EU BENCHMARK REGULATION AND IBOR REFORM - THE FUTURE OF BENCHMARK RATES - JUNE 2019 - PWC

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EU BENCHMARK REGULATION AND IBOR REFORM - THE FUTURE OF BENCHMARK RATES - JUNE 2019 - PWC
June 2019

 EU Benchmark Regulation
 and IBOR Reform

 The Future of Benchmark Rates

                        Building relationships, creating value
EU BENCHMARK REGULATION AND IBOR REFORM - THE FUTURE OF BENCHMARK RATES - JUNE 2019 - PWC
Benchmark users need to prepare for transition                                                                                        IBOR Reform timeline
to new benchmarks as response to the EU                                                                              Jul 2014
Bench-mark Regulation and market                                                                                     FSB Benchmarks Report
                                                                                                                     initiating changes
                                                                                                                                                                        Apr-Jun 2017
developments                                                                                                                                                             Regulatory working
                                                                                                                                                                     groups started sharing
                                                                                                                     Jul 2017                                                  proposals f or
                                                                                                                                                                     alternativ e benchmark
                                                                                                                     FCA’s Chief executiv e                                            rates
EU Benchmark Regulation                                                                                              speech to IBOR’s f uture
•   The EU Benchmark Regulation (EU BMR) introduces new compliance                                                                                                                Q1 2018
    requirements for benchmark administrators, contributors and users                                                                                                       ISDA Roadmap
    with effective date January 1, 2018 (transition period for certain                                                                                               released and report to
                                                                                                                                                                        be published on the
    requirements)                                                                                                    Apr 2018                                             transition outlined
•   As of January 1, 2018, benchmark users are required to create and                                                SOFR and ref ormed
    maintain robust written plans to identify measures that come into effect                                         SONIA published                                            May 2018
    with cession or modification of an existing benchmark                                                                                                            SOFR and ref ormed
•   After January 1, 2020, only BMR compliant benchmarks (provided by                                                Q2 2018                                       SONIA f utures launched

    registered or authorized administrator) may be used in new contracts                                             Trading started on
•   For legacy contracts, non-compliant benchmarks can still be used                                                 alternativ e benchmarks,                                     Q3 2018
                                                                                                                     incl. f utures and swaps                         ECB consultations to
    after January 1, 2020 subject to a decision by the competent authority
                                                                                                                                                                       transition and term-
    of the administrator’s Member State                                                                                                                            structure launched af ter
•   EU institutions agreed to grant an extension by two extra years for                                                                                             €STR to become RFR
    critical benchmarks and benchmarks from third country administrators                                                                    Today
    until December 31, 2021
                                                                                                                                                                                Jan 2020
                                                                                                                     Jan 2022                                                 EU Benchmark
                                                                                                                                                                                authorization
                                                                                                                     Contributor banks no longer                                    deadline
                                                                                                                     compelled to submit IBORs
IBOR reform
•   The commitment of panel banks to support the quotation of existing
                                                                                                                  Existing IBOR rate(s)              Successor            Borrowing Type
    IBORs expires after 2021
•   At latest by 2022 new, risk-free interest rates, which are based (mostly)                                     EURIBOR / EUR LIBOR                €STR                 Unsecured
    on real market transactions, should have replaced the old reference                                           USD LIBOR                          SOFR                 Secured
    interest rates
                                                                                                                  GBP LIBOR                          SONIA (new)          Unsecured
•   Working groups from jurisdictions across the world have proposed
    alternative reference rates or are working to substantially strengthen                                        CHF LIBOR                          SARON                Secured

    existing rates                                                                                                JPY LIBOR, TIBOR                   TONAR                Unsecured

For a limited time period, a recalibrated EONIA
(€STR plus Spread) and €STR will be published
                                  EONIA                                                                       Pre-€STR                                   New EONIA
in parallel with clean discounting€STR                                                                        Daily Spread                               Trim. 1Y-Avg. Spread

•   €STR will be published as
                                                          -0,20                                                                                                                    0,25
    successor to EONIA from 2
                                                                                                                                                                                           Spread in %
                                          Rate in %

    October 2019 – currently a
    so-called pre-€STR is being                           -0,25                                                                                      October 2019
                                                                                                                                                    onw ards under                 0,20
    published.                                                                                                                                         the new
•   Under a time-limited recali-                                                                                                                     Methodology
                                                          -0,30
    bration approach (up to end-                                                                                                                                                   0,15
    2021) with a fixed spread,
                                                          -0,35                                                                               EONIA = €STR + Spread
    EONIA will be directly linked
    to €STR.                                                                                                                                        Average Spread                 0,10
•   The parallel approach allows                          -0,40

    for orderly transition and
    sufficient time for transferring                                                                                                                                               0,05
                                                          -0,45
    current EONIA liquidity to the                                                                                                                   Published €STR
    emergent €STR market
                                                          -0,50                                                                                                                    0,00
•   Use of a single discounting                              03-2017        09-2017        03-2018       09-2018        03-2019       09-2019        03-2020       09-2020
    regime encourages transfer of
                                                      Source: ECB Data, PwC analysis: Data for EONIA and Pre-€STR available until end of February 2019; Data from March 2019 to October 2019
    liquidity from EONIA to €STR                      are simulated; Average Spread was calculated with Data from October 2018 to October 2019

•   Both, €STR and recalibrated
                                                                    EONIA                                     Pre-€STR                                   New EONIA
    EONIA will be published T+1
                                                                    €STR                                      Daily Spread                               Trim. 1Y-Avg. Spread

                                                          -0,20                                                                                                                    0,25
                                                                                                                                                                                           ead in %
                                          ate in %

                                                          -0,25                                                                                      October 2019
EU BENCHMARK REGULATION AND IBOR REFORM - THE FUTURE OF BENCHMARK RATES - JUNE 2019 - PWC
Challenges in implementing the requirements of the EU BMR and the
    IBOR reform are affecting a large number of areas

    •     Evaluate the impact of new hedge accounting standards                              •      Maintain sufficient liquidity in IBOR hedging instruments
Evaluate
    •      the impact
          Identify      of new
                    criteria thathedge
                                  wouldaccounting   standards
                                         trigger evaluation  of hedges                       •             • Maintain
                                                                                                    Align timing         sufficient
                                                                                                                 of migration       liquidity in product
                                                                                                                               of underlying     IBOR hedging instrume
Identify
    • criteria
          Identifythat
                    taxwimpact
                         ould trigger evaluation
                                 triggered        of hedges
                                            by change  in interest                                         • Align timing of migration of underlying product
Identify tax impact triggered by change in interest
          calculation
calculation                                                            Tax,
                                                                    Account-              IBOR
    •      Develop engagement approach                               ing and             Market
                                                                                                                          •     Develop term structure on O/N
           and strategy across multiple                               other             Liquidity                          •    Develop term structure on O/N rates
Develop engagement       approach                                                                                               rates
           businesses and   regionsand                              impacts
strategy across multiple businesses and                                                                                   ••    Define and
                                                                                                                                Define  and incorporate
                                                                                                                                              incorporate fallbacks for
     •     Reconcile changes in                                                                                                 contracts   maturing aftermaturing
                                                                                                                                                           2021
regions                                                                                                                         fallbacks for contracts
           benchmarks across and meet                Market                                                New              •   Build 2021
                                                                                                                                      liquidity in new products
Reconcile changes in benchmarks across                                                                                          after
           phased transition dates across           Outreach                                              Bench-
and meet phased transition dates across                                                                                   •     Build liquidity in new products
           jurisdictions
jurisdictions                                       & Consis-                                              mark
     •     Coordinate customer outreach               tency                                               Markets
Coordinate customer outreach across                                       EU BMR and
           across business
business                                                                  IBOR reform
                                                                            transition                                    •      Identify, enhance and validate
    •    Assess all operational and                                                                                       •     Identify,
                                                                                                                                 models enhance      and  validate models
                                                                           challenges                                           required
                                                                                                                                          required to   switch
         technological impact across                Systems &                                            Risk and         •      Developto   sw series
                                                                                                                                           time  itch of data for
         business lines and corporate                Process                                             Valuation        •     Develop
                                                                                                                                 risk and time  series
                                                                                                                                           capital      of data for risk an
                                                                                                                                                    models
Assess all operational and technological                                                                                        capital models
         functions
impact across  business lines and corporate          Change                                               Models          •      Develop   framework for
functionsConsider changes to internal
    •                                                                                                                     •     Develop   framew
                                                                                                                                 simulation  of new orkrates
                                                                                                                                                        for simulation of
                                                                                                                                new   rates for
                                                                                                                                             andcapital  and funding
Consider and  external
          changes       systems,
                   to internal and external                                                                                      for capital       funding
                                                                                                                                requirements
systems,processes,
          processes,andand dependencies
                           dependencies                             Contract
                                                                                                                                 requirements
                                                                                        Contract
                                                                    Remedi-
    •     Group contracts requiring new language                                       Discovery
                                                                     ation
Group
    • contracts
          Leverage requiring
                       industrynew   language
                                 efforts for consistent                                                          •     Identify all contracts with direct or
Leveragecontract
           industry remediation
                      efforts for consistent contract remediation                                           •   Identify  all contracts
                                                                                                                       indirect  exposure with direct or indirect exposure
    •
Determine Determine
            timeline oftimeline
                          contractofremediation
                                      contract remediation                                                  •    •     Evaluate
                                                                                                                Evaluate          and assess
                                                                                                                            and assess          existing
                                                                                                                                           existing        fallbacks
                                                                                                                                                    fallbacks
    •     Incentivize
Incentivize              clients to renegotiate
             clients to renegotiate                                                                         •    •     Digitize
                                                                                                                Digitize         all relevant
                                                                                                                          all relevant        contracts
                                                                                                                                         contracts

    Challenges in implementing the requirements of the EU BMR
    and the IBOR reform are affecting a large number of areas

                                                Mobilization
                                                •     Conduct a organization-wide scoping exercise to ensure that all impacted stakeholders are aware and
                                                      involved in discussions and a consistent understanding is established
                                                •     Establish a working group with representatives from all impacted areas of the bank for the ongoing
                                                      management of the transition period
                                                •     Join and participate in relevant working groups to remain current on the developments of the LIBOR
                                                      reform and the guidance provided by regulators and industry groups

                                                Impact analysis and development of a roadmap
                                                •     Define, communicate and continuously monitor firm-wide scenarios for the transition to new rates
                                                •     Conduct an initial impact assessment to develop a high-level understanding of how the bank is
                                                      impacted across the organization differentiating between legacy and new business
                                                •     Quantify the exposure (direct and indirect) in the relevant reference rates
                                                •     Assess the risks associated with the transition to new reference rates
                                                •     Develop initial draft of the roadmap for the transition period

                                                Short-term strategic priorities
                                                •     Assess and potentially replace fallback language in contracts for new business
                                                •     Run new product approval processes to allow trading in new reference rates
                                                •     Prepare a communication strategy to be able to respond to requests from your customers
EU BENCHMARK REGULATION AND IBOR REFORM - THE FUTURE OF BENCHMARK RATES - JUNE 2019 - PWC
The definition of several transition scenarios reflects the remaining
uncertainty and facilitates the impact and risk assessment

  Definition
Definition       of transition
            of transition          scenarios
                            scenarios                                                                 Quantification  ofexposures
                                                                                                       Quantification of exposures
• • Definition   of 3-5
     Definition of  3-5scenarios
                         scenariosbased
                                     basedonon
                                             potential
                                                                                                          •     Identification of exposures (di-
                                                                                                      •     Identification of exposures
    potential                                                                                                   rect/indirect) in relevant interest
     transition transition
                alternativesalternatives or by
                              or by currency                                                                (direct/indirect) in relevant interest rate
                                                                                                                rate benchmarks (e.g. USD
  • currency
     Description of important assumptions for each                                                          benchmarks (e.g. USD LIBOR, EONIA,
                                                                                                                LIBOR, EONIA, EURIBOR)
•   Description of important assumptions
     identified scenario
    for each identified scenario                                                                          • EURIBOR)
                                                                                                                Analysis and illustration of expo-
  •  Identification of                                                                                •  Analysis
                                                                                                            sures and   illustration
                                                                                                                    in various       of exposures
                                                                                                                                 dimensions    and in
•   Identification   ofaabasis
                          basisscenario
                                 scenarioasas
                                            foundation
     for the impact  and  risk analysis                                                                  various  dimensions
                                                                                                            aggregation         and(e.g.
                                                                                                                             levels  aggregation
                                                                                                                                          business
    foundation for the impact and risk
    analysis                                                                                             levels (e.g. business
                                                                                                            function,   reference function, reference
                                                                                                                                     rate, region,
                                                                                                            maturity
                                                                                                         rate,         bucket) bucket)
                                                                                                               region, maturity
                                                                                                       •    Identification of run-off profile to
                                                                                                      • Identification of run-off profile to inform
                                                                      Input                                 inform about transition strategy
                                                                                                         about transition strategy and definition of
                                                                   to build a                               and definition of an ongoing
                                                                                                         an ongoing process
                                                                roadmap for the                             process

Risk analysis
                                                                   transition                             Impact analysis
  Risk analysis                                                                                           Impact analysis
•   Definition of key level 1 und 2 risks                                                                 •   Identification of required chang-
  • resulting
     Definitionfrom
                 of key  level
                       the      1 und 2to
                            transition   risks
                                            new                                                           • Identification
                                                                                                              es along the of value
                                                                                                                              required  changes
                                                                                                                                     chain  and as-
     resulting from
    reference    ratesthe  transitionthe
                        following     to new
                                         internal                                                           along  the value
                                                                                                              sessment         chain andefforts and
                                                                                                                           of required
     reference
    risk         rates following the internal risk
          taxonomy                                                                                          assessment
                                                                                                              complexityofdue required
                                                                                                                                 to theefforts and
                                                                                                                                         replace-
•    taxonomy
    Risk   assessment for each scenario                                                                       ment of existing
                                                                                                            complexity            rates
                                                                                                                         due to the      based onof
                                                                                                                                     replacement
  • (H/M/L    or relativefor
     Risk assessment        risk in comparison
                               each               to
                                     scenario (H/M/L                                                          the identified
                                                                                                            existing           baseoncase
                                                                                                                     rates based       the identified
    base    scenario)
     or relative risk in comparison to base                                                               • base
                                                                                                              Execution
                                                                                                                  case     based   on assump-
•   Development
     scenario)
                      of actions to be taken to                                                               tions of Base Case along the
                                                                                                          • Execution based on assumptions of
    mitigate identified risks                                                                                 front-to back process chain
  • Development of actions to be taken to                                                                   Base Case along the front-to back
     mitigate identified risks                                                                              process chain

Our proven PwC tools can help and support you in the
arising challenges emerging from the transition

 Impact                           Exposure                   Semantic Contract           Outreach &                       PwC
 Assesment                        Monitoring                 Analysis                    Repapering                       FIVE

 Primary Purpose                  Primary Purpose            Primary Purpose             Primary Purpose                  Primary Purpose
 Facilitate and acceler-          Identify and visualize     Discover and extract        Connect and commu-               Provide and use a
 ate an enterprise wide           relevant data on all       relevant parameters and     nicate with all affected         modular valuation and
 impact analysis from             products, contracts        content from affected       clients in a collaboration       IT infrastructure for
 the IBOR cessation               and customers that         contracts and other         and outreach platform            affected contracts and
 across business units,           have a link to IBOR        documents                                                    product
 regions, products and                                                                   Target
 operations                       Target                     Target                      Achieve better com-              Target
                                  Review and track           Extract and structure       munication and faster            Analyze and simulate
 Target                           quantitative impacts       data, analyze each          documents gathering              any effects and quan-
 Create and assess                before, while and after    component consistently      as well as work smarter          titative impacts arising
 robust written plan              the transition period in   as well as in clusters or   including tracking and           on profit and loss and
 and action progress              a detailed Dashboard       filter and sort by param-   reporting                        market value changes
 using input as well as           view                       eters
 identify most import-
 ant next steps
EU BENCHMARK REGULATION AND IBOR REFORM - THE FUTURE OF BENCHMARK RATES - JUNE 2019 - PWC
Our references from ongoing and completed                                                                 Project insights
                                                                                                            Currently, we support a German bank in
  projects in IBOR transition presents PwC as                                                               performing a pre-study on the reference rate
                                                                                                            reform
  industry leader and reliable partner for you
                                                                                                            Project goals
                                                                                                            Assessing the technical implementation effort to
         Client                                                     EU-BMR             IBOR Reform          represent €STR in client systems (Front to back)
                                                                                                            Impact assessment on hedge accounting and
         Major international bank
                                                                                                            other financial statement components
         Major international bank                                                                           Setting up a roadmap for a detailed concept and
         Major international bank                                                                           implementation including a proposal for project
                                                                                                            structure and milestones
         Major international asset manager
                                                                                                            In addition setup of project organization,
         Major German bank                                                                                  communication and project phases to perform the
                                                                                                            pre-study
         Regional German bank

         Market inf rastructure

                                                                               Efficiency                     Relevant products
  Expert knowledge                                Strategic advantage
                                                                               Due to our experience          1. Implementation
  PwC has extensive                               PwC established an
                                                                               and tools we stand for             “Floater using €STR reference rate“
  experience in the                               internal Reference
                                                                               efficient methodologies        2. Implementation
  implementation of the                           Rate Reform working
                                                                               and implementation                 “Floating loans with alternative
  EU BMR and the IBOR                             group to combine our
                                                                               processes to fulfill               reference rate”
  reform – in addition                            expertise globally and
                                                                               project expectations           3. Substitution of EONIA
  you will benefit from                           exchange latest market
                                                                               which enables us to                as reference rate in CSA by €STR
  our interaction with                            developments – you
                                                                               close projects in time         4. Substitution of EONIA
  local and international                         will gain an strategic
                                                                                                                  as reference rate in contracts including
  working groups                                  advantage
                                                                                                                  safeguarding of credits by €STR

  Our references from ongoing and completed projects in IBOR transition presents
  PwC as industry leader and reliable partner for you
  In order to respond to the various potential implementation challenges,
  PwC involves experts from various competence teams

                                Our Experience and Capabilities                                                      Benefits

                                Ongoing client projects
                                                                                                                     •       PwC has access to up-to-date,
                                PwC actively supports the IBOR and Reference Rate Reform projects for
                                                                                                                             directly relevant experience
                                numerous clients, including the impact assessment, mobilisation program
                                                                                                                     •       We apply our knowledge and
                                and governance structure, and preparation for client and customer outreach
                                                                                                                             learnings from previous projects,
                                initiatives.
       Accounting,

                                                                                                                             but also from our experience
       Tax& Legal

                                                                                                                             in managing complex change
                                Knowledge Centre
                                                                                                                             programs combining a whole
                                We keep abreast of regulatory developments, their implications for our clients
                                                                                                                             range of expertise
                                and of the progress of ongoing projects. We discuss market standards, obtain
                                insights from associations/regulators and take part in the debate of significant
              Treasury & Risk

                                issues.                                                                                  •    PwC can assist you in the
Communication Management

                                                                                                                              navigation of the uncertainties
                                Monitoring und dialogue with industry groups                                                  associated with the transition
              Pricing,

                                PwC maintains long-term relationships with the leading industry groups that              •    Our broad engagement across
                                play important role in the IBOR transition to alternative reference rates. We                 the various industry participants
                                have organized and hosted numerous industry-specific events and frequently                    allows us to stay abreast of
                                publish insights and analysis on the IBOR transition and the related topics.                  market developments and
Operations &

                                                                                                                              support you in planning for the
                                Cooperation with working groups
Strategy,

                                                                                                                              various transition scenarios
                                PwC is a member of the working group “Sterling Risk-Free Rates” of the sub-
                                group “Communication & Outreach”. We expect to join other working groups
                                in the future.                                                                       •       Our team can provide you with
                                                                                                                             insights and knowledge from all
       Technologies

                                Global coordination and tool development                                                     of our IBOR transition efforts
                                PwC experts meet regularly to discuss current market developments and                •       Our tools can support a
                                keep our methodologies and tools up-to-date. Our IBOR capabilities are                       more efficient transition, with
       Tools &

                                supported by a number of tools accelerating the impact assessment, contract                  sustainable benefits
                                amendment process, and other components of the transition.
EU BENCHMARK REGULATION AND IBOR REFORM - THE FUTURE OF BENCHMARK RATES - JUNE 2019 - PWC
Vil du vide mere?
For uddybende spørgsmål - eller har du brug for konkret rådgivning mht. IBOR transitionen og
reference rente reformen - så er du altid velkommen til at kontakte vores team, der er specialister
indenfor regulering, risiko og kapital i den finansielle sektor.

Financial Markets & Risk tilbyder rådgivning i forbindelse med regulatoriske forandringer og
bidrager med ekspertviden indenfor finansiel risikostyring, optimering af regulatorisk kapital samt
markedsregulering. Vi har indenfor de seneste 4 år arbejdet intenst i Danmark og i Europa med bl.a.
MiFID II, Basel IV, FRTB og EBA guidelines, samt ændringer i investeringsstrategi mod alternative
investeringer. Vores dybe forståelse af vores kunders forretningsmodel og operating model er med
til at målrette vores rådgivning, og gør at vi altid stiller med det stærkeste team af bl.a. økonomi- og
risikoeksperter, jurister, proces eksperter, data arkitekter, og analytikere.

                 Frank Svendsen Nørring
                 Director, Head of Risk & Capital Markets Advisory
                 M: +45 5124 1058
                 E: frank.norring@pwc.com

                 Haris Khan
                 Manager
                 M: +45 3070 3916
                 E: haris.d.khan@pwc.com

                 Johan Hilsted
                 Manager
                 M: +45 5135 0028
                 E: johan.hilsted@pwc.com

                 Gregers Inselmann
                 Manager
                 M: +45 3150 6056
                 E: inselmann.gregers@pwc.com

                 Patrick Sommer
                 Senior Associate
                 M: +45 3056 7939
                 E: patrick.sommer@pwc.com

                                                                                                           Revision. Skat. Rådgivning.
EU BENCHMARK REGULATION AND IBOR REFORM - THE FUTURE OF BENCHMARK RATES - JUNE 2019 - PWC EU BENCHMARK REGULATION AND IBOR REFORM - THE FUTURE OF BENCHMARK RATES - JUNE 2019 - PWC EU BENCHMARK REGULATION AND IBOR REFORM - THE FUTURE OF BENCHMARK RATES - JUNE 2019 - PWC EU BENCHMARK REGULATION AND IBOR REFORM - THE FUTURE OF BENCHMARK RATES - JUNE 2019 - PWC
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