CAPITALISM: COMPETITION, CONFLICT, CRISES ANWAR SHAIKH - SciELO

 
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CAPITALISM: COMPETITION, CONFLICT, CRISES
ANWAR SHAIKH
        by Francisco A. Martínez Hernández
               Universidad Anáhuac México
            Víctor M. Isidro Luna
               Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México

                                      In 1,024 pages, seventeen chapters, and divided in three
                                      books, plus seventeen appendixes, Anwar Shaikh, one
                                      of the leading scholars and a distinguished Professor of
                                      Economics at the New School for Social Research,
                                      presents a path breaking and monumental book which
                                      main objective is the unified study of the logic, history,
                                      dynamics, and crises of the capitalist system. Throughout
                                      this book, the author confronts his own perspective and
                                      method of the classical political economy with major
New York, NY, Oxford                  schools of economic thought such as neoclassical, mon-
University Press, 2016,               etarist, and different branches of the post-Keynesian
979 pp.                               school.
                                          The main hypothesis of the author is that capitalism
                                      main driver is the constant seeking for higher profits in
                                      a competitive environment that operates through a pro-
                                      cess that the author describes as a ‘real competition’. This
                                      position is completely different from the neoclassical
                                      view of perfect competition and the post-Keynesian
                                      notion of imperfect competition. This basic concept
                                      of real competition that Shaikh adopts throughout
                                      his magnum opus can be traced back to the writings
                                      of Smith, Ricardo, Marx, and Harrod. Essentially, this
                                      approach considers competition as a process of intense
                                      rivalry among firms in the classical sense, where all pro-
     http://dx.doi.org/10.22201/fe.01851667p.2020.311.72441
 © 2020 Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México, Facultad de
 Economía. Este es un artículo Open Access bajo la licencia CC BY-NC-ND   IE, 79(311), enero-marzo de 2020   137
       (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/).
ducers try to get a share of their mar-                     foundations but also it may create
ket by lowering costs through wage                          new research avenues in economic
reduction and technological change.                         analysis, just as Marshall’s Principles
This turbulent process of ferocious                         of Economics, or Keynes’ General
competition leads to the formation                          Theory did. For example, in micro-
of a leading (regulating) produc-                           economics (on its connection with
er-capital which tends to establish                         macroeconomics), while portraying
the lowest unit cost-price of produc-                       different working shifts in the labor
tion at which other firms-prices will                       process, arise different shapes in cost
gravitate. As such, this competition                        curves that can lead to the identifica-
process as warfare happens within                           tion of different lowest regions of the
and inter industries, including other                       average variable cost (avc) according
economic sectors, tending to estab-                         to the chosen working shift (chapter
lish other regulating prices or key                         4, pp. 156-159). Then given the low-
rates such as the general rate of profit,                   est avc, one can identify a normal
the rate of interest, relative prices,                      capacity utilization rate at the macro
wages, equities, expected return of                         level under the process of real com-
capital (investment), and exchange                          petition (chapter 12, pp. 551-552).
rates. Accordingly, this mechanism                          At the macro level, most common
of real competition outlines the short                      models in macroeconomics take for
and long-term patterns of econom-                           granted that aggregate investment
ic growth, income distribution, and                         and savings are equal at any point
economic cycles (e.g. Kondratiev).                          in time, and in general, it is assumed
Thereby, for the author, the search                         that the saving rate is constant. By
for profits regulates both supply and                       contrast, Shaikh distinguishes one
demand and could even determine                             short run cycle of three to five years
the degree of state intervention.                           as a typology to describe the short-
    In our opinion, besides the ex-                         run adjustment between the demand
haustive and excellent analysis of the                      and supply, inventories and profit rate
history of economic thought and sev-                        equalization. Furthermore, by defin-
eral classical macro dynamic models,                        ing the long run cycle between seven
an outstanding contribution of this                         to eleven years, Shaikh found that
book to the economic science is the                         capacity utilization, labor market,
treatment of time within the con-                           and reposition of capital are the main
cept of real competition. In doing so,                      determinants of long-term fluctu-
it does not only show the deficien-                         ations. It is significant to note that
cies in traditional micro and macro                         these typologies (chapter 3, p. 109)

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emerge from his acute knowledge           of variables or equations, which can
of the national income and product        be subject to empirical analysis. For
accounts (nipa) in addition to oth-       instance, he starts by analyzing eco-
er sources of data, which the author      nomics facts in a historical context.
uses thoroughly to construct many         Then, he moves on confronting other
economic series and to show different     empirical results adopting the classi-
and unique economic patterns.             cal perspective in terms of theory as
    Another key result of Shaikh’s work   well as modeling; subsequently, by
by considering time and his concept       narrowing down the subject of study
of real competition is the discovery of   to a set of a manageable set of vari-
a new and stable Classical version        ables, he conducts empirical analy-
of the Phillips curve which defines       sis through the use of mathematical
the patterns between real wages and       models, statistical (graphics) and
productivity. Most significantly, it      econometric models in addition to
clarifies the links between these fac-    mathematical programming. In this
tors with the levels of unemployment      way, Shaikh approaches the subject by
intensity, showing the intricate in-      considering first the complexity of an
teractions among state intervention,      economic system and then attempt-
workers and capitalists in determin-      ing to simplify his analysis. In what
ing the rate of unemployment, wages,      follows, we discuss the content of the
and profits. The author obtained these    book and then we turn to exploring
results through careful analysis of       some suggestions for improvement
data and using the classical political    for a possible next edition of this fas-
economy framework without relying         cinating book.
on the assumption of rational expec-          The whole volume is comprised
tations like other economists such as     of three books. Part 1 “Foundations of
Friedman and Phelps. Finally, another     the Analysis” contents six chapters
path breaking result is that in chap-     (1-6). Chapter 1 is a detailed and
ter 3 there is a derivation of a down-    well-documented introduction of
ward negative sloping demand curve        the whole book where the key con-
without using the neoclassical famous     cepts are defined. Chapter 2 is a neat
assumptions of hyper-rationality, op-     empirical description of how a capi-
timization, perfect information, and      talist economy behaves (unemploy-
representative agents.                    ment, productivity, price levels, profit
    Shaikh’s methodological approach      rate, growth, etc.). Growth as well as
focuses on boiling down complex           short-and long-term fluctuations are
real problems into a manageable set       considered by Shaikh to be inward

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characteristics of the capitalist sys-                          Chapter 5 advances two approach-
tem. Finally, chapter 2 underscored                         es in the conceptualization of money
the difference between incremen-                            and exchange. First of all, Shaikh ex-
tal and average rates of profitability                      plains that exchange is an economic
which, according to the author, only                        institution that gives rise to money.
the former is relevant to new capital,                      He reckons that while the emergence
so “they should be equalized by the                         of a state is significant to understand
mobility of (new) capital across sec-                       the origins of fiat money at a later
tors” (p. 73). Chapter 3 will appeal                        stage, he does not believe in Chartal-
to young and old scholars because of                        ists theories, which posit that the state
its abandonment of unrealistic mi-                          was responsible to create money from
croeconomics foundations. In this                           early times. Chapter 6 is dedicated
chapter, Shaikh rejects almost the                          to show that profits are the engine
whole set of neoclassical assump-                           of the capitalist system. Shaikh de-
tions to derive the demand curve.                           fines capital as a “thing” that produc-
Through simulation of a different                           es profits, and he distinguishes two
micro model, Shaikh concludes that                          types of profit: On production and
social aggregates are very different                        upon alienation. Finally, he presents
from individual behaviors.                                  different empirical measures of the
    In chapter 4, Shaikh critiques                          evolution of the rate of profit.
neoclassical and post-Keynesian cost                            Part 2 “Real Competition” is dedi-
curves. First, he argues that neoclas-                      cated to the analysis of real competi-
sical cost-curves do not have any                           tion with five chapters (7-11). Chap-
reason to include average profit as                         ter 7 encompasses “the theory of real
a cost because a firm’s cost is repre-                      competition”. In this chapter, Shaikh
sented by labor, machinery, and de-                         asserts that firms compete with each
preciation. Additionally, in his view                       other using three mechanisms of cut-
post-Keynesians are mi taken to think                       ting costs: Technical change, wage
that the markup is the source of prof-                      reduction, and the increase in the
its. Second, for Shaikh it is quite im-                     length or intensity of the working
portant to recognize that there is a                        day. These mechanisms in one way
time dimension behind any process                           or another are usually glossed over
of production, whereby the cost-                            or disregarded by other schools of
curves modify their shape because                           thought in general. If new investment
of the total duration of the working                        has a higher expected rate of prof-
day and the consideration of different                      it in some specific industries, then
working shifts.                                             capital will move to these areas of

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higher profitability. Thus, capitalists   ital-labor ratios among industries.
collide each other in the search for      Chapter 10 explains the determi-
profits. “This is real competition.”      nation of the money rate of interest
(p. 259). According to Shaikh, even       and equity. According to Shaikh, the
though competition is a destructive       money rate of interest should, by and
process, ordered patterns in key eco-     large, be lower than the general rate of
nomic variables can emerge from it.       profit (r > i), arguing that the general
In chapter 8, the author hypothesizes     rate of profit must have the same level
that competition leads to the world       for bank loans and bonds for equiv-
economies to exhibit orderly patterns     alent terms. Moreover, in Shaikh’s
where wage rate, profit rate, and pric-   view the money rate of interest is
es gravitate to a normal gravitational    determined by competition among
level. In this chapter, he rejects the    different banks and not by institution-
theories of perfect competition or        al factors. According to his analysis,
imperfect competition as proposed         equity must receive the same profit
by economists such as Walras, Kalec-      rate as the general rate of profit on
ki, and those economists identified       new investment.
within the post-Keynesian school.             Finally, chapter 11 deals with in-
Shaikh criticizes Walras for thinking     ternational competition where Shaikh
that markets clear instantaneously        presents one of the most original the-
without any consideration given to        ories of real exchange rate behavior
the time dimension. Shaikh then           in the economics literature. In this
rejects Kalecki’s price equation be-      chapter, he links terms of trade (de-
cause it uses restrictive markup coef-    fined by relative real unit labor costs),
ficients. Finally, the author considers   the rate of profit, interest rates, and
that post-Keynesians usually err by       capital movements to determine
not taking into account that prices       the behavior of real exchange rates,
are equalized through a competition       and thus, the degree of international
process.                                  competitiveness of each country and
    Chapter 9 addresses the relation-     their trade balance. For example, if
ship among commodity labor ratios,        a country has a higher general cost
prices of production, and market pri-     of production, it will tend to under-
ces: The first determines the second,     go trade deficits, incur less profits,
and the second determines the third.      and will be forced to import capital
Discrepancies between value and           through a higher interest rate. Con-
price can exist, but these discrepan-     versely, most productive countries
cies are the result of different cap-     can export capital and will tend to

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have a higher rate of profit and a low                      the profit rate of enterprise goes up,
rate of interest. The final lesson in this                  and, then, firms may increase their
chapter is that “free trade will lead to                    investments. For this reason, current
persistent trade surpluses for coun-                        policy-makers in the developed world
tries whose capitals have lower costs                       are trying to cut down the rate of in-
and persistent trade deficits for those                     terest as a measure to spur economic
whose capitals have higher costs” (p.                       growth. Along these lines, the rate of
514) so that the only way for the latter                    accumulation depends on the average
countries to be more competitive in                         profit rate of enterprise but also on
the short-term is via lowering the                          the amount of surplus that is rein-
cost of production through lower                            vested. In this respect, the maximum
real wages, or via better techniques                        guaranteed growth is based on the
of production in the long-term.                             surplus value previously achieved by
    Part 3 “Turbulent Macro Dynam-                          the economy.
ics” includes five chapters (12-16) in                          In chapter 14, Shaikh rediscovers
addition to the conclusion (17).                            a Classical Phillips curve which en-
In chapter 12, Shaikh analyzes the                          compasses the relationship between
changes in the macroeconomic the-                           the wage share, the unemployment
ory before and after Keynes, and also                       intensity and the effects of the state
evaluates other different macroeco-                         intervention in the last 60 years.
nomics perspectives and models.                             Chapter 15 describes Shaikh’s nov-
Two important results arise from                            elty theory of inflation, which reflects
this chapter: 1) That “Classical mac-                       his observation of the behavior of the
roeconomics is neither supply-side                          price-levels since 1940. According to
nor demand-side: It is ‘profit-side’”                       this theory, the inflation rate behavior
(p. 616) and 2) that the savings rate                       responds positively to new purchas-
is endogenous, as firms collectively                        ing power, negatively to net profitabil-
choose to finance investment only                           ity and positively to the growth-uti-
partially by business savings, which                        lization rate; in the last part of the
implies that the expenditure multi-                         chapter the empirical evidence of this
plier would be lower than it is usually                     theory is presented.
assumed. Chapter 13 distinguishes                               Chapter 16 reminds us that prof-
the profit rate of enterprise (r – i;                       itability is the key variable in world
where r is the money rate of profit                         economies, which determines short-
and i is the money rate of interest) as                     and-long-term fluctuations as well
an engine for economic growth. Every                        as the evolution of the wage share
time the rate of interest goes down                         and the magnitude of the capacity

 142   IE, 79(311), enero-marzo de 2020 • http://dx.doi.org/10.22201/fe.01851667p.2020.311.72441
utilization. In other words, profits      runs only from 1960 to 1989 (chap-
regulate supply and demand, along-        ter 2, p. 68), so we think that a more
side the degree of state intervention.    powerful proof of this equalization
The final chapter presents the major      of the incremental profit rates within
conclusions and key observations,         the manufacturing sectors should
including above all: That basic neo-      include until the most recent data
classical assumptions are not ade-        available. In addition to this extension
quate to portray economic reality;        of data, we think a formal analysis of
the importance of recognizing the         this equalization should be carried
turbulent process of equalization         out through econometric panel data,
of different prices and rates in the      which could show if this equaliza-
economy through a real competition        tion tends to gravitate towards zero
process; and that real competition        or another level.
tends to build up an unequal world            Needless to say that the foregoing
with unsustainable levels of inequal-     suggestions do not necessarily need to
ity which the state should cope with      be carried out by the author, since this
through a better correlation of forces    tremendous work has paved the way
in favor of the working class.            for a needed realistic and intuitive
    Lastly, we identify two suggestions   economic analysis of the capitalist
for improvement in future editions of     system for developed and develop-
this fascinating book. These sugges-      ing countries. We hope that Shaikh’s
tions are related to the equalization     students and other scholars that feel
of the incremental profit rate of the     inspired by this tradition could con-
US manufacturing sectors, which           tinue strengthening this renewal and
is the core of the author’s argument      vibrant classical political economy
about the dynamics of the econom-         project. ◀
ic system. The span of Shaikh’s data

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