year spending adjustments
Main budget non-interest spending has increased by a net R36 billion in
the current year. This amount consists of R145 billion added to spending
for the fiscal response to the pandemic. This amount is partially offset by
R109 billion from the items shown in Table 2.2. The expenditure ceiling,
which excludes adjustments to the skills development levy, increases by
R44.1 billion in 2020/21 compared with the 2020 Budget estimate.

Table 2.2 Revisions to main budget non-interest expenditure
 R million                                                            2020/21
 Main budget non-interest expenditure (2020 Budget Review)           1 536 724
 Proposed upward expenditure adjustments                               145 000
 Proposed downward expenditure adjustments                            -100 885
   National departments' baseline suspensions                          -54 403
   Repurposing of provincial equitable share                           -20 000
   Provincial conditional grant suspensions                            -13 848
   Local government conditional grant suspensions                      -12 633
 Other adjustments                                                      -8 109
   National Revenue Fund payments                                           13
   Downward revisions to skills development levy                        -2 122
   Lower skills development levy due to 4-month holiday                 -6 000
 Revised non-interest expenditure                                    1 572 730
 Change in non-interest expenditure from 2020 Budget                    36 006
Source: National Treasury

Most of the targeted reprioritisation is provided by a R80.9 billion
temporary suspension of baseline allocations. This suspension consists of
R54.4 billion in national departmental allocations, R13.8 billion in
provincial conditional grants and R12.6 billion in local conditional grants.
Provincial suspensions include R20 billion funded from the provincial
equitable share. Further suspensions will be considered as additional
COVID-19 spending pressures emerge. These will be effected in the
October adjustments budget.

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2020 SUPPLEMENTARY BUDGET REVIEW

  The Land Bank
  The Land and Agricultural Development Bank of South Africa holds 29 per cent of South Africa’s agricultural debt. The
  bank’s main source of revenue – net interest income – has declined over several years because lending rates have not
  increased alongside rising funding costs. The cost of funding increased as the Land Bank tried to reduce liquidity risk
  caused by the mismatch in its long-dated assets and short-term liabilities. In addition, impairment charges have been
  increasing, primarily due to persistent drought, further reducing profitability.
  In January 2020, Moody’s downgraded the Land Bank’s credit rating, citing its deteriorating financial position, a
  constrained agricultural sector and fiscal constraints that may reduce financial support.
  The downgrade led to a significant liquidity shortfall as numerous investors did not refinance debt. Despite government
  guarantees of R5.7 billion, the Land Bank could not raise adequate funding and defaulted on its debt obligations on
  1 April 2020. The National Treasury is supporting the Land Bank and its corporate finance advisors as it engages its lenders
  to negotiate solutions to its default position and craft a long-term restructuring plan to ensure sustainability.
  The Land Bank seeks an emergency liquidity bridge facility of R3 billion while the restructuring plans are finalised.
  Government is allocating R3 billion as an equity investment to recapitalise the Land Bank, enabling the settlement of this
  facility. The restructuring plan will inform possible further funding requirements to ensure the Land Bank’s sustainability.

                                         Updated fiscal framework for 2020/21
                                   As outlined above, government’s R145 billion COVID-19 response is
                                   sourced mainly from within existing allocations for 2020/21. This includes
                                   R109 billion in temporary suspension of baseline allocations and
                                   adjustments to the skills development levy. The balance of R36 billion is
                                   financed through an increase in the main budget deficit.
                                   Main budget fiscal framework
                                   Table 2.3 summarises spending financed from the National Revenue Fund.
                                   Main budget revenue is projected to decline as a share of GDP from
                                   26.2 per cent in 2019/20 to 22.6 per cent in the current year.

                                    Table 2.3 Main budget framework
                                                                            2019/20                  2020/21
                                     R billion/percentage of GDP         Preliminary      Budget 2020            Revised
                                     Main budget revenue                      1 345.3         1 398.0            1 099.5
                                                                                26.2%           25.8%              22.6%
                                     Main budget expenditure                  1 690.6         1 766.0            1 809.2
                                                                                32.9%           32.5%              37.2%
                                       Non-interest expenditure               1 485.8         1 536.7            1 572.7
                                                                                28.9%           28.3%              32.4%
                                       Debt-service costs                       204.8           229.3              236.4
                                                                                 4.0%            4.2%               4.9%
                                     Main budget balance                       -345.3          -368.0             -709.7
                                                                                -6.7%           -6.8%             -14.6%
                                     Primary balance                           -140.5          -138.7             -473.2
                                                                                -2.7%           -2.6%              -9.7%
                                    Source: National Treasury

                                   Main budget expenditure is projected to increase to 37.2 per cent of GDP
                                   in 2020/21, reflecting support provided to state-owned companies in the
                                   2020 Budget, COVID-19 spending and higher debt-service costs.
                                   Projected tax revenue shortfalls, lower GDP and higher spending as a result
                                   of the pandemic will lead to a significant increase in the main budget deficit
                                   in the current year. The main budget deficit, estimated at 6.8 per cent of
                                   GDP in the 2020 Budget, is now projected to reach 14.6 per cent of GDP.

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CHAPTER 2: REVISIONS TO IN-YEAR SPENDING PLANS AND THE DIVISION OF REVENUE

The primary deficit — the difference between revenue and non-interest
spending — widens to 9.7 per cent of GDP in 2020/21.

     Revisions to main budget spending plans for 2020/21
In preparing this special adjustments budget, the National Treasury and
national departments recognised that certain spending commitments
agreed to in the 2020 Budget can no longer be accommodated in the
current economic context. Certain projects and programmes will also be
postponed.
Table 2.4 shows major revisions to non-interest spending for 2020/21,
relative to the 2020 Budget.

Table 2.4 Major revisions to non-interest spending plans
                                               Budget 2020     Reductions     Allocations        Other         Revised
 R million                                                                                    adjustments
 General public services1                            618 840         -24 310         25 055             13     619 599
 Economic development                                  88 381        -12 145          4 649              –      80 886
 Learning and culture                                151 543         -15 617         10 560         -8 122     138 364
 Health                                                55 516         -2 631          5 544              –      58 430
 Peace and security                                  207 006          -4 185         10 170              –     212 991
 Community development                               219 727         -26 322         28 430              –     221 835
 Social development   2
                                                     198 497         -15 675         41 016              –     223 837
 Provisional allocations: COVID-19 package                  –               –        19 575              –      19 575
 Provisional allocations not assigned to votes         -7 786               –             –              –      -7 786
 Contingency reserve                                    5 000               –             –              –       5 000
 Total                                             1 536 724       -100 885        145 000          -8 109 1 572 731
1. Includes the provincial equitable share that funds a range of functions including health and basic education
2. Includes Department of Women, Youth and Persons with Disabilities
Source: National Treasury

Spending was adjusted by:

• Removing funds underspent due to delays caused by the lockdown
  from the baselines of affected departments.
• Suspending allocations for capital and other departmental projects that
  could be delayed or rescheduled to 2021/22 or later.
• Suspending allocations to programmes with a history of poor
  performance and/or slow spending.
• Redirecting funds towards the COVID-19 response within functions, or
  towards government’s fiscal relief package.
The majority of suspensions identified within conditional grants for
COVID-19 interventions (Table 2.5) have been repurposed accordingly
within the grants. The largest reprioritisations were to the education
infrastructure grant to provide water, sanitation and personal protective
equipment to schools, and construct temporary classrooms and fund
continual deep-cleaning of facilities; and to the municipal infrastructure
grant to provide water to households and sanitise public transport facilities
in municipalities that do not receive the public transport network grant.
The net in-year suspension of R10.8 billion to the grants is temporary and
only to provide emergency funds for the pandemic response.

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2020 SUPPLEMENTARY BUDGET REVIEW

                                   Table 2.5 Suspension of conditional grants
                                                                           Total      Reprioritisation         Net
                                    R million                           suspensions                        suspensions
                                    Municipal infrastructure                 4 401              4 401              –
                                    Urban settlements development            3 357              2 257           1 100
                                    Public transport network                 2 998              1 096           1 902
                                    Water services infrastructure              689                689              –
                                    Integrated national electrification        500                 –              500
                                    programme (municipal)
                                    Human settlements development            1 728                –            1 728
                                    Provincial roads maintenance             1 756                –            1 756
                                    Education infrastructure                 6 621             4 400           2 221
                                    Health facility revitalisation           1 066             1 066              –
                                    Other grants                             3 703             2 126           1 577
                                    Total                                   26 819            16 035          10 784
                                   Source: National Treasury

                                   Main budget spending revisions by economic classification
                                   Most of the main budget spending revisions by economic classification are
                                   in the transfers category, with R20 billion from transfers to provinces for
                                   the repurposing of the provincial equitable share, as well as suspensions in
                                   provincial and local conditional grants. These resources are mainly
                                   allocated to provincial health and education interventions, as well as
                                   providing funding for increased social payments to vulnerable households.

 Table 2.6 Main revisions to non-interest spending plans by economic classification
                                                  Budget 2020   Reductions    Allocations      Other          Revised
  R million                                                                                 adjustments
  Current payments                                    265 720       -10 791       12 614               –      267 544
    Compensation of employees                         187 668        -1 429          837               –      187 077
    Goods and services                                 77 891        -9 362       11 777               –       80 306
    Rent on land                                          161             –            –               –          161
  Transfers and subsidies                           1 215 936       -87 680      108 118          -8 122    1 228 251
    Provinces and municipalities                      781 934       -46 482       49 921               –      785 373
    Departmental agencies and accounts                143 296       -12 676        8 695          -8 122      131 193
    Higher education institutions                      44 803        -3 210        2 327               –       43 920
    Foreign governments and                             2 829          -109            1               –        2 721
    international organisations
    Public corporations and private enterprises        32 525       -6 423         3 070              –        29 172
    Non-profit institutions                             9 073       -1 748         1 177              –         8 503
    Households                                        201 477      -17 033        42 926              –       227 370
  Payments for capital assets                          15 303       -2 414         1 692              –        14 582
  Payments for financial assets                        42 552            –         3 000             13        45 565
  Provisional allocations: COVID-19 package                 –            –        19 575              –        19 575
  Provisional allocations not assigned to votes        -7 786            –             –              –        -7 786
  Contingency reserve                                   5 000            –             –              –         5 000
  Total                                             1 536 724     -100 885       145 000         -8 109     1 572 731
 Source: National Treasury

                                        Consolidated spending plans
                                   Consolidated budget framework
                                   The consolidated budget includes the main budget and spending financed
                                   from revenues raised by provinces, social security funds and public entities.

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CHAPTER 2: REVISIONS TO IN-YEAR SPENDING PLANS AND THE DIVISION OF REVENUE

In the current year, R40 billion will be drawn down from social security
funds’ cash surpluses to provide wage support to vulnerable employees
due to the pandemic.
Public entities, social security funds and provinces are projected to have a
combined cash deficit in 2020/21. This, together with the widening main
budget deficit, results in the consolidated budget deficit more than
doubling to a projected 15.7 per cent of GDP in the current year, compared
with the 2020 Budget estimate of 6.8 per cent.

 Figure 2.1 Change in share of expenditure by                                     Figure 2.2 Change in share of expenditure by
 economic classification, 2020/21*                                                function, 2020/21*

 Figure 2.3 Share of consolidated expenditure by                                  Figure 2.4 Share of consolidated expenditure by
 economic classification, 2020/21                                                 function, 2020/21
            35                                                                              2020 Budget           2020 Supplementary Budget Review
                                        2020 Budget                                                                                                   20.3
            30                                                                        Learning and culture                                          19.0
                                        2020 Supplementary Budget Review               Social development                                   15.8
            25                                                                                                                                     18.4
                                                                                                    Health                         11.8
                                                                                                                                    12.1
 Per cent

            20                                                                                                                     11.7
                                                                                        Debt-service costs                         11.6
            15                                                                          Peace and security                        11.1
                                                                                                                                  10.9
                                                                                  Community development                           10.9
            10                                                                                                                   10.4
                                                                                    Economic development                          10.8
                                                                                                                                 10.5
             5
                                                                                    General public services                7.3
                                                                                                                          6.9
             0
                  Transfer Compensation Goods and   Debt-service Payments for                                 0       4          8     12      16         20
                 payments of employees   services      cost      capital assets                                           Per cent

 * Figures may not add up to zero due to rounding
 Source: National Treasury

Consolidated government spending is updated with allocations made as
part of the COVID-19 response. Further adjustments will be made in
October. The allocations increase spending on transfers to almost 35 per
cent of total expenditure, while the share of all other components declines.
Debt-service costs remain close to 12 per cent of total spending, which is
more than double the share being spent on capital assets. Debt-service
costs are now the fourth-largest spending item, similar in size to what
government spends on health services.
In the functional breakdown, social development increases by
2.6 percentage points as a share of consolidated spending. This is driven by
the support to vulnerable households and the interventions by the UIF.

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2020 SUPPLEMENTARY BUDGET REVIEW

                                    Frontline functions

                                    Health
                                    Although the early lockdown helped to slow transmission of the novel
                                    coronavirus, infection rates and deaths are expected to continue to
                                    increase. Ahead of the expected peak in infections, the health sector is
                                    preparing for a rising number of cases, including expanding capacity and
                                    ensuring personnel are protected.
                                    A total of R21.5 billion has been reprioritised to public health services, of
                                    which about R16 billion is for provinces and R5.5 billion for the national
                                    Department of Health, inclusive of conditional grants. Of the R5.5 billion,
                                    R2.6 billion has been reprioritised within the national department and
                                    R2.9 billion is additional funds. Allocations have been informed by
                                    epidemiological modelling, a national health sector COVID-19 cost model
                                    and provincial plans. A new R3.5 billion COVID-19 component has been
                                    formed in the HIV, TB, malaria and community outreach grant.

 The public health response to COVID-19
 South Africa is at a relatively early stage of the pandemic. The health sector interventions implemented to date have
 focused mainly on behaviour change (for example, social distancing, wearing masks and not going to work when sick),
 early detection of cases through community screening and testing, contact tracing, disease surveillance and public health
 campaigns to reduce transmission of the virus in communities.
 As the pandemic evolves, the focus of interventions will shift towards managing the increased volumes of patients that
 require hospital care. The sector is preparing to rapidly scale up the capacity of hospitals to treat COVID-19 patients,
 including within intensive-care units. This will involve setting up field hospitals and other temporary facilities, procuring
 equipment, recruiting staff and buying medicines. The sector is also initiating the contracting of private hospitals to
 supplement public-sector capacity. Tariffs have already been agreed on.
 To protect health workers from infection, government is obtaining a large supply of personal protective equipment such
 as masks, gloves, aprons and face shields. The sector is also managing quarantine and isolation, ensuring that primary
 healthcare facilities can care for milder COVID-19 cases without infecting other patients, and strengthening health
 screening at airports and borders.

                                    Expenditure and progress will be continuously monitored to determine the
                                    need for further in-year adjustments. The main spending areas include:

                                    • Public health interventions, including testing and support to the
                                      National Institute for Communicable Diseases. Community health
                                      workers have played an important role in screening and tracing,
                                      especially in hotspots.
                                    • Expanding hospital capacity to care for larger volumes of patients,
                                      including intensive care, field hospitals and high care.
                                    • Procuring personal protective equipment, hospital beds, linen, oxygen
                                      and ventilators, and hiring new staff.

                                    Social development
                                    This function is focused on scaling up and maintaining social assistance
                                    interventions for distressed and vulnerable households. These include
                                    monthly increases to existing social grants for six months (until October
                                    2020) and a special social relief of distress grant over the same period to
                                    partially compensate for income lost as a result of restrictions on economic
                                    activity. In addition, the function is reprioritising funding to prepare social

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CHAPTER 2: REVISIONS TO IN-YEAR SPENDING PLANS AND THE DIVISION OF REVENUE

facilities for safe reopening and service delivery, and to fund psychosocial
services for people affected by the pandemic.
Additional spending on social grants is partly funded through reprioritising
R15.4 billion realised because social grant payments for April 2020 were
moved to March 2020, as a result of which they were accounted for in the
previous financial year. An additional R25.5 billion is allocated in this
budget, although the final amount will depend on the number of
applications approved for the social relief of distress grant.

 Income and other support for vulnerable households
 The economic restrictions imposed to slow the spread of COVID-19 have led to severe distress for households that lack
 income and savings, as shown by long queues for food parcels. Between three and five million informal-sector workers
 and their families are particularly vulnerable. As many of these workers live with grant recipients, government has
 used the existing grant system to support those most vulnerable. About 64 per cent of individuals who live with an
 informal worker also reside with child support grant recipients, and 25 per cent live with an old-age pension grant
 recipient. The numbers rise to about 80 and 28 per cent respectively for the poorest 50 per cent of households.
 Government has made funds available to support vulnerable groups, including temporarily increasing existing social
 grant payments and introducing a new social relief of distress grant for unemployed adults. Estimates of uptake for
 the new grant remain uncertain but the 2020 MTBPS will provide further clarity in this regard. Lengthy administrative
 procedures, such as registering new beneficiaries and checking their incomes, are required before the new grant can
 be paid.

Within the Department of Social Development, funds from delaying
infrastructure upgrades in the early childhood development grant will be
used for health and hygiene measures to support the reopening of about
7 000 early childhood development centres. Other reprioritised funds will
fund the appointment of about 1 800 social workers to provide
psychosocial services to people affected during the pandemic.

Table 2.7 Adjustments to social grant spending: 2020/21
                                Baseline   Number            Top-up       Top-up %
                               per month     of              (Rand)
                                 (Rand)  beneficiaries
 Child support1                    445     12 811 209       300         67.4%
 Old age                         1 860      3 672 552       250         13.4%
 Disability                      1 860      1 045 388       250         13.4%
 Foster care                     1 040         339 959      250         24.0%
 Care dependency                 1 860         155 094      250         13.4%
1. Reaches largest number of households. After month one changed to caregiver
   grant
Source: National Treasury

Table 2.8 New social assistance grants
                                               Amount                  Number of
                                              per month                beneficiaries
                                                (Rand)
 Social relief of distress                         350         700 000 - 8 million
            1
 Caregiver                                         500                 7 167 022
1. Replaces child support grant top-up from second month
Source: National Treasury

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2020 SUPPLEMENTARY BUDGET REVIEW

                                   Peace and security
                                   This function is performing essential services relating to the COVID-19
                                   response. It has reprioritised R3.3 billion to support these interventions,
                                   primarily in the departments of Police and Defence. Additional funding of
                                   R6.7 billion is provided to support the COVID-19 response and increased
                                   deployment of the police service and national defence force during the
                                   lockdown. These funds are provided mainly for the procurement of
                                   personal protective equipment, and operational costs associated with
                                   roadblocks and air support.
                                   Other functions
                                   All function groups are affected by government’s COVID-19 response. Each
                                   function is adjusting spending plans and considering how to adapt over the
                                   medium term to a combination of lower allocations, unexpected spending
                                   pressures and urgent (sometimes new) policy priorities. Over the next four
                                   months, function groups will adjust plans and priorities to this new reality.
                                   The 2020 MTBPS will provide more details on individual functions.
                                   Significant function adjustments for 2020/21 include:

                                   • Learning and culture – The Department of Basic Education and
                                     provincial departments are reprioritising funding to ensure schools can
                                     reopen safely and finish the 2020 year. Just over R5 billion is
                                     reprioritised from provincial conditional grants and the schools backlog
                                     grant to provide water and sanitation to schools, construct temporary
                                     classrooms, provide personal protective equipment, deep-clean
                                     facilities and assist with the catch-up programme. About R5 billion is
                                     reprioritised from university subsidies and National Student Financial
                                     Aid Scheme bursaries to help reopen the sector and ensure that
                                     infrastructure and devices for students are available for virtual learning.
                                     The Department of Sport, Arts and Culture has reprioritised over
                                     R170 million to a relief fund for artists and sportspeople to compensate
                                     for loss of earnings from events cancelled during the lockdown.
                                   • Community development – Allocations are reprioritised within
                                     municipal grants to provide access to water for households and sanitise
                                     public transport facilities. To assist the minibus taxi industry to provide
                                     safe and reliable services, government proposes a once-off payment for
                                     all licensed taxi operators, provided that they are tax-registered and
                                     drivers are registered for unemployment insurance. A total of
                                     R1.1 billion has been set aside for this purpose. An amount of
                                     R600 million is provided for social housing institutions and affordable
                                     rental housing financed through the Social Housing Regulatory
                                     Authority and the National Housing Finance Corporation.
                                   • Economic development – Reprioritisation amounting to R3.4 billion will
                                     support interventions such as providing relief for small businesses,
                                     small-scale farmers and distressed firms. The reprioritisation will also
                                     focus on developing data and information on human settlements,
                                     enabling science and innovation research, and assisting public entities
                                     in financial distress (including South African National Parks).
                                   • General public services – The function is supporting the provision of
                                     quarantine sites for people who test positive for COVID-19 and
                                     repatriation of South Africans stranded abroad. Since the lockdown,
                                     government has repatriated more than 6 300 South Africans by air.

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CHAPTER 2: REVISIONS TO IN-YEAR SPENDING PLANS AND THE DIVISION OF REVENUE

 The Unemployment Insurance Fund COVID-19 benefit
 The UIF is compensating affected workers through a new national disaster benefit called the COVID-19/Temporary
 Employer/Employee Relief Scheme Benefit. It covers people who test positive for COVID-19 or need to be quarantined
 as a result of exposure, reduced work time and unemployment benefits. This benefit is applicable to employers
 registered with the UIF and who make monthly contributions as required by law.
 The minimum benefit payable is equal to the national minimum wage of R3 500 per employee, or the sectoral minimum
 wage and a maximum benefit of R6 370. It is payable for the duration of the national lockdown or up to three months,
 whichever period is the shortest. At the start of the scheme, only employers could claim for their employees and
 employees were paid either through the employer or the relevant Bargaining Council. Effective from June 2020, all
 employees can claim the benefit directly, including workers not registered with the UIF. As at mid-June 2020, the UIF
 had paid a total of R23 billion to over 4.7 million employees under this benefit.

     Changes to the division of revenue
Proposed adjustments to the division of revenue address the immediate
health, social and economic implications of COVID-19, as reflected in
government’s relief package. As a result, relative to the shares tabled in
the February Budget Review, the national share for 2020/21 increases from
49.2 per cent to 50.1 per cent, the provincial share decreases from
42.2 per cent to 41 per cent, and the local government share increases
from 8.6 per cent to 8.9 per cent.

Table 2.9 Division of revenue framework
                                                2019/20                                  2020/21
 R billion                                       Revised        Budget 2020              Revised            % change
 Division of available funds
                       1
 National departments                              749.4               757.7                790.3                4.3%
 Provinces                                         613.1               649.3                645.3               -0.6%
 Equitable share                                   505.6               538.5                538.5                   –
 Conditional grants                                107.6               110.8                106.8               -3.6%
 Local government                                  123.3               132.5                139.9                5.6%
 Equitable share                                    65.6                74.7                 85.7               14.7%
 Conditional grants                                 44.5                43.8                 40.2               -8.2%
 General fuel levy                                  13.2                14.0                 14.0                   –
 sharing with metros
 Provisional allocation                                –                 -7.8                 -7.8                  –
 not assigned to votes2
 Contingency reserve                                     –             5.0                   5.0                  –
 Non-interest expenditure                          1 485.8         1 536.7            1 572.7                  2.3%
 Debt-service costs                                   204.8          229.3               236.4                 3.1%
 Main budget expenditure                           1 690.6         1 766.0            1 809.2                  2.4%
 Percentage shares
    National departments                             50.4%           49.2%               50.1%
    Provinces                                        41.3%           42.2%               41.0%
    Local government                                   8.3%           8.6%                 8.9%
1. Includes provisional allocation for the COVID-19 relief package
2. Includes proposed compensation reductions, support to Eskom, amounts for Budget Facility for Infrastructure
    projects and other provisional allocations
Source: National Treasury
Provinces and municipalities are reallocating their own budgets to
complement this national adjustments budget. These changed budgets are
the result of adjustments to transfers from national government in the
Division of Revenue Amendment Bill, significant declines in own revenue
collections and new expenditure priorities.

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2020 SUPPLEMENTARY BUDGET REVIEW

                                   Conditional grant transfers, many of which were reduced in February 2020,
                                   are also adjusted to fund the pandemic response. The current adjustments
                                   are structured to balance the large amounts required to respond to
                                   COVID-19 while minimising the negative impact on planned services. Grant
                                   funds that are less likely to be spent, due to construction and other delays
                                   caused by the lockdown, have been suspended first.
                                   Additional suspensions are made where grant spending can be delayed and
                                   projects can be postponed for a year. Some suspensions will result in the
                                   cancellation or scaling back of projects in 2020/21. Further details of
                                   changes to conditional grants are provided in Annexure A, the Explanatory
                                   Memorandum to the Division of Revenue Amendment Bill.
                                   Provinces
                                   Provincial governments are responsible for most of the public health
                                   system that provides care for COVID-19 patients. Provinces also have to
                                   manage the reopening of schools and the provision of social welfare
                                   services. They will fund this work primarily through reprioritisations.
                                   Provinces have committed to reprioritise at least R20 billion within their
                                   own budgets. These funds will come from cancelling activities that cannot
                                   be undertaken while economic activity is restricted (including travel and
                                   venue hire) and postponing implementation of early-stage projects until
                                   2021/22. Most of the funds to be reprioritised come from the public works,
                                   roads and transport sectors, and the postponement of planned sports, arts
                                   and culture events.
                                   Details of the provincial reprioritisations will be included in provincial
                                   adjustments budgets. At least R15 billion is expected to be reprioritised to
                                   increase capacity in the public health system, and at least R5 billion will be
                                   used to augment the education catch-up plan, social welfare support for
                                   communities, provision of quarantine sites by public works departments
                                   and responses in other sectors.

                                   Table 2.10 Provincial equitable shares: 2020/21
                                                          Equitable       Funds reprioritised to:      Total
                                                           share
                                     R thousand                             Health         Other
                                                                                          sectors
                                    Eastern Cape                13.3%    1 988 374        662 791    2 651 165
                                    Free State                   5.6%      835 589        278 530    1 114 119
                                    Gauteng                     20.8%    3 126 485      1 042 162    4 168 647
                                    KwaZulu-Natal               20.7%    3 105 174      1 035 058    4 140 231
                                    Limpopo                     11.6%    1 735 434        578 478    2 313 913
                                    Mpumalanga                   8.2%    1 228 288        409 429    1 637 718
                                    Northern Cape                2.6%      396 847        132 282      529 130
                                    North West                   7.0%    1 045 383        348 461    1 393 844
                                    Western Cape                10.3%    1 538 426        512 809    2 051 234
                                    Total                      100.0%   15 000 000      5 000 000   20 000 000
                                   Source: National Treasury

                                   Provincial reprioritisations will be complemented by over R7 billion in
                                   reprioritisations within provincial conditional grants. The gazetted
                                   frameworks for conditional grants include provisions that allow grant funds
                                   to be used for COVID-19 response activities. These additional conditions

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CHAPTER 2: REVISIONS TO IN-YEAR SPENDING PLANS AND THE DIVISION OF REVENUE

include allowing education grants to be used to support the catch-up
programme, employ temporary workers to assist in screening learners for
signs of fever and sanitise schools, and ensure that all schools have water
for handwashing. Health conditional grants include a new COVID-19
component in the HIV, TB, malaria and community outreach grant. Funds
from the public transport operations grant will be used to sanitise buses
and provide protective equipment for public transport workers.
Provinces are anticipating a decline in their own revenues of approximately
R4 billion, or 18.7 per cent of the amount tabled in their 2020/21 budgets.
Tax receipts from casinos and horse racing have declined. Fees paid for
public health services have also fallen, as fewer patients are accessing non-
COVID-19-related health services.
Local government
Municipalities are responsible for implementing many aspects of the
COVID-19 response. These include providing improved access to water and
sanitation in informal settlements and rural areas, providing temporary
shelter for homeless people, and sanitising public transport facilities. An
amount of R20 billion has been made available for municipalities to
provide these services in 2020/21. This will consist of:

• An additional R11 billion allocated through the local government
  equitable share, allowing them to respond to local needs, including the
  provision of temporary homeless shelters. Two-thirds of this amount
  will be allocated through the basic services component of the equitable
  share formula, providing for a temporary increase in the number of
  households funded for free basic services by 1.4 million, or
  13.9 per cent. The remainder will be allocated through the community
  services component to support the additional costs for municipalities
  to safely maintain service delivery during the pandemic. Most of the
  funds in this component are allocated to poorer municipalities.
• R9 billion in reprioritisations within conditional grants already allocated
  to municipalities. These grants will fund additional water and sanitation
  provision and sanitisation of public transport.
Municipalities, which depend largely on their own revenues, face
significant financial stresses. Metropolitan municipalities reported that
their revenue collected in April fell by about 30 per cent on average. This
decline is due to a combination of lower demand for services such as
electricity and water, and significantly higher non-payment rates for
municipal bills. The extent to which municipal bills are paid in the months
ahead will depend on the duration of restrictions on economic activity, the
pace of recovery and the application of revenue collection measures. Many
local governments were already in financial distress. Now the risks posed
by their failure to adhere to funding benchmarks – such as retaining one to
three months’ worth of cash coverage – are materialising.
Municipal spending of COVID-19-related funds will be monitored through
the recently introduced municipal Standard Chart of Accounts.
Municipalities are responsible for ring-fencing and classifying their COVID-
19 funding and expenditure correctly. Conditional grants will also be
monitored through the conditional grant reports required by the Division

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2020 SUPPLEMENTARY BUDGET REVIEW

                                   of Revenue Act. Each municipality is expected to inform its community
                                   about its COVID-19-related spending, allowing for local oversight.
                                   The National Treasury has proposed to the South African Local
                                   Government Association that, considering the decline in municipal
                                   revenues, municipalities should apply for an exemption from
                                   implementing wage increases for municipal employees in 2020/21.

 Immediate relief provided through the 2019 Division of Revenue Act
 Since government declared a national disaster on 15 March 2020, it has invoked provisions in the Division of Revenue
 Act to facilitate the immediate release of disaster funds. These included the release of R466 million from the provincial
 disaster relief grant to fund the purchase of personal protective equipment by provincial health departments and
 R150.2 million from the municipal disaster relief grant, mainly for sanitisation in municipalities. The relevant provisions
 were invoked on five grants, allowing the use for disaster alleviation of more than R5 billion in potential underspending.
 From this, the National Treasury has approved the reallocation of over R4 billion for the provision of emergency water
 and sanitation, sanitisation and other COVID-19-related activities. As announced in the 2020 Budget Review, the National
 Treasury still intends to review and improve the disaster funding system.

                                         Conclusion
                                   The spread of COVID-19 has required significant adjustments to align
                                   2020/21 spending plans and the division of revenue with core health and
                                   economic relief priorities. More details will be presented in the
                                   2020 MTBPS, which will also cover any additional spending pressures that
                                   arise in the next several months

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