E-mobility Le tecnologie per la ricarica - Assolombarda

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E-mobility Le tecnologie per la ricarica - Assolombarda
03.10.2016 – Gianluca Donato, Business Development & Sales EVCI

E-mobility
Le tecnologie per la ricarica
E-mobility Le tecnologie per la ricarica - Assolombarda
EV Market
Key point has been reached: BEV segment is fully confirmed as
the main driving force in e-transportation

                                     41m EV’s sold per year, 35% of
                                            new cars sold

                                0.5m EV’s sold per year

October 5, 2016   ‫‫‬Source:   Bloomberg
E-mobility Le tecnologie per la ricarica - Assolombarda
EV penetration scenarios
Electric Vehicles are reaching the tipping point

                                           Cars                                                                                     Buses

          As % of total car units sold in 2030                                                    As % of total bus units sold in 2022

                                                                  47%
                                                                                                                                                   61%
                                              76%
          ICE          90%                                                                                            89%

                                                                  53%
                                                                                                                                                   39%
          EV                                  24%
                       10%                                                                                            11%
                        IHS               Global Strategy   McKinsey base case                                   Freedonia 2011             Frost & Sullivan 2022
                                             Analytics            push

                 ~0.5m Electric Vehicles sold in 2015 (0.5%) and significant growth is forecasted.
                         Electric propulsion entering bus market even faster than cars.

                       Note: McKinsey case is a base case in a scenario with regulatory push, F&S bus report shows transit busses segment
October 5, 2016
E-mobility Le tecnologie per la ricarica - Assolombarda
Market size estimate
Growing market for all components in grid-to-vehicle value chain

                         Chargers market (AC+DC)                                              Other opportunities in the value chain

          Revenue $m                                                                      Average spending split

       3.000
                          Public                                                                 10%     15%               Services
       2.500              Commercial                                                                               25%
                                                                                                 20%     15%
                          Residential                                                                              10%     Site works
       2.000                                                         1.280
                                                                                                                    5%
                                                                                                 20%     20%
       1.500                                               1.056                                                           Solution
                                                                                                                   30%     features
                                                   871                 371                       15%     15%
       1.000                             719                                                                               Grid connection
                                                             274                                         10%
                               593                 202                                                             20%
          500          489               149                         1.009                       30%                       DC charging
                               110                           771                                         20%
                        81               449       588                                                           10%
                       262     343                                                               5%       5%      5%
                  0                                                                                                        AC charging
                      2015    2016      2017      2018      2019      2020                      Resid.   Comm.   Publ.

                     Commercial and Public segment a significant opportunity for other revenue
                                     streams, apart from charger sales only.

October 5, 2016           Sources: MDR 2015, ABB estimate, IHS EVCi report 2016, ABB estimate
E-mobility Le tecnologie per la ricarica - Assolombarda
Le reti elettriche
L’integrazione con la mobilità elettrica
  New                                     Integrazione         Sistemi di
                                           rinnovabili        gestione reti
                     B.E.S.S.                                 energetiche

     Sistemi di
  ricarica veloce
        bus
                           Soluzioni per lo sviluppo della mobilità
                          elettrica integrate nelle reti energetiche
                  Sistemi di                 Sistemi di            Sistemi
               ricarica veloce            ricarica lenta /       monitoraggio e
                     auto                   accelerata             controllo

                                                                  Cabine
                     Building                                     MT/BT
                    automation             Componenti            compatte
                                            per EVCI
E-mobility Le tecnologie per la ricarica - Assolombarda
ABB è partner R&D dei maggiori player globali

                                                                                                    - R&D partners
                              - R&D partners                                                                                          - R&D partners
                                                                                  - R&D partners
 - R&D partners                                            - R&D partners
                              - DC fast chargers at                               - DC Wallbox
                                                           - DC fast chargers
                                dealers
                                                             at dealers

                                                                                                                              - R&D partners

     - DC fast chargers at dealers

                                                                                                                                      - R&D partners

      - DC charging testing
       & R&D

                                                                                                                                  - R&D partners

     - DC charging testing
      & R&D
                                                       - R&D partners
                                 - R&D partners                                 - R&D partners
                                 - DC fast chargers at                                             - R&D partners - R&D partners
                                 dealers                                                                          - DC wall box for
                                 - Cooperation Dong-Feng                                                          Denza EV
E-mobility Le tecnologie per la ricarica - Assolombarda
Driver: The EV range roadmap for EU, USA, APAC
Batteries get bigger, range gets longer
 ‫‫‬FIRST      GEN EV                                          ‫‫‬2nd   GEN EV          PRACTICAL MASS MARKET EV

       2011                   2012   2013    2014     2015          2016     2017      2018    2019     2020   2021
   Mass market EV’s
            ~140 km                                             >180 km                >300 km          >400 km
            24 kWh                                            >30 kWh                >50 kWh           >70 kWh
   Premium EV’s
                                                                                        >450 km
                                                                                      >80 kWh
                 50 kW DC                           Charging on the road                      150-300 kW DC

           10-20 kW DC                      Charging at commercial locations                          50 kW DC

                   3-7 kW AC                    Charging at home / office                             10 kW
Month DD, Year    | Slide 8
E-mobility Le tecnologie per la ricarica - Assolombarda
Il nostro radar per lo sviluppo
                         On the roads                                                              2016                    2017                       2018                       2019, 2020, …
                                                                                                                                                        300-500 km                          500 km

DC fast charging
CCS high-power‫≥(‫‬150‫‫‬kW)                                                                                                                                                             Porsche
                                                                                                                                             Audi Q4,6,8 e-tron
                                                                                                                                                                                     Mission E
                                                                                                                                                                         ?? km               400 km

                                                                                                                                                                VW SUVe
                                                                                                                                                                                   VW Budd-e
                                                                                                                                300 km                               ?? km
                                                                                                                                              500? km                            500 km

DC fast charging                                                                                                  Chevrolet Bolt                          VW CUVe Daimler
                                                                                                                                                                                              iCar?
CCS (50 kW)                                                                            130 km                                      190 km   BMW i5         ?? km
                                                                                                                                                                 ‘crossover’
                                                                                                                                                                                 ?? km               ?? km
                                                                   110 km
                                                                            BMW i3                   450 km
                                                                                                                        BMW i3 2.0                VW NUVe
                                                                                     130 km                                                  300 km             ?? km
                                                                                                                                                                             Audi A2      Ford Model E
                                                                                                     Audi                                                       ?? km
                                                                                                                                                                                             ?? km
                                                          VW e-UP!
                                                                                                                             VW e-Golf 1.1AstonMartin
                                                                                                                                   ?? km
                                                                                VW e-Golf            R8 e-tron
                                                                                                                                              RapidE
                                                     110 km
                                                                                                                   Hyundai Ioniq
                                                                                                                                       ?? km
                                                                                                                                           350 km    Hyundai e-SUV Volvo EV
DC fast charging 120 km              110 km                   130 km
                                                                                      110 km             180 km
                                                                                                                                                        ?? km
                                                                                                                                  Tesla Model 3
CHAdeMO                                   Peugeot                                                                                  adapter/ccs? Tesla Model Y
                                                                                                                                                                      ?? km

(50 kW)                                    Partner              Nissan e-NV200 Nissan                                  450 km                                 ?? km
            Nissan Leaf 1.0                         Nissan  Leaf  1.1
                                                                        450 km
                                                                                 Leaf 30                                                       Kia Soul
                             Citroën C-Zero                                              Tesla Model X       300 km
         110 km        110 km                         40 km  150 km
                                                                                                                                 Honda Clarity   ccs?
                                   110 km
                                                                                           (adapter)                        200 km
                                                                                                                                    ccs?
                                                                      Tesla Model S          100 km    Nissan
                                                Mitsubishi                (adapter)                    Leaf 2.0
    Mitsubishi i-MiEV Peugeot iOn            Outlander PHEV Kia                                                     Infinity LE
                              Citroën Berlingo              Soul-EV                      Honda Fit
                                                          130 km
                                                                                                                           ?? km
AC fast charging
(43 kW)                                       Renault Zoe ZE                                                  Daimler E-Smart
                                                 450 km                110 km                   130 km                  ?? km                   ?? km
AC charging
(22 kW)                              Tesla Model S Daimler Smart ED                Renault Zoe
                                                                                                140 km
                                                                                                         Renault Zoe 1.1 Renault Zoe 2.0    Nota:     tutte   le  vetture
AC charging                                                                                                                                 ricaricano in modalità lenta
(11 kW)                                                                           Mercedes B250E
                                                                                                                                            in corrente alternata
                                                                                                               110 km
Only AC slow
                                                          Ford Focus             Mahindra e20
(3.6-7.2 kW)                     Smart ED                             Renault         200 km
                   Mercedes                                 Electric
                                  Gen 1   Renault Renault            Kangoo ZE
                   Vito E-cell
                                         Fluence ZE Twizy                    Citroën E-Mehari
E-mobility Le tecnologie per la ricarica - Assolombarda
ABB chargers car portfolio extension
       ‫‫‬22kW    DC         ‫‫‬20/50   kW Terra      ‫‫‬150/300kW    DC
 ‫‫‬Single/dual   standard   ‫‫‬Multi   standard   ‫‫‬Single/Dual   standard
E-mobility Le tecnologie per la ricarica - Assolombarda
ABB è partner R&D dei maggiori player globali
Anche nel settore dei bus

    135 people per bus can commute
    emission free 1.3 million
    passenger kilometers a year

    | Slide 11
Italia in primo piano

    HQ e
                                        Paderno Dugnano                                                         Produzione
                    Sesto San                           Garbagnate
                                                                                             Marostica           sistemi ricarica
     service rete
                                                           Mon.                                                  standard EV
     ricarica EV    Giovanni              Lenno
                                                       Bergamo Marostica
                                        Sesto S.G.
                                         Vittuone      Dalmine
                                                                       Montebello Vic.no
                                              S. Grato     Monselice
                                                      S.Martino
                                             Genova

                                      Genova

                                                           Roma
                                                                        Frosinone
                                                           Santa Palomba

                                   Centro controllo                                                        Produzione
                                                                                           Terranuova        sistemi FV con
                                    sistemi ricarica
                                    EV                                                     Bracciolini       accumulo e
                                                                                                             ricarica veloce
                                                                                                             EV
Sviluppo rete Italia – STEP 1
UNITè – TEN-T Project
   Progetto finanziato da programma
    Connecting Europe Facility (CEF)
    Transport - Call 2014
   Obiettivo della rete è quello di rendere
    possibile un viaggio con auto elettrica
    a lunga percorrenza attraverso diversi
    paesi EU da Dublino a Genova
    attraversando la Francia
   Partners:                                  Ruolo ABB:
       EDF Group capofila
       ABB, IIC e Porto di Genova             Fornire, installare ed operare in
        (partner ITA)                          collaborazione con i partner 4 aree
   50 stazioni di ricarica in 4 Paesi che     di ricarica veloce in Liguria nella
    tra il 2016 ed il 2017 dovranno            tratta autostradale tra Genova e
    dimostrare operatività del servizio in     Ventimiglia
    modo interoperabile
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