Drought crisis: Moving forward together - Swartland Municipality 01/02/2018 DROUGHT DISASTER PRESENTATION

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Drought crisis: Moving forward together - Swartland Municipality 01/02/2018 DROUGHT DISASTER PRESENTATION
Drought crisis: Moving forward together

       Swartland Municipality
            01/02/2018
        DROUGHT DISASTER PRESENTATION
          DROOGTE RAMP VOORLEGGING
Drought crisis: Moving forward together - Swartland Municipality 01/02/2018 DROUGHT DISASTER PRESENTATION
How severe is the drought?
• 2017 had the lowest rainfall since 1896. And rainfall in 2015 and
  2016 was also unprecedented low.
• Findings are that this kind of drought occurs once in 311 years
  with a 90% confidence that it falls between 105 and 1 280 years.
• The drought crisis has also triggered heated emotions and a lot
  of disagreement about who is to blame.
• We can choose to be defeated, or we can choose to show the
  world that we are up to the challenge.
• Panic and hysteria are not helpful to the effort to Defeat Day
  Zero. It actually increases consumption and is counter-
  productive.
• But one thing we can agree on: We have to avoid Day Zero.
• And the only way to defeat Day Zero is to use less water.
• So everyone has to get down to 50 litres per day and lower.
• But more later in my presentation.
Drought crisis: Moving forward together - Swartland Municipality 01/02/2018 DROUGHT DISASTER PRESENTATION
WHERE IS ALL THE WATER?        70%
                            POLAR ICECAPS

 97.5%
 saltwater
Drought crisis: Moving forward together - Swartland Municipality 01/02/2018 DROUGHT DISASTER PRESENTATION
WHERE IS ALL THE WATER?                                        70%
                                                            POLAR ICECAPS

 97.5%
 saltwater
Drought crisis: Moving forward together - Swartland Municipality 01/02/2018 DROUGHT DISASTER PRESENTATION
Current Seasons Rainfall – over 40
years at CPT Airport (To 18 Dec 2017)
Drought crisis: Moving forward together - Swartland Municipality 01/02/2018 DROUGHT DISASTER PRESENTATION
122 YEAR of RAINFALL:
              CPT Airport (from 1895 to 2017)
                                           2017 rainfall until
                                       18/12/2017 only 152.5 mm

635

                                                                500

                                                                   400
  1896

                           1929+31

                                     1960
                                                                   300

                                            1973

                                                         2015
                                                                   200
         2016 - 221.0 mm
         2015 – 325.0 mm

                                                            2017
         2014 – 511.5 mm
Drought crisis: Moving forward together - Swartland Municipality 01/02/2018 DROUGHT DISASTER PRESENTATION
Outlook for: February –March-–
           April 2018 (Rainfall)
FEBRUARY 2018 to APRL 2018   FEBRUARY 2018 to APRL 2018
                                                          For February
                                                          2018 through to
                                                          April 2018 the
                                                          indication is
                                                          above the norm
                                                          for both the
                                                          Western and
                                                          Northern Cape.
                                                          Except the
FEBRUARY 2018 to APRL 2018   FEBRUARY 2018 to APRL 2018
                                                          extreme South
                                                          Western parts
                                                          of the Western
                                                          Cape where it
                                                          is projected to
                                                          be 40% below
                                                          normal.
                                                          UPDATED 16- 01- 2018
Drought crisis: Moving forward together - Swartland Municipality 01/02/2018 DROUGHT DISASTER PRESENTATION
Dam levels of the six biggest dams in
              the Berg River System that the City
              draws from (17 Jan 2018)
           2013                  2014                    2015    2016    2017    2018
          102.9%                103.5%                   72.4%   60.1%   34.7%

Source: Western Cape Water Supply System Strategy 2015
Drought crisis: Moving forward together - Swartland Municipality 01/02/2018 DROUGHT DISASTER PRESENTATION
Breakdown of water users in the
              Berg River Management Area

                                        1% 1%            0% 0% 0%
Note that                                                           Agricultural (capped)
different users                4%
are under                                                           Urban: City of Cape
different levels of
                                       35%                          Town
                                                                    Urban: West Coast
water restrictions                 Agricultural
e.g. agriculture is                                                 Urban: Overberg
at 60% reduction                                                    Water
                                                                    Urban: Stellenbosch
in allocation              59%
(October 2017),               Cape Town                             Urban: Drakenstein
while domestic &
                                                                    Urban: Piketberg
industrial areas
are at 40%                                                          Other
                    6% - All other Urban Areas
reduction.
Source: Western Cape Water Supply System Strategy 2015
Drought crisis: Moving forward together - Swartland Municipality 01/02/2018 DROUGHT DISASTER PRESENTATION
City of Cape Town: Water Dashboard
        29/01/2018

                                                          TARGET
Source: Western Cape Water Supply System Strategy 2015
Source: Western Cape Water Supply System Strategy 2015
Source: Western Cape Water Supply System Strategy 2015
Western Cape Water Supply System
              (WCWSS) Weekly Dam Drawdown
              Tracker

Source: Western Cape Water Supply System Strategy 2015
City of Cape Town: Water Dashboard
                 – 4 Year Historic Water Consumption

                                              2014/15
                                                         2015/16               1200

                                                                   2016/17     1000
                                                                                800
                                                                      600
                                                                         500

                    600 Ml/day: Metro runs dry in April 2018
                  450 Ml/day: Metro runs dry in May/June 2018

DAMS ON 13.5%                       16
Source: Western Cape Water Supply System Strategy 2015
Effective from 01/01/2018 in the METRO
               LEVEL 6 WATER RESTRICTIONS
• Residential units consuming more than 10 500 litres per month will
     be prioritised for enforcement
    All non-residential properties (e.g. commercial and industrial
     properties, schools, clubs and institutions) must ensure that their
     monthly consumption of municipal drinking water is reduced by 45%
     compared to the corresponding period in 2015 (pre drought).
    Agricultural users to reduce consumption by 60%
    The use of borehole water for outdoor purposes is discouraged in
     order to preserve groundwater resources
    Borehole/wellpoint water should rather be used for toilet flushing.
     All boreholes and wellpoints must be registered with the City and
     must display the official City of Cape Town signage clearly visible
     from a public thoroughfare.
    No watering/irrigation with municipal drinking water allowed.
    This includes watering/irrigation of gardens, vegetables, agricultural
    crops, sports fields, golf courses, nurseries, parks and other open
    spaces
Major dam levels in Cape Town
        29 Januarie 2018
   DAMS                 CAPACITY                 22/01    15/01    2017      2016
Theewater 480 188                             13.3%      14.2%     34.5%     50.9%
Voëlvlei   164 095                            18.3%      18.8%     42.0%     25.7%
Bergrivier 130 010                            53.7%      55.0%     49.2%     49.9%
Wemmers 58 644                                52.4%      52.3%     36.6%     56.0%
Steenbr. Lo 33 517                            43.8%      45.5%     44.6%     49.5%
Steenbr. Up 31 767                            85.7%       90.2%    59.4%     76.9%
TOTAL      898 221                            236 111    244 555   354 034   426 408
% Storage                                      26.3%     27.2% 39.4%         47.4%
NOTE: the last 10% of a dam's water is difficult to use, the useable
water in the dam is approximately 10% less than the dam level.
NOTE 2: Out of the System 59% to the Metro, 6% to smaller
towns and 35% to Agriculture
Source: Western Cape Water Supply System Strategy 2015
Drought status across the Western
Cape – Municipalities & Towns
WC dam levels 2016 vs 2017 (15/01/2018)
                           % Full   % Full     Normally winter rain
Dam                      This Week Last Year   starts around the
                                               Easter Weekend. In
Cape Town System                               2017 it started in June.
Dams (Combined):                               Below normal rain fell
Wemmershoek,                                   May to September
Voelvlei, Steenbras,                           (±50% of Long Term
                                               average) which had
Theewaterskloof and                            significant impact on
Berg River Dams            28.37     42.03     water levels in our
                                               major storage dams
Berg River Catchment       43.83     49.21     Dam levels much lower
Breede River                                   than corresponding
                                               time last year
Catchment                  22.55     40.21
                                               SAWS has
Gouritz River                                  recommended current
Catchment                  18.40     26.29     drought measures
                                               continue for
Olifants / Doorn River                         foreseeable future
Catchment                  20.58     56.92
                                               Businesses need to
Western Cape State of                            plan for a new
Dams                       26.56     41.36           normal
Agricultural impacts: scenario – only
                40% of water allocation
 Potential on‐farm impact if water
                                              Farmers’ potential
  supplies are capped at 40% of
                                              response actions
             allocation
• The average decline in production           Close
  is expected to be 36.9%                    Busines         Preserv
                                                             e Crops
• Quality of produce can be affected Pull Out s
                                      Margin 6%                1%
• This would translate to               al
   • R4.96 billion GVA decline for    Blocks
      2017/8 (27% of the WC Agri       11%                   Lower
                                                             Output
      industry)
                                              Mitigat         31%
   • 35 634 potential job losses                 e
   • Loss of valuable market share in           20%     Prioritis
      fruit exports                                     e Block
                                                          31%
   • Some farm operations likely to
      go bankrupt
               Very concerning is that some areas are
already as low as 17.5% of normal water allocation
SWARTLAND MUNICIPALITY
                       • 11 Towns
                       • Population: 117 291
                                      (133 762)
                       • Households: 26 670
                       • Annual water
                         demand:
                          2015 = 5 million m3
                          2016 = 4 million m3
                          2017 = 3.5 million m3
                          2018 = 3 million m3
                       • Water use efficiency
                         – 90ℓ/p/d - Must come
                           down to
SWARTLAND MUNICIPALITY
                       • 11 Towns
                       • Population: 117 291
                                      (133 762)
                       • Households: 26 670
                       • Annual water
                         demand:
                          2015 = 5 million m3
                          2016 = 4 million m3
                          2017 = 3.5 million m3
                          2018 = 3 million m3
                       • Water use efficiency
                         – 90ℓ/p/d - Must come
                           down to
SWARTLAND BULK WATER SOURCES
Out of Voëlvlei dam:
               29/01/2018
                            Swartland sources:
                                              29/01/2018
Metro: 92%    (10Mℓ- 8%)
                            Voëlvlei:    87.4%   (18.3%)
Swartland:6% (10Mℓ- 8%)
Agricult.: 2% ( 0Mℓ- 0%)    Paardenberg: 1.4%    (9.0%)

Misverstand:?(31Mℓ-24%)     Misverstand: 11.2% (73.4%)
The annual total water demand for domestic use is
83% and 17% for commercial / industrial use.
Saldanha bay : 40% domestic and 60% commercial /
industrial.
Voëlvlei Dam – Monday 29 Jan 2018 # 18.3%
        Monday 29 Jan 2017 # 42.4% (-24.1%)
               (Inligting van die Departement Water en Sanitasie)

  Die totale vlak van damme wat water aan die Groter
Kaapstad Metropool lewer (Voëlvleidam ingesluit) is tans
  26.3%    teenoor die 39.4% van verlede jaar.
  2018-02-05 13:48                        23
                                               (-13.1%)
23
Outlet of Voëlvlei dam to Swartland WTW
     and Cape Town WTW               FIRST HURDLE:
             Swartland WTW
                                             to get the water to
                                              the intake/outlet
                             Swartland WTW
                             ±12.5%

                                                           CoCT

                                        Unusable            WTW
                                        Water ±5%          ±5%
 CoCT
 WTW

        PLAN VIEW                  CROSS SECTION VIEW
24
Voëlvlei
       MAX 0.92% / week
12.5% Dam level on 08/03/2018

 12.5% damvlak
  5% damvlak
Voëlvlei
        MAX 0.58% / week
12.5% Dam level on 09/04/2018

  12.5% damvlak
           5% damvlak
Voëlvlei 12.5% Dam level on 09/04/2018

       29/01/2018

                                                            THANKS TO
                                                               OUR
                                                            RESIDENTS
     WAS 87 TOT OP 17/01/2018                               SWARTLAND
                                                            HAVE SAVED
                                                              42% IN
                                                             JANUARY
                                                               2018

                         WAS OP 17/01/2018 NOG 2018/03/08
Timeline towards                              The Day dams are on 13.5% is not a static
   possible Day the                              date - dependent on numerous factors:
 dams are on 13.5%                             •
                                               •
                                                   Rainfall
                                                   Temperatures and wind speed (evaporation)
 i.e. how is that Day                          •   New supply volumes & timing
      determined                               •   Consumption – City need
Voelvleidam Channel Release
 from1/11/2017 to 29/01/2018

    Misverstand dam level
from 10/01/2018 to 29/01/2018
Phases: Disaster Restrictions
                                                               Phase 3
        Phase 1
                                   Phase 2                    Full-scale
     Preservation
                                   Disaster                    disaster
     Restrictions
                                  Restrictions             implementation
      (rationing)

Purpose – To avoid          Purpose – Avoid               Purpose - Minimise
escalation to Phase 2:      escalation to Phase 3:        impact on human life:
Limiting supply and         • Maintaining human life      • Extreme scenario
advanced pressure             and critical services       • Can be avoided with
management.                 • Many households and           progressive rationing in
• Critical services, will     businesses will be            phases 1 and 2
  be largely                  unable to access            • Limited drinking water
  unaffected                  drinking water                supplie.
• Tariff up + Intensified   • Water collection sites to   • Households and
  installation of water       be established                businesses will be
  management                • Maintenance of the            unable to access
                              sewage system                 drinking water.
  devices
                                                                                   3
Contingency plans: Cape Town Day Zero
• Cape Town key aim is to avoid Day Zero all together by
  stretching water resources until next winter’s rainfall
• If properly managed the so called Day Zero will not arrive
  suddenly and unexpectedly
• The monitoring of the situation by the WCG will provide an
  early warning should the Day Zero date be approaching for a
  specific municipality
• Contingency plans for the critical municipalities are currently
  being developed by the Provincial Disaster Management
  Centre and local municipality.
• Town specific plans are being developed, taking the local
  situation and conditions into account.
                                                               31
A lot can happen before Day Zero
1. Taps are closing on the agricultural sector:
  Agriculture uses 47% and the Metro 48%
2. Metro: Level 6B restrictions: And 600 million
  litres p/d to
Facts and myths about the
        water crisis
Myth: Migration from the Eastern Cape and
Gauteng is the cause:
• Population growth alone doesn’t explain the water shortage.
  Water consumption has stabilised since 2000.
Myth: Farmers are to blame:
• Agriculture is critical to the Western Cape economy. Fruit
  harvest alone will be ±20% smaller. ±50,000 Seasonal workers
  will have below normal income or no income at all.
Fact: This is the worst drought in recorded
Cape Town history:
• The main reason for the water shortage is, quite simply, a lack
  of rain in the water catchment area, probably a consequence of
  climate change
Facts and myths about the
         water crisis
Complicated: The municipality is ultimately
responsible for sorting out the water crisis:
• The day-to-day management of the water is the job of the
  municipality (including cleaning and reticulation), but national
  government is responsible for oversight and bulk water supply.
• The National Government, has the power to regulate the use,
  flow and control of all water in the Republic.
Myth: It’s just a matter of catching the water
off Table Mountain:
• Catching more water from the mountain before it runs into the
  storm water system or the sea, but that is not a quick-fix
  solution.
INTERVENTIONS / INTERVENSIES
                                            Funding       Estimated Yield /
     Intervention     Cost Estimate                                            Phase
                                            Secured       Saving (Mℓ/day)
Pressure and Flow
                       R    3 500 000 R      800 000             0.5          Short term
control
Communication &
                       R      400 000 R      200 000          Unknown         Short term
Awareness
Free leak repairs      R     350 000 R    350 000             Unknown         Short term
Groundwater            R    3 500 000 R 1 500 000             Unknown         Short term
investigation
Water tanker truck     R    1 422 890 R 1 422 890             Day Zero        Short term
 Pumping water in                                           From 12.5%
                       R     5 000 000 R              0                        Medium
 Voelvlei dam and the                                      Saldanha Bay
                                                                                term
 Misverstand dam                                          75% tot 50% level
Groundwater                                                                   Medium to
                       R   9 000 000    R    3 000 000            ?
development                                                                   Long term
 Pypline from Metro                                       14% level to 5%
                       R   60 000 000 R               0                       Long term
 to Swartland WTW                                              level
Water reclamation
                       R   45 000 000   R             0          2            Long term
(Malmesbury)
Desalination
                       R   35 000 000   R             0          1            Long term
Yzerfontein & Darling)
SWARTLAND WATER CONSUMPTION
      RESIDENTIAL CONSUMPTION:
              DECEMBER 2017
  In Sept. Used 1 767 owners over 20m3
In Dec. still 236 owners of the 1 767 uses
                 too much.
          And 219 newcomers.

CONSUMPTION: DECEMBER 2017
 Nov. Average of 321 = 36.9 L
 Dec. Average of 236 = 40.9 L
 Dec. Average of 219 = 36.3 L
SWARTLAND WATER CONSUMPTION
      RESIDENTIAL CONSUMPTION:
              DECEMBER 2017
  In Sept. Used 1 767 owners over 20m3
In Dec. still 236 owners of the 1 767 uses
                 too much.
         And 219 newcomers.
       Plus Indigent Households
CONSUMPTION: DECEMBER 2017
Nov. Average of 321 = 36.9 L
Dec. Average of 236 = 40.9 L
Dec. Average of 219 = 36.3 L
 Plus Indigent Households
Dec. Average of 1159 = 20.2 L
DROUGHT MANAGEMENT STRATEGY-
       Enforcement / Enforcement
                         Blocks in           Rate per unit
Elevated Level 6         kiloliters            (kiloliter)
    Tariffs              0 to 4 kl         R6,30 plus VAT
                         5 to 10 kl        R17,61 plus VAT
Households               11 to 15 kl       R19.37 plus VAT
                         16 to 20 kl       R55.00 plus VAT
All other consumers      21 to 25 kl       R72.00 plus VAT
                         26 to 50 kl       R99.99 plus VAT
from the first kiloliter 51kl and more     R265.12 plus VAT
Consumption: Businesses R25,00 plus VAT
All government agencies R 30.00 plus VAT
Drought: Answers some of
         your questions
When will a detailed policy and operational plan be
published on the PHASE 2 & 3 water collection points:
• We are in Phase 1 (Preservation Restrictions (rationing))
  Purpose – To avoid escalation to Phase 2.
• We are busy to design and manage collection points in a way that
  makes sense.
• In order to ensure effective implementation the Water Management
  Team is labouring over questions such as:
   – What range and size of containers will people choose to use;
   – how will they carry these containers to and from the standpipe;
   – what time of day will they come to the collection point;
   – what transport will they opt to use to and from the collection point;
   – how will families and neighbours organise themselves to collect water in
     a way that makes sense;
   – who within the household or business will be designated to collect water
     and for how many people will they collect.
Drought: Answers some of
          your questions
Has the map for PHASE 2 & 3 cut off areas and water
collection points been finalized?:
• We are busy and we will be providing more information on the areas
  without water and points of distribution in the near future:
Is it ok to use sea water to flush toilets?:
• No - Use could corrode parts of the reticulation infrastructure and our
  wastewater treatment facilities are not designed to handle high
  salinity. Use appropriate greywater and alternative sources, such as
  water from boreholes, to flush toilets.
What are businesses going to do that rely on water.
• We are engaging with as many of these organisations as possible to
  work out what will be the best way to meet their water needs in a
  FASE 2 & 3 scenario. The crisis that we face requires a whole of
  society approach.
Drought: Answers some of
          your questions
• There have been media reports on new borehole
  regulations:
 – We don’t regulate borehole usage: but require only that permission be obtained to
   drill and to register a borehole at the municipality.
 – The custodian of water resources is the National Department of Water and
   Sanitation.
 – We advocate for the sustainable use of borehole water for indoor purposes but we
   do not support the use of borehole water for outdoor purposes, such as gardening
 • Why has the municipality not (substantially)
   reduced pressure on the water?
 – We have in fact been substantially reducing water pressure since November 2017.
 – Our engineers have been reducing water pressure in the bulk pipes at our
   reservoirs as well as in the reticulation network that feeds our households.
 – Even with reduced pressure, lower-lying areas will have water as it flows easier
   because of gravity.
 – Operational staff have lowered the pressures across Swartland but the intention is
   to keep the system (in Fase 1) pressurised (keep water flowing).
 – This is because a lot of damage could be done if we switch off this pressure
   system entirely.
Drought: Answers some of
          your questions
• Is the water system sophisticated enough to
  selectively cut off areas and supply the water
  distribution points?
• No not in all areas, but water collection points, which will be one of
  the means of distributing water, have been located near reticulation
  points
• What plans does Swartland have for less able and
  vulnerable people to get water from PHASE 3?
• Information sessions will being set up with neighbourhood watches,
  NGOs, religious organisations and community groups to brief them
  on the PHASE 3 Disaster Plan and what role they will need to play in
  ensuring that all persons are able to access their (25 litres) of water
  per day. As part of the information sessions, we will be asking
  partners to gather information on extremely vulnerable persons in the
  areas where they operate.
Drought: Answers some of
          your questions
• Will schools be prioritised as water collection
  points so that they can continue operating too?
• It will largely be left up to relevant role-players in these sectors to
  determine suitable contingency plans and concessions for employees
  and students
• Residents should be aware that PHASE 2 and 3 are extreme disaster
  scenario’s, and significant disruption of daily life is to be expected.
• Are there plans for providing water to essential
  services if the water levels drop to a point where
  water can’t be provided?
• Yes - We are procuring water tankers to assist with the provision of
  water to essential services which are no longer supplied with water
  via the reticulation system. However, critical infrastructure have been
  prioritised for continued supply of water via the reticulation system. It
  is largely residential areas which will no longer be able to be provided
  with water via the reticulation system.
Drought: Answers some of
          your questions
• What steps are being taken to stop people using
  excessive water?
• This is based on the billing information of account holders. Daily
  enforcement operations are ongoing, public awareness campaigns
  carry on and the installation of water management devices for high
  water users at their cost. High tariffs for the highest users will assist
  to drive down consumption.
 Residents should be aware that PHASE 2 and 3 are
    extreme disaster scenario’s, and significant
      disruption of daily life is to be expected.
 PHASE 3: 'It's going to be really unpleasant‘
What can I do?
Please immediately:
 Cut your water use to less than 50 litres, per
   person, per day in total.
 Use municipal drinking water only for essential
   washing,cooking and drinking purposes, and only
   use indoors.
 Check and fix all leaks on your property.
 Adhere to all water restrictions.
 Immediately report any leaks, burst water pipes to
   the Municipality at 022 487 9400.
 Visit our webpage www.swartland.org.za for
   further information and regular updates.
ONCE UPON A TIME / LANK GELEDE

          HOW MUCH HAVE YOU SAVED TODAY?
          HOEVEEL HET JY VANDAG GESPAAR?

          THANK YOU / BAIE DANKIE

Drought crisis: Moving forward together
HET JY AL SO AAN DIE REENVAL
Baie interssant
                   GEDINK?
Min mense weet hoe werk ‘n reenmeter.
1mm reen is 1 liter water op 1 vierkante meter.
As jy 25 mm reen op jou 1000 vierkante meter erf
kry is dit 25 ton water, 1 hektaar is dit 250 ton water.
As jy ‘n 1000 hektaar plaas het en jy kry 80mm reen
is dit 800 ton x 1,000 hektaar.
Dit is 800,000 ton water.
As jy nou ‘n 10 ton watertrok vat en jy ry 10 vragte
elke dag van die jaar sal dit 800,000/10/10/365 dae
wees.
Dit sal 21.9 jaar vat om dit aan te ry!
(Anonieme bron)
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