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Democratic Republic of the Congo - Off-Grid Solar Market Assessment Power Africa Off-grid Project - USAID
OCTOBER 2019

Off-Grid Solar
Market Assessment
Democratic Republic
of the Congo
Power Africa Off-grid Project
Democratic Republic of the Congo - Off-Grid Solar Market Assessment Power Africa Off-grid Project - USAID
ABOUT POWER AFRICA
The Power Africa Off-grid Project is a four-year program that launched in November 2018 to accelerate
off-grid electrification across sub-Saharan Africa. RTI International implements the project in collaboration
with Fraym. Norton Rose Fulbright, Practical Action Consulting, and Tetra Tech. Power Africa is comprised
of 12 U.S. Government agencies, over 145 private companies, and 18 bilateral and multilateral development
partners that work together, supporting sub-Saharan governments to increase the number of people with
access to power.

    Power Africa aims to achieve 30,000 megawatts of new generated power,
    create 60 million new connections, and reach 300 million Africans by 2030.
Democratic Republic of the Congo - Off-Grid Solar Market Assessment Power Africa Off-grid Project - USAID
What’s   ABOUT THE POWER AFRICA OFF-GRID PROJECT (PAOP)
         1    EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
                                                                           ES-1
                                                                           ES-3
Inside   2    DEMOCRATIC REPUBLIC OF THE CONGO ENERGY SECTOR
              OVERVIEW
                                                                             1

             2.1      Country Introduction                                   1
                   2.1.1   Population Summary                                1
             2.2      Energy Sector                                          2
                   2.2.1   Grid Electrification Summary                      2
                   2.2.2   Current Electricity Tariff Rates in DRC           4
                   2.2.3   Quality of Grid Electrification in DRC            5
             2.3 Overall Political Landscape in DRC                          8
             2.4 DRC Governmental Energy Strategy and Institutions           9
             2.5 International Donor Programs                               12
             2.6 Creating a Renewable-Energy Association                    15
             2.7 Training Institutions, Incubators, and Accelerators        16
                   2.7.1   Rural Electrification Strategy                   16
             2.8 DRC’S Energy Demand                                        17
         3    PICO-SOLAR SECTOR IN DRC                                      27
             3.1 SHS Sales Summary                                          35
                   3.1.1   Potential New Market Entrants                    35
                   3.1.2   Main Market Barriers                             35
             3.2 Mapping of Promising Locations for Pico-Solar Companies    36
             3.3 Identifying Communities Without Electricity Along Major    39
                 Road Corridors
             3.4 Relevant Pico-Solar Regulations                            42
                   3.4.1      Solar Quality Standards                       42
                   3.4.2      Importation Process, Duties and Taxes         42
                   3.4.3      Company Registration                          43
                   3.4.4      E-Waste Regulations                           43
             3.5 Relevant Pico-Solar Donor Programs                         43
             3.6 Pico-Solar Financing Overview                              44
                   3.6.1      Company Finance and Consumer Lending          44
                   3.6.2      Commercial Finance in DRC                     47
                   3.6.3      Consumer Finance                              48
             3.7 Pico-Solar and Gender Inclusion                            50
         4    MINI-GRID SECTOR IN DRC                                       51
             4.1 DRC Mini-Grid Commercial Overview and Applicability to     51
                 the Country
             4.2 Relevant Government and Donor Mini-Grid Programs           53
             4.3 Relevant Mini-Grid Regulations                             53
             4.4 Mini-Grid Financing Overview                               55
             4.5 Mini-Grid Distribution Partners                            56
Democratic Republic of the Congo - Off-Grid Solar Market Assessment Power Africa Off-grid Project - USAID
5    AGRICULTURAL AND PRODUCTIVE-USE SOLAR COMPANIES                                 57
    5.1 Productive-use applications for households without access to                 57
        electricity
    5.2 Agricultural and Productive-Use Solar: Commercial                            58
        Overview
    5.3 Potential Productive-Use Distribution Partners                               59
ANNEX A: POWER AFRICA GEOSPATIAL ANALYSIS DATA SOURCES                              A-1
Spatial prediction                                                                  A-1
Tables                                                                              A-1

FIGURES
Figure ES-1.The project provides support to 20 countries in Africa                  ES-2
Figure 1. Percentages of DRC households without access to electricity per km2,        6
overlaid with high-voltage network
Figure 2. Percentages of southern DRC households without access to                    7
electricity per km2, overlaid with high-voltage network
Figure 3. PercentAGES of households in Kinshasa and Kongo Central Regions of          7
DRC without access to electricity per km2, overlaid with high-voltage network
Figure 4. Number of DRC households without access to electricity per 10 km           19
Figure 5.Total off-grid market potential                                             20
Figure 6. High-voltage DRC gridline with 5-km buffer                                 21
Figure 7. High-voltage DRC gridline with 10-km buffer                                21
Figure 8.The 15 most populous cities in DRC overlaid with the high-voltage           22
network
Figure 9. Number of modest-consumption-power households in DRC per 10 km2            25
Figure 10. Number of medium-consumption-power households in DRC per 10km2            25
Figure 11: Number of high-consumption-power households in DRC per 10 km         2
                                                                                     26
Figure 12. Number of households without access to electricity per km in Kasai
                                                                       2
                                                                                     37
Oriental Province and Mbuji-Mayi city
Figure 13. Number of modest-consumption households per km2 in Kinshasa city          37
Figure 14. Number of medium-consumption households per km in Kisangani city
                                                                   2
                                                                                     38
Figure 15. Number of high-consumption households per km in Mbandaka
                                                           2
                                                                                     38
Figure 16. Number of high-consumption households per 10-km grids in
                                                               2
                                                                                     39
Haut-Katanga province
Figure 17. Major DRC markets and roads, overlaid with the high-voltage network       40
Figure 18. Households lacking electricity access within 5 km of Route Nationale      40
N°1, PER 10-km2 grids
Figure 19. Households lacking electricity access within 5 km of Route Nationale      41
N°2, per 10-km2 grids
Figure 20. Households lacking electricity access within 5 km of Route Nationale      41
N°4, per 10-km2 grids
Figure 21. Households lacking electricity access within 5 km of Route Nationale      42
N°2, per 10-km2 grids
Democratic Republic of the Congo - Off-Grid Solar Market Assessment Power Africa Off-grid Project - USAID
TABLES
Table 1. DRC Population Summary                                                        1
Table 2. Recent Economic Development, DRC                                              1
Table 2. Recent Economic Development, DRC (continued)                                  2
Table 3. 2019 DRC Grid Connection Statistics                                           4
Table 4. DRC Electricity Grid Cost Summary                                             4
Table 5. DRC Energy Demand: Actual and Projected, 2010–2030 (in Mwh)                  18
Table 6. Households without Access to Electricity                                     19
Table 7. Consumer Groups in Relation to the High-Voltage Network                      24
Table 8. Sales Data in DRC by Product Category                                        27
Table 9. Sales Data in DRC by Business Model                                          28
Table 10. Market Value by Product Category                                            28
Table 11. Market Value by Business Model                                              28
Table 12. GOGLA Sales Data by Quality Verified by Non-Quality-Verified                29
Products
Table 13. Estimated Sales Data of Bundled Appliances for the Central Africa Region    29
Table 14. Estimated Market Penetration                                                29
Table 15. Country-Level Trends                                                        29
Table 16. GOGLA Estimated Impact in DRC From 2016 Through 2018                        30
Table 17. DRC Pico-Solar Company Summary                                              31
Table 18. Summary of FLP-Installed Solar Systems                                      34
Table 19. Main DRC Market Barriers and Potential Solutions                            35
Table 19. Main DRC Market Barriers and Potential Solutions (continued)                36
Table 20. Breakdown of Central Africa Region Funding Types,Transcations,              45
Business Model, Use of Funding, and Funding Flow by Investor Type
Table 20. Breakdown of Central Africa Region Funding Types,Transcations,              46
Business Model, Use of Funding, and Funding Flow by Investor Type (continued)
Table A-1. Data Dictionary                                                            A-2
Table A-2. DRC households without access to electricity nationwide and                A-3
by province
Table A-3. DRC households without access to electricity by proximity to               A-6
High-Voltage (HV) network, per province
Table A-4. National-level breakdown of key DRC indicators, by status of               A-5
Household access to electricity
Table A-5. Key Socioeconomic and Asset-Ownership Statistics, Among DRC                A-8
Households Without Access to Electricity: Consumption Power Profiles
Table A-6. DRC Households without access to electricity by consumption                A-9
power profile, nationwide and by province
Table A-7. Key DRC socioeconomic and asset ownership statistics: High-               A-10
consumption-power households vs. households with access to electricity
Table A-8. Agricultural activity statistics among DRC households without             A-11
access to electricity, by province
Table A-9. DRC households without access to electricity, by major city and           A-12
consumption-power profile
Table A-10. DRC households without access to electricity, by major city              A-13
and proximity to HV network
Democratic Republic of the Congo - Off-Grid Solar Market Assessment Power Africa Off-grid Project - USAID
Abbreviations and Acronyms

            Congolese Association for Renewables and Decentralized Energy (Association
  ACERD
            Congolaise pour les Énergies Renouvelables et Décentralisées)

  AfDB      African Development Bank

            National Agency of Investment Promotion (Agence Nationale Pour la Promotion des
  ANAPI
            Investissements)

            National Agency for Rural Electrification Services (Agence Nationale des Services
  ANSER
            Énergétiques Ruraux)

  ARE       Authority for Electricity Regulation (Autorité de Régulation de l’Électricité)

  ARPU      Average revenues per user

            Association of Cocoa and Coffee Exporters of the DRC (Association des
  ASSECAF
            Exportateurs du Cacao & Café de la République Démocratique du Congo)

  BIVAC     Bureau Veritas Inspection,Valuation, Assessment, and Control

  BOOT      Build, Operate, Own,Transfer

  CACH      Cap pour le Changemont

  CDC       Commonwealth Development Corporation

  CDF       Congolese francs

  CNE       National Energy Commission (Commission Nationale de l'Energie)

  DBSA      Development Bank of Southern Africa

  DFI       Development finance institution

  DFID      Department for International Development

  DHS       DRC 2014 Demographic and Health Survey

  DRC       Democratic Republic of the Congo

  EASE      Energy Access & Services Expansion

  EDC       Electricity of Congo (Electricité du Congo)

  ENK       North Kivu Energy (Energie du Nord Kivu)

  ENERKA    Kasai Energy Corporation (Société d’Énergie du Kasaï)
Democratic Republic of the Congo - Off-Grid Solar Market Assessment Power Africa Off-grid Project - USAID
EnerKac   Energie du Kasai Central

          For an Environment Conducive to Investment (Pour Un Environnement Propice a
ESSOR
          l’Investissement en DRC)

EU        European Union

FLP       Fense le Propre

GDP       Gross domestic product

GMG       Green mini-grid

GoDRC     Government of the Democratic Republic of Congo

GOGLA     Global Off-Grid Lighting Association

GUCE      Guichet Unique de Création d’Entreprise

GW        Gigawatt

IFC       International Finance Corporation

          Financial Institution for Development (Institution Financière pour les Oeuvres de
IFOD
          Développement)

          Credit Institute for Reconstruction (Kreditanstalt für Wiederaufbau), also known as the
KfW
          KfW Development Bank

km        Kilometer

kW        Kilowatt

kWh       Kilowatt hour

MAP       Making Access Possible

MDP       Market Development Programme

          Ministry of Energy and Hydraulic Resources (Ministère de l’Energie et des Ressources
MERH
          hydrauliques)

MFI       Micro-finance institution

MIBA      Mining Company of Bakwanga (Societé minière de Bakwanga)

          United Nations Organization Stabilization Mission in the Democratic Republic of
MONUSCO
          Congo

MW        Megawatt
Democratic Republic of the Congo - Off-Grid Solar Market Assessment Power Africa Off-grid Project - USAID
MWh      Megawatt hour

NGO      Nongovernmental organization

PAOP     Power Africa Off-grid Project

PAYGO    Pay-as-you-go

PEC      Persistent Energy Capital

PPA      Power Purchase Agreement

PPP      Public-Private Partnership

PNSD     National Strategic Development Plan (Plan National Stratégique de Développement)

PSR      Power Sector Reform

RE       Renewable energy

SADER    African Society of Rural Development (Société Africaine de Developpement Rural)

SARL     Société à responsabilité limitée

SE4ALL   Sustainable Energy for All

         Operating Corporation of the Single Window of Foreign Trade of the Democratic
SEGUCE   Republic of the Congo (Société d’Exploitation du Guichet Unique du Commerce
         Extérieur de la République Démocratique du Congo)
Democratic Republic of the Congo - Off-Grid Solar Market Assessment Power Africa Off-grid Project - USAID
SHS      Solar home system

SIM      Subscriber identification module

SME      Small and Medium Enterprises

SNEL     National Electricity Utility (Société Nationale d’Électricité)

SOKIMO   Gold Mining Company of Kilo-Moto (Société des mines d’or de Kilo-Moto)

         Unit for Management and Coordination of the Ministry’s Projects (L’Unité de
UCM
         Coordination et de Management des Projets)

         Union for Democracy and Social Progress (Union pour la Democratie et le Progres
UDPS
         Social)

UNCDF    United Nations Capital Development Fund

UNDP     United Nations Development Programme

USADF    United States African Development Foundation

VAT      Value-added tax
Democratic Republic of the Congo - Off-Grid Solar Market Assessment Power Africa Off-grid Project - USAID
INTRODUCTION

This report by Power Africa provides insights into the opportunities and risks associated with the
Democratic Republic of Congo’s off-grid solar energy market and gives companies, investors, governments,
and other stakeholders a deeper understanding of the market. While other stakeholders (i.e., development
partners) have conducted market assessments, Power Africa has identified market information gaps and
seeks to bridge those gaps in the following ways:

                     This report provides a comprehensive and detailed review of solar home systems
                     (SHSs), mini-grids, productive use of energy, and other aspects of the off-grid solar
                     value chain. Additionally, this report includes details on policy and regulatory issues,
                     the structure and historical context of the energy sector, and gender mainstreaming.

                     This report draws upon the most up-to-date sales and investment data from
                     GOGLA in order to keep pace with the ever-changing dynamics of the off-grid solar
                     sector. It also includes a geospatial analysis that highlights potential areas for off-grid
                     solar market expansion.

                     Insights in this report help Power Africa Off-grid Project (PAOP) plan and prioritize
                     activities across work streams of policy and regulations, market intelligence,
                     business performance, access to finance, and cross-sectoral integration throughout
                     sub-Saharan Africa.

The report also serves as a baseline for Power Africa’s technical advisors to guide their continuing work and
provides a snapshot that can be used to determine growth and changing dynamics of the market over time.
Insights provided in this report include characteristics of DRC’s electricity sector, electrification targets,
government regulations, donor-funded activities, and details on subsectors of the off-grid solar energy
market. Additionally, this report includes expert knowledge from Power Africa lead advisors, information
gathered from stakeholder interviews, and data from the Global Off-Grid Lighting Association (GOGLA).
For five countries (Cameroon, Côte d’Ivoire, the Democratic Republic of the Congo, Ethiopia, and Niger),
a geospatial analysis was performed that leveraged machine learning to identify the potential local markets
for off-grid solar energy. The geospatial analysis provides granular details (i.e., latent electricity demand by
household income) that will assist companies seeking to expand into new geographic markets.

About Power Africa and the Power Africa Off-grid Project (PAOP)
Power Africa aims to accelerate off-grid electrification across sub-Saharan Africa through targeted, context-
specific interventions with private-sector companies, governments, investors, and donors. Power Africa’s
goal is to increase electricity access by adding 30MW of new generation capacity, and 60 million new
connections through grid and off-grid solutions by 2030. The goal of the Power Africa Off-grid Project is to
provide support to private off-grid companies and make the markets in sub-Saharan Africa more attractive
for investment and operations. Power Africa defines “access” as the direct or actual number of new
households and businesses connected to electricity via an on- or off-grid solution. The project focuses on
accelerating off-grid energy access through household SHSs and mini-grids, with the goal of facilitating

ES-1    |   OFF-GRID MARKET ASSESSMENT FOR DRC                                       USAID.GOV/POWERAFRICA
six million new connections by 2022. The project aims to accelerate off-grid electrification across ten focus
countries in Africa: Cameroon, the Democratic Republic of the Congo, Côte d’Ivoire, Ethiopia, Ghana,
Kenya, Niger, Rwanda, Senegal, and Tanzania. Figure ES-1 identifies the countries in Africa receiving Power
Africa support, with the focus countries highlighted. The pins represent the locations of the project’s in-
country advisors.

FIGURE ES-1. THE PROJECT PROVIDES SUPPORT TO 20 COUNTRIES IN AFRICA

The Power Africa Off-grid Project is a Power Africa project funded by the U.S. Agency for International
Development (USAID). Power Africa brings together technical experts with stakeholders from the public
and private sectors to increase energy access rates in sub-Saharan Africa. The Power Africa Off-grid
Project is implemented by RTI International and headquartered in Pretoria, South Africa.

ES-2   |   OFF-GRID MARKET ASSESSMENT FOR DRC                                    USAID.GOV/POWERAFRICA
1        EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC) overview. DRC is the fourth most populated country
in Africa with an estimated population of 85.8 million people. Approximately 12 million people live in
the capital Kinshasa. The remaining population is spread out throughout the country at a low density of
38 people per square kilometer. The growth rate of its population is three percent per year. Currently,
more than 40 percent of the population lives in urban areas. Despite a recent period of economic growth,
including growth within the energy sector, DRC is still one of the poorest and least developed countries in
Africa and has active conflict zones.

Grid electrification. The National Electricity Company (Société Nationale d’Électricité [SNEL])
currently has only 500,000 registered connections, including those served through two hydroelectric- and
nine diesel-powered mini-grids.1 However, SNEL also has a long track record of operational and financial
underperformance. Due to a high rate of illegal connections and an extremely low average electricity tariff
of $0.07 per kilowatt hour (kWh), which is among the lowest in Africa, SNEL has suffered from continuous
operating losses amounting to $300 million in 2014.2 Although DRC has 100 gigawatts (GW) of hydro
potential, which is the highest in Africa, the current total installed capacity only amounts to 2.61 GW.
Of this amount, only 1.13 GW are typically available, as more than half of existing hydro plants run under
50-percent capacity because of aging infrastructure and lack of maintenance. DRC’s transmission network,
highlighted by high-level data provided by SNEL, shows an existing underdeveloped power transmission
network that is fragmented into three regional grids. Despite being the largest country in Africa, DRC only
has 5,510 kilometers of high-voltage transmission lines.3

Power Africa geospatial analysis. Findings from the Power Africa analysis indicate that between
12 and 13 million households in DRC do not have access to electricity, accounting for approximately 84
percent of the population.4 Households lacking electricity are spread throughout the country, including in
both urban and rural areas. Therefore, off-grid solutions are likely to become an important part of DRC’s
national electrification strategy, likely moreso than in most African countries.

Domestic support. The Ministry of Energy and Hydraulic Resources (MEHR) leads the development
of energy policies in DRC. Although no national policy for electricity supply is in place, the Government
of DRC (GoDRC) developed the National Strategic Development Plan (Plan National Stratégique de
Développement [PNSD]), which has a section focusing on electricity. DRC is also still waiting for the
establishment of an electricity regulatory authority and development of a detailed electricity law. The Unit
for Management and Coordination of the Ministry’s Projects (L’Unité de Coordination et de Management
des Projets [UCM]) has been operating since 2015 to support a range of energy projects in DRC. UCM has
been supporting a range of programs and coordinating with SNEL since 2017 regarding the rehabilitation of
existing grid infrastructure and extension of electricity lines.

1
  Referred to throughout this document as hydro.
2
  Most recent figures that could be obtained.
3
  ICF International, “Conceptual Plan for Enhancing Transmission Infrastructure to Expand Electricity Access in the Democratic
Republic of the Congo (DRC).”
4
  Statistics regarding households without access to electricity are based on Fraym data, which pulls data from the DRC 2014
Demographic and Health Survey and LandScan population data. A full discussion of the methodology used to develop estimates
for populations without access to electricity are presented in Annex 1.

ES-3     |   OFF-GRID MARKET ASSESSMENT FOR DRC                                                USAID.GOV/POWERAFRICA
In July 2018, DRC’s renewable energy companies established a national association called the Congolese
Association for Renewable and Decentralized Energy (Association Congolaise pour les Énergies
Renouvelables et Décentralisées [ACERD]. ACERD coordinates energy companies in DRC to respond
to energy access problems and to create a conducive environment for the development of the renewable
energy private sector. Currently, ACERD lacks capacity with only approximately 12 members, but it is
already establishing itself nationally and has gained membership in the Global Off-Grid Lighting Association
(GOGLA).

International support. To improve energy access, the World Bank Group is funding $25 million for
the off-grid sector, $10 million for a credit line, and $15 million in provisional grants for both mini-grid
and solar developers. This includes a $10 million grant for mini-grids and a $5 million grant for pico-solar
companies. The Credit Institute for Reconstruction (Kreditanstalt für Wiederaufbau [KfW]), also known as
the KfW Development Bank, is developing a hydro-funding program called Pro-Hydro and piloting a project
to support the private sector. The Department for International Development (DFID) has been assessing
25 sites for solar mini-grids, where it will fund three pilot projects. In addition, DFID’s development
program ELAN5 has been supporting off-grid companies, and DFID’s “For an Environment Conducive to
Investment” program (Pour Un Environnement Propice a l’Investissement en DRC [ESSOR]) is supporting
the mini-grid sector. The ELAN and ESSOR programs both end in 2019. The U.S. Agency for International
Development’s (USAID) ECODIT program6 had been supporting the policy and regulatory sector in DRC,
but this program ended in 2019.

Pico-solar sector overview. As DRC has a limited electricity grid, this provides a huge opportunity
for off-grid solar. DRC might even become the first country where off-grid connections surpass grid
connections. However, DRC’s pico-solar sector is still in a relatively early stage of development. Only
a handful of companies are currently in operation: Altech, BBOXX, d.light, Fense le Propre, AEG, and
Greenlight Planet. Most of these companies are still in an early stage of development.

Sales of pico-solar systems in DRC have fluctuated since 2014. A peak in sales occurred in 2017. The data
show that sales are generally higher for solar lanterns and lower for solar home systems (SHSs). No data
are available regarding pay-as-you-go (PAYGO) versus cash sales, as PAYGO is relatively new in DRC, and
most sales have been via cash to date; however, PAYGO sales are starting to pick up. Also, although the
limited data show that GOGLA members are predominantly selling quality-verified products in DRC, many
low-quality products are being sold in DRC by non-members. However, it is impossible to determine how
many of these products are being sold by non-members, as no data currently exist. Although data is limited
regarding the sales of bundled appliances in DRC, the available data do indicate that sales of televisions
began in late 2017 and the sale of fans has not yet begun. The data also show that there is currently a very
large population in DRC without access to electricity and a very low market penetration rate of just five
percent of the population. Finally, although total sales of pico-solar systems decreased from 2017 to 2018,
they have been increasing significantly toward the second half of 2018, and it is expected that the sales will
continue to increase in 2019.

5
    ELAN is the program name, not an abbreviation.
6
    ECODIT, LLC is the company name.

ES-4        |   OFF-GRID MARKET ASSESSMENT FOR DRC                                USAID.GOV/POWERAFRICA
Data regarding investment made in Central Africa only became available from 2016 and show that 2017 had
the greatest investment so far, dominated by grants from a donor program. Investment levels dropped in
2018 to levels similar to 2016. However, the number of financial transactions has steadily increased year
after year. Investments made in 2017 and 2018 focused on regional expansion and scaling up of existing
business models. There was a significant increase in crowdfunding in 2018, which indicates a very positive
trend for future investments in the Central African region. The main market barriers that the off-grid solar
sector is still experiencing include: a long and expensive importation process; high duties and taxes; high
distribution costs, particularly for rural areas; lack of an experienced and skilled local workforce; limited
mobile phone reception and mobile money in rural areas; and low access to working capital and consumer
finance.

The Renewable Energy Department at MEHR is currently developing a decree to build upon a 2014 law that
regulates electricity from hydraulic origins. The decree will clarify ambiguities within the renewable energy
sector and include language on solar generation. The Congo Control Office (Office Congolais de Contrôle)
with support from the Operating Corporation of the Single Window of Foreign Trade of the Democratic
Republic of the Congo (Société d’Exploitation du Guichet Unique du Commerce Extérieur de la République
Démocratique du Congo [SEGUCE]), oversees quality standards, but a specific focus on solar systems
is currently lacking. In addition, although GoDRC has lifted import duties and valued-added taxes for
generation equipment, including renewable generation, it is unclear whether or not these waivers include
solar generation. The waivers are not yet being implemented in practice.

Although GoDRC is making efforts to improve financial inclusion, the rate of banking in DRC remains
very low at approximately 6 percent. The Central Bank of Congo has been developing incentives for
commercial banks and micro-finance institutions (MFIs). The 2014 Making Access Possible (MAP)
initiative, in collaboration with the United Nations Capital Development Fund (UNCDF), has completed
a detailed analysis of the supply, demand, and regulation of financial services. There have been attempts
to collaborate between banks and pico-solar companies; however, little progress has been made. Lending
remains too expensive, and banks have little motivation to develop specific SHS financial products, given
the perceived repayment risk. To date, the level of investment in off-grid companies has also been low,
although a number of new investors are starting to show more interest due to recent economic growth.
DRC has approximately 20 MFIs with approximately 1 million customers, including Finca DRC, the Financial
Institution for Development (Institution Financière pour les Œuvres de Développement [IFOD]), Advans
Bank, Vision Fund, and Baobab. Both Finca DRC and IFOD are starting to develop solar financial products.
Mobile money is also starting to develop in DRC due to a relatively high mobile telephone ownership. 56
percent of the population owns at least one subscriber identification module (SIM) card. Although most
mobile money operators are still located in urban areas of DRC, they are starting to reach rural areas, with
operators currently estimated to cover 41 percent of the country.

Gender equality is a relatively new topic in DRC, and no pico-solar companies currently focus on gender
mainstreaming. However, GoDRC recently changed its constitution to improve the conditions for women in
society, which will create new opportunity.

Mini-grid sector overview. Based on current grid coverage, it has been estimated that 61 million
people could be connected to mini-grids in DRC in the future. This estimate suggests an annual market
potential of $921 million, assuming that household spending comprises 60 percent of the total revenue of a
mini-grid in addition to revenue from businesses, public-sector buildings, and industrial users. The 141 main
population centers located beyond the grid represent a theoretical mini-grid market of 10 million people,
valued at $153 million per year. This estimate assumes that the entire population of these centers could be
connected to mini-grids.

ES-5    |   OFF-GRID MARKET ASSESSMENT FOR DRC                                   USAID.GOV/POWERAFRICA
Although SNEL and some local and international companies—such as Sokimo, the Kasai Energy
Corporation (Société d’Énergie du Kasaï [ENERKA]), North Kivu Energy (Energie du Nord Kivu [ENK]),
SADER, and Virunga—are investing in mini-grid projects, there are many factors that hamper further sector
development and investment. First, the political situation is volatile, and multiple regions are experiencing
security challenges. Second, it is difficult for businesses to succeed in DRC. In the World Bank Group’s 2017
Doing Business Report, the country ranks 184th out of 190 countries in ease of doing business.7 The visa
requirements are lengthy and burdensome, which discourage business travel and prospective investments.
More factors include corruption, limited access to financing, and poor infrastructure. There are several
regions of the country that are only accessible by air transport. The Authority for Electricity Regulation
(ARE) and the National Agency for Rural Electrification Services (ANSER) are not yet operational, and
GoDRC has not yet developed specific mini-grid regulations in full detail. However, several support
programs are growing.

                          Productive-use sector overview. Although asset ownership remains low
                          among households without access to electricity across DRC compared with
                          households with access, a high proportion of off-grid households own land suitable
                          for agriculture or livestock. Solar systems can provide electricity to mills for the
                          processing of crops or animal products, such as peanuts, palm oil, milk, and meat.

Many productive-use off-grid technologies have yet to be developed and implemented in DRC. However,
several local companies and organizations have identified opportunities. ASSECAF is one such Congolese
association of cocoa and coffee exporters, consisting of 24 cooperatives and company members. In addition
to coffee and cocoa, ASSECAF also looks for future opportunities for quinquina, rauvolfia (devil peppers),
and papaya. Though not yet involved in the productive use of solar energy, the association welcomes
opportunities to grant its farmers access to clean and affordable energy.

7
    The World Bank, Doing Business 2017.

ES-6       |   OFF-GRID MARKET ASSESSMENT FOR DRC                                     USAID.GOV/POWERAFRICA
2         DEMOCRATIC REPUBLIC OF THE CONGO ENERGY
          SECTOR OVERVIEW

2.1       COUNTRY INTRODUCTION

2.1.1     POPULATION SUMMARY
DRC conducted its last population census in 1984, therefore present-day population data is based on
projections. The country’s population is estimated to be 85,848,600 (see Table 1).

    TABLE 1. DRC POPULATION SUMMARY
    POPULATION
                                               85,848,600; approximately 12 million live in the capital city of Kinshasa
    (GENDER-DISAGGREGATED)
    POPULATION DENSITY AND
                                               38/km2 and 3.24% per year
    GROWTH RATE

    HOUSEHOLD SIZE (MEAN)                      5.3 persons
    PERCENTAGE FEMALE-HEADED
                                               Approximately 25%
    HOUSEHOLDS
    PERCENTAGE URBAN
                                               40.7%
    POPULATION
    MAIN AND OTHER LOCAL
                                               French, Kikongo, Lingala, Swahili and Tshiluba.
    LANGUAGES SPOKEN
    OTHER RELEVANT DATA                        The median age in DRC is 16.8 years.

Sources: 8
Table 2 provides a summary of recent relevant economic development within DRC.

    TABLE 2. RECENT ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT, DRC

    GROSS DOMESTIC
    PRODUCT (GDP) AND
    OTHER RECENT                 $35 billion in 2016; GDP growth: 2%–4%; GDP per capita: $400–450
    ECONOMIC GROWTH
    INDICATORS
                                 The economy relies heavily on mining, which accounts for approximately one-fifth of
                                 GDP and 95% of exports. DRC produces several minerals, including copper, cobalt,
                                 zinc, gold, and diamonds.The economy is therefore vulnerable to fluctuations in
                                 commodity prices.The World Bank has supported GoDRC’s efforts to prioritize its
                                 agricultural sector by privatizing several government-owned farms and the establish-
    MAIN INDUSTRIES              ing agro-industrial parks in several provinces.
    AND EXPORTS
                                 DRC’s most profitable export is copper, followed by crude oil and coffee, its leading
                                 agricultural export. Its fourth export, rubber, has been recovering from nationaliza-
                                 tion.Although some rubber plantations in the Équateur and Mai-Ndombe provinces
                                 have been operating for more than 50 years, others have recently been replanted for
                                 the first time in more than 20 years.

8
 The World Bank, “The World Bank in DRC”; United Nations Development Programme, “Household Size and Composition
Around the World 2017”; East View Information Services, “LandScan Global Population Database”; United Nations, “DR Congo
Population.”

1     |      OFF-GRID MARKET ASSESSMENT FOR DRC                                            USAID.GOV/POWERAFRICA
TABLE 2. RECENT ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT, DRC (CONTINUED)
                                  As of 2019, land under cultivation in DRC currently only constitutes 3.5% of total
                                  land area, contributing 18% of GDP and over 60% of new jobs. Only 10% of DRC’s
    MAIN AREAS OF                 arable land is used.This means that DRC currently fails to ensure food indepen-
    ADULT EMPLOYMENT              dence. DRC has to import many basic food products. Subsistence farming employs
    IN RURAL AREAS                the vast majority of the workforce (around four million families) on plots averaging
                                  1.6 hectares. Commercial farming, carried out within plantations is export-oriented
                                  but underdeveloped.

    LAND AREA                     2,267,050 km2 (second largest country in Africa, behind Algeria).

                                  The principal crops grown in DRC are cassava, yams, plantains, rice, and maize.
    MAIN CROPS BEING              Subsistence farmers produce mainly manioc, corn, tubers, and sorghum. DRC is not
    GROWN                         drought-prone but has limited infrastructure, which is a barrier to effectively supply-
                                  ing food throughout the country.
                                  Feronia Inc. is a public company listed on Canada’s TSX Venture Exchange. Operat-
    ORGANIZATIONS                 ing since 1911 as a large-scale commercial farmland and plantation operator, it uses
    ACTIVE WITHIN
                                  modern agricultural practices to manage palm oil, and other plantations. Feronia’s
    THE CROP AND
    LIVESTOCK SECTORS             palm oil subsidiary in DRC is PHC (Plantations et Huileries du Congo), which oper-
                                  ates in Équateur and Orientale provinces, managing three established plantations.
                                  DRC has the potential to achieve high levels of economic growth in its mining and
                                  agriculture sectors. However, unlocking this potential requires significant policy and
                                  regulatory reform, as well as investment in infrastructure and human capital devel-
                                  opment.To address this, DRC’s National Strategic Development Plan (Plan National
    OTHER RELEVANT                Stratégique de Développement [PNSD]) for 2017–2021 outlines four priorities:
    ECONOMIC
    INDICATORS                    • Stabilize and rebuild conflict zones, particularly in the Kivu region
                                  • Consolidate and maintain high economic growth
                                  • Create employment through the creation of relevant policies
                                  • Increase human development through education, health, and social inclusion
Sources: 9

2.2       ENERGY SECTOR

2.2.1     GRID ELECTRIFICATION SUMMARY
The state utility in DRC, the National Electricity Company (Société Nationale d’Électricité [SNEL]), has a
long track record of operational and financial underperformance. This is due to a high rate of illegal user
connections and an extremely low average electricity tariff of $0.07 per kilowatt hour (kWh), which is
one of the lowest in Africa. They have also endured continuous operating losses. According to a report by
Power for All, losses in 2014 amounted to $300 million. To address these performance problems, provide
management and technical advisory services, and prepare a near-term recovery plan, SNEL recruited
Manitoba Hydro International with World Bank funding in 2015. The plan, approved in 2016, still requires
significant external funding to implement.

Electricity Generation: Although DRC has 100 gigawatts (GW) of hydro potential, which is the
highest in Africa, it only has 2.61 GW of generating capacity installed. Of this, only 1.13 GW is typically
available. This is because more than half of the existing hydro plants run below 50-percent capacity due to

9
 worldatlas, “Democratic Republic of the Congo”; SEforALL Africa Hub and African Development Bank, “Mini Grid Market
Opportunity Assessment: Democratic Republic of the Congo.”

2     |      OFF-GRID MARKET ASSESSMENT FOR DRC                                              USAID.GOV/POWERAFRICA
aging infrastructure and a lack of maintenance. Of its total hydro potential, 40 GW are concentrated in
the Inga Falls area, 140 miles southwest of Kinshasa. Two dams (Inga 1 and Inga 2) with capacities of 351
and 1,424 megawatts (MW), respectively, were completed in 1972 and 1982. A third dam (Inga 3) with a
potential of 4,500 MW is at the developmental phase. Other existing hydro plants in DRC include Nseke
(248.4 MW), Nzilo (108 MW), Zongo 1 (75 MW), Mwadingusha (68 MW), Ruzizi 1 and 2 (29.8 and 44
MW), and Koni (42 MW). Most were built more than 40 years ago and are running well below capacity due
to poor maintenance.

Electricity Transmission: According to high-level SNEL data, DRC relies on an underdeveloped
transmission network, divided into three regional grids that, despite supplying the second largest country in
Africa, have only 5,510 km of high-voltage (HV) transmission lines.10 The grids cover the following provinces:
     ›       Western grid: Kongo Central and Kinshasa provinces.
     ›       Eastern grid: North Kivu and South Kivu provinces.
     ›       Southern grid: Haut-Katanga and Lualaba provinces.

The western and southern grids are connected by a 500-kilovolt Inga-Kolwezi link, although the distribution
network is poorly developed within the region along the link.

As a result, a whole ecosystem of alternatives has sprung up, including the following:
     ›       Shared generators set up by local entrepreneurs
     ›       Battery-powered flashlights
     ›       Low-quality component-based solar panels bought in the open market

These alternatives tend to be expensive, of poor quality, and even dangerous. It is not uncommon for wild
voltage swings from cheap generators to destroy appliances and start fires.
In several towns, electricity is supplied by several formal independent power producers (IPPs), including the
following:
     ›       Electricity of Congo (Electricité du Congo [EDC]) in Tshikapa
     ›       Virunga SARL in Mutwanga and Matebe
     ›       Kasai Energy Company (Société d’Energie ïdu Kasaï [ENERKA]) in Mbuji-Mayi
     ›       Mining companies, including Kilo-Moto Gold Mining Company (Société des mines d’or de Kilo-Moto
             [SOKIMO]), which connects nearby households as part of their social support initiatives
     ›       Faith-based and nongovernmental organizations (NGOs)
However, in many other urban areas, including Gemena, which has 300,000 inhabitants, most households
are only able to access electricity informally.

Electricity Distribution: SNEL, the state utility, has just 500,000 registered connections, including
those served through two hydroelectric and nine diesel mini-grids.11 The exact number of users may be
significantly higher, as an estimated three to five households connect informally for every formal customer.
This practice is encouraged by the fact that approximately 95 percent of SNEL customers are unmetered,
being charged a flat monthly fee. This is despite the fact that the electricity service is intermittent and
SNEL’s poor energy infrastructure causes grid outages over 75 percent of the time. For instance, Kisangani,
a city of 1.6 million people, was without power for months when the city’s hydroelectric dam broke down.
Butembo, a city of 700,000 people, has not had a functioning grid since its independence in 1960. Table 3
lists statistics for DRC’s grid connections.

10
   ICF International, “Conceptual Plan for Enhancing Transmission Infrastructure to Expand Electricity Access in the Democratic
Republic of the Congo (DRC).”
11
   Power for All, “Research Summary.”

3        |   OFF-GRID MARKET ASSESSMENT FOR DRC                                                 USAID.GOV/POWERAFRICA
TABLE 3. 2019 DRC GRID CONNECTION STATISTICS

     NATIONAL GRID                      DRC is one of the least electrified countries in Africa, with national electrification
     ACCESS RATE                        estimated to be only 9%.
     NUMBER OF                          The electricity access rate is above 50% only in Kinshasa and the territories of
     GRID-CONNECTED                     Sakania, Kipushi, Beni, and Moanda. In only 10 administrative regions the rate is
     CUSTOMERS IN                       above 20%. All but 12 of the remaining administrative regions have a rate below
     URBAN AREAS                        5%.
     NUMBER OF                          Most of DRC is not covered by the national grid, and this is likely to remain the
     GRID-CONNECTED
                                        case for the foreseeable future due to the current limited reach of its grid, the size
     CUSTOMERS IN RURAL
     AREAS                              of the country, and limited transmission investments in the pipeline.

                                        African Development Bank (AfDB) analysis estimates that only 19 million people
     PERCENTAGE OF                      (22% of the population) live within 15 km of the present grid, and that 31 million
     POPULATION WITHIN                  (36%) live within 15 km of the existing and planned grid. More than 50 million
     15 KM OF GRID                      people (58%) live beyond the reach of the existing grid, which presents significant
                                        opportunities for mini-grid and off-grid systems.
Sources: 12

2.2.2        CURRENT ELECTRICITY TARIFF RATES IN DRC
DRC’s electricity tariffs are set by SNEL and governed by Decree No. 005/CAB/MIN-ECONAT &
COM/2009, established on March 7, 2009, later amended by Order No. 023/CAB/MIN-ECO & COM/2012
of October 11, 2012, which replaced the previous 1978 Law. SNEL’s reform was intended to correct their
tariff system, which was not financially viable and sustainable in the long-term, requiring that the new
pricing system fully reflects all internal and external costs. The exact tariffs are supposed to be calculated
based on the cost of electricity production in addition to the distance between the final consumer and the
power plant. The price increases with distance. However, although the electricity tariff is regulated, the law
also allows SNEL certain latitude when setting the exact prices, making it difficult to determine their exact
breakdown. Table 4 outlines the electricity grid tariffs currently being applied in 2019.

     TABLE 4. DRC ELECTRICITY GRID COST SUMMARY
     ELECTRICITY TARIFF CATEGORY                                   GRID COST (TARIFFS) IN USD/KWH
     CATEGORY 1: LOW VOLTAGE
     Poor households/low-income users                              0.027
     Medium-class households/residential 1                         0.039
     High-class households/residential 2                           0.087
     Commercial                                                    0.110
     Electricity-intensive businesses                              0.150
     CATEGORY 2: MEDIUM VOLTAGE
     Electricity-intensive businesses                              0.098
     Developing businesses                                         0.097
     Diplomatic houses and offices                                 0.095
     NGOs                                                          0.087
     HIGH VOLTAGE                                                  0.057

Source: 13
12
     Power Africa, “Democratic Republic of the Congo Power Africa Fact Sheet.”
13
     SNEL, “SNEL | Société Nationale d’Électricité.”

4       |    OFF-GRID MARKET ASSESSMENT FOR DRC                                                 USAID.GOV/POWERAFRICA
Decree No. 005 also states that the present electricity tariffs were to be copied from the eastern region of
the country and applied in other provinces, including Kongo Central, Kinshasa, Katanga and Bandundu, at
least for the low-voltage category.

2.2.3       QUALITY OF GRID ELECTRIFICATION IN DRC
The service offered by SNEL is unreliable, often absent, and poor in quality. The entire DRC electricity
network faces many problems:
    ›       A lack of vision or development strategy for the electricity sector that has persisted for more than
            two decades
    ›       A lack of network maintenance dating back to the colonial era
    ›       Generation sites running below capacity
    ›       Poor or obsolete distribution networks that incur high energy losses
    ›       Rising demand because of a growing demography

Additionally, numerous informal electrical connections overload the lines and decrease the electricity
supply quality that reaches registered customers. Although Kinshasa has around 12 million inhabitants
and an estimated energy demand of 1,000 MW, SNEL only provides around 45 percent of this. It is now
being powered by the Zongo 1 line from Kongo Central as well as lines from Inga 1 and 2 (and Inga 3 in
due course). These lines can generate a total output of 1,844 MW. However, due to the problems listed
above, they only produce around 900 MW, as most power plants only operate at 50 percent of their
capacity. From what is generated by the Zongo 1 line from Kongo Central, Katanga Province receives 300
to 400 MW and Kinshasa receives whatever remains, often 400 to 600 MW. All these elements explain the
presence of black pockets. Whole areas of the city receive no electricity due to a lack of connections or
structural load shedding from power shortages.

The following statistics on household access to electricity in DRC are based on data from a Power Africa
analysis, which uses survey data from the DRC 2014 Demographic and Health Survey (DHS), population
data from LandScan, and raw and modeled satellite imagery. A full discussion of the methodology used in
estimates for populations without access to electricity can be found in Annex A.

Mapping households without access to electricity
    ›       About 13.1 million households in DRC do not have access to electricity, accounting for about 84
            percent of the population.
    ›       Larger cities like Lubumbashi (214,000 households), Matadi (67,000), and Likasi (54,000) have
            electrification rates above 70 percent, but even in these cities there are still a considerable number
            of households without access to electricity—60,000 across all three cities.
    ›       Over 80 percent of Kinshasa households have access to electricity, but more than 280,000
            households lack access.
    ›       Conversely, other large urban areas, such as Kikwit and Mbuji-Mayi, have large populations but
            very little access to electricity. In Kikwit, only four percent of 174,000 households have access to
            electricity, while in Mbuji-Mayi, 12 percent of 200,000 households have access.

5       |   OFF-GRID MARKET ASSESSMENT FOR DRC                                         USAID.GOV/POWERAFRICA
Comparison of household electricity access estimates to the HV network
    ›       Power Africa’s electricity access estimates align closely with the HV network across DRC, especially
            in the south (Figures 3 and 4). Specifically, areas with a high proportion of households with access to
            electricity tend to be located close to the HV network (Figure 5).
    ›       While there are medium- and low-voltage lines servicing communities outside of the range of
            the HV network, data on the coverage of these lines were either unavailable or unsupported by
            appropriate third-party sources.

FIGURE 1. PERCENTAGES OF DRC HOUSEHOLDS WITHOUT ACCESS TO ELECTRICITY PER KM2, OVERLAID
WITH HIGH-VOLTAGE NETWORK

    Percentage of households
    that are dependent on
    non-grid lighting sources

             0% - 20%
             21% - 40%
             41% - 60%
             61% - 80%
             81% - 100%
             High voltage network
             Province Boundaries
             Waterbodies no data

    Source: Power Africa Geospatial
    Analysis 2019

Note: Data on the HV network were obtained from the data collection and mapping work in the World Bank project DRC EASE
(Energy Access & Services Expansion). As described by the World Bank, this information was revised and adjusted based on
consultation with SNEL and with energy specialists working in DRC and provides the most up-to-date and credible map of the HV
network in DRC. Details on data and methods used to identify households without access to electricity can be found in Annex A
at the end of this report.

6       |   OFF-GRID MARKET ASSESSMENT FOR DRC                                              USAID.GOV/POWERAFRICA
FIGURE 2. PERCENTAGES OF SOUTHERN DRC HOUSEHOLDS WITHOUT ACCESS TO ELECTRICITY PER
KM2, OVERLAID WITH HIGH-VOLTAGE NETWORK

    Percentage of households
    that are dependent on
    non-grid lighting sources

          0% - 20%
          21% - 40%
          41% - 60%
          61% - 80%
          81% - 100%
          High voltage network
          Province Boundaries
          Waterbodies no data

    Source: Power Africa Geospatial
    Analysis 2019

Note: Map focuses on the lower half of the country, where the majority of the HV network is. The World Bank project DRC
EASE (Energy Access & Services Expansion) collected and mapped data on the HV network. Details on data and methods used to
identify households without access to electricity can be found in Annex A at the end of this report.

FIGURE 3. PERCENTAGES OF HOUSEHOLDS IN KINSHASA AND KONGO CENTRAL REGIONS OF DRC
WITHOUT ACCESS TO ELECTRICITY PER KM2, OVERLAID WITH HIGH-VOLTAGE NETWORK

    Percentage of households that are dependent on non-grid lighting sources

          0% - 20%                    81% - 100%                     While the majority of DRC lacks access to electricity,
          21% - 40%                   High voltage network           larger urban areas lile Kinshasa, Matadi, Mbanza-
                                                                     Ngungu and Moanda have higher proportions of
          41% - 60%                   Province Boundaries            households with access to electricity
          61% - 80%                   Waterbodies no data            Source: Power Africa Geospatial Analysis 2019

Note: This map focuses on Kinshasa and Kongo Central regions, where large cities with high proportions of households with
access to electricity reside The World Bank project DRC EASE (Energy Access & Services Expansion) collected and mapped data
on the HV network. Details on data and methods used to identify households without access to electricity can be found in Annex
A at the end of this report.

7    |   OFF-GRID MARKET ASSESSMENT FOR DRC                                                   USAID.GOV/POWERAFRICA
Current Status of Independent Power Producers (IPPs) and Power Purchase
Agreements (PPAs) in DRC
The following is a summary of the current IPPs with any relevant PPAs operating in DRC:

    ›       EDC, an IPP, has 10,000 customers in Tshikapa, consisting of Phase 1, entailing the densification
            of the existing mini-grid network based on available capacity at Lungudi 1 (0.6–0.7 MW excess
            capacity) and Phase 2 being the construction of Lungudi 2 (first tranche of 4.27 MW).

    ›       The IPP Virunga has 5,000 clients in Mutwanga and Matebe. The European Union (EU) financed
            80 percent of the 400 kilowatt (kW) Virunga hydroelectric plant in Mutwanga and provided $2.5
            million in technical assistance for the 12.6 MW hydro plant in Matebe. In 2016, the Commonwealth
            Development Corporation (CDC) invested $2.5 million in debt in Virunga to expand the Matebe
            plant distribution grid.

    ›       North Kivu Energy (Energie du Nord Kivu [ENK], PPP), in Beni and Butembo, for construction
            of the Taliyia 1 (12.1 MW) and Ivugha (2.3 MW) hydroelectric power plant; also targets the
            construction of the Beni-Butembo transmission line and distribution networks.

    ›       Kananga, Kasai Central Province, Energy of Kasai Central (Energie du Kasaï Central [EnerKac];
            PPP): Rehabilitation and extension of the SNEL network, construction of the Tshibashi hydroelectric
            power plant (2 MW).

    ›       The ENERKA/AEE Power/Katanga Energy (KATen)/Mining Company of Bakwanga (Societé minière
            de Bakwanga [MIBA]) Consortium benefited from the technical assistance from ECODIT’s support
            program, to develop the contractual framework needed to rehabilitate the hydroelectric power
            plant of Tshiala, which should supply Mbuji-Mayi in the Kasai Region. ENERKA also supplied the city
            of Mbuji with financing from the Howard G. Buffett Foundation.

These pilot projects have benefited from sizeable grant funding from the EU-Africa Infrastructure Trust
Fund, the World Bank, the CDC, the Howard G. Buffett Foundation, and the Development Bank of South
Africa (DBSA). The CDC is expected to invest an additional $6.5 million in debt for the construction of
new mini-grids in Lubero and Beni or Rutshuru. In addition, ENK has received financial support from the
World Bank and DBSA for its mini-grid project.

2.3         OVERALL POLITICAL LANDSCAPE IN DRC
After several post-independence decades, on December 30, 2018, DRC organized its second round of
democratic elections, which led to a peaceful transition and transfer of power from former president
Joseph Kabila to President-Elect Félix Antoine Tshisekedi. The Congolese people democratically elected
Félix Tshisekedi, the son of Étienne Tshisekedi, a former prime minister and the head of DRC’s only
opposition party, Union for Democracy and Social Progress (Union pour la Democratie et le Progres
Social) (UDPS). The election was disputed by international and national observers, including the Catholic
Church, whose opinion influences the stability of the country. The contested elections have slowed
President Tshisekedi’s ability to form a government, because the two chambers of Parliament are mostly
occupied by the coalition Cap pour le Changemont (CACH) led by the government of former president
Kabila. However, the protests have slowly dwindled. The international community is slowly coming to
accept the elections, and the Catholic Church has become increasingly quiet on the subject. In terms of
national security, DRC has endured a lengthy armed conflict in the east that has destabilized the entire
country. In the absence of a fully functioning government, GoDRC still effectively operates under the same
structure of the outgoing administration. New officials only manage bureaucratic affairs and cannot establish
new laws. Tshisekedi’s planned program, which has had a slow start, focuses on three areas: the fight against

8       |   OFF-GRID MARKET ASSESSMENT FOR DRC                                        USAID.GOV/POWERAFRICA
corruption, respect for human rights, and economic growth. The 2018 democratic elections send a strong
signal to investors that DRC is moving towards stability and economic growth. DRC’s next election is
scheduled for 2024.

2.4         DRC GOVERNMENTAL ENERGY STRATEGY AND INSTITUTIONS
United Nations Development Programme (UNDP) has been supporting the DRC government under
the supervision of Ministry of Energy and Hydraulic Resources (Ministère de l’Energie et des Ressources
Hydrauliques [MERH]) in its national implementation of the global Sustainable Energy for All (SE4ALL)
initiative. This started in 2009 with a nine-month market study that was tasked with identifying energy
supply and demand and crafting a statement of needs. The study sets SE4ALL targets for DRC to achieve by
2030. Eleven specific objectives are defined under three main objectives, two of which are as follows:

    ›       Modernization of rural water supply through the promotion of renewable energy systems and
            modern pumping (electricity, solar, and wind energy).

    ›       Increasing the share of new and renewable energy (RE) in the energy mix from 2.4 percent in 2010
            to 30 percent in 2030.

In 2018, the government drew up the National Plan for Strategic Development (Plan National Stratégique
de Développement [PNSD]), as well as another important government strategy document, which also
focuses on the goal of poverty reduction, the Poverty Reduction Strategy Papers (PRSP) report (from
the National Institute of Statistics [Institut National de la Statistique]/Enquete 1-2-3; September 2014).
However, both reports contain only one section devoted to electricity sector development, and DRC still
has no national policy for electricity supply. In its absence, DRC’s SE4ALL study is viewed as the closest
version, which aims to tackle the following barriers:

    ›       Institutional: As DRC defines the role of its electricity regulator, it also needs to establish
            a regulatory framework for provision of electricity from a range of sources and technologies.

    ›       Financial: Although rich in resources, DRC faces problems in accessing financing and
            investment, which are too often dependent on foreign capital.

    ›       Technological: DRC lags in energy efficiency, energy control, and technology transfer
            compared to other international or regional countries.

    ›       Poverty Level: Poverty limits households’ ability to access products because of their low
            purchasing power.

In addition, DRC is still waiting for the establishment of: (i) a regulatory authority for electricity, (ii) an
updated and relevant Electricity Law No. 14/011, promulgated June 17, 2014 (hereafter referred to as the
“2014 Electricity Law”), and (iii) the empowerment of leading organizations such as the National Energy
Commission (Commission Nationale de l’Energie [CNE]), the Centre for Technical Energy Support, and the
National Regulatory Authority for the Electricity Sector (Authorité de Régulation du Secteur de l’Electricité
[ARE]). Currently, the 2014 Electricity Law contains no specific mention of pico-solar systems. It only
specifically mentions grid and mini-grid systems.

9       |   OFF-GRID MARKET ASSESSMENT FOR DRC                                       USAID.GOV/POWERAFRICA
Ministry of Energy and Water Resources (Ministere de l’Energie et des Ressources
Hydrauliques [MERH])

MERH is the main authority in the electricity sector. In addition to overseeing the national utility, SNEL,
its responsibilities include planning, policy, and program development and oversight. Within MERH,
the Unit for the Management and Coordination of the Ministry’s Projects (L’Unité de Coordination et
de Management des Projets [UCM]) supervises, administers, and coordinates MERH’s electricity and
water projects. Its responsibilities include identifying renewable energy sites, selecting and preparing
medium power plant projects for public-private partnerships (PPPs), analyzing the regulations for the
implementation of such projects, and coordinating donor financing programs. CNE collects data and
carries out research at the request of MERH to inform energy policy. The National Agency of Investment
Promotion (Agence Nationale Pour la Promotion des Investissements [ANAPI]) promotes and facilitates
investment opportunities including in the energy sector.

The development of the 2014 Electricity Law helped open the power sector in DRC to private operators.
The law did so by removing SNEL’s monopoly status and laying the foundation of a new legal framework to
promote PPPs and private investments. Following this, GoDRC established a new law in December 2018
(No. 085 RC AB/ MIN/EN RH/l 8) to regulate the contracting of concessions, including the contract type,
models of licenses and authorizations of the electricity sector. The 2014 Electricity Law also reviewed the
institutional framework, creating new agencies and transferring power to the provincial authorities. The
law also required the formation of two new agencies, ARE and the National Agency for the Electrification
of Rural and Suburban Areas (ANSER), although neither is yet operational. ARE’s main responsibilities
will include resolving stakeholder disputes, ensuring fair competition, supporting the tendering of
power projects, and ensuring that tariffs submitted by operators work within the cost structure of
projects. ANSER’s main responsibility will include promoting planning and financing of rural and suburban
electrification projects. The 2014 Electricity Law also transfers to provincial governments certain regulatory
powers, such as the ability to grant concessions for new generation and distribution projects.

DRC comprises 26 provinces, one of which is the city of Kinshasa. Some provinces have only limited
administrative infrastructure and income-generating activities. Each province controls its energy generation
and is free to develop new projects, although the involvement of higher authorities will depend on the
prospective plant’s generation capacity; larger projects are likely to require more centralization and greater
involvement of national-government actors in Kinshasa. Likewise, depending on whether the production and
supply will be for national use or for only a single province, either the national or provincial governments
will provide support.

Despite the incomplete legal framework, some independent power companies have been implementing
pilot projects, building or rehabilitating plants and mini-grids, and launching new generation and distribution
projects. In addition, the government’s Modern Villages program aims to electrify 100 villages using
hydroelectric-based green mini-grids (GMGs), although implementation has been slow. The villages of Ngula
and Kimbau in the old Bandundu Province have been electrified under this program. MERH has identified
an additional seven villages to be electrified: Muluma, Mukoso, Fatundu, Kipuka, Mundundu, Kiefu, and
Mongobele.

Unit for Management and Coordination of the Ministry’s Projects (L’Unité de
Coordination et de Management des Projets [UCM])

Since 2015, UCM has been assisting a range of energy projects in DRC and supporting the World Bank,
KfW, and other development partners. Despite the government’s goal of universal access to electrification,
the present connection rate is very low. GoDRC does not have an integrated development plan and needs
to craft a regulatory structure for electricity developers. UCM coordinates all electricity projects in DRC.

10    |   OFF-GRID MARKET ASSESSMENT FOR DRC                                      USAID.GOV/POWERAFRICA
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