COVID-19's Impact on the Global Energy and Power Industry - Survey Results

 
CONTINUE READING
COVID-19's Impact on the Global Energy and Power Industry - Survey Results
ENERGY AND POWER

COVID-19’s Impact on the Global
Energy and Power Industry
Survey Results
COVID-19's Impact on the Global Energy and Power Industry - Survey Results
Energy and Power Companies
      Have Responded                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             Conclusion
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 New operational risks could creep into a
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 business, whether driven by rapid change
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 or insufficient measures to mitigate the
                                                                                                       Operational Limits                     Cost Control                                                        Recovery                                                       currently challenging situation.

                                                                                                       Two-thirds of energy and               Energy and power companies were                                     In the large majority of cases (>85%),
          Approximately a third (31%) of energy (oil,                                                  power companies did not                only considering implementing                                       companies were not chasing
          gas, petrochemicals, and derivatives) and                                                    expect maintenance and                 carefully selected, and risk                                        opportunities to re-optimize their                             Each of these emerging operational
          power companies have experienced “no                                                         mechanical integrity/fit for           managed, temporary cost                                             businesses and were instead focused                            risks is predictable and manageable.
          disruption” since COVID-19 emerged as a                                                      service assessments to become          reductions to mitigate short-term                                   on defensively safe-parking                                    For example, deferment of non-
          global threat earlier this year.                                                             operational risk constraints that      cashflow constraints.                                               operations. Limited operators were                             essential maintenance may be managed
                                                                                                       drive business disruption.                                                                                 marketing new products, repurposing                            with a rigorous risk-based selection
                                                                                                                                                                                                                  equipment, and renting external                                maintenance program with increased
                                                                                                                                              Capex reduction/delay was the                                       facilities to minimize disruption or                           focus on risk accumulation.
                                                                                                                                              most commonly considered                                            respond to sudden consumer demands.
                                                                                                                                              mitigation, with more than half of
                                                                 More than a tenth (13%) of                                                   companies planning this or already
                                                                 energy and power companies said                                              doing so. Non-essential maintenance                                                                                                With greatly increased remote
                                                                 the current year-to-date financial                                           reduction/delay was the second most                                                                                                working, now is a good time to reflect
       More than a third (38%) of companies,
                                                                 impact had exceeded                                                          commonly deployed cash saving                                                                                                      on lessons learned from large industry
       however, experienced disruption in April
                                                                 $100 million; 10% expect the                                                 mitigation, with more than half of                                  Almost all companies had segregated                            losses and ensure the quality of
       2020, according to Marsh JLT Specialty’s                  overall 2020 financial impact to                                             companies saying it was at least likely                             staff and changed working                                      supervision remains high following
       recent survey of global energy and power
                                                                 exceed $500 million.                                                         they would reduce these activities                                  patterns (including remote working).                           the relocation of plant engineers.
       companies. Another 28% witnessed
                                                                                                                                              for 2020.                                                           Overtime for operations personnel had
       disruption from January 2020.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                  typically been increased.
                                                                                                       Nearly half (41%) of surveyed                                                                                                                                             Companies were planning for the worst,
                                                                                                       operators had been impacted            Critical maintenance was being                                                                                                     but so far the issues haven’t been as bad
                                                                                                       by customer demand.                    protected, however, with almost 60%                                                                                                as they expected. As part of their cost
                                                                                                       However, companies cited their         of companies saying this was not even                                                                                              reduction measures, some maintenance
       North American power and renewables
                                                                 Very few (3%) operators               critical suppliers’ capabilities to    considered. Most companies were                                                                                                    deferments and reductions have been
       companies most commonly experienced
                                                                 reported process safety               deliver and logistics limitations as   adhering to turnaround schedules, with                                                                                             made. Companies should proceed with
       no disruption or disruption only since
                                                                 incidents that could be               most likely to impact them next,       around two-thirds not even considering                                                                                             caution, however, as loss data shows
       April 2020.
                                                                 attributed to COVID-19. None          although most had not yet been         planned delays.                                                                                                                    a strong correlation between reduced
                                                                 of the responses were API-754         affected by suppliers. The impact                                                                                                                                         maintenance and higher loss incidents.
                                                                 tier 1 or tier 2 classified process   of storage of raw materials and/
                                                                 safety incidents.                     or products had not yet peaked
       Meanwhile, Western European and
                                                                                                       and was reported as the cause of       Some companies were making
       integrated national or international oil                                                                                                                                                                   Around half of companies were at least                         Arguably, this underlines the industry’s
                                                                                                       disruption most likely to become       headcount reductions on non-
       companies were most likely to have                                                                                                                                                                         reviewing, with a plan to reducing,                            tendency to be overly optimistic when
                                                                                                       more severe.                           critical roles outside of process
       experienced earlier disruption, as far                                                                                                                                                                     their minimum staffing level                                   assessing capex reductions’ potential
                                                                                                                                              operations, although a greater number
       back as January 2020.                                                                                                                                                                                      requirements in operating areas,                               negative impact as well as its ability to
                                                                                                                                              were not considering this.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                  with some already doing so.                                    protect critical maintenance activities.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Although underpinned by good
                                                                                                       Most operators did not                                                                                                                                                    intentions, history shows that increased
       Large companies (measured by combined                                                           expect technical operating                                                                                                                                                losses may follow.
       production size) were most commonly not                                                         limits to cause business
       disrupted, while small- and medium-size                                                         disruption. This demonstrates                                                                            Related resources
       operators were affected most often.                                                             strong industry turndown                                                                                 • Rethinking Business Interruption Risks
                                                                                                       capabilities, with operators finding
                                                                                                                                                                                                                •1 00 Largest Losses
                                                                                                       ways to circumvent engineering
                                                                                                                                                                                                                •M anaging the Defeat of Safety Instrumented System Trips and Alarms
                                                                                                       constraints on large process
       When respondents were asked how long they                                                                                                                                                                •P   re-startup Safety Review
                                                                                                       equipment.
       expected the disruption to last from April 2020,
       the most common response was 4-6 months (22%),
       followed by 7-9 months (19%) and 10-12 months
       (13%). Only 3% said it would last three months or less.

                                                                                                                                              1
                                                                                                                                                In April 2020, Marsh JLT Specialty’s Energy and Power Spot Poll surveyed energy (oil, gas, petrochemicals, and derivatives) and power
                                                                                                                                              companies to understand how the industry was responding to, and mitigating the effects of, the sudden reduction in energy demand
COVID-19’s Impact on the Global Energy and Power Industry                                                                                     and the drop in oil price. Respondents ranged from small to very large operators, headquartered across the world.                                              Marsh JLT Specialty
COVID-19's Impact on the Global Energy and Power Industry - Survey Results
For more information, please contact riskengineering@marsh.com or visit http://riskengineering.marsh.com

                This is a marketing communication.

                Marsh JLT Specialty is a trading name of Marsh Limited and JLT Specialty Limited. The content of this document reflects the combined capabilities of Marsh Limited and JLT
                Specialty Limited. Services provided in the United Kingdom by either Marsh Limited or JLT Specialty Limited; your Client Executive will make it clear at the beginning of the
                relationship which entity is providing services to you. Marsh Ltd and JLT Specialty Ltd are authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority for General Insurance
                Distribution and Credit Broking. If you are interested in utilising our services you may be required by/under your local regulatory regime to utilise the services of a local
                insurance intermediary in your territory to export (re)insurance to us unless you have an exemption and should take advice in this regard.

                The information contained herein is based on sources we believe reliable and should be understood to be general risk management and insurance information only. The
                information is not intended to be taken as advice with respect to any individual situation and cannot be relied upon as such. Statements concerning legal, tax or accounting
                matters should be understood to be general observations based solely on our experience as insurance brokers and risk consultants and should not be relied upon as legal,
                tax or accounting advice, which we are not authorised to provide.

                Copyright © 2020 All rights reserved. June 2020 282068.
You can also read