Croydon Offices - Savills

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Croydon Offices - Savills
UK Commercial – June 2019

     S P OT L I G H T
      Savills Research
                                        Croydon Offices

CGI Building 2, the next phase at Ruskin Square.

           Key Statistics          Occupational Overview           Investment Overview   Outlook
Croydon Offices - Savills
Croydon Offices - June 2019

                                              Croydon is a core office market in Greater London & South
                                              East. It has the sixth highest long-term average take-up
                                              across all office centres in the wider market area.

CROYDON KEY STATISTICS                         Croydon Take-Up Take-up was 104% above 2017 and 4% above the long-
Data for deals and supply above 5,000 sq ft    term average

Take-Up                                                   400,000
                                                                                           Grade A              Grade B             Grade C
                                                          350,000
126,000 sq ft
Transacted across 8 deals in 2018                         300,000

Supply                                                    250,000
                                                  Sq Ft

222,000 sq ft                                             200,000
0% of the available space is classified as
grade A                                                   150,000

Development Pipeline                                      100,000

40,000 sq ft                                               50,000

                                                                  0
There is currently one scheme under
                                                                      2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
construction

Prime Rents                                                                                                                               Source Savills Research

£34.00 psf                                    Occupational Overview
This rent was achieved at Renaissance
                                              Croydon is undergoing extensive regeneration and has consistent
                                              high levels of take-up
Key Occupational Deals                        There are a critical mass of local    ten years.                            further 5,201 units in the pipeline
                                              occupiers in Croydon who are                                                for the next five years. Croydon
Clarion Housing Group                         loyal to the town. The discounted     Another notable deal in 2018          has the 4th average lowest house
37,000 sq ft                                  rents and fast transport links to     was Green Network Energy who          price when compared to other
Interchange                                   Central London has also attracted     leased 29,000 sq ft at Renaissance,   London boroughs. Furthermore
                                              footloose occupiers.                  they relocated from St Paul's in      ,Westfield and Hammerson are
Green Network Energy                                                                the City, which is a theme that       planning to deliver a new 1.5
29,000 sq ft                                  Occupational demand remained          has continued from previous           million sq ft retail and leisure
Renaissance                                   strong in Croydon in 2018 with        years. EDF Energy (Victoria)          centre which is set to begin
                                              take-up reaching 126,000 sq ft.       and Selection Services are other      construction next year.
Sopra Steria                                  This was over double the take-        occupiers who have relocated from
                                              up in 2017. There have been no        Central London to open a new          Prime rents in Croydon currently
13,000 sq ft
                                              lettings above 5,000 sq ft in Q1      office in Croydon.                    stand at £34.00 per sq ft achieved
Bedford Point
                                              2019. There were strong levels                                              at Renaissance. We expect prime
                                              of demand for grade A space           The spike in take-up in 2016 was      rents to remain relatively static in
Focal Ventures                                in Croydon in 2018 with both          caused by the HMRC leasing            the short term as there is no grade
13,000 sq ft                                  Interchange and Renaissance           185,000 sq ft at Ruskin Square.       A space available.
Stephenson House                              now fully let. Clarion Housing
                                              and Markel leased the remaining       Croydon is undergoing an              The development pipeline is
Markel                                        available space at Interchange        extensive regeneration and the        limited with 28 Dingwall Road
11,000 sq ft                                  totalling a combined 48,000           town centre is evolving into an       the only scheme currently being
Interchange                                   sq ft. These were the only new        amenity rich location. In the last    redeveloped which will achieve
                                              speculative developments              ten years, 6,660 new residential      practical completion in 2020 and
                                              delivered to the market in the last   units have been delivered with a      will comprise 40,000 sq ft.
front cover
Savills are marketing Building 2 Ruskin
                                                 The rental growth the market is experiencing will be attractive for
Square (CGI image).This is the next phase
of the Ruskin Square development.                investors seeking refurbishment and development opportunities.

savills.com/research                                                         1
Croydon Offices- June 2019

                                                              61% of the space transacted
                                                              in Croydon in 2018 was
                                                              classified as Grade A space.
                                               61%

INVESTMENT OVERVIEW                          Croydon Supply Supply has fallen by 59% from 2015 levels
There have been no investment deals in
Q1 19. There were two office buildings
traded in Croydon in 2018 totalling
£29.34 million. The largest deal was
Rockspring Investment Managers                        1,400,000                                                                      £40.00
buying Mott MacDonald House for                                         Grade C        Grade B        Grade A       Prime Rent
£23.18 million, which reflected a yield of                                                                                           £35.00
                                                      1,200,000
5.45%. The building comprises 64,000
sq ft and is fully let to Mott MacDonald.
                                                                                                                                     £30.00
                                                      1,000,000
Croydon is an appealing market to

                                                                                                                                                Prime Rents
investors as there are numerous                                                                                                      £25.00
asset management opportunities to                      800,000
                                              Sq Ft

implement on existing secondary                                                                                                      £20.00
quality stock. Furthermore ,the market
                                                       600,000
is experiencing a repricing with prime
                                                                                                                                     £15.00
rents increasing by 45% in the last five
years from £23.50 per sq ft to £34.00                  400,000
per sq ft.                                                                                                                           £10.00

                                                       200,000                                                                       £5.00

                                                             0                                                                       £0.00
                                                                  2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

                                                                                                                               Source Savills Research

           What to expect from Croydon in 2019?
1upThe lack of available grade A
   supply will impact on take-
    volumes in 2019, therefore
                                                  London mainly occupiers
                                                  based near London Bridge and
                                                  Victoria who are attracted by the
                                                                                                    deliver a speculative development
                                                                                                    of any quantum in the short term.
                                                                                                    Stanhope and Schroders have
we expect weaker take-up when                     discounted office rents available                 planning permission for a further 1
compared to 2018. There is,                       and the short train journey to East               million sq ft.
however, a good quantity of grade                 Croydon.
B space available which caters for
demand from smaller and local
occupiers who are predominantly
seeking below 10,000 sq ft.
                                                 4  We expect a new rental tone
                                                    for Croydon will be set at 28
                                                 Dingwall Road where Mayfair
                                                  Capital are redeveloping the
2  The bulk of demand in 2019 is
   expected to originate from the
existing base of professional and
                                                  existing building. It is anticipated
                                                  that the majority of the building
                                                  will be let prior to practical
financial services occupiers based                completion at rents in the mid to
in Croydon.                                       high £30's.

3There could be further
 relocations from Central                        5Ruskin Square is the only
                                                  scheme in the town which can

           5.6%                  Office based employment is forecast to increase by 5.6% in Croydon in the
                                 next five years

                                                                        2
Savills
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Greater London & South East Office Agency
Jon Gardiner                                   Tom Mellows                                  Andrew Willcock                              Piers Nickalls                                Rob Pearson
Head of National Office                        Director                                     Director                                     Director                                      Associate Director
Agency                                         020 7409 8964                                020 7299 8866                                020 7409 8704                                 020 7299 3093
020 7409 8828                                  tmellows@savills.com                         awillcock@savills.com                        pnickalls@savills.com                         rpearson@savills.com
jgardiner@savills.com

Stuart Chambers                               Olivia Jones                                 Steven Lang                                   Simon Preece
Associate                                     Surveyor                                     Research                                      Research
020 7075 8223                                 020 7409 8708                                020 7409 8738                                 020 7409 8768
stuart.chambers@savills.com                   ojones@savills.com                           slang@savills.com                             spreece@savills.com

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