CSHOR Science Seminar - Introduction and overview Dr Wenju Cai| Director CSHOR 3 May 2018
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CSHOR Science Seminar Introduction and overview Dr Wenju Cai| Director CSHOR 3 May 2018 CSHOR
Acknowledgement of Traditional Owners
I would like to pay respect to the traditional
and original owners of this land, the
Muwinina (mu wee nee nah) people, to pay
respect to those that have passed before us
and to acknowledge today’s Tasmanian
Aboriginal community who are the custodians
of this land.
CSIRO, Battery Point, Hobart
Your Health and Safety are IMPORTANT
Please remain within the public areas of the Auditorium, foyer and toilets (to the
rear of these rooms), and the canteen
If you wish to visit other CSIRO staff, please ask reception to contact the staff
member on your behalf
Smoking is not permitted in the buildings. There is an ashtray for smokers opposite
the main entrance
Please observe any safety signage
In the event of an evacuation, a continuous alarm will sound, please gather
together in the flagpole area (go out main entrance and turn right), or be instructed
by the evacuation wardens (coloured hard hat) of an alternative gathering point
An alternative evacuation route is through the Auditorium’s rear exit door
Any questions regarding the site facilities – please ask at reception
AUDITORIUM
Welcome
• Welcome to Country
• Housekeeping
• Welcome to the CSHOR Steering and Advisory
Committees and guests
4 | CSHOR Science Seminar| Dr Wenju Cai
CSHOR Steering Committee
Dr Andreas Schiller Prof Kehou PAN Dr Susan Avery Prof Gongke TAN Dr Helen Cleugh
CSIRO QNLM (Independent QNLM CSIRO
Chair)
5 | CSHOR Science Seminar| Dr Wenju Cai
CSHOR Advisory Committee
Prof AN Zhisheng Dr Sue Barrell BoM Dr Gwen Fenton AAD
CAS & NAS
Dr Paul Hardisty AIMS Dr Michael McPhaden NOAA Prof Martin Visbeck
Kiel University
6 | CSHOR Science Seminar| Dr Wenju Cai
Overview: CSHOR Science Seminar
• Welcome and introduction
• Project reports: this year’s
achievements, highlights
and the outlook for the
second year of CSHOR in
2018/19 (project leaders)
• ‘Uncertainty in sea level
projections’ invited
presentation by Prof John
Church (UNSW)
• Presenting CSHOR
Postdoctoral Fellows
CSHOR Launch 22 May 3017
7 | CSHOR Science Seminar| Dr Wenju Cai
CSHOR Highlights Explaining the large increase in ocean heat content in the southern hemisphere oceans A study based on previous Argo float deployments, published in Nature Climate Change (Gao, Rintoul et al., 2017), shows that wind-driven changes in formation and subduction of Subantarctic Mode Water in the Southern Ocean can explain the large increase in ocean heat content in the southern hemisphere oceans. 8 | CSHOR Science Seminar| Dr Wenju Cai
CSHOR Highlights
Understanding the ultimate risk of extreme El Niño
associated with a 1.5˚C warming target
Figure 2c and 2d: Temporal evolution of multi-model
ensemble mean changes under the RCP2.6 scenario
Using five models with extended simulations to the
23rd century. The linear trends and their 90% confidence
intervals over the 2050–2150 period and the 2151–2250
period indicate that although the GMT decreases, the
meridional temperature gradient continues to weaken and
the extreme El Niño frequency continues to increase before
they reverse (Wang et al., 2017, Nature Climate Change).
9 | CSHOR Science Seminar| Dr Wenju Cai
CSHOR Highlights Understanding the ultimate risk of extreme pIOD associated with a 1.5˚C warming target In contrast to extreme El Nino, extreme pIOD frequency stabilises with global mean temperature, and during the transient period the frequency increases with the GMT (Cai et al. 2018). 10 | CSHOR Science Seminar| Dr Wenju Cai
CSHOR Highlights
Changes in the Southern Ocean revealed by researchers aboard
the RV Investigator
Southern Ocean researchers
aboard the RV
Investigator find a shift in a
decades-long trend towards
fresher, less dense water off
Antarctica.
Dr Steve Rintoul, voyage chief scientist (image source: Peter Mathew 12/2017)
Two Nature articles to appear soon.
11 | CSHOR Science Seminar| Dr Wenju CaiCSHOR Highlights
CSHOR won in the category of “Achievement
in International Talents and Knowledge
Introduction and International Collaboration”
the only winner for the category and the only
winner from Shandong province.
The award was established in celebration of
the 40th Anniversary of China’s Reform and
Opening-Up Policy. The Chinese government
established 40 awards in total. Prof Gongke TAN at the
International Talents Exchange
Meeting in Shenzhen
12 | CSHOR Science Seminar| Dr Wenju CaiCSHOR Projects • Understanding present and future dynamics of ENSO and the IOD • Indo-Pacific interbasin exchange • Coupled warm pool dynamics in the Indo-Pacific • Southern Ocean dynamics, circulation and water mass formation • Southern Ocean observations and change • The role of the Southern Ocean in sea level change 13 | CSHOR Science Seminar| Dr Wenju Cai
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Thank you CSHOR Dr Wenju Cai t +61 3 9239 4419 e wenju.cai@csiro.au w https://cshor.csiro.au/
Presenting CSHOR Postdoctoral Fellows
Presenting CSHOR Postdoctoral Fellows
a) Benjamin Ng
ENSO/IOD project
b) Océane Richet
Indo-Pacific interbasin
exchange project
C) Je-Yuan (Andy) Hsu
Coupled warm pool
dynamics project
19 | CSHOR Science Seminar| Dr Wenju CaiPresenting CSHOR Postdoctoral Fellows
d) Annie Foppert,
Southern Ocean
dynamics project
e) Veronica Tamsitt,
Southern Ocean
dynamics project
f) Kewei Lyu, Southern
Ocean and sea level
change project
20 | CSHOR Science Seminar| Dr Wenju CaiYou can also read
