DEVELOPMENT OF BATTERY CELL PRODUCTION IN EUROPE: MARKET DEVELOPMENT AND ECOSYSTEM STRUCTURES

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DEVELOPMENT OF BATTERY CELL PRODUCTION IN
EUROPE:
MARKET DEVELOPMENT AND ECOSYSTEM
STRUCTURES
KEY INSIGHTS FROM THE BATTERY CELL PRODUCTION ACCOMPANYING RESEARCH

Jan-Hinrich Gieschen, Dr. Carolin Zachäus, Dr. Aiko Bünting, Dr. Frederik Vorholt
Accompanying Research for the funding programme for Battery Cell Production

13th international symposium “Kraftwerk Batterie – Advanced Battery Power”, April, 28.-29. 2021
Postersession, P-066
EU BEV & BATTERY MARKET ACTIVITY
                                     New BEV registrations                                                                                  Battery demand                           Global cell production capacity
                                                                                                                                                                                                          United States
                                             Passenger cars:
Total number (2020 vs. 2019)

                                                                                                             total number (2020 vs. 2019)
                                                                                                                                                                                        2020

                                                                                                               2020 BEV registrations EU
                                             ↗ 526.397 (+ 113%)
                                                                                                                                                                                 Europe
                                                                                                                                                                                   6%                    305
                                             Light com. veh.:                                                                                  35 GWh                                                    GWh
            EU

                                             ↗ 28.645 (+ 38%)                                                                                  (+ 121%)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Asia
                                             Buses:                                                                                                                                      + 410
                                                                                                                                                                                        GWh/a
                                             → 1.495 (- 1%)
                                                                                                                                                                                          incl.                           United States
                                                                                                                                                                                         IPCEI
                                  BEV market ramp-up in 2020                                                                                                                                            2030
 Key messages

                                  Significantly increased battery                                           battery demand EU
                                                                                                               Forecast 2030

                                   demand                                                                                                                                                            Europe
                                                                                                                                              600 GWh                                                 35%                 1.208
                                  More than twenty-fold increase
                                                                                                                                                                                                                          GWh
                                   in cell production capacity in EU
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               Asia

                               Database/Sources: New registrations: eafo.eu; Forecast 2030 battery demand EU: Transport & Environment (2021), From dirty oil to clean batteries, available online:
                                                                                                                                                                                                                              01.04.2021  2
                               https://www.transportenvironment.org/sites/te/files/publications/2021_02_Battery_raw_materials_report_final.pdf, last accessed 03/11/2021
IPCEI PROJECTS COVER THE ENTIRE BATTERY VALUE CHAIN TO
               CREATE A PROSPERING ECOSYSTEM
                   European Commission approved two Important
                    Projects of Common European Interest (IPCEI on
                    Batteries & EuBatIn) to support research &
                    innovation in the battery value chain
                   In total 54 companies working together with 150
Key messages

                    external partners on around 300 projects in 12
                    member states
                   A major impact on value creation in Europe is
                    expected
                   The activities are equally distributed along the
                    battery value chain

                For a detailed look at the IPCEIs please visit my
               colleague Dr. Stefan Wolf in poster session 7!
                            Number of activities in the specific parts of the value chain
                    RAW MATERIAL          MATERIAL                CELL        MODULE AND SYSTEMS    BATTERY
                     EXTRACTION          PRODUCTION           MANUFACTURING       ASSEMBLY         RECYCLING

                                                                                                               01.04.2021  3
                                   21                               21              28               23
                   Sources: Press Releases of European Commission
AN OVERVIEW OF THE BATTERY ECOSYSTEM: STRUCTURES,
               ACTORS AND DRIVERS
                   Modeling approach of the ecosystem and key facts                                                                               Network structures of the considered ecosystem and thematic focus
                                                                                                      N=3,178 different actors:
                                                                                                      -   81% companies
                                                                                                      -   12% research institutions
                                                                                                      -   5% networks/associations.

                                                                                                      Over 370.000 connections on three
                                                                                                      networking levels
                                                                                                      -   research,
                                                                                                      -   value creation
                                                                                                      -   strategic activities.

                Based on the data given, comparatively few key actors take on an interface function and
Key messages

                 establish connections between different parts of the ecosystem.
                Many actors are only well connected within institutionalised networks such as
                 associations. But they lack connections to other parts of the ecosystem.                                                          Actors in the ecosystem usually focus in their activities on several value creation stages, which in practise cannot be seperated. Analytically, nine different
                                                                                                                                                   stages in three different clusters (production, ressources, use) can be distinguished.

                There are companies in the poorly connected, weakly integrated part of the ecosystem
                 with specialised knowledge to develop innovative products and processes.

               Research level consists of public funded research activitities (201 projects), value creation level consists of easy assessible value creation activities (50 joint ventures), strategic level consists of strategic 01.04.2021  4
               relevant activities (23 associations/networks); no distinction between geographical levels, therefore a slight bias in the presentation is possible; Database/Sources: R&D activities: Förderkatalog, CORDIS;
               Joint ventures and strategic activities: own research based on news and company/association websites
EMBEDDEDNESS OF IPCEI ACTORS IN THE ECOSYSTEM
                   Location of IPCEI activities within the
                   considered ecosystem (network view)

                                                                                                                             34 out of 54 (63%) IPCEI actors
                                                                                                                             are already part of the
                                                                                                                             considered ecosystem.

                                                                                                                             20 (37%) companies are not or
                                                                                                                             only indirectly (e. g. via group
                                                                                                                             level) connected to the
                                                                                                                             ecosystem.
                                                               EuBatIN activities

                                                               IPCEI on batteries activities

                                                               No IPCEI-related acitivites

                   IPCEI projects are among the key players in the
                    entire ecosystem (taking into account the database
                    used in this study)
                    This is a good starting point to transfer knowledge
Key messages

               
                    generated in the IPCEI projects into the ecosystem
                    to support the sustainable development of a
                    European battery ecosystem
                   Nevertheless, there is still a need to bring IPCEI
                    actors in position as a communicator and as a
                    bridge builder to strengthen the ecosystem. Spill-
                    over activities play an important role in this context.
                   Research level consists of public funded research activitities (201 projects), value creation level consists of easily assessible value creation activities (50 joint ventures), strategic level consists of strategic 01.04.2021  5
                   relevant activities (23 associations/networks); no distinction between geographical levels, therefore a slight bias in the presentation is possible; Database/Sources: R&D activities: Förderkatalog, CORDIS;
                   Joint ventures and strategic activities: own research based on news and company/association websites
CONCLUSIONS

The significant market ramp-up of electrified vehicles confirms the forecast demand for battery cells

Accelerated by pan-European funding, a cell production industry is being established

The ecosystem analysed has good prerequisites with numerous well-connected companies and research institutions,
although the raw materials and recycling sectors are still underrepresented

Within the IPCEIs, the development of an industry along the entire value chain is promoted – including the raw
materials and recycling sectors

For sustainable and competitive battery cell production, an exchange of experience through networking of all
stakeholders in the new industry is just as crucial as the involvement of small local companies along the value chain

Strategic activities as well as a broad set of dissemination activities will support this exchange and facilitates the
integration of the ecosystem to develop a sustainable and competitive battery cell production

                                                                                                                 01.04.2021  6
Thank You!
                  Jan-Hinrich Gieschen
                  Scientific Consultant                                                           Dr. Carolin Zachäus
                                                                                                  Carolin.Zachaeus@vdivde-it.de
                  VDI/VDE Innovation + Technik GmbH
                  Steinplatz 1
                  10623 Berlin
                  Germany                                                                         Dr. Aiko Bünting
                                                                                                  Aiko.Buenting@de.tuv.com
                  Jan-Hinrich.Gieschen@vdivde-it.de
                  www.vdivde-it.de

Download our study here

German version            English version                                                         Dr. Frederik Vorholt
                                                                                                  Frederik.Vorholt@de.tuv.com

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