Country Profile South Korea - www.lloyds.com/SouthKoreaMI April 2014

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Country Profile South Korea - www.lloyds.com/SouthKoreaMI April 2014
Country Profile
South Korea
www.lloyds.com/SouthKoreaMI

April 2014
tom.grace@lloyds.com
Country Profile South Korea - www.lloyds.com/SouthKoreaMI April 2014
KEY FACTS

FULL NAME / CAPITAL CITY: Republic of Korea / Seoul                                                          GDP (PPP):                            US$ 1,598bn (Global Rank #13)

LANGUAGE:                            Korean, English widely understood                                       POPULATION:                           48.9m (Global Rank #26)

                                                                                                             IMF CATEGORISATION:                   “Developed”

MAIN EXPORT PARTNERS:                China 24%, US 10%, Japan 7% (2011)

MAIN IMPORT PARTNERS:                China 17%, Japan 13%, US 9% (2011)

MAIN EXPORTS:                        Semiconductors, wireless telecommunications
                                     equipment, motor vehicles

MAIN IMPORTS:                        Machinery, electronics and electronic equipment, oil

                                          2012 Rank       2013 Rank        Change in Rank
EASE OF DOING BUSINESS:                          8               8                  0
COMPETITIVENESS:                                24               19                 5
FREEDOM FROM CORRUPTION:                        40               42                 -2

   DISASTER              YEAR                    ECONOMIC COST (US$ x 1000)
Storm                     2003                                                           4,500,000
Storm                     2002                                                           4,200,000
Flood                     1998                                                           1,480,000
Storm                     2004                                                            570,000
Storm                     1995                                                            425,000

 Source: Disaster Statistics based on: Prevention Web (2013); Export Statistics based on CIA World Factbook; Doing Business Indicators based on World Bank & World Economic Forum

                                                                                                                                                             © Lloyd’s              2
Country Profile South Korea - www.lloyds.com/SouthKoreaMI April 2014
KEY STATISTICS
GOVERNANCE INDICATORS                                                                   SIZE OF ECONOMY                                                                          WEALTH PER CAPITA
Percentile Rank (1-100) 2012                                                            Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) basis                                                      Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) basis
                                             KR             SG                   HK     in International $ bn                                                                    in International $
                                                                                        3,000                                                                                    100,000
                                      South Korea        Singapore          Hong Kong

                                                                                                                                               2,228
  2012
                                                                                        2,500
 Government Effectiveness                        84        100                   97                                                                                               75,000

                                                                                                                  1,598

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         43,344
                                                                                        2,000
 Political Stability and Absence of

                                                                                                  1,189
                                                 52         97                   80

                                                                                                                                                                                                                    31,950
 Violence/Terrorism                                                                     1,500                                                                                     50,000

                                                                                                                                                                                                24,580
 Control of Corruption                           70         97                   93
                                                                                        1,000
                                                                                                                                                                                  25,000
 Regulatory Quality                              77        100                   100     500

 Rule of Law                                     80         96                   91        0                                                                                          0
                                                                                                          2006            2012                         2018f                                             2006                2012                 2018f

 Voice and Accountability                        70         54                   67
                                                                                                           KR             SG                           HK                                         KR                 SG                  HK

TOTAL NON-LIFE DIRECT INSURANCE MARKET*                                                 NON-LIFE DIRECT INSURANCE MARKET                                                         LLOYD’S GROSS SIGNED PREMIUMS
Premiums in US$ m                                                                       Premiums in US$ m; by OECD Class                                                         Gross Signed Premiums in US$ m; by country of origin
30,000                                                                                                                                                                                350
                                                                                          Motor                                        6,685
                                                                 20,307

                                                                                                                               1,286
                                                                                                                                                                                      300
                                        18,840

25,000                                                                                                                     4,628
                17,849

                                                                                          PA & Health                                                                   25,069
                                                                                                                                                                                      250

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   204
20,000

                                                                                                                                                                                                         171

                                                                                                                                                                                                                             165
15,000
                                                                                          Property                               South Korea*                                         200
                                                                                                                                     2012                                             150
10,000                                                                                    Liability              25,841           US$ 18.8bn
                                                                                                                                                                                      100
 5,000
                                                                                          MAT                                                                                              50
      0                                                                                                                                                        23,655
                         2011                     2012                    2013                                                                                                             0
                                                                                          Miscellaneous                                                                                                    2011                2012                  2013
                         KR                      SG                   HK
                                                                                         * Excludes Long-Term & Private Annuity                                                                                KR                  SG                    HK

          All data, sources & data limitations are available for download at www.lloyds.com/comparecountries; * 2013 total non-life based on CAGR projection

LLOYD’S TRADING POSITION                                         Insurance: No: (with some exceptions)
          South Korea                                            Reinsurance: Yes
      www.lloyds.com/crystal
                                                                 Coverholders: No
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             © Lloyd’s                        3
BUSINESS ENVIRONMENT
President Park Geun-hye's domestic agenda faces further delays. Park's plans to expand the welfare system have lost momentum in the face of
opposition in the legislature and hostile rhetoric from North Korea in the first quarter of 2013. Moreover, the tax increases needed to pay for increased welfare
spending are likely to face further opposition in the National Assembly, increasing the risk of further legislative delays in 2014.

Good economic performance extends into Q4 2013. South Korean GDP grew at a 3.7% annual rate in the fourth quarter, down from the previous two
quarters but still impressive considering the slow recovery in the rest of the world. The largest contributor to growth was capital expenditures; this was much
better than expected, since investment in equipment generally reflects exports performance and the latter fell in the third quarter. More importantly, the growth
in capital expenditure (capex) reflects improved expectations by the industrial sector, which bodes well for continued growth in 2014.

Cooling regional relations likely to limit South Korea's foreign policy options. Park came to power pledging to pursue trust-building policies with North
Korea. However, hostility from Pyongyang at the beginning of 2013 and a broader cooling of regional relations in the second half of the year, driven by
increasing foreign policy assertiveness by China and Japan, has reduced Seoul's room for manoeuvre in its foreign policy. Relations with North Korea in
particular are unlikely to improve significantly in the first half of 2014.

Bank of Korea (BOK) still holding steady. Economic weakness caused the BOK to lower interest rates in 2012 and 2013. Even after growth began to
strengthen, the policy rate was left at 2.50%. Although low by historical standards, there is as yet no sign of inflation, and the won remains strong. So the next
rate hike will likely be in 2015 at the earliest, assuming the world economy recovers as expected and raises demand for Korean exports.

GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT (GDP)                                                TOP-10 SECTORS (BY VALUE ADDED)                           BUSINESS ENVIRONMENT INFORMATION
(nominal GDP levels in billion US$; Real GDP change)                        (value added in billion US$ & 2014 Change in real %)      (provided by IHS Global Insight, April 2014)
2,000                                                                  7%                                       2013       2014
        6.3%                                                                TOP SECTORS                        Value    Percentage
                                                                       6%                                      Added     Change
1,500                                                                       1. Real estate                      323.5       1.0
                                                                       5%
                                                                            2. Health and social services       234.5       -1.9
                                                                       4%   3. Business services                225.0       1.1
               3.7%                 3.6%   3.7%                             4. Public Admin. & Defense          193.7       -1.6
1,000                                             3.5%   3.4%   3.4%
                             2.8%
                                                                       3%   5. Construction                     145.3       0.4
                                                                            6. Education                        137.9       0.7
                      2.0%                                             2%
 500                                                                        7. Retail trade - total             137.8       0.3
                                                                            8. Wholesale trade                  108.2       0.6
                                                                       1%
                                                                            9. Banking & related financial      80.6        1.5
   0                                                                   0%   10. Computing & related services    60.5        1.4
        2010   2011   2012   2013   2014   2015   2016   2017   2018        Top-10 Total                        1647                 For daily updates visit: > www.ihsglobalinsight.com

                                                                                                                                                                    © Lloyd’s        4
INSURANCE ENVIRONMENT
2012 MAJOR DIRECT INSURERS                                           2012 DIRECT PREMIUMS                                          QUICK LINKS / USEFUL SOURCES
(Direct Premiums exclude Motor, Guarantee, Long-Term and             (Premiums in US$ m; by OECD Class)
Private Annuity; GWP in US$ bn)                                                                                                    Insurance Market Profiles
                                                                                                                                   > www.iii.org/international/profiles
   Samsung                                                    1.42    Motor                              1,431
                                                                                                   817                             General Insurance Association
         LIG                                      0.94
                                                                      PA & Health                                                  > www.knia.or.kr
    Hyundai                                      0.90
                                                                                                                                   The Insurance Regulator
                                                                      Property                         South Korea*
     Dongbu                               0.73                                                                                     > http://english.fss.or.kr
                                                                                         4,643             2012
Chartis (AIG)                     0.41
                                                                      Liability                         US$ 18.8bn                 Lloyd’s Agency Network
  Nonghyup                   0.32
                                                                                                                      11,661       > www.lloyds.com/agency
                                                                      MAT                                                          Lloyd’s Claims Team
                                                                                                 288
    Hanwha                 0.29
                                                                                                                                   > www.lloyds.com/claims
      Meritz               0.26                                       Miscellaneous

        ACE         0.13
                                                                      * Excludes Long-Term & Private Annuity
        Lotte       0.12                                                                                                           BUSINESS CULTURE GUIDE
                0                   0.5            1          1.5                                                                  > http://www.kwintessential.co.uk
Source: Association; https://www.knia.or.kr                          Source: Association; https://www.knia.or.kr                     (View Resources > Culture Guide)

 The South Korean non-life insurance market is one of the largest in Asia with premiums in excess of US$ 18bn: Driven by the strength of the South Korean economy
 and the motor sector, the insurance market has grown significantly in the past six years compared to many of its peers. Long-term business represents a large portion of the
 Korean insurance market . Products of this type accounted for 61% of total of the market and are more closely aligned to typical life products.
 Strong local players dominate the market: The South Korean market is relatively consolidated, with the industry centred around ‘chaebols’. The word “chaebol” refers to a
 South Korean form of business conglomerate. In most cases these are centrally structured, family-owned corporations which control a significant portion of the non-life
 insurance market in South Korea. In many cases, chaebols operate alliances between one another, reinforcing the dominance of a handful of players within the market.
 Broker market: While domestic brokers were introduced in 1997, followed by the entry of foreign brokers a year later, insurance broking still accounts for less than 1% of
 total premium. Commercial Lines are mostly sold through Independent Agents and Brokers and Business Development Executives of the insurers. Some commercial lines
 are sold through Personal Lines channel but that would be more of an exception than a rule.
 Reinsurance: Korean Re is the dominant reinsurer. In 2012, Korean Re represented 74% of the market share including life reinsurance.

                                                                                                                                                    © Lloyd’s           5
LLOYD’S BUSINESS
 2009-2013 LLOYD’S TOTAL PREMIUMS                                                                                                  2013 LLOYD’S HIGH LEVEL CLASSES
 Gross Signed Premiums; Direct versus Reinsurance; in million US$                                                                  Gross Signed Premiums; high level classes; in million US$
  250                                                                     2013 GROSS SIGNED PREMIUMS*
                                                                                                                                          UK Motor         0.0

                                                                          Total                      US$ 204m                       Overseas Motor         0.0
  200
                                                                                                                                     Property Treaty                                         43.8
                                                                          Reinsurance                US$ 193m
  150                                                                                                                                Property (D&F)                                   35.3
                                                                          Direct                     US$ 11m
                                                                                                                                             Marine                                                           71.2
                                                            193
  100                   148         145
                                                148
                                                                          *COUNTRY OF ORIGIN PREMIUMS                                        Energy                     15.3
           110                                                               Policyholders are based or
                                                                              headquartered in this territory;                             Casualty               9.2
   50
                                                                                                                                     Casualty Treaty       1.1
                            28
                                                                             Premiums may be written outside
            17                      26          17
    0                                                        11               this territory;                                               Aviation                      18.9
           2009        2010        2011        2012         2013
                                                                          X   Not necessarily where risks are located              Accident & Health              9.7
                   Direct                   Reinsurance                   X   May differ to what is reported to
                                                                              local regulator (dependent on local requirements).                       0         10     20       30   40      50    60   70       80

SOURCE: Market Intelligence based on *Gross Signed premiums; Xchanging (2014); unaudited figures based on country of origin and processing by calendar year; see Appendix for details

                                                                                                                                   Mr Kent Chaplin / Ms Alex Faris
                                                                                                                                   Lloyd’s Asia
                       Lloyd's Trading Centres provide bespoke services to                                                         8 Marina View
                                                                                                                Lloyd’s
        Office         support the underwriting of business in the region,
                                                                                                                                   #14-01 Asia Square Tower 1
                                                                                                               Country             Singapore 018960
         Type          including Lloyd's branded office space, a single Lloyd's                                Manager
                       entity and back office services.                                                                            TELEPHONE:               +65 6499 9333EMAIL:
                                                                                                                                                            kent.chaplin@lloyds.com
                                                                                                                                                            alexandra.faris@lloyds.com
                                                                                                                                                                                      © Lloyd’s               6
APPENDIX
MACRO-ECONOMIC & BUSINESS ENVIRONMENT DATA
    Source: IMF (www.imf.org/external/data.htm), World Bank (http://data.worldbank.org/), IHS Global Insight.
    Notes: GDP data on size and wealth of the economy is reported in Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) terms; this is the most accurate indicator of the true standard of living in
    each country and therefore potential demand. To calculate this, GDP is converted from local currency to an international $ currency using PPP exchange rates rather than the
    market exchange rate. The PPP local currency-to-international $ exchange rates are determined such that a standard basket of goods has the same price in international $
    terms in each country. This adjusts for the differing costs of goods across countries, when converted at market exchange rates.

INSURANCE MARKET DATA
    Source: Reported data derived by Lloyd’s Market Intelligence team; original source is regulatory bodies, associations, third party information providers.
    Notes: Data is reported in US$. For more information, see www.lloyds.com/comparecountries.
    Exchange Rates Note: Where required, data has been converted to US$ using annual average exchange rates as per www.oanda.com.

LLOYD’S PREMIUM DATA
    Source: Reported data derived by Lloyd’s; original source is Xchanging (data therefore contains only premiums processed by Xchanging).
    Notes: Data is reported is US$, on a calendar year basis and is signed gross premiums. This differs from the data published in the Lloyd’s Annual Report, which is also on a
    calendar year basis, but is written gross premiums and sourced directly from Syndicates. Differences are therefore (1) timing inconsistencies between signed and written gross
    premiums; (2) inconsistent use of exchange rates by Syndicates and Xchanging; & (3) incompleteness of Xchanging data set for certain classes of business (a substantial
    amount of premium is not processed by Xchanging and missing from the REG 258 data set; this comprises, for example, UK Motor).
    Exchange Rates Note: Data has been converted to US$ using monthly exchange rates provided by Xchanging.
    Definitions:
      Gross Signed Premiums: Original and additional inward premiums, plus any amount in respect of administration fees or policy expenses remitted with a premium but
      before the deduction of outward reinsurance premiums.
      Calendar Year: Relates to the calendar year in which the premium, additional or return, is processed by Xchanging. This is irrespective of the actual underwriting year of
      account, which is determined by the inception date of each risk.
      Country of Origin: Denotes the domicile of the insured party (i.e. the coverholder or policyholder). This is the country from which demand for the insurance / reinsurance
      emanates, & is irrespective of the country to which the risk is classified for regulatory reporting purposes.
      Example: A policy holder in the UK insuring a holiday home in France would be classified as a UK risk by “Country Of Origin”, but “French” for regulatory reporting
      purposes. Similarly a risk incepting on 1st December 2007 would be classified at 2007 “Underwriting Year of Account” but may not be processed by Xchanging until 2008
      and so be allocated to the 2008 “processing year”.

      ACCESSING THE DATA: to access the raw data in this document, and equivalent data for other countries, see www.lloyds.com/comparecountries.

    DISCLAIMER: This document is intended for general information purposes only. Whilst all care has been taken to ensure the accuracy of the information, Lloyd's does not
     accept any responsibility for any errors or omissions. Lloyd's does not accept any responsibility or liability for any loss to any person acting or refraining from action as a
     result of, but not limited to, any statement, fact, figure, expression of opinion or belief contained in this document.
                                                                                                                                                         © Lloyd’s           7
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